JT Flemming Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – this is a tough stretch for JT Flemming. The whole 16-day window is a bit of a bust for a proper paddle session. The swell that does show up is mostly short-period, wind-affected slop, and the wind is locked in from the ENE, blowing cross-shore or cross-onshore the whole time, so forget about getting anything clean.

We start on Tuesday the 18th of August with a weak 4ft swell from the ENE at a pathetic 5 seconds – combined energy of just 85 – and it’s got that moderate cross-shore chop all over it. That pattern just keeps repeating. Wednesday and Thursday are even smaller, around 2ft to 4ft, with no quality at all. The wind stays on it, the period stays short, and the score never lifts off zero.

There’s a little more size later in the window – from around the 23rd onward we see pulses of 5ft to 7ft from the ENE, and the combined energy climbs into the moderate range, hitting 463 on the 29th. But the wind is still a fresh cross-shore breeze, lumping it all up. The period is still mostly short (6 to 8 seconds), so it’s just messy, blown-out junk. That 7ft on Wednesday the 26th is too big for beginners anyway, and with that chop, it’s only going to be frustrating for everyone.

Even when the period stretches a bit to 10 seconds on the 1st of September, the wind is cross-onshore, so it’s choppy. There’s no standout window. Nothing is clean. Honestly, with that consistent cross-shore wind and all that lumpy energy, this setup looks way more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

So, plain and simple: no good surf options here for the next 16 days. It’s a blank run, but that’s not unusual for this spot when the wind locks in like this. Keep the board in the car anyway – forecasts can change.

Rusty.

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