Afogadas Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Afogadas over the next couple of weeks. I gotta be straight with you – this ain’t a pretty picture.

Honestly, for the whole 16-day window we’re lookin’ at essentially a blank run. From Saturday the 15th of August right through until the end of the month, every single session is tagged as poor surf conditions. That’s a long stretch with nothin’ worth paddlin’ out for. If you’re local to this area, you know that spells like this happen – the ocean just goes quiet, the winds refuse to play nice, and you’re better off waxin’ the board tomorrow.

The main issue is the wind. It’s stuck in a cross or cross-onshore groove from the SE or ESE, blowin’ steady at 12 to 19 mph most days. That means a lumpy, choppy mess on the surface. The swell direction never lines up with the optimum SE either – what little energy comes in is from the E or ESE. The swell heights stay between 2 ft and 5 ft, but with periods mostly under 8 seconds (short-period wind slop), the wave quality is just not there. The combined wave energy bounces around weak to moderate, maxin’ out at 236 (moderate) on the morning of the 16th, but the wind ruins any hope of a clean face. That Sunday the 16th, the swell hits 5 ft in the afternoon but with a period of just 6 seconds and fresh cross-shore wind – messy.

Even the few moments where the wind turns onshore, like the 28th and 29th with gentle breezes and a 4 ft swell from the ENE, the period is still short and the energy is weak (99 and 81). It’s just not worth gettin’ wet. The water is warm enough at 81° on the first day – about what you’d expect for the time of year, nothin’ wild there – but that’s about the only bright spot.

If you’re really desperate, the strongest energy spike happens on Sunday morning the 16th (236) and again on Tuesday afternoon the 25th (200), but both are cross-on or cross conditions with moderate to fresh winds. Not a single standout session in the whole run.

With the continual cross and cross-onshore winds and small, short-period swell, this setup honestly looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing – at least you’d be gettin’ pulled along rather than fightin’ the chop.

Hang tight, folks. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a solid pass.

Rusty

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