Winki Pop Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up.

We’ve got some solid south-west groundswell heading our way, but it’s a bit of a slow burner. The first few days are a tease, with a clean, powerful swell building but the wind holding it back from being top-notch. The real standout is right at the end of the run, a proper big-wave day that’ll have the experienced crew frothing.

Winki Pop is the only game in town for this forecast. It starts off Wednesday the 12th with a 5ft to 6ft SW groundswell, a long 16-second period, and a moderate cross-off breeze. The combined energy is moderate (1330 to 1501), but the conditions are clean. It’s surfable, but it’s not quite firing yet. Thursday the 13th is where it starts to get interesting: the swell bumps up to 7ft from the SW, still with that long 16-second period. The morning is held back a bit by 12 mph cross-off wind, but the afternoon sees it drop to 9 mph, and the wave comment says “excellent surf for experienced surfers.” The energy is strong (2444), and the break is a consistent reef and point setup, so for a confident surfer, Thursday afternoon is a solid call.

Friday the 14th morning is clean again with a 7ft SW swell and a light 6 mph cross-off breeze. That’s a prime window. The water temp is about average for the time of year, no big anomaly to report. After Friday, the wind swings onshore and the swell drops, so we go into a quiet patch from Saturday the 15th through to the middle of the following week. The swell hangs around 4ft to 2ft but the wind is messy, and the energy drops off to weak to moderate (606 down to 110). It’s a bit of a dud for a few days.

But don’t write it off. By Sunday the 23rd, we see a pulse of very long-period groundswell – 19 seconds – arriving with a light offshore wind in the afternoon. The energy is moderate (935), and the wave comment says “expect very good surf conditions.” That’s a promising sign for a late-season treat.

Then the real standout: Tuesday the 25th afternoon. The swell jumps to 10ft from the SW with a 15-second period. The combined energy is a massive 5816, which is very strong. The wind is a gentle 9 mph cross-off, and the waves are described as “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers.” This is big, powerful, clean groundswell on a reef and point. Anything over 8ft is for experts only, so this is strictly for the crew who know what they’re doing. The Wednesday morning the 26th is still offering 7ft from the SSW with a light cross-off, but it’s a step down from that Tuesday peak.

So, to sum it up: the best window is Thursday afternoon through Friday morning of the first week, but the absolute stand-out is Tuesday the 25th afternoon for the big, clean, powerful waves. The few days of small, messy surf in between are a normal lull, and with the consistency of this break, it’ll come back.

Rusty.

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