
Surf Forecasts:
Afogadas surf forecast from 9 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 16 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 13s period, ESE swell with 587 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Afogadas this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Afogadas in the next 16 days are 1.3m 13s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 10s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 16) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Sun 16th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Afogadas over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright crew, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Afogadas has cookin’ for us over the next couple of weeks. I gotta be straight with you right off the bat: this stretch looks pretty grim for a proper surf. The whole forecast window is littered with zero-score days, and the wind just won’t play nice. We’re talking about a solid run of poor surf conditions that lasts from this Sunday, the 9th, all the way through to at least Monday the 24th. That’s a 16-day gap with no real recommendations, and it’s a long, frustrating wait.
The trouble is that the swell direction is all wrong for this spot – we need something from the SE to get things working, but we’re seeing a lot of short-period, weak E and ESE energy. The wind is almost constantly cross or cross-on, which is messy. Paddling out on that is just a battle. The water temp is sitting at a warm 81°, which is about normal for this time of year – no surprises there.
Right through the first week and into the second, it’s the same story. From Sunday the 9th to Saturday the 15th, we see small, weak swell (energy readings bouncing between 87 and 274 – mostly moderate, but with zero quality). Periods are short – 6 to 7 seconds – so it’s all windswell junk. The wind is mostly 12 to 18 mph from the SE or ESE, keeping the surface chopped up and lumpy.
Into the second week, things don’t really change. Monday the 17th through to Monday the 24th still shows all “poor surf conditions.” The swell is still small (2 ft to 5 ft), short period, and clocking in with cross or cross-on wind from the E to ESE. The one bit of hope you’ll see is a few readings with longer period – like 11 or even 15 seconds on the 16th and 17th – but the wind and direction still kill it. A 15-second groundswell is usually a treat, but here it’s still blowing cross-shore and messy.
Honestly, there is not a single standout session or break here. The setup just looks wrong for a paddle surf. With the wind and swell combo, a westerly-facing spot might have something, but Afogadas just isn’t catching it. A kite might get a look in on some of the stronger, windier afternoons, but for us, it’s a hard pass.
If you’re in the area, keep an eye on forecasts, because with a spot like this it can change, but right now, this is a blank run. It’s one of those stretches where you just do other stuff.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Sun morning. Warm (max 27°C on Sun morning, min 22°C on Tue night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Wed morning, min 22°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 6 | E 7 | ESE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ESE 7 | SE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 8 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | ESE 6 | ESE 8 | E 9 | E 10 | ESE 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
80 | 124 | 167 | 117 | 103 | 132 | 139 | 172 | 151 | 160 | 203 | 147 | 161 | 168 | 133 | 131 | 56 | 177 | 38 | 55 | 587 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 1:31PM1.88m | 1:49AM2.08m | 2:29PM2.03m | 2:43AM2.26m | 3:18PM2.16m | 3:30AM2.41m | 4:02PM2.26m | 4:14AM2.49m | 4:43PM2.29m | 4:56AM2.50m | 5:22PM2.28m | 5:36AM2.42m | 6:00PM2.21m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:36PM0.45m | 8:14AM0.19m | 8:30PM0.31m | 9:04AM0.04m | 9:18PM0.19m | 9:50AM-0.05m | 10:01PM0.11m | 10:32AM-0.07m | 10:42PM0.09m | 11:12AM-0.03m | 11:22PM0.12m | 11:50AM0.07m | 00:01AM0.20m | ||||||||
5:28 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:26 | — | — | |
— | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | |
mm | 3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 27 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 24 |
Feels °C | 27 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 24 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 10 | NE 10 | E 7 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NNE 9 | ESE 7 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | NNE 10 | NNE 10 | NNE 10 | NNE 10 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | E 8 | E 6 | E 9 | E 10 | E 5 |
4 | 4 | 102 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 132 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 35 | 36 | 38 | 55 | 36 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | — | NE 10 | E 13 | S 12 | E 12 | NNE 11 | NE 11 | N 11 | S 17 | SSE 16 | S 16 | SE 17 | SE 16 | S 16 | S 16 | NNE 9 | E 8 | NNE 9 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 |
3 | — | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 36 | 8 | 35 | 131 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | N 10 | E 11 | SE 13 | N 12 | SE 12 | E 12 | N 11 | S 16 | — | N 8 | — | — | — | S 13 | — | S 15 | NNE 10 | SE 16 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 |
— | 2 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 5 | — | 1 | — | — | — | 13 | — | 4 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 8 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 6 | E 7 | ESE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ESE 7 | SE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 8 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | ESE 6 | ESE 8 | E 5 | E 5 | ESE 13 |
80 | 124 | 167 | 117 | 103 | 132 | 139 | 172 | 151 | 160 | 203 | 147 | 161 | 168 | 133 | 131 | 56 | 177 | 22 | 33 | 587 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 828 | 1595 | 1595 | 987 | 1661 | 2160 | 1661 | 1976 | 24 | 1573 | 1573 | 1573 | 828 | 1573 | 762 | 781 | 1595 | 1011 | 828 | 1595 | 1595 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Rio Grande Do Norte | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Brazil | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Latest Updates
Information about the Afogadas Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Afogadas provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Afogadas can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Afogadas surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Afogadas) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Afogadas may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Afogadas is 15 km (9 miles) from Canguaretama. If you plan a holiday in Rio Grande Do Norte, look for hotels and other accommodation in Canguaretama. Canguaretama has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











