Cape Paterson surf break

Cape Paterson surfForecast / VIC – East Coast / Australia

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 4 pm Wednesday 15 Oct 2025 AEDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
14.1° C
(Which is slightly warmer than usual)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Oct 15) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 17s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 12 days are 2.5m 17s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Oct 15) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Oct 19) at 2PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)11PM (Wed 15th Oct)8ft (2.5m) 17s
Best Surf11PM (Wed 15th Oct)8ft (2.5m) 17s
Most Powerful 8PM (Wed 15th Oct)8ft (2.5m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Some drizzle, heaviest during Fri morning. Warm (max 26°C on Thu afternoon, min 11°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SSE on Wed night, fresh winds from the WSW by Fri morning).

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Mon morning. Warm (max 23°C on Sun afternoon, min 11°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Sat afternoon, strong winds from the NNW by Sun afternoon).

Wed
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
PMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAM
Rating
(10 max)
2
4
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
1.7
WSW
2.5
WSW
2.2
SW
1.9
SW
1.8
SW
2.5
WSW
3.5
WSW
2.5
WSW
2.5
WSW
2.3
SW
1.8
SW
1.3
WSW
1.1
SW
1.4
WSW
1
WSW
1.3
WSW
1.2
WSW
1.6
WSW
1.5
WSW
1.5
WSW
1.2
WSW
Period(s) (?)18171616151481414131212121111121111111212
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)1740345722911799135829271454293925911811980488319427218504347606523669365
Wind
(km/h)
15
SSW
15
ENE
25
NNW
30
NNW
25
W
35
WSW
35
SW
30
W
20
WSW
0
SSW
20
NNE
45
NNW
50
NNW
20
WSW
30
W
30
WSW
20
W
25
WNW
20
SW
5
ENE
15
E
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
onoffcross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
on
cross-
on
oncross-
on
onglasscross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
oncross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
oncross-
off
cross-
off
High Tide
/ height (m)
6:26PM
0.73
7:25AM
0.74
7:20PM
0.68
8:17AM
0.69
8:24PM
0.64
9:14AM
0.65
9:38PM
0.61
10:15AM
0.63
10:59PM
0.61
11:16AM
0.62
12:09AM
0.64
12:10PM
0.63
1:06AM
0.68
12:57PM
0.64
Low Tide
/ height (m)
12:52AM
0.09
1:27PM
0.26
1:45AM
0.16
2:25PM
0.28
2:44AM
0.23
3:32PM
0.29
3:53AM
0.28
4:40PM
0.27
5:06AM
0.30
5:42PM
0.24
6:14AM
0.31
6:33PM
0.21
7:10AM
0.30
Wed
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Sunrise--6:31--6:28--6:28--6:26--6:24--6:24--6:22
Sunset7:34--7:35--7:36--7:37--7:38--7:39--7:40--
clear
clear
clear
cloud
part cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
light rain
Rain (mm)
-----1-------14-----2
Temp. °C131222261513131211121321232214141312131211
Feels °C (?)10111618117665981113159887897
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder

Eyeball surf reportRecent Eyeball Surf Reports for VIC - East Coast

  1. weather stationWind Update Onshore wind has changed to cross-on at Cape Paterson (light winds from the SSW at Pound Creek 19 km from Cape Paterson). 1.6m 11s groundswell from the WSW with a 1.0m 18s long period groundswell, also from the WSW. 2 swells combining so expect closeout sets.

    Cape Paterson
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19 km away, 42 min ago

13 km/h
SSW
0.0
14.1
Air / Water (°C)
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FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website

The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Cape Paterson surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.


Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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