Vagabundo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. We’re taking a look at the outlook for Vagabundo.

Right off the bat, this is a tough stretch. There’s a long, dry gap here—nothing worth paddling out for right now. The surf kicks off on Saturday the 25th of July but it’s nothing to write home about. We’ve got a moderate wave energy reading around (658) with a 8ft swell coming from the NNE. The problem is the wind is howling at 19 mph from the same direction, putting the breaks on any quality. This setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, honestly.

That pattern really sticks around for most of the first week. From the 25th through the end of July, it’s a consistent stream of choppy, cross-onshore conditions. Wind speeds stay up around 12 to 19 mph, and the swell never seems to find the right angle. The period is short—only 6 to 8 seconds—which means the waves are weak and crumbly. There’s nothing clean on offer here.

Into early August, things don't improve much. Marginal conditions pop up on the morning of Saturday the 1st of August, with a light breeze and the swell dropping to about 4ft from the north. The wave energy is still low (224), and the period is a poor 6 seconds. It’s a slight hint of hope, but it’s just not surfable. The following days just blend into more of the same: wind onshore or cross-onshore, short-period swell, and a lot of chop.

The only real stand-out in this entire 16-day window is the late run. Wednesday the 5th of August sees a jump in swell height to 7ft, but the wind is still cross-onshore at 16 mph, so it’s messy. Thursday the 6th of August actually has the most energy of the whole period, with the combined energy hitting 719. Swell is 7ft from the NNE with a short 8-second period. The wind finally goes fully onshore but lighter at 12 mph. It’s still poor surf though, borderline too big for beginners but not clean enough for the experts. Friday the 7th of August morning is the closest we get to a window, with a light breeze and a 7ft NNE swell. It gets a marginal score, but it’s your best bet for a messy, gut-it-out session if you’re really desperate.

Bottom line: Vagabundo is going through a flat, onshore spell. There’s no clear standout day where the stars align. If you have to get wet, look at the mornings of the 7th or 9th of August, but don’t expect much. Forecasts can change though—we might get lucky.

Rusty.

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