El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right now, it’s pretty flat and messy out at El Muelle. We’ve got some weak, short-period swell pushing in from the NNW, but the wind is cross-onshore and there’s just no push. The combined energy is sitting down around 90, which is weak, and the surf is only around 2ft. Honestly, Tuesday’s a write-off – you’d be fighting ripples for nothing.

That carries through Wednesday and into Thursday. The swell stays small, under 3ft, and the northerly wind keeps it onshore. The energy bumps up a bit Thursday morning – around 281 (moderate) – but the period drops to 7 seconds, so it’s steep, crumbly, and messy. Not worth suiting up unless you’re desperate for a paddle.

Friday’s a bit more interesting. The swell climbs to around 5ft from the north, and the energy is solidly moderate – 407 in the morning. But the wind is still onshore at 25 km/h, so it’ll be choppy and lumpy. The period lengthens to 9-10 seconds, which gives it a bit more shape, but the conditions are holding it back. Still, if you’re keen, there might be a few workable ones for the better surfers.

Saturday sees the same kind of swell – 4-5ft, north, period around 9 seconds – but the energy is mixed, 366 in the morning and 450 in the afternoon. The wind eases a little, but it’s still cross-onshore. Not clean, but there’s more push than earlier in the week. I’d say it’s still marginal, though – the “poor surf conditions” tag is telling.

Then we hit a bit of a lull from Sunday through to Tuesday morning. The swell drops back to 2-3ft, the period stretches out to 12-14 seconds, which is nice groundswell, but the energy falls off and the wind keeps swinging cross-onshore. Sunday morning is the only real highlight – the swell is around 3ft, period 14 seconds, and the wind is light from the NE, almost glassy at times. That’s the best of the week, but it’s still only around 3ft – it’s tiny. You’d be on a longboard, picking off clean little runners if you time the tide right.

The rest of that stretch – Monday, Tuesday – is poor. The swell pushes up a bit on Tuesday the 29th – around 6ft from the north, period 9 seconds, energy up to 518 (strong) – but the wind is onshore at 20-25 km/h, so it’s going to be a messy, wind-blown mess. Not worth it unless you’re a glutton for punishment.

So, the real standout in this whole 16-day run is Sunday the 20th morning. It’s not big – 3ft – but the long 14-second period means it’s got real shape, and with light NE winds, it’ll be glassy. If you can get out on a high tide, there might be some clean little walls on the point. That’s the one to aim for.

Other than that, there’s nothing else that’s going to get the heart racing. The end of the second week – around the 28th and 29th – has a pulse of energy, but it’s all onshore junk. For beginners, anything over 5ft is going to be too much, and that 6ft day on Tuesday the 29th is definitely not for anyone who’s not experienced. The period is short, so it’ll be dumpy and steep.

Water temp is about average for this time of year – nothing crazy. Just the usual warmish water.

So, bottom line: if you can make Sunday the 20th work, do it. It’s the only clean, glassy window with a little bit of groundswell. The rest is either flat, windy, or both. Come Tuesday the 29th, the swell is there but it’s not user-friendly – leave it for the experts or don’t bother.

Rusty out.

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