Jameos del Agua Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. We’re looking at a stretch that’s pretty grim for a while, so don’t be in a rush.

Right now, there’s just nothing happening. The first few days are a write-off. Swell is tiny, wind is cross, and the surf is poor. You’ve got a weak north swell on Thursday the 9th, barely managing 3ft, but with a short period of 5 seconds, and a moderate breeze blowing across it. The energy is weak (65) and the waves are just shifty, messy junk. Not worth paddling for.

Friday the 10th isn’t any better. Still small, still cross-shore winds. You might see some cleaner conditions Friday afternoon with a bit of an offshore angle, but the swell is only 2ft and the period is poor. It’s clean but gutless.

Saturday the 11th is a dead loss. Swell drops to 1.0ft and the energy is barely a whisper (28). Don’t bother.

The first glimmer of anything interesting is Sunday the 12th. A new NNW swell arrives with a period of 11 seconds, pushing 2ft to 3ft. The energy jumps to 174 in the afternoon. That’s a bigger, longer-period groundswell, but it’s still small and the wind is cross. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing strange going on there.

That swell holds through Monday the 13th, with a bit more size (3ft) and energy up to 155. But again, the wind is cross and the surf stays poor. The cross-chop kills it.

The real story here is the wind. It’s north or north-northeast almost every day, blowing cross-shore or cross-on, and it just doesn’t let up. By Wednesday the 15th, the swell bumps up to 5ft to 6ft, but the wind is a fresh breeze at 30 km/h, creating a lumpy cross-chop. The energy is climbing (238), but the quality is gone.

Then we hit a bit of a wall. From Thursday the 16th through to Monday the 20th, the swell really kicks in. We’re talking 8ft on Thursday and Saturday, with energy readings over 800 and 900. That’s a lot of water moving. But the wind is still cross, and the period is only 8 seconds. It’s a big, messy, short-period north-northeast swell. For Jameos del Agua, a reef break, that kind of size is expert-only, and the cross-wind makes it ugly. It’s more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing right now. The water is still around average temp.

The final week, from the 21st to the 24th, the swell settles back to 5ft to 6ft, with the energy dropping. The wind is still cross or cross-shore, and the surf is consistently poor. There’s a slight uptick on the 23rd with 6ft and 307 energy, but the fresh breeze means it’s lumpy.

Honestly, there’s no standout, no hidden gem, no clean day to get excited about. It’s a 16-day window of poor surf, with the wind on the wrong angle and the swell either too small or too messy. This area just isn’t lining up. Forecasts can change, but right now, I’d leave the boards at home.

Rusty.

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