Winki Pop Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, mate, Rusty here. Let’s have a proper look at what’s coming our way for Winki Pop. This is a long-range look, so strap in.

The main story for the next couple of weeks is a lot of solid, powerful SW groundswell, but the wind is going to be the big player. We’ve got some serious wave energy heading in, especially through this first week, but the wind is often going to be cross-off from the west, which cleans it up for the more advanced crew. For the most part, this break is a reef and point setup, so the long-period, strong SW swells are going to produce some standout, powerful lines, but it’s going to be strictly for experienced surfers when the size jumps up. This spot is consistently exposed to swell and it’s an advanced wave, so beginners, this is not the place for you.

Right, let’s get into it. Thursday the 23rd kicks off with a big push: an 12ft swell from the SW with a period of 14 seconds, and moderate cross-off wind. The combined energy is absolutely cooking at 6859, which is serious power. It’s a bit messy, but the sets will be there. Friday the 24th afternoon is where we get a real standout: a 13ft SW swell with a 14-second period. The energy jumps to 8240, which is a beast, with moderate cross-off breeze. It’s big and raw, a proper expert-only session.

The weekend sees the swell dip a little, but Saturday the 25th is still packing a punch with a 10ft SW groundswell in the afternoon and clean skies. The wind stays cross-off, and while the forecast calls it marginal, for the right surfer on the right tide, the energy (3962) will push through.

Then we hit a major drop-off. Sunday the 26th through to the middle of the following week is pretty underwhelming. The swell drops to around 3ft to 5ft, with the odd pulse. The combined energy dips to under 1000, and the wind, while occasionally offshore, just doesn’t have the push to make it exciting. There’s a glassy moment on Sunday the 26th afternoon with a 4ft SW swell and light offshore wind, but it’s just small. Monday the 27th has a morning offshore from the NW at 19 mph, which feels fresh and keeps things clean, but the wave height is only 3ft.

There’s about a five-day gap here where nothing is worth getting excited about for a serious session. You’re looking at small, weak waves and ordinary conditions.

Things finally start to look interesting again as we head into August. Saturday the 1st of August brings a cleaner prospect: a 5ft SW groundswell with a 15-second period and a gentle offshore breeze in the morning. The energy is back up to 885, and the conditions are described as very good. This is a nice, clean signal. That pattern holds through Sunday the 2nd and Monday the 3rd, with consistent 4ft to 4ft SW groundswells, long periods, and offshore or cross-off winds.

The absolute standout of the second week, and possibly the whole run, lands on Thursday the 6th of August. It’s described as *excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers*. We’ve got a 5ft SW swell, but the period stretches out to 16 seconds, which is a proper groundswell. The combined energy hits 1487, and the conditions are glassy in the afternoon with a 5ft SW swell. This is the one to circle. It’s clean, it’s got push, and it’s going to reel down the point. Friday the 7th of August keeps that promise alive, with clean conditions, a 5ft SW swell and a 17-second period—very long and lined up.

So, the two true standouts: Thursday afternoon, July 24th, for the raw power of that 13ft SW swell, and Thursday, August 6th, for the quality of the conditions, the glassy wind, and the long-period groundswell energy. If you’re an expert, those are your sessions.

As for the water temp, it’s running about average for the time of year, so just your usual winter wetsuit. No notable anomalies to report here.

Stay safe out there. The ocean hasn’t read the script, but it’s giving us plenty to work with.

Rusty.

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