Jameos del Agua Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

To be straight with you, the outlook for the next 16 days is a tough one. We’re looking at a long stretch of poor surf conditions with no real standouts. The swell is coming in from the NE, which is actually the optimum direction for Jameos del Agua, a reef break, but the wind is the problem. It’s pinned from the N to NNE, blowing cross or cross-on, and it’s strong. That’s kicking up a lot of lumpy cross-chop, making it messy. The water is sitting at 73°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year.

The first recommendation isn't until the 4th of August, but even then, it’s a no-go. Tuesday morning sees a 6ft NE swell at 7 seconds, but with a 19 mph cross wind, it’s just not worth paddling out. The energy is moderate at 384, but the conditions are poor. This pattern holds through the whole first week. By the 8th, the swell builds to 8ft, and the energy jumps to a strong 1047, but the wind is a solid 25 mph cross. That’s big, messy, and for experts only if they’re looking for a real challenge. For most of us, that’s a solid pass.

The second week doesn’t offer much relief. The wind stays cross, the swell drops a bit, and the energy fades. By the 16th and 17th of August, the swell is down to 3ft and 4ft, with gentle to moderate cross-shore breezes, but it’s still rated as poor. The period on the 17th and 18th stretches to 10 seconds, suggesting a bit more shape, but the wind is still cross, so it’s not going to clean up.

The bottom line: there are no good surf options in this 16-day window. The wind is just relentless from the wrong direction, and it’s ruining what would otherwise be a decent swell. The waves are there, but the wind is a kite-surfer’s dream, not a paddle surfer’s. For us, it’s a waiting game. It tends not to stay this poor for long, and forecasts can change, so keep your eyes peeled.

Rusty.

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