Bay Street Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down what Bay Street is looking like for the next couple of weeks.

Straight up, it’s a tough stretch. There’s a big gap of flatness from now until about Friday the 14th, with no real waves to speak of. The first faint sign of life comes Friday morning the 14th, but it’s barely a whisper – a marginal 0.4m (1ft) SSW swell. The combined swell energy sits at 248 (moderate), but the quality is just not there with the wind blowing onshore.

For the next week and a half, we’re stuck in a rut of weak, onshore wind and poor conditions. The wind is mostly from the SSW or SW, straight onshore, messing up whatever tiny swell we get. The waves are small, and the periods are long – 15 to 19 seconds – meaning it’s groundswell, but it’s not wrapping in with any punch for this exposed spot. It’s a real waiting game.

If you’re itching for a session, circle Monday the 24th on your calendar. That afternoon, the wind goes light from the WSW and turns glassy. The swell is still tiny – 0.4m (1ft) from the SW, with a 17-second period and combined energy of 173 (weak to moderate) – but that glassy surface is a rare gem. It’s the only time in the whole forecast the wind actually cleans things up. The notes call it “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions,” so keep your expectations in check, but it’s the best we’ve got.

After that, Tuesday the 25th and Wednesday the 26th show a little more size – around 0.6m to 0.8m (2ft to 3ft) – but the onshore wind comes back and ruins it. The 27th teases with 0.9m (3ft) SSW swell and a 15-second period, but the cross-onshore wind just chops it up.

The water temp is a real standout here – 23°C (73°F), which is about 4° warmer than usual for this time of year. That’s very unusual, so at least you won’t need a thick wetsuit while you’re staring at the flatness. For beginners, the swell never goes over 0.9m (3ft), so it’s never too big, but the quality is so poor it’s hardly worth the trip.

Bottom line: it’s a quiet, frustrating period for Bay Street. The only real highlight is that glassy Monday afternoon on the 24th. For the rest, you’re better off finding something else to do.

Rusty.

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