Troia Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, I'm Rusty. Let's have a look at what's on offer.

Honestly, it's a tough stretch ahead. Looking at the whole 16-day run, there's just not much good news for surfers. The first recommendation doesn't pop up until *Friday, July 3rd*, but even then it's a no-go. The pattern is full of poor surf conditions, with long gaps of nothing rideable. The water temp is sitting at 74°, which is a whopping 7° warmer than normal — that's very unusual for this time of year.

So, for Troia, we're staring down the barrel of a flat spell. The first whisper of a swell is on Friday morning, July 3rd, with a tiny 0.3 ft south swell with a long 16-second period. The combined swell energy is only 5, which is weak. The wind is a light cross-shore from the SE at 3 mph, which is alright, but the surf is just too small. It stays poor all through that day and into Saturday, July 4th. Saturday morning goes glassy calm, but the swell vanishes completely with zero energy. Afternoon picks up a weak 0.3 ft south swell with a 14-second period, but the cross-onshore wind from the W at 9 mph chops it up. Sunday, July 5th and Monday, July 6th are much the same — glassy mornings with no swell, and afternoons with tiny weak waves and onshore breezes. The combined energy stays below 10 for most of it.

Tuesday, July 7th offers the only real glimpse of something surfable, and it's the standout of the whole period. On the Tuesday morning, it's clean with a light cross-offshore breeze from the N at 6 mph, but there's no swell height listed. The afternoon though, we get a 3 ft NW swell pushing in with a combined energy of 20. The problem is the period is only 4 seconds — that's short-period wind swell, so it'll be bumpy and lack power. The wind picks up to a moderate 16 mph cross-shore from the NW, so it'll be choppy. This is the best we get, but it's really only for experienced surfers who know how to handle bumpy, weak waves. Crowds are sometimes an issue here, so you might have company.

From Wednesday, July 8th, we slide back into the doldrums. Tiny waves, combined energy below 10, with glassy mornings but no swell. The Saturday morning, July 11th shows a bit of hope with a 2 ft W swell and a slightly better 6-second period, combined energy at 26, and glassy conditions. But it's inconsistent according to the spot's nature, and the swell quality is still poor. The next week, from July 14th onward, is a repeat of tiny swells with combined energy rarely breaking 15, and mostly onshore or cross-onshore winds. The period on the 14th and 15th is long (over 15 seconds) from the SW, but the swell height is just 0.3 ft, so it's not doing anything.

So, the only real standout is that Tuesday July 7th afternoon. Go if you're desperate and don't mind weak, short-period chop. Everything else is a write-off. The setup here would be more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer on most days with that onshore wind and small swell. For the rest of us, it's a 16-day blank run that looks pretty normal for this area when it goes flat.

Rusty

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