Cape Paterson Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at what's shaping up down at Cape Paterson. This is a sheltered spot that only works on a SW swell, so we gotta be picky. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing out of the ordinary.

We’ve got a bit of a mixed bag over the next couple of weeks. The early part of the window looks pretty good, but then it gets wild and messy for a while before calming down again later on. Let's get into it.

The real standout is Wednesday, July 8th. Cape Paterson is absolutely firing. You’ve got a clean 5ft SW groundswell with a super long 19-second period pushing in. That’s serious energy (1938). Wednesday morning with a light offshore ENE breeze at 6 mph is going to be glassy perfection. Expect very clean surf, but that long period will prefer the reef and points over the beach. This is the one to aim for.

Through the rest of that first week, Thursday morning the 9th looks good too, with a smaller 5ft SW swell and light cross-offshore winds, but it won't have the same punch as Wednesday. Friday the 10th holds consistent 5ft WSW groundswell with clean conditions, so there are a few solid days on offer.

Now, we hit a rough patch from Saturday the 11th through to Tuesday the 15th of July. The swell actually gets big—we're talking over 8ft, up to 13ft on Sunday—but it arrives with howling onshore and cross-shore winds. It’s going to be a blown-out mess. The energy readings are massive (5364 on Sunday), but it’s all for nought unless you’re an expert with a death wish. For the average surfer, this stretch is a write-off, and the setup looks more like a kite-surfing zone than a paddling one.

Things start to tidy up again down the track. Thursday, July 16th morning has a nice clean 7ft WSW swell and a light offshore NNE breeze. It’s a promising return to form after the windy spell.

Further out, Friday, July 17th morning is another one to circle on the calendar. It’s showing a solid 8ft WSW groundswell, a 17-second period, and clean conditions with a cross-offshore breeze. That’s a lot of power (3339) and looks excellent for experienced surfers. Remember this one is a week and a half away, so it’s a promising possibility rather than a certainty.

Into the third week, the surf drops off significantly. From Sunday the 19th onward, the swell fades under 5ft and the winds turn more onshore, so we’re looking at a stretch of poor conditions to wrap up the outlook.

Rusty.

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