Cape Paterson Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.68° S 145.60° E

Cape Paterson Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 4 am 19 Oct 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
14.6°C
1.4° 

Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Paterson surf forecast from 18 Oct 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 21 Oct, 11PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 17s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 24 Oct, 5AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 17s period, SW swell with 2,559 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 19 Oct, 8AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 15s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Oct 19) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 16 days are 2.2m 17s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Oct 24) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Friday (Oct 23) at 11AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8AM (Mon 19th Oct)3.5ft (1.0m) 15s
Best Surf11PM (Wed 21st Oct)5ft (1.6m) 17s
Most Powerful 5AM (Sat 24th Oct)7ft (2.2m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Tue afternoon, min 18°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Warm (max 27°C on Fri afternoon, min 12°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu afternoon, fresh winds from the NNW by Fri morning).

Monday
19
Tuesday
20
Wednesday
21
Thursday
22
Friday
23
Saturday
24
Sunday
25
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
0
1
1
1
2
3
3
2
3
1
0
2
1
1
2
1
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
WSW
15
1.1
SW
16
1.3
WSW
14
1.2
WSW
14
1.2
WSW
13
1
WSW
12
1
WSW
12
1.1
SW
13
1.7
SW
16
1.9
SW
17
1.9
WSW
16
1.6
WSW
15
1.4
WSW
15
1.8
SW
16
2
WSW
17
2
WSW
16
1.9
SW
15
1.8
SW
14
1.6
SW
14
1.5
WSW
14
1.4
WSW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
537
573
638
493
479
320
275
394
1394
2187
1721
1117
818
1571
2269
1956
1576
1179
907
921
731
Wind (km/h)
10
NNW
15
ESE
15
NNE
20
NW
10
NW
15
NE
10
NNW
15
E
10
NE
5
WNW
15
ESE
15
NE
30
NNW
20
SSW
15
WSW
15
WSW
15
SSE
15
ENE
10
SSE
30
SE
30
SSW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross
cross
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-on
cross
cross-on
High Tide
5:52PM0.66m
6:46AM0.70m
6:32PM0.63m
7:28AM0.67m
7:19PM0.60m
8:15AM0.65m
8:19PM0.59m
9:07AM0.63m
9:34PM0.59m
10:05AM0.62m
10:53PM0.62m
11:03AM0.63m
00:02AM0.67m
Low Tide
12:08PM0.28m
00:12AM0.16m
12:48PM0.30m
00:52AM0.19m
1:34PM0.31m
1:38AM0.23m
2:27PM0.32m
2:35AM0.27m
3:28PM0.30m
3:44AM0.29m
4:31PM0.27m
4:58AM0.30m
5:29PM0.21m
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
clear
clear
part cloud
light rain
mod rain
mod rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:26
—
—
6:24
—
—
6:24
—
—
6:22
—
—
6:20
—
—
6:20
—
—
6:18
—
—
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
—
7:38
—
—
7:39
—
—
7:40
—
—
7:42
—
—
7:43
—
—
7:44
—
—
7:45
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 mm
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
4
—
—
—
2
6
7
Temp °C
22
24
23
22
26
24
24
26
24
23
26
24
25
27
17
14
14
14
14
14
12
Feels °C
19
21
18
18
23
20
22
24
21
21
26
19
19
21
18
11
11
10
13
9
8
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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