Horace Caldwell Pier Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you. I’ve looked at the charts for the next couple of weeks, and I’m not gonna sugarcoat it: it’s looking pretty bleak out there for a proper paddle. We’ve got a long stretch of small, weak, and mostly onshore wind swell, and the call is to keep the board in the car for most of it unless you’re just desperate for a splash.

The whole first week is basically a write-off. We’re looking at a run of days with poor surf conditions and scores that don’t move the needle. The swell is tiny, coming in from the SSE to SE, and the periods are short – around 5 to 6 seconds. That’s just wind chop, not real surf. The wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, so it’s going to be bumpy and messy. The swell energy is weak, mostly in the 20s and 30s, and the wave comment is consistently "poor surf conditions." There’s real nothing to get excited about. The first recommendation we see doesn’t even get a score until the 13th, and even then, it’s a zero.

Now, for the first break we talk about, Horace Caldwell Pier, the water temp is pretty much average for this time of year, which is a small mercy.

So, we’re looking at a solid blank run for the first chunk of the window. From the 5th through to the 12th, there is absolutely nothing on offer. It’s small, it’s weak, and it’s messy. I’d say give it a miss. Don’t even bother checking the cam.

Things don't really improve much as we head into the second week. Around Thursday the 14th, there’s a slight bump in size, with the swell pushing up to 3.6ft. The energy also climbs a touch, getting into the low hundreds (119) which is at least moderate, but the direction is still from the SE and the period is still a short 6 seconds. It’s still all onshore wind, so it’s going to be a messy, jumbled shorebreak. It is not going to be a good day. It’s still a zero for us.

The pattern continues right through to the end of the window on the 20th. The swell stays small, mostly under 3ft, and the wind is generally from the SSE or SE, blowing onshore. The periods are short, and the energy is weak. There are a few moments with lighter winds, like on the morning of the 15th, but the swell is just too small and weak to make anything of it. The entire 16-day stretch is a big, fat zero for surf quality.

Honestly, there are no standouts here. There’s nothing that’s going to be worth the paddle out. This is a classic case where the lack of any decent swell and the persistent onshore flow leaves us high and dry. The conditions are more suited to a kite surfer than a surfer, especially when that wind gets up and the surf is messy and small.

Hang tight, check back later. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a no-go.

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