East Runton Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Grab a coffee, because we’ve got a long stretch ahead with not a lot to get excited about. The 16-day window out of East Runton is looking pretty flat and tough, with some long quiet gaps in between.

The main story is a long, quiet run of small, weak surf for the first week and a half. The wind is mostly messy, and the swell heights are tiny. The water temp data for the morning of July 3rd shows it’s at 64°, which is about 6° warmer than usual for this time of year, so the water is feeling properly warm, but that’s about the only upside.

From Friday the 3rd right through to around Wednesday the 15th of July, it’s a real struggle. The combined swell energy is almost always well under 100 (weak energy), with many days in the teens or single digits. You’ll see a few small bumps, like the morning of the 3rd with a 4ft swell from the NNW, but with a short period of 7 seconds and a moderate cross-shore wind, the wave comment says it all: "poor surf conditions." It’s not worth paddling out for that. The period is short and the shape won’t be there.

There is a very brief, slightly more interesting moment late on the 16th of July afternoon. The swell bumps up to 3ft from the ENE, still a tiny short period of 4 seconds, but the wind shifts light and cross-shore with a light breeze. The energy is still weak at 24, but the conditions look a bit cleaner. It’s not a standout by any stretch, just the least bad option in a very poor run.

Then we get a proper change on Friday the 17th of July. The morning and afternoon both show a 4ft swell from the east, with a period of 6 seconds and a combined energy value of 116 (moderate wave energy). It’s still a short-period windswell, not groundswell, and it’s coming in under a gentle cross-onshore breeze in the morning and a full onshore by the afternoon. The wave comment is still "poor surf conditions." The swell size is there, but the wind and chop will make it a lumpy mess, likely too ugly for a fun surf. This might actually be more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, given the onshore wind and beach setup.

Honestly, there are no standouts in this 16-day run. The waves are tiny, the wind is rarely favorable, and the few days with a bit more size are blown out. It’s a long, dry spell with a couple of flickers of life that don’t really deliver. If you absolutely have to get wet, the late afternoon on the 16th might give you a tiny clean wave, and the 17th will have some push but with onshore chop. But don't hold your breath.

Rusty.

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