Surf Forecasts:
JT Flemming surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 15 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 15s period, W swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 18 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 8s period, ENE swell with 298 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 15 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 15s period with W swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for JT Flemming this week:
The surf forecast for JT Flemming over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 1.0m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at JT Flemming in the next 16 days are 1.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 18) at 8AM.
| Wave Type | Time (HST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Wed 15th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Wed 15th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Sat 18th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for JT Flemming over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you—this stretch of coast is looking at a pretty bleak run for the next 16 days. I’ve scanned through every window and there’s just nothing that’s going to get you properly stoked. The swell is around, but the wind is a constant cross-shore problem, and the conditions are consistently labelled as poor. It’s a long gap with no real recommendations, so don’t bother checking the cam every morning.
The first real chance of anything rideable doesn’t really show itself. The whole 16-day period is a washout. The surf is almost always in the 2ft to 5ft range, but that ENE wind is relentless, blowing 12 to 22 mph straight across the break. It’s a cross-shore mess, turning the ocean into a lumpy, cross-chop nightmare. The combined wave energy stays weak to moderate, mostly between 80 and 299 (moderate energy), with one spike on the 28th of July morning hitting 583 (strong energy), but even then the wind ruins it.
This spot, JT Flemming, is a point break that rarely breaks, so you’re already fighting an uphill battle. It’s a beginner-friendly wave, but the wind is simply not playing ball. The only time the swell direction matches the optimum (NNW) is on the 15th of July morning, with a 2ft swell from the WNW at a long 15-second period. That’s a groundswell with serious potential, but it’s tiny and the wind is cross. The water temperature is about average for the time of year, no real anomaly to report.
Looking ahead, the pattern doesn’t change. The 28th of July morning has a 4ft groundswell from the ENE with a 13-second period (moderate energy at 583), but the wind is still cross-shore at 16 mph. That’s a bit of a tease—a long period swell like that could wrap nicely at a point break, but it’s coming from the wrong direction and the wind is cross. It’s a no-go.
Honestly, this setup is more interesting for the kite surfers than the paddle crew. The consistent cross-shore wind and moderate swell energy would be a dream for them. For us, it’s a long, blank run. The forecast can always change, but right now, I’d say leave the boards in the car and go do something else.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Tue night, min 24°C on Tue night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Sat morning, min 24°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tue 21 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 15 | WNW 15 | W 15 | WNW 15 | W 14 | W 14 | W 14 | ENE 7 | NE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 5 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 7 | ENE 5 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 118 | 174 | 159 | 169 | 150 | 150 | 104 | 134 | 154 | 94 | 82 | 119 | 284 | 274 | 106 | 197 | 129 | 156 | 79 | 106 | 94 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 2:55AM0.43m | 4:22PM0.94m | 3:49AM0.45m | 4:56PM0.89m | 4:46AM0.47m | 5:25PM0.81m | 5:48AM0.49m | 5:50PM0.73m | 7:00AM0.51m | 6:08PM0.65m | 8:30AM0.54m | 6:15PM0.57m | 10:16AM0.59m | 5:16PM0.52m | |||||||
Low Tide | 10:45PM0.27m | 8:55AM0.00m | 11:17PM0.26m | 9:39AM0.07m | 11:48PM0.24m | 10:22AM0.16m | 00:19AM0.22m | 11:05AM0.26m | 00:50AM0.21m | 11:54AM0.37m | 1:21AM0.20m | 1:02PM0.46m | 1:57AM0.19m | 4:25PM0.52m | |||||||
 |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:56 | — |
 | 7:10 | — | 7:10 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:08 | — | — | 7:08 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 |
Feels °C | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 23 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 25 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 7 | WNW 15 | W 15 | WNW 15 | NNE 7 | W 14 | W 14 | W 14 | W 14 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 8 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | S 16 | S 16 | S 14 | S 14 | S 14 |
| kJ | 105 | 174 | 159 | 169 | 43 | 148 | 104 | 101 | 98 | 16 | 16 | 19 | 21 | 28 | 14 | 12 | 46 | 79 | 103 | 103 | 61 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 15 | N 7 | N 8 | SW 16 | W 14 | SW 13 | NNE 7 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WNW 13 | WNW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 12 | W 12 | W 12 | W 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 10 | E 8 | E 13 | E 12 |
| kJ | 118 | 27 | 29 | 119 | 150 | 44 | 18 | 64 | 40 | 60 | 57 | 41 | 30 | 25 | 11 | 11 | 27 | 10 | 18 | 31 | 25 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 19 | SSW 13 | SW 17 | SW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 16 | SSW 13 | WNW 13 | WNW 13 | SW 14 | S 18 | S 17 | WSW 18 | WSW 18 | SW 16 | WSW 17 | SW 16 |
| kJ | 42 | 82 | 97 | 15 | 70 | 75 | 37 | 14 | 14 | 61 | 35 | 34 | 33 | 7 | 25 | 24 | 32 | 31 | 43 | 27 | 42 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NE 7 | ENE 7 | NE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | NE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 5 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 7 | ENE 5 |
| kJ | — | 53 | 102 | 102 | 45 | 150 | 87 | 134 | 154 | 94 | 82 | 119 | 284 | 274 | 106 | 197 | 129 | 156 | 79 | 106 | 94 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 12 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Maui | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the JT Flemming Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for JT Flemming provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at JT Flemming can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our JT Flemming surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (JT Flemming) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for JT Flemming may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
JT Flemming is 21 km (13 miles) from Wailuku. If you plan a vacation in Maui, look for hotels and other accommodation in Wailuku. Wailuku has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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