Surf Forecasts:
JT Flemming surf forecast from 27 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 29 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 9s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 28 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 13s period, ENE swell with 1,581 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 29 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 9s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for JT Flemming this week:
The surf forecast for JT Flemming over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at JT Flemming in the next 16 days are 2.2m 13s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.0m 13s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 2PM.
| Wave Type | Time (HST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Wed 29th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 8PM (Wed 29th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 5PM (Tue 28th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for JT Flemming over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here again, in freedom units. Let’s call a spade a spade. This 16-day outlook is a total dud for surf. I’m not seeing a single good option for a paddle.
The only break in the game is JT Flemming, a beginner point that rarely turns on. And it’s living up to that reputation big time. From July 26th all the way through to August 10th, it’s nothing but "poor surf conditions."
The wind is the main culprit. Through the end of July, it’s a relentless cross-shore from the ENE at 15 to 22 mph. That means lumpy, cross-chop – a real mess. Wave heights run from 4 ft to 6 ft, but with a weak period of 6 to 8 seconds. The combined energy stays in the moderate range, from 147 to 328. Not enough juice to clean anything up.
There’s one brief flash on the morning of August 1st. The wind turns cross-offshore and the conditions clean right up. We get a 7 ft swell from the ENE at 8 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to 508. That’s your best shot. But by the afternoon, the lumpy cross-chop is back. That’s it.
Through the first week of August, it’s more of the same: moderate to fresh cross-shore winds, lumpy surf. Wave heights drop to 3 ft by August 6th, with periods around 7-8 seconds and combined energy under 200. It’s small and weak.
The end of the forecast window, from August 8th to the 10th, doesn’t save us. Waves come up to 5 ft, but the period drops to a terrible 6 seconds. That’s pure, short-period windswell slop. The combined energy hits 327, but it’s all chop.
Water temp starts at about 80°, which is normal for this time of year.
So, the honest truth? There are no standouts. The whole 16-day period is a bust. If you’re desperate, the cleanest window is the morning of August 1st, but keep your expectations low.
Rusty, out.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Warm (max 26°C on Mon afternoon, min 24°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Thu afternoon, min 25°C on Wed morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the NE on Wed afternoon, fresh winds from the ENE by Fri morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 8 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 6 | NE 7 | NE 7 | ENE 13 | ENE 11 | NE 9 | ENE 9 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 305 | 309 | 211 | 209 | 171 | 156 | 147 | 1581 | 1198 | 526 | 203 | 216 | 165 | 249 | 199 | 261 | 328 | 344 | 508 | 583 | 512 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:14PM0.82m | 00:51AM0.39m | 2:43PM0.84m | 1:33AM0.41m | 3:10PM0.86m | 2:12AM0.43m | 3:35PM0.86m | 2:50AM0.46m | 3:59PM0.85m | 3:31AM0.48m | 4:21PM0.82m | 4:15AM0.51m | 4:42PM0.78m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:28PM0.33m | 7:02AM0.07m | 9:43PM0.31m | 7:39AM0.06m | 10:01PM0.30m | 8:13AM0.06m | 10:20PM0.28m | 8:46AM0.08m | 10:40PM0.26m | 9:19AM0.12m | 11:01PM0.24m | 9:54AM0.18m | 11:23PM0.22m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  |  |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | | |  | |
 | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — |
 | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:06 | — | — | 7:06 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 |
Temp °C | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 25 |
Feels °C | 23 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 26 | 24 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 26 | 24 | 23 | 24 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 23 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 14 | E 15 | E 14 | E 14 | E 14 | E 13 | E 13 | ENE 13 | ENE 11 | NE 9 | ENE 9 | NE 8 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | E 15 | E 15 | E 14 | E 14 | E 14 | E 14 |
| kJ | 206 | 343 | 411 | 372 | 549 | 694 | 1138 | 1581 | 1198 | 526 | 203 | 216 | 29 | 59 | 56 | 118 | 109 | 107 | 98 | 153 | 150 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | E 10 | N 7 | SSW 13 | SW 18 | SW 18 | ENE 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 175 | 146 | 140 | 85 | 84 | 68 | 61 | 63 | 75 | 92 | 108 | 58 | 80 | 79 | 85 | 90 | 85 | 77 | 51 | 47 | 50 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | — | — | NNE 7 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | WSW 19 | S 14 | ENE 17 | SW 16 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | S 12 | S 12 | N 8 | N 10 |
| kJ | 9 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | — | — | 5 | 63 | 64 | 37 | 16 | 29 | 69 | 32 | 29 | 25 | 11 | 4 | 8 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 8 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 6 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NNE 9 | N 4 | — | — | — | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
| kJ | 305 | 309 | 211 | 209 | 171 | 156 | 147 | 194 | 12 | — | — | — | 165 | 249 | 199 | 261 | 328 | 344 | 508 | 583 | 512 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 16 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 28 | 15 | 15 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Maui | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the JT Flemming Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for JT Flemming provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at JT Flemming can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our JT Flemming surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (JT Flemming) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for JT Flemming may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
JT Flemming is 21 km (13 miles) from Wailuku. If you plan a vacation in Maui, look for hotels and other accommodation in Wailuku. Wailuku has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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