Cape Paterson surf break

Cape Paterson surfForecast / VIC – East Coast / Australia

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 4 am Sunday 16 Nov 2025 AEDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
14.6° C
(Which is normal for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Nov 21) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 12 days are 2.4m 14s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Nov 20) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Nov 22) at 5PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)11PM (Fri 21st Nov)5ft (1.6m) 13s
Best Surf11PM (Fri 21st Nov)5ft (1.6m) 13s
Most Powerful11AM (Thu 20th Nov)8ft (2.4m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Moderate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Sun night. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue afternoon, min 12°C on Sun night). Mainly strong winds.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Some drizzle, heaviest during Wed night. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed afternoon, min 10°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds.

Sunday
16
Monday
17
Tuesday
18
Wednesday
19
Thursday
20
Friday
21
Saturday
22
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.4
SW
1.4
WSW
2.5
WSW
3
WSW
2.5
WSW
2.5
WSW
2.4
WSW
2.1
WSW
2.4
WSW
2.1
WSW
2
WSW
2.5
WSW
2.4
WSW
2.3
SW
2.1
SW
1.7
SW
1.8
SW
1.3
SW
1.2
SW
0.9
SW
0.8
SW
Period(s) (?)1867898111111121213141515141313121212
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)791325691021106083113811094138213021158217322502215196711541102543423236164
Wind
(km/h)
30
WNW
25
WSW
40
W
40
WSW
35
W
35
W
35
NW
25
W
20
WNW
30
WNW
30
SW
30
WSW
15
SW
20
SW
15
S
20
S
20
S
15
ESE
20
ESE
35
ESE
30
E
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
crosscross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
crosscross-
on
cross-
on
crossononononcross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
High Tide
/ height (m)
8:33AM
0.67
9:28PM
0.61
9:24AM
0.64
10:39PM
0.62
10:18AM
0.62
11:43PM
0.64
11:13AM
0.61
12:38AM
0.68
12:06PM
0.61
1:25AM
0.71
12:55PM
0.62
2:07AM
0.74
1:40PM
0.63
2:47AM
0.76
Low Tide
/ height (m)
3:05PM
0.23
3:20AM
0.32
4:02PM
0.22
4:30AM
0.35
4:57PM
0.20
5:38AM
0.36
5:48PM
0.18
6:37AM
0.35
6:35PM
0.16
7:27AM
0.33
7:20PM
0.13
8:11AM
0.31
8:02PM
0.11
Sunday
16
Monday
17
Tuesday
18
Wednesday
19
Thursday
20
Friday
21
Saturday
22
Sunrise5:54--5:54--5:52--5:52--5:52--5:50--5:50--
Sunset-8:08--8:09--8:10--8:12--8:14--8:15--8:15-
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
Rain (mm)
-17311-----1---------
Temp. °C131412121314151716141513121312121112151715
Feels °C (?)98645791210810878766810118
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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