Cape Paterson Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.68° S 145.60° E

Cape Paterson Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 10 pm 05 Oct 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
14.2°C
1.3° 

Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Paterson surf forecast from 5 Oct 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 7 Oct, 11AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 6 Oct, 8PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 5,538 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 7 Oct, 11AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Oct 07) at 11AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 16 days are 3.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Oct 06) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Oct 07) at 8PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)11AM (Wed 7th Oct)8ft (2.5m) 15s
Best Surf11AM (Wed 7th Oct)8ft (2.5m) 15s
Most Powerful 8PM (Tue 6th Oct)11ft (3.5m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 17°C on Thu afternoon, min 8°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Tue afternoon, light winds from the NNE by Thu morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Warm (max 22°C on Fri afternoon, min 10°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Tuesday
6
Wednesday
7
Thursday
8
Friday
9
Saturday
10
Sunday
11
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
0
0
0
4
2
2
3
1
2
2
1
2
2
1
0
0
0
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.6
SW
16
2.5
WSW
16
4
WSW
9
3
SW
15
2.5
SW
15
2.5
SW
15
2.2
SW
16
1.7
SW
15
1.5
SW
15
1.4
SW
16
1.4
SW
16
1.3
SW
16
1.2
SW
16
1.1
SW
15
1.1
SW
15
1
SW
14
1.1
SW
16
1.3
WSW
15
2.5
SW
19
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1350
3133
2484
4251
3178
3040
2233
1289
953
906
952
813
711
543
516
373
587
750
5020
Wind (km/h)
15
NNW
40
W
40
WSW
25
S
15
ESE
30
ESE
25
ENE
5
NNE
20
ESE
20
ENE
10
ENE
15
E
25
ENE
15
E
10
W
15
W
20
WSW
15
W
15
WNW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
High Tide
7:38AM0.74m
7:28PM0.70m
8:34AM0.70m
8:36PM0.66m
9:37AM0.68m
9:56PM0.64m
10:42AM0.66m
11:19PM0.65m
11:44AM0.66m
00:32AM0.69m
12:39PM0.67m
1:31AM0.73m
Low Tide
1:02AM0.07m
1:36PM0.27m
1:59AM0.13m
2:38PM0.28m
3:04AM0.19m
3:50PM0.27m
4:18AM0.23m
5:02PM0.24m
5:33AM0.25m
6:06PM0.20m
6:40AM0.26m
7:01PM0.15m
clear
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
—
6:46
—
—
6:43
—
—
6:43
—
—
6:41
—
—
6:39
—
—
6:37
—
—
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
—
—
7:25
—
—
7:27
—
—
7:28
—
—
7:29
—
—
7:30
—
—
7:30
—
 mm
—
—
1
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
1
1
—
—
—
Temp °C
12
13
12
12
10
12
11
13
17
14
18
22
17
17
18
16
13
14
14
Feels °C
10
6
3
4
6
6
4
11
12
9
15
20
13
14
16
16
9
10
11
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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