Vagabundo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what’s ahead for the next couple of weeks. Honestly, it’s a tough stretch. We’ve got a long gap with no good surf on offer before we even get to anything rideable, so patience is going to be key.

Looking at the whole 16-day window, the only spot with any suggestions is Vagabundo. It’s an exposed beginner spot that’s consistent, but the winds are just brutal for the majority of the forecast. For the first week, from Sunday the 26th of July through Friday the 31st, it’s all onshore or cross-on winds from the NNE at 12 to 15 mph, chopping up a mix of weak, short-period swell (700 down to 138 combined energy). The water temp is sitting at 73°F, which is pretty normal for this time of year, with only a 1°F anomaly. No bueno. We hit a 10-day gap with no recommendations whatsoever until we get to the first of August.

Finally, on Saturday the 1st of August, things calm down a touch. The wind switches to a light NNW breeze, but the swell is still a short 6 ft from the NNE (315 combined energy). It’s a “marginal” call, and you’d be hunting for a clean corner. That afternoon, the wind goes light WNW, but it’s cross-on and still small at 5 ft.

The real standout, the only one worth circling on the calendar, is the morning of Sunday the 2nd of August. We get a short window of absolute gold. The wind drops to a glassy 3 mph from the East, which is completely offshore for this break. The swell dips to 4 ft from the NNE, still short period at 7 seconds, but with glassy conditions and that low combined energy of 157, the wave quality will be significantly better than anything else in this window. It’s the only clean session in the whole 16 days. For a beginner spot, this is your best bet. Just be aware that the crowds are listed as “sometimes,” so if the word gets out, there might be a few of you out there.

After that, it’s back to poor conditions. From the 3rd of August onward, the onshores return, and the swell actually starts building again. By the 4th and 5th of August, we’re seeing 6 ft to 6 ft NNE swell but still with onshore wind. The energy jumps up into the 400-500 range, but it’s all junked out. By the 9th and 10th of August, the swell is pumping hard—8 ft to 10 ft from the NNE with combined energy into the four-digit range (844 to 1202). But it’s all onshore wind, making it a raw, messy, closed-out mess. Unless you’ve got a kite, that setup is going to be more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. That solid 10 ft swell is definitely expert-only territory, but the wind just ruins it.

So, to sum it up: bite the bullet through the first week, then target that glassy Sunday morning, August 2nd, for your only clean paddle. The second week offers size but no quality. Fingers crossed the forecasts shift that wind.

Rusty.

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