Winki Pop Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, we’ve got a solid run of surf on the way for Winki Pop, but it’s a bit of a mixed bag—some real gems, and some days where you’ll be better off waxing the kiteboard. The water temp is sitting around 57°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so you won’t need the thickest steamer, but you’ll still want a good one.

Alright, let’s kick off with Friday the 24th. The morning session is the standout early in the window. We’ve got a solid 13ft SW groundswell with a very long 15-second period, and the combined energy is pumping at 11390 – that’s strong to very strong. It’s a cross-off wind from the west at 12 mph, keeping things clean. This is advanced territory though—over 8ft, so don’t even think about it if you’re not an expert. The afternoon drops off a bit, still 8ft but wind picks up to 19 mph and the energy halves.

Saturday the 25th is still big but on the slide. Morning has 12ft SW swell, 12-second period, and 4596 energy, but it’s light rain and a moderate cross-off. Still a heavy wave, but not as clean as Friday. Afternoon drops to 10ft.

By Sunday the 26th, the swell backs right off to 4ft and 4ft, with energy barely cracking 423. Conditions are clean but the juice is gone. Monday the 27th sees a NW offshore breeze, which is a good sign, but the swell is tiny—3ft and 3ft—low energy. Just small, clean waves.

Tuesday the 28th is a write-off for surfing. The swell bumps up to 4-5ft, but wind is a fresh 19-22 mph and the afternoon is labelled poor. You’ll see some chop, not worth paddling out.

Now, Wednesday the 29th is a return of some size. We’ve got 7ft SW swell with a 16-second period, 2233 energy. The morning is cross-off and clean, but the afternoon swings to a cross-shore with cross-chop. This is a solid swell, but it’s a bit rough later.

From Thursday the 30th through to Saturday the 1st of August, the swell sits around 3ft to 5ft, mostly clean, but it’s a bit of a lull. The standout here is Friday the 31st afternoon – glassy conditions with a NE wind, barely a ripple, and a 3ft SSW swell. It’s small, but that glassy surface is pure silk. Then Saturday the 1st of August afternoon has a gentle offshore and 4ft SW swell with a 16-second period, energy of 747. Very clean, very fun.

Sunday the 2nd of August is clean but the wind picks up again, and the swell is only 4-5ft. Nothing special.

Hold on to your board for Monday the 3rd of August. Morning has 4ft SW swell with a very long 19-second period, 1064 energy, and a light breeze. It’s clean, but the real excitement is Tuesday the 4th of August. This is your top pick. Morning: 6ft SW swell, 16-second period, 1456 energy, and a gentle offshore from the NW. Afternoon: 6ft SW, 16-second period, 1575 energy, and a moderate offshore. Both sessions are labelled excellent for experienced surfers. This is a true standout—clean, solid, well-shaped groundswell on a reef and point break. It’s not too big, not too small, just right for an advanced surfer. Crowds are often here, so expect company.

Wednesday the 5th of August is still good, 5ft SW with a moderate offshore, but the energy drops to 915. Then we get another spike on Thursday the 6th of August. Morning: 8ft SSW swell, 18-second period, 4403 energy, and a moderate offshore. This is excellent for experienced surfers, but it’s getting big again. Afternoon holds at 7ft with 2641 energy. This is a very long period groundswell, so it’s going to be powerful and might break a bit straight at the beach, but on a reef and point setup like this, it’ll be lined up.

After that, Friday the 7th and Saturday the 8th of August trail off into small, clean waves under 5ft, with low energy. The last few days are just average.

So, for the best on offer: Friday the 24th morning for the biggest, most powerful swell of the run (13ft SW, 15-second period, 11390 energy) – but expert only. And Tuesday the 4th of August is the best all-rounder – solid 6ft SW, long period, clean offshore winds, and excellent conditions. That’s the one to circle on the calendar.

Rusty.

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