Vagabundo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the menu for this stretch, and I gotta be straight with you from the get-go – it's a tough one.

We're looking at a real dry spell to kick things off. From Thursday the 30th of July all the way through to Monday the 10th of August, there's just nothing worth paddling out for. Every single session at Vagabundo is marked down as poor surf conditions. The swell is mostly in the 3 to 5 ft range, with a rubbish short period of 6 to 7 seconds, and the wind is either cross-on or onshore. The water temperature is sitting at 74°, which feels a touch warmer than normal for the time of year. The combined wave energy is moderate, sitting around the 250 mark, but with the wind all messed up and that short-period chop, it’s a write-off. Honestly, for a spot that's exposed and consistent, it’s frustrating.

Now, there’s no real standout in this window, but if I had to point to the only half-decent chance in a very long 16-day outlook, it would be around Tuesday the 11th of August. That's when we finally see a proper pulse of energy. The swell bumps up to 7 to 8 ft, coming from the NNE, and the period stretches to 8 seconds. The combined energy jumps into that strong range – we’re talking 691 to 939. That’s serious power. The catch is, the wind is still blowing straight onshore from the north, and it's described as moderate breeze, so it’ll be messy. Given the size and the onshore wind, this is strictly for the experienced crew.

Through Wednesday the 12th and Thursday the 13th of August, the swell stays solid at 7 to 8 ft with that 8 to 9-second period, and the wind stays onshore. This is big, powerful, and ugly. With that much energy and poor conditions, this setup frankly looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. The confidence is decent for this far out, but don't get your hopes up for clean lines.

By Friday the 14th of August, the swell starts to drop back to a more manageable 5 to 6 ft, with the period still at 9 seconds. Still onshore wind though, so the quality is still poor. It’s a long, grim forecast. We just have to wait and see if the forecast changes. Sometimes it doesn’t stay this quiet for long.

Keep your chin up,
Rusty.

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