Cape Paterson Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.68° S 145.60° E

Cape Paterson Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 23 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
14.1°C
1.3° 

Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Paterson surf forecast from 23 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 28 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 27 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 16s period, SW swell with 2,568 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 24 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 13s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 24) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 13s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 16 days are 2.2m 16s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 27) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 30) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Thu 24th Sep)4.5ft (1.4m) 13s
Best Surf 1AM (Mon 28th Sep)5.5ft (1.7m) 15s
Most Powerful10AM (Sun 27th Sep)7ft (2.2m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Warm (max 21°C on Thu afternoon, min 11°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 23mm), heaviest during Sat morning. Very mild (max 12°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Sat morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Sat night, light winds from the E by Sun night).

Wednesday
23
Thursday
24
Friday
25
Saturday
26
Sunday
27
Monday
28
Tuesday
29
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
0
2
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
2
0
2
2
1
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.6
SW
14
1.4
SW
14
1.4
SW
13
1.3
WSW
13
1.2
SW
13
1.1
SW
13
0.9
WSW
12
0.9
SW
12
0.9
SW
13
1
SW
14
1
SW
13
1.3
WSW
18
2.2
SW
16
2.1
SW
16
1.7
SW
15
1.5
SW
14
1.3
SW
13
1.1
SW
13
1.1
SW
12
0.8
SW
16
1.1
SW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1094
765
690
581
501
364
260
205
249
401
347
1044
2568
2061
1229
862
628
411
319
302
595
Wind (km/h)
5
ESE
20
SE
15
ENE
5
NNE
10
ESE
5
NNE
10
W
20
SW
10
W
20
SW
25
SSW
30
S
25
ESE
30
SE
15
ESE
10
ESE
25
SSE
15
ENE
10
NNE
15
SE
15
NNE
Wind State
glassy
cross
off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
off
cross-off
cross
off
High Tide
7:38PM0.59m
9:07AM0.61m
8:53PM0.57m
10:11AM0.62m
10:16PM0.59m
11:07AM0.64m
11:28PM0.63m
11:55AM0.66m
00:27AM0.69m
12:38PM0.69m
1:17AM0.74m
1:18PM0.72m
2:03AM0.79m
Low Tide
1:58PM0.37m
2:17AM0.24m
3:10PM0.37m
3:27AM0.26m
4:22PM0.34m
4:38AM0.26m
5:22PM0.28m
5:41AM0.25m
6:10PM0.22m
6:35AM0.23m
6:54PM0.15m
7:23AM0.21m
7:35PM0.09m
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
rain showers
mod rain
heavy rain
light rain
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:05
6:05
6:03
6:01
6:00
5:58
5:56
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:14
6:15
6:15
6:15
6:16
6:17
6:19
 mm
2
6
18
5
Temp °C
13
13
14
19
21
21
18
15
12
10
11
11
11
11
10
11
12
11
15
16
16
Feels °C
11
10
11
18
19
19
16
12
10
6
4
3
5
4
6
6
7
7
13
12
12
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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