Cape Paterson Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.68° S 145.60° E

Issued: 9 pm 04 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
14.5° C

1.2°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Paterson surf forecast from 4 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 18s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 5 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 17s period, SW swell with 4,043 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 6 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 16 days are 2.5m 17s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Mon 6th Jul)5ft (1.5m) 15s
Best Surf 1PM (Wed 8th Jul)5ft (1.6m) 18s
Most Powerful 7AM (Sun 5th Jul)8ft (2.5m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Sun afternoon). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the E on Sun afternoon, calm by Tue morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue night, min 8°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Sat
11
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
0
3
2
2
2
1
1
2
1
2
3
4
3
2
2
2
3
3
1
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.5
SW
15
2.5
SW
17
2.2
SW
17
1.8
SW
16
1.3
SW
15
1.1
SW
14
0.9
SW
14
1.2
SW
17
1.3
SW
16
1.4
SW
15
1.4
SW
19
2
SW
18
1.6
SW
16
1.4
SW
16
1.2
SW
15
1.1
SW
14
1.5
WSW
16
1.5
WSW
15
1.4
WSW
15
1.2
WSW
14
2.5
W
7
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
3194
3770
2630
1513
757
513
304
851
813
784
1370
2402
1350
871
623
469
1112
1014
807
523
677
Wind (km/h)
25
S
20
ESE
30
E
25
E
15
NE
5
SE
10
NE
5
N
10
SE
10
E
10
ENE
10
ESE
10
N
10
NNW
5
NW
10
NNE
10
N
5
NW
20
N
25
N
40
NNW
Wind State
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross
off
glassy
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
2:53AM0.64m
3:36PM0.77m
3:36AM0.65m
4:07PM0.77m
4:20AM0.66m
4:39PM0.76m
5:05AM0.68m
5:11PM0.75m
5:53AM0.69m
5:47PM0.74m
6:46AM0.71m
6:27PM0.73m
7:45AM0.72m
Low Tide
9:02AM0.14m
9:51PM0.23m
9:40AM0.16m
10:25PM0.20m
10:19AM0.18m
11:00PM0.17m
11:00AM0.21m
11:37PM0.13m
11:44AM0.24m
00:19AM0.10m
12:34PM0.28m
1:06AM0.07m
1:30PM0.31m
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
light rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:33
7:33
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:07
5:07
5:08
5:08
5:09
5:10
5:10
 mm
5
Temp °C
12
11
11
10
12
13
12
11
13
13
11
12
10
10
10
10
10
11
10
13
12
Feels °C
6
5
4
5
10
11
9
10
10
9
8
9
6
8
8
8
7
8
6
5
4
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.5
SW
15
2.5
SW
17
2.2
SW
17
1.8
SW
16
1.3
SW
15
1.1
SW
14
0.9
SW
14
1.2
SW
17
1.3
SW
16
1.4
SW
15
1.4
SW
19
2
SW
18
1.6
SW
16
1.4
SW
16
1.2
SW
15
1.1
SW
14
1.5
WSW
16
1.5
WSW
15
1.4
WSW
15
1.2
WSW
14
Energy kJ
3194
3770
2630
1513
757
513
304
851
813
784
1370
2402
1350
871
623
469
1112
1014
807
523
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
ESE
5
0.4
SE
5
0.3
ESE
4
0.3
ESE
8
0.2
ESE
12
0.1
SE
12
1.2
WSW
14
0.3
ESE
12
0.1
SE
11
0.1
SE
10
0.8
SW
18
0.2
ESE
11
0.1
SE
8
Energy kJ
22
6
3
12
14
5
545
29
5
4
370
12
3
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
SW
20
0.1
SE
11
0.1
SE
12
0.3
ESE
11
0.1
SE
10
Energy kJ
60
5
6
24
4
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.5
SW
7
0.6
SE
5
0.9
SE
4
0.9
ESE
5
0.6
E
5
0.6
NNW
3
1.5
NW
5
2.5
W
7
Energy kJ
229
21
27
39
19
9
119
677
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
5
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
4
4
3
2
2
2
3
3
2
2
2
Distance (km)
81
45
71
66
5
20
5
5
44
5
5
20
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
113
Best forecast wave conditions in East Coast of Victoria
Rating
(10 max)
1
4
3
2
2
2
2
3
2
3
4
4
3
3
2
2
3
3
2
2
1
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
4
5
9
7
4
4
8
7
4
5
7
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
5
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
4
5
9
7
5
5
8
7
5
5
9
7
9
5
7
5
5
4
8
4
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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