El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, I’ve looked through the charts for El Muelle. It’s a reef and point set-up that’s fairly exposed to the swell, and typically works best when the swell is from the NNW. The water temp is sitting at a pretty standard 72° right now, which is about average for this time of year.

Right now, there’s not much to get excited about. The first few days are flat or real weak. We’ve got a long gap of poor surf conditions stretching right through the first week, and honestly, it doesn’t look like it’ll break that spell for a while.

The first sign of anything half-decent shows up on the morning of Sunday, July 12th, when we see a bit of a bump – swell around 3 ft from the NNW, with a period of 8 seconds. The energy is moderate (166), but the wind is onshore and the wave comment says it’s poor. It’s not going to be a day to call in sick for.

Things pick up slightly by the afternoon of the 12th, with a 3 ft NNW swell and a 10-second period, which gives a bit more shape. Energy is moderate at 213. But again, the wind is blowing from the north, which is onshore here, so it’ll be messy.

We really don’t see anything worth paddling out for until the morning of Thursday, July 24th. That morning, the swell builds to 5 ft from the north, with an 8-second period, and the energy is strong at 322. The wind is from the NNW at 9 mph, which is actually offshore for El Muelle. That’s the standout window. It’s about a week and a half away, so long-range, but if it holds, it’ll be the cleanest surf we’ve seen in the whole outlook.

After that, the afternoon of the 24th gets a bit bigger with 6 ft from the north (387 energy), but the wind swings cross-onshore, so it’ll get choppy. It’s a solid swell, but the conditions won’t be as good as the morning session.

Overall, the forecast is a long, slow grind. The only real standout is that Thursday morning, July 24th, at dawn. If you can wait that long, that’s the one to aim for.

Rusty.

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