El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. Right now, we’ve got a rough stretch ahead. For the next couple of weeks, it’s a tough watch for surf at El Muelle (reef and point). The whole sixteen-day window is a write-off for any decent waves. The first recommendation doesn’t kick in until Sunday the 26th of July, and even then, it’s a grim scene.

We start Sunday morning the 26th with a 5ft swell from the north, but the period is a short 8 seconds, and we’ve got a strong onshore breeze howling at 22 mph. The combined energy is only 314 (moderate), but that wind is a killer—it’s onshore and messy. No way to enjoy that. This poor pattern just locks in. Monday the 27th is more of the same: 4ft north swell, 8-second period, and onshore wind at 16 mph. The energy drops to 205 (moderate). It’s just a constant battle against the wind.

The whole first week is a bust. We go through Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday—all with onshore winds and weak, short-period swell. The combined energy stays in the low to mid hundreds, never breaking into anything strong. The wind is a consistent fresh or moderate breeze straight onshore from the north or north-northeast. Nothing to get excited about.

By the time we hit the second week, things don’t improve. Saturday the 1st of August still has a gentle breeze onshore, with a 3ft north swell and a 7-second period. The energy is 147 (weak). Even Sunday the 2nd, the wind shifts to a cross-onshore, but it’s still choppy and messy. The swell is weak.

The only slight change comes around Wednesday the 5th of August. The swell builds to 6ft from the north, with a period of 7 seconds and a combined energy of 384 (moderate). But the wind is cross-onshore, making it choppy. Thursday the 6th is similar: 5ft, 9-second period, energy at 459 (moderate), but still cross-onshore. The period is getting longer, hinting at better shape, but the wind direction is all wrong.

For the rest of the second week, we’re stuck with 4ft to 5ft north swells, periods of 8 to 9 seconds, and energy in the 200-300 range. The wind stays onshore or cross-onshore. It’s just not happening.

To be honest, there’s not a single standout in this whole run. The water temperature is about average for the time of year, nothing unusual there. But with no clean surf, no good wind, and no standout swell, this is a period to do something else. If you’re absolutely desperate, the setup on the 5th and 6th of August, with that 5-6ft swell, could be more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer, given the persistent cross-onshore wind. But for us, it’s a long, blank run. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a tough one.

Rusty.

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