Cape Paterson Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.68° S 145.60° E

Issued: 3 am 19 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
15.1° C

1.1°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Paterson surf forecast from 18 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 20 Jun, 7PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 11s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 23 Jun, 10PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 14s period, SW swell with 1,712 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 20 Jun, 7PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 11s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jun 20) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 15s. Another secondary swell of 0.3m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 16 days are 2.1m 14s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jun 23) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 6s period and expected on Friday (Jun 19) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7PM (Sat 20th Jun)5ft (1.6m) 11s
Best Surf 7PM (Sat 20th Jun)5ft (1.6m) 11s
Most Powerful10PM (Tue 23rd Jun)7ft (2.1m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri morning, min 10°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NNW on Fri morning, calm by Sun night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Very mild (max 12°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Mon night, calm by Wed night).

Friday
19
Saturday
20
Sunday
21
Monday
22
Tuesday
23
Wednesday
24
Thursday
25
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
1
0
3
2
2
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
SW
19
1.1
SW
18
1.3
SW
17
2.5
SW
11
1.9
SW
11
1.5
SW
14
1.3
SW
14
1.3
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
1.1
SW
15
0.9
SW
15
2.5
SW
8
1.9
SW
14
2
SW
14
1.8
SW
14
1.6
SW
13
1.3
SW
13
1.3
SW
13
1.2
SW
13
1.1
SW
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
350
686
1050
1621
804
899
736
656
518
590
535
355
908
1349
1550
1203
905
535
609
466
319
Wind (km/h)
40
NNW
35
NNW
25
WNW
20
SSW
20
SW
15
ENE
5
N
5
SW
10
SSW
10
NNW
20
WNW
35
NW
30
SW
30
SW
20
SW
20
SSW
15
S
10
SE
10
N
5
S
5
NE
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
on
off
glassy
glassy
on
cross-off
cross-on
cross
on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-off
glassy
off
High Tide
3:04PM0.85m
3:00AM0.76m
3:49PM0.85m
3:57AM0.75m
4:33PM0.83m
4:53AM0.73m
5:14PM0.80m
5:48AM0.70m
5:54PM0.76m
6:43AM0.68m
6:34PM0.72m
7:38AM0.66m
7:14PM0.68m
Low Tide
9:11PM0.19m
9:18AM0.03m
10:02PM0.16m
10:08AM0.08m
10:51PM0.13m
10:56AM0.14m
11:38PM0.13m
11:43AM0.21m
00:24AM0.13m
12:31PM0.27m
1:10AM0.14m
1:21PM0.32m
1:55AM0.15m
rain showers
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
light rain
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
rain showers
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:33
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:01
5:01
5:01
5:02
5:02
5:02
5:02
 mm
1
1
5
1
5
1
1
3
2
Temp °C
13
13
13
13
11
11
11
11
11
11
12
11
11
12
11
11
11
11
10
10
10
Feels °C
4
6
8
9
7
7
10
10
10
8
7
4
5
4
5
6
7
8
8
8
7
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
W
9
1.1
SW
18
1.3
SW
17
0.6
SW
16
1.9
SW
11
1.5
SW
14
1.3
SW
14
1.3
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
1.1
SW
15
0.9
SW
15
0.1
E
10
2.3
SW
11
2
SW
14
1.8
SW
14
1.6
SW
13
1.3
SW
13
1.3
SW
13
1.2
SW
13
1.1
SW
12
Energy kJ
74
686
1050
211
804
899
736
656
518
590
535
355
2
1171
1550
1203
905
535
609
466
319
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
SW
19
0.4
WSW
9
0.6
WSW
11
0.7
SW
16
1.1
SW
16
0.8
SW
14
0.4
SE
5
0.2
ESE
4
0.2
ESE
6
0.1
SE
6
0.2
WSW
18
0.1
E
6
0.7
SW
14
1.3
SSW
13
0.3
SSE
5
0.7
SSW
5
0.3
SSE
5
0.3
SSE
4
0.6
SW
17
Energy kJ
350
26
102
248
539
293
6
2
3
1
31
1
195
538
4
24
4
4
181
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
SW
12
0.1
SW
11
0.1
E
10
0.1
E
10
0.6
SW
16
0.4
SE
6
0.5
ESE
5
0.4
SE
4
0.1
E
11
0.1
E
11
0.2
E
6
0.1
E
10
0.4
SSE
4
0.1
SW
22
Energy kJ
66
5
2
2
208
11
14
5
2
2
2
2
7
18
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.5
NNW
5
1.6
NW
6
0.9
W
4
2.5
SW
11
0.7
ESE
6
0.7
W
4
1.7
W
6
2.5
SW
8
1.9
SW
14
0.8
SW
5
0.7
SSW
5
Energy kJ
116
145
27
1621
27
12
185
908
1349
31
28
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
4
3
2
5
2
2
2
2
2
2
3
3
4
4
4
3
3
2
2
2
Distance (km)
129
105
5
71
364
5
5
5
38
5
41
113
54
346
45
45
45
38
5
5
5
Best forecast wave conditions in East Coast of Victoria
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
3
2
2
2
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
5
6
4
4
5
5
4
4
4
4
3
4
4
4
4
4
5
4
6
5
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
6
4
4
5
9
8
9
7
7
6
7
5
5
5
6
7
6
6
6
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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