Cape Paterson Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.68° S 145.60° E

Issued: 3 am 10 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
15.3° C

Slightly warmer than usual

Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Paterson surf forecast from 9 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 11 Jun, 4AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 17s period, WSW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 11 Jun, 10AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 16s period, WSW swell with 2,864 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 11 Jun, 4AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 17s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jun 11) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 17s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 16 days are 2.4m 16s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jun 11) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Jun 10) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Thu 11th Jun)7ft (2.1m) 17s
Best Surf 4AM (Thu 11th Jun)7ft (2.1m) 17s
Most Powerful10AM (Thu 11th Jun)8ft (2.4m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 18°C on Fri morning, min 13°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NNW on Wed morning, calm by Thu morning).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Sat morning. Very mild (max 18°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNW on Sat morning, calm by Sun afternoon).

Wednesday
10
Thursday
11
Friday
12
Saturday
13
Sunday
14
Monday
15
Tuesday
16
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
2
4
4
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
3
2
2
1
1
0
2
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
WSW
14
1.6
WSW
14
1.5
WSW
14
2.4
WSW
16
2.3
WSW
15
2
WSW
14
1.7
WSW
14
1.5
WSW
13
1.1
SW
18
1.6
WSW
16
1.9
WSW
16
2.1
WSW
14
2
WSW
13
1.9
SW
13
1.6
SW
12
1.2
SW
12
1
WSW
12
1.1
WSW
11
1.2
WSW
12
1
WSW
12
1.3
WSW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
545
942
826
2864
2336
1538
1159
820
719
1321
1788
1784
1276
1211
706
407
280
285
392
288
586
Wind (km/h)
40
NNW
20
WNW
5
W
5
ENE
10
ESE
15
NNE
20
N
20
NNW
30
N
35
NNW
15
SW
20
WSW
5
NW
5
SE
20
NE
15
NE
15
NE
15
NNE
20
N
20
NE
15
NNE
Wind State
cross-off
cross
cross-on
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
on
on
cross
glassy
off
off
off
off
cross-off
off
off
High Tide
6:18PM0.72m
7:05AM0.66m
7:01PM0.70m
8:09AM0.68m
7:50PM0.69m
9:17AM0.71m
8:46PM0.69m
10:25AM0.75m
9:48PM0.69m
11:29AM0.78m
10:53PM0.70m
12:29PM0.82m
11:58PM0.72m
Low Tide
12:03PM0.24m
00:47AM0.18m
12:57PM0.27m
1:36AM0.14m
1:59PM0.31m
2:31AM0.10m
3:07PM0.33m
3:30AM0.06m
4:17PM0.34m
4:32AM0.02m
5:24PM0.32m
5:34AM-0.01m
6:26PM0.30m
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
mod rain
mod rain
rain showers
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:31
7:31
7:31
7:31
7:33
7:33
7:33
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:01
5:01
5:01
5:01
5:01
5:01
5:01
 mm
2
1
7
6
1
1
1
Temp °C
16
14
14
14
15
16
18
18
17
15
13
14
13
12
11
16
18
16
17
18
17
Feels °C
9
10
13
14
14
13
15
15
10
9
10
9
11
11
7
13
15
14
14
15
14
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
WSW
14
1.6
WSW
14
1.5
WSW
14
2.4
WSW
16
2.3
WSW
15
2
WSW
14
1.7
WSW
14
1.5
WSW
13
1.3
WSW
14
1.6
WSW
16
1.9
WSW
16
2.1
WSW
14
2
WSW
13
1.9
SW
13
1.6
SW
12
1.2
SW
12
1
WSW
12
1.1
WSW
11
1.2
WSW
12
1
WSW
12
1.3
WSW
13
Energy kJ
545
942
826
2864
2336
1538
1159
820
561
1321
1788
1784
1276
1211
706
407
280
285
392
288
586
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
E
5
0.2
E
7
0.9
WSW
18
0.1
SW
24
0.4
SW
21
1.1
SW
18
1.3
WSW
16
0.4
SSW
11
0.4
SW
11
0.2
E
5
0.6
SW
14
Energy kJ
2
4
553
22
156
719
759
50
33
2
162
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
WSW
8
0.1
SW
18
0.3
SW
16
Energy kJ
58
12
41
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
NNW
5
0.8
NW
4
0.5
NE
3
0.7
NNW
4
0.7
NW
4
0.8
NNW
4
1.4
NW
5
0.8
WSW
4
0.4
NE
3
0.5
N
3
0.2
NNW
3
0.7
NW
4
0.6
NW
4
0.5
NW
4
0.3
NNE
2
Energy kJ
90
24
5
11
17
20
94
25
2
4
1
17
16
9
1
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
2
3
4
4
3
3
3
3
4
1
4
3
3
2
2
1
1
2
2
2
Distance (km)
120
5
5
5
20
5
5
5
38
105
81
105
5
5
20
5
5
5
5
20
20
Best forecast wave conditions in East Coast of Victoria
Rating
(10 max)
1
2
3
4
4
3
3
3
3
1
3
3
2
2
1
1
2
2
2
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
5
2
7
8
4
5
4
4
5
5
5
4
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
5
7
8
6
6
5
5
7
6
5
4
5
5
5
4
5
5
4
5
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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