Bay Street Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s coming for Bay Street, but I’ll put it in feet, Fahrenheit, and miles per hour for you.

First off, it’s a long, slow burn. From now through to about the 26th of July, there’s next to nothing. We’re talking tiny 2ft to 3ft swell from the southwest or SSW, with periods from 14 to 17 seconds. That’s a groundswell, but it’s all blown out by onshore wind from the SW or SSW. The energy’s weak to moderate (282 to 579). It’s a no-go. You’ll see a string of “poor surf conditions” and some “marginal” tags, but none of it’s worth the paddle.

Then, on the 27th of July (Monday), we get a slight lift. The swell picks up to 3ft from the SSW and SW, with a 18-second period. Energy climbs to the 600s and 700s (661 to 720). The wind is still onshore but light, so it’s not a total washout. The score barely hits a 2 out of 10—still marginal, but it’s a sign of life.

The true standout is the 31st of July (Friday) and the 1st of August (Saturday). On the 31st, the swell jumps to 4ft to 5ft from the south, with a 16-second period. The energy in the morning is 975, and by afternoon it’s 1178—that’s strong wave energy. The wind stays light onshore from the SW, so it’ll be rideable, just not glassy.

Then Saturday the 1st of August, the swell holds at 4ft to 5ft from the south and south-southwest, with a period of 13 seconds. Energy is still solid at 620 to 704, and the wind stays light. This is the best window. For Bay Street, a beginner-friendly spot that’s fairly consistent and sometimes crowded, this is your chance.

The standout session: Friday the 31st of July and Saturday the 1st of August. Waves running 4ft to 5ft from the south, with some SSW mix. The wind is on or cross-onshore, but light, so it won’t be blown out. Expect crowds, as it’s often busy. The long period (16 seconds) on Friday means it’s a proper groundswell with good shape and easier paddle sessions. It might be a bit much for beginners at 5ft, but it’s the best we get.

After that, it’s back to the doldrums. By the 2nd of August (Sunday), the swell drops to 3ft and the energy crashes to 279. The 3rd of August (Monday) brings a tiny 1ft cross-shore breeze from the southeast—completely flat.

So, for the next week and a half, save your gas. The real action is at the very end of July and the start of August. Mark the 31st and the 1st on your calendar.

Rusty.

Read more