El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on the menu for the next couple of weeks up at El Muelle. Truth is, we’re looking at a pretty bleak stretch. This spot is consistent, but the conditions are just not playing ball. We’re going to see a run of poor surf conditions that lasts the whole 16-day window, so get ready for a lot of time on the beach.

It kicks off on Tuesday, August 18th, and honestly, it’s a dud from the get-go. Swell is small, around 3ft from the north, with a short period of 8 seconds. The wind in the morning is a light 6 mph from the north, but it’s onshore, so the face is mushy and messy. Wave energy is weak (94), and it’s a bad start. The afternoon doesn’t get any better, with the wind picking up to 9 mph from the north, still onshore. No scores for any of this.

This pattern just keeps repeating. Wednesday the 19th, Thursday the 20th, all the way through to the end of the month. The swell hangs around the 3ft to 4ft mark, mostly from the north, with periods staying short at 7-8 seconds. The wind is a constant onshore or cross-onshore breeze, mostly from the north or north-northeast, which just chops up the surface. Wave energy sits in the moderate range, hitting 212 on the 22nd and 242 on the 24th, but that doesn't matter when the wind is trash.

By Sunday the 23rd, we get a cross-on breeze that makes it choppy. Monday the 24th to Wednesday the 26th, the wind cranks up to 19 mph from the north-northeast, creating fresh cross-onshore wind and lumpy, bumpy surf. This is not paddle-surfing weather. With the swell at 4ft to 4ft and a short period, plus that strong cross-onshore wind, the setup at El Muelle honestly looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

We get a tiny spike on Friday the 28th of August, with swell hitting 5ft from the north and a short period of 7-8 seconds, but the wind is still onshore at 19 mph from the north-northeast. The energy hits 280, but it’s a messy, blown-out 5ft – not beginner-friendly, and not fun for anyone else. That’s as big as it gets.

The last few days of the forecast into early September are more of the same. The swell drops back to 3ft to 3ft, wind stays onshore or cross-onshore, and the wave energy is weak to moderate. There is no stand-out day here. Not a single session worth chasing. It’s a blank run, and while El Muelle is usually pretty consistent, this is one of those stretches where Mother Nature just says no. Forecasts can change, but right now, I’d leave the boards at home.

Rusty.

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