Jameos del Agua Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

Straight up, I’ve got to be honest with you – this is a tough run. We’re looking at a solid 16-day window, but there’s not a single moment where the conditions line up for a decent paddle. The whole period is plagued by strong, persistent cross-shore winds that are going to leave the surface chopped up and messy. It’s a real shame, because there’s plenty of swell energy on offer.

The focus is on Jameos del Agua, a reef break. The water is sitting at 73°F – a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so at least you won’t be cold while you’re getting frustrated.

Right from the start, on Sunday the 19th, we’ve got a 7ft NNE swell with a short period of 8 seconds, but a fresh 22 mph cross-wind is already ruining it. The energy is moderate (468), but the surf quality is rated poor. That theme just keeps going. The wind picks up to a strong 25 mph on Monday the 20th, with a 8ft NNE swell (711 – moderate energy), but it’s messy cross-chop. Tuesday and Wednesday stay in the same boat: fresh cross-shore winds, lumpy conditions, and swells around 6ft to 7ft.

By the time we get to the 25th and 26th of July, the swell is getting bigger. Saturday the 25th sees 8ft NNE swell, with energy climbing into the high hundreds (980) and even hitting 1003 in the afternoon. But the wind is still a strong, gusty cross-shore, turning the surface into a mess. For a reef break, you need clean lines, and you just aren’t getting them.

The last week of July and into early August just doubles down. The swell gets seriously chunky – we’re talking 10ft to 12ft from the NNE on the 28th, with energy hitting 2023. That’s a lot of power, but it’s not for the faint-hearted. At over 8ft, this is expert-only territory, and with the wind still howling cross-shore or even cross-onshore, the wave faces are going to be blown out and treacherous. The period is only 8-9 seconds, so it’s a short-period wind swell, which makes it even messier.

The briefest glimmer of hope might be on the 3rd of August, when the wind drops to a moderate 16 mph cross-shore, but the swell is down to 5ft-5ft with a short period. The surf is still classed as poor.

Honestly, for the entire 16 days, there isn’t a single standout. The wind is the enemy here. If you’re into kite surfing, the consistent strong winds and solid swell might look interesting, but for a paddle surfer, this is a write-off. It’s a blank run, and for this area, a poor run like this is just what happens sometimes. The forecasts can change, but right now, I’d leave the boards at home.

Rusty.

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