Cape Paterson Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.68° S 145.60° E

Issued: 9 am 30 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
14.7° C

1.1°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Paterson surf forecast from 30 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 5 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 17s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 3 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 16s period, WSW swell with 11,679 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 30 Jun, 4PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jun 30) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 16 days are 5.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 03) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.0m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 02) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4PM (Tue 30th Jun)2ft (0.6m) 14s
Best Surf 7PM (Sun 5th Jul)8ft (2.5m) 17s
Most Powerful 1PM (Fri 3rd Jul)16ft (5.0m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 43mm), heaviest during Wed night. Very mild (max 17°C on Wed morning, min 8°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Tue afternoon, near gales from the WNW by Thu night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Very mild (max 12°C on Fri morning, min 7°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the W on Fri morning, light winds from the NNE by Sun night).

Tuesday
30
Wednesday
1
Thursday
2
Friday
3
Saturday
4
Sunday
5
Monday
6
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
4
3
1
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
13
0.6
SW
13
0.6
SW
13
0.6
SW
13
1.3
WSW
8
2
WSW
10
3
W
8
4.5
WSW
16
4.5
WSW
16
4
WSW
14
3
SW
13
2.5
SW
13
2.1
SW
14
3
SW
18
2.5
SW
18
2.1
SW
16
1.6
SW
16
1.3
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
160
123
144
138
138
109
229
757
1160
9825
10657
5978
3000
2345
1637
5306
3891
2316
1248
736
557
Wind (km/h)
15
NE
10
NNW
20
NNW
25
N
25
N
40
NW
50
NNW
40
NW
50
WNW
55
W
50
W
35
W
30
WSW
35
WSW
30
SSW
20
SSE
20
SE
15
E
5
NNW
5
SW
10
SSW
Wind State
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
on
on
High Tide
12:18PM0.69m
11:34PM0.60m
1:05PM0.71m
00:29AM0.61m
1:48PM0.73m
1:20AM0.62m
2:27PM0.75m
2:08AM0.63m
3:03PM0.76m
2:53AM0.64m
3:36PM0.77m
3:36AM0.65m
4:07PM0.77m
Low Tide
6:14PM0.37m
6:10AM0.14m
7:06PM0.35m
6:58AM0.14m
7:53PM0.32m
7:42AM0.13m
8:35PM0.29m
8:23AM0.13m
9:14PM0.26m
9:02AM0.14m
9:51PM0.23m
9:40AM0.16m
10:25PM0.20m
mod rain
mod rain
rain showers
light rain
cloud
rain showers
light rain
mod rain
light rain
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:05
5:06
5:06
5:07
5:07
5:07
5:07
 mm
7
10
2
1
10
3
7
3
3
1
3
1
Temp °C
14
14
14
17
16
14
13
12
11
12
12
12
11
12
11
10
9
8
7
9
9
Feels °C
12
13
9
12
10
9
3
3
1
2
2
3
4
4
3
5
4
4
4
7
7
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
13
0.6
SW
13
0.6
SW
13
0.6
SW
13
1.3
WSW
8
2
WSW
10
0.6
WSW
19
2.1
SW
14
3
SW
18
2.5
SW
18
2.1
SW
16
1.6
SW
16
1.3
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
Energy kJ
160
123
144
138
138
109
229
757
243
1637
5306
3891
2316
1248
736
557
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
WSW
12
0.4
WSW
11
0.4
WSW
11
0.4
WSW
10
0.6
W
10
0.1
SW
18
0.4
SW
13
0.2
WSW
16
0.2
WSW
22
0.5
SSE
5
0.5
WSW
14
Energy kJ
27
42
38
37
74
13
63
26
46
15
113
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
ESE
7
0.2
ESE
6
0.2
ESE
8
0.3
WSW
6
0.1
SE
9
0.4
SW
16
0.3
WSW
21
0.1
SE
8
Energy kJ
4
4
7
6
3
68
88
3
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
NNE
2
0.2
NNW
3
0.6
NW
4
0.9
NNW
4
0.6
NNW
4
1.4
NW
5
2
NNW
6
1.6
NW
6
3
W
8
4.5
WSW
16
4.5
WSW
16
4
WSW
14
3
SW
13
2.5
SW
13
1.6
SSW
7
0.9
SSE
6
Energy kJ
1
1
10
24
13
80
270
176
1160
9825
10657
5978
3000
2345
251
55
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
7
5
1
3
4
5
4
3
2
2
Distance (km)
5
5
5
20
5
39
120
120
421
447
429
117
117
443
437
71
45
20
5
20
45
Best forecast wave conditions in East Coast of Victoria
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
4
4
4
3
2
1
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
3
3
3
8
4
7
5
5
5
7
5
5
5
4
5
5
5
4
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
5
5
5
4
4
5
6
9
6
5
7
5
7
5
5
5
9
8
9
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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