Cape Paterson surf break

Cape Paterson surfForecast / VIC – East Coast / Australia

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 10 pm Tuesday 13 Jan 2026 AEDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
17.6° C
(Which is normal for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jan 14) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 12 days are 3.0m 7s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jan 15) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.2m 7s period and expected on Saturday (Jan 17) at 8PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5AM (Wed 14th Jan)3.5ft (1.1m) 14s
Best Surf 5AM (Wed 14th Jan)3.5ft (1.1m) 14s
Most Powerful 8PM (Thu 15th Jan)10ft (3.0m) 7s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Moderate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Thu night. Warm (max 20°C on Wed afternoon, min 14°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the ESE on Tue night, near gales from the SSE by Thu night).

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Mostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Mon afternoon, min 16°C on Fri night). Mainly strong winds.

Wednesday
14
Thursday
15
Friday
16
Saturday
17
Sunday
18
Monday
19
Tue
20
NightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPM
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.8
SW
1.2
SW
1.1
SW
1
SW
1.7
SE
2.4
SE
2.4
SE
2
SE
1.9
SE
1.9
SE
0.7
SW
2.1
SE
0.6
SW
2
SE
2.2
SE
1.9
SE
2.1
SE
1.9
SE
0.5
SW
0.4
WSW
0.4
WSW
Period(s) (?)151414137777661271277776131212
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)30158149233528259060436630227815339186352460344370296795858
Wind
(km/h)
10
SE
20
SE
35
SE
25
SE
20
SE
55
SE
40
ESE
40
ESE
40
ESE
40
ESE
40
E
45
E
40
E
45
E
45
E
40
E
35
E
40
E
25
E
15
E
15
ENE
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
crosscrosscrosscrosscrosscrosscross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
High Tide
/ height (m)
8:17PM
0.65
7:47AM
0.68
9:09PM
0.64
8:27AM
0.65
10:06PM
0.63
9:13AM
0.62
11:10PM
0.63
10:09AM
0.60
12:14AM
0.65
11:14AM
0.59
1:11AM
0.67
12:20PM
0.59
2:00AM
0.70
1:22PM
0.60
Low Tide
/ height (m)
1:56AM
0.33
2:29PM
0.15
2:45AM
0.37
3:15PM
0.17
3:41AM
0.39
4:08PM
0.17
4:48AM
0.41
5:06PM
0.18
6:00AM
0.41
6:05PM
0.17
7:06AM
0.39
7:01PM
0.15
8:01AM
0.35
7:51PM
0.14
Wednesday
14
Thursday
15
Friday
16
Saturday
17
Sunday
18
Monday
19
Tue
20
Sunrise-6:07--6:09--6:09--6:11--6:11--6:13--6:13-
Sunset--8:44--8:43--8:43--8:43--8:42--8:42--8:40
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
thunderstorm
rain showers
heavy rain
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
Rain (mm)
----4114--------------
Temp. °C161820191717171717161818171820182022212223
Feels °C (?)141515141571010119111091012101516162021
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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