Vagabundo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the table for the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you: the first week and a half is a write-off. We’re looking at a solid 8-day stretch of nothing but poor surf conditions. From Sunday the 6th right through to the morning of Sunday the 13th, it’s a complete bust. The wind is howling out of the north and north-northeast at 12-16 mph, making a mess of everything. The swell is mostly short-period, choppy windswell in the 5ft to 6ft range, but it’s just ugly. The combined energy is moderate (between 291 and 590), but it doesn't matter when the wind is that onshore and the period is a dismal 6-8 seconds. Honestly, it’s more of a kite-surfing kind of setup than a paddle-surfing one.

Then, on Sunday the 13th, things start to hint at a change. The wind drops right off to a mere 3 mph from the NNE, and the swell drops to 4ft, but it’s still marginal. The real turning point is Monday the 14th. That’s the day to circle on the calendar.

Monday, September 14th is our standout. The swell direction swings around to the NNW and the period jumps to a glorious 12-14 seconds – that’s proper groundswell. The wave height is modest at 3ft to 3ft, but the combined energy is still a solid 364. The absolute best part? The wind is forecast to be glassy. Zero wind on the afternoon, and a slight air from the SSW in the morning. It’s going to be clean, smooth, and lined up for a beginner-friendly wave. Vagabundo is a consistent spot, and with those conditions, it’s going to be a real treat. The water temp is sitting at 76°F, which is about average for the time of year – nothing to complain about there.

After that Monday, the quality drops off again. Tuesday the 15th sees a light cross-onshore breeze messing things up, and the swell starts to fade. From Wednesday the 16th onwards, it’s back to short-period, onshore wind slop for the rest of the window. The combined energy drops into the weak to moderate range (94 to 245), and the wave heights struggle to stay above 3ft. There’s a glimpse of a longer period (11 seconds) on the 20th, but it’s coming from the wrong direction and the wind is still on it.

So, the long and short of it: you’ve got a long wait for one cracking day. The first week is a total write-off, but that glassy Monday the 14th at Vagabundo is your one true shot at something special. Get on it if you can.

Rusty.

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