Cape Paterson Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.68° S 145.60° E

Cape Paterson Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 4 am 21 Oct 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
15.3°C
2.0° 

Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Paterson surf forecast from 20 Oct 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 22 Oct, 8AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 17s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 22 Oct, 11AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 17s period, WSW swell with 2,296 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 22 Oct, 2AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 16s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Oct 22) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 16s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 16 days are 2.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Oct 22) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 5s period and expected on Friday (Oct 23) at 11AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 2AM (Thu 22nd Oct)5.5ft (1.7m) 16s
Best Surf 8AM (Thu 22nd Oct)6ft (1.9m) 17s
Most Powerful11AM (Thu 22nd Oct)6.5ft (2.0m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Fri afternoon, min 15°C on Wed morning). Winds increasing (calm on Wed night, fresh winds from the NNW by Fri morning).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 55mm), heaviest during Sun morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat morning, min 9°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Wednesday
21
Thursday
22
Friday
23
Saturday
24
Sunday
25
Monday
26
Tuesday
27
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
3
4
2
3
1
1
2
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
2
0
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
WSW
12
1.1
SW
13
1.7
SW
16
2
WSW
17
1.9
SW
16
1.5
WSW
15
1.4
WSW
15
1.8
SW
16
1.9
WSW
16
1.8
SW
15
1.7
WSW
15
1.7
WSW
14
1.7
WSW
15
1.6
WSW
14
1.7
WSW
14
1.4
WSW
13
1.3
WSW
13
1.7
WSW
13
1.5
WSW
13
1.6
WSW
12
1.7
WSW
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
231
394
1394
2296
1822
1014
829
1591
1855
1415
1158
1111
1279
1042
1005
680
581
987
734
749
787
Wind (km/h)
5
WSW
20
SE
10
ENE
5
WNW
20
ESE
15
NNE
30
NNW
20
NW
5
WNW
5
WNW
15
SSE
15
SE
15
S
10
SSW
25
WSW
25
WSW
20
WSW
15
NE
0
WNW
15
SSE
10
NNW
Wind State
on
cross
off
glassy
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
off
glassy
cross
cross-off
High Tide
7:19PM0.60m
8:15AM0.65m
8:19PM0.59m
9:07AM0.63m
9:34PM0.59m
10:05AM0.62m
10:53PM0.62m
11:03AM0.63m
00:02AM0.67m
11:57AM0.64m
1:01AM0.73m
12:48PM0.67m
1:52AM0.79m
Low Tide
1:34PM0.31m
1:38AM0.23m
2:27PM0.32m
2:35AM0.27m
3:28PM0.30m
3:44AM0.29m
4:31PM0.27m
4:58AM0.30m
5:29PM0.21m
6:07AM0.30m
6:22PM0.15m
7:05AM0.28m
7:11PM0.08m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
cloud
mod rain
mod rain
cloud
heavy rain
mod rain
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:24
—
—
6:22
—
—
6:20
—
—
6:20
—
—
6:18
—
—
6:16
—
—
6:16
—
—
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
—
7:40
—
—
7:42
—
—
7:43
—
—
7:44
—
—
7:45
—
—
7:45
—
—
7:46
—
 mm
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
8
6
—
28
9
2
2
—
—
—
—
—
Temp °C
16
17
19
22
26
24
24
28
21
14
14
14
12
12
13
12
12
12
13
14
13
Feels °C
16
16
16
21
24
19
19
24
17
14
14
11
7
11
11
6
5
9
12
10
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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