Jameos del Agua Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, and I’ve got to be straight with you – the outlook for Jameos del Agua over the next 16 days is a tough one to swallow. We’re looking at a really long stretch of nothing special, with messy, cross-shore winds and lumpy, chop-infested waves. The water is sitting at 73°F, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year, but that’s the only small comfort here.

The pattern starts off poorly from Sunday, July 19, right through the week. The swell is a constant 7 ft to 8 ft from the NNE, with a short period of 7 to 8 seconds, meaning it’s weak, disorganized, and all that energy (468 to 603) is just getting chopped up by steady 22 to 25 mph cross-winds. It’s lumpy, it’s messy, and it’s a real grind. Nothing here worth paddling out for.

The weekend of July 25 and 26 sees the swell pick up a bit – 8 ft to 10 ft, still from the NNE – but the period stays short, and the wind strengthens to 25 mph, making it all cross-shore chop. The combined energy climbs to 1234, which is a lot of moving water, but it’s not clean. This is honestly more of a kite-surfing setup than paddle surfing, especially with that swell over 8 ft.

The biggest swell hits on July 27 – 12 ft from the NNE, going 9 seconds, with energy jumping to 1917. That’s a powerful, angry-looking ocean, but the wind is still a strong 25 mph cross-shore, so it’s a white-knuckle, expert-only zone. The conditions are described as “poor surf conditions” throughout, so don’t expect any kind of clean wall to work with.

Things start to drop off after July 28, with the swell falling to 8 ft, then 5 ft, and by the end of the first week of August, we’re down to 3 ft or less. The wind finally eases a bit on July 29 – a gentle 9 mph from the north – but it’s still cross-shore, and the swell is short-period and weak. By August 2, the wind turns slightly cross-off from the NNW, but the swell is tiny (4 ft) and really short period (6 seconds), so it’s barely a ripple.

So, in short, there’s no standout, no hidden gem, no single day you can circle on the calendar. The whole 16-day window is a write-off for quality surf. The winds never line up, the swell is either too small, too short-period, or too big but messy. It’s a blank run, and for this area, that’s how it goes sometimes. Let’s hope the next forecast brings a change.

Rusty.

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