Vagabundo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it.

Alright, I’ve been staring at the charts for your area, and I gotta be honest with you—it’s looking like a tough stretch. We’ve got a solid 16-day window to look at, but the first real surf recommendation isn’t coming until Saturday, August 8th, and even then, it’s a rough start. There’s a bit of a gap before that, but nothing worth paddling out for.

The spot we’re looking at is Vagabundo. It’s a beginner-friendly break, exposed to the swell, and it’s consistent. But man, the wind is just not playing ball. For the first few days, from Saturday the 8th through to Thursday the 14th, we’ve got a moderate onshore breeze blowing from the north and north-northeast, around 12 to 16 mph. The swell is coming in from the NNE, hanging around 5 ft to 6 ft, but the period is short—just 6 to 7 seconds. That’s weak, wind-slop energy. The combined energy is in the low to moderate range, mostly between 200 and 399 (moderate total energy), but the “poor surf conditions” tag is the real story here. The waves are going to be choppy and messy, not the kind of thing you want to paddle out for. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing weird there.

Now, things start to look a bit more promising on the weekend of the 15th and 16th. Saturday the 15th has a bit more size—7 ft in the morning, still from the NNE, but the period bumps up to 8 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 543 (moderate energy), which is a step up. The wind is still onshore, but it’s a bit lighter. Still, "poor surf conditions" is the call. It’s not a complete washout, but it’s not the clean, lined-up stuff we dream about. Sunday the 16th is a little smaller, 5 ft, with a lighter breeze, but still not clean.

The real standout, if you can call it that, is the week that follows. The period starts to stretch out. On Tuesday, August 18th, we get a 9-second period, with the swell from the NNE at 5 ft, and the combined energy hits 348 (moderate energy). The wind is still onshore, but it’s a moderate breeze, and the surf is still rating as poor. The best chance for a proper wave might be on Wednesday, August 19th, when the swell direction shifts to due north, and the period holds at 9 seconds. The swell drops to 3 ft to 4 ft, but the combined energy is lower, around 172 to 192 (weak energy). The wind is still onshore, but it’s manageable.

The second week, from the 18th through the 23rd, is a bit of a mixed bag. The period stays around 8 to 9 seconds, which is better, but the wind often comes from the NNE or NE, making it a cross-onshore situation. The waves are still going to be choppy. The combined energy peaks again on Friday, August 21st, at 387 (moderate energy), with a 5 ft swell from the north, but it’s still a “poor surf conditions” call.

Honestly, there’s no single day that screams “go!”. The wind is just too onshore for the entire window. The swell is there, especially in the second week, but the quality is going to be poor. If you’re a beginner, the size is manageable (never over 7 ft), but the short period and the onshore wind will make it a frustrating paddle. For the more experienced crew, the 7 ft day on the 15th might offer a bit of power, but it’s not going to be clean. The wave energy is moderate at best, even on the bigger days.

If you’re a kite surfer, this setup might actually be more interesting than for a paddle surfer, especially on the days with the stronger wind and the choppy conditions. The beach break setup, with the onshore wind, will be bumpy for a surfboard but fun for a kite.

So, what’s the call? The best of a bad bunch is probably the weekend of the 15th and 16th, or the later part of the second week, but keep your expectations low. The forecasts can change, but right now, don’t rush to the water.

Rusty.

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