Ala Moana Bowls Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Imperial Units

Alright, listen up. We’ve got a mixed bag ahead. The real standout window is shaping up around the 28th of July, with a solid pulse of east swell. The rest of the month and into August is a bit of a grind, with a lot of marginal conditions and some strong trades that will make life tough. The water’s hovering around average for this time of year, so nothing unusual there.

We kick things off on Monday the 27th of July. Not much to write home about. The swell is there at 4ft to 5ft from the east, but that 30 km/h ENE cross-off wind is a fresh breeze, and the combined energy is only 867 (moderate) to 1023 (moderate). It’s surfable, but it’s not pumping. The conditions are clean, but the energy is lacking.

Here’s the highlight. Tuesday the 28th of July is the one to get excited about. The swell builds to 7ft in the morning, hitting 8ft in the afternoon, both from the east. The combined energy jumps up to 1795 (moderate) and then 2386 (strong) – that’s proper energy. The wind stays cross-off from the NE at 20-30 km/h, keeping it clean. The period is 13 seconds, a nice long groundswell, which will give those waves some real shape and power. This is for the experienced crew, as 8ft is pushing into expert territory. Get on it.

Wednesday the 29th of July is a letdown. The swell drops, and the wind swings onshore from the SSW, ruining the quality. The combined energy drops right back to 1053 (moderate) and 745 (moderate). Not worth it.

From Thursday the 30th of July through the first week of August, it’s a repeating pattern of moderate to strong ENE trades and a messy, short-period swell. The swell sticks around 5ft to 8ft, but the period is a weak 8 seconds or less, and the wind is a fresh to strong breeze of 30-45 km/h. The combined energy bounces around 600-1300 (moderate), but the poor surf quality scores tell the real story. A few days in there, like the 31st of July, are straight-up poor conditions. The wind is just too strong for a clean surf.

There’s a small window on the 4th of August with a 5ft to 5ft east swell that has a bit more period (11-12 seconds), but it’s still a marginal call with the cross-off wind. It’s only a flicker of hope.

The second week of August is quieter. The 5th through the 8th are mostly poor, with small swell and howling trades. The 9th of August has a little spike of 5ft from the ENE, but the period is a weak 7 seconds. The 10th of August shows a similar 7ft east swell, but again, the period is short and the wind is strong. It’s a long stretch of tough conditions.

The strongest day for the experts is definitely the 28th of July. It’s a proper groundswell, clean conditions, and real power. For the rest of us, it’s a waiting game. The consistency is fairly consistent at this spot, so it won’t stay poor forever, but this forecast is a rough one.

Rusty.

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