Surf Forecasts:
Afogadas surf forecast from 5 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 6PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 8s period, ESE swell with 296 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Afogadas this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Afogadas in the next 16 days are 1.6m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 8s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 06) at 12PM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Thu 10th Sep) | 5ft (1.6m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Afogadas over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right then, let’s talk about what’s happening at Afogadas. To be straight with you, the whole 16-day window is a bit of a write-off. I’m looking at nothing but “poor surf conditions” across the board, and there isn’t a single session I’d call good. The issue is a persistent cross-onshore wind from the ESE and SE, blowing at 9 to 19 mph, which keeps the surface choppy and lumpy. The swell is tiny, coming from the east with periods as short as 6 to 8 seconds, so it’s weak, short-period windswell with no real push. The combined energy starts at just 82 (weak) and climbs to 265 by Friday September 11th, but even that is still only moderate energy, and it’s ruined by the wind.
The water temperature is sitting at 81°F with a 1°F anomaly, which is about average for the time of year.
There’s genuinely nothing to recommend here. If you’re desperate for a paddle, the best of a bad lot might be Saturday September 5th afternoon, with a 2 ft east swell at 7 seconds and 82 combined energy, but the cross-on wind makes it messy. Even as the swell builds to 5 ft by Friday September 11th, the onshore wind just chops it up. For a beginner, nothing over 5 ft here is too big, but the conditions are so poor it wouldn’t be fun for anyone. For experts, the 5 ft days are still too messy to bother.
Afogadas is a fairly consistent break, so it’s frustrating to see such a blank run. But when the wind is locked in from the ESE and the swell is weak and short-period, that’s just how it goes. This setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, to be honest.
Forget it for now – forecasts can change, but this one’s a long shot.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Sun night, min 25°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 26mm), heaviest during Thu morning. Warm (max 27°C on Tue afternoon, min 24°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Sat 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 7 | E 9 | E 6 | E 6 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 7 | E 7 | ESE 7 | E 7 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 7 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 42 | 94 | 51 | 68 | 108 | 107 | 108 | 106 | 102 | 108 | 113 | 135 | 171 | 279 | 178 | 187 | 187 | 249 | 256 | 243 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 11:22PM1.76m | 12:22PM1.72m | 00:42AM1.91m | 1:28PM1.89m | 1:42AM2.11m | 2:19PM2.06m | 2:30AM2.29m | 3:01PM2.20m | 3:13AM2.41m | 3:40PM2.29m | 3:53AM2.47m | 4:16PM2.32m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:05PM0.73m | 6:02AM0.52m | 6:29PM0.62m | 7:12AM0.35m | 7:30PM0.46m | 8:05AM0.19m | 8:19PM0.30m | 8:50AM0.06m | 9:01PM0.18m | 9:30AM-0.01m | 9:40PM0.09m | 10:06AM-0.02m | 10:17PM0.07m | |||||||
 |  | | |  |  | | | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — |
 | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 8 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 1 | — | — |
Temp °C | 27 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 26 |
Feels °C | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 26 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | E 9 | E 8 | E 8 | NNE 8 | NE 9 | NE 8 | NE 8 | ESE 10 | NE 9 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | E 7 | ESE 13 | ESE 11 | ESE 12 | NNE 12 | NNE 11 | NNE 11 |
| kJ | 40 | 94 | 37 | 45 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 18 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 146 | 18 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 22 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 9 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NE 10 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | NE 9 | NNE 8 | E 15 | SE 13 | SE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | NNE 13 | NNE 12 | ESE 13 | NNE 8 | N 11 |
| kJ | 16 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 6 | 37 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 14 | N 10 | NE 10 | S 13 | NNE 9 | NE 9 | N 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | — | N 16 | NE 8 | NNE 14 | ESE 14 | NE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 |
| kJ | — | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | 5 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 12 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 7 | — | E 6 | E 6 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 7 | E 7 | ESE 7 | E 7 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 7 |
| kJ | 42 | — | 51 | 68 | 108 | 107 | 108 | 106 | 102 | 108 | 113 | 135 | 171 | 279 | 178 | 187 | 187 | 249 | 256 | 243 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1595 | 6 | 828 | 2189 | 1998 | 828 | 1487 | 987 | 1573 | 1573 | 1487 | 1573 | 1573 | 1573 | 1679 | 1595 | 1048 | 1595 | 1595 | 1027 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Rio Grande Do Norte | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Brazil | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Afogadas Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Afogadas provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Afogadas can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Afogadas surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Afogadas) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Afogadas may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Afogadas is 15 km (9 miles) from Canguaretama. If you plan a holiday in Rio Grande Do Norte, look for hotels and other accommodation in Canguaretama. Canguaretama has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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