Cape Paterson surf break

Cape Paterson surfForecast / VIC – East Coast / Australia

information circle16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 9 pm Friday 22 May 2026 AEST
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
16.1° C
(Which is slightly warmer than usual)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (May 23) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 16 days are 1.6m 15s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (May 23) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (May 27) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Sat 23rd May)5ft (1.6m) 15s
Best Surf 1AM (Sat 23rd May)5ft (1.6m) 15s
Most Powerful 1AM (Sat 23rd May)5ft (1.6m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 17°C on Sun morning, min 11°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 25mm), heaviest during Wed morning. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue morning, min 13°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Saturday
23
Sunday
24
Monday
25
Tuesday
26
Wednesday
27
Thursday
28
Fri
29
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
3
2
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.6
SW
15
1.5
SW
14
1.3
WSW
14
1.1
SW
13
0.9
WSW
12
0.8
WSW
11
0.7
SW
11
0.8
WSW
12
0.7
SW
12
0.6
SW
15
1
SW
14
0.9
SW
13
0.9
SW
13
0.8
SW
13
0.8
SW
13
0.7
SW
12
0.7
SW
13
0.8
WSW
12
0.8
WSW
12
0.8
WSW
11
0.8
WSW
11
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1251
915
607
376
251
166
130
184
135
174
368
299
299
208
193
159
167
187
184
166
151
Wind (km/h)
15
ENE
10
NE
10
ESE
10
NNE
5
ENE
10
ESE
15
SE
10
ENE
20
ESE
20
ESE
20
E
20
SE
5
NW
25
WNW
25
SW
25
SW
20
SW
15
SW
0
SW
5
S
15
S
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
glassy
cross
on
on
on
on
glassy
glassy
cross-on
High Tide
4:04AM0.76m
4:54PM0.82m
4:59AM0.73m
5:39PM0.79m
5:57AM0.69m
6:24PM0.75m
6:58AM0.66m
7:09PM0.71m
8:03AM0.64m
7:56PM0.67m
9:09AM0.64m
8:46PM0.64m
10:12AM0.65m
Low Tide
10:14PM0.19m
10:23AM0.04m
11:04PM0.18m
11:12AM0.10m
11:56PM0.18m
12:03PM0.18m
00:48AM0.18m
12:56PM0.24m
1:41AM0.18m
1:53PM0.30m
2:34AM0.18m
2:57PM0.34m
3:27AM0.18m
4:02PM0.36m
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
light rain
light rain
cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
heavy rain
light rain
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:18
7:18
7:20
7:20
7:20
7:22
7:22
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:08
5:07
5:07
5:07
5:07
5:06
5:06
1
1
8
14
2
1
Temp °C
12
14
15
15
17
17
14
16
17
14
17
16
14
15
14
14
13
13
13
14
14
8
11
13
13
14
14
12
14
14
10
15
14
14
13
10
9
9
10
11
12
11
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.6
SW
15
1.5
SW
14
1.3
WSW
14
1.1
SW
13
0.9
WSW
12
0.8
WSW
11
0.7
SW
11
0.8
WSW
12
0.7
SW
12
0.6
SW
15
1
SE
6
0.9
SW
13
0.9
SW
13
1.1
SE
6
0.8
SSE
6
0.8
SSE
6
0.7
SW
13
0.8
WSW
12
0.8
WSW
12
0.8
WSW
11
0.8
WSW
11
Energy kJ
1251
915
607
376
251
166
130
184
135
174
80
299
299
85
43
37
167
187
184
166
151
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
ESE
10
0.2
ESE
9
0.2
ESE
9
0.2
ESE
6
0.4
SE
12
0.4
SE
12
0.4
SE
12
0.4
SE
12
0.4
SW
16
0.7
WSW
11
1
SW
14
0.2
ESE
11
0.1
SE
12
0.8
SW
13
0.8
SW
13
0.7
SW
12
0.5
SSE
5
0.4
SW
18
0.4
SW
16
0.8
SSW
6
0.5
SW
15
Energy kJ
9
8
8
3
39
37
38
37
95
107
368
13
6
208
193
159
15
83
68
41
104
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
ESE
9
0.1
SE
10
0.1
SE
6
0.1
S
12
0.1
SW
19
0.3
SE
12
0.3
SE
12
0.3
SE
11
0.1
SE
12
0.3
SE
12
0.1
SE
12
0.3
SE
11
0.3
SE
10
0.3
SE
11
0.2
ESE
11
0.5
SW
15
0.5
SW
6
Energy kJ
8
4
2
3
14
22
21
20
6
24
6
19
15
18
11
109
16
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
ENE
3
0.3
E
4
0.3
ESE
6
0.3
ESE
6
0.4
SE
3
0.9
SE
4
1.6
SE
7
1.3
SE
7
1.4
SE
7
1.5
ESE
6
0.9
ESE
6
1
SE
6
0.5
S
5
0.7
SSW
6
0.6
SE
8
0.5
SSE
4
Energy kJ
3
3
6
8
2
27
208
164
181
170
60
66
10
31
57
11
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
Distance (km)
44
5
5
20
5
5
5
5
5
45
66
45
45
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
Best forecast wave conditions in East Coast of Victoria
Rating
(10 max)
1
3
3
2
3
3
3
3
1
1
3
3
3
2
3
1
1
2
1
1
2
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
4
6
5
4
6
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
4
3
4
3
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
7
6
5
5
8
5
5
5
5
4
5
5
6
6
6
7
8
9
9
8
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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