JT Flemming Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again, giving you the lowdown in feet and Fahrenheit.

Honestly, it’s a pretty bleak stretch ahead for JT Flemming. This point break is a beginner-friendly spot, but it rarely breaks, and over this 16-day window it just isn’t doing its thing. The wind is almost always a cross-shore breeze, and often a fresh one at that, which is a real killer for getting any kind of clean face. We’ve got a long gap here with no real surf to get excited about.

The water is sitting at about 80°F, which is pretty normal for this time of year – nothing unusual there.

We kick off Wednesday the 12th of August, but it’s all “poor surf conditions” from the get-go. Wednesday morning has a weak 4ft swell from the ENE with a short, snappy period of only 5 seconds, and the energy is a pathetic 89. It’s not going to do anything. The wind is a moderate cross-shore at 16 mph, just chopping it up. That theme carries right through the rest of the week. Swell heights bob around 4ft to 7ft, but the period stays short and the wind stays ugly.

We get a bit of a spike on Saturday the 15th of August. The swell jumps to a powerful 10ft from the ENE with a much longer period of 11 seconds and a combined energy of 1758 – that is serious power. But don’t get your hopes up. The wind is a strong cross-shore at 25 mph and there are rain showers. That’s a messy, dangerous lineup for a beginner spot. At over 8ft, this is for experts only, and with that wind, it’s more of a kite-surfing show than a paddle session.

Sunday the 16th of August is the only day that looks even remotely surfable. The morning swell is still a solid 8ft from the ENE, and the wind finally swings to a cross-offshore from the East at 25 mph, cleaning it up. The afternoon gets even better with the wind dropping to 12 mph and swinging more offshore from the ESE. The swell drops to 7ft and the energy is a moderate 608. It’s still a big, powerful wave for a beginner spot, and the forecast only gives it a marginal call due to questionable tide, but that Sunday afternoon window is the closest thing to a standout in this whole run. After that, it’s back to small, weak, and windy slop right through to the end of the month.

So, to be straight with you – this isn’t the time for JT Flemming. Keep the board in the car and check back later. Forecasts can change, but right now, the only real window is that Sunday afternoon.

Rusty.

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