Cape Paterson Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.68° S 145.60° E

Cape Paterson Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 10 pm 11 Oct 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
14.3°C
1.2° 

Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Paterson surf forecast from 11 Oct 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 15 Oct, 2AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 13s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 13 Oct, 11AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 12s period, WSW swell with 3,690 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 15 Oct, 2AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 13s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Oct 15) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 13s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 16 days are 3.5m 12s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Oct 13) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Thursday (Oct 15) at 5PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 2AM (Thu 15th Oct)5ft (1.6m) 13s
Best Surf 2AM (Thu 15th Oct)5ft (1.6m) 13s
Most Powerful11AM (Tue 13th Oct)11ft (3.5m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Mon morning. Warm (max 22°C on Sun night, min 10°C on Tue morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the W on Mon morning, strong winds from the W by Tue morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the E on Thu night, light winds from the ESE by Sat morning).

Monday
12
Tuesday
13
Wednesday
14
Thursday
15
Friday
16
Saturday
17
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.4
WSW
15
2.1
WSW
16
2.5
WSW
16
2.5
WSW
14
3.5
WSW
12
3.5
SW
13
3
SW
14
2.2
SW
14
2.1
SW
13
1.6
SW
13
1.3
SW
12
1
SW
12
0.8
SW
11
0.7
SW
11
0.6
SW
11
0.6
SW
12
0.5
SW
12
0.5
SW
12
0.4
SW
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2547
2178
3288
2873
3690
3668
2974
1762
1417
825
463
278
150
123
103
124
72
69
40
Wind (km/h)
25
NNW
25
WSW
30
WSW
30
WNW
40
WSW
35
SW
25
S
20
SSE
25
SSE
15
E
20
ENE
30
ESE
30
E
15
E
35
ESE
20
E
10
ESE
25
ESE
15
E
Wind State
cross-off
cross-on
on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
1:31AM0.73m
1:28PM0.69m
2:20AM0.76m
2:11PM0.70m
3:03AM0.79m
2:52PM0.71m
3:42AM0.80m
3:29PM0.72m
4:19AM0.79m
4:06PM0.71m
4:55AM0.78m
4:41PM0.70m
Low Tide
7:36AM0.25m
7:48PM0.11m
8:24AM0.24m
8:30PM0.08m
9:06AM0.23m
9:10PM0.07m
9:45AM0.23m
9:48PM0.06m
10:21AM0.23m
10:24PM0.07m
10:56AM0.24m
11:00PM0.09m
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
—
6:37
—
—
6:35
—
—
6:33
—
—
6:31
—
—
6:31
—
—
6:28
—
—
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
—
—
7:30
—
—
7:31
—
—
7:32
—
—
7:34
—
—
7:35
—
—
7:36
—
 mm
—
2
—
—
2
1
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
Temp °C
22
14
13
13
11
11
11
11
12
10
14
17
13
16
19
15
17
19
15
Feels °C
17
12
8
5
2
2
3
5
7
5
9
12
6
12
13
9
15
15
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
How to use the Wavefinder 
submit an eyeball surf report

Quick surf report for Cape Paterson:

join our community of surf reporters

FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website

The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Cape Paterson surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.


Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

Nearest locationNearest