Campeche Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you – this 16-day outlook for Campeche is a tough one. We're looking at a long stretch of small, poor-quality surf, and the conditions are just not cooperating. There's a real gap here, with very little to get excited about for the first two weeks. The only flicker of something surfable doesn't show up until the tail end of the period, and even then it's only ordinary.

The water temp is sitting at 60° right now, which is a massive 6° colder than normal for this time of year. That's very unusual and you'll be wanting a thick wetsuit, no doubt about it.

The first few days are a write-off. July 10th through the 11th has tiny 0.7ft to 1ft swell with cross-onshore winds, just messy. Don't even bother. The 12th sees a bump in size to 4ft to 5ft from the S and SSE, with the combined wave energy reading moderate at 465, but the wind is a cross-on mess, gusting to 19 mph on the Sunday afternoon. It's just lumpy and poor. This continues through the 13th, with 5ft to 6ft S swell, but again cross-onshore winds and a choppy surface.

From the 14th of July right through to the 21st, we get a flat spell. Swell heights drop below 3ft, mostly 0.3ft to 2ft, and while the winds are often clean or cross-offshore, there’s simply no power. The energy readings are in the single digits or low tens. It's a ghost town.

The first real hope comes on the morning of the 22nd of July. The swell shows a pulse to 2ft from the SSE, period 12 seconds, and the wind is a light cross-offshore from the NNW. It's clean, but the energy is only 95, so it's weak. The wave comment describes it as "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions." That's the best we get. The Wednesday afternoon and into Thursday morning on the 23rd is similar, with 2ft to 2ft SSE swell and clean, light winds, and energy just creeping into the low hundreds (114 on the 22nd afternoon, 102 on the 23rd morning). It's not a standout, but it's the only window where you might get a few small, clean waves.

The last few days from the 24th to the 25th see a tiny bump in size to 2ft to 3ft, with the combined energy hitting 141 and 153, but the wind turns back to a light cross-on or glassy, dropping the quality back to "poor" or just "ordinary." Periods are decent, around 11 seconds, but the winds kill it.

Honestly, for this entire forecast, there's nothing that screams "go." The setup is a sandbar, and with the wind direction persistently wrong for the small S swell, the quality is just never there. For the first two weeks, it's a total blank. The only period to even consider is the 22nd and 23rd of July for a small, clean one, but you'll be scratching for anything. It's a tough stretch.

Rusty.

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