Campeche Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the menu for the next couple of weeks down at Campeche. I’ll be honest with you, this stretch of time looks pretty lean. The sandbar setup here is a sandbar, and it’s fairly consistent, but for the next 16 days, the surf is really struggling to get its act together.

We start off with nothing on the table. Tuesday, July 21st, and Wednesday, July 22nd, are a bust. Swell heights are tiny, barely 0.7ft to 1.0ft, and the energy is weak. The water temperature is sitting at 64°, which is a bit colder than what we’d expect for this time of year. There’s just no power to work with.

Thursday, July 23rd, sees a sudden jump in size, with a 8ft swell from the south, and the combined energy hits 808. That’s a serious pulse of energy, but the wind is a cross-onshore from the south at 12 mph, making it choppy and messy. The period is short, only 8 seconds, so it’s a windswell. This setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. It’s not the day for a clean wave.

Friday, July 24th, the swell drops back to 5ft, but the wind is onshore from the southeast at 6 mph, and the forecast calls it marginal. The energy is still moderate, but the quality isn’t there. The rest of the week and into the next is a long, frustrating gap. From Saturday, July 25th, all the way through to Wednesday, August 5th, the surf is consistently poor. Swell heights are mostly under 2ft, with combined energy rarely breaking 100. There are a few moments of glassy conditions, like on Wednesday, July 22nd morning, and Sunday, August 2nd morning, but the swell is just too small to make anything of it.

The best chance, if you can call it that, comes on Thursday, July 23rd morning. That’s the only time the swell gets above 8ft, at 8ft from the south, with a period of 8 seconds. The energy is strong, but the wind is a moderate cross-onshore. It’s a big, messy, short-period swell, and it’s only for experts. For a sandbar, that’s a tough combo. The crowds are likely there, as it’s often busy, but I wouldn’t expect a quality session.

Honestly, the outlook is poor. The second week from July 30th onwards is flat with tiny pulses. There’s no standout, no real hope for a clean wave. The break is fairly consistent, but the forecasts are just not delivering. It’s one of those stretches where the ocean is taking a nap. We’ll have to wait for a change in the pattern.

Rusty.

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