Bay Street Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

Well, I’ll be straight with ya – the next 16 days are pretty grim. We’ve got a long stretch of poor surf conditions ahead. The first real chance to even think about paddling out doesn’t show up until Friday the 14th, and even then it’s a marginal call. After that, there’s another long gap of flat or junk surf until the very end of the window.

The only spot we’ve got to look at is Bay Street. It’s a beginner-friendly, fairly consistent beach break that’s exposed to the swell. The best of a bad bunch comes on the morning of Friday the 14th. We’re looking at a tiny 2 ft swell from the SSW, but here’s the kicker – the period is a very long 14 seconds, so there’s some groundswell energy in the water (combined energy is 289). It’s a light cross-onshore breeze, so it won’t be glassy, but it’s not howling either. The water is a balmy 73°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year. Honestly, it’s barely a surf, but it’s the only thing on the menu.

The rest of the week is a write-off. Onshore winds, tiny swell, and wave comments saying “poor surf conditions” or “marginal” are the story. The wind is mostly from the SSW or SW, and it’s always onshore or cross-onshore, messing up any chance of a clean wave.

We get a small flicker of hope on the morning of Sunday the 23rd of August. Another marginal call with a 1 ft swell from the SW, but a solid 19-second period. The combined energy is 208, so there’s some push. Wind is light and onshore, but it’s a long way out and very uncertain. For a beginner spot, this is about as flat as it gets.

So, the honest truth? There’s nothing to get excited about here. If you’re desperate for a paddle on the 14th, Bay Street might give you a few knee-high wobbles. Otherwise, it’s a long blank run. Hang tight, and check back in a few days – forecasts can change.

Rusty, signing off.

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