Cape Paterson Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.68° S 145.60° E

Issued: 9 am 17 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
15.2° C

1.1°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Paterson surf forecast from 17 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 20 Jun, 4PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 10s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 20 Jun, 10PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 14s period, SW swell with 1,273 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 17 Jun, 7PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 13s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jun 17) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 4s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 16 days are 1.8m 14s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jun 20) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Friday (Jun 19) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7PM (Wed 17th Jun)3.5ft (1.1m) 13s
Best Surf 4PM (Sat 20th Jun)7ft (2.2m) 10s
Most Powerful10PM (Sat 20th Jun)6ft (1.8m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 19°C on Wed morning, min 11°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNE on Wed night, fresh winds from the NNW by Fri afternoon).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 10°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light.

Wednesday
17
Thursday
18
Friday
19
Saturday
20
Sunday
21
Monday
22
Tuesday
23
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
1
2
1
2
1
0
2
2
2
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
WSW
14
1.1
WSW
13
0.9
WSW
13
0.7
SW
12
0.6
SW
12
0.4
SW
21
0.7
SW
19
1.1
SW
18
1.3
SW
17
2.4
SW
10
2.2
SW
10
0.9
SW
14
1.3
SW
14
1.3
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
1.1
SW
14
0.8
SW
14
0.9
SW
14
1.5
WSW
12
1.5
WSW
14
1.6
WSW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
712
440
290
149
110
160
350
686
1050
1160
928
346
746
605
518
459
293
346
702
908
943
Wind (km/h)
25
NNW
15
NNW
15
NE
25
N
35
NNW
25
NW
30
NNW
35
NNW
25
NW
20
NW
5
N
20
ESE
15
ESE
15
SE
5
ENE
15
NNW
15
WNW
15
NW
15
N
10
NW
10
NNE
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
High Tide
1:24PM0.84m
1:01AM0.74m
2:16PM0.85m
2:01AM0.75m
3:04PM0.85m
3:00AM0.76m
3:49PM0.85m
3:57AM0.75m
4:33PM0.83m
4:53AM0.73m
5:14PM0.80m
5:48AM0.70m
5:54PM0.76m
Low Tide
7:24PM0.26m
7:32AM-0.03m
8:19PM0.22m
8:26AM-0.01m
9:11PM0.19m
9:18AM0.03m
10:02PM0.16m
10:08AM0.08m
10:51PM0.13m
10:56AM0.14m
11:38PM0.13m
11:43AM0.21m
00:24AM0.13m
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
part cloud
rain showers
cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:33
7:33
7:33
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:01
5:01
5:01
5:01
5:01
5:02
5:02
 mm
1
1
1
1
Temp °C
19
19
18
18
17
15
15
13
13
13
14
12
12
12
12
11
12
12
11
13
12
Feels °C
15
16
16
13
11
10
8
6
6
10
13
9
9
8
10
7
9
9
8
11
9
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
WSW
14
1.1
WSW
13
0.9
WSW
13
0.7
SW
12
0.6
SW
12
0.6
W
7
0.9
WSW
9
1.1
SW
18
1.3
SW
17
0.9
SW
16
2.2
SW
10
1
SW
7
1.3
SW
14
1.3
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
1.1
SW
14
1.3
WSW
7
1
WSW
8
1.5
WSW
12
1.5
WSW
14
1.6
WSW
14
Energy kJ
712
440
290
149
110
36
129
686
1050
416
928
85
746
605
518
459
169
123
702
908
943
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
E
10
0.1
SW
24
0.5
SW
12
0.7
SW
19
0.4
W
8
0.4
WSW
11
0.8
WSW
11
1
SW
16
0.9
SW
14
0.3
SE
5
0.1
SE
4
0.2
ESE
11
0.1
SE
11
0.8
SW
14
0.9
SW
14
0.1
E
10
0.1
E
10
1.1
SW
14
Energy kJ
2
22
69
350
19
41
143
477
346
4
1
11
4
293
346
2
2
465
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
E
10
0.4
SW
21
0.5
SW
12
0.1
E
10
0.1
E
10
0.1
E
10
0.8
SW
11
0.8
SW
10
0.1
SE
11
0.1
E
11
0.1
E
7
0.1
SE
10
0.1
E
10
Energy kJ
2
160
65
2
2
2
134
136
5
2
1
4
2
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
NNW
4
0.6
NW
4
0.3
N
2
0.5
NNW
4
0.9
NW
4
1.2
WNW
5
1.2
NNW
5
1.6
NW
6
1
W
5
2.4
SW
10
0.8
SW
9
0.5
W
3
1
WSW
5
1.4
WSW
6
0.6
NNW
3
1.1
NW
5
1.1
NW
5
0.7
NW
4
Energy kJ
10
11
1
8
28
69
59
144
52
1160
91
5
56
139
7
56
61
18
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
1
1
1
1
2
3
3
3
3
2
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
3
3
Distance (km)
5
5
5
5
113
23
38
113
52
5
5
44
26
45
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
Best forecast wave conditions in East Coast of Victoria
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
1
1
1
2
4
4
2
2
1
2
2
2
3
2
3
3
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
4
3
4
5
3
5
4
4
4
4
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
5
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
4
5
5
5
8
6
6
7
4
7
5
5
8
4
7
5
5
5
5
5
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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