JT Flemming Surf Break

Lat Long: 21.01° N 156.65° W

Issued: 1 pm 03 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's JT Flemming sea temperature is
26.2° C

Normal for this time of year

JT Flemming surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


JT Flemming surf forecast from 4 Jul 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 7 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 7s period, ENE swell with 452 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for JT Flemming this week:

The most powerful waves expected at JT Flemming in the next 16 days are 2.1m 7s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 17s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 05) at 5PM.

Wave TypeTime (HST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 5PM (Tue 7th Jul)7ft (2.1m) 7s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for JT Flemming over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

G’day, Rusty here. I’ve had a good look at what’s coming for JT Flemming over the next couple of weeks, and I’ve got to be straight with you – it’s a tough run. This is a point break that rarely breaks anyway, and the forecast is serving up a long, frustrating gap. There’s not a single “good surf” option in the entire 16-day window. Every single session is marked as poor surf conditions, so don’t bother getting your hopes up.

The pattern is pretty grim. From Friday July 3rd right through to Saturday July 18th, it’s all the same story. The wind is locked in from the ENE, blowing cross-shore at 15 to 22 mph, which just messes up any chance of a clean wave. The swell is hanging around 4 ft to 7 ft, coming mostly from the ENE or NE, with periods between 5 and 8 seconds – that’s short-period windswell, not the proper groundswell this place needs. The combined energy is all over the shop, from 112 (weak) up to 455 (strong), but with that wind and direction, it’s all just lumpy, cross-chop. Nothing to write home about.

There are a couple of odd days near the end. On Tuesday July 14th afternoon, and Wednesday July 15th morning, the swell drops to 2 ft but from the WNW with a period of 16 seconds – that’s a very long period groundswell. The energy is moderate (354 to 374), but the wind is still a cross-shore breeze, and the wave comment still says poor. That long-period swell would need clean offshore wind to be any good at this point break, and it’s just not there. The cross-shore ENE wind means it’s breaking too straight for a proper point wave.

On Tuesday July 14th morning there’s a bump to 5 ft from ENE, combined energy of 395 (moderate), but again, same cross-shore wind. For a spot that only gets going on a NNW optimum, having swell from ENE or NE is a total mismatch.

Water temperature is 79°F with an anomaly of 0.7°F – basically average for this time of year. No real standout there.

With no good surf on offer and the wind consistently cross-shore, I’d say this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. The only positive is that this is a rarely breaks spot, so a blank run like this is actually normal for the area. Don’t throw your board away – forecasts can change.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Fri afternoon, min 24°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Warm (max 25°C on Mon afternoon, min 24°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds.

Fri
3
Saturday
4
Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.7
ENE
8
1.4
NE
8
1.5
NE
8
1.7
NE
5
1.4
NE
8
1.4
NE
7
1.8
NE
7
1.7
NE
7
1.7
ENE
7
1.9
NE
7
1.7
ENE
7
1.6
NE
8
2.1
ENE
7
1.6
ENE
7
1.4
NE
7
1.7
ENE
7
1.4
ENE
7
1.5
ENE
7
1.6
ENE
7
1.3
ENE
7
1.2
NE
7
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
306
255
262
169
236
223
286
301
289
372
297
276
452
279
217
261
185
211
229
159
139
Wind (km/h)
25
ENE
25
ENE
25
ENE
30
ENE
25
E
30
ENE
30
ENE
30
ENE
35
ENE
35
ENE
30
ENE
35
ENE
35
ENE
30
ENE
25
ENE
30
ENE
25
E
30
ENE
30
ENE
25
E
30
ENE
Wind State
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
High Tide
5:28PM0.80m
5:09AM0.42m
5:53PM0.76m
6:18AM0.44m
6:17PM0.71m
7:47AM0.48m
6:42PM0.65m
9:30AM0.54m
7:08PM0.58m
10:59AM0.64m
7:35PM0.51m
12:03PM0.74m
12:54PM0.83m
Low Tide
00:33AM0.28m
10:35AM0.21m
1:02AM0.26m
11:16AM0.29m
1:34AM0.23m
12:14PM0.38m
2:10AM0.19m
1:57PM0.47m
2:53AM0.15m
5:00PM0.50m
3:44AM0.11m
4:39AM0.07m
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:48
5:50
5:50
5:50
5:50
5:50
5:50
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:12
7:12
7:12
7:12
7:12
7:12
7:10
7:10
 mm
1
1
3
Temp °C
25
25
25
25
24
25
25
24
25
25
24
24
25
24
24
25
24
25
25
25
25
Feels °C
23
24
23
23
22
23
22
21
21
22
21
21
22
21
21
23
22
23
23
23
24
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SW
16
0.4
NW
13
0.4
NW
12
0.4
NW
12
0.4
SSW
19
0.4
SSW
18
0.6
SSW
17
0.6
SSW
16
0.6
SSW
16
0.5
SSW
15
0.5
SSW
15
0.5
SSW
14
0.5
SSW
14
0.4
SSW
14
0.4
SSW
14
0.4
SSW
14
0.4
SSW
13
0.4
SSW
13
0.3
SSW
12
0.3
SSW
12
0.3
W
14
Energy kJ
69
56
53
52
139
123
202
173
169
128
121
120
115
74
63
62
58
54
31
29
33
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
NW
14
0.4
SW
16
0.3
SW
16
0.4
SW
15
0.4
NW
12
0.3
NW
11
0.3
NW
11
0.3
NW
11
0.1
NW
10
0.1
NW
10
0.1
NW
9
0.1
NW
9
0.1
NW
9
0.1
N
8
0.1
W
17
0.2
N
8
0.2
W
15
0.2
W
14
0.3
W
14
0.3
SSW
12
Energy kJ
29
66
40
60
48
19
19
18
4
4
3
3
3
1
6
5
17
16
34
27
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
SSW
13
0.2
SSW
12
0.4
SW
21
0.4
SW
20
0.4
SW
14
0.4
SW
14
0.1
S
13
0.2
SSW
13
0.1
SE
10
0.1
S
10
0.1
NW
10
0.2
ESE
5
0.1
S
14
0.3
SE
6
0.1
W
18
0.3
SE
5
0.1
W
16
0.1
SW
21
Energy kJ
16
15
113
97
54
53
3
16
4
2
4
2
4
5
6
4
5
18
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.7
ENE
8
1.4
NE
8
1.5
NE
8
1.7
NE
5
1.4
NE
8
1.4
NE
7
1.8
NE
7
1.7
NE
7
1.7
ENE
7
1.9
NE
7
1.7
ENE
7
1.6
NE
8
2.1
ENE
7
1.6
ENE
7
1.4
NE
7
1.7
ENE
7
1.4
ENE
7
1.5
ENE
7
1.6
ENE
7
1.3
ENE
7
1.2
NE
7
Energy kJ
306
255
262
169
236
223
286
301
289
372
297
276
452
279
217
261
185
211
229
159
139
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Distance (km)
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
14
12
12
14
14
12
12
15
14
15
12
12
Best forecast wave conditions in Maui
Rating
(10 max)
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
2
2
3
2
2
3
2
2
4
2
3
4
2
2
4
1
1
4
3
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
7
5
5
5
9
7
7
5
8
7
5
6
9
8
9
8
5
5
5
4
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the JT Flemming Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for JT Flemming provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at JT Flemming can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our JT Flemming surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (JT Flemming) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for JT Flemming may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

JT Flemming is 21 km (13 miles) from Wailuku. If you plan a vacation in Maui, look for hotels and other accommodation in Wailuku. Wailuku has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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