Cape Paterson Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.68° S 145.60° E

Cape Paterson Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 22 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
13.5°C
1.0° 

Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Paterson surf forecast from 22 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 23 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 28 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 18s period, WSW swell with 3,633 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 23 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 23) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.4m and 14s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 16 days are 2.5m 18s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Monday (Aug 24) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Sun 23rd Aug)8ft (2.4m) 14s
Best Surf 7AM (Sun 23rd Aug)8ft (2.4m) 14s
Most Powerful10AM (Fri 28th Aug)8ft (2.5m) 18s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G'day, Rusty here. Let's get straight into it for Cape Paterson. This is a sheltered beach and reef set-up that's pretty much for advanced surfers only, especially when it gets a bit of size. The water temp is sitting about average for this time of year, nothing too wild.

We've got a bit of a slow start, but the standout window is actually right at the beginning. Sunday morning the 23rd of August is your best bet. The swell is a solid 8 ft from the SW with a nice long 14-second period, pushing a very strong wave energy (2193). The wind is cross-off from the NW at 9 mph, keeping things clean. It's a good one for the experienced crew, but at this size, it's not for beginners.

After that, things get a bit messy. Monday the 24th has some smaller 5 ft SW swell, but the winds are onshore or cross-shore, and the quality drops right off. Tuesday the 25th morning has a little window with offshore ENE wind and 5 ft SW swell, which might be worth a look for a quiet session, but the energy is moderate (898). The rest of that week is pretty average, with onshore winds and choppy conditions.

We get a big pulse of power on Friday the 28th of August. The swell jumps to 8 ft from the WSW with a very long 18-second period, sending massive energy through (3633). The problem is the wind is cross-shore, making it messy. This is big, powerful, and lumpy—strictly for experts, and even then it's a handful. The afternoon eases a little but stays cross-onshore.

The following week is a mixed bag. There's a fair bit of size from the 30th of August through to the 1st of September, with SW and WSW swell between 6 ft and 8 ft, and periods up to 17 seconds. The wind is mostly cross or cross-onshore, so the surf is never really clean. The energy is strong across these days.

Then, another chance pops up on Wednesday morning the 2nd of September. The swell drops to 6 ft from the SW, but the wind turns offshore from the NE at 9 mph, giving us clean conditions. The energy is moderate (1236), but this is a solid window for a quality session if you're experienced.

After that, it goes wild. The 3rd of September sees the swell jump to 13 ft from the WSW, but with a strong onshore gale, it's a complete write-off for surfing. The 4th of September has huge 12 ft WSW swell with a very long 17-second period, but again, onshore winds ruin it. This setup is more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The last few days into the second week drop off in size but stay windy, with no real clean windows showing up. To be honest, the best surf on offer is that Sunday morning the 23rd of August, with the Wednesday morning the 2nd of September as a solid backup if you're patient.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Very mild (max 17°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Fri morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Tue night, light winds from the SSW by Fri afternoon).

Sunday
23
Monday
24
Tuesday
25
Wednesday
26
Thursday
27
Friday
28
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
4
2
2
1
1
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
3
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3
SW
14
2.3
SW
14
2.1
SW
14
1.7
SW
16
1.4
SW
14
1.4
SW
14
1.4
SW
13
1.4
SW
13
1.5
SW
13
1.5
WSW
15
1.3
WSW
14
1.3
WSW
13
1.7
WSW
11
1.3
WSW
12
1.2
WSW
12
1.3
WSW
20
2.5
WSW
18
2.4
WSW
17
2.1
WSW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
3192
1979
1617
1394
822
661
585
669
734
974
672
520
634
421
392
1267
3633
3315
2075
Wind (km/h)
20
W
15
NW
10
WSW
20
NNW
25
NNW
10
WNW
20
ENE
10
ENE
15
W
30
WSW
25
WSW
25
WSW
15
W
20
NW
15
WNW
20
NW
25
NW
10
SSW
10
SW
Wind State
cross-on
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
off
off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
on
High Tide
7:04AM0.66m
6:31PM0.66m
7:55AM0.63m
7:14PM0.63m
8:55AM0.62m
8:08PM0.60m
10:03AM0.62m
9:17PM0.58m
11:07AM0.63m
10:35PM0.58m
12:01PM0.66m
11:47PM0.60m
Low Tide
00:30AM0.13m
12:46PM0.34m
1:13AM0.16m
1:34PM0.37m
2:03AM0.19m
2:35PM0.40m
3:01AM0.21m
3:50PM0.40m
4:07AM0.22m
5:06PM0.38m
5:11AM0.21m
6:07PM0.33m
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
light rain
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
light rain
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:54
6:52
6:50
6:50
6:48
6:47
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:46
5:46
5:47
5:49
5:50
5:51
 mm
1
4
1
Temp °C
12
11
13
13
16
17
15
11
13
12
12
12
11
12
14
13
11
12
11
Feels °C
7
8
11
9
12
14
12
9
9
5
6
6
7
8
11
10
8
10
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
How to use the Wavefinder 
submit an eyeball surf report

Quick surf report for Cape Paterson:

join our community of surf reporters

FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website

The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Cape Paterson surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.


Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

Nearest locationNearest