Cape Paterson surf break

Cape Paterson surfForecast / VIC – East Coast / Australia

information circle16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 3 pm Wednesday 20 May 2026 AEST
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
16.2° C
(Which is slightly warmer than usual)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (May 21) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 4s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 16 days are 1.6m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (May 22) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Saturday (May 23) at 1AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7PM (Thu 21st May)5ft (1.5m) 14s
Best Surf10PM (Fri 22nd May)5ft (1.6m) 16s
Most Powerful10PM (Fri 22nd May)5ft (1.6m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat morning, min 10°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Very mild (max 16°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Sun night, calm by Mon night).

Wed
20
Thursday
21
Friday
22
Saturday
23
Sunday
24
Monday
25
Tuesday
26
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
2
2
1
2
3
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.9
WSW
10
1.7
SW
10
0.9
SW
15
1.6
SW
14
1.4
SW
12
1.1
SW
12
1.2
SW
13
1.6
SW
15
1.5
SW
14
1.3
WSW
14
1.1
SW
13
1
WSW
12
0.8
WSW
11
0.8
WSW
11
1.1
WSW
10
2
SW
8
0.6
SW
15
1.4
SW
13
1.3
SW
13
1.3
SW
13
1.1
SW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
670
580
355
1049
567
379
501
1251
915
617
382
274
166
160
231
504
174
711
560
552
437
Wind (km/h)
25
SW
15
SW
5
NW
10
SW
10
NE
10
ENE
15
ESE
15
NE
10
N
5
ESE
10
N
25
NNW
20
WSW
25
SW
30
S
20
S
10
ENE
5
N
10
WSW
15
NW
25
NW
on
on
cross
on
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
off
cross-off
cross-on
cross
cross
High Tide
2:16AM0.77m
3:22PM0.87m
3:10AM0.77m
4:09PM0.85m
4:04AM0.76m
4:54PM0.82m
4:59AM0.73m
5:39PM0.79m
5:57AM0.69m
6:24PM0.75m
6:58AM0.66m
7:09PM0.71m
8:03AM0.64m
Low Tide
8:35PM0.22m
8:43AM-0.05m
9:25PM0.20m
9:33AM-0.01m
10:14PM0.19m
10:23AM0.04m
11:04PM0.18m
11:12AM0.10m
11:56PM0.18m
12:03PM0.18m
00:48AM0.18m
12:56PM0.24m
1:41AM0.18m
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:16
7:16
7:18
7:18
7:20
7:20
7:20
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:10
5:09
5:09
5:08
5:07
5:07
5:07
5:07
3
Temp °C
14
13
13
13
12
13
14
12
15
16
15
16
15
13
12
12
11
10
11
11
12
9
8
11
11
11
11
11
8
13
14
13
11
11
7
4
7
8
8
9
8
7
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SW
16
1.7
SW
10
1.3
WSW
10
1.6
SW
14
1.4
SW
12
1.1
SW
12
1.2
SW
13
1.6
SW
15
1.5
SW
14
1.3
WSW
14
1.1
SW
13
1
WSW
12
0.8
WSW
11
0.8
WSW
11
1.1
WSW
10
0.3
SW
16
1.2
SSW
7
1.4
SW
13
1.3
SW
13
1.3
SW
13
1.1
SW
13
Energy kJ
214
580
347
1049
567
379
501
1251
915
617
382
274
166
160
231
43
138
711
560
552
437
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
ESE
11
0.8
SW
16
0.9
SW
15
0.1
SE
11
0.1
SE
11
0.1
SE
10
0.1
SE
10
0.2
ESE
10
0.3
ESE
9
0.3
ESE
6
0.1
SE
10
0.2
ESE
10
0.2
ESE
12
0.3
SE
11
0.3
SE
12
0.3
SE
12
0.7
WSW
8
0.4
SE
5
0.3
SE
11
0.2
ESE
11
0.2
ESE
11
Energy kJ
12
302
355
5
4
4
4
9
17
6
4
10
13
19
23
23
58
10
20
13
13
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SE
11
0.1
SE
11
0.3
SSE
5
0.2
ESE
11
0.1
SE
11
0.2
ESE
9
0.2
ESE
9
0.2
ESE
6
0.1
E
6
0.1
SE
11
0.1
SW
16
0.1
SE
12
0.6
SW
15
0.3
SE
11
0.4
SE
5
0.1
SE
12
0.1
W
24
Energy kJ
30
5
4
12
5
8
8
4
1
5
11
6
174
20
6
6
11
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.9
WSW
10
0.6
ENE
3
0.3
ENE
6
0.4
NNW
4
0.3
NW
3
0.3
W
3
0.8
SSW
4
2
SW
8
0.6
ESE
5
0.7
SSW
5
0.5
SW
4
0.7
WNW
4
Energy kJ
670
8
6
5
2
2
24
504
17
22
7
13
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
4
2
2
3
2
2
2
3
3
2
2
1
1
1
3
1
2
2
2
2
2
Distance (km)
346
5
5
45
5
5
44
5
5
20
5
5
35
113
465
499
5
5
5
5
5
Best forecast wave conditions in East Coast of Victoria
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
1
2
2
1
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
4
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
5
4
5
5
7
6
5
5
8
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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