Jameos del Agua Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you. The next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim for a proper paddle. There’s swell on the charts for the entire run, but it’s coming in short, weak, and with the wind just ruining any chance of a clean face. We’re looking at a long stretch of cross-shore chop and lumpy conditions that will have you questioning your life choices.

The water is running a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, sitting around 74°, so at least you won’t be cold while you’re getting frustrated.

The run starts off Friday morning at Jameos del Agua with a cross-shore breeze kicking up a mess. The swell is there, 6ft, but it’s short-period windswell at 7 seconds and all over the place. The combined energy is moderate at 404, but it's useless with that wind. This pattern holds through the weekend and into next week. Saturday sees the swell bump up slightly to 7ft, but the wind is fresh and cross, making it a total write-off. It’s not going to be pretty.

We’re looking at a full week of this, day after day of 5ft to 6ft of short-period slop, always with that cross-shore wind, from N or NNE at 15 to 22 mph. The energy stays moderate, but with a period of 6-8 seconds, it’s just not going to have any push or shape.

There’s a brief glimmer on Sunday the 16th. The wind eases up and goes cross-offshore, from the NNW, and things clean up significantly. The swell drops a touch to 5ft, but that clean surface is a huge positive. It’s still short-period at 7 seconds, and combined energy drops to a moderate 336, so it’s not a classic, but it’s the best the whole run has to offer. The official call is only “marginal,” which tells you how rough the rest of it is. If you’re desperate, this is your window. Monday the 17th looks clean again in the morning, but the swell drops right off to 4ft, and the energy is fading fast.

Beyond that, it’s back to the grind. More cross-shore winds, lumpy seas, and energy readings dropping into the lower ranges. By the 20th, we’re down to a weak 137 in the morning. There is a pulse of slightly longer period swell on the 22nd, with energy picking up to a strong 510-517, but it’s still coming with that cross-shore wind, and the swell is just over 6ft. For a reef break, that short-period, cross-shore stuff is just going to be a washing machine.

So, here’s the takeaway. If you’re a surfer, there’s really only that one morning on Sunday the 16th that’s worth a look, and even then, it’s not a standout. Otherwise, this whole 16-day run is a blank. With the wind as strong as it is and the surf quality that poor, a place like Jameos del Agua looks far more interesting for the kite crew than for anyone holding a surfboard. It tends not to stay this poor for long, so keep an eye on the charts.

Until next time,
Rusty

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