Vagabundo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here, and I've gotta be straight with you—this isn't one of those weeks you'll be telling stories about. The next 16 days at Vagabundo are looking pretty grim, with no real standout windows to get excited about. The water's sitting at 75°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so at least you won't be freezing your bits off while you're sitting there waiting for something to happen.

We kick off from Tuesday, August 11, with a small, weak NNE swell around 4 ft to 4 ft, but the period's a short 6 seconds, meaning the energy's just not there (combined energy of all swells directed here around 145). Winds are blowing onshore from the NNE at 12 mph, and it's cross-on, so the surface is already chopped up. The rating's a flat zero, and the wave comment says "poor surf conditions"—yeah, no kidding. This pattern sticks through Wednesday and Thursday, with the swell bumping up to 4 ft to 5 ft, but the period stays short, and those cross-onshore winds just keep churning it up. It's not worth paddling out for.

Friday the 14th sees the swell creep a bit higher to 6 ft, but it's still short-period junk at 7 seconds, and the combined energy nudges up to 355 (moderate), but the wind's still cross-onshore at 12-16 mph. The wave comment doesn't change: "poor surf conditions." Saturday the 15th peaks at 7 ft, but again, the period's only 7 seconds, and the wind's cross-on. You'd be battling chop for a messy, weak ride.

Sunday the 16th offers a slight shift—swell drops to 5 ft, period extends to 8 seconds, and the wind eases to a gentle breeze at 9 mph, but it's still cross-onshore and fairly choppy. Combined energy is 328 (moderate). Still, not a single session scores above zero. Monday the 17th flips to offshore winds from the N at 6 mph, which is a positive, but the swell's only 5 ft at 8-9 seconds, and the combined energy is 277 to 350. The wave comment still says "poor surf conditions," so even with clean-ish faces, the swell's just not delivering.

Now, Tuesday, August 18, is the closest we get to a highlight. The swell is 5 ft from the N with a period of 10 seconds, and the combined energy hits 473 (moderate). Winds are offshore from the N at 6 mph in the morning, which would be glassy. The wave comment upgrades to "marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions," scoring a 1 out of 10. That's the best we've got. It's not great, but if you're desperate, the morning might offer a few clean, longer-period waves, though the swell's a bit small for the direction, and the period's still not long enough to really shape up. Afternoon dips back to 5 ft with the same period, but the wind turns light, so it's still marginal.

After that, Wednesday the 19th through the end of the period on August 26 is a slog. Swell sizes range from 4 ft to 7 ft, with periods mostly 8-10 seconds, but the winds are either cross-on or onshore, and the combined energy bounces around 205 to 853 (moderate to strong). The wave comment stays "poor surf conditions" for all but one session, and nothing scores above zero. Even when the swell bumps to 7 ft on Saturday the 22nd with a 10-second period and combined energy of 838, the wind's cross-on at 16-19 mph, making it choppy and messy. That size might be too big for beginners, but it's not clean enough for experts.

The only real standout is the Tuesday morning of August 18, but even that's marginal. For a beginner-friendly spot like Vagabundo, with consistent breaks and sometimes crowds, this is a quiet stretch. The cross-onshore winds just won't let up, and the short-period swells aren't building any power. If you're into kite surfing, there's some wind to play with, but for paddle surfing, it's a long wait. Forecasts can change, but right now, it's a blank run.

Rusty.

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