Campeche Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks. Rusty here. Let’s break it down. We’ve got a 16-day stretch ahead, and it’s a real slow burner. The first week is almost entirely flat, with a few days of nothing. Then there’s a late, clean window that’s the only thing worth talking about. The rest is a write-off.

First up, Campeche, a sandbar break that’s fairly consistent but needs the right conditions. The water is sitting at 63°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, maybe a couple of degrees off. For the first week, from Sunday the 19th through to Friday the 24th, the swell is tiny—mostly 0.3 ft to 1 ft from the SSE or SE. The energy is weak, with combined swell energy readings between 3 and 31. On Tuesday afternoon the 21st, it goes glassy for a moment with 1 ft from the SSE, but the period is short at 10 seconds, so it’s barely a ripple. Wednesday the 22nd morning is glassy too, but again, tiny. Not surfable.

Then on Thursday the 23rd, we see a jump: 6 ft to 6 ft from the S and SSE, with a 9-second period and combined energy jumping to 633 and 719 (moderate to strong). But the wind is cross-onshore, choppy and lumpy, so it’s a messy, blown-out mess. Not worth it. The following days through the 25th and 26th stay small and mostly onshore or cross-shore. The water temp anomaly is not mentioned again, but it’s likely still a bit cool.

Now, the real standout—and it’s a long way off—lands on Monday morning the 27th of July. This is the best on offer. We’ve got 2 ft from the SSE with a lovely long period of 14 seconds, which is groundswell energy. The wind is glassy, calm as anything, with a slight air. Combined energy is 186 (moderate), enough to make the sandbar work. This is clean, glassy surf, and the direction from the SSE is a good match for the optimum S swell direction. It’s small, but for a beginner-intermediate spot, it’s rideable and clean. The crowds here are often, so expect some company. This is your best bet, but it’s a week away, so keep an eye on the forecast.

After that, the rest of the run into early August is a bust. Swell drops back to 1.0 ft to 2 ft, with onshore winds and weak energy. The 30th of July afternoon has a 4 ft SSE swell with 9-second period, but the wind is cross-off, so it’s clean but not powerful. The 1st of August has a 1 ft swell with a 16-second period, which is very long period, but it’s a tiny swell and the wind is a fresh cross-onshore at 19 mph, making it lumpy and messy. Not worth a paddle.

Overall, there’s a long gap of flatness from the start until the 27th, and then only one truly decent window. The sandbar setup is inconsistent, but when it’s glassy and the groundswell shows up, it can be fun. For now, the 27th morning is the standout. The rest of the time, you’re better off waiting for the next change.

Rusty.

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