Cape Paterson Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, grab a coffee, I’ve had a look at what’s coming up for Cape Paterson. There’s a bit of a story here, so listen up.

We’ve got a juicy run of groundswell kicking off early in the week, with some serious energy in the water. The standout period is definitely Sunday the 5th into Monday the 6th, but you’ll need to pick your windows carefully because the wind is going to play games. The water’s sitting at 58°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so not too bad.

Starting Sunday the 5th, the morning is your first call. We’ve got a solid 8ft SW groundswell with a very long 17-second period, and the combined energy is a strong 3770. The wind is a cross-off from the east at 12 mph, keeping it clean. It’s an advanced-only wave, though – that size and period will be pitching hard. The afternoon holds a still solid 7ft, but the wind swings a bit stronger. Keep this in mind if you’re not an expert, as it’s too big for beginners.

Monday the 6th is where it gets real nice. The swell drops to a more manageable 4ft, still a long-period 14-second SW groundswell, and the energy is moderate at 746. But the real star is the morning: a clean NE offshore breeze at 9 mph. The afternoon is almost glassy with a 4ft SW swell and a 3 mph SSW wind, leaving the surface pristine. Crowds can be around sometimes here, but on a Monday you might get lucky.

Tuesday the 7th morning is another glassy beauty. A 4ft SW swell with a 17-second period, NNW wind at 3 mph, and clean as a whistle. The energy is moderate at 851. The afternoon gets a bit messy with a light cross-shore breeze, so aim for the early.

Wednesday the 8th morning brings a bigger pulse of 5ft SW groundswell, 19-second period, and a cross-off east breeze. The combined energy jumps up to 1938 – that’s moderate but punchy. The afternoon sees 7ft, but the wind gets stronger, making it less appealing.

Thursday the 9th and Friday the 10th both offer good, clean conditions in the mornings and glassy afternoons, with swell around the 4-5ft range. Friday afternoon is a real highlight: a 5ft WSW groundswell, 16-second period, and that glassy NW wind. The energy is 1112, and it’s looking very clean.

Saturday the 11th is still surfable with 4-4ft waves, but the energy is dropping off.

From Sunday the 12th onward, it’s a write-off. We’ve got a big gap with no real surf on offer. The wind goes howling from the north, then swings to a strong onshore south-westerly from the 14th, kicking up 25-31 mph gusts that ruin everything. Through the 15th and 16th, it’s onshore and lumpy, with small swell and poor conditions. Tuesday the 14th, with 7ft swell and 31 mph onshore wind, looks more like a kite session than a paddle. Things don’t improve until the 20th, and even then it’s only a marginal 3ft with a clean cross-off breeze.

So, the best on offer is Monday the 6th morning – that 4ft SW groundswell with offshore wind will be clean and fun, and that’s your go-to. Friday the 10th afternoon is the other standout, with glassy conditions and a nice 5ft swell.

Rusty.

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