Vagabundo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s break down what we’re looking at for the next couple of weeks at Vagabundo.

Honestly, it’s a rough patch. We’re looking at a long stretch of poor conditions. The water is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year at 75°, but that doesn’t help when the wind won’t cooperate.

For the first week and a half, from Wednesday the 12th of August right through to Monday the 24th of August, it’s a grind. The swell hangs around between 3ft and 6ft, mostly coming from the NNE, but it’s a short-period, weak windswell with periods of just 6 to 9 seconds. The real problem is the wind – it’s relentless. It’s either a cross-on or onshore breeze from the north or NNE, blowing at 9 to 16 mph, keeping the surface chopped up and messy. The wave energy is moderate, topping out at 373 on the 15th, but with that wind, it’s just not surfable. That’s a solid 13-day gap with nothing worth paddling out for.

There’s a little flicker of hope late in the run. On the morning of Tuesday the 25th of August, the swell drops to 3ft, but it’s still cross-on and weak with low energy (116). By Wednesday the 26th, it gets really tiny. But then, hold on. On Thursday the 27th of August, the swell direction swings to the NW and NNW with a period of 9 to 10 seconds and heights around 4ft to 4ft. The combined energy jumps to 299, which is moderate. The problem is the wind is still a moderate cross-on from the NE at 13 mph. It’s still classed as poor surf. It’s a small step in the right direction, but it’s not the day to get excited about.

The standout? There isn’t a true standout in this 16-day window. The closest thing to a best bet is the 27th of August, because that NW swell is the first sign of something with a bit more life. But the wind will ruin it. This is one of those periods where the forecast can change, but right now, I’d be finding something else to do.

Rusty.

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