Bay Street Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s talk about Bay Street. Honestly, looking at the whole 16-day window, it’s not firing. There’s a whole lot of nothing to start. We’ve got a solid gap of poor conditions right through until the morning of Sunday the 23rd of August, and even then it’s only marginal.

The first real sniff of anything worth paddling out for doesn’t come until Sunday the 23rd. The swell is tiny at 1ft out of the SW with a very long period of 19 seconds, but the combined energy is still only moderate at 209. The wind is light and offshore from the SW, so it’d be clean, but the size is really for a longboard or a foamie. That long-period groundswell will lean towards a bit of a lazy line-up on a beach setup, but with the offshore breeze it should hold up. It’s a marginal call at best though.

The next potential highlight pops up on Tuesday morning, the 25th of August. Still small, 2ft from the SW, but the swell period drops to a more workable 16 seconds. The combined energy jumps up to 342, still moderate, but better. Wind is offshore from the SSW at a light 6 mph, so clean conditions are on the cards. Again, it’s marginal—don’t expect to get your head wet.

Looking further out, Saturday the 29th of August morning shows a slight bump. The swell height nudges up to 3ft from the SSW, but the period drops to 17 seconds with a cross-onshore wind from the S at 6 mph. The combined energy is a solid 350, but that onshore bit will put a wrinkle on the face. Not great, but it’s the biggest swell we see in the whole stretch.

Honestly, if you’re desperate, the best of a bad bunch looks like Sunday the 30th of August morning. Swell at 3ft from the SSW, period 15 seconds, and finally a clean offshore wind from the SSW at 6 mph. Combined energy is 360. It’s still marginal, a long way off, but on paper, it’s the standout moment.

Water temp is a warm 70°F, which is much warmer than usual for the time of year, so you won’t need a thick suit. Bay Street is a beginner-friendly wave and it’s fairly consistent, but crowds can be a problem here sometimes. The main issue is that the swell is almost constantly onshore or cross-onshore for much of the period. When the wind does swing offshore, the swell is just tiny. This stretch is looking pretty slim, but forecasts can change, so keep an eye on it.

Rusty

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