Jameos del Agua Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you. Looking at Jameos del Agua, it’s a reef break that’s fairly consistent, but the next 16 days are a tough pill to swallow. The wind is locked in from the north and north-northeast, blowing cross-shore the whole time, and it’s not light—we’re talking 18 to 28 mph for most of the first week. That’s a cross-chop that’s going to ruin any hope of clean lines. The swell is there, but the score is a flat zero across the entire period.

Starting Thursday, 23 July, it’s already poor. Swell at 6 ft from the NNE at a short 7 seconds, but the wind is a fresh 18 mph cross-shore. The water is 72°F, which is pretty normal for this time of year. That’s about average. But the energy is moderate (376), and the conditions are lumpy and messy. This isn’t surfable.

Friday, 24 July, gets worse. Swell pushes up to 7 ft, period still 7 seconds, but the wind cranks to 22 mph, then 25 mph in the afternoon. Energy jumps to 513, but it’s all cross-chop. No good.

Saturday, 25 July, is the biggest push of the period. Swell hits 8 ft with an 8-second period, and the combined energy is strong (904 in the morning, 919 by afternoon). That’s a lot of water moving. But the wind is a brutal 28 mph cross-shore. That size with that wind is just a washing machine. Only for experts if you’re desperate, but even then, it’s ugly.

Sunday, 26 July, stays big at 8 ft, period stretching to 9 seconds, and the energy peaks at 1015. Still, cross-shore wind at 22 mph. The waves will have some power, but the surface is a mess.

From Monday, 27 July, through to the end of July, the swell drops gradually. Monday morning has 7 ft, but the wind is still 15 mph cross-shore. By Tuesday, 28 July, it’s down to 5 ft, and the energy is weak (249). The pattern continues: cross-shore winds, short period, poor surf. Not a single window of glassy or offshore wind.

Into August, it’s more of the same. Saturday, 1 August, has the lightest wind of the whole run—12 mph—but it’s still cross-shore, and the swell is only 5 ft to 5 ft. Not enough to get excited about. Sunday, 2 August, picks up a bit to 6 ft and 6 ft with energy back to 442-501, but again, the wind is cross-shore.

The best chance, and I’m being generous, is around Wednesday, 5 August. The swell drops to 4 ft, but the period stretches to 11 seconds—a long period groundswell. That’s interesting for a reef setup. But the wind is still 25 mph cross-shore, making it lumpy. The energy is moderate (662), but the conditions are poor. For a reef, that long period could bend around the point, but the chop kills it.

Thursday, 6 August, the swell fades to 3 ft, and Friday, 7 August, is 3 ft to 3 ft with a horrible 5-second period in the afternoon—that’s just wind slop. 138 energy. Not worth paddling out.

Honestly, this is a blank run. The wind never lets up, and the swell direction is NNE, which is the optimum for Jameos del Agua, but the cross-shore wind ruins every single session. There is no standout. The reef is exposed, but without offshore wind, it’s just a lumpy, choppy mess.

If you’re a kite surfer, the strong cross-shore winds and decent swell energy—especially on Saturday, 25 July, with 919 energy—might look interesting. For paddle surfing, it’s a no-go. The forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a long wait.

Rusty.

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