Cape Paterson surf break

Cape Paterson surfForecast / VIC – East Coast / Australia

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 4 pm Saturday 10 Jan 2026 AEDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
18.3° C
(Which is 1.1°C warmer than normal for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jan 12) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 12 days are 3.0m 13s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jan 10) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Jan 17) at 2PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 2AM (Mon 12th Jan)4.5ft (1.3m) 11s
Best Surf 2AM (Mon 12th Jan)4.5ft (1.3m) 11s
Most Powerful11PM (Sat 10th Jan)10ft (3.0m) 13s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Mostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Sat afternoon, min 12°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the WSW on Sat afternoon, light winds from the SE by Mon morning).

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Very mild (max 18°C on Tue afternoon, min 15°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the S on Wed morning, fresh winds from the SE by Wed night).

Sat
10
Sunday
11
Monday
12
Tuesday
13
Wednesday
14
Thursday
15
Friday
16
PMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
4
WSW
2.5
WSW
2.4
WSW
1.7
WSW
1.3
WSW
1
WSW
1.1
SW
0.9
WSW
0.9
WSW
0.6
SW
0.8
SW
1
SW
2.5
SW
1.8
SW
1.9
SSW
1.7
SW
1.6
SW
1.3
SW
0.6
SW
0.8
SW
0.8
SW
Period(s) (?)10141312111010910161414788888111313
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)360827521799811401198245151171165297387679395493362329227104196196
Wind
(km/h)
50
WSW
25
SW
20
SSW
20
SSW
15
E
10
SE
20
SSE
15
SE
20
SSE
25
S
15
S
15
SSW
25
SSE
35
SE
35
SE
35
SE
15
ESE
25
SE
35
SE
35
E
35
ESE
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
on
oncross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
off
crosscross-
on
crosscross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
crosscrosscrosscross-
off
crosscrosscross-
off
cross-
off
High Tide
/ height (m)
5:56PM
0.71
6:02AM
0.78
6:43PM
0.69
6:37AM
0.75
7:29PM
0.67
7:11AM
0.71
8:17PM
0.65
7:47AM
0.68
9:09PM
0.64
8:27AM
0.65
10:06PM
0.63
9:13AM
0.62
11:10PM
0.63
10:09AM
0.60
Low Tide
/ height (m)
11:51PM
0.19
12:29PM
0.12
12:32AM
0.24
1:08PM
0.12
1:13AM
0.29
1:48PM
0.14
1:56AM
0.33
2:29PM
0.15
2:45AM
0.37
3:15PM
0.17
3:41AM
0.39
4:08PM
0.17
4:48AM
0.41
Sat
10
Sunday
11
Monday
12
Tuesday
13
Wednesday
14
Thursday
15
Friday
16
Sunrise--6:03--6:05--6:05--6:07--6:09--6:09--6:11
Sunset8:45--8:45--8:44--8:44--8:44--8:43--8:43--
clear
clear
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
light rain
light rain
rain showers
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
Rain (mm)
-------------211-----
Temp. °C191614141417181818181717181716171618171717
Feels °C (?)129891015151516151416151410111114111110
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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