Vagabundo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty again. Let’s break it down in feet and miles.

Honestly, this 16-day stretch is a struggle. There’s a constant northerly wind that’s just going to mess up the surface. The swell shows up, but it’s always blowing cross-onshore or onshore, so it’s choppy, lumpy, or just plain ugly. There’s a long stretch of nothing good until the very end.

The only break in the lineup is Vagabundo, an exposed spot that faces north-northwest. The water is about 73°F, right where it should be for this time of year.

The first week is a total loss. From Wednesday, July 22nd, through the end of the month, the swell is running from 6ft up to 8ft, but the wind is a moderate to fresh breeze from the north-northeast. It’s cross-on or on the whole time. The wave energy is moderate at first (280) and builds to strong (802) by the 26th, but none of it matters because the quality is terrible. The period is a short 7 to 8 seconds, so it’s weak, wind-blown slop. Anything over 5ft is getting big for beginners, and with this wind, it’s no good for anyone.

The one glimmer of hope comes on Saturday morning, August 1st. The wind goes almost dead calm – a light 3 km/h offshore from the north – and the swell drops to a more manageable 5ft. The energy is moderate at 281. The forecast only calls it marginal, but that light wind is a game-changer. The swell is from the north-northeast, which isn’t the ideal north-northwest, but it’s still a clean-looking window. The spot can get crowded sometimes, so it might be a little busy. This is the best bet, but it’s a long way out, so don’t book the trip yet.

After that, the wind picks up again and the swell fades. From August 2nd onward, the surf drops below 3ft with weak energy (around 100-150), and the wind goes back onshore or cross-onshore. The period drops to 5-7 seconds, and the conditions are poor again. It’s a total blank from Sunday the 2nd to the end of the 16 days – nothing to paddle out for.

Rusty.

Read more