Surf Forecasts:
Cape Paterson surf forecast from 10 Nov 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 22 Nov, 2AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 21 Nov, 11PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 14s period, SW swell with 1,736 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 10 Nov, 11AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Nov 10) at 11AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 16 days are 2.1m 14s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Nov 21) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Monday (Nov 16) at 8PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11AM (Tue 10th Nov) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Sun 22nd Nov) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Sat 21st Nov) | 7ft (2.1m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Tue night. Warm (max 20°C on Tue afternoon, min 11°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri afternoon, min 12°C on Fri morning). Winds increasing (calm on Fri morning, fresh winds from the E by Sun night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 10 | Wednesday 11 | Thursday 12 | Friday 13 | Saturday 14 | Sunday 15 | Monday 16 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 441 | 620 | 614 | 597 | 691 | 653 | 509 | 424 | 403 | 303 | 273 | 263 | 255 | 302 | 657 | 763 | 598 | 507 | 541 | 637 | 553 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross | off | cross-on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 12:47PM0.64m | 1:57AM0.75m | 1:34PM0.65m | 2:38AM0.77m | 2:17PM0.67m | 3:17AM0.78m | 2:58PM0.68m | 3:54AM0.78m | 3:37PM0.68m | 4:31AM0.78m | 4:15PM0.67m | 5:06AM0.77m | 4:53PM0.66m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:13PM0.12m | 8:00AM0.29m | 7:56PM0.10m | 8:42AM0.28m | 8:37PM0.09m | 9:21AM0.26m | 9:17PM0.08m | 9:59AM0.26m | 9:54PM0.09m | 10:36AM0.26m | 10:31PM0.11m | 11:13AM0.26m | 11:07PM0.14m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | |  | | | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:00 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — |
 | — | 8:01 | — | — | 8:02 | — | — | 8:05 | — | — | 8:06 | — | — | 8:07 | — | — | 8:07 | — | — | 8:08 | — |
mm | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 20 | 17 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 18 | 16 |
Feels °C | 15 | 17 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 12 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 7 | SW 13 | SW 13 |
| kJ | 441 | 620 | 614 | 597 | 691 | 653 | 509 | 424 | 403 | 303 | 273 | 263 | 255 | 195 | 657 | 763 | 598 | 507 | 127 | 637 | 553 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 9 | SE 9 | SE 8 | SSW 6 | SSW 5 | SE 10 | SSW 5 | E 6 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | E 7 | E 8 | — | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 6 | WSW 13 |
| kJ | 29 | 28 | 26 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 53 | 25 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 50 | 214 | 302 | 1 | 1 | — | 387 | 541 | 40 | 154 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 11 | — | — | — | — | ESE 8 | SE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 10 | SE 9 | SW 20 | E 5 | — | E 7 | — | — | — | — | E 8 | — | — |
| kJ | 45 | — | — | — | — | 7 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 2 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SSW 4 | SW 6 | SSW 7 | — | — | — | — | SSW 4 | SW 4 | SW 5 | SW 5 | SSW 6 | SW 6 | SW 7 | SSW 7 | — | SE 5 | ESE 5 |
| kJ | — | — | — | 33 | 135 | 165 | — | — | — | — | 7 | 4 | 12 | 32 | 104 | 95 | 244 | 211 | — | 60 | 42 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 5 | 44 | 5 | 428 | 81 | 39 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 81 | 485 | 45 | 186 | 44 | 45 | 20 |
Best forecast wave conditions in East Coast of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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