Bay Street Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's cooking for the local stretch.

We've got one spot on the menu for this 16-day run, and to be honest, it's a bit of a mixed bag. The whole period starts off with a tiny window of something decent, but then it's a long, quiet stretch with only marginal or poor conditions for days on end. There's a gap of about a week and a half where the surf just isn't worth the paddle, before we see a faint flicker of life right at the very end.

The only game in town is Bay Street. It's a beginner-friendly, fairly consistent break that's exposed to the swell. The water temp is sitting about average for this time of year, nothing wild.

Now, the standout moment here is Sunday afternoon, September 6th. We're looking at a 4 ft swell rolling in from the south with a 14-second period. The combined energy is moderate at 524, but the real kicker is the wind. It's glassy. Dead flat, 3 mph from the south. That is a major positive, meaning the surface will be clean as a whistle. It's not a huge swell, but for a beginner spot, it's about as good as it gets. The swell direction (S) isn't exactly the optimum (WSW), but the glassy conditions will make up for it. You might have to share the water with a few others as crowds are "sometimes" a thing here.

The Sunday morning before that is less exciting with a cross-shore breeze and a smaller 3 ft swell (425 energy), making it marginal. Then Monday morning, September 7th sees a clean 3 ft south swell (513 energy) with a light 3 mph offshore wind from the SW, which is actually the ideal direction. The period drops a touch to 12 seconds, but it's still a decent window. That Monday afternoon, however, the wind swings onshore and howls up to 12 mph, trashing the surf completely.

From Tuesday, September 8th, things go downhill fast. The swell stays small, mostly around 1 ft to 2 ft, and the wind is consistently onshore or cross-onshore. The combined energy drops to low three-digit or even two-digit figures. The wave comments are all "poor surf conditions" or "marginal." There's a brief moment on Wednesday morning, September 9th with a glassy 1 ft swell (191 energy), but it's a tiny 19-second period groundswell that's just too weak to do much on a beach break.

This poor run of small, onshore slop continues all the way through to Saturday, September 19th. Finally, on that Saturday afternoon and Sunday morning, September 20th, the swell bumps up slightly to 2 ft from the SW (359 and 313 energy respectively). The wind is light and cross-on or onshore, so it's still not great, but the comments shift to "marginal" rather than "poor". It's the best of a bad lot in the second week, but far from a recommendation. The period is around 17-18 seconds, so it's a long-period groundswell that might offer a few clean lines if the wind behaves, but don't get your hopes up.

Monday, September 21st sees a bit more size, with 3 ft from the SW (375 energy) and a 17-second period. Again, marginal, but it's the closest thing to a pulse in the second half. The wind is onshore, so it won't be clean.

So, the only true standout is that Sunday afternoon, September 6th, with glassy conditions. After that, it's a long wait. For beginners, the small stuff might be manageable, but for anyone looking for a proper session, it's a tough outlook. It's the kind of stretch where forecasts can change, so don't lose all hope, but as it stands, you're looking at a lot of flat, windy days.

Rusty out.

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