Surf Forecasts:
Afogadas surf forecast from 18 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 20 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 9s period, SE swell with 542 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Afogadas this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Afogadas in the next 16 days are 1.9m 9s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 20) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 11s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 12PM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Thu 20th Aug) | 6ft (1.9m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Afogadas over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down the next 16 days for this region. It’s a tough one to call, to be honest. The only spot we’ve got intel on is Afogadas, and for the entire forecast period, the conditions are just not cooperating. We’re looking at a long stretch of poor surf, starting right now and running all the way through to the start of September.
The main issue is wind. From Tuesday, August 18th, right through the end of the month, we’re stuck with a dominant cross-onshore or cross-shore wind from the SE and ESE, blowing at 12 to 22 mph. That’s constantly tearing up the wave face. Swell is hanging around the 3 ft to 5 ft range from the ESE, with a short period of just 6 to 8 seconds, so there’s no real push or power. The combined swell energy is moderate at best, hitting values like 168 (Tuesday morning) and 239 (Thursday afternoon), but it’s all messy.
The water temperature is sitting at 81°, which is about normal for this time of year, so that’s not an issue. The problem is the clean lines are just not there.
There is a slight glimmer on the very last day we’ve got data for – Wednesday, September 2nd. The swell bumps up to 5 ft from the E, with a period of 7 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to 247 and 253. The wind also eases to a moderate cross-shore, rather than onshore. While it’s still not perfect, that’s the best the window offers. However, even then, the data says "poor surf conditions."
For the whole 16-day run, there are no standouts, no clean windows. The break is described as fairly consistent, but with this wind pattern, it’s a write-off. The setup is a beach break, and with the significant swell mixing with strong wind, this looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. We’ll have to wait for a change in the forecast to get something rideable.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Tue night. Warm (max 26°C on Tue morning, min 23°C on Tue night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Warm (max 27°C on Sun morning, min 25°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 6 | E 7 | SE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 8 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ESE 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 147 | 148 | 305 | 143 | 176 | 215 | 215 | 234 | 193 | 156 | 151 | 147 | 91 | 71 | 99 | 128 | 152 | 163 | 177 | 178 | 181 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 7:56PM1.80m | 8:22AM1.68m | 8:46PM1.65m | 9:25AM1.51m | 9:56PM1.54m | 10:57AM1.43m | 11:28PM1.52m | 12:29PM1.47m | 00:46AM1.61m | 1:30PM1.59m | 1:40AM1.76m | 2:12PM1.73m | 2:20AM1.92m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:44PM0.54m | 2:10AM0.60m | 2:31PM0.70m | 3:11AM0.72m | 3:36PM0.83m | 4:37AM0.78m | 5:07PM0.87m | 6:06AM0.74m | 6:29PM0.80m | 7:12AM0.63m | 7:26PM0.69m | 7:58AM0.50m | 8:08PM0.56m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | | | |  | | | | | | | |  | | | | | |
 | 5:26 | — | — | 5:26 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — |
 | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — |
mm | 2 | — | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 25 |
Feels °C | 24 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 24 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | NNE 11 | ESE 7 | NNE 10 | NNE 10 | NNE 10 | NNE 10 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | SE 8 | NE 8 | NNE 10 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 |
| kJ | 21 | 12 | 131 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 8 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | ESE 10 | S 12 | — | N 10 | N 11 | N 9 | N 9 | S 13 | N 9 | S 12 | NE 8 | NE 8 | N 8 | N 8 | NNE 8 | SE 8 | N 10 | — | — |
| kJ | 7 | 7 | 10 | 12 | — | 8 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 2 | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 11 | N 11 | NNE 11 | N 12 | — | — | N 11 | S 16 | S 14 | N 9 | S 13 | N 9 | S 12 | — | S 11 | N 11 | N 10 | N 10 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 12 | 21 | 12 | 3 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 6 | E 7 | SE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 8 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ESE 7 |
| kJ | 147 | 148 | 305 | 143 | 176 | 215 | 215 | 234 | 193 | 156 | 151 | 147 | 91 | 71 | 99 | 128 | 152 | 163 | 177 | 178 | 181 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1573 | 1573 | 987 | 1108 | 1573 | 987 | 1027 | 1595 | 987 | 828 | 1976 | 991 | 563 | 2189 | 1011 | 2029 | 1976 | 987 | 244 | 1661 | 1661 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Rio Grande Do Norte | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Brazil | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Afogadas Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Afogadas provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Afogadas can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Afogadas surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Afogadas) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Afogadas may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Afogadas is 15 km (9 miles) from Canguaretama. If you plan a holiday in Rio Grande Do Norte, look for hotels and other accommodation in Canguaretama. Canguaretama has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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