Cape Paterson Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.68° S 145.60° E

Cape Paterson Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 03 Oct 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
14.4°C
1.5° 

Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Paterson surf forecast from 3 Oct 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 7 Oct, 5AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 6 Oct, 8PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 15s period, SW swell with 3,820 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 4 Oct, 1AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Oct 04) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 16 days are 3.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Oct 06) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Oct 07) at 8PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Sun 4th Oct)5ft (1.5m) 14s
Best Surf 5AM (Wed 7th Oct)10ft (3.0m) 15s
Most Powerful 8PM (Tue 6th Oct)10ft (3.0m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 12°C on Sat morning, min 9°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Thu morning, min 8°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WNW on Tue morning, calm by Thu morning).

Saturday
3
Sunday
4
Monday
5
Tuesday
6
Wednesday
7
Thursday
8
Friday
9
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
2
0
0
2
1
2
3
0
0
3
3
3
2
3
1
2
1
2
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.5
SW
14
1.4
SW
14
1.5
SW
14
1.5
SW
14
1.6
SW
15
1.8
SW
16
1.7
SW
16
1.8
SW
16
1.6
SW
16
1.4
SW
16
3
WSW
15
3
SW
15
2.5
SW
15
2.5
SW
15
2
WSW
15
1.7
SW
15
1.5
SW
15
1.3
SW
15
1.4
SW
19
1.5
SW
17
1.5
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
902
833
877
865
1251
1552
1431
1532
1350
1018
3800
3614
2938
2795
1907
1289
940
763
1385
1275
1129
Wind (km/h)
30
ESE
25
SE
5
SSE
20
SW
20
WSW
10
WNW
15
WNW
10
SW
15
NNW
35
WNW
35
SW
10
SSE
20
ESE
25
ESE
25
ENE
5
N
10
SE
20
ENE
25
N
20
N
15
WSW
Wind State
cross-off
cross
glassy
on
on
cross
cross-on
on
cross-off
cross-on
on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
off
cross-off
cross-off
on
High Tide
3:58PM0.78m
4:59AM0.81m
4:42PM0.76m
5:46AM0.78m
5:31PM0.74m
6:38AM0.74m
6:28PM0.70m
7:34AM0.70m
7:36PM0.66m
8:37AM0.68m
8:56PM0.64m
9:42AM0.66m
10:19PM0.65m
Low Tide
10:11AM0.21m
10:24PM-0.01m
10:55AM0.23m
11:11PM0.02m
11:42AM0.25m
00:02AM0.07m
12:36PM0.27m
00:59AM0.13m
1:38PM0.28m
2:04AM0.19m
2:50PM0.27m
3:18AM0.23m
4:02PM0.24m
cloud
light rain
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
light rain
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:50
—
—
6:48
—
—
5:48
—
—
5:46
—
—
5:43
—
—
5:43
—
—
5:41
—
—
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
—
6:22
—
—
7:23
—
—
6:24
—
—
6:25
—
—
6:27
—
—
6:28
—
—
6:29
—
 mm
—
3
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
1
3
Temp °C
12
11
12
12
11
11
12
12
12
13
13
12
15
16
14
21
20
20
24
22
16
Feels °C
6
6
8
8
7
9
9
9
8
6
6
8
10
10
11
20
17
16
19
18
14
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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