Bay Street Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at what we’ve got on the cards for the next couple of weeks. Honestly, mate, it’s a tough stretch. The only spot that’s even on the radar is Bay Street, and it’s a real beginner-friendly wave, but it’s a tough sled to call it good surf.

The pattern is all about small, clean-ish conditions that just never seem to deliver. We’ve got a long period groundswell coming in from the SSW, but the height is tiny, so it’s more of a tease than a proper wave. The water temp is a whopping 73°F, which is *much warmer than normal* for this time of year – that’s a full 7°F above average, so you won’t need a thick wetsuit, that’s for sure.

Let’s walk through it. From Friday the 7th right through to the end of the forecast, it’s a pretty grim run. The swell is a consistent 1ft to 3ft from the SSW, with a period that starts at a very long 19 seconds on the Friday morning, but drops to a more moderate 14-16 seconds for most of the following days. That long period groundswell would be amazing if it had any size, but at 1ft, it’s just a lot of energy with no push. The combined energy on the 7th morning is 202 (moderate), but it’s still just a marginal wave.

The wind is often offshore or light cross-onshore, which is usually a good sign, but the quality is just not there. The wave comment is repeatedly “poor surf conditions” or “marginal surf forecast.” The morning of Friday the 7th, Saturday the 8th, and then a few mornings later on the 14th and 15th show the best window, but the scores are a 1 out of 10, which tells you everything.

The absolute standout, if you can call it that, is the morning of Saturday the 15th of August. The swell bumps up to 3ft from the SSW with a period of 16 seconds, combined energy hits 389 (moderate-strong), and the wind is a light offshore from the SSW at 6 mph. It’s still a tiny wave, but for a beginner, that’s about as clean as it gets. The break is “fairly consistent,” so you’ll get a few rides, but crowds are “sometimes” possible, so keep an eye out.

Other than that, the whole 16-day window is a washout. There are no big swells, no real standouts, just a long run of poor conditions. For a spot like Bay Street, it’s a bit of a blank run, which is pretty normal for this area when the swell is this small. If you’re a kiter, the light offshore wind and small bump might be worth a look, but for paddle surfing, it’s a hard pass.

Rusty, signing off.

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