Bay Street Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, mate, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer for the next couple of weeks.

To be honest, it’s a pretty grim run for a while. We’ve got a long stretch of nothing much happening. From now, right through the end of August and into the first days of September, Bay Street is just not doing its thing. The swell is tiny, the wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, and the water is sitting at a very warm 72°F with a massive anomaly of 7°F warmer than usual—that’s really unusual for this time of year, and it just adds to the sleepy, flat feeling.

We’re looking at a gap of about a week with no real surf to speak of. There’s a tiny bump of energy on the 29th of August, with some south-southwest swell around 3ft and a period of 17 seconds, but the wind is on it and the combined energy (443) is still only moderate. It’s not worth getting excited about. The same goes for the 30th—similar size, similar story.

The one true standout comes after that long wait. On the morning of Thursday, the 3rd of September, things finally line up. Bay Street will see a 5ft swell from the south-southwest, with a period of 14 seconds. That’s a solid groundswell with good energy—the combined energy hits 862, which is strong. The wind is glassy, and the forecast says “expect very good surf conditions.” That’s your window. It’s clean, it’s got push, and it’s the best on offer by a long shot. The 5ft is a nice size for intermediate surfers, but beginners might find it a little on the big side.

After that, the swell drops back down, and we’re into marginal stuff again. There’s a chance on the morning of the 4th with 3ft from the south-southwest, but the wind is cross-onshore, so it’s not going to be as clean. The rest of the second week is just more of the same small, onshore dribble.

So, to sum it up: you’ve got a long flat spell, then a clear winner on the morning of the 3rd of September. That’s the one to aim for. Everything else is a write-off.

Rusty.

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