Jameos del Agua Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right then, let’s get into it. The outlook for Jameos del Agua is a bit of a mixed bag, to be honest. We’ve got a solid run of swell on the way, but for the first week and a half or so, the wind is going to be a real pain. It’s a classic reef setup here, and it needs the right conditions to shine.

We start off on Saturday, 18 July, with a bit of swell already showing, about 6ft from the NNE, but the wind is howling out of the NNE at 19 mph, straight cross-shore. The water is sitting at 73°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. Don’t even think about paddling out – the surface is lumpy and chopped up. The energy is weak (319), and it’s just messy.

That pattern holds right through the next week. From Sunday the 19th all the way through to Friday the 24th of July, we’ve got swell sizes hanging between 6ft and 8ft, also from the NNE. But the wind stays stubbornly cross-shore, gusting between 19 and 25 mph. The wave energy slowly builds from moderate (434) to moderate-strong (633), but it’s all for nothing with that wind. It’s a write-off.

The weekend of the 25th and 26th of July sees the swell push up a bit, hitting 8ft to 8ft from the NNE. The energy is ramping up, hitting 823 and then 1093, but that cross-shore wind is still there, ruining any chance of a decent wave. The water temp anomaly isn’t reported for the middle part, but it’s academic when the surf is poor.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting, but with a major caveat. Monday the 27th of July brings a big jump in swell. We’re looking at 12ft in the morning, dropping to 10ft in the afternoon, still from the NNE. The energy is very strong (1969). The wind backs off a touch to 16 mph, but it’s still cross-shore. The morning session is actually considered too big for this break – 12ft is a lot of water moving around a reef, and it’s only for experts. The afternoon is marginal.

The real standout window is Tuesday the 28th of July. The swell holds at a solid 10ft from the NNE, with a period of 9 seconds. The energy is strong (1652). But the game-changer is the wind. We get a light 9 mph breeze from the NNW, which is a cross-offshore wind. The report says it’s excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers. The surface will be clean. This is your best shot. The swell is over 8ft, so this is strictly for the experienced crew. The morning session is the one to aim for.

After that, Wednesday the 29th of July is a bit of a drop-off. The swell backs down to 7ft, wind is still a light cross-off, but the conditions are only considered marginal. The energy drops to 632. From Thursday the 30th of July through to the end of the month, we’re back to smaller, lumpy, cross-shore junk. Not worth the drive.

Looking into the first week of August, there’s a glimmer. Saturday the 1st of August has a clean morning with a light cross-off breeze and a 6ft NNE swell. The energy is moderate (460). It’s a good, clean option for a wider range of surfers. Then Sunday the 2nd of August sees the swell jump back up to 8ft from the NNE. The wind is a light cross-off from the NNW, and the afternoon session is looking very good, with a clean surface and strong energy (889). That’s a promising end to the outlook, but it’s a fair way out.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a write-off. The standout is Tuesday, 28 July, for the big, clean, expert-only waves. The second week has a couple of promising mornings, especially Sunday the 2nd of August, but those are long-range calls and less certain.

Rusty.

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