Surf Forecasts:
Afogadas surf forecast from 22 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 23 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 8s period, E swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 23 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 8s period, ESE swell with 538 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 23 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 8s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Afogadas this week:
The surf forecast for Afogadas over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 23) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 8s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Afogadas in the next 16 days are 2.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 23) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 9s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Thu 23rd Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Thu 23rd Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Thu 23rd Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Afogadas over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at what’s on offer for the next couple of weeks.
To be straight with you, this is a tough stretch for Afogadas. We’re looking at a long, flat run ahead. The first proper surf worth paddling out for doesn't show until Thursday the 23rd of July, and even then, conditions are not what we’d call good. We’ve got a solid gap from now with no recommendations until that Thursday.
The water temperature is sitting at 81°, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
Thursday, July 23 – Morning
The best bet in the entire 16-day window is the Thursday morning session. We’ve got some swell building to 6 ft from the ESE. The combined wave energy is solid (638), so there’s some push behind it. The period is short at 8 seconds, so it’ll be a bit bouncy and won’t offer the best shape. The wind is a cross-shore from the SE at 12 mph, which will put a bit of texture on the face. The forecast calls for rain showers, so you’ll be getting wet anyway. It’s a fairly consistent break, so there’ll be waves to be had, but the quality is just marginal. This one is for the keen ones who just need to get wet.
Thursday, July 23 – Afternoon
Swell picks up a touch to 6 ft from the ESE, and the energy jumps to (739). It’s pushing that “too big for beginners” mark, but the wind swings cross-onshore, making it choppy. Conditions are poor. If you’re an expert, you might find a few, but it’s not firing.
Friday, July 24 – Morning
The swell drops back to 5 ft from the ESE. Energy is still moderate (547), but the cross-onshore wind and rain showers keep things messy. It’s not one to get excited about.
The Rest of the Window
From the 25th of July right through to the 6th of August, it’s a pretty bleak picture. The swell hangs around between 3 ft and 5 ft, but the wind is almost always cross or cross-onshore, often blowing at 12 to 19 mph. The periods stay short, between 6 and 8 seconds, and the wave comment on every single session is “poor surf conditions.” There are strong winds and messy waves here, so if you’re into kiting, the setup might be more interesting for you than for a surfer with a paddle board.
Honestly, if you’re desperate, Thursday morning the 23rd is the only window that’s even worth a look. Otherwise, save your energy. It’s a blank run, but that’s just how it goes sometimes around here. Forecasts can always change, and it won’t stay this quiet forever.
Stay salty,
Rusty
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 31mm), heaviest during Fri morning. Warm (max 27°C on Thu morning, min 23°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Warm (max 26°C on Sat afternoon, min 23°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | E 8 | E 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | E 7 | ESE 7 | SE 8 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 234 | 142 | 153 | 433 | 493 | 444 | 334 | 292 | 173 | 110 | 134 | 222 | 155 | 94 | 75 | 82 | 108 | 96 | 96 | 96 | 73 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 10:20AM1.62m | 10:54PM1.63m | 11:36AM1.55m | 00:05AM1.63m | 12:49PM1.56m | 1:08AM1.69m | 1:47PM1.63m | 1:59AM1.78m | 2:32PM1.73m | 2:41AM1.89m | 3:10PM1.83m | 3:19AM2.01m | 3:45PM1.92m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:36PM0.74m | 5:21AM0.72m | 5:46PM0.76m | 6:32AM0.67m | 6:51PM0.72m | 7:30AM0.58m | 7:44PM0.64m | 8:17AM0.48m | 8:28PM0.55m | 8:58AM0.38m | 9:07PM0.45m | 9:35AM0.29m | 9:42PM0.38m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | | | | | | | |  |  | |  | | | | | | | |
 | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — |
 | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — |
mm | — | — | 6 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 26 | 26 | 25 | 27 | 27 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 24 |
Feels °C | 27 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 23 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | E 8 | E 9 | E 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | NNE 8 | E 7 | E 7 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | E 7 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NE 9 | NE 9 |
| kJ | 234 | 142 | 153 | 205 | 246 | 264 | 213 | 202 | 173 | 110 | 6 | 117 | 94 | 7 | 7 | 57 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 12 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NE 6 | NE 8 | N 10 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | E 15 | ESE 8 | NNE 8 | E 13 | SE 13 | SE 12 | NNE 10 | SE 12 |
| kJ | 7 | 49 | 49 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 35 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 5 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 9 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | N 12 | N 11 | N 11 | N 9 | N 8 | NE 8 | NNE 8 | S 12 | — | SE 16 | S 10 | E 14 | ESE 8 | — | S 16 | SE 12 | ESE 12 | — |
| kJ | 2 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | — | 10 | 2 | 4 | 6 | — | 5 | 6 | 14 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | — | — | E 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | E 7 | ESE 7 | SE 8 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 |
| kJ | — | — | — | 433 | 493 | 444 | 334 | 292 | — | — | 134 | 222 | 155 | 94 | 75 | 82 | 108 | 96 | 96 | 96 | 73 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1027 | 1573 | 5 | 840 | 1595 | 7 | 128 | 1595 | 5 | 987 | 1573 | 987 | 828 | 1573 | 334 | 379 | 1573 | 987 | 987 | 2018 | 334 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Rio Grande Do Norte | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Brazil | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Afogadas Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Afogadas provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Afogadas can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Afogadas surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Afogadas) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Afogadas may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Afogadas is 15 km (9 miles) from Canguaretama. If you plan a holiday in Rio Grande Do Norte, look for hotels and other accommodation in Canguaretama. Canguaretama has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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