El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Look, I gotta be straight with you – the next couple of weeks are looking pretty bleak for a proper paddle. We’ve got a consistent run of wind, but it's just not lining up right for clean surf at El Muelle. The whole period is basically a write-off for quality waves, so don't get your hopes up for any standout sessions. There’s a long stretch here with no real recommendations.

Starting from Sunday the 23rd of August, we’ve got some swell on the cards – around 3ft from the north – but it's accompanied by onshore wind. The wave energy is weak (184), and the conditions are just poor. The wind stays onshore or cross-onshore for days. Monday the 24th sees the swell bump up to 5ft from the NNW with a moderate period of 12 seconds, but that north wind is blowing 12 mph right on it. The combined energy is moderate (730), but it’s all for nothing with that chop.

Tuesday the 25th through Thursday the 27th, the swell drops right off. We’re talking tiny 1ft to 4ft waves with weak energy (as low as 38), and still that persistent onshore northerly breeze. It’s flat and blown out.

Things try to pick up again around Friday the 28th of August. The swell jumps to 5ft from the north, but with a short period of just 7 seconds and a fresh 22 mph cross-onshore wind, it’s going to be a lumpy, messy mess. Combined energy gets up to 229, but for paddling, it’s a no-go. This kind of setup with significant swell and strong onshore wind at a reef and point break like El Muelle? Honestly, it looks more interesting for the kite crew than us surfers.

The weekend of the 29th and 30th offers a bit more size – 6ft from the north on Saturday morning, with moderate energy (706) – but again, the wind is fresh and cross-onshore, creating lumpy conditions. The period is still short to moderate at 9-10 seconds. Not worth the drive.

From Monday the 31st of August right through to Monday the 7th of September, it’s the same old story. Swell hanging around 3ft to 5ft from the north or north-northeast, with periods mostly at 7-8 seconds, and a moderate to fresh breeze blowing onshore. The combined energy stays in the low to moderate range (152 to 333). The water temperature is about average for this time of year, so at least you won't be freezing while you’re staring at the chop.

So, there it is. A solid two-week stretch of poor surf conditions. Sometimes you get a blank run like this, and it’s just the way it is. Forecasts can change, so keep an eye out, but right now, I’d save the wax.

Rusty.

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