Campeche Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s happening at Campeche.

First off, the water temp is sitting at 66.7°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year – no surprises there.

Right now, the outlook is a bit of a tough one. We’ve got a lot of days where the conditions just aren’t clicking. The wind is mostly cross-on or just plain messy, and the wave quality is getting hammered. For the first few days, from Saturday the 5th through the middle of the week, it’s pretty grim. The wind is either too strong or from the wrong direction, and the swell is either too small or too choppy to get excited about. There’s a period from Monday the 7th through to Tuesday the 10th where the swell energy is weak to moderate (combined energy in the 100s to 241), but the wind is mostly cross-off, cross, or even glassy at times. The problem is the swell is tiny – 1.3ft to 2.3ft – so even though it’s clean, there’s just not enough push. You’d be scratching for anything rideable.

Now, there’s a bit of a gap in the good stuff. We’ve got a run of poor conditions from the 10th through to the 13th, with the swell dropping to nearly nothing (combined energy down to 10 to 33). That’s a few days of flatness.

The standout window, the one that’s got my heart pumping a little, is Monday the 14th. The morning is looking glassy – dead calm, no wind. The swell is from the SSE at 5.2ft, with a period of 12 seconds. That’s a solid, long-period groundswell. The combined energy is a hefty 747, which is strong. The waves should have some real shape and power, and with glassy conditions, that’s a recipe for a really good session. The afternoon holds up well too, with 5.6ft from the SE, a period of 11 seconds, and a clean cross-off breeze. The energy is still strong at 713. This is the day to clear your schedule. The break is a sandbar, so it’s a bit more fickle, but with that clean wind and solid swell, it could be firing. Keep in mind it’s a fairly exposed spot, and the optimum swell direction is from the S, so the SSE/SE direction is a bit off, but the quality of the day should make up for it. Crowds are "often" here, so expect company.

After that, it gets messy again. Tuesday the 15th sees the wind turning cross-on and the swell jumping up to 6.9ft, but with a short period and choppy conditions. That’s a messy, lumpy day. The rest of the week into the 20th is mostly cross-on, with occasional small clean windows but nothing with enough size to get you properly stoked. The swell energy stays moderate (between 100 and 500ish) but the wind just ruins the ride.

So, overall, the best bet is Monday the 14th. It’s a clean, solid day with real potential. The 5.2ft to 5.6ft swell is fun for intermediates, but it’s not too big for a confident beginner. The rest of the 16 days? Mostly a write-off unless you’re desperate for a paddle.

Stay stoked, and keep an eye on the wind.

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