Cape Paterson Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.68° S 145.60° E

Cape Paterson Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 4 am 04 Nov 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
15.5°C
1.5° 

Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Paterson surf forecast from 4 Nov 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 10 Nov, 5PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 6 Nov, 11PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 15s period, WSW swell with 3,784 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 10 Nov, 2AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 11s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Nov 10) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 11s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 16 days are 3.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Nov 06) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Nov 08) at 8PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 2AM (Tue 10th Nov)2.5ft (0.8m) 11s
Best Surf 5PM (Tue 10th Nov)3.5ft (1.0m) 15s
Most Powerful11PM (Fri 6th Nov)10ft (3.0m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Very mild (max 18°C on Fri afternoon, min 10°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Very mild (max 17°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Sat morning). Mainly fresh winds.

Wednesday
4
Thursday
5
Friday
6
Saturday
7
Sunday
8
Monday
9
Tuesday
10
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
SW
12
0.8
SW
12
2.2
SW
7
1.9
SW
10
1.7
WSW
11
1.3
WSW
11
2.1
WSW
13
2.4
WSW
14
3
SW
15
2.5
SW
14
2.5
SW
13
1.9
WSW
13
1.8
SW
12
1.7
SW
12
1.2
SW
12
1
SW
11
0.9
SW
11
0.8
SW
11
0.6
SW
15
1
SW
15
2.2
SW
6
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
209
175
447
724
656
408
1534
2160
3477
2521
2140
1180
1019
833
407
250
176
147
176
465
306
Wind (km/h)
20
NW
30
W
30
SW
20
WSW
20
W
20
WNW
30
WNW
20
W
20
WSW
30
SW
35
SW
30
S
15
SSE
25
SSE
20
ENE
20
E
25
ESE
25
ENE
5
ENE
15
ESE
10
ESE
Wind State
cross
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
7:32PM0.68m
8:08AM0.72m
8:41PM0.65m
9:02AM0.68m
9:58PM0.65m
10:00AM0.65m
11:12PM0.66m
10:59AM0.64m
00:17AM0.69m
11:56AM0.64m
1:11AM0.72m
12:47PM0.64m
1:57AM0.75m
Low Tide
1:30PM0.21m
1:44AM0.19m
2:30PM0.21m
2:47AM0.25m
3:32PM0.21m
3:58AM0.30m
4:35PM0.19m
5:10AM0.32m
5:33PM0.16m
6:17AM0.32m
6:26PM0.14m
7:13AM0.31m
7:13PM0.12m
part cloud
light rain
rain showers
clear
part cloud
clear
cloud
part cloud
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:05
—
—
6:05
—
—
6:03
—
—
6:03
—
—
6:01
—
—
6:01
—
—
6:00
—
—
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
—
7:55
—
—
7:57
—
—
7:58
—
—
7:59
—
—
8:00
—
—
8:00
—
—
8:01
—
 mm
—
1
3
—
—
—
—
—
4
2
1
1
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
Temp °C
16
15
13
13
14
13
15
18
15
10
12
11
11
12
11
15
17
14
15
18
16
Feels °C
12
11
6
8
9
8
8
14
9
3
3
2
5
7
5
10
11
7
13
15
10
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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