Cape Paterson Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.68° S 145.60° E

Cape Paterson Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 10 pm 28 Oct 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
16.2°C
2.5° 

Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Paterson surf forecast from 28 Oct 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 30 Oct, 2AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 15s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 29 Oct, 11AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 15s period, SW swell with 2,094 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 30 Oct, 2AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Oct 30) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 16 days are 2.2m 15s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Oct 29) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Oct 31) at 2PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 2AM (Fri 30th Oct)5.5ft (1.7m) 15s
Best Surf 2AM (Fri 30th Oct)5.5ft (1.7m) 15s
Most Powerful11AM (Thu 29th Oct)7ft (2.2m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 19°C on Sat afternoon, min 11°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu night, fresh winds from the NW by Sat afternoon).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Tue morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat night, min 11°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the W on Sat night, calm by Mon morning).

Thursday
29
Friday
30
Saturday
31
Sunday
1
Monday
2
Tuesday
3
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
1
0
3
3
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
2
2
1
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2
WSW
11
2.2
SW
15
2
SW
15
1.7
SW
15
1.6
SW
15
1.4
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
1.1
SW
13
1.6
W
13
2
WSW
7
1.5
WSW
8
0.8
SW
12
1.3
SW
12
1.3
SW
14
1.4
SW
14
1.3
SW
14
1.1
SW
13
1.1
SW
13
1.1
SW
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
955
2094
1729
1220
1011
802
557
380
862
435
257
169
440
656
810
676
437
418
324
Wind (km/h)
25
WSW
15
WSW
15
SW
0
NW
0
SW
20
SE
15
NE
30
NNW
35
WSW
30
WSW
25
W
20
WSW
5
N
5
SW
15
SSE
10
ENE
10
ENE
5
SSE
5
W
Wind State
on
cross-on
on
glassy
glassy
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
glassy
glassy
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
High Tide
2:40AM0.84m
2:22PM0.73m
3:27AM0.86m
3:09PM0.76m
4:12AM0.87m
3:56PM0.77m
4:57AM0.86m
4:44PM0.77m
5:43AM0.83m
5:35PM0.75m
6:29AM0.80m
6:30PM0.72m
Low Tide
8:44AM0.23m
8:46PM-0.02m
9:29AM0.22m
9:33PM-0.04m
10:13AM0.21m
10:20PM-0.03m
10:58AM0.20m
11:08PM-0.00m
11:46AM0.20m
11:57PM0.05m
12:36PM0.21m
00:48AM0.11m
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
thunderstorm
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
clear
part cloud
cloud
light rain
mod rain
light rain
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
—
6:13
—
—
6:11
—
—
6:11
—
—
6:09
—
—
6:09
—
—
6:07
—
—
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
—
—
7:49
—
—
7:50
—
—
7:51
—
—
7:52
—
—
7:52
—
—
7:54
—
 mm
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
5
1
2
1
—
—
—
2
9
4
—
Temp °C
14
12
13
13
14
17
18
18
19
15
14
15
14
14
15
15
14
15
15
Feels °C
8
8
9
11
14
13
14
14
14
8
9
11
10
13
13
12
14
16
15
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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