Surf Forecasts:
Afogadas surf forecast from 2 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 3 Sep, 6PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 9s period, ESE swell with 359 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Afogadas this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Afogadas in the next 16 days are 1.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 10s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 03) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 5ft (1.5m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Afogadas over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. We’ve got a 16-day window ahead, but I’ll be honest with you—there’s not a single standout session in the whole run. The only named break on the menu is Afogadas, and it’s a pretty grim story all the way through.
The overall picture is one of persistent cross-onshore winds and mainly short-period, weak swell. The combined wave energy is mostly moderate through the first week, hitting a peak of 237 (moderate energy) on the morning of Thursday the 10th, but the quality never comes together. The water temperature is sitting at 81°F, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
From Wednesday the 2nd right through to the end of the forecast on Thursday the 17th, every single session is written off as “poor surf conditions.” The swell is coming from the east and east-southeast, with periods between 6 and 10 seconds—mostly short-period stuff. The wind is locked in from the southeast and east-southeast at 9 to 16 mph, always cross-on, keeping the surface choppy and messy. Even on the few occasions when the wind is labeled “on,” the surf is still poor.
The pick of a very average bunch might be Thursday the 10th, when the swell pushes up to 5ft to 5ft from the ESE, with energy hitting 237 (moderate). But the wind is still cross-on at 16 mph, and the period is a weak 7 seconds. That’s not a surfer’s swell—that’s a windy, lumpy mess best left for the kite crew. Given the exposed beach setup, this is more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
The last few days, from around the 14th onward, the swell drops right off—down to 2ft to 3ft—and the energy drops into the weak 60s and 70s. The wind stays strong and cross-on. It’s a long, blank stretch with no real light at the end of the tunnel.
So, to sum it up: there’s no good surf on offer in this 16-day window. Afogadas is fairly consistent in terms of always having some wave, but it’s all poor quality. The forecast can change, but right now, this is a stretch to sit out. Keep the board waxed, but don’t hold your breath.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Fri afternoon. Warm (max 28°C on Wed morning, min 25°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 27°C on Sat morning, min 25°C on Sat afternoon). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | ESE 9 | E 7 | E 7 | ESE 9 | E 7 | E 7 | E 8 | E 7 | E 8 | E 8 | E 7 | E 6 | E 7 | E 6 | E 6 | ESE 6 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 220 | 220 | 185 | 188 | 235 | 110 | 147 | 123 | 352 | 83 | 82 | 145 | 131 | 135 | 119 | 107 | 83 | 88 | 76 | 82 | 183 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 7:27PM1.94m | 7:59AM1.83m | 8:26PM1.81m | 9:13AM1.68m | 9:47PM1.72m | 10:50AM1.63m | 11:22PM1.76m | 12:22PM1.72m | 00:42AM1.91m | 1:28PM1.89m | 1:42AM2.11m | 2:19PM2.06m | 2:30AM2.29m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:11PM0.42m | 1:40AM0.44m | 2:07PM0.58m | 2:51AM0.56m | 3:25PM0.71m | 4:27AM0.60m | 5:05PM0.73m | 6:02AM0.52m | 6:29PM0.62m | 7:12AM0.35m | 7:30PM0.46m | 8:05AM0.19m | 8:19PM0.30m | ||||||||
 | |  | | |  | |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:20 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — |
 | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 28 | 27 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 26 |
Feels °C | 28 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 25 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 27 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | NNE 9 | NNE 11 | ESE 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 7 | E 7 | ESE 9 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | E 8 | NNE 8 | NE 9 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 9 | NE 9 | E 6 |
| kJ | 220 | 220 | 185 | 8 | 11 | 110 | 63 | 60 | 124 | 83 | 26 | 14 | 13 | 135 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 109 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | NNE 11 | NNE 11 | NNE 8 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NNE 9 | E 9 | E 9 | NNE 9 | S 13 | N 10 | NNE 8 | NE 10 | S 12 | NNE 10 | S 11 | — | E 15 | NNE 8 |
| kJ | 7 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 17 | 42 | 39 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 9 | — | 4 | 7 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | NNE 9 | NNE 8 | — | — | — | — | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | — | N 12 | S 15 | N 10 | S 13 | NE 9 | S 11 | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | E 15 |
| kJ | 15 | 15 | 7 | 14 | — | — | — | — | 8 | 8 | — | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | E 9 | E 9 | E 6 | E 7 | E 7 | ESE 9 | — | E 7 | E 8 | E 7 | — | E 8 | E 7 | E 6 | E 7 | E 6 | E 6 | ESE 6 |
| kJ | — | — | — | 188 | 235 | 57 | 147 | 123 | 352 | — | 82 | 145 | 131 | — | 119 | 107 | 83 | 88 | 76 | 82 | 183 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 248 | 1976 | 1661 | 1636 | 1573 | 987 | 828 | 1595 | 1595 | 828 | 2047 | 11 | 825 | 2257 | 1487 | 828 | 1661 | 1487 | 1661 | 1636 | 1027 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Rio Grande Do Norte | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Brazil | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Afogadas Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Afogadas provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Afogadas can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Afogadas surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Afogadas) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Afogadas may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Afogadas is 15 km (9 miles) from Canguaretama. If you plan a holiday in Rio Grande Do Norte, look for hotels and other accommodation in Canguaretama. Canguaretama has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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