Bay Street Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, I'm Rusty. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for Bay Street.

The next 16 days are a bit of a mixed bag, but there's a small window of rideable waves early on before things go flat. The water is a notable 72° right now, which is a massive 7° warmer than usual for this time of year – that's very unusual and feels like a warm bath.

We kick off on Saturday, July 25th, with some small but rideable swell. The morning session looks best, with a 2ft SSW groundswell rolling in with a very long 21-second period. The combined energy of all swells is a moderate 513. The wind is a light cross-onshore from the south at 6 mph, which is okay but not perfect. The break is fairly consistent, so you might get a few. Come Saturday afternoon, the wind swings onshore from the southwest and the surf quality drops right off.

Sunday, July 26th, sees a similar story. The morning offers a 3ft swell from the south-southwest, still with a very long period of 19 seconds (energy 535). The wind is light and cross-onshore again. It's not great, but it's the best we've got. The consistency is there, and you might find a few longer walls if you sit in the right spot. The afternoon goes onshore again.

Monday, July 27th, is the last day with any real potential. The morning has a 3ft SSW swell, period 18 seconds (energy 604), but the wind picks up to 9 mph from the south-southwest, making it cross-onshore and a bit choppy. It's still the biggest swell of the whole run, but it's a little messy.

From Tuesday, July 28th, onwards, things get pretty marginal. The swell drops to 3ft or 3ft with periods in the 15-17 second range, and while the wind is light, it's always cross-onshore or onshore. The scores are low, and the wave comments are poor. This continues all the way through to the end of July and into early August.

By the time we get to August 2nd, the swell has really dropped off to 2ft or 2ft with a short period, and the energy has fallen to 113. From August 3rd onwards, it's essentially flat, with swell heights of 1ft and combined energy dipping below 100. The period bounces around a bit, but the swell is too small to do anything. There's a big gap of poor to no surf from Monday, July 27th afternoon, all the way through to the end of the forecast window on August 9th.

The only period that's even worth a look is the Saturday through Monday at the start. The best bet is the Saturday morning, July 25th, for the cleanest conditions, but don't expect any barrels. For a beginner, those 2ft to 3ft waves are fine, but the cross-onshore wind and the very long period groundswell (over 15 seconds) might make the sets a bit walled-up and tricky to read at a beach break like this. It's a bit of a tease, really. The rest of the 16 days is a write-off. Stay hopeful, though – forecasts can change.

Rusty.

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