Vagabundo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a hard look at what’s coming for Vagabundo over the next sixteen days. I gotta be straight with you – there’s nothing in the forecast that I’d paddle out for. The whole stretch is a blank run of poor surf conditions, with scores flatlining at zero from start to finish. That’s a long gap, nearly three weeks with no decent waves on offer. For a break that’s normally consistent, this is a real bummer, but sometimes the ocean just shuts down. Don’t lose hope though – forecasts can flip, and it rarely stays this poor for long.

Water temp at the start is around 72°, which is about average for early July. No surprises there.

Now, if you’re desperate to know why it’s so bad: the swell direction is mostly out of the N or NNE, while Vagabundo really wants a solid NNW push to light up. Heights are tiny – 2 ft to 5 ft, but the wind is almost always onshore or cross-onshore, blowing 9 to 19 mph, so anything that shows up is chopped up and messy. The combined wave energy stays low most days, barely cracking 100 or 200 on a few occasions – like 288 on July 19 – but even then the wind ruins it. The longer periods you see around July 12 and July 19 (11 to 12 sec) suggest a bit of groundswell, but it’s still blowing onshore and the heights are small. For beginners, the 5 ft days might be okay size-wise, but the wind and chop make it a no-go. For experts, there’s nothing worth the drive.

Honestly, if you’re itching for something, the setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, especially on July 18 when the wind hits 19 mph and the onshore breeze is fresh. But for surf? Save your energy. There’s a chance conditions improve toward the very end – July 20 and 21 have 5–5 ft at 7 sec from NNE, but it’s still cross-onshore. Not a standout, not even close.

Hang in there, mate. Next time might be better.

Rusty.

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