El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s comin’ our way.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – it’s a tough stretch ahead. We’re lookin’ at a solid block of time where the waves just aren’t cooperating. The wind is crankin’ out of the north-northeast and north, rippin’ at 18 to 22 mph for days on end, and that’s just not gonna give us the clean face we need. The swell is there, but it’s messy and blown out.

For the first week and a half, from Thursday the 23rd of July all the way through to the 1st of August, it’s a grim run. The swell height stays around 3 ft to 6 ft, with a short, weak period of just 6 to 8 seconds, so there’s no power behind it. The combined energy is moderate at best, peaking at 393 on the 26th, but that wind is just wrecking it. It’s all onshore or cross-onshore, and the water temp is a pretty normal 72°, so no surprises there. Honestly, for a spot like El Muelle, which is a reef and point set-up, this northerly wind is the wrong direction. It’s gonna be choppy and lumpy. This stretch is more interesting for the kite surfers than paddle surfers, if you ask me. There’s a big gap of no-go days here.

Now, the first real glimmer of hope doesn’t show up until Monday the 3rd of August. We finally see a pulse of better energy. The swell builds to 5 ft, still from the north, but the period lengthens to 9 seconds, and the combined energy shoots up to a strong 521. The wind is still a howling NNE at 16 mph, but it’s offshore, which is the key. That’s our best chance. El Muelle is gonna be a bit of a handful, with that size and that much wind, it’s more for the experienced crew. It’ll be a bumpy ride but there’s some push.

Tuesday the 4th of August is the real standout. The swell holds at 5 ft from the north, the period pushes to a nice 10 seconds, and the energy is a solid 568. The wind is still fresh from the NNE at 19 mph, but it’s offshore. That’s our best-looking window. The waves will have shape and power, but the wind will make it a battle. This is an intermediate to expert session. The water is about average for the time of year. After that, the swell fades quickly through the rest of the week, dropping back down to 2 ft by the 7th, with the energy falling to weak levels. The wind stays howling, so we’re back to small and blown-out conditions.

So, if you’re keen, point your board at El Muelle on Monday the 3rd and Tuesday the 4th of August. That’s the pick of a pretty average outlook.

Rusty.

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