Cape Paterson Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.68° S 145.60° E

Cape Paterson Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 27 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
14.3°C
1.4° 

Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Paterson surf forecast from 27 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 5 Oct, 2AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 5 Oct, 5AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 16s period, SW swell with 1,651 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 28 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 28) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 16 days are 1.9m 16s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Oct 05) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Thursday (Oct 01) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Mon 28th Sep)5ft (1.5m) 14s
Best Surf 2AM (Mon 5th Oct)6ft (1.8m) 16s
Most Powerful 5AM (Mon 5th Oct)6ft (1.9m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Thu night. Warm (max 21°C on Wed night, min 11°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Wed night, fresh winds from the SSW by Fri afternoon).

Monday
28
Tuesday
29
Wednesday
30
Thursday
1
Friday
2
Saturday
3
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
0
2
1
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.6
SW
15
1.4
SW
14
1.3
SW
13
1.2
SW
13
1.1
SW
13
1.2
SW
16
1.1
SW
15
1
SW
15
1.2
SW
16
1.2
SW
16
1.4
SW
15
1.3
WSW
14
1.5
WSW
14
1
SW
13
1
SW
15
1.1
SW
15
1.4
WSW
14
1.3
WSW
14
1.4
SW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1123
731
637
473
363
692
492
444
737
692
795
691
943
336
424
496
796
672
731
Wind (km/h)
10
SE
5
SSW
10
SSW
15
NE
15
NNW
5
ESE
20
NNE
10
NW
25
N
15
WNW
5
NNE
25
NNW
25
W
25
SSW
30
SW
5
SSE
25
SE
25
SE
20
ESE
Wind State
cross
glassy
cross-on
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-on
glassy
cross-off
cross-on
on
on
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
High Tide
00:27AM0.69m
12:38PM0.69m
1:17AM0.74m
1:18PM0.72m
2:03AM0.79m
1:57PM0.74m
2:47AM0.83m
2:36PM0.76m
3:30AM0.84m
3:16PM0.78m
4:14AM0.84m
3:58PM0.78m
Low Tide
6:35AM0.23m
6:54PM0.15m
7:23AM0.21m
7:35PM0.09m
8:07AM0.20m
8:16PM0.03m
8:48AM0.20m
8:57PM-0.00m
9:29AM0.20m
9:40PM-0.02m
10:11AM0.21m
10:24PM-0.01m
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
light rain
rain showers
light rain
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
—
5:58
—
—
5:56
—
—
5:54
—
—
5:54
—
—
5:52
—
—
5:50
—
—
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
—
—
6:17
—
—
6:19
—
—
6:20
—
—
6:21
—
—
6:22
—
—
6:22
—
 mm
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
1
4
8
1
—
—
—
—
—
Temp °C
9
10
10
12
20
22
19
19
21
21
19
18
15
12
12
12
12
12
11
Feels °C
6
7
7
8
18
20
15
16
16
18
16
15
12
7
5
11
7
6
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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