Vagabundo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer.

Right off the bat, I’ve gotta be straight with you—this stretch is looking pretty grim. The whole 16-day window is a bust. There’s not a single standout session to get excited about at Vagabundo. The water temp is sitting at 75°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so that’s nice if you’re in for a dip, but for surfing? It’s a long, flat, and choppy road ahead.

We kick off Wednesday, August 12, with a weak, short-period 4ft swell from the NNE and a cross-on wind that’s already killing the vibe. The combined energy is only 163 (weak), and the report says “poor surf conditions.” That’s the story right through the first week. The swell bumps up a little by Saturday, August 15, hitting 6ft with the combined energy rising to 429 (moderate), but that cross-on wind is still there, and the period is just 7 seconds. It’s messy, onshore, and not worth paddling out for.

From Sunday, August 16, the wind swings onshore, but the swell stays small—5ft or so—and the period improves slightly to 8–9 seconds by Monday. Still, the conditions are labeled “poor surf conditions” every day. The energy stays moderate, but the quality is just not there. The second week of the forecast is a bit of a snooze. By Wednesday, August 19, the swell drops to 4ft from the north, with a light 6 mph breeze, but the energy is down to 254 (weak). The rest of the week is a slow fade: 3ft on Thursday, 3ft on Friday, and the combined energy plummets to 140 (weak). The winds are mostly onshore or cross-onshore, so forget about clean faces.

The final weekend, August 22–23, sees a little pulse: 6ft on Saturday and 7ft on Sunday, with the energy hitting 698 (moderate). But again, it’s onshore wind and the report says “poor surf conditions.” Then Monday, August 24, the first hint of something marginal pops up—6ft from the NNE with a 10-second period, and the energy is 556 (moderate). The wind is a gentle cross-onshore, and the call is “marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions.” That’s the closest we get to a glimmer, but it’s still a no-go. After that, it’s back to the same onshore wind and weak swell through the end of the 27th.

The exposure is NNE, and the optimum swell direction is NNW, so the swell is coming from the wrong way too. This is a beginner-friendly, consistent spot, but with the crowds sometimes around, it’s not worth the effort. Honestly, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing with all that cross-on wind and moderate energy.

The one saving grace? Vagabundo is fairly consistent, so it tends not to stay this poor for long. Forecasts can change. But for now, the 16-day outlook is a blank run. Hang tight.

Rusty.

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