Bay Street Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Well, grab a coffee and settle in, ’cause I’ve got some news for ya. This is a pretty quiet run for our region, and honestly, we’re looking at a long stretch of nothing much. Bay Street is the only break on the cards, and it’s not really bringing anything to the party for the foreseeable future. We’ve got a 16-day window here, but it’s almost all noise and no stoke.

Let’s start with the first recommendation, which is Wednesday morning, July 29th. We’re looking at a weak 3 ft swell from the SSW, with a long period of 16 seconds. That long period is a bit of a tease – it’ll have some energy, but it’s a groundswell, which can be tricky at a beach break like Bay Street, often peeling too straight. The combined energy is moderate at 509, but the wind is a light cross-on from the south at 6 mph, which is going to put some chop on the face. The water temp is a whopping 73°, which is a full 8° warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s very unusual, so you won’t need a thick wetsuit. The waves are just marginal, with questionable tide conditions, and the score is poor. It’s not a day to get excited about.

Thursday morning, July 30th, is even smaller – 2 ft from the SSW, same 16-second period, with a cross-on breeze. The energy drops to 364. Still poor. Thursday afternoon the wind swings onshore and picks up to 9 mph, and the swell drops to 2 ft from the S with a shorter 13-second period. The score is a flat zero. Friday, July 31st, is a repeat of the same story: 3 ft to 2 ft, onshore wind, poor conditions. The energy keeps dropping into the 200s.

From Saturday, August 1st, through to mid-August, the swell just withers. We’re talking 1 ft to 2 ft, with periods between 12 and 20 seconds. The energy values are mostly in the double digits, falling below 100 for a few days, which is weak energy. The wind is a constant light breeze, but it’s almost always cross-on or onshore. The score never climbs above zero. The wave comment is consistently “poor surf conditions.” There’s nothing here worth paddling out for.

The only glimmer comes right at the end of the forecast, on the afternoon of Tuesday, August 11th, and Wednesday, August 12th, where the swell height bumps up to 2 ft and 2 ft from the SW, with a 17-18 second period. The energy climbs back into the low 200s. But it’s still onshore wind, and the conditions are still rated as poor. It’s a promise of a little more water moving, but not a promise of quality.

To be straight with you, there are no standout days here. Nothing is even close to being the best on offer. The whole period is a dud. If you’re a beginner, you might find some tiny, crumbly waves on a very calm morning, but the wind is never really offshore, so it’s going to be bumpy. For anyone else, it’s a solid stretch of time to tune up your board, clean your wax, or find a lake to paddle on. The forecasts can change, but right now, this is a blank run.

Rusty.

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