Cape Paterson Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.68° S 145.60° E

Issued: 3 am 28 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
14.8° C

1.1°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Paterson surf forecast from 27 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 28 Jun, 7AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 15s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 3 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 17s period, WSW swell with 6,900 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 28 Jun, 7AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jun 28) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 16 days are 3.5m 17s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 03) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.1m 6s period and expected on Friday (Jul 03) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Sun 28th Jun)3.5ft (1.1m) 15s
Best Surf 7AM (Sun 28th Jun)3.5ft (1.1m) 15s
Most Powerful 4PM (Fri 3rd Jul)11ft (3.5m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Tue morning. Very mild (max 17°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 27mm), heaviest during Thu night. Very mild (max 17°C on Wed afternoon, min 11°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (moderate winds from the NNE on Wed afternoon, near gales from the NW by Thu night).

Sunday
28
Monday
29
Tuesday
30
Wednesday
1
Thursday
2
Friday
3
Saturday
4
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
SW
15
1.1
SW
15
0.9
SW
15
0.8
SW
14
0.8
SW
14
0.8
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
13
0.6
SW
13
0.6
SW
13
0.6
SW
13
1.4
W
10
1.1
WSW
10
1.3
WSW
11
1.4
WSW
19
3.5
WSW
17
1.8
WSW
15
3.5
SW
13
3
SW
12
3
SW
11
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
605
485
355
231
234
224
158
121
142
109
138
109
384
270
359
1309
6900
1467
4119
2801
2204
Wind (km/h)
15
NE
15
ESE
15
NE
15
NE
10
NNE
15
NNE
15
NE
15
NW
20
NNW
25
N
25
NNE
40
NNW
50
NNW
40
NNW
35
NW
50
WNW
45
W
35
W
40
WSW
45
SW
35
SSW
Wind State
off
cross-off
off
off
off
off
off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
High Tide
10:30AM0.65m
9:39PM0.61m
11:25AM0.67m
10:37PM0.60m
12:18PM0.69m
11:34PM0.60m
1:05PM0.71m
00:29AM0.61m
1:48PM0.73m
1:20AM0.62m
2:27PM0.75m
2:08AM0.63m
3:03PM0.76m
2:53AM0.64m
Low Tide
4:16PM0.39m
4:26AM0.16m
5:17PM0.38m
5:19AM0.15m
6:14PM0.37m
6:10AM0.14m
7:06PM0.35m
6:58AM0.14m
7:53PM0.32m
7:42AM0.13m
8:35PM0.29m
8:23AM0.13m
9:14PM0.26m
clear
clear
cloud
cloud
cloud
light rain
mod rain
rain showers
cloud
cloud
cloud
rain showers
part cloud
mod rain
heavy rain
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
light rain
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:05
5:05
5:05
5:06
5:06
5:07
5:07
 mm
4
9
3
1
7
11
3
2
3
1
1
2
Temp °C
12
14
15
16
17
14
12
13
14
16
17
14
13
12
12
13
13
12
11
10
11
Feels °C
10
10
10
13
14
10
9
11
10
11
12
8
3
4
4
3
5
3
2
0
2
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
SW
15
1.1
SW
15
0.9
SW
15
0.8
SW
14
0.8
SW
14
0.8
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
13
0.6
W
11
0.6
W
10
0.6
W
10
1.4
W
10
1.1
WSW
10
1.3
WSW
11
1.4
WSW
19
2.1
WSW
16
1.8
WSW
15
0.1
W
24
0.3
SW
21
Energy kJ
605
485
355
231
234
224
158
121
142
85
74
71
384
270
359
1309
2271
1467
11
72
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
SW
14
0.2
E
6
0.2
ESE
6
0.4
WSW
12
0.5
W
12
0.5
W
11
0.6
SW
13
0.6
SW
13
0.6
SW
13
0.6
SW
13
0.6
SW
13
0.8
WSW
13
0.8
SW
14
Energy kJ
89
2
4
46
69
57
109
138
109
111
140
225
234
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
SE
6
0.2
ESE
7
0.1
SE
6
0.1
SE
8
0.1
SE
9
0.1
E
6
0.1
SW
18
0.2
WSW
16
0.6
W
6
0.4
SW
21
Energy kJ
1
4
2
3
3
1
12
26
28
117
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
ENE
3
0.3
ESE
4
0.4
E
4
0.3
E
4
0.4
E
5
0.4
NNW
4
0.3
NNW
4
0.4
NNW
3
0.7
NNW
4
0.8
NNW
4
0.5
NNW
4
1.3
NW
5
1.6
NNW
5
1.3
NNW
5
1.7
NW
6
2.5
WNW
7
3.5
WSW
17
2.3
WSW
7
3.5
SW
13
3
SW
12
3
SW
11
Energy kJ
2
2
5
3
9
5
2
3
13
20
8
89
143
103
182
634
6900
559
4119
2801
2204
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
3
3
2
1
Distance (km)
5
44
5
20
5
20
5
5
5
5
5
289
120
120
429
429
429
114
117
596
285
Best forecast wave conditions in East Coast of Victoria
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
4
3
3
4
2
3
3
4
1
8
9
7
5
4
5
4
5
5
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
6
8
9
9
7
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
9
7
5
6
5
4
5
6
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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