
Surf Forecasts:
Troia surf forecast from 4 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 10 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 6s period, W swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 10 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 6s period, WNW swell with 145 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 10 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 6s period with W swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Troia this week:
The surf forecast for Troia over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Troia in the next 16 days are 1.4m 6s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 9s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (WEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Fri 10th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Fri 10th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 6s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Fri 10th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Troia over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at the surf prospects for Troia over the next couple of weeks. I’ll be straight with you – it’s a bit of a flat spell we’re looking at.
Right off the bat, the water temp is sitting at 75°, which is a whopping 7° warmer than normal for this time of year. That’s very unusual, so you can leave the thick winter wetsuit at home.
The overall pattern is pretty quiet. We’ve got a long stretch of minimal to no surf kicking things off. From now until the morning of Friday, July 10th, there’s really nothing worth getting excited about. The energy readings are almost all below 10, with heaps of zeros in there – that's as weak as it gets. The 10th of July morning brings the first sign of life with a 3ft swell from the west, but with a cross-onshore wind, it's not going to be clean.
Honestly, the most significant swell of the entire 16-day window shows up on the afternoon of Monday, July 13th. We get a jump in combined energy to 171 (moderate), with a 5ft swell out of the northwest. Problem is, the period is a short 5 seconds, so it’s going to be a messy, jumbled close-out. Plus, there’s a fresh cross-shore wind creating lumpy conditions. It’s not exactly what you’d call a standout.
There’s no break here that I can point to and say "that’s the one." Troia is a beginner spot that’s inconsistent, and this forecast backs that up. With the predominant cross-offshore winds during some of these windows, the surface might look clean, but without any real swell height or energy behind it, you’re just looking at a lake.
If you're really itching for something, the morning of Friday, July 17th has a 3ft swell from the WNW with a period of 5 seconds and 49 (weak) energy. It's light cross-onshore, so it might be dribbly but not entirely hopeless. Still, nothing here is a standout.
For the second week, from the 14th onward, it’s a lot of the same story: tiny swells, mostly under 0.3ft, and inconsistent energy. There’s simply no good surf on the cards.
If the wind keeps up as forecast on those bigger days, this setup might actually look more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
Keep the expectations low, folks.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 37°C on Sat afternoon, min 22°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 38°C on Tue afternoon, min 18°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 11 | S 14 | SW 14 | WNW 10 | S 12 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 3 | NW 5 | WNW 8 | NW 4 | W 8 | W 8 | NW 3 | WNW 10 | S 17 | S 16 | W 4 | W 6 | S 16 | S 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 71 | 5 | 5 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | on | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | off | on | on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 6:11PM2.59m | 6:34AM2.30m | 6:49PM2.52m | 7:17AM2.26m | 7:33PM2.44m | 8:07AM2.22m | 8:25PM2.36m | 9:06AM2.20m | 9:29PM2.30m | 10:13AM2.23m | 10:42PM2.29m | 11:24AM2.32m | 11:56PM2.36m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:51AM0.51m | 00:26AM0.48m | 12:29PM0.57m | 1:06AM0.52m | 1:13PM0.65m | 1:52AM0.57m | 2:05PM0.72m | 2:46AM0.62m | 3:08PM0.76m | 3:50AM0.65m | 4:22PM0.75m | 5:00AM0.64m | 5:38PM0.65m | ||||||||
6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | |
— | — | 9:02 | — | — | 9:01 | — | — | 9:01 | — | — | 9:01 | — | — | 9:01 | — | — | 9:00 | — | — | 9:00 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 33 | 37 | 30 | 32 | 33 | 30 | 33 | 36 | 29 | 36 | 38 | 30 | 36 | 38 | 32 | 28 | 27 | 21 | 24 | 26 | 20 |
Feels °C | 32 | 34 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 28 | 31 | 32 | 25 | 33 | 33 | 25 | 32 | 32 | 28 | 25 | 23 | 20 | 22 | 23 | 17 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 11 | WNW 10 | NW 4 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | NW 4 | WNW 9 | WNW 10 | NW 5 | NW 5 | S 12 | NNW 5 | NW 5 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | S 16 | S 16 |
76 | 41 | 8 | 18 | 32 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 4 | 19 | 36 | 35 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 5 | 5 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 7 | — | WNW 10 | WNW 4 | NW 11 | WNW 9 | NW 4 | NW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | — | W 8 | WNW 10 | W 7 | NW 4 | NW 5 | S 16 | S 16 | S 16 | — | W 14 |
7 | — | 38 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 7 | — | 5 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 | — | 4 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 14 | SW 14 | NW 11 | S 12 | NW 10 | NW 9 | S 11 | NW 8 | NW 8 | — | NW 11 | W 8 | — | — | S 17 | — | S 16 | — | — | — |
— | 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | — | 5 | 4 | — | — | 6 | — | 5 | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NW 9 | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 3 | — | — | NW 4 | — | — | NW 3 | — | WNW 3 | WNW 3 | W 4 | W 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 7 |
— | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | — | — | 12 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 3 | 11 | 71 | 125 | 222 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 10 | 52 | 73 | 42 | 157 | 48 | 48 | 620 | 56 | 821 | 1107 | 67 | 360 | 1104 | 10 | 30 | 562 | 52 | 442 | 360 | 47 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Portugal - Alentejo | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Portugal | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Troia Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Troia provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Troia can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Troia surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Troia) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Troia may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Troia is 9 km (6 miles) from Setubal. If you plan a holiday in Portugal - Alentejo, look for hotels and other accommodation in Setubal. Setubal has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










