Vagabundo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – up and down this region, it’s a tough run of conditions we’re looking at. We’ve only got one spot flagged, and the wind is going to make things ugly for a long stretch. There is no real standout session in the immediate future, but I’ll walk you through it so you know what to expect.

We’re kicking off on Sunday the 23rd of August at Vagabundo. The water here is sitting at 76°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – you’ll feel that little extra warmth. Swell is rolling in at 3.3 ft from the north with a 10-second period, and combined wave energy is moderate at best (267). But here’s the problem – that light breeze is blowing cross-on, making it a messy little ripple machine. The score is flat, mate. That Sunday afternoon offers 3.6 ft from the NNW with a solid 14-second period, so the energy jumps to strong (660), but the wind is straight onshore and the forecast calls it marginal. Not worth paddling out unless you’re desperate.

Monday the 24th through Wednesday the 27th is a write-off. Swell sticks between 3.3 ft and 5.9 ft – big enough for some push, but every session has a moderate to fresh breeze chopping it up cross-on. The energy on Monday morning hits strong (887) with 5.9 ft and a 12-second period, but it’s ruined by the wind. By Thursday the 27th, period drops to a shocking 5 seconds with energy barely creeping into double digits (66 and 48). That’s weak, short-period junk.

Friday the 28th and Saturday the 29th see the swell jump up to 6.6 ft – 7.2 ft from the NNE, with moderate energy (355-864). But that period is still short (7-8 seconds) and the wind is a fresh cross-on mess. This is not paddle-friendly. For a beach setup like this, with that wind and lumpy chop, the kites are going to have way more fun than we are.

Sunday the 30th of August calms down to 3.6 ft from the north with a nice 11-second period – energy at 489. But the cross-on breeze still kills it. As we roll into the first week of September, the story doesn’t change. Swell sits between 3.9 ft and 6.2 ft, but the period stays poor (6-8 seconds) and the wind is relentless. Morning of Thursday the 3rd of September shows 5.6 ft with a 7-second period and energy at 282, but it’s the same story. The closest we get to something usable is Saturday the 5th of September morning with 5.6 ft from NNE at 8 seconds and lighter wind – but it’s still just onshore. Not clean enough to call it.

Honestly, there are no good days here. This is a 16-day blank run, and for this area, that’s not unusual when the wind patterns lock in like this. You’ve got a 5-day gap from Sunday the 23rd until Thursday the 27th where the surf is poor, and it barely improves after that. Keep your board in the bag, check back with me next week, and hope the forecasts shift.

Read more