Vagabundo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s on the table.

Honestly, folks – this is a grim stretch. For the next couple weeks, there’s swell coming in at Vagabundo, but nearly every session is hit by messy onshore or cross-onshore winds. Starting Thursday the 30th, we’ve got a 1.6m NNE swell with a short 7-second period, wind from the NE at 15 mph, making it bumpy and choppy. Combined energy is 242 – moderate – but the wave comment screams “poor surf conditions.” No clean lines to be had.

Friday the 31st is the same story: 2–1.6m swell, still short period, cross-on NE wind around 12 mph. Still messy.

Saturday the 1st of August, the wind shifts a bit – morning sees a light cross breeze from the WNW at 9 mph, swell drops to 1.3m, and it’s just barely marginal. Afternoon turns onshore from the NNW at 15 mph, killing it again.

Sunday and Monday are more of the same: onshore to cross-on wind, short period swell (6–7 seconds), moderate energy (182–341), and poor quality surf.

By Tuesday 5th and Wednesday 6th, swell holds around 2–1.7m from the NE to NNE, but the winds are cross-on at 9–12 mph. No glassy windows. For beginners, the height is okay, but the chop won’t do you any favors.

Then we hit a drop-off. Thursday 7th to Saturday 9th, the swell fizzles to 0.8m, then down to 0.3–0.5m. Combined energy plummets from 133 to 62 (weak). It’s flat, with wind still cross-on or onshore. Not worth getting wet for.

We go through a dry spell until Monday 10th, when a weak 1.2m NNE swell shows up with a 5-second period – sloppy. Tuesday the 11th builds to 1.9m, same direction, period 7 seconds, energy into the moderate range (357), but wind is onshore at 12 mph.

Now, the biggest push comes Wednesday 12th and Thursday 13th. Wednesday morning peaks at 2.2m, period 8 seconds, energy hitting 547 (strong). Thursday holds around 2.0m, 8 seconds, energy still in the 400s. The swell direction (NNE) lines up well with Vagabundo’s optimum (NNW), but – and this is a big but – the wind is blowing straight onshore at 12–15 mph. That kills the shape. Too big for beginners, only for experts who don’t mind lumpy power. For kite surfers, this could actually be interesting.

Friday the 14th ends the window with 1.8m, onshore, still poor.

Best of a bad bunch? Wednesday 12th morning – biggest swell, strongest energy – but the onshore wind means it’s for experts only. No other day comes with clean offshore or glassy conditions. Water temp is about average for this time of year.

No standout options here. The whole 16-day window is a washout for clean surf. This spot can be like that – sometimes the wind just won’t cooperate. Don’t lose hope; forecasts can always shift. But for now? Keep the board in the car.

Rusty.

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