Vagabundo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Gotta be straight with you – this 16-day window is a tough one for the region. The first solid recommendation doesn't pop up until the 16th of September, so we're looking at a long dry spell of about 13 days where the conditions are just a write-off. The wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, the swell is short-period and messy, and the reports are all "poor surf conditions." It's a real bummer, but sometimes you get these blank runs.

Now, let's talk about the only real glimmer of hope on the horizon. We’ve got Vagabundo shaping up as a potential standout around the 16th of September.

On the Wednesday morning (16th September), the wind is light and cross-shore, which is a massive positive for getting some clean lines. The swell is coming from the NNW at 3ft, but hold onto your board – the period is a very long 17 seconds. That's pure groundswell energy. The combined energy is a solid 549, which is moderate to strong. This long-period groundswell will wrap in nicely, but at a beach break it might be a little too straight to get a proper barrel. Still, the energy is there.

The Wednesday afternoon (16th September) is even better on the size front. The swell jumps to 4ft from the NNW, still with a very long 16-second period. The wind is light cross-onshore, so it'll be a bit bumpy but still very surfable. The energy is pumping at 791. This is the best looking session in the whole outlook.

The water temp is sitting at 76°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you might not even need a thick wetsuit.

The following day, Thursday morning (17th September), the swell drops off a bit to 4ft from the NW with a 14-second period, but the wind is onshore and the energy is a bit lower. It's a marginal call at best.

So, if you're desperate for a paddle, circle the 16th of September. The Wednesday afternoon looks like the pick of the bunch with that very long-period groundswell. It's a long way out, so the forecast could change, but right now, that's the one to keep an eye on. For the rest of the period? Honestly, you might be better off checking the kite forecast.

Rusty.

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