Cape Paterson Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.68° S 145.60° E

Issued: 3 am 18 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
15.1° C

1.1°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Paterson surf forecast from 17 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 20 Jun, 1PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 11s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 24 Jun, 1AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, SW swell with 3,835 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 20 Jun, 1PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 11s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jun 20) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 16s. Another secondary swell of 0.9m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 16 days are 3.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jun 24) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.8m 6s period and expected on Friday (Jun 19) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1PM (Sat 20th Jun)8ft (2.5m) 11s
Best Surf 1PM (Sat 20th Jun)8ft (2.5m) 11s
Most Powerful 1AM (Wed 24th Jun)10ft (3.0m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 18°C on Thu morning, min 11°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NNW on Fri morning, light winds from the E by Sat night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Tue morning. Very mild (max 12°C on Sun morning, min 9°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the E on Sun morning, near gales from the W by Tue afternoon).

Thursday
18
Friday
19
Saturday
20
Sunday
21
Monday
22
Tuesday
23
Wednesday
24
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
2
2
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
SW
12
0.6
SW
12
0.4
SW
21
0.7
SW
19
1.1
SW
18
1.4
SW
17
2.4
SW
12
2
SW
11
1.5
SW
14
1.3
SW
14
1.3
SW
14
1.3
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
1.1
SW
14
0.9
SW
15
2.5
WSW
8
3
SW
9
3
SW
14
1.9
SW
14
1.7
SW
13
1.5
SW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
149
110
160
350
686
1073
1530
897
899
746
676
579
565
529
360
717
1655
3835
1408
1027
757
Wind (km/h)
25
N
30
N
35
NNW
45
NNW
35
NNW
35
WNW
25
N
15
E
10
E
10
E
15
ESE
10
NE
15
NNW
15
W
25
NW
45
NW
45
WNW
50
SW
40
S
25
S
10
ENE
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
High Tide
2:16PM0.85m
2:01AM0.75m
3:04PM0.85m
3:00AM0.76m
3:49PM0.85m
3:57AM0.75m
4:33PM0.83m
4:53AM0.73m
5:14PM0.80m
5:48AM0.70m
5:54PM0.76m
6:43AM0.68m
6:34PM0.72m
Low Tide
8:19PM0.22m
8:26AM-0.01m
9:11PM0.19m
9:18AM0.03m
10:02PM0.16m
10:08AM0.08m
10:51PM0.13m
10:56AM0.14m
11:38PM0.13m
11:43AM0.21m
00:24AM0.13m
12:31PM0.27m
1:10AM0.14m
cloud
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
clear
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:33
7:33
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:01
5:01
5:01
5:01
5:02
5:02
5:02
 mm
1
1
1
1
4
5
4
Temp °C
18
16
15
13
13
13
11
11
11
12
12
11
12
12
12
10
11
11
10
11
10
Feels °C
14
10
9
4
5
7
6
8
8
10
9
8
8
9
6
0
0
2
0
4
6
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
SW
12
0.6
SW
12
0.6
WSW
12
0.7
SW
19
1.1
SW
18
1.4
SW
17
2.4
SW
12
2
SW
11
1.5
SW
14
1.3
SW
14
1.3
SW
14
1.3
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
1.1
SW
14
0.9
SW
15
0.1
E
10
2.3
WSW
14
1.9
SW
14
1.7
SW
13
1.5
SW
13
Energy kJ
149
110
94
350
686
1073
1530
897
899
746
676
579
565
529
360
2
2031
1408
1027
757
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
E
10
0.1
SW
24
0.4
SW
21
0.7
W
9
0.4
W
8
0.1
E
10
0.8
SW
16
0.7
SW
16
0.8
SE
6
0.4
SE
5
0.3
SE
5
0.2
ESE
6
0.2
ESE
6
0.1
SE
11
0.1
SE
10
0.1
SE
13
0.1
SE
12
1.3
SSW
7
Energy kJ
2
22
160
78
22
2
306
258
42
10
3
3
3
5
4
7
6
163
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
E
10
0.1
E
10
0.5
SW
12
0.6
WSW
16
0.5
SE
6
0.6
ESE
5
0.4
SE
5
0.1
E
11
0.1
E
11
0.2
WSW
18
0.1
E
10
0.1
SE
11
Energy kJ
2
2
66
171
17
18
5
2
2
31
2
5
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
NNW
4
1
NNW
5
1.3
NW
5
1.6
NNW
5
1.8
NW
6
1.8
W
6
1.1
SE
5
0.3
NE
3
0.3
W
2
1.1
W
5
2.5
WSW
8
3
SW
9
3
SW
14
1.9
SSW
7
1.7
SSW
7
Energy kJ
10
40
73
130
216
247
65
2
1
55
717
1655
3835
316
255
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
2
2
3
4
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
4
9
2
3
4
2
Distance (km)
5
38
105
422
113
114
5
38
20
20
26
5
5
5
5
141
364
443
485
552
5
Best forecast wave conditions in East Coast of Victoria
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
4
3
2
2
1
2
2
2
2
1
3
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
5
2
5
4
4
9
5
4
3
4
3
4
4
4
4
4
9
4
3
4
9
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
5
9
5
6
9
5
4
8
9
8
7
9
8
5
5
9
5
6
6
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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