Vagabundo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright crew, Rusty here. Let’s break it down. We’ve got a solid stretch of onshore wind and short-period, chopped-up swell that’s gonna make you work for anything half-decent. There’s no standout window of clean, rippable waves in the whole 16-day run. That easterly trade-wind pattern is locked in, and it’s hammering the break the whole time.

First up, Vagabundo is a beginner-friendly spot and it’s consistent, but the wind is the enemy here. From Thursday morning, we’ve got a cross-onshore breeze at 12 mph, swell coming from the NE at 6 ft, but the period is a weak 7 seconds. That’s windswell, and it’s messy. The combined energy is moderate (368). The water is sitting at 74°, about normal for this time of year, so you won’t need a thick suit.

That same pattern just repeats day after day. Friday through Sunday, the wind cranks up to 16 mph from the NNE, still onshore, with swell sitting around 6 to 6 ft and that same short 7-second period. The energy ticks up a notch by the 15th (Saturday) with 6 ft and 8 seconds, and combined energy hits 432, but it’s still cross-onshore and choppy. It’s a workable shoulder-high wave, but it’s going to be lumpy, bumpy, and hard to link turns on.

The second week doesn’t offer any relief. From the 17th onward, the swell drops back to 5 ft to 5 ft, and the period sometimes dips to 6 seconds. That’s barely surfable, and the wind stays onshore or cross-onshore. There’s a brief period on the 15th and 16th where the wind is “gentle breeze” and the swell period hits 8 seconds, but it’s still cross-onshore. That’s the closest thing to a “best” window, but it’s still not good.

Honestly, for a beginner spot getting hammered by onshores, this setup is more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. The consistent wind and chop are perfect for a kite, but for a wave rider, it’s a grind. The water temp stays warm, so no excuses on the rubber, but the ocean is just not cooperating.

This is a long blank run. If you’re desperate, the 15th and 16th might offer a few lumpy, workable waves if the wind backs off a touch, but don’t get your hopes up. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a two-week wait for a clean wave.

Rusty.

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