Desert Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll level with you – the next 16 days at Desert Point are a real mixed bag, and honestly, mostly flat and messy. The water’s sitting at about 71°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so that’s something.

We’ve got a long stretch of nothing much happening from the start. Sunday morning the 12th has got tiny 1ft NW swell but it’s onshore and just poor. That sets the tone for the better part of the first week. The combined energy is weak (69) and the wind is all over the shop – mostly cross-on or onshore with a light breeze, so the waves are small and choppy. There’s no real surf on offer until Wednesday morning the 15th. That morning, we finally get a bit of glassy wind and a 4ft swell from the NNW, but it’s short period at 6 seconds, so it’s weak and lumpy. The energy is still low (103). It’s surfable but very ordinary. Thursday and Friday the 16th and 17th see the swell bump up to 5ft from the NNW, but the wind stays cross-on or onshore, and the periods are still short at 8 seconds. The energy ticks up (253–269) but the conditions are poor.

The weekend of the 18th and 19th brings a bit more size – 5ft to 6ft NNW swell – but with that onshore wind, it’s just a messy, choppy mess. The energy gets into the moderate range (342–528), but it’s not worth paddling out for. By Monday the 20th, the swell hits 7ft, and it’s a cross-on breeze again. That’s getting into expert territory size-wise, but with the wind ruining it, it’s just a big, blown-out wall. The energy is strong (657), but the quality is gone.

The real standout comes later, on the morning of Friday the 24th of July. We’ve got a 7ft swell from the NNW, and the wind is a light cross-on from the WSW. The period is still short at 8 seconds, but the energy is cranked up to 699 – that’s strong. It’s the best conditions we see in the whole run, with a slight air only. This is a big, powerful day, but it’s only for experienced surfers; 7ft is too much for beginners. The swell direction is NNW, and Desert Point’s optimum is NW, so it’s not a perfect match, but it’s close enough. The afternoon on the 24th holds similar size at 8ft (energy 758), but the wind goes onshore, so it’s a morning-only window.

The morning of the 27th (Monday) is another glassy window with 4ft NNW swell and 8-second period. The energy is only 175, so it’s small and weak, but glassy wind makes it clean. It’s a tiny, ordinary day but at least you’ll get a few clean ones.

So, if you’re keen, the best bet is the morning of Friday the 24th of July – that’s your standout. Big, powerful, and with the wind just about right. It’s a long-range call, so keep an eye on it, but it’s the only real highlight in a pretty ordinary run. The rest of the time, it’s mostly small, onshore, and messy. For the more experienced, the morning of the 24th is the one.

Rusty.

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