El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's been brewing for El Muelle, 'cause I gotta be straight with you – it's not going to be a pretty picture for the next sixteen days.

The forecast is a long, drawn-out stretch of frustration. The swell direction is working against us, with the wind piling on the misery. The whole period is one long gap; I don't have a single recommendation to give you. Not one. When you're looking at a spot like El Muelle, which is a consistent reef and point, to see this much "poor surf conditions" in a row is pretty bleak. It's not like the surf never comes here; it's just not coming during this forecast window.

We kick off on Friday the 28th of August with a cross-on fresh breeze kicking up a lumpy mess. There's a 5ft swell from the north, but with a short 6-second period and a combined energy of 184 (moderate) it's just ugly. This pattern sticks with us. The swell sticks around the 4ft to 6ft mark for the first week, but the wind never gives us a break. It's either onshore or cross-onshore, mostly from the north or north-northeast, at 15 to 22 mph. The swell period finally stretches out to 11 seconds by the 29th, lifting the energy to 819 (strong), but the wind still ruins it. It's all just junk for beginner surfers and experts alike.

As we roll into the first week of September, the swell drops off, but the onshore wind doesn't let up. We're looking at 3ft to 5ft windswell with short periods, and the combined energy drops back into the low hundreds. That's weak wave energy (177-289). Nothing to get excited about.

The second week gets even smaller. From the 4th of September through to the 10th, the swell sinks from 4ft down to 1ft. The combined energy drops into double digits, like 93 and 87, which is weak. The only window of half-decent wind is on the morning of the 10th of September, where we see a light west-southwest breeze going cross-offshore. But that's the only clean moment, and the swell is down to 2ft from the north at 9 seconds. It's simply too small to even bother paddling out. There's a glimmer of a very long-period groundswell on the 6th of September, 14-16 seconds, but it's coming from the north-northwest with only 1ft to 2ft of swell and a cross-on wind. That period and direction might work at a point or reef, but there's just barely any height to work with. The last few days of the outlook are the same story: tiny swell and clean wind is a rare and brief visitor.

To be honest, setup like this looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer, especially with the strong onshores during the first week. So hang up your shortboard, grab a beer, and check back with me in a couple of weeks. Forecasts can change, but right now, this is a total write-off.

Rusty.

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