Surf Forecasts:
Cape Paterson surf forecast from 24 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 29 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 16s period, WSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 31 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 19s period, SW swell with 3,242 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 24 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 13s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 24) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 20s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 16 days are 2.1m 19s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7PM (Mon 24th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Sat 29th Aug) | 6ft (1.8m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Mon 31st Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 19s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s look at Cape Paterson. This is a sheltered beach and reef spot that needs a good SW swell, and the water’s sitting around 56°F – right about average for the season.
Honestly, the first few days are pretty flat and messy. Monday the 24th August has 5ft swell from the SW, but the cross-off wind messes it up, with moderate energy reading of 822. Skip it. Tuesday and Wednesday are worse – Wednesday morning has 6ft onshore windswell, energy up to 1452, but it’s a total blowout. Thursday and Friday are only a little better; Friday morning shows 5ft, SW, with a proper long period of 18 seconds and energy of 1904, but the wind is cross, so not clean enough.
The first real chance is Saturday the 29th, but it’s still marginal. Sunday the 30th morning is the first encouraging sign: glassy conditions, 4ft SW groundswell, 13-second period, energy at 582. Clean but small. The standout is Monday the 31st August morning: solid 6ft SW swell with a 17-second period, energy at 2169, and a light NNW cross-off breeze keeping it clean. That’s excellent for experienced surfers – the long period will make it work well on the reef, but may be too straight for the beach. Crowds can show up sometimes, so get in early.
After that, Tuesday and Wednesday are choppy and messy again. Thursday the 3rd September stays clean in the morning with cross-off wind on a 5ft SW swell, but energy is only 1008 and wind is building. Friday the 4th pumps up to 7ft–8ft, but it’s onshore and lumpy with a fresh breeze – better for kite-surfing.
The second week is a mess of strong to near gale winds and messy cross-chop. Your best shot is Monday the 31st August morning. That’s the one.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 12 | SW 22 | WSW 20 | WSW 18 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 822 | 671 | 527 | 680 | 659 | 1142 | 1368 | 1011 | 816 | 456 | 148 | 485 | 1186 | 2582 | 1650 | 961 | 774 | 458 | 376 | 330 | 844 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | cross-on | on | on | on | on | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | glassy | cross | on | glassy | cross | on | cross |
High Tide | 7:14PM0.63m | 8:55AM0.62m | 8:08PM0.60m | 10:03AM0.62m | 9:17PM0.58m | 11:07AM0.63m | 10:35PM0.58m | 12:01PM0.66m | 11:47PM0.60m | 12:45PM0.69m | 00:47AM0.64m | 1:23PM0.71m | 1:38AM0.69m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:34PM0.37m | 2:03AM0.19m | 2:35PM0.40m | 3:01AM0.21m | 3:50PM0.40m | 4:07AM0.22m | 5:06PM0.38m | 5:11AM0.21m | 6:07PM0.33m | 6:09AM0.20m | 6:55PM0.28m | 6:59AM0.19m | 7:36PM0.22m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | |  |  | |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — |
 | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:51 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — |
mm | — | — | 4 | 4 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
Feels °C | 11 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 10 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 15 |
| kJ | 822 | 671 | 527 | 680 | 659 | 1142 | 521 | 1011 | 816 | 456 | 123 | 444 | 852 | 2582 | 1650 | 961 | 774 | 458 | 376 | 330 | 844 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 20 | WSW 18 | WSW 18 | WSW 16 | — | — | — | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | SW 12 | WSW 20 | WSW 18 | — | — | — | W 24 | SW 22 | SW 19 | SW 16 | WSW 18 |
| kJ | — | 15 | 32 | 123 | 237 | — | — | — | 25 | 21 | 148 | 485 | 1186 | — | — | — | 11 | 18 | 170 | 310 | 126 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | WSW 18 | — | E 4 | — | — | — | — | WSW 23 | SW 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 4 | SW 20 | SW 23 |
| kJ | — | — | 63 | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | 51 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 97 | 138 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 4 | NW 4 | ENE 2 | E 3 | — | SW 3 | SW 14 | SSW 5 | SSW 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 15 | 4 | 1 | 6 | — | 5 | 1368 | 44 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 5 | 5 | 20 | 5 | 54 | 81 | 45 | 45 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Best forecast wave conditions in East Coast of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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