Jameos del Agua Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you. Right now, the surf around Jameos del Agua is a bit of a letdown. We’ve got a solid week or more of cross and onshore winds messing up what little swell we have, so it’s a waiting game before anything gets clean.

The first couple of days, Wednesday and Thursday, are a complete write-off. The northeast breeze is howling at 19 mph, the swell is a weak 4–5 ft with a short, jumbled 6-second period. The combined swell energy is in the low-to-mid 200s, which is just weak and messy. You’ll be paddling into lumpy cross-chop and fighting a fresh cross-shore breeze the whole time. Not worth the effort.

As we head into the weekend, the swell does push up slightly, hitting 6 ft on Saturday, but the wind stays nasty and cross-shore at 19 mph. The wave energy bumps up to a moderate 408, but it’s all for nothing with the wind on it. It’s going to look like a mess out there. The period slowly extends from 7 to 9 seconds over the next few days, but the wind just won’t let up, so the surface stays poor.

Now, here’s where things get interesting. Monday the 17th is when we see a real change. The wind backs off to 12 mph, blowing from the NNW as a cross-offshore, and the period stretches to 9 seconds. That’s the first time this whole stretch that the ocean will look and feel clean. The swell holds at 5 ft, and the combined energy is up at 425, which is moderate but pointing in the right direction. This looks like the standout day in the near term. Finally, a surfable wave.

Tuesday the 18th is also worth a look. The wind drops even more, to a light 6 mph cross-shore, and the swell hangs in there at 5 ft from the north with the same 9-second period. It’s a little softer, energy drops to 333, but it’s clean and should offer some fun, rippable shoulders on the reef. It’s a good one for the intermediates.

From Wednesday the 19th through the 20th, the swell drops right off to around 3-4 ft, and the northeasterly wind comes back, putting a damper on things again. The energy falls back down into the low-to-mid 200s. Back to the skinny, choppy stuff.

But don’t worry, because the second week kicks things up a notch. By Friday the 21st, the north-northeast swell starts to build again, pushing 5-6 ft, and the period stretches out to a juicy 9, and then 10 seconds by Saturday the 22nd. The energy is climbing into the strong range, hitting 494 on Friday and peaking at 644 on Saturday. The problem is, the wind is still cross-shore and fresh at 16-19 mph, so it’s going to be lumpy, but with that much push and a longer period, there will be some power behind it.

That north-northeast energy keeps rolling through the 23rd and 24th with solid 5-6 ft waves and period staying in the 9-10 second range. The wind eases slightly to a moderate 16 mph, but it’s still cross-shore, so it won’t be perfect. Still, the ocean is going to have a lot more life in it.

Then things get proper. On Tuesday the 26th, the swell really starts to push, hitting 8 ft with a period of 8 seconds. That’s a solid step up in size, and the wave energy is strong at 688. That’s a lot of water moving around, and as the period is only 8 seconds, it’ll be a bit more walled-up and powerful. This is pushing into expert territory for sure, so if you’re not comfortable on a bigger, more demanding reef break, maybe give this one a miss. The Wednesday the 27th stays equally big at 8 ft, with energy still up at 594, but the wind kicks back up to 19 mph, making it a bit more of a battle. For the crew who can handle it, this is where the real size and grunt is. If this were a beach break with this much swell and that strong cross-shore wind, I’d say it’s more of a kitesurfing day. But at a reef, there might be some heavy, grinding barrels for the brave.

So, to sum it up: The next week is mostly a bust, with Monday the 17th being the standout for clean, fun waves. The following week, especially the 26th and 27th, brings the big swell, but it’s for experts only and comes with messy winds. Keep your expectations in check and pick your moments.

This is Rusty, signing off.

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