Cape Paterson surf break

Cape Paterson surfForecast / VIC – East Coast / Australia

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 10 pm Wednesday 14 Jan 2026 AEDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
17.6° C
(Which is normal for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jan 20) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 12 days are 1.4m 17s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jan 21) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 6s period and expected on Monday (Jan 19) at 5PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8AM (Tue 20th Jan)2.5ft (0.8m) 8s
Best Surf 8AM (Tue 20th Jan)2.5ft (0.8m) 8s
Most Powerful 8PM (Wed 21st Jan)4.5ft (1.4m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Moderate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Thu night. Very mild (max 19°C on Wed night, min 16°C on Thu night). Mainly strong winds.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Mostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Tue afternoon, min 16°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the E on Sun afternoon, light winds from the ESE by Tue morning).

Thursday
15
Friday
16
Saturday
17
Sunday
18
Monday
19
Tuesday
20
Wed
21
NightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
1
SW
0.9
SW
2.2
SE
2.5
SE
2.3
SE
2.3
SE
2.2
SE
2.1
SE
2.3
SE
2.1
SE
2.1
SE
2.3
SE
2.1
SE
1.3
SE
0.6
SW
1.3
SE
0.5
SW
0.5
SW
0.5
SW
1
SW
1.2
SW
Period(s) (?)13137877777778871391212221918
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)3352824278175205354934405004404725675461941342387375227730905
Wind
(km/h)
30
ESE
35
SE
45
SE
40
ESE
40
ESE
35
ESE
40
ESE
40
E
45
E
40
E
40
E
45
E
45
E
25
E
35
ESE
25
E
10
ESE
35
ESE
30
E
25
ESE
40
ESE
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
off
crosscrosscross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
High Tide
/ height (m)
9:09PM
0.64
8:27AM
0.65
10:06PM
0.63
9:13AM
0.62
11:10PM
0.63
10:09AM
0.60
12:14AM
0.65
11:14AM
0.59
1:11AM
0.67
12:20PM
0.59
2:00AM
0.70
1:22PM
0.60
2:42AM
0.73
2:17PM
0.63
Low Tide
/ height (m)
2:45AM
0.37
3:15PM
0.17
3:41AM
0.39
4:08PM
0.17
4:48AM
0.41
5:06PM
0.18
6:00AM
0.41
6:05PM
0.17
7:06AM
0.39
7:01PM
0.15
8:01AM
0.35
7:51PM
0.14
8:48AM
0.31
Thursday
15
Friday
16
Saturday
17
Sunday
18
Monday
19
Tuesday
20
Wed
21
Sunrise-6:09--6:09--6:11--6:11--6:13--6:13--6:15-
Sunset--8:43--8:43--8:43--8:42--8:42--8:40--8:40
rain showers
light rain
thunderstorm
mod rain
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
Rain (mm)
1346-----------------
Temp. °C191717171717171919172122192122192224202223
Feels °C (?)151312101110101211101414121616132120141817
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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