Surf Forecasts:
Afogadas surf forecast from 12 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 18 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 8s period, ESE swell with 310 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Afogadas this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Afogadas in the next 16 days are 1.7m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 9s period and expected on Monday (Jul 13) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Sat 18th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Afogadas over the next 16 days.
Right, folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Afogadas. I’ll be straight with you – this is a tough run. The whole 16-day window is looking grim, and it’s going to be a long wait before we see anything worth paddling out for.
The surf is poor right from the start on Sunday, July 12th. We’ve got a weak 5ft swell (298 combined energy) out of the ESE, but it’s got a short 6-second period and a cross-shore wind from the SSE at 12 mph. The water’s sitting at 81°, which is pretty normal for this time of year. It’s messy, choppy, and just not worth a look. This pattern of poor, choppy conditions with cross or cross-onshore winds and weak, short-period swell carries on day after day. The swell energy stays low, mostly under 200, and the wind is never offshore. It’s a bummer.
We finally see a bit of a bump in the swell energy around Wednesday, July 22nd, with the swell hitting 6ft and the combined energy jumping to 571 in the morning. But even then, the wind is cross-shore from the SSE at 16 mph, and the period is a mediocre 8 seconds. The surf is still described as poor, with a “marginal” rating at best. This spot is fairly consistent, but it’s not delivering. The setup is beach-and-reef, and with the persistent cross-shore winds and the onshore components, it’s honestly looking more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing right now.
The one bright spot, if you can call it that, is another little bump on Friday, July 24th, with a 5ft swell (433 combined energy) and a cross-shore wind. But again, the period is short, the wind is not clean, and the surf is rated poor. There’s simply no standout day, no clean conditions, and no good swell direction. The best on offer is still a no-go.
So, to be blunt: there’s no surf to get excited about for the next 16 days. The swell is weak, the winds are wrong, and it’s just a long stretch of poor conditions. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a flat spell.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Warm (max 26°C on Sun morning, min 25°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Warm (max 27°C on Wed morning, min 23°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 6 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ESE 5 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | SE 6 | ESE 6 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ESE 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 144 | 107 | 131 | 131 | 111 | 113 | 77 | 62 | 64 | 79 | 45 | 80 | 112 | 95 | 152 | 115 | 126 | 148 | 200 | 212 | 284 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 2:33PM2.06m | 2:50AM2.24m | 3:27PM2.15m | 3:42AM2.36m | 4:17PM2.21m | 4:30AM2.44m | 5:04PM2.23m | 5:17AM2.45m | 5:50PM2.20m | 6:03AM2.40m | 6:34PM2.14m | 6:48AM2.28m | 7:18PM2.04m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:37PM0.28m | 9:12AM0.04m | 9:28PM0.20m | 10:03AM-0.05m | 10:17PM0.15m | 10:51AM-0.07m | 11:03PM0.15m | 11:38AM-0.03m | 11:48PM0.19m | 12:23PM0.07m | 00:33AM0.27m | 1:07PM0.21m | 1:19AM0.38m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | |  |  |  |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — |
 | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — |
mm | 1 | — | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | 2 | — | 4 | 5 | 5 | 16 |
Temp °C | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 24 |
Feels °C | 26 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 25 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 24 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 6 | E 7 | NE 9 | NNE 8 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | NNE 8 | E 7 | NNE 9 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NNE 8 | E 6 | NE 8 | SSE 13 | SE 13 | SE 14 | SE 14 | E 8 |
| kJ | 101 | 107 | 19 | 7 | 111 | 94 | 77 | 62 | 6 | 79 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 78 | 2 | 16 | 26 | 29 | 29 | 221 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | SE 10 | NNE 8 | N 12 | NNE 11 | NNE 11 | NNE 11 | NNE 8 | N 10 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 10 | NE 10 | SE 13 |
| kJ | 53 | 37 | 23 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 27 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 9 | NE 9 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | N 12 | NE 12 | N 12 | — | S 14 | SE 13 | NNE 11 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 9 | N 9 | NNE 10 |
| kJ | 20 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11 | — | 4 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 6 | — | E 7 | E 7 | — | E 7 | — | — | E 7 | — | ESE 5 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | SE 6 | ESE 6 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ESE 7 |
| kJ | 144 | — | 131 | 131 | — | 113 | — | — | 64 | — | 45 | 80 | 112 | 95 | 152 | 115 | 126 | 148 | 200 | 212 | 284 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 828 | 1595 | 379 | 587 | 2565 | 841 | 828 | 1976 | 6 | 1661 | 1656 | 1573 | 1573 | 1573 | 1573 | 1573 | 1573 | 11 | 1011 | 1573 | 128 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Rio Grande Do Norte | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Brazil | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Afogadas Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Afogadas provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Afogadas can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Afogadas surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Afogadas) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Afogadas may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Afogadas is 15 km (9 miles) from Canguaretama. If you plan a holiday in Rio Grande Do Norte, look for hotels and other accommodation in Canguaretama. Canguaretama has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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