Cape Paterson Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.68° S 145.60° E

Cape Paterson Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 4 pm 30 Oct 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
15.7°C
1.8° 

Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Paterson surf forecast from 30 Oct 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 31 Oct, 2AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 14s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 5 Nov, 11PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 9s period, SW swell with 2,573 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 31 Oct, 2AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Oct 31) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 14s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 16 days are 4.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Nov 05) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Oct 31) at 11AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 2AM (Sat 31st Oct)4ft (1.2m) 14s
Best Surf 2AM (Sat 31st Oct)4ft (1.2m) 14s
Most Powerful11PM (Thu 5th Nov)13ft (4.0m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Warm (max 21°C on Sat morning, min 11°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Sat afternoon, calm by Sun night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 44mm), heaviest during Wed night. Very mild (max 17°C on Wed afternoon, min 10°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (calm on Tue night, strong winds from the SW by Thu morning).

Fri
30
Saturday
31
Sunday
1
Monday
2
Tuesday
3
Wednesday
4
Thursday
5
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
1
SW
13
1.9
WSW
6
1.5
WSW
7
0.9
SW
12
1.5
WSW
6
0.7
SW
12
1.3
SW
14
1.5
SW
15
1.5
SW
14
1.4
SW
13
1.3
SW
13
1.1
SW
12
0.9
WSW
12
0.9
SW
12
0.8
WSW
12
1.1
WSW
10
2.5
SW
10
4
SW
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
802
557
336
229
192
202
187
140
604
949
862
632
543
386
255
205
177
265
1391
2573
Wind (km/h)
15
ESE
15
NE
30
NW
35
WSW
15
WNW
25
WNW
20
SW
5
NE
10
S
15
SE
20
SSE
20
S
10
SSW
5
N
5
N
5
SW
20
SW
40
WSW
40
SW
30
WSW
Wind State
cross-off
off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
off
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
on
cross-off
cross-off
on
on
on
on
on
High Tide
4:12AM0.87m
3:56PM0.77m
4:57AM0.86m
4:44PM0.77m
5:43AM0.83m
5:35PM0.75m
6:29AM0.80m
6:30PM0.72m
7:17AM0.76m
7:32PM0.68m
8:08AM0.72m
8:41PM0.65m
Low Tide
9:33PM-0.04m
10:13AM0.21m
10:20PM-0.03m
10:58AM0.20m
11:08PM-0.00m
11:46AM0.20m
11:57PM0.05m
12:36PM0.21m
00:48AM0.11m
1:30PM0.21m
1:44AM0.19m
2:30PM0.21m
2:47AM0.25m
clear
part cloud
part cloud
thunderstorm
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
light rain
mod rain
light rain
part cloud
clear
clear
cloud
part cloud
heavy rain
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
—
—
6:11
—
—
6:09
—
—
6:09
—
—
6:07
—
—
6:05
—
—
6:05
—
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<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:50
—
—
7:51
—
—
7:52
—
—
7:52
—
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7:54
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7:55
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7:57
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 mm
—
—
—
2
—
—
—
—
1
6
4
—
—
—
—
—
30
4
2
—
Temp °C
20
19
21
17
14
14
14
13
13
12
13
13
13
13
15
17
12
13
14
13
Feels °C
16
14
16
12
9
10
10
10
11
9
11
9
9
10
13
15
11
6
7
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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