Scarecrows Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here with a look at what’s coming up for Scarecrows.

First off, the water is sitting around 85°, which is about average for this time of year, so nothing weird going on there.

The good news is there's plenty of swell on the way, but it's a bit of a messy start. We’ve got a solid, long-period groundswell rolling in from the SSW, with periods hitting 17 seconds on Thursday the 10th and 15 seconds on Friday the 11th. The problem is the wind. Thursday afternoon is a cross-shore with a moderate breeze, and it's lumpy. Friday is more of the same with cross-shore winds. The combined swell energy is strong, reading 1766 on Thursday and 1614 on Friday, but the conditions are just marginal. It's a wait-and-see kind of start.

Now, Saturday the 12th afternoon is where things start to look interesting. The swell holds at 6ft from the SW with a really long 19-second period, and the wind goes glassy. That’s a recipe for clean, lined-up sets at this reef. The combined energy jumps to 3077, which is strong. This is an advanced wave, no doubt, with that period and size, but for those who can handle it, it's the standout of the first week. Sunday the 13th drops off a bit with cross-shore winds, but the swell is still solid at 7ft.

Next week, the pattern settles down. Monday the 14th and Tuesday the 15th see clean conditions in the mornings with a cross-offshore breeze, but the swell drops to 6ft and 6ft, and the quality stays marginal for the afternoons. The real highlight, if you can wait, is Saturday the 19th. The morning has 5ft swell from the SW with a 17-second period and a light cross-offshore wind. The afternoon gets even better with a 7ft SSW swell, light offshore breeze, and combined energy of 2205. That’s a proper session for experienced surfers. Sunday the 20th morning is also excellent, 7ft from the SSW with glassy conditions again, but the wind swings onshore in the afternoon.

The last week of the outlook has a couple of gems. Wednesday the 23rd morning is flat calm, glassy, with a 4ft SW swell and a very long 16-second period, combined energy of 1716. That is *clean* and will be a beauty for the skilled crew. Thursday the 24th morning is also clean with a 4ft S swell.

Overall, the best bets are Saturday the 12th afternoon for a powerful, glassy session, and then Saturday the 19th into Sunday the 20th morning for a run of clean, solid swell. The break is exposed to the SW, and the optimum direction is SW, so this is exactly what Scarecrows wants. It’s a consistent reef, so you can bank on it, but expect crowds sometimes, especially on the weekends.

Rusty.

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