Cape Paterson surf break

Cape Paterson surfForecast / VIC – East Coast / Australia

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 4 pm Saturday 24 Jan 2026 AEDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
17.2° C
(Which is normal for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jan 24) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 17s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 12 days are 1.3m 15s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jan 28) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 5s period and expected on Monday (Jan 26) at 5PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)11PM (Sat 24th Jan)1.5ft (0.4m) 17s
Best Surf 2AM (Mon 26th Jan)3.5ft (1.1m) 16s
Most Powerful 2PM (Wed 28th Jan)4.5ft (1.3m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Mostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Sat afternoon, min 14°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the ESE on Mon afternoon, light winds from the E by Tue morning).

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Mostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Tue afternoon, min 15°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds.

Sat
24
Sunday
25
Monday
26
Tuesday
27
Wednesday
28
Thursday
29
Friday
30
PMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.6
WSW
0.6
SW
1
SW
1.1
SW
1.1
SW
1.1
SW
1
SW
0.9
SW
0.6
WSW
0.7
SW
1
WSW
1
WSW
1.3
WSW
1
WSW
0.9
WSW
0.9
WSW
0.8
WSW
0.8
WSW
0.7
SW
0.7
SW
0.9
SW
Period(s) (?)111717161615141420181615141313121112101111
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)75222587602636543401268256327545461638368257226154169110117179
Wind
(km/h)
15
ESE
15
WNW
20
SW
20
SW
15
ENE
25
E
40
ESE
25
E
5
E
25
SE
20
SSW
15
SSW
20
SW
20
SSW
5
SSE
30
ESE
25
E
20
E
25
SE
15
ENE
25
WSW
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
off
cross-
on
ononcross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
ononononglasscross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
crossoffcross-
on
High Tide
/ height (m)
4:40PM
0.71
4:58AM
0.79
5:25PM
0.73
5:31AM
0.79
6:12PM
0.75
6:07AM
0.78
7:01PM
0.75
6:45AM
0.77
7:55PM
0.74
7:29AM
0.75
8:54PM
0.73
8:20AM
0.73
10:00PM
0.71
9:20AM
0.70
Low Tide
/ height (m)
10:42PM
0.15
11:17AM
0.12
11:23PM
0.17
11:55AM
0.08
12:05AM
0.20
12:36PM
0.05
12:51AM
0.24
1:21PM
0.04
1:40AM
0.28
2:11PM
0.04
2:36AM
0.32
3:09PM
0.05
3:41AM
0.35
Sat
24
Sunday
25
Monday
26
Tuesday
27
Wednesday
28
Thursday
29
Friday
30
Sunrise--6:20--6:20--6:22--6:22--6:24--6:26--6:26
Sunset8:38--8:37--8:37--8:37--8:36--8:35--8:34--
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
Rain (mm)
---------------------
Temp. °C272618181621232025282618181617211920232120
Feels °C (?)242216161417181325252317161417171419211820
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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