Cape Paterson Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.68° S 145.60° E

Issued: 9 pm 15 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
15.2° C

1.1°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Paterson surf forecast from 15 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 16 Jun, 10PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 16s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 20 Jun, 1PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, SW swell with 1,688 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 16 Jun, 10PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 16s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jun 16) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 4s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 4s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 16 days are 3.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jun 20) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.9m 6s period and expected on Friday (Jun 19) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Tue 16th Jun)5.5ft (1.7m) 16s
Best Surf10PM (Tue 16th Jun)5.5ft (1.7m) 16s
Most Powerful 1PM (Sat 20th Jun)10ft (3.0m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Mon night. Warm (max 20°C on Wed afternoon, min 14°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Fri night. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu night, min 11°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NNW on Fri morning, light winds from the SSW by Sun afternoon).

Tuesday
16
Wednesday
17
Thursday
18
Friday
19
Saturday
20
Sunday
21
Mon
22
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
2
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1
SW
11
1.1
WSW
12
1.1
SW
17
1.7
WSW
15
1.3
WSW
14
1.1
WSW
13
0.9
WSW
13
0.7
SW
12
0.6
SW
12
0.4
SW
21
0.7
SW
19
1.1
SW
18
1.3
SW
17
2.4
SW
10
3
SW
9
1.8
SW
10
1.3
SW
15
1.2
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
237
347
655
1193
712
440
290
149
110
160
350
686
940
1081
1688
653
685
541
534
590
573
Wind (km/h)
15
NNE
35
NNW
25
NW
15
NNW
20
NNW
15
NNW
20
N
30
N
30
NNW
30
NNW
50
NNW
40
NW
35
W
30
SSW
25
SW
15
SW
15
SW
15
SSW
10
NW
15
NW
10
W
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
on
on
cross
cross
cross-on
High Tide
10:53PM0.70m
12:29PM0.82m
11:58PM0.72m
1:24PM0.84m
1:01AM0.74m
2:16PM0.85m
2:01AM0.75m
3:04PM0.85m
3:00AM0.76m
3:49PM0.85m
3:57AM0.75m
4:33PM0.83m
4:53AM0.73m
5:14PM0.80m
Low Tide
5:34AM-0.01m
6:26PM0.30m
6:34AM-0.03m
7:24PM0.26m
7:32AM-0.03m
8:19PM0.22m
8:26AM-0.01m
9:11PM0.19m
9:18AM0.03m
10:02PM0.16m
10:08AM0.08m
10:51PM0.13m
10:56AM0.14m
rain showers
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
rain showers
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:33
7:33
7:33
7:33
7:35
7:35
7:35
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:01
5:01
5:01
5:01
5:01
5:01
5:02
 mm
1
1
2
6
3
2
Temp °C
16
16
17
16
19
20
18
18
16
16
14
14
13
13
12
12
12
12
12
10
11
Feels °C
11
10
13
14
16
18
15
13
11
11
5
6
6
6
6
9
8
8
10
6
8
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1
SW
11
1.1
WSW
12
1.1
WSW
12
1.7
WSW
15
1.3
WSW
14
1.1
WSW
13
0.9
WSW
13
0.7
SW
12
0.6
SW
12
0.6
WSW
12
0.7
SW
19
1.1
SW
18
1.3
SW
17
0.9
SW
16
0.6
WSW
16
0.8
SW
14
1.3
SW
15
1.2
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
Energy kJ
237
347
311
1193
712
440
290
149
110
93
350
686
940
416
171
248
685
541
534
590
573
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
W
22
0.5
SW
18
1.1
SW
17
0.4
NW
4
0.1
E
10
0.1
SW
24
0.4
SW
21
0.5
SW
12
0.2
N
9
0.2
E
9
0.1
E
10
0.6
SW
15
0.7
SW
6
0.4
SE
5
0.3
SE
5
0.1
SE
6
0.2
ESE
6
Energy kJ
9
168
655
5
2
22
160
68
6
7
2
171
34
10
3
1
3
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
W
22
0.1
E
10
0.4
SW
21
0.1
E
11
0.4
SE
6
0.3
SE
5
0.1
E
11
0.1
E
11
0.1
E
11
Energy kJ
9
2
115
2
11
4
2
2
2
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
NNW
3
1.2
NW
5
1
NW
5
0.5
NNW
4
0.4
NNW
4
0.6
NW
4
0.4
NNW
4
0.5
NNW
4
0.8
NNW
4
0.7
NW
4
1.9
NNW
6
2.5
WNW
7
1.6
WSW
6
2.4
SW
10
3
SW
9
1.8
SW
10
0.6
SW
4
0.5
SW
4
Energy kJ
3
63
43
8
6
12
4
8
22
16
219
533
176
1081
1688
653
11
8
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
2
3
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
3
3
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
Distance (km)
20
105
5
5
5
5
5
38
105
49
120
114
114
81
81
39
45
45
5
5
5
Best forecast wave conditions in East Coast of Victoria
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
3
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
5
4
5
5
4
6
4
4
4
4
5
4
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
5
5
4
4
5
5
5
8
7
6
5
6
6
4
9
8
9
9
8
6
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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