Campeche Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at what’s on offer for the Campeche sandbar over the next couple of weeks. I’ll be straight with you: it’s a pretty quiet spell for the most part.

The water temp is sitting at 67°, which is basically normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first few days are a real struggle. From Friday the 31st of July through to the 5th of August, we’ve got tiny, weak swell. The wave energy is barely a whisper, with values like 81 on the morning of the 31st, and then dropping off to a pathetic 10 and 3. It’s clean on the mornings, with a light cross-offshore breeze from the north, but the swell is too small to get excited about. We’re talking 1ft to 2ft from the SSE, with periods around 10 to 13 seconds – that’s a long period for such a small wave, so it’ll be fat and slow. The 5th of August morning shows a moment of glassy calm, but still only 2ft.

Then there’s a real dry spell. From the 6th of August through to the 12th, it’s a flat and frustrating stretch. The combined energy numbers are mostly in the single digits or low double digits, with a few days showing zero swell. The wind is messy, too, often cross-onshore and choppy. There’s a few clean mornings with a cross-offshore breeze, but with no swell to ride, it’s just a paddling session.

The best chance you’ll get is around the 14th and 15th of August, but it comes with a massive caveat. On the morning of Friday the 14th of August, we see a 10ft swell from the south, with a period of 10 seconds and a combined energy of 2014. That’s a lot of water moving. The wind is light and cross-onshore, so it won’t be clean. And by Saturday the 15th of August, the swell jumps to 13ft from the south, with a period of 14 seconds and a combined energy of 9993. That is a mountain of swell. The finder notes say the wind and tide are favorable, but the swell is too big for this break. For a sandbar, that’s expert-only territory, and even then, it’s going to be a washing machine. On the afternoon of the 13th of August, you’ll see the swell start to build, hitting 5ft from the SSE with a 16-second period and an energy of 1109, but the wind is cross-onshore and choppy.

So, the honest truth? There are no true standouts for a good, clean, surfable day at Campeche in this 16-day window. The first week is flat, the second week builds to a dangerous, blown-out size. It’s one of those stretches where the forecast can change, so keep an eye on it, but for now, I’d be looking at other options.

Rusty.

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