Troia Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty here. Let’s get straight to it: the next couple of weeks at Troia are looking proper bleak for anyone chasing waves. We’re starting off with barely a ripple.

Thursday the 10th, there’s nothing doing. The water’s sitting at 73.2°F and that’s about 4°F warmer than usual for this time of year—a notable jump, but that’s about all that’s notable. A tiny 0.7ft west swell with an 8-second period isn’t going to get anyone out of bed, and even though the morning has a clean cross-off breeze, the energy is just pathetic, barely registering (6). Afternoon goes flat.

Friday the 11th is more of the same, maybe a touch worse. The swell stays at 0.7ft, but the period drops to 7 seconds, and an afternoon onshore wind messes up any chance of something rideable. The combined energy is laughable (6).

Saturday the 12th, the swell switches to the south, but it’s still tiny at 0.3ft and the period is longish at 13 seconds—not that it matters with no height. It’s glassy in the morning, but the afternoon gets cross-onshore and choppy.

Now, here’s where we hit a real dry spell. From Sunday the 13th through to Tuesday afternoon the 15th, there’s basically nothing. The models are showing zero swell for several days. It’s a proper dead patch. A surfboard won’t even float properly.

Then, on Tuesday afternoon the 15th, we get a little pulse of life. A 3.6ft north-west swell with a short 5-second period pushes the combined energy up to (47). It’s still pretty junky, but it’s the biggest thing we’ve seen. The cross-off wind keeps it reasonably clean, but with that short period, it’s going to be a bit crumbly and disorganised. Not a stand-out, but at least you might get a few close-outs if you’re desperate.

After that, it’s back to the flatness. Wednesday the 16th through to the end of the window on Friday the 25th is a real desert. Every single forecast period has the swell at 0.3ft or less, with the energy numbers mostly in single digits or low teens. There are periods of glassy conditions and light offshore winds, but you can't surf what isn’t there.

Troia is just an inconsistent spot, and this looks like a particularly blank run. It’s a beach-and-reef setup, so with that weak, short-period stuff and a bit of wind, it’s honestly looking more interesting for a kite than a paddleboard.

The long-range stuff—like the 17th, 24th, and 25th—teases with those 15 and 16-second periods, but they’re all attached to 0.3ft of swell. All promise, no delivery. I wouldn’t hold my breath. This is one of those times where you’re better off finding another hobby for a fortnight.

Keep it salty.

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