Vagabundo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down the next sixteen days at Vagabundo.

Look, I’m gonna level with you – this is a tough one. There’s not a single good surf option on the board for the whole 16-day window. The entire period is a blank run. The swell is there, but the conditions are just plain bad. The wind is almost always onshore or cross-onshore, and the rating for surf quality is a flat zero every session. It’s a real shame.

We’re starting from August 1st, and right through to the 12th, it’s a mess. The swell is usually small, around 3 ft to 5 ft, and coming from the NNE. The period is short, mostly 6 to 7 seconds, which means weak, choppy waves. The wind is a constant problem – it’s either blowing straight onshore or across it, making everything bumpy. The combined energy is weak, mostly in the 100s (124 to 277), so there’s no punch to anything. This is purely a paddle-skipper for a while.

There’s a slight pulse in the middle of the second week. On August 13th, the swell picks up to 6 ft in the morning and 6 ft in the afternoon, with the period stretching to 8 seconds. The energy jumps to moderate levels (304 and 400). But here’s the kicker: the wind is still cross-onshore, and the surf quality is still poor. It’s a tease.

Then, the real size shows up. On August 14th, we see a solid 7 ft to 8 ft NNE swell, with the energy climbing to 565 and 698. That’s moderate-to-strong energy. On August 15th, it gets even bigger, with a 8 ft NNE swell in the afternoon and the energy soaring to a whopping 1381. That’s very strong wave energy. The period hits 9 seconds, which is better. But again, the wind is onshore or cross-onshore, and the surf quality is still poor. This is a classic case of “all that power, no good way to ride it.” With those strong onshore winds and that size at a beach break setup, this is looking far more interesting for kite surfing than paddling.

The water is sitting at about 74°, which is pretty normal for this time of year. Nothing to get excited about.

So, the takeaway is bleak. There are no standouts, no hidden gems, no windows. For this area, a blank run like this is a bit more normal. The forecasts can change, but right now, I’d say save your energy and wait for the next proper swell to get the wind right. Rusty out.

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