Cape Paterson Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.68° S 145.60° E

Issued: 9 am 18 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
15.1° C

1.1°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Paterson surf forecast from 18 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 21 Jun, 4AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 14s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 23 Jun, 7PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 15s period, SW swell with 2,381 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 21 Jun, 4AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jun 21) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 1.1m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 16 days are 2.3m 15s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jun 23) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.8m 6s period and expected on Friday (Jun 19) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Sun 21st Jun)3ft (0.9m) 14s
Best Surf 4AM (Sun 21st Jun)3ft (0.9m) 14s
Most Powerful 7PM (Tue 23rd Jun)7.5ft (2.3m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 18°C on Thu morning, min 11°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NNW on Fri afternoon, calm by Sat night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Sun morning. Very mild (max 12°C on Sun morning, min 9°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Sun morning, strong winds from the WSW by Tue afternoon).

Thursday
18
Friday
19
Saturday
20
Sunday
21
Monday
22
Tuesday
23
Wednesday
24
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
SW
12
0.6
SW
12
0.4
SW
21
0.7
SW
19
1.1
SW
18
1.4
SW
17
2.5
SW
12
2.3
SW
11
1.3
SW
10
1.3
SW
14
1.3
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
1.1
SW
14
0.9
SW
14
1.1
SW
14
2.1
SW
11
1.8
SW
15
1.9
SW
14
1.7
SW
13
1.7
SW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
149
110
160
350
686
1172
1821
1189
346
746
666
518
573
466
350
465
1008
1325
1443
1021
969
Wind (km/h)
25
N
30
NNW
35
NNW
40
NNW
45
NNW
30
NW
25
SSW
20
SSE
10
SE
0
NE
15
SSE
5
NW
15
WNW
25
WNW
30
NW
40
WNW
45
WSW
40
SW
35
S
25
S
10
ENE
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
glassy
cross
glassy
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
High Tide
2:16PM0.85m
2:01AM0.75m
3:04PM0.85m
3:00AM0.76m
3:49PM0.85m
3:57AM0.75m
4:33PM0.83m
4:53AM0.73m
5:14PM0.80m
5:48AM0.70m
5:54PM0.76m
6:43AM0.68m
6:34PM0.72m
Low Tide
8:19PM0.22m
8:26AM-0.01m
9:11PM0.19m
9:18AM0.03m
10:02PM0.16m
10:08AM0.08m
10:51PM0.13m
10:56AM0.14m
11:38PM0.13m
11:43AM0.21m
00:24AM0.13m
12:31PM0.27m
1:10AM0.14m
cloud
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:33
7:33
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:01
5:01
5:01
5:01
5:02
5:02
5:02
 mm
1
2
2
2
3
3
2
2
1
Temp °C
18
17
15
14
14
13
13
12
12
12
11
11
12
12
12
11
11
12
11
11
11
Feels °C
14
11
9
6
5
11
8
8
9
10
8
10
8
6
6
3
0
3
3
5
8
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
SW
12
0.6
SW
12
0.6
WSW
12
0.7
SW
19
1.1
SW
18
1.4
SW
17
2.5
SW
12
2.3
SW
11
1.3
SW
10
1.3
SW
14
1.3
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
1.1
SW
14
0.9
SW
14
1.1
SW
14
0.8
SW
15
1.8
SW
15
1.9
SW
14
1.7
SW
13
1.7
SW
13
Energy kJ
149
110
94
350
686
1172
1821
1189
311
746
666
518
573
466
350
465
262
1325
1443
1021
969
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
E
10
0.1
SW
24
0.4
SW
21
0.7
W
9
0.5
W
9
0.8
SW
12
0.4
SW
16
0.7
SW
16
0.9
SW
14
0.5
SE
6
0.4
SE
5
0.1
SE
7
0.1
SE
7
0.1
SE
6
0.1
E
6
0.1
E
7
0.1
E
10
0.5
S
5
0.7
SSW
5
Energy kJ
2
22
160
76
40
169
94
258
346
15
6
2
2
2
1
1
2
11
21
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
E
10
0.1
E
10
0.5
SW
12
0.1
E
10
0.7
SW
16
0.6
SE
6
0.6
SE
6
0.5
SE
5
0.2
ESE
6
0.1
E
10
0.1
E
10
Energy kJ
2
2
65
2
258
25
24
11
4
2
2
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
NNW
4
0.9
NW
5
1.2
NW
5
1.4
NNW
5
1.8
NW
6
1.5
WNW
6
0.8
S
4
0.7
SE
5
0.2
NNE
2
0.6
W
4
0.6
W
4
1.1
W
5
1.8
W
6
2.1
SW
11
1.3
SSW
6
0.7
SSE
5
Energy kJ
11
35
60
100
202
130
21
22
1
10
9
52
214
1008
134
21
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
2
4
1
2
1
4
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
3
1
2
1
1
2
Distance (km)
5
38
105
350
120
39
81
45
26
5
45
5
5
5
39
114
467
443
499
81
5
Best forecast wave conditions in East Coast of Victoria
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
2
1
2
2
1
2
2
2
1
1
2
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
5
1
5
5
6
3
4
4
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
2
3
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
4
9
5
6
8
4
4
5
9
9
7
5
6
7
5
5
8
9
9
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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