Bay Street Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s take a look at what’s shaping up. The next couple of weeks are gonna be a real struggle for surf. Bay Street is the only spot on the cards, and honestly, it’s not looking good.

We’ve got a long dry spell here. From the start of July 3rd, right through to the morning of July 8th, there’s basically nothing worth paddling out for. The combined swell energy is weak to moderate, topping out at around 372 (moderate) but the wind is all wrong — mostly onshore or cross-onshore from the SSW and SW, and those are nasty directions for this exposed break which really wants a WSW swell. The waves that do show are tiny, mostly between 1 ft and 2 ft, and the period is long, between 14 and 18 seconds. That long period (groundswell) is a tease here because Bay Street is a beach break, and those long gaps between sets just mean a lot of bobbing around for very little reward.

July 8th morning is the first sniff of something rideable. We get a marginal call with a 3 ft SSW groundswell at 16 seconds, combined energy hitting 507 (moderate), but the wind is cross-onshore from the SSW at 6 mph. It’s light, so it won’t be a complete mess, but it’s not clean. The wave quality is just “marginal,” and the crowd factor at Bay Street is listed as “sometimes” — so you might have company but not a circus.

After that morning, it’s back to poor conditions for the next week. The swell drops, the wind stays onshore or cross-onshore, and the combined energy slides back down into the 100s and 200s. By July 14th, we’re seeing tiny 1.0 ft to 1 ft SW swell with a very long period of 19 seconds, but energy is weak (137 or less), and the wind is cross-onshore. Not even worth a look.

If you’re a beginner, this isn’t your time either — the waves are just too small and weak to learn on, and the onshore wind makes them crumbly. For the experts, there’s no power or size to get excited about.

The water temperature anomaly isn’t mentioned here, so we can’t say if it’s warmer or cooler than usual.

The only small window is the morning of July 8th, but that’s about it. Bay Street is fairly consistent for this area, so this blank run is a bit of a bummer, but not unheard of. Forecasts can change, so keep an eye on it.

Signing off from the beach.

Rusty.

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