Boat Harbour Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here with a look at what’s cooking over the next couple of weeks.

This is a pretty unique one – we’ve got a solid, long-period groundswell setting up, but it’s only for the gnarliest of the gnar. The whole forecast is really just about one break: Boat Harbour (reef, advanced). If you’re not an expert, you might as well keep the board in the car for the next 16 days.

We kick off on Friday the 17th with real muscle. The swell is a clean 6 ft from the ESE, with a very long 16-second period. That’s a lot of energy – the combined energy reading is 1466, which is strong. The wind is absolutely glassy in the morning. That’s the standout moment. The water temp is sitting about average for the time of year, so nothing unusual there. The only catch? This break is inconsistent, it’s a reef, and it’s for advanced surfers only. At 6 ft with that period, it’s going to be legit, and it will be breaking straight at the reef – not a beach break, so it should hold shape. Expect crowds sometimes.

After that first morning, the wind starts to mess with things. By Friday afternoon we get a cross-on, and quality drops. The swell holds through the weekend, dropping from 5 ft to 4 ft, but the wind stays mostly cross-off or light, keeping things clean. The energy drops from 943 down to 373 (moderate). It’s still surfable, but it’s not the same as that Friday morning glass.

Then we hit a big dry spell. From Monday the 21st all the way through to the end of the month, the swell just gets tiny – 2 ft, 1 ft, 1.0 ft – with very weak energy (mostly two-digit numbers). There’s a couple of glassy moments, but the waves are just too small to get excited about. That’s about a week and a half of nothing really worth paddling out for.

There’s a flicker of hope on Sunday the 26th in the afternoon. The swell bumps back up to 3 ft, period 13 seconds, and the wind goes cross-off with a slight air. Energy is 310 (moderate). It’s clean, but still small. Then on Tuesday the 28th afternoon, we see 4 ft at 11 seconds with a light cross-off and clean conditions. Energy is 350. That’s maybe the second-best session of the whole run, but it’s a long way off.

Looking further out, Saturday the 1st of August shows a clean 3 ft from the ESE with light wind. It’s a good sign, but it’s two weeks away, so don’t hold your breath.

So, to sum it up: the only real standout is Friday the 17th morning at Boat Harbour – 6 ft, 16-second period, glassy. That’s your golden window. Everything else is either too small, too windy, or too far out to trust.

Rusty.

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