Cape Paterson Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.68° S 145.60° E

Cape Paterson Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 24 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
13.8°C
1.0° 

Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Paterson surf forecast from 23 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 28 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 27 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 16s period, SW swell with 1,561 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 24 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 13s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 24) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 13s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 16 days are 1.7m 16s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 27) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 30) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Thu 24th Sep)4.5ft (1.3m) 13s
Best Surf 1AM (Mon 28th Sep)5ft (1.6m) 15s
Most Powerful10AM (Sun 27th Sep)5.5ft (1.7m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 37mm), heaviest during Sat morning. Warm (max 22°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Sat morning). Winds increasing (calm on Thu morning, fresh winds from the SSW by Sat night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Tue morning, min 8°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Thursday
24
Friday
25
Saturday
26
Sunday
27
Monday
28
Tuesday
29
Wednesday
30
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
1
0
2
2
2
1
1
2
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
WSW
13
1.3
WSW
13
1.1
SW
13
0.9
WSW
12
0.9
WSW
12
0.9
SW
13
1
SW
14
1.1
SW
13
1.2
SW
18
1.7
SW
16
1.8
SW
16
1.6
SW
15
1.3
SW
14
1.3
SW
13
1.1
SW
13
1
SW
13
1.1
SW
16
1.1
SW
15
1
SW
15
1
SW
16
1
SW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
581
572
364
260
247
249
401
444
915
1561
1552
1048
648
637
418
310
627
499
444
486
465
Wind (km/h)
5
NNE
5
ESE
15
NE
10
W
15
SSW
10
WNW
20
SW
15
WSW
35
SSE
25
SE
30
SE
15
ESE
10
SE
25
SSE
15
ENE
10
NNW
10
ESE
15
NNE
20
N
15
N
20
NNE
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-on
on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
8:53PM0.57m
10:11AM0.62m
10:16PM0.59m
11:07AM0.64m
11:28PM0.63m
11:55AM0.66m
00:27AM0.69m
12:38PM0.69m
1:17AM0.74m
1:18PM0.72m
2:03AM0.79m
1:57PM0.74m
2:47AM0.83m
Low Tide
3:10PM0.37m
3:27AM0.26m
4:22PM0.34m
4:38AM0.26m
5:22PM0.28m
5:41AM0.25m
6:10PM0.22m
6:35AM0.23m
6:54PM0.15m
7:23AM0.21m
7:35PM0.09m
8:07AM0.20m
8:16PM0.03m
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
light rain
light rain
heavy rain
mod rain
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:05
6:03
6:01
6:00
5:58
5:56
5:54
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:15
6:15
6:15
6:16
6:17
6:19
6:20
 mm
1
3
22
10
1
Temp °C
20
22
20
19
16
14
9
10
11
11
11
9
11
11
10
18
18
17
19
19
23
Feels °C
19
20
20
17
14
14
5
6
3
4
4
5
7
6
5
16
15
13
12
16
16
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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