Cape Paterson Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.68° S 145.60° E

Issued: 3 pm 18 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
15.1° C

1.1°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Paterson surf forecast from 18 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 21 Jun, 1AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 23 Jun, 7PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 15s period, SW swell with 2,372 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 21 Jun, 1AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jun 21) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 16 days are 2.3m 15s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jun 23) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 6s period and expected on Friday (Jun 19) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Sun 21st Jun)5ft (1.6m) 14s
Best Surf 1AM (Sun 21st Jun)5ft (1.6m) 14s
Most Powerful 7PM (Tue 23rd Jun)7.5ft (2.3m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 21mm), heaviest during Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu afternoon, min 11°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NNW on Fri morning, calm by Sun morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Very mild (max 12°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Sun afternoon, strong winds from the NW by Mon night).

Thu
18
Friday
19
Saturday
20
Sunday
21
Monday
22
Tuesday
23
Wednesday
24
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
3
2
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SW
12
0.4
SW
21
0.7
SW
19
1.1
SW
18
1.6
WSW
12
3
SW
11
2.3
SW
11
1.6
SW
14
1.3
SW
14
1.3
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
1.1
SW
15
0.9
SW
14
1.9
W
7
2.2
SW
15
1.7
SW
15
1.7
SW
14
1.6
SW
13
1.3
SW
13
1.3
SW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
110
160
350
686
689
1853
1176
1077
746
666
518
598
472
346
346
2083
1254
1123
919
535
600
Wind (km/h)
30
NNW
35
NNW
40
NNW
35
NNW
25
WNW
15
S
15
SE
15
E
10
ENE
5
SSE
10
N
10
WSW
20
WNW
30
NW
40
WNW
30
SW
20
SSW
25
SSW
20
SSW
15
S
10
E
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-off
off
glassy
cross-off
on
cross-on
cross
cross
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
High Tide
2:01AM0.75m
3:04PM0.85m
3:00AM0.76m
3:49PM0.85m
3:57AM0.75m
4:33PM0.83m
4:53AM0.73m
5:14PM0.80m
5:48AM0.70m
5:54PM0.76m
6:43AM0.68m
6:34PM0.72m
7:38AM0.66m
Low Tide
8:19PM0.22m
8:26AM-0.01m
9:11PM0.19m
9:18AM0.03m
10:02PM0.16m
10:08AM0.08m
10:51PM0.13m
10:56AM0.14m
11:38PM0.13m
11:43AM0.21m
00:24AM0.13m
12:31PM0.27m
1:10AM0.14m
rain showers
clear
rain showers
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
mod rain
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
part cloud
light rain
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:33
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:01
5:01
5:01
5:01
5:02
5:02
5:02
5:02
 mm
2
1
2
6
3
6
1
2
2
3
Temp °C
15
14
13
13
13
13
12
11
12
12
12
11
12
11
11
11
12
11
11
11
12
Feels °C
9
8
5
7
10
10
9
7
11
10
9
8
7
5
3
3
5
4
5
6
9
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SW
12
0.6
WSW
12
0.7
SW
19
1.1
SW
18
1.1
SW
17
0.8
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
1.6
SW
14
1.3
SW
14
1.3
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
1.1
SW
15
0.9
SW
14
0.9
SW
14
1.1
SW
15
1.7
SW
15
1.7
SW
14
1.6
SW
13
1.3
SW
13
1.3
SW
13
Energy kJ
110
94
350
686
655
306
208
1077
746
666
518
598
472
346
346
558
1254
1123
919
535
600
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
SW
24
0.4
SW
21
0.7
WSW
9
0.5
W
9
0.8
WSW
11
0.7
SW
16
0.5
SE
5
0.4
SE
5
0.3
SE
5
0.1
SE
6
0.1
SE
6
0.1
SE
6
0.1
E
6
0.1
E
10
0.1
E
10
0.1
SE
7
0.3
SSE
4
Energy kJ
22
160
79
41
167
239
14
10
3
2
2
1
1
2
2
2
4
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
E
10
0.1
E
10
0.5
SW
12
0.3
WSW
9
0.1
E
10
0.1
E
11
0.4
SSE
5
0.6
ESE
5
0.4
SE
5
0.1
SE
4
0.2
ESE
6
0.1
E
11
0.1
E
10
0.4
SSE
4
Energy kJ
2
2
67
15
2
2
11
17
5
1
4
2
2
6
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
NW
4
1.4
NW
5
1.5
NNW
5
1.4
NNW
5
1.6
WSW
12
3
SW
11
2.3
SW
11
0.7
ESE
5
0.2
ENE
2
0.4
NNE
3
0.6
W
3
0.5
W
3
1.1
W
5
1.9
W
7
2.2
SW
15
1.1
SSW
6
0.5
SSE
5
0.6
S
4
0.7
SSW
5
Energy kJ
19
91
120
102
689
1853
1176
28
1
3
8
6
51
327
2083
79
12
12
24
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
2
3
4
3
1
4
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
4
4
3
1
2
2
Distance (km)
38
96
126
105
5
81
45
20
5
38
5
5
35
23
117
126
45
485
81
45
26
Best forecast wave conditions in East Coast of Victoria
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
3
1
2
2
2
2
2
1
2
1
1
1
2
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
2
5
5
6
4
2
4
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
9
5
6
7
4
9
5
9
4
7
7
5
6
5
6
5
7
9
8
6
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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