Campeche Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m lookin’ at the surf outlook for Campeche, a sandbar set-up that’s fairly exposed to the south. The water temp’s sitting right about average for this time of year, so nothing wild there.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – the next week and a half is pretty grim. We’re talking a big, fat gap of hardly any surf worth paddling for. From Wednesday the 22nd right through to the end of July, the energy’s weak, with combined swell readings mostly in the teens or double digits, maxing out around 417 (moderate energy) on the 24th, but even then the conditions are just marginal at best. The swell’s tiny, mostly around 1 ft to 5 ft, and the period is short, around 8 to 10 seconds, so it’s just not doing anything exciting.

The one real standout doesn’t come until the far end of the forecast, and it’s a long-range call so keep that in mind. On Thursday, the 6th of August, the morning looks promising. We’ve got a clean 4 ft swell from the south with a period of 8 seconds, and combined energy of 317 (moderate). The wind is light offshore from the NNW, which should keep things glassy and clean. It’s a fairly consistent spot, so there’s a chance of some fun little waves. Don’t expect bombs – it’s not huge – but it’s the best thing on offer in this whole 16-day window. The only downside is that crowds are often around here, so you might have some company.

Before that, there’s a tiny flicker on the morning of Tuesday the 28th of July. A 2 ft south swell with an 11-second period, and offshore wind from the NW. The energy is only 86 (weak), so it’s ordinary, but if you’re desperate, you might get a few clean, ankle-biters.

The rest of the time? It’s flat, choppy, or blown out. For the first week of August, from the 1st to the 5th, there are days with no swell at all, and then on the 5th afternoon, a 5 ft south swell shows up with a terrible 5-second period – that’s just wind chop, not surf.

So, the long and short of it: wait for the 6th of August morning. That’s your best bet. Everything else is a write-off.

Rusty.

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