Cape Paterson Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.68° S 145.60° E

Cape Paterson Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 4 pm 16 Oct 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
14.4°C
1.2° 

Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Paterson surf forecast from 16 Oct 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 22 Oct, 2AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 22 Oct, 11AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 16s period, SW swell with 1,916 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 17 Oct, 5AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 12s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Oct 17) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 12s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 16 days are 1.9m 16s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Oct 22) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 5s period and expected on Friday (Oct 23) at 5PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5AM (Sat 17th Oct)2ft (0.6m) 12s
Best Surf 2AM (Thu 22nd Oct)5ft (1.5m) 15s
Most Powerful11AM (Thu 22nd Oct)6ft (1.9m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Sun afternoon, min 14°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Mon afternoon, min 13°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light.

Fri
16
Saturday
17
Sunday
18
Monday
19
Tuesday
20
Wednesday
21
Thursday
22
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
1
2
1
0
0
3
3
2
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
SW
13
0.6
SW
12
0.6
WSW
12
0.5
SW
12
0.4
SW
16
0.4
SW
14
0.5
SW
12
0.6
WSW
14
1.1
WSW
15
1.1
SW
16
1.3
WSW
14
1.2
WSW
14
1.1
SW
13
1
WSW
12
0.9
WSW
12
0.9
WSW
13
1.5
SW
15
1.9
SW
16
1.9
SW
16
1.7
WSW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
193
118
94
68
63
54
75
127
544
573
638
493
412
320
231
295
1046
1916
1799
1279
Wind (km/h)
20
SE
15
ENE
10
SW
20
SE
15
ENE
0
WSW
20
SE
10
ENE
5
NW
20
ESE
15
NE
20
NNW
15
N
5
SSE
5
SSE
20
SE
15
E
5
NNW
20
ESE
15
NE
Wind State
cross
cross-off
on
cross
cross-off
glassy
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-on
cross
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
off
High Tide
4:55AM0.78m
4:41PM0.70m
5:31AM0.76m
5:16PM0.68m
6:08AM0.73m
5:52PM0.66m
6:46AM0.70m
6:32PM0.63m
7:28AM0.67m
7:19PM0.60m
8:15AM0.65m
8:19PM0.59m
Low Tide
10:24PM0.07m
10:56AM0.24m
11:00PM0.09m
11:32AM0.26m
11:36PM0.12m
12:08PM0.28m
00:12AM0.16m
12:48PM0.30m
00:52AM0.19m
1:34PM0.31m
1:38AM0.23m
2:27PM0.32m
2:35AM0.27m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
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6:28
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6:28
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6:26
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6:24
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6:24
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6:22
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<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:35
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7:36
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7:37
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7:38
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7:39
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7:40
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7:42
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 mm
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
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—
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Temp °C
18
15
16
18
17
18
21
20
21
24
23
24
24
19
16
17
20
23
26
25
Feels °C
13
9
14
15
13
17
18
15
19
22
18
19
20
17
16
15
18
22
24
21
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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