Vagabundo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, it’s Rusty here, and I’ve taken a real good look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks. I gotta be straight with you – this one’s a tough pill to swallow. The finder is showing a blank run for the entire 16-day window regarding any decent surf at Vagabundo. There isn’t a single recommendation in there, and every single entry is labelled as "poor surf conditions." It’s a real dry spell, and for an exposed spot like this, it’s more normal than you’d hope for. The guidance tells me it’s a consistent break, but the wind and swell just aren’t lining up.

The whole period is plagued by onshore and cross-onshore winds, mostly from the NNE, blowing at 9 to 16 mph. That’s a recipe for chop and messy lines. The swell is hanging around between 3 ft and 7 ft, but with a short period – mostly 6 to 8 seconds, so it’s all wind-slop. The energy is weak to moderate at best, with combined energy readings mostly in the low 100s to mid 200s (e.g., 140–280). There’s a slight bump in size around the 14th of August, with swell hitting 7 ft and energy climbing to 480–492, but the wind is still cross-on at 16 mph, making it a messy, choppy affair. That size is also getting into the “experts only” territory, but with the conditions, it’s not even worth it for them.

For a beginner break like Vagabundo, even the smaller days are a write-off due to the wind. The water temperature anomaly isn’t mentioned in the finder, so I can’t comment on that.

So, bottom line: there’s nothing to get excited about. No standouts, no hidden gems. The wind is your enemy, and the swell isn’t bringing any quality. If you’re desperate for a paddle, you might find a knee-high lump, but it won’t be pretty. The setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, honestly. Keep an eye on the charts, because it tends not to stay this poor for long around here, and forecasts can change. But for now, leave the boards in the shed.

Rusty.

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