Vagabundo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get real about what’s on the table for the next couple of weeks.

Alright, straight up: the outlook is a tough one. We’re looking at a long stretch of mostly poor surf conditions at Vagabundo. This is a consistent beginner-friendly break, but the wind and swell combo just isn’t playing ball for a proper paddle session. The whole first week is a write-off, with nothing worth paddling out for. The swell is on the small side, mostly 5ft to 6ft, but it’s short-period, choppy wind swell coming from the NE, and the wind is either a moderate cross-onshore or a moderate onshore breeze. The water temp is about average for this time of year.

We don’t see any real improvement until the second week, and even then, it’s not a classic. From Wednesday, August 13th, right through to Monday, August 18th, the swell hangs around 4ft to 6ft, still short-period (6 to 9 seconds) and mostly from the NNE. The wind stays mainly onshore, and the combined swell energy is weak to moderate (values between 199 and 592). On Wednesday, August 19th, we get a slight shift: the wind turns light onshore from the N, with a 4ft, 8-second swell from the N. The combined energy reads 226 – still weak. The water temp is about average.

The only flicker of a possible session comes late in the forecast on Thursday, August 20th. The morning shows a light breeze from the N with a 4ft, 8-second N swell and combined energy of 193 (weak). It’s far from a standout, but with the light wind, it could be the cleanest it’s been in a while. It’s still a beginner wave, so don’t expect power, but it might be worth a look if you’re desperate.

Honestly, for the whole 16-day window, this is a blank run. It’s a poor run for the area, and with the onshore wind pattern dominating, it’s not looking like it’ll turn around quickly. The setup is more interesting for a kite session than a paddle session if you’re into that kind of thing.

Rusty.

Read more