Cape Paterson Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.68° S 145.60° E

Cape Paterson Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 15 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
13.4° C
0.9° 

Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Paterson surf forecast from 15 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 16 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 23 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period, SW swell with 4,959 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 16 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 14s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 16 days are 3.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 23) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Monday (Aug 17) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Sun 16th Aug)6ft (1.8m) 14s
Best Surf 4AM (Sun 16th Aug)6ft (1.8m) 14s
Most Powerful 4AM (Sun 23rd Aug)10ft (3.0m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue morning, min 11°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 17°C on Wed afternoon, min 10°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Thu afternoon, strong winds from the WSW by Fri afternoon).

Sunday
16
Monday
17
Tuesday
18
Wednesday
19
Thursday
20
Friday
21
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
2
1
2
1
1
2
2
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.9
SW
14
1.6
SW
14
1.6
SW
14
1.4
SW
14
1.4
SW
14
1.6
SW
16
1.6
SW
15
1.3
WSW
14
1.2
SW
14
0.9
WSW
13
0.8
WSW
14
0.8
WSW
15
0.7
SW
14
0.7
WSW
13
0.8
WSW
13
1.3
WSW
13
0.9
WSW
16
1.9
WSW
14
1.7
WSW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1426
988
988
811
777
1271
1088
701
589
282
257
279
214
159
222
569
425
1415
1517
Wind (km/h)
10
ESE
0
SSE
10
SSE
15
ENE
15
E
25
ESE
20
E
10
ENE
15
ESE
15
NE
15
NNE
20
N
35
NNW
30
NW
15
W
20
NNW
25
NNW
25
NW
40
WSW
Wind State
cross-off
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
on
High Tide
1:47AM0.74m
2:17PM0.80m
2:42AM0.76m
2:57PM0.80m
3:31AM0.77m
3:35PM0.80m
4:16AM0.77m
4:11PM0.78m
4:58AM0.75m
4:46PM0.76m
5:39AM0.72m
5:20PM0.73m
Low Tide
7:58AM0.11m
8:33PM0.12m
8:47AM0.13m
9:17PM0.08m
9:31AM0.16m
9:57PM0.06m
10:12AM0.19m
10:36PM0.06m
10:50AM0.23m
11:13PM0.08m
11:28AM0.27m
11:51PM0.11m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:03
7:01
7:01
6:58
6:58
6:56
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:39
5:40
5:42
5:43
5:44
5:45
 mm
1
1
1
8
Temp °C
12
13
13
12
15
14
13
16
16
16
16
17
14
13
14
13
14
16
11
Feels °C
8
12
11
8
11
8
9
13
12
12
13
12
8
8
10
9
8
10
2
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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