Cape Paterson Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.68° S 145.60° E

Cape Paterson Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 17 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
13.7°C
1.0° 

Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Paterson surf forecast from 17 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 22 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 22 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 3,897 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 20 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 12s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 20) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 12s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 16 days are 2.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 22) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 20) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Sun 20th Sep)6ft (1.9m) 12s
Best Surf 4AM (Tue 22nd Sep)8ft (2.5m) 15s
Most Powerful 1PM (Tue 22nd Sep)8ft (2.5m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Sun morning, min 8°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Sat night, strong winds from the NNW by Sun morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NNW on Sun afternoon, light winds from the SSE by Mon night).

Thu
17
Friday
18
Saturday
19
Sunday
20
Monday
21
Tuesday
22
Wednesday
23
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
3
3
4
2
0
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.6
SW
14
1.6
SW
14
1.6
SW
14
1.8
SW
16
2
WSW
14
2.5
WSW
13
2.4
WSW
13
1.9
WSW
12
1.6
SW
15
1.4
SW
14
3
WSW
9
3
SW
12
2.5
SW
14
2.5
SW
14
2.5
SW
15
2.5
SW
16
2.2
SW
15
1.7
SW
14
1.5
SW
14
1.4
SW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
961
924
1019
1685
1667
2049
1850
988
1140
765
1604
2680
2609
2873
3158
3334
2140
1220
816
651
Wind (km/h)
20
WSW
20
W
30
NW
30
WNW
40
NW
30
WNW
20
WSW
15
NNW
40
NNW
45
NNW
40
WSW
25
SW
20
SW
10
SSE
15
E
25
ESE
15
NE
15
NW
10
S
10
E
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
on
on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross
cross-on
cross-off
High Tide
4:26AM0.77m
4:12PM0.73m
5:03AM0.74m
4:45PM0.71m
5:41AM0.71m
5:20PM0.68m
6:22AM0.68m
5:57PM0.65m
7:09AM0.65m
6:41PM0.62m
8:04AM0.62m
7:38PM0.59m
Low Tide
9:59PM0.06m
10:22AM0.23m
10:35PM0.08m
10:57AM0.26m
11:11PM0.11m
11:33AM0.29m
11:49PM0.14m
12:12PM0.32m
00:30AM0.18m
12:59PM0.35m
1:18AM0.21m
1:58PM0.37m
2:17AM0.24m
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:13
6:13
6:11
6:09
6:07
6:05
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:07
6:08
6:09
6:10
6:12
6:13
6:14
 mm
Temp °C
10
10
15
19
17
17
15
16
24
24
15
12
11
11
13
13
11
16
15
15
Feels °C
5
6
8
12
10
11
11
11
15
14
7
5
5
7
8
7
7
13
11
12
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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