Cape Paterson Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.68° S 145.60° E

Issued: 9 am 07 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
14.3° C

1.0°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Paterson surf forecast from 7 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 18s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 16s period, WSW swell with 7,862 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 7 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 16 days are 4.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Tue 7th Jul)4.5ft (1.4m) 15s
Best Surf 1PM (Wed 8th Jul)5ft (1.6m) 18s
Most Powerful 7PM (Mon 13th Jul)13ft (4.0m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 37mm), heaviest during Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat morning, min 8°C on Fri morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Fri afternoon, near gales from the NW by Sun morning).

Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
0
2
3
3
3
2
2
3
3
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
SW
17
1.3
SW
16
1.4
SW
15
1.4
SW
19
2
SW
18
1.6
SW
16
1.4
SW
16
1.2
SW
15
1.5
SW
16
1.5
WSW
15
1.5
WSW
15
1.3
WSW
15
1.2
WSW
14
1
WSW
14
3
WSW
9
4
WSW
12
4
W
13
4.5
WSW
13
4
WSW
15
4
WSW
16
3.5
WSW
17
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
851
897
795
1385
2402
1350
871
623
1201
1069
1083
711
553
419
1351
4068
5257
6260
6563
7665
7729
Wind (km/h)
5
NNE
15
SE
10
ESE
10
NE
10
SSE
10
NE
5
NNE
5
SSE
10
NNE
10
NNW
10
NNW
20
N
35
NNW
45
NNW
55
WNW
50
NW
45
WNW
45
WNW
50
NW
55
W
40
W
Wind State
off
cross
cross-off
off
cross
off
off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
4:39PM0.76m
5:05AM0.68m
5:11PM0.75m
5:53AM0.69m
5:47PM0.74m
6:46AM0.71m
6:27PM0.73m
7:45AM0.72m
7:15PM0.72m
8:49AM0.73m
8:11PM0.71m
9:57AM0.74m
9:15PM0.70m
Low Tide
10:19AM0.18m
11:00PM0.17m
11:00AM0.21m
11:37PM0.13m
11:44AM0.24m
00:19AM0.10m
12:34PM0.28m
1:06AM0.07m
1:30PM0.31m
2:00AM0.05m
2:33PM0.34m
3:01AM0.04m
3:43PM0.35m
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
heavy rain
rain showers
light rain
light rain
heavy rain
light rain
rain showers
light rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:33
7:33
7:33
7:33
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:08
5:08
5:09
5:10
5:10
5:12
5:13
 mm
11
5
1
5
15
2
3
1
Temp °C
11
13
12
11
12
10
9
10
10
11
12
10
13
13
10
11
12
11
12
12
11
Feels °C
10
9
8
9
9
6
8
8
8
8
9
5
4
4
0
-1
2
2
2
1
1
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
SW
17
1.3
SW
16
1.4
SW
15
1.4
SW
19
2
SW
18
1.6
SW
16
1.4
SW
16
1.2
SW
15
1.5
SW
16
1.5
WSW
15
1.5
WSW
15
1.3
WSW
15
1.2
WSW
14
1
WSW
14
3
WSW
12
3
WSW
13
0.1
SW
24
Energy kJ
851
897
795
1385
2402
1350
871
623
1201
1069
1083
711
553
419
2735
3257
22
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
ESE
4
0.2
ESE
8
0.1
SE
12
1.2
WSW
14
0.3
ESE
11
0.3
ESE
12
0.1
SE
11
0.3
SW
20
0.2
ESE
10
0.1
SE
8
0.8
WSW
9
Energy kJ
7
7
5
553
24
29
5
63
9
3
103
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
SE
12
0.1
SW
24
0.3
ESE
11
0.1
SE
10
Energy kJ
6
22
24
4
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
ESE
3
0.6
NNW
3
1.2
NW
5
1.7
NW
6
3
WSW
9
4
WSW
12
4
W
13
4.5
WSW
13
4
WSW
15
4
WSW
16
3.5
WSW
17
Energy kJ
4
7
62
172
1351
4068
5257
6260
6563
7665
7729
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
3
4
4
3
3
2
3
3
3
2
1
4
1
1
1
4
1
1
4
Distance (km)
5
44
20
5
44
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
227
142
227
487
734
121
443
443
117
Best forecast wave conditions in East Coast of Victoria
Rating
(10 max)
3
1
3
4
3
3
3
2
3
3
3
2
1
1
1
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
7
5
5
7
6
5
4
4
5
4
4
3
4
4
5
5
9
9
7
5
6
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
7
5
7
9
8
9
7
7
6
7
5
5
5
5
5
5
9
9
7
5
6
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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