Campeche Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s cut through the noise and talk about what’s actually gonna be worth paddling out for at Campeche (sandbar). The next 16 days are a real mixed bag, with some solid, clean windows but also some long flat spells and a big swell that’s gonna be way too much for most of us.

The water temp is sitting at 66°F, which is just about what you’d expect for this time of year at Campeche – nothing weird there.

The first real action kicks off Saturday morning, August 8th. We’ve got a clean 4 ft swell rolling in from the SSE with a super long period of 14 seconds. That’s groundswell quality, and combined with a light NNW cross-offshore breeze, it’s gonna be glassy. The energy is moderate (648), so there’s some push behind it. That whole Saturday session is looking sweet, with the afternoon holding clean too under offshore NW winds. This is a standout window.

Sunday the 9th is a write-off – cross-onshore slop and choppy, stay home.

Then there’s a quiet patch. Monday the 10th morning has a big 8 ft S swell, but it’s cross-on and messy, and that energy is strong (2561), but it’s just not clean. Tuesday and Wednesday the 11th and 12th are marginal at best, though Wednesday morning and afternoon actually clean up nicely with light offshore and cross-off winds on a 4-5 ft SSE swell. Not big, but rideable.

Thursday, August 13th is a real highlight. Afternoon session brings a 4 ft SE swell with a 16-second period – that’s proper long-period groundswell. The energy is solid (711), and with NNE cross-off winds at 9 mph, it’s going to be clean and lined up. This is genuinely the best on offer in the first week.

After that, we slide into a long, flat, and poor-quality run from the 14th through the 19th – mostly onshore, small, and weak. The 18th morning has a brief moment of glassy 2 ft SE swell, but it’s barely surfable. Expect a solid 5-6 day gap of nothing worth chasing.

Now, Thursday, August 20th – this is a big one, but it’s a warning. A massive 13 ft S swell is predicted, with extreme energy (4992). The wind is offshore and clean, but this is way too big for Campeche. The data says it’s too big for the break – only proper experts should even look at it, and even then, it’s risky. The afternoon is still 12 ft and cross-shore.

Friday the 21st settles down to a much more manageable 6-6 ft SE swell, also clean with cross-offshore winds. That’s a solid day for experienced surfers, with moderate energy (821-836).

After that, it’s back to tiny, weak leftovers on the 22nd.

So, to wrap it up: your best bets are Saturday morning, August 8th and Thursday afternoon, August 13th. Both are clean, with good groundswell and light winds. The 20th is a beast for the brave only. Keep an eye on the forecasts, but for now, those two sessions are the ones to circle.

Rusty.

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