Cape Paterson surf break

Cape Paterson surfForecast / VIC – East Coast / Australia

information circle16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 9 pm Thursday 28 May 2026 AEST
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
16.0° C
(Which is 1.1°C warmer than normal for this time of year)

Cape Paterson surf forecast from 28 May 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 2 Jun, 7PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 15s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 31 May, 7PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 12s period, WSW swell with 2,869 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 2 Jun, 7PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jun 02) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 16 days are 3.5m 12s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (May 31) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Jun 02) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7PM (Tue 2nd Jun)2.5ft (0.7m) 15s
Best Surf 7PM (Tue 2nd Jun)2.5ft (0.7m) 15s
Most Powerful 7PM (Sun 31st May)11ft (3.5m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Sat night. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu night, min 11°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SW on Thu night, strong winds from the WNW by Sun morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 20mm), heaviest during Mon night. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue morning, min 11°C on Mon morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the N on Mon night, calm by Tue night).

Friday
29
Saturday
30
Sunday
31
Monday
1
Tuesday
2
Wednesday
3
Thu
4
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
WSW
12
0.5
SW
15
0.5
SW
14
0.7
WSW
13
0.6
WSW
12
1.3
W
6
2.2
WSW
8
2.5
W
10
3.5
WSW
11
3
WSW
12
2.2
WSW
12
1.7
SW
12
1.1
SW
11
0.8
SW
10
0.6
SW
16
0.8
SW
14
1.7
SW
5
2.5
SW
8
2
SW
7
1.7
SW
7
1.3
SW
6
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
94
107
102
149
99
118
599
1207
2475
2315
1294
768
303
129
157
251
153
955
429
248
124
Wind (km/h)
10
WSW
15
WNW
15
W
25
NW
30
WNW
30
WNW
30
WNW
45
NW
45
W
35
W
25
NNW
35
NNW
35
N
35
NNW
25
N
10
WSW
30
W
30
WNW
35
WSW
25
WSW
25
WNW
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
10:12AM0.65m
9:38PM0.62m
11:10AM0.67m
10:32PM0.61m
12:01PM0.70m
11:24PM0.61m
12:47PM0.72m
00:14AM0.62m
1:30PM0.74m
1:01AM0.63m
2:10PM0.75m
1:45AM0.64m
2:49PM0.76m
Low Tide
3:27AM0.18m
4:02PM0.36m
4:18AM0.17m
5:04PM0.36m
5:08AM0.15m
5:59PM0.35m
5:56AM0.14m
6:48PM0.33m
6:41AM0.12m
7:32PM0.31m
7:25AM0.11m
8:14PM0.30m
8:06AM0.11m
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
light rain
rain showers
light rain
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
light rain
mod rain
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:22
7:24
7:24
7:24
7:26
7:26
7:26
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:06
5:05
5:05
5:04
5:04
5:04
5:02
2
4
2
3
5
1
7
2
3
2
5
1
Temp °C
14
13
13
13
14
14
13
12
13
13
13
13
13
14
13
14
14
14
13
13
13
13
11
9
9
8
8
7
2
4
6
6
5
5
7
9
12
9
8
5
7
7
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
WSW
12
0.5
WSW
11
0.5
WSW
11
0.7
WSW
13
0.6
WSW
12
0.6
WSW
12
0.1
SE
10
0.1
SE
10
0.2
ESE
10
0.2
ESE
10
2.2
WSW
12
1.7
SW
12
1.1
SW
11
0.8
SW
10
0.6
SW
10
0.8
SW
14
0.1
SE
9
0.1
SW
20
0.6
SW
13
0.6
SW
13
0.6
SW
12
Energy kJ
94
71
69
149
99
98
4
4
10
10
1294
768
303
122
76
251
3
15
128
104
120
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SW
16
0.5
SW
15
0.5
SW
14
0.4
SW
4
0.2
ESE
10
0.2
ESE
10
0.1
W
18
0.1
SE
10
0.6
SW
12
0.3
SW
18
0.5
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.3
W
10
0.2
ESE
9
0.4
SW
13
0.1
SW
19
0.2
WSW
19
0.3
SW
18
Energy kJ
67
107
102
6
10
10
6
4
122
49
129
157
17
8
46
15
34
50
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
ESE
11
0.2
ESE
11
0.2
ESE
11
0.3
SE
10
0.1
SE
10
0.1
SE
10
0.1
SE
10
0.1
SE
10
0.1
SE
9
0.1
E
9
0.1
SW
20
0.2
W
10
0.2
W
10
Energy kJ
12
11
11
16
4
4
4
4
3
2
15
8
7
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SW
4
0.4
SW
3
0.4
WSW
3
0.4
NW
3
1.1
W
5
1.3
W
6
2.2
WSW
8
2.5
W
10
3.5
WSW
11
3
WSW
12
0.8
NW
4
0.9
NNW
4
1
NNW
5
1.3
NNW
5
1
NW
5
0.6
NW
4
1.7
SW
5
2.5
SW
8
2
SW
7
1.7
SW
7
1.3
SW
6
Energy kJ
5
3
4
2
55
118
599
1207
2475
2315
24
31
53
77
48
11
153
955
429
248
124
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
3
3
3
4
2
1
1
1
3
4
3
2
1
Distance (km)
5
5
23
5
114
114
113
126
114
114
5
140
38
120
5
5
114
364
114
41
35
Best forecast wave conditions in East Coast of Victoria
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
1
1
1
3
2
1
1
1
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
4
3
4
4
4
3
2
4
5
3
4
4
5
4
4
2
4
4
3
4
3
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
9
7
5
5
5
5
7
7
6
5
5
4
5
5
4
4
5
5
5
4
4
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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