Vagabundo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a good look at what’s on the cards for the only spot that’s shown up on the radar: Vagabundo.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – this is a tough stretch. The forecast is looking pretty grim for most of the next two weeks, especially if you’re after anything rideable. There’s a big gap at the start with nothing worth paddling out for, so we’re basically waiting.

The first time we see any real energy is on Sunday the 24th of August. The morning session shows a bit of a pulse with a NNW swell pushing 6ft, period around 12 seconds, and a combined energy reading of 901. That’s solid moderate energy, but it’s coming in with a onshore wind from the NNE. The conditions are flagged as marginal, and the comments say it’s questionable with the tide. It’s not the cleanest, but it’s the first real chance to get wet. The afternoon sees the swell drop a little to 5ft and the wind picks up, so the morning is your best bet that day.

The water temp at Vagabundo is sitting at 76°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year.

Now, if you’re looking for the standout, it’s that Sunday the 24th morning. The swell is 6ft from the NNW with a period of 12 seconds – that’s a proper groundswell, plenty of energy. The wind is onshore, so it won’t be glassy, but it’s the best combination of size and period we get in this whole outlook. The energy is moderate (901), and for a consistent spot like Vagabundo, it’s the only real window of opportunity.

After that, it’s a long, slow decline. The rest of the week into September is a mix of cross-onshore winds, choppy conditions, and smaller swell. The wind stays stubbornly from the NNE and NE, never really swinging offshore to clean things up. By the time we get to the end of the first week of September, the swell drops below 5ft and the period shortens up. The combined energy values tumble into the low hundreds and even down to the 60s and 80s, which is weak.

There’s a period from about the 27th of August right through to the 6th of September where the waves are consistently poor, with bad wind and lumpy, messy conditions. The surf is just not cooperating. The wind is a constant problem – mostly cross-onshore, sometimes onshore, but never that clean offshore we’re chasing.

To sum it up: The only real highlight is the morning of Sunday the 24th of August. If you’re a beginner, the 6ft might be a bit much, but for the rest of us, it’s the only window with any real punch. After that, it’s a long wait. The forecasts might change, but right now, it’s looking like a dry spell. Stay patient.

Rusty.

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