Campeche Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking for our local sandbar, Campeche. I’ve got to be straight with you—this forecast is a tough one. We’re looking at a 16-day window, but the first week is a write-off for any decent surf. There’s a big gap of about 8 days where the conditions are just poor, so don’t bother waxing up just yet.

From Monday the 3rd through to Sunday the 10th, it’s all small, weak, and messy. The energy is barely there, with combined energy readings often in the double digits (10 to 93) and even the few bigger pulses are ruined by wind. The wind is mostly cross-off or cross-on, but the swell is tiny—0.3ft to 2ft—and the current state is just “poor surf conditions.” It’s a real bummer.

Things start to get interesting around Monday the 10th of August. That afternoon, we see a 7ft S swell roll in with a period of 11 seconds, giving a combined energy of 1260. That’s a solid pulse of energy. But—and there’s always a but—the wind is cross-shore from the SSW at 9 mph, and the file says it’s “marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions.” Still, if you’re desperate, that’s the first window where the size is there.

The clear standout, the one you’ve been waiting for, is Wednesday the 12th of August. The morning session is the pick of the entire forecast. We’ve got a clean, 5ft swell from the SSE with an 11-second period. That’s a proper groundswell, with plenty of energy (540). The wind is a glassy WSW breeze at just 3 mph, almost calm. The report says “expect good surf conditions.” This is the one. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so no surprises there. The break is fairly consistent, so you can expect a few sets. Just keep in mind, crowds are often here, so you won’t be alone.

After that, it tails off again. The rest of the week into the 18th drops back to small, weak, and onshore junk. The combined energy falls to 19 or even zero. Not worth paddling out.

So, in short: don’t bother for the first 8 days, keep an eye on the 10th if you’re keen, but the real deal is the morning of Wednesday the 12th. That’s your best shot at a clean, fun session at Campeche.

Rusty.

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