Surf Forecasts:
Cape Paterson surf forecast from 13 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 17s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, WSW swell with 10,254 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 17 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 16 days are 4.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Monday (Jul 20) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Mon 13th Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days.
Alright, you lot, Rusty here again, but this time in old-school feet and inches. Let's break down the Cape Paterson outlook.
The start of the week is a dead loss. Monday and Tuesday are lookin' at a massive 13-foot swell from the WSW, but it's howlin' a 30 mph northwest wind. The energy is enormous, but it's all just a blown-out, dangerous mess. Stay on the beach.
Wednesday calms down to an 8-foot swell, but still with moderate onshore winds, leaving it rough and choppy. Not your day. Thursday stays in the "iffy" zone with a 7-foot swell and light side-shore wind.
Then, mark it down – Friday the 17th of July and Saturday are the real deal. Friday morning, the wind eases to a light offshore, cleaning up a sweet 6-foot groundswell from the SW with a long 16-second period. The energy is still pumping, and it's looking clean. But Friday arvo… that's the magic moment. The wind goes dead glassy, the swell holds at 6-foot, the period stretches to 17 seconds, and the energy jumps up. It's gonna be a picture-perfect session. But that long period is a bit tricky for a beach setup like Cape Paterson – it'll be best on the reef. This is strictly for the experienced crew.
Saturday the 18th keeps the stoke alive with a clean 6-foot swell in the morning and glassy 5-foot waves in the arvo. Two crackers in a row!
The swell then backs off through the middle of the next week (21st-23rd), with waves dropping to 3 to 5 feet. The 21st of July has another window of clean offshore winds with a 6-foot swell that'd be perfect for a fun session on a log.
And for the long-range punters, Friday the 24th of July has another big pulse showing up. We're talkin' an 8-foot, 18-second groundswell from the SW. Friday morning is clean with light side-shore breeze, and Friday arvo goes glassy on a 8-foot swell. This one's for the experts again, and it's a way off, so keep your fingers crossed.
Water temp is about 57°, pretty much normal for this time of year. You'll be wanting a thick suit.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Mon night. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 9°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Mon morning, light winds from the W by Wed night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 10°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 15 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 16 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | SW 18 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 7592 | 7132 | 8464 | 6742 | 6107 | 4180 | 2867 | 2125 | 1688 | 1914 | 1695 | 1446 | 1513 | 2091 | 1531 | 1227 | 876 | 587 | 377 | 294 | 319 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | on | glassy | cross-off | glassy | off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:15PM0.70m | 11:05AM0.75m | 10:26PM0.70m | 12:08PM0.78m | 11:39PM0.71m | 1:05PM0.80m | 00:49AM0.73m | 1:56PM0.82m | 1:53AM0.74m | 2:43PM0.83m | 2:53AM0.75m | 3:26PM0.83m | 3:48AM0.75m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 3:43PM0.35m | 4:06AM0.03m | 4:55PM0.34m | 5:13AM0.02m | 6:03PM0.31m | 6:17AM0.02m | 7:06PM0.26m | 7:17AM0.03m | 8:03PM0.21m | 8:12AM0.05m | 8:55PM0.15m | 9:03AM0.08m | 9:43PM0.11m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  |  |  | |  |  | | | | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — |
 | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — |
mm | — | 2 | 7 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 14 |
Feels °C | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 15 | WSW 16 | — | — | SW 15 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 16 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 |
| kJ | 5032 | 7132 | — | — | 2255 | 4180 | 2412 | 2125 | 1688 | 1914 | 1695 | 1446 | 1513 | 2091 | 1531 | 1227 | 876 | 587 | 377 | 294 | 156 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 23 | WSW 21 | SW 20 | SW 18 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | 44 | 98 | 319 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 21 | SW 20 | SSW 11 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 44 | 98 | 23 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 15 | NW 6 | WSW 15 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | — | WSW 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 2 | NW 3 | NW 3 |
| kJ | 7592 | 155 | 8464 | 6742 | 6107 | — | 2867 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 6 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 227 | 745 | 113 | 114 | 117 | 35 | 35 | 41 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Best forecast wave conditions in East Coast of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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