Bay Street Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s on the menu for the next 16 days at Bay Street. I gotta be straight with you—this run is a slow one. There’s a big gap of quiet, small, and mostly messy surf straight through the first week, so don’t get your hopes up for anything fun until we hit the second weekend.

The water temperature is sitting at 75°—that’s far warmer than normal for this time of year, so you’ll be in for a pleasant dip if you do get out.

Monday, August 31st, through to Wednesday, September 9th—that’s a solid stretch of nothing worth writing home about. Most mornings show tiny swells around 1ft to 2ft, with cross-on or onshore wind, and the combined energy is weak, generally under 250 (weak). The surf is poor, with scores of zilch. There’s a tiny flicker Thursday, September 3rd, with a 1ft SSW swell and a 15-second period, but cross-shore wind and marginal conditions keep it from being worth the paddle. The energy stays low (225), so it’s a no-go.

Friday, September 4th, shows a touch more—3ft SSW swell at 17 seconds, with cross-shore wind and building energy to 443 (moderate). Still, it’s marginal, and the wind is not clean. The pattern holds through the next few days: small, onshore, and poor.

Then, finally, Sunday, September 6th afternoon, we get a real glimmer. The swell jumps to 4ft from the S with a 15-second period, and the wind turns cross-off from the N at 9 mph. The combined energy hits 768 (strong), and the conditions are clean. That’s your standout window—very good surf. The swell direction is right off the optimum SSW for Bay Street, so it’s a solid pick. Monday, September 7th, holds similar: 5ft to 5ft S swell, cross-off wind, and energy over 700 (strong). Clean waves with a bit of size for the more experienced. Tuesday, September 8th morning, still has clean cross-off wind and 6ft S swell, though the period drops to 11 seconds, and the energy is still strong (768). The afternoon goes onshore again, so grab the morning.

After that, the swell dies fast. Wednesday, September 9th, drops to 5ft from the SSE with a short 7-second period, onshore wind, and marginal conditions. Then it’s back to tiny, poor surf for the rest of the run. By the 13th and 14th, energy is down to 91 (weak) and swells are just 1ft—pack it in.

The one standout is Sunday afternoon, September 6th, and Monday morning, September 7th—clean, solid S swell with good energy and offshore wind. That’s the best on offer.

Rusty.

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