Bay Street Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again. Let’s break down what Bay Street has cooking in feet and Fahrenheit.

It’s a slow period, plain and simple. The first week is mostly a bunch of small, messy days with very little to get excited about. The water is a balmy 74°, which is nearly 9° warmer than normal for this time of year – feels like a bath, but the waves aren’t cooperating.

The closest thing to a standout is Thursday, September 3rd. Swell will be around 3ft to 4ft out of the SSW, with a long 14 to 15 second period. That’s real groundswell energy, with moderate to solid power behind it (473 to 583). The problem is the wind. Morning breezes from the S at 6 mph are cross-on, and by the afternoon it’s onshore from the SW. It won’t be glassy, so the wave faces will be a bit rippled. It’s rideable for a beginner spot, but not clean. You might have some company – crowds show up sometimes.

After that, the surf stays pretty weak and small through the end of the first week. Tuesday, September 8th brings the biggest push of the whole outlook: waves hit 5ft to 5ft from the S, with a period of 12 to 13 seconds. The energy jumps into the strong range (753 to 856). But again, the wind is a bummer – cross-on in the morning, onshore in the afternoon. At that size, it’s blowing past the beginner zone and into intermediate territory, but the choppy conditions will make it a frustrating session for everyone.

From the 9th onward, things fall off a cliff. Swell drops under 3ft, periods get short, and the wind stays onshore or cross-on. The final days of the outlook, from September 12th, are basically flat or junk.

Bottom line: Thursday the 3rd is the best bet for a few long-period runners if you can forgive the breeze. Tuesday the 8th has the most size but the wind will fight you. If the weather systems shift, it could get better, but as it stands, it’s a tough forecast.

Keep the board handy, but don’t rush.

Rusty

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