El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Okay folks, let’s be straight with you – it’s a tough stretch ahead for the lineup. Looking at the whole picture, there’s nothing on the horizon that’s going to have you calling in sick. We’ve got a long, flat, and bumpy road for the next couple of weeks, with just a glimmer of hope way down the line.

For the first several days, right through the coming week, it’s pretty grim. We're looking at weak, short-period swell, mostly coming from the north. The winds are a constant problem too, blowing onshore or cross-onshore, which is just going to chop up whatever tiny bumps we get. The wave energy is weak, often in the 100-180 range (for example, 163 on Friday morning), which just isn't enough to do anything. Water temps are running about 2° warmer than usual, which is noticeable but not crazy. It's about 74°, but the surf just isn't there.

We’ll see a slight bump in energy around the 21st and 22nd, with the swell pushing to maybe 4ft from the north, but the period is still short and the wind stays messy. It’s still going to be poor. The gap with no real surf options stretches for over a week. The 25th and 26th look a little more interesting on paper, with the swell picking up to 5ft, but again, short period and cross-onshore winds will spoil it. It’ll be lumpy and hard to ride, not the clean, offshore lines we want.

The one event that stands out as promising, but we have to wait a long while for it, is around the 29th of August. We could see the swell build to 5ft to 5ft from the north, and the energy really jumps up, hitting a strong 408. That’s the most powerful swell in the whole window, for sure. But even then, the wind is forecast to be a fresh onshore breeze, so it’s going to be raw and challenging. This will be one for experienced surfers only. For everyone else, it’s still park it.

So, here’s the deal. There are no good surf options in this 16-day window for El Muelle. It’s a blank run. But remember, this spot is generally consistent, so it tends not to stay poor for long. Forecasts can change, and that 29th might clean up, but as it stands now, keep the board in the car and the wax in the drawer. If you’re desperate, the setup with that strong north wind and building swell might be worth looking at for a kite session rather than a paddle.

This is Rusty, signing off. Stay patient.

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