Bay Street Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – the outlook for the next couple of weeks is a bit of a flat spell. We’re looking at a long stretch of small, poor-quality surf, so don’t get your hopes up for any big sessions.

The water is running at a very warm 72°F, which is much warmer than usual for this time of year—you won’t need a thick wetsuit, that’s for sure.

For the first week, from Monday the 10th right through to the end of the week, it’s a struggle. The swell is tiny, never getting above 3ft, mostly from the SSW and SW. The wind is a constant problem, blowing onshore or cross-onshore for almost every session. The few waves we do get are wind-affected and messy. The combined wave energy is weak, only reaching a moderate 144–376, which just isn't enough to build any decent shape. You’d be fighting light cross-onshore bumps all day. Honestly, it’s a write-off for paddle surfing.

Moving into the second week, from Monday the 17th onwards, it’s more of the same. The swell drops right down, sitting between 1.0ft and 2ft. The wind keeps coming from the SSW or SW, keeping that onshore chop going. The energy is weak, with values like 106 to 252. That Saturday morning on the 22nd sees the smallest swell of the forecast, with just 1.0ft and a 106 energy reading. It’s not looking good.

There is a brief moment on Saturday the 15th where the morning shows a little more energy (332) and a 2ft swell, but with that cross-on wind, it’s still described as marginal. That’s about as close as we get to a highlight, and it’s not saying much.

The only break on the radar is Bay Street, which is a fairly consistent beginner spot. It’s an exposed beach break that needs a solid WSW swell to work, but we’re getting everything from the SSW and SW, which is not the optimum direction. The crowds are sometimes an issue here, but frankly, with this lack of surf, you won’t have to worry about that.

The whole 16-day window is a big gap with no real quality surf on offer. It’s a dry spell. For such a flat run, it’s normal for this area to have a blank run like this. If you’re desperate, you might find a tiny knee-high wave on the 15th, but the wind will ruin it. For the rest of us, it’s time to clean the wax off the board and wait for the next proper swell.

Rusty.

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