Vagabundo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the menu for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, looking at the whole sixteen-day run, it's a bit of a slow grind. The wind is mostly cross-on or onshore and the wave energy is weak to moderate for the first ten days. We've got a lot of days where the surf is just poor, so it's going to take some patience. There's a glimmer of something more interesting right at the very end, but we'll get to that.

We kick off on Friday, the 28th of August, with a messy 6 ft swell from the NNE, but it's short period at 7 seconds and blowing a cross-on 16 mph breeze. Total energy is only 355, which is weak. It's one for the kite crew, not the paddle crew. That sets the tone for the next few days. Saturday the 29th is similar: 5 ft from the NNW, but the period jumps to 11 seconds, giving it a bit more punch (645 energy). Wind is still cross-on though, so it's bumpy. Sunday the 30th just swaps back to a short period NNE windswell. Monday the 31st and Tuesday the 1st aren't any better. Wednesday the 2nd of September actually pushes up to 7 ft from the NNE with a period of 8 seconds and 574 energy, but again, the wind is onshore and the wave comment calls it poor. That size is getting solid—maybe a bit much for a beginner, but with the onshore wind, it's just a wind-affected mess.

We limp through the rest of the first week and into the second. Thursday the 3rd, Friday the 4th, and Saturday the 5th of September all show poor conditions with dropping swell. Sunday the 6th and Monday the 7th are the same story. The combined energy barely gets into the low hundreds. It's a proper lull.

Then there's a small uptick on Tuesday the 8th, with 6 ft from the NNE (511 energy) and a *light* onshore breeze on the morning. That's the first time the wave comment steps up from 'poor' to 'marginal'. Still not a stand-out. Wednesday the 9th of September looks a little better: 6 ft from the NNE, period of 8 seconds, and light onshore wind again in the morning. The energy hits 605—that's moderate—and it scores a 2 out of 10. That's about the best of the first two weeks, but it's only just getting 'marginal'.

Now, for the real standout. It's a long-range event, so take it with a pinch of salt, but look at Friday the 11th of September. We've got a very long period groundswell from the N at 13-14 seconds. The morning shows a smaller 3 ft, but with an incredible 919 energy reading, and then the afternoon jumps to 5 ft with 1049 energy—that's strong. The wind is cross-on, so that's a bit of a bummer, and the swell direction is N, which is not the optimum NNW for this spot Vagabundo. But that long period energy is going to produce some proper lines. This is a consistent break and can handle a crowd sometimes, so you might have a few out. For a spot like this, a long period N swell can work, but it's not a perfect match. Still, given how flat the rest of the run has been, this Friday the 11th is the one day that has real potential to turn it on. Saturday the 12th still has a long period N swell but smaller and with a choppy cross-on wind again.

The water temp is sitting at 76°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year—nothing crazy, just a nice little bonus.

So overall, the next week and a bit is a write-off. Keep your eye on that Friday the 11th for the best chance of some real, powerful groundswell, even if the wind might not be perfect.

Rusty

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