Bay Street Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, surf is locked in for a few spots, but mostly it's a waiting game at Bay Street. Let's break it down.

The next couple of weeks are a mixed bag for Bay Street. The water is a toasty 75°F, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year—feels like a tropical swim. But the surf? It's a slow start. The first few days are a write-off, with tiny, messy swell and onshore winds making for poor conditions. We're talking a dry spell from Wednesday the 2nd right through Friday the 4th.

Things start to look a little more interesting on Saturday the 5th. The morning shows a 3ft swell from the SSW with a period of 16 seconds, and while the wind is a light cross-onshore, the combined energy is building—up to 606 (moderate). It's still marginal, but there's a pulse. The afternoon gets a bit more size at 3ft from the SSE and a period of 14 seconds, but the light rain and cross-shore wind keep it from being clean.

Then, Sunday the 6th is where it gets good. The morning has a 3ft SSW groundswell with a period of 15 seconds, and the wind goes glassy—WNW at 5 km/h—making for a clean, smooth surface. That's a standout window. The afternoon gets even better: 4ft from the south at 14 seconds, still glassy, with the combined energy at 707 (moderate). This is the best on offer. The long period (over 15 seconds) means the swell will have plenty of energy, but it might break a bit straight at the beach, so look for a sandbar or a rip bowl to get the best out of it.

Monday the 7th sees a drop in quality. The morning has 5ft from the south at 14 seconds, but the wind goes cross-onshore, and the energy is strong at 1056 (strong). That's getting big for beginners—over 5ft—and the onshore wind will chop it up. The afternoon is onshore and messy. The rest of the week into the second week stays marginal, with small, onshore slop. The swell dips back to 1.0ft to 2ft from the SW, with periods staying around 14 to 16 seconds, but the wind is generally onshore or cross-onshore, and the combined energy drops to 99 (weak) by the 15th. It's a long, quiet stretch.

So, the standout is Sunday the 6th. The glassy morning and afternoon sessions with that long-period southerly swell are your best bet. The spot is Bay Street, and it's a fairly consistent beginner-friendly break, but it can get crowded at times, so get in early. After that, it's a waiting game for the next pulse.

Rusty

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