Ala Moana Bowls Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, let’s cut through the noise and look at this forecast for the next couple weeks.

To be honest, it’s a pretty ugly picture for the most part. The forecast is just filled with poor conditions and not a lot of quality. The only break we have to look at is Ala Moana Bowls, and it's just not doing its thing. We've got a fairly consistent spot, but the conditions are just against us.

From Monday the 10th through the 14th, it's just a write-off. We've got a cross-off wind, but the swell is a mix of weak, short-period ENE windswell and some longer period SSW energy that just isn't doing anything. The energy is moderate, but the quality is terrible. Water temp is 81°F, which is about 1°F warmer than average, so nothing out of the ordinary.

There’s a little pulse of longer period S swell on Wednesday the 12th, with the energy getting to a moderate level, but the wave height is weak at 3ft, and the breeze is still fresh. It's still just marginal, not worth getting excited over. That same story runs through Thursday and Friday.

The weekend kicks up in size, but not in a good way. On Saturday, we get 7ft of short-period ENE windswell under a strong cross-off breeze. It’s going to be lumpy and closed out. The energy is strong, but it's all a mess with the wind. Then Sunday the 16th brings a risk of thunderstorms and gale-force south winds. We're looking at 8ft at 10 seconds, which is going to be a total disaster. That kind of size with onshore winds at a reef is going to be a washing machine. This is for experts only, and even they will likely be sitting on the beach. It's a flat-out no-go.

Now, Monday the 17th is the one small glimmer in this whole mess. The wind backs off to a gentle breeze. The swell eases slightly to 8ft from the ENE, but the period stretches to 11 seconds. The energy is still strong. It's still not ideal, but the lighter wind might give it a bit of shape. It's a marginal call, but it's the best we'll see for that first week. The wind is cross-on, so there will be some texture, but it's the most hopeful the forecast has looked.

After that, it all falls apart again. From Tuesday the 18th through the 24th, the surf drops way down and the wind is back to that persistent cross-off. It's weak, short-period slop. The energy is low for a lot of that too, getting really weak on the 19th and 20th. There might be a bump late on the 23rd and 24th, but it’s more of that short-period ENE swell at 6ft, with poor conditions. It’s a long, flat, and blown-out stretch.

The last day or two, the 25th, shows a bit more life with some southerly swell energy picking up, but it comes with a fresh cross-off wind. It might clean up a little, but it's nothing to write home about. Still marginal at best.

So, if you're desperate, keep an eye on Monday the 17th. That’s your best bet for the next week. Don't plan your life around anything else after that.

Rusty.

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