JT Flemming Surf Break

Lat Long: 21.01° N 156.65° W

JT Flemming Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 1 pm 22 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's JT Flemming sea temperature is
26.5° C
0.4° 

JT Flemming surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


JT Flemming surf forecast from 23 Jul 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 28 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 13s period, ENE swell with 1,226 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for JT Flemming this week:

The most powerful waves expected at JT Flemming in the next 16 days are 1.9m 13s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 12s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 2AM.

Wave TypeTime (HST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 8PM (Tue 28th Jul)6ft (1.9m) 13s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for JT Flemming over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down the only spot in the mix for the next 16 days: JT Flemming. It’s a point that rarely breaks, and honestly, this forecast is a tough one.

The whole show starts on July 22nd with nothing but poor conditions. Cross-shore ENE winds at 16 mph, bumping up all week. Swell sits between 5 ft and 6 ft, but it’s short-period junk from the ENE and NE, mostly 6 to 8 seconds. Wave energy is moderate (178–413), but with those lumpy cross-shore winds, it’s just a messy, choppy mess. From July 22nd all the way through to the morning of July 30th, there isn’t a single proper session.

The only real chance shows up on the morning of Thursday, July 30th. For a few hours we get offshore winds from the SE at 9 mph, and the surf cleans right up to “gentle offshore and clean.” The swell drops to 4 ft from the NE with an 8-second period, and wave energy is weak (227). It’s called “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions.” That afternoon the wind turns light cross-off from the ESE at 6 mph, with the swell dropping further to 4 ft and period still at 8 seconds (energy 162). It’s not going to blow your mind, but it’s the cleanest it’ll get in this whole stretch. After that, it’s back to cross-shore winds and poor surf through to August 6th.

There is a big spike in energy on July 28th (1100), but it comes with a 16 mph cross-wind and marginal conditions. Then around August 4th and 5th, we see long-period groundswell (14–16 seconds) from the ENE, with wave energy hitting 1396 on the afternoon of the 5th. That’s a serious amount of energy for that long-period swell, but the cross-shore wind just ruins it. It’s a “marginal” call at best. For a rarely-breaking point like JT Flemming, that kind of long-period swell can be too straight, needing the perfect tide and wind—and we’re not getting the wind.

The water is 80°F on the 22nd, with an anomaly of 0.7°F above normal—pretty average for this time of year.

The standout, if you can even call it that, is the morning of Thursday, July 30th. Not big, not epic, but it’s the only time the wind plays nice. A rare, clean morning at a spot that rarely breaks. If you’re local, you know the window is tiny. Don't miss it.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Thu night. Warm (max 25°C on Wed afternoon, min 24°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Sat afternoon, min 24°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds.

Wed
22
Thursday
23
Friday
24
Saturday
25
Sunday
26
Monday
27
Tuesday
28
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.7
ENE
6
0.9
ENE
6
1.5
ENE
6
1.6
ENE
6
1.2
ENE
6
1.5
ENE
7
1.9
ENE
7
1.5
ENE
8
1.6
NE
8
1.9
NE
8
1.6
NE
8
1.5
NE
8
1.9
NE
7
1.4
NE
8
1.5
NE
7
1.4
NE
6
1.2
NE
6
1.8
ENE
13
1.8
ENE
13
1.1
NE
7
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
178
59
181
179
114
204
326
257
321
413
284
248
352
204
242
141
113
1100
1100
122
Wind (km/h)
25
ENE
25
E
30
ENE
30
ENE
25
ENE
35
ENE
30
ENE
20
E
25
ENE
30
ENE
20
E
30
ENE
30
ENE
25
ENE
25
ENE
30
ENE
20
ENE
15
NE
25
NE
20
ENE
Wind State
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
High Tide
12:31PM0.70m
1:09PM0.75m
1:43PM0.79m
11:58PM0.37m
2:14PM0.82m
00:51AM0.39m
2:43PM0.84m
1:33AM0.41m
3:10PM0.86m
2:12AM0.43m
Low Tide
3:36AM0.18m
4:37AM0.16m
5:33AM0.14m
9:22PM0.34m
6:21AM0.10m
9:28PM0.33m
7:02AM0.07m
9:43PM0.31m
7:39AM0.06m
10:01PM0.30m
clear
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:56
5:56
5:56
5:58
5:58
5:58
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:08
7:08
7:07
7:07
7:07
7:07
7:07
 mm
1
3
Temp °C
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
24
25
25
25
25
26
25
Feels °C
23
23
22
22
23
23
22
23
24
23
23
23
22
22
23
23
23
26
26
25
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the JT Flemming Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for JT Flemming provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at JT Flemming can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our JT Flemming surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (JT Flemming) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for JT Flemming may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

JT Flemming is 21 km (13 miles) from Wailuku. If you plan a vacation in Maui, look for hotels and other accommodation in Wailuku. Wailuku has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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