Cape Paterson Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.68° S 145.60° E

Cape Paterson Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 10 pm 21 Oct 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
15.3°C
1.9° 

Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Paterson surf forecast from 21 Oct 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 22 Oct, 8AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 17s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 22 Oct, 11AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 17s period, WSW swell with 2,296 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 22 Oct, 8AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 17s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Oct 22) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 17s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 16 days are 2.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Oct 22) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 5s period and expected on Friday (Oct 23) at 11AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8AM (Thu 22nd Oct)6ft (1.9m) 17s
Best Surf 8AM (Thu 22nd Oct)6ft (1.9m) 17s
Most Powerful11AM (Thu 22nd Oct)6.5ft (2.0m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Sat morning. Warm (max 28°C on Fri afternoon, min 14°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 43mm), heaviest during Sun morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat night, min 10°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Sun night, calm by Mon night).

Thursday
22
Friday
23
Saturday
24
Sunday
25
Monday
26
Tuesday
27
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
2
2
1
1
4
3
2
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.7
SW
16
2
WSW
17
1.9
SW
16
1.6
WSW
15
1.4
WSW
15
1.9
WSW
16
2
WSW
16
1.9
WSW
15
1.7
WSW
14
1.7
WSW
14
1.7
WSW
14
1.7
WSW
14
1.4
WSW
14
1.6
WSW
13
1.5
WSW
13
1.4
SW
14
1.3
WSW
13
1.2
WSW
12
1.1
SW
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1394
2296
1822
1132
818
1809
2007
1508
1142
1126
1244
1210
710
863
745
754
572
417
325
Wind (km/h)
10
SE
10
W
20
ESE
15
N
25
NNW
20
NW
5
WSW
5
SW
15
SE
15
E
20
SSW
20
SSW
30
SW
15
SW
10
SSW
5
N
20
WNW
25
SW
15
WSW
Wind State
cross
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
glassy
glassy
cross
cross-off
cross-on
on
on
on
on
cross-off
cross-on
on
on
High Tide
8:15AM0.65m
8:19PM0.59m
9:07AM0.63m
9:34PM0.59m
10:05AM0.62m
10:53PM0.62m
11:03AM0.63m
00:02AM0.67m
11:57AM0.64m
1:01AM0.73m
12:48PM0.67m
1:52AM0.79m
Low Tide
1:38AM0.23m
2:27PM0.32m
2:35AM0.27m
3:28PM0.30m
3:44AM0.29m
4:31PM0.27m
4:58AM0.30m
5:29PM0.21m
6:07AM0.30m
6:22PM0.15m
7:05AM0.28m
7:11PM0.08m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
mod rain
light rain
mod rain
heavy rain
mod rain
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
—
6:22
—
—
6:20
—
—
6:20
—
—
6:18
—
—
6:16
—
—
6:16
—
—
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
—
—
7:42
—
—
7:43
—
—
7:44
—
—
7:45
—
—
7:45
—
—
7:46
—
 mm
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
7
4
6
22
8
7
—
—
—
—
—
—
Temp °C
20
22
24
23
24
28
19
14
14
15
12
13
12
12
13
12
12
13
12
Feels °C
18
21
21
18
20
24
16
14
14
13
8
9
8
6
9
9
7
7
6
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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