El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's cookin' for El Muelle over the next couple of weeks.

Well, I gotta be straight with you – it’s a tough stretch ahead. Looking at the whole picture, the wind is just gonna be a constant pain. We’ve got a solid run of northerly winds that are either onshore or cross-onshore for the entire 16-day window, and the surf itself is never really clean. It’s a pretty bleak run, to be honest.

Starting from Monday the 3rd of August, we’ve got small, weak swell rolling in. We’re talking 3 ft from the north with a short, weak period of 6 seconds. The combined wave energy is weak too, around 108. Add in a moderate onshore breeze, and it’s just poor surf conditions. That sets the tone for the whole week. Tuesday and Wednesday are the same story – swell bumps up a touch to 4 ft on Wednesday morning, but the wind is still cross-onshore and choppy, making it a no-go. Thursday through to the weekend sees the swell building a bit, hitting 5 ft by Saturday the 8th, with the energy climbing into the moderate range (362). But that wind just doesn't let up – it’s onshore and fresh all day. The water temp is sitting at 73°, which is about normal for the time of year, not that it’ll make the choppy conditions any more fun.

We head into the second week, and honestly, it’s more of the same. The wind stays relentless from the north, with speeds of 12-19 mph. The swell holds in the 3 ft to 4 ft range for a lot of the week, with wave energy sometimes dropping back under 100. There’s a little pulse of energy on Saturday the 15th, with 5 ft swell and the energy jumping up to a strong 566, but again, it’s blown out by onshore winds. The pattern is just broken. For a reef and point break like El Muelle, that northerly wind direction isn't doing us any favors – it’s not the clean offshore that spot needs to shine.

Honestly, there are no standouts here. Not a single morning or afternoon in the entire 16-day window gets a decent rating. The wind is constantly on it, and the swell never really organises into something that would make up for it. This is a blank run, plain and simple. For an area like this, when the wind sets in from the north for that long, it’s a normal part of the season. You just have to wait for it to switch.

Keep your chin up, though. Forecasts can change, and it never stays poor forever.

Rusty.

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