El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking.

Honestly, it’s a pretty grim stretch ahead. The whole 16-day window is one long gap with no real surf on offer. Every single day and session at El Muelle (reef and point) gets slapped with a “poor surf conditions” tag, and the scores are all zeros. That’s rough. The combined swell energy starts at a moderate 286 on Friday the 24th of July, but it’s all wind-sick with a NNE breeze blowing 22 mph straight onshore. That kind of wind is going to chop up whatever small swell is trying to stand up. Swell heights are around 5 ft but with only a 7-second period—short period, no push, and poor shape.

The first half of this outlook is a quiet washout. Through Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th, the swell sits between 5 ft and 6 ft, but that NNE wind stays locked in at 19 to 22 mph. The combined energy bumps slightly, hitting 363 on Sunday morning (moderate energy, in the 300s), but it’s worthless with that wind. By Monday the 27th, the swell drops to 4 ft and the wind eases to 16 mph, but it’s still onshore. The wave comment never changes.

By the end of July and the first few days of August, the swell fades further. Heights drop under 3 ft, periods fall to 6 or 7 seconds, and the combined energy dips below 100—weak. There’s a tiny blip on the 1st of August: a 3 ft swell from WNW with a 9-second period, and a light breeze in the morning, but it’s still marked as poor. No surf to get excited about.

Then from the 3rd of August onward, we see a little uptick—5 ft on the 4th of August with a combined energy of 299, and a 9-second period from N. But again, the wind is blowing onshore from NNE at 12 to 16 mph. Same story every time: clean skies, onshore breeze, poor conditions.

The bottom line: don’t bother paddling out at El Muelle for at least the next two weeks. With the wind howling onshore every single session and the wave quality rated as poor across the board, there’s no standout window. If the wind ever swings offshore or even lightens up, that’s your chance, but the forecast doesn’t show it. For now, it’s a solid blank run.

Stay patient, check back later.

Rusty.

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