Campeche Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty here. I’ve been staring at the charts for Campeche and, honest truth, it’s a bit of a grim picture for the next couple of weeks. We’re looking at a long, flat spell that’s gonna test your patience. The forecast is pretty much a bust for any decent waves, so I’m not going to sugarcoat it.

The good news? There’s actually a tiny window of something rideable right off the bat, but you gotta be quick. Friday morning, the 14th, is the only real shout for a paddle. We’ve got a small 4ft south-east swell, but it’s not got much juice behind it. The wind is light from the south-east, but it’s onshore, so expect it to be a bit messy. It’s a marginal call at best. The water is sitting at 66°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so no drama there.

After that, it gets real sad. Friday afternoon the swell bumps up slightly to 5ft from the south-south-east, but the wind swings light and the quality drops off a cliff. It’s a “marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions” kind of deal, which is surf-speak for “don’t bother.”

Saturday the 15th is the best of a bad bunch, but that’s not saying much. The swell drops to 3ft at 12 seconds, and the wind turns to nothing in the morning—glassy. It’s small and weak, but it’s clean. If you’re desperate for a splash, this is your best bet for the whole period. The afternoon is similar but smaller.

Then the lights go out. From Sunday the 16th all the way through, we’re looking at a serious drought. The swell collapses to 2ft, then 1ft, then 0.3ft. The energy readings are pathetic. It’s not even worth bringing a board down to the beach. This stretch of nothing lasts for over a week. We’re talking nine days of flatness from Sunday right through to the following Monday.

There is a slight pulse of energy around the 24th, with the swell trying to push back up to 3ft, but the wind is onshore and it’s choppy. Still, it’s not glassy, and the quality is poor. The same goes for the 27th, where we see a little more period (14 seconds) but the size is a joke at 1ft.

So, what’s the verdict? Look, this spot is a sandbar, and its best direction is from the south. This whole run is just a bad stretch of luck. For a sandbar, you need a bit of power to make it work, and there’s none of that on the cards. It’s looking more like a blank run for the area. It’s the kind of forecast that makes you want to take up golf. But, c’mon, forecasts change. It’s been flat like this before and it’s come back to life. Don’t sell your boards yet.

If you’re really jonesing for a wave, Saturday morning is your only chance. The rest is a write-off.

Rusty, signing off.

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