Bay Street Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. We’ve got a bit of a drawn-out, small-wave pattern settling in for the next couple of weeks at Bay Street. It’s not going to be a total washout, but don’t expect any pumping sessions—it’s going to be more of a cruisey, small-wave vibe for the beginners and longboarders.

We’ll start things off Saturday the 25th morning with small 2ft swell coming from the SW, with a long period of 21 seconds. This is a proper groundswell, carrying some serious energy (513), but it’s hitting a cross-onshore breeze from the S at 6 mph, which will put some light bumps on the face. The water temp is about average for this time of year. The afternoon sees the wind swing onshore from the SW at 9 mph, and the swell drops a little—conditions turn poor, so your best bet is the morning session for a few little ones.

Sunday the 26th morning is more of the same: 3ft from the SSW, 19-second period, and a light cross-onshore wind. The energy is still there (536), but it’s not clean. The afternoon goes onshore again.

By Monday the 27th, the swell sticks around 3ft from the SSW, but the wind remains onshore or cross-onshore for most of the week. The period drops from the high teens to 17 seconds by Tuesday, and the combined energy stays moderate, sitting in the 500–600 range. Still, it’s a small, choppy affair—fine for a beginner paddle, but nothing to write home about.

Wednesday the 29th morning looks the roughest—cross-onshore wind at 9 mph from the SSE with 3ft swell, making for a fairly choppy surface. Not great.

We hit a little bump on Friday the 31st morning when the swell nudges up to 4ft from the S, period dropping to 14 seconds, and a light cross-onshore wind from the S at 6 mph. The energy is still moderate (528), but the wind angle keeps it from being truly clean. It’s the pick of the first week, but that’s not saying much.

Heading into the second week, things get weaker. On Saturday the 1st of August morning, we’ve got 4ft from the S, but the period is down to 13 seconds, and it’s onshore wind. The energy drops to 452—still moderate, but messy.

From Sunday the 2nd of August, the swell drops off a cliff. We’re looking at 2ft to 1ft days, with periods all over the place, and combined energy falling below 200 into the weak range. The wind stays mostly onshore or cross-onshore, so it’s pretty much a flat spell. There’s a brief glimmer on Thursday the 6th of August morning when a new 1ft pulse from the SSW shows up with a 21-second period and moderate energy (245), but it’s tiny and onshore.

Saturday the 8th and Sunday the 9th of August are dregs—1ft to 2ft, weak energy, and poor conditions. Not worth paddling out unless you’re desperate for a float.

The standout, if you can call it that, is Friday the 31st of July morning—that 4ft from the S with light wind is the biggest and most rideable we get. It’s still small, but for a beginner-friendly spot like Bay Street, it’ll be your best chance for a few fun ones. Keep expectations in check, though.

Rusty.

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