Vagabundo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, grab a cuppa, because we’ve got a bit of a wait on our hands. The next 16 days are looking pretty grim for a proper paddle at Vagabundo. There’s nothing worth chasing until the 23rd of July, and honestly, even then it’s a tough sell.

The forecast starts with a long, dry spell. From Wednesday the 15th right through to the 22nd, we’ve got tiny, weak swell and a persistent cross-onshore wind. The wave energy is low, sitting around 52 to 94 (weak), and the swell is short-period, around 5 to 7 seconds, meaning it’s messy and gutless. The wind is from the NE and NNE, blowing cross-on, so the surface is choppy and bumpy. It’s a flat spell, plain and simple.

Things start to pick up around the 18th when the swell direction shifts to a more favorable NNE, but the wind is still onshore or cross-onshore, and the wave comments are still “poor surf conditions.” The combined energy climbs into the moderate range (260 to 324), but with onshore winds, it’s just a lumpy, unappealing mess.

The first real chance of something rideable might appear on the 23rd of July. The swell bumps up to 7 ft from the NNE with an 8-second period, and the combined energy hits 550 (moderate). That’s the biggest swell of the period, but the wind is still directly onshore from the N at 16 mph. The wave comment still says “poor surf conditions.” For a beginner spot like Vagabundo, 7 ft with onshore wind is not going to be fun. It’s likely too big for beginners and too messy for anyone else.

The entire 16-day window is a write-off for quality surf. The wind is almost always onshore, and the swell is either too small or too wind-affected. Even when the swell gets bigger in the second week, the onshore wind kills it. This is a pretty normal blank run for the area. Forecasts can change, but right now, the only thing on offer is a consistent onshore breeze.

Hang in there, hey? The ocean might come good later.

Rusty

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