Troia Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you – the outlook for Troia over the next 16 days is a tough one. We're looking at a long stretch of flat to tiny, messy conditions, so don't expect any magic.

Right now, and for the foreseeable future, it's a waiting game. The first few days, starting Friday the 31st of July, are showing next to nothing. We're talking about a tiny 0.3ft to 3ft windswell with a pathetic 4-second period, all blown out by onshore winds. The water is a balmy 74°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, but that's no consolation when there's no surf.

This flat spell drags on for days. Saturday and Sunday are completely flat, with clean conditions but zero waves. The energy in the water is barely a whisper – the combined swell energy is a measly 3 or 11 in the early days. Monday and Tuesday are the same story – tiny, weak, and poor. Wednesday the 5th of August stays clean but flat in the morning, and even when the swell tries to show up in the afternoon with a 4ft swell from the WNW, it's a short-period, weak windswell (energy of 56) and chopped up by a cross-shore wind.

The only hint of something happening comes on Thursday the 6th of August. The morning sees a small 2ft swell from the WNW (energy of 32) with clean conditions and a cross-offshore wind. That's the best we're going to get for a while, but it's still pretty weak. The afternoon picks up a bit more size to 4ft with a 5-second period, but the wind is a fresh 19 mph cross-offshore, which will keep it bumpy. The energy is still only 71, so it's not a day to get excited about. If you're desperate for a paddle, this Thursday morning is your best bet, but keep expectations low.

The rest of the first week and into the second is more of the same – flat spells mixed with tiny, weak, poorly shaped windswell. The combined energy occasionally climbs into triple digits, like on Sunday the 9th of August (energy of 128) and Monday the 10th (energy of 105), but with a 4ft to 5ft short-period swell and fresh cross-shore winds, it's going to be lumpy and messy. This is more of a kite-surfing scenario than a surfing one.

The second week continues the pattern. Troia is simply not a consistent spot for this time of year, and this forecast is a classic example of a blank run. There's nothing that qualifies as a standout. If you're determined to get wet, keep an eye on the morning sessions with the lightest cross-offshore winds, but don't hold your breath for anything clean or with any power.

- Rusty

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