Cape Paterson Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.68° S 145.60° E

Issued: 9 pm 17 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
15.1° C

1.1°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Paterson surf forecast from 17 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 24 Jun, 4PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 14s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 20 Jun, 10AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 12s period, SW swell with 2,791 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 21 Jun, 1AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 10s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jun 21) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 16 days are 3.5m 12s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jun 20) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 6s period and expected on Friday (Jun 19) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Sun 21st Jun)4.5ft (1.4m) 10s
Best Surf 4PM (Wed 24th Jun)6.5ft (2.0m) 14s
Most Powerful10AM (Sat 20th Jun)11ft (3.5m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 18°C on Wed night, min 12°C on Sat morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNE on Wed night, strong winds from the NNW by Fri morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Sat night, strong winds from the NNW by Tue morning).

Thursday
18
Friday
19
Saturday
20
Sunday
21
Monday
22
Tuesday
23
Wed
24
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
WSW
13
0.7
SW
12
0.6
SW
12
0.4
SW
21
0.7
SW
19
1.1
SW
18
0.9
SW
17
3.5
SW
12
2.5
SW
11
1.4
SW
10
1.4
SW
14
1.3
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
1.1
SW
14
1.1
SW
14
1.2
SW
15
1.5
WSW
13
1.4
WSW
11
1.6
WSW
13
1.7
WSW
14
2
WSW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
290
149
110
160
350
686
493
2791
1473
384
825
666
518
447
466
631
749
460
837
1110
1411
Wind (km/h)
20
NNE
25
N
35
N
35
NNW
40
NNW
45
NNW
35
WNW
30
SSW
20
SSW
5
SSW
5
N
15
WSW
10
W
15
NW
20
WNW
25
NW
40
NNW
40
NNW
20
N
20
N
15
N
Wind State
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
on
glassy
glassy
on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
1:01AM0.74m
2:16PM0.85m
2:01AM0.75m
3:04PM0.85m
3:00AM0.76m
3:49PM0.85m
3:57AM0.75m
4:33PM0.83m
4:53AM0.73m
5:14PM0.80m
5:48AM0.70m
5:54PM0.76m
6:43AM0.68m
6:34PM0.72m
Low Tide
7:32AM-0.03m
8:19PM0.22m
8:26AM-0.01m
9:11PM0.19m
9:18AM0.03m
10:02PM0.16m
10:08AM0.08m
10:51PM0.13m
10:56AM0.14m
11:38PM0.13m
11:43AM0.21m
00:24AM0.13m
12:31PM0.27m
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
cloud
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:33
7:33
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:01
5:01
5:01
5:01
5:02
5:02
5:02
 mm
2
5
2
2
2
1
2
1
Temp °C
18
18
17
15
13
14
13
12
12
12
11
12
12
12
13
11
11
12
12
10
10
Feels °C
14
14
11
10
4
5
5
6
7
10
10
8
9
7
8
6
2
3
5
6
6
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
WSW
13
0.7
SW
12
0.6
SW
12
0.5
SW
12
0.7
W
9
1.1
SW
18
1.3
WSW
11
0.4
SW
16
0.7
SW
16
1.4
SW
10
1.4
SW
14
1.3
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
1.1
SW
14
1.1
SW
14
1.2
SW
15
1.5
WSW
13
1.4
WSW
11
1.6
WSW
13
1.7
WSW
14
2
WSW
14
Energy kJ
290
149
110
69
76
686
426
94
258
384
825
666
518
447
466
631
749
460
837
1110
1411
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
NW
4
0.1
SW
24
0.4
SW
21
0.7
SW
19
0.4
WSW
9
0.9
SW
17
0.6
SW
16
0.9
SW
14
0.4
SE
5
0.2
SSE
4
0.2
ESE
7
0.1
SE
6
0.1
SE
11
0.1
E
10
0.1
E
6
0.7
SW
14
1.2
WSW
13
0.4
NW
4
Energy kJ
1
22
160
350
25
493
201
346
6
2
4
2
5
2
1
189
458
5
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
SW
24
0.3
WSW
8
0.5
SW
12
0.6
SE
6
0.5
SE
5
0.3
SE
4
0.2
ESE
5
0.1
E
11
0.1
E
11
0.1
SE
6
0.1
E
10
0.1
E
10
0.2
WNW
4
Energy kJ
22
11
66
25
14
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
NNW
3
0.6
NNW
4
0.8
NNW
4
1.1
NW
5
1.5
NNW
5
1.7
NW
6
2.1
W
7
3.5
SW
12
2.5
SW
11
0.6
WSW
4
0.7
WSW
5
0.7
NW
4
1.1
NW
4
1.1
NW
5
1
NNW
5
0.7
NNW
5
0.4
E
3
Energy kJ
4
13
26
47
111
183
380
2791
1473
13
22
13
45
51
46
19
2
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
3
1
5
4
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
3
2
3
3
3
Distance (km)
20
5
38
105
227
276
114
421
81
5
5
5
5
5
35
5
105
129
5
5
5
Best forecast wave conditions in East Coast of Victoria
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
1
2
3
3
3
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
3
5
1
5
5
6
4
3
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
3
5
5
5
5
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
4
5
9
6
6
6
4
7
5
9
4
9
9
8
6
6
5
5
5
5
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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