Vagabundo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let me break it down for you. This is Rusty, and I’m looking at the next 16 days for you.

Right off the bat, this is a tough stretch. We’re looking at a solid 10 to 11 days of pretty ugly conditions. From Friday the 24th of July all the way through to the end of the month, the wind is just howling out of the north-northeast, and it’s onshore or cross-onshore nearly the whole time. The swell is there, bouncing between 5ft and 8ft, but it’s short-period, messy, and the combined energy is moderate (between 200 and 735). The report is calling it “poor” every single day, and I’m not arguing. It’s just not worth paddling out.

Then we get into the first week of August, and it’s still a slog. The wind finally eases on Sunday the 2nd, but the swell drops to 4ft to 5ft, and the energy is still weak (around 300). Still not good.

Here’s the one real glimmer – and it’s a long way out so keep your fingers crossed. On Monday, the 3rd of August, things line up. We’ve got a clean little 3ft swell out of the NNW, but the real story is the wind. It goes glassy in the morning. Dead calm. That’s a massive positive. The period picks up to 10 seconds, which is solid, and the combined energy is moderate (352). The report even says “expect good surf conditions.” That’s our best shot. Later that afternoon, the swell bumps up to 4ft from the north with a 12-second period, giving it a bit more push (energy 523), but the wind swings onshore, so it’s not as clean.

After that, it’s back to the same old story. The wind stays cross-onshore through the 4th, 5th, and 6th, with weak, short-period swell. The 7th of August shows a little more size in the swell, 5ft, but the wind is still onshore and the period is short. It’s not happening.

Bottom line: For the first 10 days, don’t even bother. The only standout is that Monday morning, the 3rd of August, at Vagabundo. It’s a beginner-friendly break, and with glassy conditions and a clean 3ft NW groundswell, it’ll be perfect for a longboard or a funboard. Because it’s a consistent spot and crowds are only “sometimes,” you might get lucky and have it to yourself. That’s the one to circle on the calendar. Everything else is a write-off.

Rusty.

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