E-Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Gotta be straight with you – looks like we're in for a bit of a tricky stretch at E-Bay. This is a reef set-up, fairly consistent, and the swell's mostly coming from the S and SSW, which is pretty much on the money for this spot. But the wind's the problem for most of the run.

We’re kicking off Monday the 17th with tiny 2ft of S swell, period around 14 seconds. That's got some shape to it, but with a cross-on SE breeze at 9 mph, it's just messy. Water's sitting at 85°, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The real heartbreak starts Tuesday the 18th. Swell jumps up nicely – 5ft from the SSW on Tuesday morning, and then building to 7ft by Wednesday the 19th and 7ft Wednesday afternoon. The combined swell energy hits big numbers (2398 and 3043), so there’s plenty of grunt in the water. Periods are long, 16 to 19 seconds – pure groundswell. But here's the rub: it's all onshore wind, blowing from the SSE and S. That's going to turn the reef into a churned-up mess. This is the kind of setup that might look more interesting for kite surfing than a clean paddle session.

Thursday the 20th through Saturday the 22nd is more of the same. Swell sticks around 5ft to 6ft, but that wind just won't let up. It’s marginal at best. Sunday the 23rd drops back to 5ft, and the energy fades.

Then things get quiet. From Monday the 24th right through to Tuesday the 1st of September, it’s a long stretch of poor surf. Swell size drops below 3ft for a few days, and the combined energy readings are low (mostly two-digit or low three-digit values like 242 or 318). The wind just keeps howling onshore.

The one true standout – and it’s a long way off – is Saturday the 29th of August. After weeks of onshore crap, we get a window. The afternoon shows 3ft of SSW swell, and the wind goes *glassy*. Calm. Dead flat. 0 mph. That's “Slight air” for you. Combined energy is still low (419), so it won't be big, but it'll be clean. For a reef break like this, glassy conditions with a tiny, long-period swell mean you might snag a few perfect, peeling little runners. Keep an eye on that date, but don’t hold your breath – it’s a long way out.

The morning of the 28th also offers a glimmer with a cross-off wind from the W, but it’s only 3ft. Still, clean is clean.

So, bottom line: the third week of August is mostly a washout for decent surfing at E-Bay. That magic window late on the 29th is the only real hope in the 16-day outlook.

Stay tuned, and hope the forecasts tune up.

Rusty.

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