Vagabundo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right then, let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks. I gotta be straight with you – it’s a rough stretch. We’ve got one spot, Vagabundo, but the conditions are just not playing ball. You see a bit of swell rolling in, but the wind is a constant problem. It’s just cross-on and onshore for nearly the entire run, which is a real shame. The water temp is about what you’d expect for this time of year, nothing wild there.

Starting out on Monday the 24th of August, we’ve got a 6 ft swell from the NNW, with a period of 12 seconds. That’s got some decent energy behind it, a moderate 887 energy. But the wind is a 12 mph cross-onshore from the NNE. That’s killing it – the wave comment says “poor surf conditions” and the score is a zero. This same story plays out into Tuesday the 25th with a 5 ft swell from the N, still onshore wind, still a zero. As we go through the rest of that first week into the weekend, we get some bigger days. Saturday the 29th of August, the swell picks up to 8 ft from the N with a 12-second period and energy spikes right up to 1463 – that’s a powerful swell. But again, the wind is 16 mph from the NNE, cross-onshore, and choppy. The wave comment is still “poor surf conditions”. It’s heartbreaking.

The next week isn’t any kinder. We’ve got swells hanging around the 7 ft to 10 ft mark from the 1st of September right through to the 8th, with a lot of those in the moderate to strong energy range. A 10 ft swell from the NNE on Wednesday the 2nd of September with fresh winds of 19 mph? That’s a washing machine. The setup here is a beach break, and with that kind of short-period, onshore wind and big, lumpy swell, honestly, it looks far more interesting for a kite surfer than someone with a paddle. The onshore wind does turn the swell into this messy, closed-out affair.

We do have a tiny glimpse of hope on Sunday the 6th of September – a “marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions” call. The wind switches to an *onshore* state, but it’s a light breeze. The swell is 8 ft from the NNE with a 10-second period and 1264 energy. It’s the best-looking moment, but it’s only a 1 out of 10, and it’s at the very end of the period. For the rest of the run, it’s all zeros.

So, the honest truth is there are no standout days here. Not one. It’s just a long, drawn-out run of poor to marginal conditions. It’s a real bummer. When you get strong winds and onshore chop on a beach break, you’re fighting a losing battle. If it stays poor like this for long, the forecast can always shift, but right now, I’d say save your energy and wait for a better week.

Rusty.

Read more