Surf Forecasts:
Afogadas surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 8s period, SE swell with 724 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Afogadas this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Afogadas in the next 16 days are 2.3m 8s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 11s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 16) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Afogadas over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's be honest, looking at the charts for the next couple of weeks, it's a bit of a tough stretch for Afogadas. The swell is gonna be around, but the wind just won't play ball for the most part.
We start off on Wednesday, July 15th, with a tiny 3 ft swell from the ESE, but that SE wind is howling at 16 mph, putting a nasty cross-chop on everything. The water's a warm 81°, which is pretty normal for this time of year, but it's not much comfort when you're battling that mess.
The pattern just keeps rolling. Thursday the 16th and Friday the 17th see a slight bump to 4 ft-4 ft, but the wind stays on it, making it all choppy and poor. The energy is weak to moderate (86 to 143), but it's just not surfable. This goes on and on. Saturday the 18th actually sees a jump in energy to 502, with a 4 ft SSE swell, but that 16-19 mph cross-wind means it's a total write-off for a paddle board. Honestly, if you're into kites, some of those afternoons with the 19 mph winds and lumpy cross-chop might look interesting, but for a surfboard, it's a no-go.
We're looking at a solid 9-day stretch of poor conditions here. The wind is relentless, staying cross or cross-onshore all the way through to the 23rd of July. There's consistent swell, mostly around 4 ft to 6 ft, and the period is short, about 6-8 seconds, which just makes for weak, bumpy waves. The energy is moderate to strong (206 to 321), but it's all for nothing with that wind.
Finally, there's a tiny glimmer. On the morning of Friday, July 24th, the wind drops right out. We're talking about a 3 mph S breeze, almost dead calm, and it's a clean cross-off. The swell is 4 ft from the E with a 7-second period – not huge, not perfect, but it will be the cleanest surf we've seen in two weeks. The energy is moderate (229). This is the one standout in the whole outlook. If you can get out that morning, you'll have it to yourself, as it's a day that's usually quiet. But that's it. The afternoon picks up an onshore wind and it's back to poor. The rest of the forecast, right through to the 30th, fades away into tiny, weak, and onshore slop. It's a long wait for that one Friday morning window.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 44mm), heaviest during Fri morning. Warm (max 26°C on Wed afternoon, min 23°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 34mm), heaviest during Sat afternoon. Warm (max 26°C on Mon morning, min 23°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wed 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | E 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | SSE 9 | E 7 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | SE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ESE 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 86 | 87 | 91 | 95 | 125 | 141 | 117 | 149 | 238 | 315 | 365 | 318 | 280 | 485 | 301 | 287 | 666 | 295 | 257 | 191 | 206 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on |
High Tide | 5:04PM2.23m | 5:17AM2.45m | 5:50PM2.20m | 6:03AM2.40m | 6:34PM2.14m | 6:48AM2.28m | 7:18PM2.04m | 7:34AM2.12m | 8:03PM1.92m | 8:22AM1.94m | 8:52PM1.80m | 9:16AM1.76m | 9:48PM1.70m | 10:20AM1.62m | |||||||
Low Tide | 11:03PM0.15m | 11:38AM-0.03m | 11:48PM0.19m | 12:23PM0.07m | 00:33AM0.27m | 1:07PM0.21m | 1:19AM0.38m | 1:52PM0.36m | 2:08AM0.51m | 2:39PM0.52m | 3:03AM0.62m | 3:33PM0.65m | 4:08AM0.70m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | | | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 |
 | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | 5:20 |
mm | — | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 1 |
Temp °C | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 27 |
Feels °C | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 23 | 22 | 22 | 24 | 25 | 23 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 27 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 9 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NE 8 | NE 7 | E 7 | SSE 9 | N 10 | N 10 | N 9 | NE 9 | ESE 8 | NE 8 | N 8 | E 8 | NE 9 | NNE 9 | E 8 | NNE 9 |
| kJ | 8 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 149 | 238 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 245 | 3 | 1 | 333 | 3 | 8 | 191 | 7 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 12 | N 11 | NNE 11 | NNE 11 | NNE 11 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | SSE 12 | N 10 | N 9 | NE 9 | N 9 | NE 8 | N 10 | N 10 | NE 10 | N 10 | N 10 | NNE 9 | N 9 |
| kJ | 14 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 47 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 12 | — | S 14 | N 11 | S 12 | NNE 8 | S 12 | SE 12 | N 10 | — | — | N 9 | N 9 | E 8 | — | — | — | — | — | NNE 9 | — |
| kJ | 11 | — | 4 | 21 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | E 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | E 7 | ESE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | SE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | — | ESE 8 |
| kJ | 86 | 87 | 91 | 95 | 125 | 141 | 117 | 99 | 217 | 315 | 365 | 318 | 280 | 485 | 301 | 287 | 666 | 295 | 257 | — | 206 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1661 | 1573 | 1573 | 1573 | 1595 | 1573 | 2022 | 1595 | 1573 | 1573 | 1573 | 1573 | 1573 | 1573 | 1487 | 1573 | 987 | 987 | 1573 | 710 | 989 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Rio Grande Do Norte | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Brazil | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Afogadas Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Afogadas provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Afogadas can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Afogadas surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Afogadas) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Afogadas may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Afogadas is 15 km (9 miles) from Canguaretama. If you plan a holiday in Rio Grande Do Norte, look for hotels and other accommodation in Canguaretama. Canguaretama has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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