Cape Paterson Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab a coffee and settle in, because it’s been a bit of a mixed bag lately. The next couple of weeks are looking real up and down for the Cape Paterson area. The spot is a pretty sheltered beach and reef setup, so it needs things to line up just right. The water is sitting at 57°F right now, which is bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first real chance to get wet is Sunday the 2nd. The morning is the pick of the whole forecast, no doubt. We’ve got a solid 5ft SW groundswell (16-second period) rolling in, with a combined energy of 1390. The wind is light and offshore – a gentle N breeze – keeping the surface clean. The swell direction is dead on for this spot. It’s not a huge wave, but that long period and clean wind will make for some proper, shaped-up lines. It’s an advanced break, so be ready for a bit of power, but honestly, this is the standout. The afternoon stays clean-ish but the swell drops off a touch and the tide might get a bit funny.

Now, the next week and a half is a tough slog. From Monday the 3rd through to the weekend of the 9th, it’s mostly a write-off. Strong winds, onshore and cross-shore stuff, lumpy, choppy, and just generally poor conditions. The wind just doesn’t play nice, flipping around and ruining the shape. For a few days there, it’s looking more interesting for kite surfers than paddle surfers.

There’s a bit of a ray of hope on Saturday the 8th. The morning sees a 5ft SW swell (16 seconds) with a light N offshore breeze again. It’s not as clean as the Sunday before, and the energy is a bit lower (1155). The tide could be a factor, so time it right.

The middle of the second week, around Monday the 10th and Tuesday the 11th, brings a massive spike in size. We’re talking 10ft SW swell on the Monday with a crazy 5406 combined energy. But the wind is onshore and strong, so it’s just a big, messy, stormy mess. Only for the absolute die-hards, and even then, it’s not really surfable. That big swell sticks around but with those cross-shore winds, it’s going to be lumpy and challenging.

The real last chance for a decent wave might be Thursday the 13th. There’s a massive 13ft SW swell (14-15 seconds) with a combined energy of 6247 to 6554. The wind is cross-shore, not ideal, but it could be holding some shape if you can find a protected corner. The energy is so strong that it’s definitely only for experts. It’s a long shot, but it’s the only thing worth looking at in that second week.

So, to wrap it up: Sunday the 2nd is your best bet by a long shot – clean, solid, and lined up. Saturday the 8th is a distant second. The rest is a lot of wind and swell that just doesn’t match up. Keep an eye on those forecasts, because things can change, but right now, pick your window carefully.

Rusty.

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