Troia Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – the outlook for Troia over the next 16 days is a tough one. We’ve got a long stretch of flat to tiny, weak conditions, and the first proper surfable day doesn’t really show up until the very end of the run. The water is sitting at 75°F – that’s 6°F warmer than usual for this time of year, which is very unusual. It feels like a bath out there, but the waves are missing.

The first real opportunity to paddle out comes on Thursday, August 6th, but it’s a struggle. The afternoon sees a small WNW swell of 4ft coming from the WNW, but the period is a short, weak 4 seconds. The combined energy is only 57 (weak), and a 16 mph cross-shore wind from the NW is going to chop it up. It’s messy, and the data says poor surf conditions. Not worth the drive.

Friday the 7th offers a little hope in the morning – a clean 1ft NW swell with a light, cross-offshore breeze at 6 mph. That’s clean, but it’s knee-high at best. The afternoon picks up slightly to 3ft, but the wind swings cross-shore again at 12 mph, making it lumpy. We get a similar story through the weekend and into the next week. Mornings are often clean with light offshore breezes, but the swell is tiny – usually 1ft to 2ft, and sometimes flat. The afternoons are bigger but blown out by cross or cross-onshore winds.

We hit a proper flat spell from Sunday the 9th afternoon right through to Thursday the 13th, with many sessions showing zero energy. There’s a tiny bump on the 15th and 16th of August with a very long period 18-second swell from the south, but it’s only 0.3ft. That’s not enough to surf. The combined energy is in the 6 to 10 range – basically nothing.

The best of a bad bunch looks to be Friday, August 21st. The morning brings a clean, light offshore wind from the NNE at 6 mph, and a small 0.7ft swell from the SSW with a 13-second period. The combined energy is 37 (still weak), but it’s the most energy we’ve seen in a while. It’s only a tiny wave, but on a longboard, with clean conditions, you might get a few knee-high runners. Given the long period, it’ll be tricky at a beach break like Troia, but it’s the only real standout in a grim forecast. Crowds are *sometimes* a problem here, but on a day like this, you’ll probably have it mostly to yourself.

This is a tough run for Troia. For a beginner, the swell never gets above 5ft, so it’s never too big, but it’s mostly too small to catch anything. For the experts, there’s nothing with enough power. Honestly, with the consistent wind and small, weak swell, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing for most of the period.

Rusty.

Read more