Cape Paterson Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.68° S 145.60° E

Issued: 9 am 02 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
14.6° C

1.0°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Paterson surf forecast from 2 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 18s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 3 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 16s period, WSW swell with 14,175 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 6 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 16s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 16 days are 5.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 03) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 05) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Mon 6th Jul)5ft (1.6m) 16s
Best Surf 1PM (Wed 8th Jul)6ft (1.9m) 18s
Most Powerful10AM (Fri 3rd Jul)18ft (5.5m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 23mm), heaviest during Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu morning, min 10°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the NNW on Thu morning, light winds from the SE by Sat night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Sun afternoon). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the E on Sun afternoon, calm by Tue morning).

Thursday
2
Friday
3
Saturday
4
Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
2
2
2
1
2
2
2
3
4
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.5
WSW
9
2.4
W
10
3
W
7
5.5
WSW
16
5
WSW
16
3.5
WSW
14
3
SW
13
2.5
SW
13
2.5
SW
14
2.5
SW
17
2.2
SW
17
1.8
SW
16
1.3
SW
15
1.1
SW
14
0.9
SW
14
1.1
SW
16
1.1
SW
16
1.2
SW
15
1.4
SW
18
1.9
SW
18
1.7
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
367
1161
758
14175
12187
5405
2711
1982
2527
3814
2726
1532
757
520
308
589
644
623
1283
2078
1504
Wind (km/h)
50
NNW
40
WNW
50
NW
50
W
40
WSW
35
W
25
SW
25
SW
25
S
15
E
30
ESE
20
ENE
10
NNE
5
SSW
15
NE
10
N
5
SE
15
NE
10
NNE
10
NNE
15
NNE
Wind State
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
glassy
off
cross-off
glassy
off
off
off
cross-off
High Tide
1:48PM0.73m
1:20AM0.62m
2:27PM0.75m
2:08AM0.63m
3:03PM0.76m
2:53AM0.64m
3:36PM0.77m
3:36AM0.65m
4:07PM0.77m
4:20AM0.66m
4:39PM0.76m
5:05AM0.68m
5:11PM0.75m
Low Tide
7:53PM0.32m
7:42AM0.13m
8:35PM0.29m
8:23AM0.13m
9:14PM0.26m
9:02AM0.14m
9:51PM0.23m
9:40AM0.16m
10:25PM0.20m
10:19AM0.18m
11:00PM0.17m
11:00AM0.21m
11:37PM0.13m
light rain
mod rain
light rain
rain showers
light rain
light rain
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:06
5:07
5:07
5:07
5:07
5:08
5:08
 mm
1
10
4
6
1
1
3
Temp °C
13
12
11
12
12
12
11
12
12
11
10
10
11
12
11
11
12
12
12
14
11
Feels °C
3
4
2
4
3
4
4
6
6
6
4
5
9
10
7
9
10
8
9
11
8
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.5
WSW
9
0.2
WSW
17
1.1
WSW
13
2.5
SW
14
2.5
SW
17
2.2
SW
17
1.8
SW
16
1.3
SW
15
1.1
SW
14
0.9
SW
14
1.1
SW
16
1.1
SW
16
1.2
SW
15
1.4
SW
18
1.9
SW
18
1.7
SW
16
Energy kJ
367
29
434
2527
3814
2726
1532
757
520
308
589
644
623
1283
2078
1504
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SW
14
0.2
ESE
9
1
WSW
19
0.4
SE
5
0.4
SE
5
0.2
ESE
5
0.2
ESE
4
0.3
E
4
0.2
ESE
5
0.6
SW
21
1
WSW
14
Energy kJ
65
8
758
8
6
2
2
4
2
271
425
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SW
16
0.2
NNE
3
0.2
WSW
19
0.2
ESE
11
Energy kJ
68
1
35
12
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2
NNW
6
2.4
W
10
3
W
7
5.5
WSW
16
5
WSW
16
3.5
WSW
14
3
SW
13
2.5
SW
13
1.3
SSW
7
0.7
SE
5
0.9
SE
4
0.9
ESE
5
0.4
NE
3
0.4
E
4
Energy kJ
289
1161
747
14175
12187
5405
2711
1982
150
27
23
42
3
6
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
2
3
1
6
5
4
2
5
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
3
3
4
3
Distance (km)
428
113
429
284
443
117
113
126
227
45
71
49
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
Best forecast wave conditions in East Coast of Victoria
Rating
(10 max)
2
4
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
3
4
4
3
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
9
7
5
5
4
6
5
4
4
5
9
7
4
4
9
9
7
5
7
7
5
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
9
7
9
9
5
5
5
7
5
5
9
7
7
7
9
9
7
7
9
9
6
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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