Surf Forecasts:
Afogadas surf forecast from 31 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 3 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 7s period, E swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 5 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 8s period, ESE swell with 512 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 3 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 7s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Afogadas this week:
The surf forecast for Afogadas over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 7s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Afogadas in the next 16 days are 2.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 9s period and expected on Friday (Jul 31) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Wed 5th Aug) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Afogadas over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right, folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Afogadas over the next couple of weeks.
Honestly, I’m looking at this forecast, and it’s a bit of a heartbreaker. The entire 16-day window is a write-off for paddle surfing. The wave comment across every single session is “poor surf conditions” and the scores are all zeros. We’ve got a 16-day gap with no surf to recommend, I’m afraid.
The issue is that the wind is almost always cross or cross-onshore, and it’s blowing at a solid 12 mph to 19 mph for most of it. That’s going to put a nasty chop on the surface. The swell is mostly coming from the SE and E, pushing around 3 ft to 6 ft, but the period is short—between 5 and 8 seconds—so it’s just windswell that’s going to be weak and messy. The combined energy does get up into the moderate range (276, 328, 672) but that’s all raw, ugly power with no shape to it.
The first three days, Friday the 31st of July through Sunday the 2nd of August, are total non-starters. The wind is a fresh cross-breeze, the swell is small and short, and it’s just not worth getting wet. Even when the swell bumps up to 6 ft on Tuesday the 4th of August afternoon, it’s cross-onshore and choppy, so you’d be fighting a battle. That setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, honestly.
The water temperature is 81°F with a 1°F anomaly, so it’s about average for the time of year. Not a lot to get excited about.
To be fair, Afogadas is listed as “fairly consistent,” but with this constant wind and poor quality, it’s a blank run. Even in the second week, from the 9th of August onwards, it’s the same story: cross-onshore winds and short, weak swell. There’s no standout, no bright spot. The best you can hope for is a slightly gentler breeze on the morning of the 15th of August, but even then it’s 4 ft of E swell with a 8-second period and cross-shore wind. It’s not enough.
Forget it for now. Forecasts can change, and this area tends not to stay poor for long, but right now, save your energy.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Warm (max 27°C on Fri morning, min 23°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 32mm), heaviest during Tue night. Warm (max 26°C on Mon morning, min 24°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 6 | SE 5 | ESE 6 | ESE 8 | ESE 7 | SE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | E 7 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 44 | 55 | 136 | 276 | 314 | 301 | 204 | 121 | 106 | 118 | 138 | 169 | 190 | 424 | 343 | 284 | 241 | 298 | 176 | 138 | 108 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-on |
High Tide | 5:23PM2.08m | 5:33AM2.24m | 5:56PM2.08m | 6:07AM2.21m | 6:31PM2.05m | 6:45AM2.13m | 7:10PM1.99m | 7:28AM2.02m | 7:56PM1.91m | 8:20AM1.89m | 8:52PM1.82m | 9:26AM1.77m | 10:03PM1.76m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:16AM0.19m | 11:22PM0.30m | 11:48AM0.21m | 11:56PM0.32m | 12:22PM0.25m | 00:32AM0.36m | 12:59PM0.32m | 1:14AM0.43m | 1:42PM0.42m | 2:04AM0.50m | 2:34PM0.53m | 3:08AM0.57m | 3:44PM0.62m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | |  | | | | | | |  | | | | |  | | | | |
 | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — |
 | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — |
mm | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 27 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 27 | 27 | 25 |
Feels °C | 25 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 26 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 8 | ESE 7 | E 7 | NNE 8 | E 7 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | NE 9 | NNE 9 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | NE 8 | E 7 |
| kJ | 21 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 11 | 186 | 117 | 6 | 106 | 118 | 138 | 169 | 190 | 228 | 12 | 7 | 241 | 182 | 142 | 3 | 108 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | E 9 | S 13 | — | S 13 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | S 15 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 11 | NE 10 | NE 9 | NE 9 | S 13 | N 9 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NE 8 |
| kJ | 7 | 7 | 3 | — | 3 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 13 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 12 | SE 12 | — | — | — | — | S 15 | S 11 | S 13 | NE 12 | NE 11 | N 7 | S 14 | SE 14 | N 10 | SSE 9 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | N 10 | N 10 |
| kJ | 3 | 6 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 6 | SE 5 | ESE 6 | ESE 8 | ESE 7 | SE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | — | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | — |
| kJ | 44 | 55 | 136 | 276 | 314 | 301 | 204 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | 424 | 343 | 284 | — | 298 | 176 | 138 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 355 | 2002 | 989 | 989 | 1648 | 1011 | 987 | 1573 | 5 | 80 | 1573 | 5 | 1573 | 1573 | 11 | 1679 | 1595 | 80 | 828 | 1595 | 6 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Rio Grande Do Norte | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Brazil | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Afogadas Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Afogadas provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Afogadas can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Afogadas surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Afogadas) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Afogadas may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Afogadas is 15 km (9 miles) from Canguaretama. If you plan a holiday in Rio Grande Do Norte, look for hotels and other accommodation in Canguaretama. Canguaretama has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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