Cape Paterson Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.68° S 145.60° E

Cape Paterson Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 10 am 18 Oct 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
14.4°C
1.2° 

Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Paterson surf forecast from 18 Oct 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 21 Oct, 11PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 17s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 23 Oct, 5PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 16s period, WSW swell with 2,573 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 19 Oct, 2AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 14s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Oct 19) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 16 days are 2.2m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Oct 23) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Friday (Oct 23) at 2PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 2AM (Mon 19th Oct)2ft (0.6m) 14s
Best Surf11PM (Wed 21st Oct)4.5ft (1.4m) 17s
Most Powerful 5PM (Fri 23rd Oct)7ft (2.2m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Tue afternoon, min 15°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Warm (max 26°C on Fri afternoon, min 13°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Thu morning, fresh winds from the NW by Fri afternoon).

Sunday
18
Monday
19
Tuesday
20
Wednesday
21
Thursday
22
Friday
23
Saturday
24
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
2
3
2
2
2
0
0
1
1
1
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SW
14
0.5
SW
12
0.6
WSW
14
1.2
WSW
15
1.1
SW
16
1.3
WSW
14
1.2
WSW
14
1.1
WSW
13
1
WSW
12
1
WSW
12
1
SW
13
1.7
SW
16
1.7
WSW
15
1.9
WSW
16
1.6
WSW
15
1.3
WSW
18
2.2
WSW
16
2
WSW
16
1.8
WSW
14
1.7
WSW
14
1.7
WSW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
54
75
127
584
573
691
493
440
320
294
336
1431
1368
1699
1102
1033
2573
1931
1370
1159
1143
Wind (km/h)
0
SW
20
SE
15
ENE
10
N
15
ESE
10
NNE
15
NW
10
WNW
15
NNE
10
W
15
ENE
15
ENE
5
NW
20
ESE
20
NNE
30
NW
30
SW
20
SSW
10
SSW
15
S
5
NNE
Wind State
glassy
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-on
off
cross-on
off
off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
High Tide
5:16PM0.68m
6:08AM0.73m
5:52PM0.66m
6:46AM0.70m
6:32PM0.63m
7:28AM0.67m
7:19PM0.60m
8:15AM0.65m
8:19PM0.59m
9:07AM0.63m
9:34PM0.59m
10:05AM0.62m
10:53PM0.62m
Low Tide
11:32AM0.26m
11:36PM0.12m
12:08PM0.28m
00:12AM0.16m
12:48PM0.30m
00:52AM0.19m
1:34PM0.31m
1:38AM0.23m
2:27PM0.32m
2:35AM0.27m
3:28PM0.30m
3:44AM0.29m
4:31PM0.27m
4:58AM0.30m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
part cloud
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:28
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—
6:26
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—
6:24
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—
6:24
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—
6:22
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—
6:20
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—
6:20
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—
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
—
7:37
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—
7:38
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—
7:39
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—
7:40
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—
7:42
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—
7:43
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—
7:44
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 mm
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
2
—
—
—
Temp °C
18
21
20
21
24
23
23
26
24
21
22
22
22
25
24
24
26
14
13
14
12
Feels °C
17
16
15
19
21
17
19
22
21
19
20
20
21
23
20
19
20
12
10
11
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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