Campeche Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here.

Alright folks, let's get straight into it. The outlook for the Campeche (Campeche) sandbar is a bit of a mixed bag. We’ve got a pretty quiet start, but there’s a solid pulse of energy brewing for later in the fortnight that could be worth getting excited about.

The water temp is sitting right on average for this time of year, a comfy 65°, so nothing unusual there.

For the next several days, starting Thursday the 13th and running right through to the end of the third week of August, it’s mostly a write-off. We’re looking at a long stretch of flat to tiny, weak waves with poor conditions. The combined energy is low, down in the double digits and low hundreds for most of that period (like 42 to 218), and the winds are either cross-onshore or just too light to do much good. Thursday the 21st shows a little bump up to 4ft from the SSE, but it’s short-period stuff (8 seconds) and the wind switches onshore, so it’s not going to be worth the paddle.

Then things start to get interesting around the 24th and 25th of August. That’s where the real energy shows up. The standout period is the morning of Tuesday the 25th. We’ve got a solid 8ft swell rolling in from the S, pumping a massive 2749 combined energy. Now, that’s a lot of water moving. The period is 12 seconds, so it’s got some proper groundswell punch. The wind is light cross-onshore from the SSE, so it won’t be perfect, but the power is undeniable. The catch? At 8ft, this is strictly for the experienced crew. Beginners need to sit this one out.

Following that, the morning of Thursday the 27th is another serious contender. Swell drops a touch to 6ft from the SSE, but it’s still packing 1599 energy with a 13-second period. The wind turns cross-offshore from the N, which opens up the sandbar nicely. The report marks this as excellent for experienced surfers, and I’m inclined to agree. The earlier part of the week on the 25th was massive power, but this session on the 27th offers a better balance of size, period, and cleaner conditions.

That’s your two real windows to aim for. Everything before the 24th is a no-go. The 25th for raw power, the 27th for cleaner, more ridable power. The end of the window fades back into small, poor surf after that.

If you’re a kiter, that big wind and swell combo around the 25th with the cross-on breeze might look like a fun playground. For us paddle surfers, it’s all about that window from the 25th to the 27th.

Stay patient, keep an eye on the wind updates for the 27th, and I’ll see you in the water.

Rusty.

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