Cape Paterson Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.68° S 145.60° E

Issued: 3 pm 15 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
15.2° C

1.1°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Paterson surf forecast from 15 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 16 Jun, 10PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 16s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 16 Jun, 10PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 16s period, WSW swell with 1,307 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 16 Jun, 1AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 11s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jun 16) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 22s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 16 days are 1.7m 16s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jun 16) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.9m 6s period and expected on Friday (Jun 19) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Tue 16th Jun)3.5ft (1.0m) 11s
Best Surf10PM (Tue 16th Jun)5.5ft (1.7m) 16s
Most Powerful10PM (Tue 16th Jun)5.5ft (1.7m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Warm (max 20°C on Wed afternoon, min 14°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon afternoon, fresh winds from the NNW by Tue morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 17°C on Thu afternoon, min 11°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NNW on Fri morning, light winds from the W by Sat night).

Mon
15
Tuesday
16
Wednesday
17
Thursday
18
Friday
19
Saturday
20
Sunday
21
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
0
0
3
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
SW
11
1
SW
11
1.1
WSW
12
1.1
SW
17
1.7
WSW
15
1.3
WSW
14
1.1
WSW
13
0.9
WSW
13
0.7
SW
12
0.6
SW
12
0.4
SW
21
0.6
SW
19
0.9
SW
18
1.3
SW
17
1.6
WSW
11
1.4
SW
11
1.4
SW
10
0.8
SW
15
0.9
SW
14
1.1
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
380
237
347
655
1193
712
440
290
149
110
160
287
516
940
572
423
392
255
327
485
598
Wind (km/h)
5
ENE
15
NNE
35
NNW
25
NW
10
NNW
15
NNW
15
N
15
NNE
30
NNW
30
NNW
35
NNW
45
NNW
45
NW
30
W
25
WSW
20
SW
15
WSW
15
NW
15
WNW
10
NNE
10
NNW
Wind State
glassy
off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
on
on
on
cross
cross-on
off
cross-off
High Tide
10:53PM0.70m
12:29PM0.82m
11:58PM0.72m
1:24PM0.84m
1:01AM0.74m
2:16PM0.85m
2:01AM0.75m
3:04PM0.85m
3:00AM0.76m
3:49PM0.85m
3:57AM0.75m
4:33PM0.83m
4:53AM0.73m
Low Tide
5:24PM0.32m
5:34AM-0.01m
6:26PM0.30m
6:34AM-0.03m
7:24PM0.26m
7:32AM-0.03m
8:19PM0.22m
8:26AM-0.01m
9:11PM0.19m
9:18AM0.03m
10:02PM0.16m
10:08AM0.08m
10:51PM0.13m
10:56AM0.14m
part cloud
rain showers
cloud
cloud
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:33
7:33
7:33
7:33
7:35
7:35
7:35
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:01
5:01
5:01
5:01
5:01
5:01
5:01
5:02
 mm
1
2
1
1
5
Temp °C
15
15
16
17
16
19
20
18
18
17
16
13
13
13
13
13
12
11
12
11
11
Feels °C
14
11
10
13
14
17
18
14
13
12
10
4
4
6
7
8
8
8
9
9
9
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
SW
11
1
SW
11
1.1
WSW
12
1.1
SW
17
1.7
WSW
15
1.3
WSW
14
1.1
WSW
13
0.9
WSW
13
0.7
SW
12
0.6
SW
12
0.6
WSW
12
0.7
WSW
12
0.9
SW
18
1.3
SW
17
1.6
WSW
11
1.4
SW
11
1.4
SW
10
0.8
SSW
9
0.9
W
6
1.1
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
Energy kJ
380
237
347
655
1193
712
440
290
149
110
93
125
516
940
572
423
392
101
58
485
598
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SW
13
0.1
W
22
0.5
SW
18
1.1
WSW
12
0.3
NW
4
0.1
E
10
0.1
SW
24
0.4
SW
21
0.6
SW
19
0.1
E
9
0.9
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
0.8
SW
14
0.8
SW
15
0.9
SW
14
0.9
WSW
6
0.7
WSW
5
Energy kJ
128
9
168
311
2
2
22
160
287
2
416
291
248
255
327
66
30
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
W
22
0.1
E
10
0.1
E
10
0.4
SW
12
0.1
E
11
0.7
SW
16
0.1
E
12
0.4
WSW
12
0.5
SW
10
0.7
SSW
8
0.2
SSE
5
0.3
SE
5
Energy kJ
9
2
2
37
2
245
3
53
50
61
3
4
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
NNW
3
1.1
NW
4
0.9
NW
5
0.4
NNW
4
0.4
N
2
0.5
N
3
0.7
NNW
4
0.8
NNW
4
1.5
NNW
5
2.3
NW
6
2.1
W
6
1
NNW
5
1.2
WNW
5
1.2
NW
5
1.2
WNW
5
0.5
NNW
4
0.4
NNW
3
0.5
NNW
4
Energy kJ
2
41
35
5
2
4
14
21
133
414
373
48
77
67
56
9
5
7
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
1
2
3
2
2
1
1
1
2
1
4
4
3
3
2
2
1
2
2
Distance (km)
5
5
49
5
5
5
5
5
38
38
150
428
141
114
114
45
5
5
5
5
5
Best forecast wave conditions in East Coast of Victoria
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
1
2
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
5
4
4
4
4
3
3
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
4
4
4
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
5
5
5
4
4
5
5
5
9
6
7
5
4
7
4
7
4
9
6
6
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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