Cape Paterson Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.68° S 145.60° E

Cape Paterson Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 4 pm 11 Oct 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
14.3°C
1.2° 

Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Paterson surf forecast from 11 Oct 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 14 Oct, 11PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 13s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 13 Oct, 2PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 13s period, WSW swell with 3,861 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 14 Oct, 11PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 13s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Oct 14) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 13s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 16 days are 3.5m 13s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Oct 13) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Thursday (Oct 15) at 5PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)11PM (Wed 14th Oct)6ft (1.8m) 13s
Best Surf11PM (Wed 14th Oct)6ft (1.8m) 13s
Most Powerful 2PM (Tue 13th Oct)11ft (3.5m) 13s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Warm (max 23°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the W on Mon morning, strong winds from the WSW by Tue morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the E on Thu night, calm by Sat morning).

Sun
11
Monday
12
Tuesday
13
Wednesday
14
Thursday
15
Friday
16
Saturday
17
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.5
WSW
15
2.4
WSW
15
2.2
WSW
16
2
WSW
16
2.5
WSW
14
3.5
WSW
12
3.5
SW
13
3
SW
14
2.4
SW
14
2.1
SW
13
1.6
SW
13
1.2
SW
12
1
SW
12
0.9
SW
11
0.7
SW
11
0.7
SW
11
0.6
SW
13
0.6
WSW
12
0.5
SW
12
0.4
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
3246
2547
2472
1931
2873
3690
3724
3110
2065
1417
772
421
278
185
123
126
128
96
69
64
Wind (km/h)
20
NW
15
NW
20
WSW
30
WSW
30
WNW
35
WSW
35
SW
25
SSW
20
SSE
20
S
10
E
20
E
30
ESE
25
E
15
E
30
ESE
20
E
5
SE
20
SE
15
E
Wind State
cross
cross
cross-on
on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
1:31AM0.73m
1:28PM0.69m
2:20AM0.76m
2:11PM0.70m
3:03AM0.79m
2:52PM0.71m
3:42AM0.80m
3:29PM0.72m
4:19AM0.79m
4:06PM0.71m
4:55AM0.78m
4:41PM0.70m
Low Tide
7:01PM0.15m
7:36AM0.25m
7:48PM0.11m
8:24AM0.24m
8:30PM0.08m
9:06AM0.23m
9:10PM0.07m
9:45AM0.23m
9:48PM0.06m
10:21AM0.23m
10:24PM0.07m
10:56AM0.24m
11:00PM0.09m
clear
part cloud
light rain
cloud
part cloud
rain showers
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
—
—
6:37
—
—
6:35
—
—
6:33
—
—
6:31
—
—
6:31
—
—
6:28
—
—
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:30
—
—
7:30
—
—
7:31
—
—
7:32
—
—
7:34
—
—
7:35
—
—
7:36
—
 mm
—
—
2
—
—
3
1
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
Temp °C
23
22
14
12
13
11
11
11
11
12
10
13
17
13
16
19
15
16
18
15
Feels °C
19
17
13
6
6
2
2
2
5
7
5
8
12
5
12
14
9
14
14
10
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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