Cape Paterson Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.68° S 145.60° E

Issued: 3 pm 17 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
15.1° C

1.1°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Paterson surf forecast from 17 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 24 Jun, 1AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 15s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 20 Jun, 7AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 12s period, SW swell with 3,247 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 18 Jun, 1AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 13s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jun 18) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 13s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 16 days are 3.5m 12s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jun 20) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.9m 6s period and expected on Friday (Jun 19) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Thu 18th Jun)3ft (0.9m) 13s
Best Surf 1AM (Wed 24th Jun)5.5ft (1.7m) 15s
Most Powerful 7AM (Sat 20th Jun)11ft (3.5m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Warm (max 20°C on Wed afternoon, min 12°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNE on Wed night, strong winds from the NNW by Fri afternoon).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 12°C on Sat afternoon, min 8°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SSE on Sat afternoon, calm by Sun night).

Wed
17
Thursday
18
Friday
19
Saturday
20
Sunday
21
Monday
22
Tuesday
23
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
2
3
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
WSW
13
0.9
WSW
13
0.7
SW
12
0.6
SW
12
0.4
SW
21
0.7
SW
19
1
SW
18
1.1
SW
17
3.5
SW
10
2.5
SW
11
1.7
SSW
10
1.4
SW
14
1.4
SW
14
1.4
SW
13
1.1
SW
15
0.9
SW
14
1
SW
14
1.7
WSW
11
1.6
WSW
14
1.7
WSW
15
1.7
WSW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
440
290
149
110
160
350
595
655
2707
1630
522
825
747
651
472
350
404
724
955
1279
1038
Wind (km/h)
15
NNW
20
NNE
30
N
30
N
35
NNW
40
NNW
45
NNW
40
NW
30
SSW
40
SSE
5
S
15
S
15
SSW
5
WNW
15
NW
25
NW
30
NNW
30
NW
20
NW
15
NNW
5
NE
Wind State
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
glassy
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
High Tide
1:01AM0.74m
2:16PM0.85m
2:01AM0.75m
3:04PM0.85m
3:00AM0.76m
3:49PM0.85m
3:57AM0.75m
4:33PM0.83m
4:53AM0.73m
5:14PM0.80m
5:48AM0.70m
5:54PM0.76m
6:43AM0.68m
Low Tide
7:24PM0.26m
7:32AM-0.03m
8:19PM0.22m
8:26AM-0.01m
9:11PM0.19m
9:18AM0.03m
10:02PM0.16m
10:08AM0.08m
10:51PM0.13m
10:56AM0.14m
11:38PM0.13m
11:43AM0.21m
00:24AM0.13m
12:31PM0.27m
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
light rain
light rain
mod rain
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:33
7:33
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:01
5:01
5:01
5:01
5:01
5:02
5:02
5:02
 mm
1
3
5
6
5
1
1
Temp °C
20
18
18
17
15
14
13
13
13
12
11
12
12
12
11
12
10
10
11
10
11
Feels °C
18
14
13
11
9
5
4
5
6
5
7
8
8
9
5
7
4
4
6
6
8
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
WSW
13
0.9
WSW
13
0.7
SW
12
0.6
SW
12
0.6
WSW
12
0.9
WSW
10
1
SW
18
1.1
SW
17
0.6
SW
16
0.9
SW
14
1.4
SW
14
1.4
SW
14
1.4
SW
13
1.1
SW
15
0.9
SW
14
1
WSW
8
1.7
WSW
11
1.6
WSW
14
1.7
WSW
15
1.7
WSW
14
Energy kJ
440
290
149
110
94
169
595
655
208
346
825
747
651
472
350
122
724
955
1279
1038
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
E
10
0.1
SW
24
0.4
SW
21
0.7
SW
19
0.7
WSW
11
0.1
E
11
0.7
SW
16
0.7
SW
14
0.8
SW
15
0.8
WSW
14
0.1
SE
7
0.1
E
7
0.9
WSW
7
1
SW
14
0.1
E
10
0.6
SW
17
Energy kJ
2
22
160
350
119
2
255
203
301
223
2
1
79
404
2
241
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
E
10
0.2
W
8
0.1
SW
15
0.4
WSW
11
0.1
E
11
0.1
SE
11
0.2
ESE
11
0.1
E
11
0.1
E
11
0.1
E
11
0.1
E
10
0.4
SW
18
Energy kJ
2
4
8
45
2
4
11
2
2
2
2
83
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
NW
4
0.3
N
3
0.6
NNW
4
0.8
NW
4
1.3
NW
5
1.7
NNW
5
1.9
NW
6
2.4
W
7
3.5
SW
10
2.5
SW
11
1.7
SSW
10
0.7
WSW
4
0.8
WNW
4
0.6
NW
4
0.8
NW
4
0.9
NNW
4
1.1
NW
5
0.9
NW
4
1.1
W
8
Energy kJ
10
2
11
24
74
157
258
553
2707
1630
522
17
21
9
17
31
49
28
173
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
1
1
2
1
4
4
2
2
2
3
3
2
2
2
3
3
3
3
3
Distance (km)
5
20
38
38
105
227
142
113
81
227
39
45
45
5
5
5
23
105
5
5
5
Best forecast wave conditions in East Coast of Victoria
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
1
1
2
2
2
3
3
3
3
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
5
2
3
4
6
4
4
4
3
4
4
4
4
2
4
4
5
5
7
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
4
5
9
7
6
6
5
7
9
5
9
7
7
7
5
6
5
5
5
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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