Cape Paterson Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.68° S 145.60° E

Issued: 3 pm 27 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
14.8° C

1.1°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Paterson surf forecast from 27 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 28 Jun, 7AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 15s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 4 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 9,773 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 28 Jun, 7AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jun 28) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 16 days are 4.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 04) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.8m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 02) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Sun 28th Jun)3.5ft (1.1m) 15s
Best Surf 7AM (Sun 28th Jun)3.5ft (1.1m) 15s
Most Powerful10PM (Sat 4th Jul)15ft (4.5m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon morning, min 9°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Wed night. Very mild (max 17°C on Wed morning, min 11°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Tue night, near gales from the NW by Fri morning).

Sat
27
Sunday
28
Monday
29
Tuesday
30
Wednesday
1
Thursday
2
Friday
3
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
0
1
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
1.1
SW
15
1.1
SW
15
0.9
SW
15
0.8
SW
14
0.8
SW
14
0.8
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
13
0.5
SW
13
0.6
SW
13
1.3
W
10
1
W
10
2.5
W
11
3.5
WSW
16
4
WSW
16
4.5
WSW
15
5
WSW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
746
518
605
485
355
231
234
224
160
123
114
109
84
106
313
196
1783
5972
6977
8535
9588
Wind (km/h)
15
SE
15
ENE
15
ENE
15
E
15
ENE
15
NE
10
NNE
10
NE
15
NNE
15
N
20
NNW
25
N
30
N
40
NNW
45
NNW
50
NNW
45
NW
55
NW
50
WNW
50
WSW
50
WSW
Wind State
cross
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
on
High Tide
8:46PM0.62m
10:30AM0.65m
9:39PM0.61m
11:25AM0.67m
10:37PM0.60m
12:18PM0.69m
11:34PM0.60m
1:05PM0.71m
00:29AM0.61m
1:48PM0.73m
1:20AM0.62m
2:27PM0.75m
2:08AM0.63m
Low Tide
3:33AM0.16m
4:16PM0.39m
4:26AM0.16m
5:17PM0.38m
5:19AM0.15m
6:14PM0.37m
6:10AM0.14m
7:06PM0.35m
6:58AM0.14m
7:53PM0.32m
7:42AM0.13m
8:35PM0.29m
8:23AM0.13m
clear
clear
clear
clear
cloud
part cloud
cloud
light rain
mod rain
light rain
rain showers
cloud
light rain
rain showers
clear
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
mod rain
light rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:04
5:05
5:05
5:05
5:06
5:06
5:07
5:07
 mm
3
6
5
2
1
4
1
4
1
2
8
2
Temp °C
12
10
12
14
15
16
16
14
13
13
13
17
16
13
15
15
11
11
12
11
10
Feels °C
9
6
9
10
11
13
13
11
11
11
11
13
10
8
5
5
1
-1
2
1
-2
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
1.1
SW
15
1.1
SW
15
0.9
SW
15
0.8
SW
14
0.8
SW
14
0.8
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
13
0.5
SW
13
0.6
SW
13
1.3
W
10
1
W
10
1.7
WSW
16
4
WSW
16
Energy kJ
746
518
605
485
355
231
234
224
160
123
114
109
84
106
313
196
1410
6977
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
WSW
20
0.1
SE
4
0.2
NNW
4
0.2
ESE
6
0.3
WSW
12
0.5
W
11
0.5
W
11
0.5
W
11
0.5
W
10
0.5
W
10
0.4
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
Energy kJ
38
1
2
3
27
64
58
59
56
47
64
114
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
WSW
20
0.3
ESE
4
0.2
ESE
6
0.3
ESE
6
0.3
NW
4
0.1
SE
6
0.1
SE
8
0.1
SE
9
0.1
SW
19
0.2
WSW
18
0.4
SW
16
0.2
WSW
16
Energy kJ
38
3
3
6
2
2
2
3
14
31
68
27
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
SE
2
0.4
E
3
0.4
E
3
0.3
ESE
4
0.5
E
3
0.2
NNE
2
0.4
NNW
2
0.6
NNW
3
0.7
NW
4
0.7
NNW
4
0.5
NNW
4
1.1
NW
5
1.6
NNW
5
1.3
NNW
6
2.5
W
11
3.5
WSW
16
1.4
NW
5
4.5
WSW
15
5
WSW
14
Energy kJ
1
2
2
2
4
1
2
9
15
16
8
49
143
101
1783
5972
115
8535
9588
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
3
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
Distance (km)
45
5
5
26
5
20
5
5
5
5
5
5
38
120
470
428
428
428
429
647
807
Best forecast wave conditions in East Coast of Victoria
Rating
(10 max)
1
2
2
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
4
3
4
3
2
3
3
3
2
2
4
8
9
4
6
5
4
5
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
6
6
8
5
5
6
5
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
6
6
5
8
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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