Campeche Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this 16-day window for Campeche is a tough one for paddle surfing. The whole forecast is a long stretch of poor conditions, with only a couple of brief moments that are worth paddling out for. The first real chance to get wet doesn't come until the morning of Monday the 7th, and even then it's not great.

For the majority of the first week, we’re looking at a steady cross-onshore wind and choppy, messy water. The swell is there, but it’s working against the wind. Saturday the 5th offers a bit of energy with a moderate 313 (combined energy) on the afternoon, but it's a 4ft SSE swell with a short period and cross-on wind – not clam water. Sunday the 6th brings a bigger 6ft to 6ft swell from the S and SSE, with the combined energy ramping up to 606, but the wind is a strong cross-on making it a total mess. That’s more of a kite surfer’s setup than a clean paddle wave.

The one standout, and it’s a relative term here, comes on the morning of Tuesday the 8th. We get a clean window with a light offshore wind from the NW. The swell is small, 3ft from the SSE, but with a period of 10 seconds and a combined energy of 125. The water is about average for this time of year. It’s a small, clean wave, but it’s surfable. The crowd profile at Campeche says it's "often" busy, so expect company for these tiny, clean lines. Wednesday the 9th morning also offers a clean, cross-offshore wind with a 2ft SSW swell, but the energy is low at 121.

After that, we hit a major gap. From Thursday the 10th right through to the morning of Monday the 14th, the surf drops to almost nothing, with wave heights rarely hitting 1ft and combined energy below 50. The wind is all over the place, but the swell is just gone. It’s a flat spell. The next flicker of hope is on the morning of Tuesday the 15th, where a 3ft SSW swell with a 12-second period arrives, but the wind is light cross-on, keeping it messy. The combined energy climbs to 304, but it’s not clean.

The best chance of the entire window might be the morning of Wednesday the 16th. A clean cross-offshore wind from the NNE meets a 4ft swell from the S with an 11-second period. The combined energy is a robust 470, and the forecast says "expect good surf conditions." This is the pick of the bunch, but it’s a week and a half away, so keep your expectations in check. The following day, the 17th, sees a big jump in energy to 1408 with a 6ft swell, but it’s ruined by a strong cross-on wind. The last few days are a mix of onshore wind and poor quality.

So, to sum it up: if you’re desperate, the morning of Tuesday the 8th and the morning of Wednesday the 16th are your best shots. The rest is either flat, blown out, or too small. This is a lean run for the area.

Rusty.

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