Jameos del Agua Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on offer for this stretch of coast.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – the next week and a half is looking pretty tough. The only named spot in the mix is Jameos del Agua, a reef break that's fairly consistent but it's going to be a battle with the wind. The water is sitting at 73°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so that's one small comfort.

We start off on Monday the 13th with a bit of swell around 4ft from the NW, period of 9 seconds. The wind is a cross-shore from the NNE, but it's just enough to put a chop on the surface. The combined energy is a moderate 192, but the conditions are poor, so it's a no-go.

Tuesday the 14th brings even less swell, dropping to 3ft in the morning and 2ft in the afternoon, with a short period of 8 seconds. The wind turns cross-onshore and gets stronger, making it choppy and messy. The energy drops right off to 96 and 68, so it's a flat, blown-out mess.

Wednesday the 15th sees a weird little spike in swell from the NNE, but with a terrible period of 5 seconds. That's just windswell, no power behind it. The wind is a moderate cross-shore, so the surf is weak and crummy. Energy is 72 in the morning.

From Thursday the 16th through to the weekend of the 20th, the swell starts to build, but the wind is relentless. We're looking at NNE winds blowing 19 to 22 mph, which is a fresh breeze, creating a lumpy, cross-shore chop. The swell height climbs from 5ft up to 7ft by Saturday the 18th, and the energy becomes strong, hitting 610 on Saturday morning. But with that wind, it's just a messy, blown-out wall. This is one of those times where the setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, especially with the beach and reef mix.

There's a small glimmer of hope on Tuesday the 21st. The wind goes light and onshore in the morning, which is a write-off, but by Tuesday afternoon, we get a sweet cross-offshore breeze from the north. The swell is only 4ft with a 7-second period, and the energy is light at 149, but it's clean. It's a rare window of tidy, surfable waves.

Wednesday the 22nd keeps that clean trend with a cross-offshore wind, but the swell is even smaller. The morning has 4ft from the north, and then in the afternoon it drops to a tiny 1ft from the NW with a 10-second period, energy down to 29. That's barely a ripple.

Then we hit a real gap. From Thursday the 23rd morning, things get a little more interesting. The swell comes up to 5ft from the north, period of 6 seconds, and the wind is a clean cross-offshore. The energy is 180, and the report says "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions" – it's a 1 out of 10, but it's the best we've seen. The rest of that day and into the 24th and 25th, the wind is mostly cross-shore, keeping the chop on the surface.

The real standout of the whole forecast, if you can wait for it, is Monday the 27th of July. The swell is a solid 8ft from the NNE, period of 8 seconds, giving a strong energy of 696 in the morning and 717 in the afternoon. The wind in the afternoon turns cross-offshore from the NNW, and the report says "clean." It's a 2 out of 10, which is the highest score of the entire run. This is for experienced surfers only – that 8ft is getting big for the crew starting out. The swell direction is NNE, but the optimum is N, so it's a bit off, but the clean conditions and the size make it the best on offer.

Tuesday the 28th holds some size at 7ft, but the wind goes back to a cross-shore, and the quality drops again.

So, here's the bottom line: The first week and a half is a write-off due to constant wind. The only real standout to circle on your calendar is Monday, July 27th at Jameos del Agua. The afternoon session looks promising with a clean offshore wind and a solid 8ft swell. It's far out, so keep an eye on it, but it's the one chance we've got. The rest is a waiting game.

Rusty.

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