Surf Forecasts:
Cape Paterson surf forecast from 23 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 24 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 13s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 28 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 17s period, WSW swell with 2,737 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 24 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 24) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 20s. Another secondary swell of 0.3m and 3s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 16 days are 2.1m 17s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Monday (Aug 24) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7PM (Mon 24th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Mon 24th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Fri 28th Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G'day, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for Cape Paterson over the next couple of weeks.
Honestly, it's a bit of a tough stretch ahead. The forecast points to a long run of days where the conditions are just fighting us. For the first several days, the surf is around but the wind and tide aren't playing ball. The standout window is a very narrow one, and it's not a classic firing session.
We start with a bit of swell on Sunday the 23rd, but it's a cross-on WSW wind at 6 mph on a 7 ft SW swell. The wave energy is very strong (1617), but that wind is going to mess it up, and it's labelled as marginal. The water temp is 56°, which is about average for this time of year.
Now, the best chance to get something decent is Tuesday morning, the 25th. That's a glassy session with the wind going light easterly, and a 5 ft SW swell with a 13-second period. The energy is moderate (792). It's a short window, but for this spot, that's as good as it gets. The wind is glass, so the waves will be clean.
The rest of the week is a write-off, with onshore and cross-shore winds and poor surf tags. Thursday the 27th morning has a 4 ft swell (528 energy) but a cross wind, so it's messy. Friday the 28th sees a bigger, longer-period swell (7 ft SW at 17 seconds, 2582 energy) but that cross-on wind will chop it up.
From there, it's a long stretch of poor conditions. The wind stays strong and onshore or cross-onshore pretty much through to the end of the forecast. The swell on the 4th of September gets big (10 ft, 1399 energy) but it's a short-period 9-second swell, and the wind is screaming. Then on the 5th and 6th, it's a gale-force mess with 12 ft+ swell and near gale winds. That's kite-surfing territory, not paddle surfing.
So, the only real shout is Tuesday morning the 25th. It's a glassy, clean 5 ft SW swell. Don't expect a lot of push, but it'll be the best of a pretty average bunch.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 11°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat morning, min 10°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Sun 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | WSW 16 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 10 | WSW 20 | WSW 18 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1617 | 1588 | 822 | 700 | 594 | 669 | 734 | 1126 | 969 | 745 | 711 | 456 | 152 | 670 | 1415 | 2582 | 1728 | 1057 | 862 | 563 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | glassy | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 6:31PM0.66m | 7:55AM0.63m | 7:14PM0.63m | 8:55AM0.62m | 8:08PM0.60m | 10:03AM0.62m | 9:17PM0.58m | 11:07AM0.63m | 10:35PM0.58m | 12:01PM0.66m | 11:47PM0.60m | 12:45PM0.69m | 00:47AM0.64m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:13AM0.16m | 1:34PM0.37m | 2:03AM0.19m | 2:35PM0.40m | 3:01AM0.21m | 3:50PM0.40m | 4:07AM0.22m | 5:06PM0.38m | 5:11AM0.21m | 6:07PM0.33m | 6:09AM0.20m | 6:55PM0.28m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  |  | | |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — |
 | 5:46 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:51 | — | — | 5:52 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | 3 | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 |
Feels °C | 11 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | WSW 16 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 10 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 |
| kJ | 1617 | 1588 | 822 | 700 | 594 | 669 | 734 | 1126 | 969 | 745 | 711 | 456 | 152 | 458 | 745 | 2582 | 1728 | 1057 | 862 | 563 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SW 20 | WSW 18 | WSW 18 | WSW 16 | — | — | — | SSW 6 | WSW 15 | SW 12 | WSW 20 | WSW 18 | — | — | — | — | WSW 21 |
| kJ | — | — | — | 15 | 32 | 123 | 237 | — | — | — | 40 | 21 | 148 | 670 | 1415 | — | — | — | — | 43 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | WSW 18 | — | E 4 | — | — | — | WSW 16 | WSW 23 | SW 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 32 | — | 1 | — | — | — | 25 | 51 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NW 3 | NW 4 | NW 4 | — | NE 3 | — | SW 3 | SSW 6 | SSW 7 | — | — | — | — | NW 4 | — | — | WNW 4 | WSW 5 | SW 6 |
| kJ | — | 2 | 16 | 19 | — | 2 | — | 5 | 64 | 64 | — | — | — | — | 11 | — | — | 10 | 46 | 80 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 81 | 45 | 346 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 5 |
Best forecast wave conditions in East Coast of Victoria | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)- Wind Speed (km/h)
FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website
The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Cape Paterson surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
Nearest