Winki Pop Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, mate, it’s me, Rusty, and I’ve been staring at the charts for Winki Pop. Let’s talk about it.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a solid run of swell from the southwest, and this place is a reef and point setup that loves a good SW groundswell. For the next few weeks, it’s not going to be firing non-stop, but there are some absolute windows that’ll get the blood pumping.

The water temp is sitting at 58°F, and with that 0.7° anomaly, it's pretty much where you’d expect it for this time of year – a tad cool, but nothing crazy.

Looking at the immediate forecast, Tuesday morning, July 7th, is the start. It’s clean, glassy, and there's a sweet SW swell at 4ft with a long 17-second period. The energy is moderate (677), and the wind is a gentle ESE glass. This is going to be pristine. Crowds are "often" here, so expect company, but for that quality, it’s worth it. This is your standout moment in the first week.

Wednesday the 8th sees the swell bump up to 4–5ft, but the wind gets messy, turning cross-shore and cross-on. The energy is strong (1294), but the conditions are marginal due to wind. Skip it.

Thursday the 9th and Friday the 10th are back to clean with offshore winds. The swell drops a bit to 3ft on Thursday and 3ft Friday, but the period stays long at 15-16 seconds. Energy is moderate, and the waves will be lined up perfectly on that point.

Saturday the 11th starts to blow hard from the NNW at 15-18 mph. The swell is tiny (2ft), and while it’s offshore, the wind is too strong for a fun paddle. It’s ordinary. Sunday the 12th has the same fresh offshore wind, but the swell picks up to 4-5ft with moderate to strong energy (570-1024). Still, the wind is a bit punchy for the average surfer.

Now, Monday the 13th of July gets interesting. The swell jumps to 8ft with a solid 16-second period and strong energy (3692). The wind is a cross-off from the west, making it clean. This is big, though – over 8ft, so it’s for experts only at the main break. Tuesday the 14th drops a bit to 6ft but still has powerful energy (2689). Still clean, still good for the experienced crew.

Wednesday the 15th is a beauty. The swell is back to a manageable 5ft with a 14-second period, and the wind goes light cross-off from the west. The energy is moderate (902), and the conditions are very good. That’s a nice day for a crowd.

The middle of the month, from the 16th to the 19th, is a mixed bag. Swell hangs in the 4ft to 5ft range, but the wind is either light and clean or blowing offshore. Friday the 17th morning has clean offshore wind and a 5ft SW swell with a 15-second period (energy 953). That’s a solid morning. But Saturday the 18th fades quickly with tiny 2-2ft surf under a moderate offshore wind. Not worth suiting up for.

Now, we get a gap. The 19th and 20th are poor with strong winds and messy conditions. The 19th has 3ft surf but a fresh 18 mph offshore wind making it bumpy. The 20th is a write-off with rain and more wind.

Hold on though, because there is a serious pulse in the long range. Tuesday, July 21st, the swell rises to 8ft with a strong SW swell (energy 5948), but the wind is a fresh cross-off. Still clean. Then, Wednesday, July 22nd is the big one. This is a monster. We’re looking at 13ft of SW groundswell with a 15-second period and the energy is astronomical (10701). The wind stays cross-off and moderate. This is for absolute experts only. The afternoon drops to 10ft, still huge. This is the best of the entire outlook, but it’s 15 days away, so treat it as a promising, hard-to-believe forecast until we get closer. The setup is right, the direction is perfect, and if it holds, that’s a day of a lifetime.

So, to sum it up: Tuesday morning the 7th is your clean, glassy pick for the first week. Friday the 17th morning is a solid session. And way out there, Wednesday the 22nd of July is the standout bomb for the big dogs.

Rusty.

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