Cape Paterson Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.68° S 145.60° E

Cape Paterson Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 01 Oct 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
14.1°C
1.2° 

Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Paterson surf forecast from 30 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 5 Oct, 8PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 15s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 7 Oct, 2PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 4,895 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 1 Oct, 7PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Oct 01) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 4s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 16 days are 3.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Oct 07) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Oct 03) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7PM (Thu 1st Oct)4.5ft (1.4m) 14s
Best Surf 8PM (Mon 5th Oct)5ft (1.6m) 15s
Most Powerful 2PM (Wed 7th Oct)10ft (3.0m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 28mm), heaviest during Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 18°C on Thu morning, min 10°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the ESE on Fri night, light winds from the ENE by Sat night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue morning, min 9°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Sun morning, fresh winds from the NW by Tue morning).

Thursday
1
Friday
2
Saturday
3
Sunday
4
Monday
5
Tuesday
6
Wednesday
7
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
1
2
2
2
0
0
0
2
1
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
SW
15
1.3
WSW
14
1.3
WSW
14
1.3
WSW
13
1.2
SW
13
1.5
SW
15
1.4
SW
14
1.4
SW
14
1.4
SW
14
1.4
SW
14
1.6
SW
16
1.7
SW
16
1.6
SW
16
1.6
SW
15
1.6
SW
15
1.4
SW
16
3
WSW
8
3.5
WSW
12
3
SW
15
3
SW
16
2.5
WSW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
795
701
682
581
486
953
821
763
721
776
1284
1467
1300
1251
1118
883
989
3235
4650
4474
3203
Wind (km/h)
15
W
15
SSW
10
E
20
ESE
20
SE
35
ESE
40
ESE
30
ESE
15
SE
5
SW
15
SW
15
W
10
W
10
S
20
NNW
35
NW
35
WSW
35
SSW
20
SSE
20
SSE
20
E
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross
on
on
cross
cross-on
cross-off
High Tide
2:36PM0.76m
3:30AM0.84m
3:16PM0.78m
4:14AM0.84m
3:58PM0.78m
4:59AM0.81m
4:42PM0.76m
5:46AM0.78m
5:31PM0.74m
6:38AM0.74m
6:28PM0.70m
7:34AM0.70m
7:36PM0.66m
Low Tide
8:57PM-0.00m
9:29AM0.20m
9:40PM-0.02m
10:11AM0.21m
10:24PM-0.01m
10:55AM0.23m
11:11PM0.02m
11:42AM0.25m
00:02AM0.07m
12:36PM0.27m
00:59AM0.13m
1:38PM0.28m
2:04AM0.19m
cloud
heavy rain
light rain
light rain
light rain
light rain
light rain
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
cloud
clear
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:54
—
—
5:52
—
—
5:50
—
—
6:48
—
—
5:48
—
—
5:46
—
—
5:43
—
—
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
—
6:21
—
—
6:22
—
—
6:22
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—
7:23
—
—
6:24
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—
6:25
—
—
6:27
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 mm
—
19
4
2
1
1
1
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
4
3
—
—
—
—
Temp °C
18
12
12
12
12
13
13
13
12
12
12
11
13
14
15
16
12
12
11
11
9
Feels °C
16
10
10
9
9
6
5
6
8
8
8
7
11
11
11
8
4
5
6
6
4
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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