Bay Street Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s cut straight to it. This outlook for Bay Street is a tough one to write. We’re looking at a long stretch ahead, and honestly, the surf just isn’t cooperating for most of the next two weeks. It’s going to be a grind, so let’s walk through it day by day.

Right off the bat, from Saturday the 11th to Friday the 17th, it is just flat and messy. For over a week, we’re stuck with tiny swell and poor conditions. The water here is running at 68° – that’s a solid 4° warmer than usual for this time of year, which is a real standout. You could swim, but don’t bother paddling out.

Now, things get a little interesting on Saturday the 19th of July. We finally get a pulse of energy, with the combined swell energy hitting 398. That’s moderate wave energy, and we’re looking at a 2ft swell from the SW, pushing in with a 17-second period. That’s long period groundswell. It’s only rated as marginal, but it’s our first real glimmer of hope. The wind is light cross-onshore, so it won’t be pristine, but it’s surfable.

If you’re holding out for the best day of the month, that looks like Sunday the 26th of July. The swell builds to 3ft from the SW, with the combined energy jumping to 515 – that’s moderate to strong energy. The period holds at a solid 18 seconds. But here’s the kicker: the wind is light and onshore. That means it’ll be bumpy, but with that much juice in the water, a longboarder or a mid-length will still find some fun, walled-up rides. It’s still just a marginal call, but it’s the closest we get to a decent wave in the whole window.

To be real with you, unless you’re a beginner just wanting to mess around in tiny, clean slop, this isn’t your week. The setup is more suited for kite surfing than paddle surfing for most of it. I’d keep an eye on that Sunday the 26th – it’s far out, so don’t bank on it, but it’s your best shot.

Rusty.

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