Vagabundo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day surfers, Rusty here. Alright, let’s be real—this 16-day stretch for Vagabundo is a grind. The pattern is stubborn: constant onshore or cross-onshore winds ruining the swell for almost the whole run. A lot of wind, not much quality.

The first real window doesn’t open until Monday, September 14. That morning, the wind dies completely—glass offshore from the west at 3 mph. The surf is small, around 4ft from the NNE with a 8-second period, and the energy is moderate (262). Not big, but for a beginner break like Vagabundo, that’s clean, forgiving, and rideable. Glassy conditions for a learner session. The afternoon holds similar 4ft surf, still glass. That’s your standout—the only clean window in the whole run.

After that, it gets rough. From Tuesday, September 15 onward, the wind swings back onshore or cross-onshore, and the quality drops hard. The swell pulses a couple times—like Friday, September 18, when it hits about 6ft with strong energy (586)—but it’s getting shredded by 15 mph onshore northerlies. Choppy, blown-out junk. From mid-September to the end, it’s marginal at best. There are flickers of better swell direction or period, like Tuesday, September 22, with a NNW swell at 13 seconds and energy up to 649, but the wind still ruins it.

For a consistent, exposed north-northwest break, it’s frustrating. Most days aren’t worth paddling. The long stretch of poor conditions tells me the area is in a bit of a funk—but it won’t stay this way forever. Forecasts can change.

If you kite surf, those middle days with 5-6ft and steady 13-16 mph onshore winds might look fun. But for a paddle surfer? The only real chance for a clean wave is Monday, September 14. Keep an eye on long-range stuff around Monday, September 23, but that’s a week and a half out—low confidence.

Stay salty,
Rusty

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