Bay Street Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer.

Straight up, the next 16 days are looking pretty marginal for Bay Street. There’s no real standout window, just a lot of onshore wind and small, weak swell. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing wild there.

The first glimmer of something surfable comes on Monday morning, July 20th. We’ve got a 2ft SSW swell with a very long 15-second period. That long period is a sign of groundswell, but it’s coming from the same direction as the wind, leaving it a bit crossed-up. The combined energy is weak (286). It’s a light cross-onshore breeze, so you’ll find small, wind-rippled lines. It’s marginal, but if you’re a beginner looking for a mellow push, it’s the best we’ve got right now.

Tuesday morning, July 21st, the swell bumps up to 3ft from the SSW, still with a long 16-second period. The energy jumps into the moderate range (504), but that wind is still cross-onshore from the South. It’s a bit better energy, but the conditions are still compromised. This is about as good as it gets for the first week.

The rest of that week and into the next is a real grind. From Wednesday the 22nd right through to Sunday the 2nd of August, the swell stays small, mostly in the 2ft to 3ft range, with periods dropping. The wind is almost always onshore or cross-onshore, keeping the surface messy. The combined energy fluctuates, but never gets into that strong range you’d want for a proper session. There are a few mornings where it’s marginal, like Saturday July 25th with a 2ft SSW swell and a long 21-second period, but that light cross-onshore wind just kills the quality.

Honestly, there’s nothing here that screams “go.” The setup is better for a kiteboarder than a paddle surfer on most days, especially with that consistent onshore flow. For a beginner, the swell rarely gets over 5ft, but the wind is the real problem. The consistency is “fairly consistent,” but that doesn’t mean much when it’s consistently poor.

The standout, if you can call it that, is the Tuesday morning July 21st session. Even then, it’s a 3ft cross-on mess. The best of a bad bunch. For the rest, you’re waiting on a change that doesn’t really come in the 16-day window.

Rusty.

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