El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on offer for this stretch of coast.

Honestly, it's a tough run. This whole forecast window is a bit of a drag. El Muelle is a reef and point set-up that really wants a good clean pulse, but the wind is just relentless. From Friday, July 3rd right through to Saturday, July 18th, it’s one scrappy, blown-out report after another. There are no standout days, no real windows of clean surf. You're looking at a solid two weeks of small, choppy, and onshore conditions. Not much to get excited about at all.

The water is about average for this time of year, so no wetsuit surprises at least.

The first few days are the most frustrating. Friday, July 3rd and Saturday, July 4th have a little 3ft to 4ft swell from the north, but the wind is cross-onshore from the northwest at 9 mph, making it messy and chunky. The combined energy is moderate, but with that wind chop, the quality just isn't there. Sunday the 5th drops off to 2ft to 3ft, and the wind picks up to 16 mph. It's small and scrappy. By Monday, July 6th, we’re down to 1ft to 2ft. Not worth paddling out.

The middle of the week from Tuesday, July 8th to Friday, July 10th teases with a little more size on the 10th, 4ft from the north, but again it's all cross-onshore or onshore wind. The period is short, so it's weak, bumpy, and just not fun.

There is a slight bump around Sunday, July 12th into Monday, July 13th. The swell hangs around 3ft to 4ft. But again, it's onshore wind from the north at 9 to 16 mph, so what should be a little push gets chopped up. The swell direction is from the north, which is a touch off optimum for this break, and the period is still short, so the waves won't have much shape or power.

The second week is more of the same. From Wednesday, July 15th to Friday, July 17th, we see a steady 4ft from the north with an 8-second period. It sounds promising, but the wind is again onshore from the north at 12 mph. It's just a constant, choppy mess.

The very tail end of the forecast on Saturday, July 18th sees the swell nudge up to 5ft from the north with an 8-second period. That’s the biggest pulse of the whole run. But, and it’s a big but, the wind is still onshore from the north at 16 mph. At that size, with that wind, the break is likely to be a messy, blown-out wall. It's a real shame because there's some juice there, but the conditions won't let it shine. Honestly, with that much wind and a beach/reef setup, this looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

In short, save your energy. There are no quality windows here. You'll be fighting the wind every session. Forecasts can change, but right now, this stretch is a firm pass.

- Rusty

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