Vagabundo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this stretch of the forecast is a tough one. We’ve got a solid 16-day window ahead, but honestly, the surf is going to be a write-off for the vast majority of it. The only break we’ve got to look at is Vagabundo, and it’s a consistent, exposed beginner-friendly spot here.

The first week is a real struggle. From Wednesday the 2nd of September right through to the middle of the month, the wind is relentless from the north-northeast, blowing onshore or cross-onshore at 15 to 25 mph. That’s going to chop up whatever swell is out there. The wave energy is weak to moderate at best, with readings showing values like 123 to 581 (combined energy), but the quality is just poor. The water temperature is sitting at 76°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so at least it’s nice for a float, but you won’t be catching much.

We do get a bit of a tease on Monday the 14th of September. A long-period groundswell shows up from the north-northwest, with periods of 13 seconds in the morning and 11 seconds in the afternoon. The swell size is small, around 3 feet, and the wind is light from the northwest. It’s a cross-on, but light enough to keep things clean. The wave energy is moderate (340 in the morning, 312 in the afternoon). This is technically a marginal surf forecast, but for a spot that sees so much wind, this could be a real window of opportunity. That long period will make for some nice, lined-up waves, especially if the tide cooperates.

But then it's back to the grind. The rest of the week into the 17th brings more onshore northerlies and chop. The swell from the 16th kicks up some energy (524 combined) with a very long period of 16 seconds, but it’s buried under a 12 mph cross-on breeze, so it’s messy.

The real standout? I’d have to point to the morning of Monday, 14th of September. That light cross-offshore wind and the long-period groundswell from the NNW offer the only clean, rideable waves in the whole 16-day outlook. It’s small, but it’s the best we’ve got. Crowds are a possibility here at Vagabundo, so you might have some company for those little gems.

Other than that, it’s a long wait. You’re looking at a gap of nearly two weeks of poor conditions before that one decent session on the 14th. For a spot that’s usually consistent, this is a real quiet spell. Keep an eye on the forecasts, because it can’t stay this poor forever.

Rusty

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