Vagabundo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break it down.

Honestly, mate, it’s a tough stretch. The whole 16-day window is a bit of a write-off for decent surf. There’s no standout session, no real window where it all comes together. The first recommendation doesn’t even show up until Tuesday the 14th of July, and from there it’s a long, frustrating grind.

We start off at Vagabundo on Tuesday the 14th. It’s a beginner-friendly spot, exposed to the swell, and it’s consistent, which is about the only positive. But the wind is cross-onshore from the ENE at 15 km/h, making it choppy. The swell is tiny, only 3ft from the NNW with a short period of 8 seconds. The combined energy is weak (84). It’s just poor surf conditions, plain and simple. The water temp is about average for the time of year.

Wednesday the 15th and Thursday the 16th are more of the same – cross-onshore winds, small, weak swell. The energy picks up a little on Thursday morning to 126, but the period drops to 6 seconds, so it’s just messy windswell. Not worth paddling out for.

Friday the 17th sees the swell nudge up to 5ft from the NNE, but the period is still a short 6-7 seconds, and the wind is a moderate cross-onshore at 20-25 km/h. The energy is moderate (199-207), but the conditions are still poor.

Saturday the 18th through to Wednesday the 22nd is a long stretch of onshore winds from the N or NNE, with swell sitting between 5ft and 5ft. The period stays short, around 6-7 seconds. The energy is moderate, but the wind is never clean. It’s a grind.

Now, there is a pulse that shows up around Thursday the 23rd of July. The swell jumps to 7ft from the NNE with an 8-second period, and the combined energy hits 565-593. That’s moderate to strong energy, but the wind is still onshore or cross-onshore, and the period is short. For a beginner spot like Vagabundo, 7ft is way too big, and with that wind, it’s just a messy, choppy wall. Not the one.

The last few days, from Saturday the 25th through to Wednesday the 29th, see the swell holding around 6-8ft with a 9-second period, and the energy gets into the strong range, peaking at 1555 on Tuesday the 28th. But the wind is still onshore or cross-onshore, and the period is still short. The setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

So, the honest truth? There are no good surf options in this 16-day window. The wind is almost always onshore or cross-onshore, the swell is either too small or too messy, and the quality never comes together. Vagabundo is a consistent break, so it tends not to stay poor for long, and forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a blank run.

Rusty.

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