Vagabundo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks. The only spot we’ve got to work with is Vagabundo, and honestly, it’s a bit of a tough run. The wind is just not playing ball for most of the period, coming from the north-northeast and northeast, which is cross-on or onshore for this break. That’s going to leave things choppy and lumpy more often than not. The water temp is sitting around 76°, a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, which is nice for the skin, but it won’t fix the chop.

The first real chance of anything worthwhile is Sunday the 23rd afternoon. Swell jumps to 4ft from the NNW with a long period of 14 seconds, and the combined energy reads 660 (moderate), which is a decent energy pulse. The wind is onshore though, so it’s going to be a bit messy. Still, the long period means there’s some shape potential, and it’s listed as a marginal forecast. A beginner-friendly spot, so maybe a fun one for a learner who doesn’t mind a bit of bump.

Monday the 24th morning sees the biggest swell of the run – 6ft from the NNW at 12 seconds, with strong energy (901). But the wind is onshore at 12 mph, pushing it into poor surf conditions. That’s a big, messy wave, probably too unruly for most. For a beginner spot, this is going to be a handful.

Tuesday the 25th is a no-go. Wind is cross-on and onshore, waves are dropping.

The standout, if you can call it that, is actually Saturday the 29th afternoon. We’ve got 5ft from the NNW with a period of 11 seconds, and the combined energy is 784 (moderate). The wind is onshore, but the direction is a better fit for the break’s optimum (NNW). Still, it’s marked as poor surf conditions. This is one of those days where you grab a groveler and make the most of what’s on offer, because the consistency is there.

After that, it’s a pretty grim slog. From the 30th of August right through to the 6th of September, the swell sticks around between 3ft and 6ft, but the wind is relentless from the NNE or NE, cross-on, at 12 to 16 mph. The combined energy drops to weak to moderate levels (47 to 325). The period is short, mostly 7 to 8 seconds, so it’s windswell junk. The mornings on the 1st and 2nd of September might have a little more size (5ft to 6ft), but it’s all poor surf conditions. The blank run of truly good surf lasts from the 30th of August all the way through to the end of the forecast.

Given the consistent cross-on wind and the beach break setup, this is honestly looking more like a kite-surfing window than a day for a paddle board. The wind is strong enough to keep a kite up, but for a surfer, it’s a frustrating wait. The break is consistent, so the waves are there, but the quality just isn’t. It tends not to stay this poor for long, so keep an eye on the forecasts.

Rusty.

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