Cape Paterson Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.68° S 145.60° E

Cape Paterson Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 05 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
13.8° C
1.0° 

Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Paterson surf forecast from 5 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 7 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 15s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 12 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 21ft (6.5m), 14s period, WSW swell with 16,081 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 7 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 15s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 07) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 19s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 16 days are 6.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7PM (Fri 7th Aug)5ft (1.5m) 15s
Best Surf 7PM (Fri 7th Aug)5ft (1.5m) 15s
Most Powerful10PM (Wed 12th Aug)21ft (6.5m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat morning, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Thu afternoon, light winds from the NW by Fri afternoon).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 24mm), heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Sat afternoon, near gales from the SW by Sun night).

Wed
5
Thursday
6
Friday
7
Saturday
8
Sunday
9
Monday
10
Tuesday
11
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
2
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
SW
19
0.9
SW
13
0.9
SW
12
0.6
SW
16
1
SW
18
1.5
WSW
15
1.7
WSW
15
1.4
WSW
15
1.5
WSW
16
1.4
SW
16
1.5
WSW
14
1.3
WSW
14
1.1
WSW
13
1.1
SW
21
4.5
WSW
9
4
WSW
9
1.6
SW
16
1.7
WSW
14
1.6
WSW
14
2.3
WSW
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
175
249
212
198
621
1056
1190
818
1155
980
886
653
434
993
3650
3019
1208
1227
955
1685
Wind (km/h)
10
WSW
20
WSW
25
NW
20
WNW
25
W
15
WNW
10
NW
15
N
20
N
20
N
20
NNE
30
NNE
35
N
50
SW
40
WSW
35
WSW
25
NNW
40
NNW
35
NNW
40
NW
Wind State
on
on
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
on
on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
4:09PM0.77m
4:50AM0.74m
4:43PM0.77m
5:35AM0.75m
5:19PM0.76m
6:25AM0.74m
6:01PM0.75m
7:21AM0.73m
6:49PM0.73m
8:23AM0.72m
7:46PM0.71m
9:32AM0.71m
8:55PM0.69m
Low Tide
10:32PM0.10m
10:43AM0.21m
11:10PM0.07m
11:26AM0.24m
11:52PM0.05m
12:12PM0.28m
00:40AM0.04m
1:04PM0.31m
1:35AM0.04m
2:05PM0.34m
2:38AM0.06m
3:16PM0.35m
3:47AM0.07m
clear
rain showers
cloud
light rain
rain showers
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
light rain
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:15
7:13
7:13
7:11
7:09
7:09
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:30
5:31
5:32
5:32
5:34
5:35
5:36
 mm
2
1
2
2
2
18
2
1
Temp °C
12
12
11
13
12
12
14
12
15
17
13
13
13
12
12
12
11
13
13
12
Feels °C
9
7
4
8
6
8
12
7
9
12
8
6
6
3
3
4
5
5
6
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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