Vagabundo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's cast an eye over the local stretch at Vagabundo for the next sixteen days.

Right from the get-go, I gotta be straight with you – this is a rough patch. We're looking at a pretty grim run for the foreseeable future, with no solid recommendations for a decent paddle. The forecast is mostly filled with poor surf conditions driven by onshore and cross-onshore winds. There's a big gap of nothing good on offer for the first few days, and honestly, it doesn't truly turn the corner for a proper session.

The wind is the main spoiler here. It's blowing from the NNE and NE for the most part, and when it's not straight onshore, it's cross-onshore, which is just as bad for quality. The swell energy is weak to moderate, with values like 139 and 103, but the wind-ruffled surface is just ugly. Even on Friday the 21st and Saturday the 22nd, we've got short-period, choppy windswell in the 3 ft to 5 ft range. That's not surfable.

You'll see the swell height bump up a bit around the 24th of August – that Monday morning shows some bigger 6 ft swell from the NNW with a longer period of 12 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to a moderate 793. But the wind is still onshore with a moderate breeze, so the "marginal" label holds it back. Not worth the paddle.

Things get worse toward the end of August. By the 28th and 29th, the swell pushes up over 7 ft and the combined energy gets into the 900s, even hitting 954! But don't get excited. That's heavy windswell with short 8-second periods, and it's being thrashed by a fresh breeze, cross-onshore. For a beach setup like this, it'll be a lumpy, blown-out mess – honestly, better for kite surfing than for a surfboard. That trend of big, messy, onshore swell continues right through to the 5th of September.

There will be a moment on Sunday, the 23rd of August, where the afternoon shows a smaller 3 ft swell but a very long 15-second period from the NNW. That energy hits 433. But with a light breeze and onshore, it's poor. If you're an absolute beginner, the morning of the 24th gives you 6 ft on a long period, but the quality just isn't there. Nothing here is a standout.

Look, the simple truth is this: for the entire 16-day outlook, there isn't a single window where the stars align. The wind just won't cooperate at Vagabundo. It's a consistent break but it takes an offshore breeze to make it work, and we're not getting one. It's a blank run for the area, and while forecasts can change, this one is a tough read. Keep the board in the car just in case, but don't hold your breath.

Rusty.

Read more