Cape Paterson Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.68° S 145.60° E

Cape Paterson Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 30 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
14.0°C
1.1° 

Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Paterson surf forecast from 30 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 5 Oct, 8PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 15s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 7 Oct, 11AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 3,221 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 30 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 16s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 30) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 16s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 16 days are 2.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Oct 07) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 5s period and expected on Friday (Oct 02) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7PM (Wed 30th Sep)4ft (1.2m) 16s
Best Surf 8PM (Mon 5th Oct)5ft (1.6m) 15s
Most Powerful11AM (Wed 7th Oct)8ft (2.5m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 41mm), heaviest during Thu afternoon. Warm (max 24°C on Wed afternoon, min 10°C on Thu afternoon). Winds increasing (calm on Wed night, strong winds from the SE by Fri night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon night, min 11°C on Sat morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the ESE on Sat morning, calm by Mon afternoon).

Wednesday
30
Thursday
1
Friday
2
Saturday
3
Sunday
4
Monday
5
Tuesday
6
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
2
0
0
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
2
1
0
2
2
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1
SW
15
1.2
SW
16
1.1
SW
16
1.3
SW
15
1.3
WSW
14
1.3
WSW
14
1.2
SW
13
1.4
SW
13
1.5
SW
15
1.5
SW
14
1.5
SW
14
1.4
SW
14
1.4
SW
14
1.6
SW
15
1.7
SW
15
1.6
SW
16
1.6
SW
16
1.6
SW
15
1.4
SW
16
2.4
WSW
15
2.5
SW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
444
737
620
704
701
691
494
711
953
915
915
787
765
1135
1314
1333
1300
1147
906
2720
2843
Wind (km/h)
15
NNW
25
NNW
0
NNE
20
NW
25
SSW
5
ESE
15
SSE
20
SSE
35
ESE
35
ESE
30
SE
20
SE
15
SSE
10
SSW
10
WSW
15
WNW
10
SSW
15
NNE
20
NW
45
SW
35
S
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross
on
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross
on
cross-on
High Tide
1:57PM0.74m
2:47AM0.83m
2:36PM0.76m
3:30AM0.84m
3:16PM0.78m
4:14AM0.84m
3:58PM0.78m
4:59AM0.81m
4:42PM0.76m
5:46AM0.78m
5:31PM0.74m
6:38AM0.74m
6:28PM0.70m
Low Tide
8:16PM0.03m
8:48AM0.20m
8:57PM-0.00m
9:29AM0.20m
9:40PM-0.02m
10:11AM0.21m
10:24PM-0.01m
10:55AM0.23m
11:11PM0.02m
11:42AM0.25m
00:02AM0.07m
12:36PM0.27m
00:59AM0.13m
cloud
cloud
light rain
rain showers
heavy rain
rain showers
part cloud
clear
mod rain
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:54
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5:54
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5:52
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5:50
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6:48
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5:48
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5:46
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<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
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6:20
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6:21
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6:22
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6:22
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7:23
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6:24
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6:25
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 mm
—
—
1
3
24
3
—
—
10
2
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
3
—
Temp °C
23
24
20
17
11
12
13
13
12
12
13
11
12
12
11
13
13
14
15
12
12
Feels °C
18
22
20
14
7
11
9
9
7
5
7
7
8
10
9
11
11
10
11
5
4
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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