Cape Paterson Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty. So, the next 16 days at Cape Paterson start with a bit of downtime – no surf worth paddlin’ out for right now, but from Monday morning July 6th, things fire up. The opening window is promising, with a sneaky run of clean, glassy groundswell carrying some punch. The standout sits right at the start.

Monday July 6th: a solid 4ft SW swell rolling in at 15 seconds – that’s proper groundswell, heaps of grunt and long lulls between sets. With an ENE breeze around 9 mph, it’s offshore and clean. The combined energy is moderate (770). It’s an advanced break, sheltered from the full force, so this long-period SW groundswell will wrap in nicely, though at a beach and reef setup it might straighten out a bit – still, conditions are tidy.

But the real gem is Wednesday morning, July 8th. SW swell 5ft with a very long period of 19 seconds – that’s some serious energy (1938). ENE breeze at 6 mph gives clean, cross-off conditions. The water temp is about average for winter. This is the pick of the bunch: the combination of long-period groundswell, decent size, and clean wind makes for quality waves. Just know this spot can be a bit inconsistent, and crowds are sometimes an issue.

Tuesday July 7th morning is glassy (NNE 3 mph), with a 4ft SW swell at 17 seconds – clean but a step down in energy (851). Thursday July 9th morning keeps it clean with 5ft SW at 16 seconds (879), and the afternoon goes glassy again with an even 4ft SW. Friday July 10th morning has 5ft SW at 16 seconds (1018) and light offshore wind – another lovely session.

From Saturday July 11th afternoon, things go downhill. Cross-off wind picks up to 19 mph, and the swell drops, but the quality fades slowly. Sunday July 12th turns ugly: strong cross-onshore wind, messy chop, and an 12ft W swell with only 8 seconds – short-period junk. By Monday the 13th, onshore SW gales and 8ft swell are just messy and dangerous. Through the middle of the month, it stays blown-out and lumpy.

A glimmer returns Thursday July 16th morning: 5ft SW at 15 seconds (1024), with clean cross-off wind – that’s a solid offering for the second week. Not as strong as earlier, but clean. Friday July 17th morning has a smaller 4ft SW at 13 seconds, but still clean. Saturday July 18th morning bumps up to 6ft WSW at 17 seconds (1649), though it’s marginal due to moderate wind. After that, it’s back to strong wind and poor conditions through to the end.

So, all up: the best waves are the Wednesday morning (July 8th) session – that’s your winner. The Monday morning (July 6th) and Thursday morning (July 16th) are also very solid. The first week has a good run of clean days; the second week is patchy but has a couple of bright spots.

Rusty.

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