Cape Paterson surf break

Cape Paterson surfForecast / VIC – East Coast / Australia

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 4 am Tuesday 10 Mar 2026 AEDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
18.8° C
(Which is slightly warmer than usual)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Mar 10) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 12 days are 1.8m 18s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Mar 15) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Mar 11) at 11AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)11PM (Tue 10th Mar)3ft (0.9m) 12s
Best Surf11PM (Fri 13th Mar)5ft (1.5m) 12s
Most Powerful 2PM (Sun 15th Mar)6ft (1.8m) 18s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 12 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Mostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Wed morning, min 14°C on Thu afternoon). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Mostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Sun afternoon, min 11°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Tuesday
10
Wednesday
11
Thursday
12
Friday
13
Saturday
14
Sunday
15
Monday
16
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
3
0
2
3
0
3
2
1
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.8
SW
0.8
SW
0.9
SW
0.9
SW
1.1
WSW
1.9
SW
1.8
SW
2
SW
2.3
SW
2
SW
1.6
SW
0.9
SW
1.1
SW
1
SW
1
SW
1.6
SW
1.8
SW
1.5
SW
1.3
SW
1.2
SW
1.1
SW
Period(s) (?)121212121167810111220191817191716141413
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)1611642051952862613464441069984723673808644582174918161082659581374
Wind
(km/h)
10
W
10
S
15
ENE
30
NNW
5
S
25
SW
25
WSW
25
SW
25
SSW
15
S
20
SSE
10
E
0
ESE
20
SE
10
ENE
5
WNW
20
S
0
WSW
0
SSW
20
N
20
WNW
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
on
onononcross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
off
glasscrosscross-
off
glasscross-
on
glassglasscross-
off
cross
High Tide
/ height (m)
5:42PM
0.76
5:29AM
0.73
6:19PM
0.73
6:01AM
0.71
6:56PM
0.70
6:33AM
0.68
7:38PM
0.67
7:08AM
0.65
8:25PM
0.65
7:50AM
0.62
9:22PM
0.63
8:46AM
0.60
10:28PM
0.62
Low Tide
/ height (m)
11:18AM
0.08
11:38PM
0.24
11:52AM
0.09
12:12AM
0.26
12:27PM
0.11
12:47AM
0.30
1:04PM
0.14
1:25AM
0.33
1:44PM
0.17
2:11AM
0.36
2:33PM
0.19
3:10AM
0.38
3:32PM
0.22
4:24AM
0.38
Tuesday
10
Wednesday
11
Thursday
12
Friday
13
Saturday
14
Sunday
15
Monday
16
Sunrise7:09--7:09--7:11--7:11--7:13--7:13--7:15--
Sunset-7:45--7:44--7:42--7:40--7:38--7:37--7:36-
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
light rain
rain showers
Rain (mm)
-------------------12
Temp. °C171817242018151514151514131717192117191918
Feels °C (?)161716191714988111110121314181917201816
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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