El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Gutted, folks. I’ve been staring at the charts for El Muelle, and honestly, it’s a tough stretch. We’ve got a 16-day window here, and there’s just nothing on the menu that’s worth paddling out for. The whole period is a write-off for decent waves. The forecast is pretty much a flat, wind-blown mess.

The swell energy is weak the entire time. We’re looking at combined energy values in the low hundreds for the most part – a few days nudge up to the 200s in the middle of the week, but it’s all short-period, windswell junk. The period is stuck between 6 and 9 seconds, so it’s all choppy, disorganized, and lacking any real push. The swell direction is straight out of the north, which is right on the nose for El Muelle. Add in a constant onshore wind, and you’ve got a recipe for nothing but closeouts and whitewash.

The only spot we’ve got is El Muelle, a reef and point break that’s usually pretty consistent. But with this combination of weak, short-period swell and steady north winds, it’s just not going to work. The water temp is sitting at 73°, which is about 2° warmer than normal for this time of year, so that’s nothing special.

Looking at the first week, from August 8th through the 14th, the surf is in the 3ft to 4ft range, with the period never getting above 8 seconds. It’s poor conditions every day. The winds are 12 to 19 mph and onshore. It’s just messy.

The second week, from August 15th to the 23rd, shapes up a little different but not any better. There’s a slight bump mid-week, with the swell getting up to 5ft on the morning of the 15th and energy climbing to 271, but it’s still all short-period, and the wind is still howling onshore. By the 20th, the swell drops back down to 3ft and stays weak. The period finally stretches out to 9 seconds by the 21st, but by then the swell is too small to do anything with it. It’s a long, barren run.

Honestly, if you’re looking for something to ride, this whole setup looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddler. There’s just no quality to be found. Sometimes this area just goes blank like this, and with a spot as consistent as El Muelle, it tends not to stay this poor for long. Forecasts change. But as it stands, stay home and wax your board for another day.

Rusty.

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