Bay Street Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab your wettie and listen up. It’s Rusty here, and I’ve gotta be straight with you. We’ve got a bit of a strange limp start to this forecast period here at Bay Street.

The first real chance to get wet comes Monday morning, September 7th. Early, the buoys are showing a 3ft south swell with a solid 12-second period, and it’s glassy with a slight offshore touch. There’s some real energy behind this push – the combined energy reading is sitting at 594, which is moderate to strong. The water is a warm 73°F, which is much warmer than normal, so you can leave the booties at home. This is the standout of the week, no doubt. The combination of that clean morning light, the glassy surface, and a proper groundswell makes it feel special. I'd be in the water before the sun gets too high.

That’s about as good as it gets for a while. Later Monday afternoon, the wind swings onshore and it gets messy. From Tuesday through the following weekend, it's a story of small, weak, and often wind-affected surf. Swell heights hover around a dribbly 1ft to 3ft, and the periods, aside from a couple of spikes, generally drop below the magical 11-second mark. The energy values fall into the weak to moderate range, mostly two-digit or low three-digit numbers. There are some early mornings that are glassy, which will keep the surface clean, but the lack of size and push means it’s mostly a waist-high or smaller, gutless affair. It’s not really worth paddling out for unless you’re dying for a knee-paddle.

The second week doesn’t offer much more hope. The pattern of tiny, short-period swell and onshore winds continues through to the end of the period. The energy starts to build again around Monday, September 21st, with energy readings climbing back over 400, but the swell height is still listed as a modest 3ft. It’s more promising than the daily dribble we’ll see mid-week, but it’s still not a standout. The morning of the 21st is the best of that late bunch, with a 3ft SW swell and a 17-18 second period, but the wind is cross-onshore, so it won't be the clean, glassy perfection we saw on the 7th.

So, be patient. This is shaping up to be a week of flatness before a slight pulse of energy arrives in the third week. The conditions on Monday the 7th are the true gem here, and for such a long lull in between, it might be worth making the most of it.

Rusty, signing off.

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