Jameos del Agua Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you — this is a tough stretch. The next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim for scoring any decent waves at Jameos del Agua. The swell is there, but the wind is a constant problem. For the first week and a half, from Monday the 10th through to Tuesday the 18th, it’s a relentless run of cross-shore winds, mostly from the NNE or N at 12 to 19 mph, churning up a lumpy, cross-chop mess. The swell height sits between 4 ft and 6 ft, but with periods short as 6 to 7 seconds, there’s just no shape or power to get excited about. The combined swell energy is moderate at best, peaking around 326 on Thursday the 13th, but it’s all wasted by the wind.

We finally get a bit of a break in the wind on Wednesday the 19th. The morning and afternoon see a shift to a NNW breeze at 9 to 12 mph, turning cross-offshore, and the sea cleans up. The swell is 5 ft from the north, with a period of 9 seconds and moderate energy (340). It’s still only marginal — the tide might mess with it — but it’s the first window that’s worth a look. The water temperature is 74°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year.

Then Thursday the 20th morning is the real standout of the whole outlook. The wind drops to a light breeze from the north at 6 mph, going cross-offshore, and the ocean cleans right up. Swell is 5 ft from the north, 8-second period, with moderate energy (286). It’s not huge, but it’s clean, and Jameos del Agua is a reef break that handles that north swell well. The water is still a touch warmer than normal. This is the one to aim for. The afternoon gets a bit messy again as the wind picks up, so make it a morning session.

After that, it’s back to the same old story. From Friday the 21st onwards, the north to NNE winds return, mostly moderate to fresh, keeping things lumpy and cross-shore. The swell sticks around 5 ft to 6 ft, occasionally pushing 6 ft on Sunday the 23rd, but with cross-on winds and a 493 energy reading, it’s just a messy, choppy beast. By the end of the outlook, Tuesday the 25th, the swell drops right off to 2 ft from the WNW with a very long 14-second period, but the cross-shore wind ruins it.

So, bottom line: if you’re keen, lock in Thursday the 20th morning. It’s the only real clean, surfable window in the whole 16 days. The rest is a write-off unless you’re into paddling practice.

- Rusty

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