Vagabundo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab a coffee, let’s have a look at what’s coming our way. I’m Rusty, and I’m calling it straight.

First off, I gotta be honest with you – the next couple of weeks look pretty grim for a proper paddle session. The only break on the cards is Vagabundo, and it’s a consistent beginner-friendly spot that’s exposed to the swell. But the problem is, the wind is a real bastard for almost the entire run. We’ve got onshore and cross-onshore winds from the NNE and NE blowing 12 to 16 mph for days on end, which is just gonna wreck any chance of clean waves. The water temp is sitting at 75.7°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year.

We’re starting off Saturday the 5th of September with a weak 3.9 ft swell from the NNE, a short period of 5 seconds, and combined energy of only 116. That’s barely a ripple, and with the wind howling straight on, it’s a flat, choppy mess. Sunday the 6th sees the swell bump up a bit to 5.6 ft, but the period is still a short 6 seconds, and the energy gets a bit more moderate at 254, but that onshore wind at 16 mph means it’s gonna be a washing machine out there.

This pattern just keeps grinding on. Monday and Tuesday have 5.2 ft to 5.9 ft swell, still short period (7 seconds), and moderate energy up to 438, but the wind stays stubbornly cross-onshore. Every day is labelled as “poor surf conditions” – no standouts, no clean windows.

There is one tiny glimmer. Wednesday the 16th of September morning shows a small 2.3 ft swell from the NW with a very long period of 14 seconds, and energy jumps to 329. It’s only rated as marginal, and the wind is a light cross-onshore breeze from the NE at 6 mph. That long period might make it a bit too straight for a beach break, but if you’re keen and the wind drops off, it could offer a few longer, lined-up waves. Still, don’t get your hopes up.

Then it gets a bit heavier. Thursday the 17th and Friday the 18th of September see a solid 6.9 ft to 7.2 ft swell from the N and NNE, with moderate to strong energy (789 to 857), and a period of 8 to 9 seconds. The wind is onshore at 12 mph, so it’s gonna be big, powerful, and messy. At over 6.5 ft, this is only for experts, and with that wind, it’s going to be a battle. Saturday the 19th drops back to 4.9 ft, and the rest of the run fades away into weak, small surf.

Honestly, there is nothing here that I’d call a standout. The whole 16-day window is a write-off for clean, fun waves. If you’re a beginner, the swell stays manageable in size for most of it, but the wind will make it a frustrating, choppy slog. The only day that even gets a “marginal” nod is that Wednesday the 16th, and even that’s a gamble. If you’ve got a kite, this setup might look more interesting than paddling. But for a surf? I’d leave the board in the car and check the forecast again in a few days.

Stay patient, mates.

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