Surf Forecasts:
JT Flemming surf forecast from 30 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 4 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 12s period, ENE swell with 605 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for JT Flemming this week:
The most powerful waves expected at JT Flemming in the next 16 days are 1.5m 12s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (HST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Tue 4th Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for JT Flemming over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s cut straight to it. The 16-day window for JT Flemming is a tough one. I’m looking at the data and honestly, there’s nothing to get excited about. Every single session in the forecast is flagged as "poor surf conditions" with a score of zero. That means we’ve got a real dry spell on our hands.
The first potential surfable day isn't even on the cards. The entire run from Thursday the 30th of July right through to Friday the 14th of August is a complete blank. That’s a full 16-day gap with no recommendations. For a spot that’s described as "rarely breaks," this kind of quiet run is more normal for the area. It’s frustrating, but it is what it is.
The swell is coming from the wrong direction for JT Flemming. It needs a good NNW swell to light up that point, but we’re stuck with a constant ENE breeze and a short-period, weak windswell. The combined wave energy on offer is mostly moderate, with values like 348 (weak energy) and 546 (moderate energy) on the 4th of August, but the wind is a cross-shore mess, or a cross-offshore that’s still too strong. The wind speeds are 12 to 22 mph, which is a fresh breeze, and it’s just gonna chop everything up.
The water temperature is sitting at 80°F with a 0.4°F anomaly, so it’s about average for the time of year.
There is a brief moment on the 4th of August where the period jumps to 11 seconds, which is a long-period groundswell, but the swell height is only 4 ft to 5 ft and the direction is still ENE. That period is good for a point break like JT Flemming, but the wind is still cross-shore with a cross-chop. It’s not enough to save the day.
The closest we get to a clean session is a few afternoons with a "cross-off" wind, like the 30th of July afternoon and the 14th of August afternoon, but the swell is tiny (2 ft) and the energy is weak (119). Not worth paddling out for.
If you’re a beginner, this is a no-go. The swell rarely gets over 5 ft, but when it does, like the 7 ft on the 31st of July, the wind is howling onshore, making it a messy, lumpy mess. Honestly, with that consistent cross-shore wind and lumpy chop, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
Keep the board waxed and wait for the next proper swell. The forecasts can change, but for now, it’s a long wait.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Thu morning, min 24°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Mon night. Warm (max 26°C on Sun morning, min 24°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 5 | ENE 12 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 5 | ENE 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 210 | 214 | 176 | 240 | 329 | 328 | 424 | 492 | 432 | 400 | 488 | 360 | 235 | 127 | 605 | 353 | 533 | 235 | 127 | 68 | 38 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 3:59PM0.85m | 3:31AM0.48m | 4:21PM0.82m | 4:15AM0.51m | 4:42PM0.78m | 5:03AM0.53m | 5:01PM0.72m | 6:01AM0.55m | 5:19PM0.66m | 7:14AM0.58m | 5:32PM0.59m | 8:52AM0.62m | 5:22PM0.53m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:46AM0.08m | 10:40PM0.26m | 9:19AM0.12m | 11:01PM0.24m | 9:54AM0.18m | 11:23PM0.22m | 10:31AM0.26m | 11:48PM0.19m | 11:16AM0.34m | 00:18AM0.17m | 12:17PM0.44m | 00:55AM0.15m | 2:25PM0.51m | 1:46AM0.14m | |||||||
 |  |  | | | | | |  | | | | | |  | | | | | |  | |
 | 5:58 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — |
 | — | 7:06 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:04 | — | — | 7:04 | — | — | 7:02 | — | — | 7:02 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 27 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 26 |
Feels °C | 27 | 25 | 25 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 23 | 22 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 26 | 24 | 24 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 27 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | SSW 13 | ENE 16 | E 15 | E 15 | E 14 | E 14 | E 14 | E 14 | E 14 | E 14 | ENE 13 | ENE 12 | E 13 | SSW 12 | ENE 11 | SSW 11 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | SW 15 | ENE 8 |
| kJ | 138 | 59 | 86 | 118 | 116 | 107 | 103 | 148 | 97 | 98 | 93 | 57 | 51 | 82 | 14 | 353 | 25 | 235 | 127 | 36 | 38 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | SW 18 | SSW 13 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | N 9 | SW 13 | SW 13 | N 8 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 17 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SW 15 |
| kJ | 29 | 79 | 56 | 90 | 86 | 77 | 70 | 47 | 49 | 15 | 28 | 27 | 10 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 45 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 33 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | ENE 17 | SW 16 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | N 8 | S 11 | N 10 | SW 14 | N 9 | N 8 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | W 12 | SW 17 | W 13 | SW 16 | SW 15 | W 11 | W 13 |
| kJ | 80 | 30 | 69 | 32 | 29 | 28 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 51 | 14 | 12 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 39 | 37 | 10 | 14 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 5 | ENE 12 | — | ENE 11 | — | — | ENE 5 | ENE 4 |
| kJ | 210 | 214 | 176 | 240 | 329 | 328 | 424 | 492 | 432 | 400 | 488 | 360 | 235 | 127 | 605 | — | 533 | — | — | 68 | 21 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 12 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 36 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 28 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 12 | 15 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Maui | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the JT Flemming Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for JT Flemming provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at JT Flemming can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our JT Flemming surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (JT Flemming) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for JT Flemming may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
JT Flemming is 21 km (13 miles) from Wailuku. If you plan a vacation in Maui, look for hotels and other accommodation in Wailuku. Wailuku has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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