El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this outlook is a tough one. We’re looking at a 16-day window for El Muelle, and honestly, every single session is flagged as "poor surf conditions" with a score of zero. The truth is, there’s nothing worth paddling out for in the entire forecast period.

The first couple of days are a write-off. Friday the 21st through Sunday the 23rd of August, we’re seeing weak, short-period windswell from the north, around 3 ft to 4 ft, with periods of just 6 to 10 seconds. The swell energy is weak too, ranging from 104 to 169 in the brackets. On top of that, the wind is onshore from the north, making it choppy and grovelly. Not a single window to get excited about.

There’s a slight bump in swell energy around Sunday afternoon, the 23rd, when a longer-period swell from the NNW kicks in at 15 seconds and the energy jumps to 504. But the swell height is only 3 ft, and the wind turns cross-onshore, leaving the surf messy and lumpy. It’s still a no-go.

Moving into the next week, Monday the 24th sees the biggest swell height of the whole run at 5 ft from the NNW, with energy hitting 619. But the wind is still onshore, and the period drops to 12 seconds. The surf is still rated poor. By Tuesday the 25th, it’s back to 4 ft with a 10-second period, still onshore wind. The following days don’t get any better: the wind picks up, with gusts up to 25 mph on Friday the 28th, making conditions messy and cross-onshore.

The end of August and start of September is more of the same. On Saturday the 29th, we see a 7 ft swell from the north with energy of 845, which is moderate-high energy, but the wind is cross-onshore at 19 mph, and the period is only 10 seconds. The surf is still poor. Sunday the 30th has 6 ft swell with a short 8-second period, and the wind is onshore again. It’s a frustrating pattern.

Even into the first week of September, the swell stays small, the period is short, and the wind is almost always onshore or cross-onshore. The last few days on the 4th and 5th of September show 5 ft swell from the north with an 8-second period, but the wind is onshore at 19-22 mph, so it’s just lumpy and messy.

The water temperature anomaly is marked as "-", which means it’s about average for the time of year at El Muelle. Nothing to write home about there.

So, bottom line: there are no good surf options in this 16-day window. The entire forecast is blank. For an area that’s usually consistent, this is a rare dry spell. Sometimes it just happens, and the best call is to leave the board in the car and wait for the next swell. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a flat-out strikeout.

Rusty.

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