Surf Forecasts:
JT Flemming surf forecast from 14 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 15 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 7s period, NE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 7s period, ENE swell with 379 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 15 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 7s period with NE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for JT Flemming this week:
The surf forecast for JT Flemming over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at JT Flemming in the next 16 days are 1.9m 7s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.8m 6s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 19) at 2AM.
| Wave Type | Time (HST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Wed 15th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Wed 15th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 5AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for JT Flemming over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the table for the next couple of weeks.
Honestly, it's a bit of a tough stretch for the paddle crew. The one spot we've got to look at is JT Flemming, and right from the start, the outlook is grim. This is a point break that is described as rarely breaks, so it takes a special set of conditions to get it going. We're looking at a solid 16-day window here, and for the first two weeks, there's just nothing doing. The forecast is calling it "poor surf conditions" day after day with cross-shore winds constantly chopping things up. We're talking about a full 14 days of flat, messy, or just plain ugly conditions. The wind is a persistent cross-shore, never giving us a clean window.
The first real glimmer of hope doesn't show up until Tuesday, the 28th of July. That's a long way off, so keep that in mind. Even then, it's not a full green light. The call is "marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions." The combined swell energy is looking strong at (1019) on Tuesday morning, with a solid 5ft of swell from the ENE. The period is a very long 14 seconds, which is pure groundswell. That's a great sign for a point break like JT Flemming, but it's a caveat at a beach break. The wind is still cross-shore though, so we're not getting the clean, glassy face we'd want. The size is just over the 5ft mark, so it's getting a bit too big for the beginners, but the pros will be eyeing it.
Wednesday the 29th of July follows a similar pattern. Swell holds at 6ft in the morning from the ENE with a 12-second period, combined energy is still very strong at (984). Again, cross-shore wind. The water temp is a warm 79°, which is about average for the time of year, so no drama there.
So, what's the standout? It's Tuesday the 28th of July, purely because it's the first day with any real energy and a decent long-period swell. But you have to be realistic about it. The wind is against us, and it's a "rarely breaks" spot. The crowds are listed as "sometimes," so you might get a few others with the same idea. If you're desperate for a wave, that's your window, but don't expect perfection. For the rest of the run, it's a long, blank wait. The setup here looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer given the persistent cross-shore breeze and the lumpy conditions.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Wed afternoon. Warm (max 25°C on Tue afternoon, min 24°C on Tue morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the E on Wed morning, fresh winds from the ENE by Thu afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Fri morning, min 24°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 7 | NE 7 | NE 7 | WNW 15 | NE 7 | WNW 15 | W 14 | ENE 6 | W 14 | W 14 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | WNW 13 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 5 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 88 | 285 | 121 | 174 | 162 | 169 | 150 | 170 | 104 | 101 | 154 | 97 | 120 | 100 | 33 | 300 | 274 | 213 | 95 | 164 | 127 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 3:46PM0.98m | 2:55AM0.43m | 4:22PM0.94m | 3:49AM0.45m | 4:56PM0.89m | 4:46AM0.47m | 5:25PM0.81m | 5:48AM0.49m | 5:50PM0.73m | 7:00AM0.51m | 6:08PM0.65m | 8:30AM0.54m | 6:15PM0.57m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:09AM-0.03m | 10:45PM0.27m | 8:55AM0.00m | 11:17PM0.26m | 9:39AM0.07m | 11:48PM0.24m | 10:22AM0.16m | 00:19AM0.22m | 11:05AM0.26m | 00:50AM0.21m | 11:54AM0.37m | 1:21AM0.20m | 1:02PM0.46m | 1:57AM0.19m | |||||||
 |  |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — |
 | — | 7:10 | — | — | 7:10 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:08 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 24 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 24 |
Feels °C | 24 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 25 | 24 | 22 | 24 | 23 | 24 | 22 | 24 | 24 | 22 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | W 16 | NE 7 | NE 7 | W 15 | WNW 15 | NNE 7 | W 14 | W 14 | W 14 | W 14 | WNW 13 | WNW 13 | NNE 8 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | S 16 | S 16 | S 15 |
| kJ | 29 | 131 | 121 | 53 | 159 | 169 | 43 | 148 | 104 | 101 | 98 | 60 | 57 | 21 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 25 | 46 | 79 | 68 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | W 15 | WNW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | W 14 | SW 13 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | SW 16 | NNE 7 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | WNW 13 | W 12 | W 12 | S 17 | SSW 12 | WSW 18 | SW 16 |
| kJ | 93 | 91 | 118 | 174 | 97 | 119 | 150 | 44 | 18 | 17 | 40 | 17 | 35 | 69 | 33 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 26 | 31 | 42 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 16 | SW 19 | SW 13 | N 7 | SW 18 | SW 19 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SSW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WNW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | S 18 | W 12 | WSW 18 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 |
| kJ | 53 | 58 | 42 | 26 | 49 | 15 | 46 | 75 | 37 | 64 | 22 | 61 | 34 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 11 | 32 | 10 | 11 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 7 | NE 7 | — | SSE 10 | NE 7 | NE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 5 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 |
| kJ | 88 | 285 | — | 19 | 162 | 105 | 50 | 170 | 78 | 90 | 154 | 97 | 120 | 100 | 239 | 300 | 274 | 213 | 95 | 164 | 127 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 7 | 12 | 0 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 28 | 12 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Maui | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the JT Flemming Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for JT Flemming provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at JT Flemming can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our JT Flemming surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (JT Flemming) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for JT Flemming may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
JT Flemming is 21 km (13 miles) from Wailuku. If you plan a vacation in Maui, look for hotels and other accommodation in Wailuku. Wailuku has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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