Vagabundo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. I’ve had a look at the charts for the next couple of weeks, and honestly, it’s a bit of a rough stretch for us. The only break on the cards is Vagabundo, and the ju ju is all wrong. We’ve got constant onshore winds and a messy, crumbly ocean that just won’t clean up. There’s a real gap here with no good surf on offer at all for the entire 16-day window.

Right from Sunday morning, the 19th of July, it’s a write-off. We’re looking at a NNE wind at 16 mph, just cross-on and choppy. The swell is around 6 ft but coming from the NNE with a short, weak period of 7 seconds. The combined energy is only 262 (weak), and the wave comment says it all – "poor surf conditions." That vibe doesn’t let up. Through Monday the 20th and Tuesday the 21st, the wind stays on it, the swell gets a bit bigger (up to 7 ft), but it’s still that short, junky period (7-8 seconds) and the energy ticks up to moderate (409-436), but the quality is still garbage.

Wednesday the 22nd through Friday the 24th, the swell hangs around 6 ft to 7 ft, all NNE, with winds still hammering onshore at 16 mph. Energy gets into the moderate range (339-523), but it’s all wind-affected mess. The onshore wind is relentless.

Then we hit the weekend of Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th of July, and the swell really starts to pump. Saturday afternoon we’ve got 8 ft from the NNE, and Sunday morning hits 10 ft – that’s big, expert-only territory. The period stretches to 9 seconds, and the energy on Sunday afternoon is a whopping 1335 (strong to very strong). But – and it’s a big but – the wind is still howling onshore at 16 to 19 mph. It’s just a washing machine out there. This setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The swell stays up through the 27th and 28th (8 ft to 10 ft, NNE), with energy over 1000, but the wind doesn’t let up. It’s a proper grind. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, so no wetsuit drama, but you’d be fighting a losing battle.

Into the final week of July and the start of August, the swell slowly backs off. By the 30th and 31st, we’re seeing a longer period of 10 seconds, which is usually a good sign, but the wind is still on it. The energy stays moderate to strong (469-1004), but the constant NNE wind ruins any chance of a clean face. On the 1st and 2nd of August, the swell drops to 5 ft to 5 ft, and the wind finally shifts to cross-on, but it’s still a moderate breeze and choppy. The energy drops back to weak-to-moderate (355-541).

So, the bottom line? There isn’t a single standout in this whole 16-day window. The conditions are just persistently poor. If you’re desperate and the wind miraculously drops for an hour, look for a sheltered spot, but don’t hold your breath. The forecasts can change, but right now, this is a blank run.

Rusty.

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