Cape Paterson Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.68° S 145.60° E

Cape Paterson Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 07 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
13.7°C
1.0° 

Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Paterson surf forecast from 7 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 11 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 16s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 19s period, SW swell with 9,404 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 8 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 12s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 19s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 16 days are 3.5m 19s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Monday (Sep 14) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Tue 8th Sep)5.5ft (1.7m) 12s
Best Surf10PM (Fri 11th Sep)7ft (2.1m) 16s
Most Powerful 1PM (Wed 9th Sep)11ft (3.5m) 19s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Mon morning. Very mild (max 12°C on Mon morning, min 8°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon night, strong winds from the SW by Tue night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Monday
7
Tuesday
8
Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
Friday
11
Saturday
12
Sunday
13
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
2
1
4
3
2
2
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.8
SW
7
2.2
SW
8
1.6
SW
9
1.5
SW
13
1.2
SW
17
1.7
SW
16
3.5
SW
16
3.5
SW
18
3.5
SW
18
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
16
2.3
SW
15
1.9
SW
15
2
SW
15
2.1
SW
16
1.9
SW
16
1.8
SW
15
1.6
SW
15
1.4
SW
15
1.2
SW
16
1.2
WSW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
286
531
388
723
874
1449
5048
8265
7812
4959
3664
2553
1542
1669
2269
1761
1417
1088
795
720
649
Wind (km/h)
35
SSW
30
SSW
10
SW
15
W
15
W
35
SW
35
SSW
35
SSW
25
SSW
20
WSW
15
SW
10
SW
10
WSW
10
SW
10
N
10
NW
5
W
20
N
30
NNW
30
NNW
30
NNW
Wind State
on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
cross-on
on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
6:32PM0.72m
7:59AM0.70m
7:34PM0.69m
9:07AM0.69m
8:50PM0.66m
10:16AM0.68m
10:15PM0.66m
11:20AM0.70m
11:34PM0.68m
12:15PM0.72m
00:41AM0.72m
1:03PM0.74m
1:37AM0.75m
Low Tide
12:45PM0.30m
1:15AM0.07m
1:47PM0.32m
2:19AM0.11m
3:00PM0.33m
3:32AM0.15m
4:19PM0.30m
4:46AM0.17m
5:30PM0.25m
5:53AM0.18m
6:29PM0.19m
6:52AM0.18m
7:20PM0.13m
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
rain showers
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:31
6:30
6:28
6:26
6:26
6:24
6:22
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:00
6:00
6:00
6:01
6:02
6:04
6:05
 mm
1
1
1
Temp °C
12
11
10
11
11
12
11
11
12
11
11
11
11
11
10
15
18
17
19
20
17
Feels °C
5
4
6
7
7
4
3
3
5
7
8
8
8
8
9
11
16
14
13
14
11
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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