Cape Paterson Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.68° S 145.60° E

Issued: 3 am 21 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
15.0° C

1.1°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Paterson surf forecast from 20 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 21 Jun, 10AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 14s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 23 Jun, 4PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 14s period, WSW swell with 1,176 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 21 Jun, 10AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jun 21) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 16 days are 1.7m 14s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jun 23) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 5s period and expected on Thursday (Jun 25) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Sun 21st Jun)4.5ft (1.3m) 14s
Best Surf10AM (Sun 21st Jun)4.5ft (1.3m) 14s
Most Powerful 4PM (Tue 23rd Jun)5.5ft (1.7m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Sun morning, min 10°C on Mon morning). Winds increasing (calm on Sun morning, fresh winds from the NW by Tue morning).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Wed night, min 9°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Sunday
21
Monday
22
Tuesday
23
Wednesday
24
Thursday
25
Friday
26
Saturday
27
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
2
1
1
2
1
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
SW
14
1.3
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
1.2
SW
15
1.1
SW
14
1.1
SW
14
1.7
WSW
14
1.6
SW
14
1.6
SW
13
1.4
SW
13
1.3
SW
13
1
SW
13
1
SW
13
0.9
SW
12
0.7
SW
16
0.7
SW
15
1.2
SW
15
1.2
SW
14
1.2
SW
16
1.1
SW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
736
656
518
590
606
459
434
1176
1004
834
659
519
331
331
212
248
233
623
590
692
492
Wind (km/h)
5
E
10
S
5
NE
10
NNW
15
W
25
WNW
30
NW
25
WNW
20
WSW
10
WSW
10
WNW
20
E
20
E
15
ESE
10
ENE
5
NE
5
SSE
10
SE
5
SE
10
SSW
10
NE
Wind State
glassy
cross-on
off
cross-off
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross
cross
glassy
cross-on
off
High Tide
4:33PM0.83m
4:53AM0.73m
5:14PM0.80m
5:48AM0.70m
5:54PM0.76m
6:43AM0.68m
6:34PM0.72m
7:38AM0.66m
7:14PM0.68m
8:34AM0.65m
7:58PM0.65m
9:32AM0.65m
8:46PM0.62m
Low Tide
10:08AM0.08m
10:51PM0.13m
10:56AM0.14m
11:38PM0.13m
11:43AM0.21m
00:24AM0.13m
12:31PM0.27m
1:10AM0.14m
1:21PM0.32m
1:55AM0.15m
2:15PM0.35m
2:43AM0.16m
3:14PM0.38m
3:33AM0.16m
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
light rain
cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:01
5:02
5:02
5:02
5:02
5:04
5:04
 mm
1
Temp °C
13
13
12
12
12
12
11
12
13
12
12
13
12
13
11
10
12
12
11
11
10
Feels °C
12
11
10
9
8
9
5
8
8
9
10
9
8
9
7
7
10
9
9
9
8
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
SW
14
1.3
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
1.2
SW
15
1.1
SW
14
1.1
SW
14
1.7
WSW
14
1.6
SW
14
1.6
SW
13
1.4
SW
13
1.3
SW
13
1
SW
13
1
SW
13
0.9
SW
12
0.7
SW
12
0.7
SW
15
1.2
SW
15
1.2
SW
14
1.2
SW
16
1.1
SW
15
Energy kJ
736
656
518
590
606
459
434
1176
1004
834
659
519
331
331
212
142
233
623
590
692
492
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
SE
5
0.1
SE
4
0.2
ESE
5
0.2
E
5
0.1
E
11
0.1
E
10
0.1
E
10
0.1
E
7
0.8
SW
12
0.4
SE
6
0.4
SE
5
0.2
ESE
5
0.3
ESE
4
0.4
SE
5
0.2
WSW
19
0.7
SW
16
0.7
SW
12
0.3
SW
20
0.4
SW
18
0.1
SE
12
0.1
SE
12
Energy kJ
3
1
3
2
2
2
2
1
181
8
7
2
3
6
35
248
144
61
83
6
5
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
E
11
0.2
ESE
4
0.1
E
11
0.1
E
11
0.1
E
11
0.1
E
10
0.1
E
6
0.1
E
10
0.1
E
10
0.1
E
9
0.1
SW
24
0.2
WSW
22
0.4
SW
21
0.1
E
12
Energy kJ
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
2
2
2
22
47
116
3
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
WNW
3
0.8
W
4
1.3
W
6
1.2
WSW
7
0.7
E
5
0.6
ESE
5
0.5
E
4
0.3
ESE
4
0.2
ESE
3
0.4
E
3
0.4
ENE
3
0.3
E
3
0.4
E
3
Energy kJ
3
18
120
143
21
18
9
3
1
3
3
2
3
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
2
2
2
2
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
Distance (km)
5
45
5
5
23
5
39
5
81
5
5
20
44
20
5
5
20
44
5
45
5
Best forecast wave conditions in East Coast of Victoria
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
2
2
2
1
1
1
2
2
1
2
2
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
4
3
4
5
4
4
4
3
5
4
4
3
4
2
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
4
9
5
7
5
7
5
6
5
7
9
7
6
7
5
5
5
5
6
6
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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