
Surf Forecasts:
JT Flemming surf forecast from 23 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 30 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 9s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 27 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 13s period, ENE swell with 1,226 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 30 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 9s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for JT Flemming this week:
The surf forecast for JT Flemming over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at JT Flemming in the next 16 days are 1.9m 13s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 27) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 11s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 2AM.
| Wave Type | Time (HST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Mon 27th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for JT Flemming over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let me tell you straight up – this is a tough stretch for JT Flemming. I'm looking at the next 16 days, and honestly, it's a real struggle just to find a window worth paddling out for. This break is a point that rarely breaks, and when it does, the conditions are just not cooperating.
For the first week, from Thursday the 23rd of July all the way through to the 31st, the wind is just relentless. Every day is a cross or cross-on breeze, gusting 18 to 22 mph. It's blowing the surface into a lumpy, cross-chop mess. The swell is there, with heights around 5 ft to 6 ft, but the quality is shot. The combined energy is moderate (between 160 and 353), but it's all for nothing with that wind. There's a brief moment on the morning of Thursday the 30th of July where the wind switches to a gentle offshore from the SSE, but the swell drops to a tiny 3 ft with a short period of 8 seconds. The energy is weak (174) and the report says the waves are "surfable but very ordinary." It's a window, but it's a thin one, and you'd be fighting a lot of chop for a pretty average wave.
Then we hit a real dead zone. From Friday the 31st of July right through the first week of August, the forecast is just poor. Swell heights bottom out at 1.0 ft on the 1st of August, with a combined energy of a pathetic 11. It's a total blank. The wind stays a fresh cross-shore, and the "poor surf conditions" tag is stuck on every single session.
The only glimmer of real hope is way out there, on the 3rd of August. The morning session shows a long-period groundswell hitting 16 seconds, with a combined energy of 662 (strong). The swell is only 3 ft, but that period is a sign of real energy. But here's the catch – the wind is still a fresh 18 mph cross-shore, and the report still says "poor surf conditions." It's a tease. That long period would be beautiful on a point if the wind was clean. The 5th of August afternoon also shows a 5 ft swell with an 11-second period and 645 energy, but again, the wind is a moderate cross-shore.
So, looking at the whole 16-day picture, there's no standout. There's no day where you can confidently say, "This is the one." The best bet is that Thursday morning, the 30th of July, with the gentle offshore wind. It's not much, but it's the only time the wind is on your side. For the rest of it, with the strong, gusty winds and the beach-break-prone nature of the swell, this setup honestly looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. We're in a quiet spell, and it's going to take a big shift in the weather pattern to get any real quality.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Thu morning, min 24°C on Thu night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Warm (max 25°C on Sun morning, min 24°C on Sun morning). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 6 | ENE 12 | ENE 12 | NE 12 | NNE 7 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
165 | 160 | 122 | 229 | 290 | 250 | 262 | 353 | 284 | 229 | 318 | 242 | 235 | 161 | 692 | 988 | 887 | 107 | 260 | 258 | 151 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 12:31PM0.70m | 1:09PM0.75m | 1:43PM0.79m | 11:58PM0.37m | 2:14PM0.82m | 00:51AM0.39m | 2:43PM0.84m | 1:33AM0.41m | 3:10PM0.86m | 2:12AM0.43m | 3:35PM0.86m | 2:50AM0.46m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 4:37AM0.16m | 5:33AM0.14m | 9:22PM0.34m | 6:21AM0.10m | 9:28PM0.33m | 7:02AM0.07m | 9:43PM0.31m | 7:39AM0.06m | 10:01PM0.30m | 8:13AM0.06m | 10:20PM0.28m | ||||||||||
5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | |
— | 7:08 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:06 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Temp °C | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 26 |
Feels °C | 23 | 22 | 23 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 27 | 27 | 28 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 20 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | E 14 | E 14 | E 14 | E 14 | E 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | E 11 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 |
154 | 97 | 159 | 154 | 147 | 65 | 100 | 204 | 204 | 142 | 195 | 232 | 297 | 340 | 80 | 61 | 63 | 358 | 260 | 258 | 151 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 14 | ENE 10 | S 12 | S 12 | SSW 12 | SW 19 | E 13 | E 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | NNE 10 | SE 5 | NNE 9 | SSW 14 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 |
23 | 32 | 20 | 26 | 25 | 28 | 96 | 30 | 67 | 175 | 146 | 140 | 85 | 84 | 192 | 1 | 8 | 63 | 101 | 82 | 91 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | S 13 | SW 15 | SSW 21 | SSW 17 | E 14 | S 11 | E 12 | S 11 | S 10 | SE 6 | S 10 | S 10 | SW 14 | S 10 | E 12 | — | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 |
40 | 41 | 31 | 8 | 44 | 55 | 33 | 10 | 25 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 3 | — | 63 | 63 | 57 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 6 | ENE 12 | ENE 12 | NE 12 | NNE 7 | — | N 3 | — |
165 | 160 | 122 | 229 | 290 | 250 | 262 | 353 | 284 | 229 | 318 | 242 | 235 | 161 | 692 | 988 | 887 | 107 | — | 7 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 15 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 12 | 36 | 28 | 5 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Maui | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the JT Flemming Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for JT Flemming provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at JT Flemming can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our JT Flemming surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (JT Flemming) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for JT Flemming may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
JT Flemming is 21 km (13 miles) from Wailuku. If you plan a vacation in Maui, look for hotels and other accommodation in Wailuku. Wailuku has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










