Surf Forecasts:
JT Flemming surf forecast from 4 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 4 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 11s period, ENE swell with 489 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for JT Flemming this week:
The most powerful waves expected at JT Flemming in the next 16 days are 1.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 08) at 2AM.
| Wave Type | Time (HST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Tue 4th Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for JT Flemming over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Look, I’m not going to sugarcoat it. The next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim for a proper paddle. JT Flemming is a point break that rarely breaks, and it’s living up to that reputation right now. The wind is stuck in a cross-shore pattern that’s keeping everything chopped up and messy. You’re not getting any clean faces, just lumpy, cross-chop conditions that will have you fighting the board more than riding it.
The first few days are a total write-off. Tuesday through Friday, the swell is small and weak, with that easterly wind making a mess of things. The energy is all over the place, sometimes as low as 46, and the period is short, so it’s just not doing anything for this spot. It’s a classic case of ‘looks like there’s waves, but they’re not surfable.’ The water temp is 80° Fahrenheit, which is about average for the time of year, nothing special there.
The weekend isn't any better. Saturday and Sunday see a bit more size, but the wind stays cross and the period is still too short. The energy picks up a little, but it’s still poor surf conditions across the board. You’d be better off doing something else.
Next week, the wind doesn’t let up. Monday through Thursday, it’s the same story: cross-shore breeze, lumpy conditions, and a swell that’s there but not doing anything for the break. The energy starts to build a bit, but the period is still short, so it’s just not worth the paddle out.
The only time things even get close to interesting is around the 17th of August, which is next Monday. The swell jumps up to 10 feet and the energy gets strong, hitting 1231. But even then, the wind is still cross, and the period is only 9 seconds. It’s going to be a big, messy, closed-out mess. Maybe interesting for a kite surfer, but for a paddle surfer, it’s a no-go. The afternoon gets a marginal call, but it's a stretch.
After that, it backs off a little into the middle of the week, but the wind is still on it. The bottom line is, there’s no good surf in this 16-day window. The spot is rarely breaking, and the conditions are just not aligning. It’s a blank run, which isn’t unusual for this area. Forecasts can change, but right now, keep the board in the car and don’t get your hopes up.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Tue morning, min 24°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sun morning. Warm (max 26°C on Sat afternoon, min 24°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | NE 9 | NE 8 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 4 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | NE 11 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 281 | 433 | 245 | 151 | 281 | 158 | 83 | 59 | 38 | 19 | 74 | 18 | 123 | 158 | 208 | 234 | 254 | 226 | 226 | 218 | 188 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 5:32PM0.59m | 8:52AM0.62m | 5:22PM0.53m | 10:39AM0.68m | 11:54AM0.76m | 12:46PM0.84m | 10:49PM0.35m | 1:30PM0.90m | 00:21AM0.38m | 2:09PM0.93m | 1:21AM0.43m | ||||||||||
Low Tide | 12:17PM0.44m | 00:55AM0.15m | 2:25PM0.51m | 1:46AM0.14m | 2:57AM0.12m | 4:17AM0.10m | 8:48PM0.34m | 5:29AM0.06m | 8:51PM0.31m | 6:28AM0.03m | 9:09PM0.28m | ||||||||||
 | |  |  | | | | | | | |  | | | |  | |  | | | | |
 | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — |
 | — | 7:02 | — | — | 7:02 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 7:00 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 26 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 |
Feels °C | 27 | 27 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 24 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 11 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | ENE 9 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | NNW 7 | NE 7 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SSW 12 | SW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 |
| kJ | 281 | 25 | 24 | 151 | 36 | 34 | 33 | 33 | 11 | 13 | 29 | 47 | 53 | 50 | 78 | 71 | 30 | 65 | 43 | 89 | 87 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | W 13 | SW 16 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | W 12 | W 11 | NNW 8 | SW 14 | SW 14 | NNW 7 | NE 11 | SW 14 | NE 9 | SW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 16 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | W 10 | W 10 |
| kJ | 27 | 13 | 39 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 33 | 30 | 5 | 18 | 29 | 14 | 44 | 34 | 41 | 14 | 28 | 8 | 8 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | SW 17 | W 12 | SW 15 | W 12 | SSW 10 | S 10 | W 12 | W 11 | NE 10 | WSW 20 | SW 19 | N 7 | SW 13 | W 10 | W 12 | W 11 | W 11 | SW 16 | N 9 | SSW 11 |
| kJ | 46 | 44 | 11 | 37 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 39 | 59 | 4 | 26 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 6 | 12 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | ENE 11 | ENE 10 | — | NE 9 | NE 8 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 4 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 |
| kJ | — | 433 | 245 | — | 281 | 158 | 83 | 59 | 38 | 19 | 74 | 84 | 123 | 158 | 208 | 234 | 254 | 226 | 226 | 218 | 188 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 12 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 36 | 12 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Maui | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the JT Flemming Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for JT Flemming provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at JT Flemming can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our JT Flemming surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (JT Flemming) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for JT Flemming may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
JT Flemming is 21 km (13 miles) from Wailuku. If you plan a vacation in Maui, look for hotels and other accommodation in Wailuku. Wailuku has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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