El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s look at what’s on offer for El Muelle over the next couple of weeks. Straight up – I’ve got to be honest with you, there’s not a single good surf session in this entire 16-day window. The forecast is a long run of poor surf conditions, and I can’t recommend any of it. That’s a bummer, but don’t lose hope – El Muelle is a consistent reef-and-point break that usually delivers, so this kind of blank run is a bit unusual. The forecasts can change, and it tends not to stay this poor for long.

The main problem is the wind. This spot loves a south offshore, but every day we’ve got wind blowing from the north-northeast, north, or north-northwest – that’s onshore or cross-onshore for most of the period. The swell is coming from the north and north-northeast, which isn’t the optimum northwest direction either. The set waves are mostly around 3ft to 5ft, with a short period of 6–8 seconds – weak, choppy energy. Even on the 26th of July, when the swell bumps up to 7ft from the north-northeast with a better 9-second period and the combined energy hits 761 (moderate to strong), the wind is still howling onshore at 15–22 mph, so it’s just messy. The water temperature is 73°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – about 3° above average – but that’s the only bright spot.

There’s no day that stands out. The nearest thing to a possible window might be around the 29th of July when the wind drops to 12 mph, but it’s still onshore and the swell is small. Honestly, if you’re desperate for a paddle, you could try the early mornings when the breeze is a little lighter, but the quality will be poor. This setup actually looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing – the onshore wind and consistent swell energy would give you something to work with. But for a clean surf session? Not happening. Hold tight, keep an eye on the forecasts, and maybe the next run will bring that south offshore we’re dreaming of.

Rusty.

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