Vagabundo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s showing up for this stretch we’ve got. Honestly, it’s a rough patch for us at Vagabundo. The next 16 days look pretty glum, with the first two days offering up something, but then a long dry spell of poor conditions and no real standouts to get excited about.

For Sunday the 23rd, we get a tiny window. Early on, there’s a brief chance with 4ft swell from the NNW, a 14-second period, and a light 6 mph breeze from the north keeping it glassy. It’s clean, but the combined energy is 660 – moderate. The water is 76°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. It’s the only time we get a real look, and even then, it’s just marginal. Everything after that goes downhill fast.

From Monday the 24th right through to the end of the first week and into the second, it’s all cross-onshore winds and poor surf conditions. The wind stays up around 12 to 19 mph from the NNE, and the water gets rough. The swell builds a bit – we see 6ft on Monday morning, and then a bigger push on Saturday the 29th with a 6ft NNW swell at 13 seconds, energy hitting 1295, but the wind is still ripping cross-onshore. For an exposed beginner spot like Vagabundo, that just means messy, choppy lines. Not worth a paddle.

By the end of August and into September, the swell size starts climbing. We’re looking at 8ft to 8ft from the NNE from the 1st to the 4th of September. Combined energy gets up to over 1100. But the wind is still onshore or cross-onshore, and the period drops to 8 seconds – short-period junk. For a beach setup, 8ft with a short period and onshore wind is basically unsurfable for anyone but the most die-hard experts, and even then it won’t be pretty. It’s more of a kite surfing show than a paddle session.

The only real flicker of hope is Monday the 7th of September, early morning. Light 6 mph breeze from the north, 4ft NNE swell, 8-second period, energy at 298 – but it’s still labeled marginal. Could be a quiet little session if you’re desperate, but it’s not a standout.

Honestly, there’s no true standout here. The best on offer is that first Sunday afternoon – 4ft, clean, light wind. After that, you’re looking at over a week of poor to zero surf quality. Sometimes it’s just like that in this area. Forecasts can shift, but right now, it’s a lean run. Keep your stick waxed and your eyes peeled.

Rusty.

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