Cape Paterson surf break

Cape Paterson surfForecast / VIC – East Coast / Australia

information circle16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 9 am Monday 18 May 2026 AEST
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
16.2° C
(Which is slightly warmer than usual)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (May 18) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 12s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 16 days are 2.0m 12s and forecast to arrive on Monday (May 25) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Saturday (May 23) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7PM (Mon 18th May)4.5ft (1.4m) 12s
Best Surf 7PM (Mon 18th May)4.5ft (1.4m) 12s
Most Powerful 1AM (Mon 25th May)6.5ft (2.0m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 13°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon afternoon, fresh winds from the SW by Tue night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat afternoon, min 11°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Monday
18
Tuesday
19
Wednesday
20
Thursday
21
Friday
22
Saturday
23
Sunday
24
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
2
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
WSW
13
1.4
WSW
12
1.3
WSW
12
1
WSW
12
0.9
WSW
11
1.8
WSW
7
1.7
WSW
10
1.5
WSW
10
1.6
SW
10
1.3
WSW
10
1.6
SW
14
1.4
SW
12
1.2
SW
12
1.2
SW
13
1.5
SW
14
1.3
WSW
13
1.2
WSW
12
1
WSW
12
1.7
WSW
7
1.5
WSW
8
2
SW
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
630
573
436
280
219
297
527
448
500
354
961
558
442
494
915
572
403
294
263
285
1074
Wind (km/h)
5
S
5
SSW
5
WNW
20
WNW
30
WSW
30
SW
20
W
20
SW
10
WSW
10
WSW
5
SW
10
NNE
5
NE
10
SE
15
NE
20
NNW
20
NW
25
NW
15
SW
15
WSW
30
WNW
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
on
on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
on
off
off
cross
off
cross-off
cross
cross
on
cross-on
cross
High Tide
12:52PM0.83m
00:27AM0.73m
1:44PM0.86m
1:22AM0.75m
2:34PM0.88m
2:16AM0.77m
3:22PM0.87m
3:10AM0.77m
4:09PM0.85m
4:04AM0.76m
4:54PM0.82m
4:59AM0.73m
5:39PM0.79m
Low Tide
6:53PM0.27m
6:57AM-0.03m
7:45PM0.24m
7:51AM-0.05m
8:35PM0.22m
8:43AM-0.05m
9:25PM0.20m
9:33AM-0.01m
10:14PM0.19m
10:23AM0.04m
11:04PM0.18m
11:12AM0.10m
11:56PM0.18m
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:13
7:15
7:16
7:16
7:16
7:18
7:18
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:12
5:12
5:10
5:09
5:09
5:08
5:07
1
1
2
2
1
2
Temp °C
14
14
14
14
14
13
14
14
14
14
13
13
12
13
13
13
15
14
13
13
13
14
13
14
11
8
6
9
9
11
12
12
13
10
11
11
8
10
8
9
9
7
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
WSW
13
1.4
WSW
12
1.3
WSW
12
1
WSW
12
0.9
WSW
11
0.8
WSW
11
1.7
WSW
10
0.6
SW
16
1.6
SW
10
1.3
WSW
10
1.6
SW
14
1.4
SW
12
1.2
SW
12
1.2
SW
13
1.5
SW
14
1.3
WSW
13
1.2
WSW
12
1
WSW
12
0.9
SW
11
0.7
WSW
12
2
SW
12
Energy kJ
630
573
436
280
219
146
527
214
500
354
961
558
442
494
915
572
403
294
172
123
1074
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
ESE
9
0.2
ESE
9
0.2
ESE
9
0.3
SW
20
0.3
SW
18
0.4
SW
18
0.5
SW
17
0.1
SE
11
0.8
SW
16
0.9
SW
14
0.1
SE
10
0.1
SE
10
0.1
SE
10
0.1
SE
10
0.1
SE
10
0.1
SE
10
0.1
SE
9
0.1
SE
9
0.2
ESE
12
0.2
ESE
11
0.1
SE
11
Energy kJ
8
9
8
60
52
112
148
4
302
305
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
13
12
5
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
SW
22
0.1
SW
21
0.2
ESE
9
0.2
ESE
9
0.1
SE
10
0.1
SE
10
0.1
SE
11
0.1
SE
10
0.2
S
4
0.1
SE
10
0.1
NE
4
0.1
W
16
0.1
SW
18
Energy kJ
18
18
9
8
4
4
4
4
1
4
1
5
12
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
W
3
0.9
WSW
4
1.8
WSW
7
1.5
WSW
10
0.7
WSW
4
0.4
NE
2
0.3
NNW
2
0.6
NW
4
1.2
W
5
1.7
WSW
7
1.5
WSW
8
Energy kJ
2
32
297
448
15
2
1
10
74
263
285
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
3
2
2
1
2
3
3
Distance (km)
5
45
5
5
126
81
120
45
5
5
20
5
5
38
5
5
5
5
5
45
113
Best forecast wave conditions in East Coast of Victoria
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
2
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
1
3
2
2
2
2
1
2
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
6
4
4
4
4
3
3
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
4
5
4
4
4
4
4
5
5
5
5
4
4
5
6
5
7
5
5
5
4
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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