Campeche Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again, same forecast, different units for you.

The outlook for Campeche over the next 16 days is a tough one. The first ten days are a total bust, from Friday, August 28th, all the way through Tuesday, September 8th. The swell is tiny, mostly under 3 feet, with short periods, and the wind is usually cross-on or cross-off. Not worth wetting a wetsuit. There’s a glassy moment on Sunday the 30th, but with a 2-foot SSE swell and a 6-second period, it’s barely a ripple. Monday the 31st has a clean offshore wind, but again, only 2 feet of weak energy. The heavy rain that morning doesn’t bring any size.

Things start to stir on Wednesday, September 9th. That morning, you get a 4-foot swell from the SE with a 9-second period, and the combined energy climbs to 364. It’s still cross-on with light wind, so not clean, but it’s a sign of life. The swell builds from there. Thursday the 10th morning has a 5-foot S swell (431 energy) with clean cross-off wind from the NNE. That’s the first session that’s actually worth a look, but it’s for the more experienced crew.

Now, the standout. Friday, September 11th morning is the one to circle. Campeche (sandbar) gets a 6-foot swell from the S, with a 9-second period. The combined energy is 802 – that’s strong, powerful juice. The wind is light and offshore from the N, keeping it clean. 6 feet is overhead, solidly in the intermediate-to-expert zone, but with that light offshore, it’s going to be lined up and barreling. The crowd profile here is ‘often’, so expect plenty of company, but that’s the price of a good wave. The optimum swell direction for this spot is S, and this is a direct hit. No doubt, this is the best on offer.

Saturday the 12th is still decent, with a 5-foot S swell in the morning (400 energy) and a 4-foot SSE swell in the afternoon (426 energy), both with clean cross-off wind. It’s a good follow-up day, but not the peak of Friday.

Water temps around the start of the period are 65°F, which is about 1°F below normal – nothing unusual, just a standard late-summer temp for here.

So, bottom line: wait it out. The first 10 days are a write-off. The only real draw is Friday, September 11th morning, with a solid 6-foot S groundswell and clean offshore wind. Get on it.

Rusty.

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