Scarecrows Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, I’m Rusty, and I’ve got the lowdown on what’s coming for Scarecrows over the next couple weeks. Let’s get straight into it.

First up, the forecast is rocky for a while. We don’t get any proper recommendations until later in the run, so if you’re itching to paddle out this weekend, you’ll be fighting a cross-shore breeze and mediocre conditions. The combined energy is moderate, sitting around the 600–660 mark, but the wind and tide just aren’t lining up for anything clean. The surf is there—4ft to 4ft from the SSW—but the quality is lacking. It’s a real waiting game.

Monday the 13th and Tuesday the 14th aren’t much better. The swell holds around 4ft to 4ft, still from the SSW, with combined energy climbing up to 1334 on Tuesday morning. That’s moderate to strong energy, but the wind stays cross or cross-shore, so the surface is bumpy. There’s a glimpse of cleaner conditions on Monday morning with a cross-offshore breeze, but overall it’s still marginal. Patience.

Wednesday the 15th is more of the same—light breezes but nothing special. Then Thursday the 16th morning finally gives us a taste of what’s possible. The wind shifts to a light cross-offshore from the SE, and the swell is 4ft from the SSW with a 15-second period. It’s clean. The energy is still moderate at 797, but the combo of longer period and clean conditions makes this the first real standout of the outlook. Not huge, but super surfable.

The real party starts on Saturday the 19th. Sunday morning kicks off with a smooth 3ft SSW groundswell at a very long 22-second period, and combined energy jumps to 1162. The wind is light cross-offshore from the SE—clean lines. By Sunday afternoon, the swell bumps to 4ft, period at 20 seconds, and the energy surges to 2081. That’s strong wave energy, and with glassy or clean conditions, Scarecrows is going to be firing for experienced surfers. This is the highlight of the whole forecast: a long-period groundswell hitting an exposed reef with offshore flow. The water temp anomaly is not noted in the data, so assume it’s about average for July, which keeps things comfortable.

Monday the 20th keeps the quality rolling. The swell peaks at 7ft from the SSW on Monday morning—that’s getting into expert territory—with a 17-second period and massive combined energy of 2519. The wind is a clean cross-offshore. Afternoon drops slightly to 6ft but still solid. Tuesday the 21st is another standout: morning sees 5ft SSW swell, but Tuesday afternoon turns glassy with a 7ft swell from the south and a 14-second period, combined energy at 1700. That’s the kind of session you dream about—glassy, solid, and clean.

Into the second week, things stay promising but less certain. Wednesday the 22nd is glassy calm all morning, with a 5ft south swell, then a nice offshore breeze kicks in by afternoon. Thursday and Friday the 23rd–24th drop to smaller 4ft swell from the SSE, but the wind stays light, and there are glassy windows. Saturday the 25th offers clean 4ft SW swell with glassy afternoons. Sunday the 26th is the last call—glassy morning, 5ft from the south, period at 10 seconds.

Overall, don’t waste your time this weekend. The standouts are Sunday the 19th through Tuesday the 21st—that’s your peak window. For experts, Monday the 20th morning is the biggest, but Tuesday afternoon’s glassy 7ft might be the pick of the entire run. Crowds are possible at Scarecrows—it says “sometimes,” so keep your eyes open for company, especially on those prime days.

Stay patient, pick your windows, and I’ll see you in the water.

Rusty

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