Cape Paterson Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.68° S 145.60° E

Issued: 3 pm 30 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
14.6° C

Slightly warmer than usual

Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Paterson surf forecast from 30 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 5 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 18s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 3 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 16s period, WSW swell with 17,176 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 1 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 13s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 01) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 16 days are 6.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 03) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.2m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 02) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Wed 1st Jul)2ft (0.6m) 13s
Best Surf10AM (Sun 5th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 18s
Most Powerful10AM (Fri 3rd Jul)20ft (6.0m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 32mm), heaviest during Wed night. Very mild (max 17°C on Wed morning, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Tue afternoon, near gales from the NNW by Thu morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 12°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Sun afternoon). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Fri afternoon, calm by Mon morning).

Tue
30
Wednesday
1
Thursday
2
Friday
3
Saturday
4
Sunday
5
Monday
6
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
3
2
2
1
2
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
13
0.6
SW
13
0.6
SW
13
1.7
WNW
5
1.2
W
8
2.5
W
10
3
W
11
6
WSW
16
5.5
WSW
16
3.5
WSW
14
3
SW
13
2.5
SW
13
2.1
SW
14
3
SW
18
2.5
SW
17
1.8
SW
16
1.4
SW
15
1.2
SW
14
1
SW
14
1.3
SW
17
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
123
144
138
138
127
177
1320
2023
17176
13919
5225
2795
2013
1787
5382
3639
1675
836
581
366
962
Wind (km/h)
15
NNW
20
NNW
30
N
30
N
45
NW
55
NNW
45
NW
50
NW
50
W
45
WSW
35
W
25
WSW
30
SW
25
S
15
E
25
ESE
20
ENE
10
NNE
5
SW
10
NNE
5
WNW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
on
off
cross
High Tide
11:34PM0.60m
1:05PM0.71m
00:29AM0.61m
1:48PM0.73m
1:20AM0.62m
2:27PM0.75m
2:08AM0.63m
3:03PM0.76m
2:53AM0.64m
3:36PM0.77m
3:36AM0.65m
4:07PM0.77m
4:20AM0.66m
Low Tide
6:14PM0.37m
6:10AM0.14m
7:06PM0.35m
6:58AM0.14m
7:53PM0.32m
7:42AM0.13m
8:35PM0.29m
8:23AM0.13m
9:14PM0.26m
9:02AM0.14m
9:51PM0.23m
9:40AM0.16m
10:25PM0.20m
10:19AM0.18m
mod rain
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
light rain
light rain
light rain
light rain
rain showers
light rain
rain showers
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:05
5:06
5:06
5:07
5:07
5:07
5:07
5:08
 mm
7
2
7
2
5
4
5
1
2
1
Temp °C
14
14
17
17
14
13
12
11
12
12
12
11
11
11
10
9
8
9
11
10
10
Feels °C
12
9
12
11
9
2
3
1
2
3
4
5
4
4
4
3
2
7
9
8
9
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
13
0.6
SW
13
0.6
SW
13
0.4
SW
13
1.2
W
8
0.2
WSW
17
0.8
WSW
19
2.1
SW
14
3
SW
18
2.5
SW
17
1.8
SW
16
1.4
SW
15
1.2
SW
14
1
SW
14
1.3
SW
17
Energy kJ
123
144
138
138
61
177
29
465
1787
5382
3639
1675
836
581
366
962
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
WSW
11
0.4
WSW
11
0.4
WSW
10
0.5
W
10
0.1
SW
18
0.4
SW
13
0.4
SW
16
0.9
SW
18
1
SSW
6
0.4
SE
4
0.2
ESE
4
0.2
WSW
19
0.2
ESE
5
Energy kJ
42
38
37
52
12
61
65
570
80
5
2
35
3
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
ESE
6
0.2
ESE
8
0.3
WSW
6
0.3
W
6
0.4
SW
16
0.4
E
3
Energy kJ
4
7
6
7
68
3
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
NW
4
0.8
NW
4
0.9
NNW
4
0.6
NNW
4
1.7
WNW
5
2.2
NNW
6
2.5
W
10
3
W
11
6
WSW
16
5.5
WSW
16
3.5
WSW
14
3
SW
13
2.5
SW
13
1.5
SSW
7
0.4
ESE
3
0.8
ESE
4
0.3
NE
3
Energy kJ
8
19
30
15
127
352
1320
2023
17176
13919
5225
2795
2013
210
3
20
1
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
3
1
7
4
1
3
5
3
2
3
2
2
3
Distance (km)
5
5
20
38
496
428
428
428
285
470
117
126
596
437
44
49
49
5
20
5
5
Best forecast wave conditions in East Coast of Victoria
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
4
3
3
3
2
2
3
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
4
3
3
4
9
4
7
5
5
4
7
4
4
5
5
9
8
5
4
4
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
5
5
5
5
8
7
5
9
5
7
5
7
6
5
9
9
9
6
7
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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