Bay Street Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again. Same story, different numbers. This is a tough stretch for Bay Street. Over the next 16 days, the surf is tiny and the conditions are just plain ugly. There’s a big gap with no decent waves, and honestly, the whole forecast is a bust.

Starting from August 8th, you’re looking at swells around 1ft to 2ft, mostly from the SSW or SW. The period is long, up to 17 seconds, which usually means some push, but the combined energy is weak, hanging between 141 and 307 (moderate at best). The real problem is the wind – it’s almost always onshore or cross-onshore from the S, SSW, and SW, keeping the surface choppy and messy. Water temperature is 73°F, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, almost 7°F above average, but that’s the only silver lining.

Saturday morning the 8th has a 2ft SSW swell with a 17-second period, but the wind is onshore from the SSW at 6 mph, so it’s blown out. Energy is only 215. The afternoon is worse. Sunday the 9th is cross-on with a light breeze, but the swell is still 2ft and poor. It just doesn’t clean up. The following week, from the 10th to the 14th, it’s the same story – tiny waves, onshore or cross-on winds, and the wave comment says “poor surf conditions” or “marginal.” The morning of Friday the 14th has a 1ft SSW swell with a 19-second period and 263 energy, but the wind is onshore, so it’s not worth it.

The middle of the second week, around the 15th and 16th, the swell picks up a little to 2ft to 3ft, still from the SSW, with periods of 15-16 seconds. The combined energy gets into the 300s, which is moderate. But the wind is still onshore from the SW, 6-12 mph, so the surface is poor. The 17th and 18th mornings are “marginal” at best, but the wind is cross-on or onshore again. The last few days, from the 20th to the 23rd, the swell drops back to 1ft, with energy as low as 106, and the wind is onshore. It’s just not happening.

There are no standout days here. The only break is Bay Street, which is exposed to a WSW optimum, but the swell is coming from the SSW, which isn’t a good match. It’s fairly consistent, but the quality is zero. With such small, weak swell and persistent onshore winds, this is a blank run. For a spot that’s usually fairly consistent, this is a rare stretch of poor conditions. If you’re into kite surfing, the onshore wind and small chop might be something, but for paddle surfing, there’s nothing to get excited about.

Rusty.

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