Vagabundo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, mate, it’s a tough stretch. The swell is mostly onshore, the winds are rubbish, and the reports are all coming back as poor. There’s no proper clean window to get excited about for the entire 16-day run. That’s a long gap to sit on the beach.

The only spot that got any kind of call-out is Vagabundo. It’s a consistent, exposed beginner-friendly break that points into the wind. The optimum swell direction is from the NNW, and you’ll see a bit of that come through. There’s a little window on Sunday the 23rd of August in the afternoon where the swell bumps up to 4 ft from the NNW, with a 14-second period – that’s a proper groundswell. The combined energy is moderate at 660. The wind is onshore from the N at 9 mph, so it’s not glassy, but it’s light enough that it might tidy up. The water temperature is about average for the time of year.

But the score is still a 1, and it’s described as marginal, so this is not a standout. The morning of the 23rd is clean but only 3 ft of N swell with a 10-second period, and the energy is weak at 267. That’s your only real chance to get wet, and it’s a slim one.

After that, it’s all downhill – consistent onshore winds or cross-onshore winds in the 9 to 19 mph range, with a mix of short-period, messy swell. Break heights get up to 8 ft on the 29th of August, but with a short 8-second period and fresh cross-onshore winds, it’s just a lumpy, choppy mess. That sort of setup is more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Into the first week of September, the same pattern holds. The swell sticks around 5 ft to 8 ft, but it’s short-period (7 to 8 seconds) and always onshore or cross-onshore. The combined energy hits moderate to strong (781 on the 5th of September), but with no clean wind, it’s a write-off.

So, the honest truth: there’s no good surf on offer in this 16-day window. The pattern is locked in with bad wind, and the swell is just not working with the break. Sometimes that’s just how it goes. Forecasts can change, but right now, I’d leave the board at home.

Rusty.

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