
Surf Forecasts:
Troia surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Friday 17 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 5s period, WNW swell with 59 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Troia this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Troia in the next 16 days are 1.2m 5s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 7s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 19) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (WEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 5s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Troia over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Gotta be straight with you – this outlook for the coming weeks is a tough one.
Honestly, there’s basically nothing on the table for the whole 16-day window. The energy is just not there. We’re looking at a long, flat stretch with no real surf to speak of. The only spot on the radar is Troia, and it’s a beginner wave that’s inconsistent at the best of times. The water is sitting at 75°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, but that’s about the only notable thing.
Through Thursday the 17th and into the weekend, we see tiny pulses of swell, but nothing that breaks the 3 ft mark. The wind is all over the place – cross-off in the mornings keeps things clean, but the swell is just too small to do anything with. The combined wave energy is pathetic, reading in the single digits and low double digits (3 to 62). Friday the 18th morning sees a clean 1 ft NW windswell, but that’s ankle-high at best.
The second week, from Monday the 21st onwards, is a complete write-off. There are several days where the data shows zero swell, just flat calm. By the 27th of July, we’re looking at a solid 4-day gap with no recommendations at all. The wind is clean and offshore from the NNW on the 29th, but with no waves, you’re just looking at a glassy lake.
This is one of those blank runs that’s just normal for the area. It’s not going to stay this poor forever, but for now, leave the boards at home. The setup is so weak that even for kiting, there’s nothing to pull you along.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Sat afternoon, min 17°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Tue afternoon, min 17°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 13 | WNW 4 | S 12 | WNW 4 | NW 4 | NW 4 | WNW 4 | NW 5 | WNW 5 | WNW 4 | NW 5 | W 8 | WNW 4 | NW 5 | WNW 5 | WNW 4 | NW 5 | S 14 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
3 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 20 | 7 | 38 | 23 | 16 | 38 | 22 | 12 | 25 | 23 | 15 | 35 | 22 | 4 | 10 | 15 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 4:53PM3.12m | 5:22AM2.72m | 5:39PM3.04m | 6:07AM2.62m | 6:24PM2.88m | 6:52AM2.48m | 7:10PM2.66m | 7:39AM2.34m | 7:58PM2.43m | 8:29AM2.20m | 8:52PM2.20m | 9:28AM2.10m | 9:57PM2.04m | |||||||
Low Tide | 11:12PM-0.02m | 11:19AM0.16m | 11:57PM0.08m | 12:03PM0.27m | 00:41AM0.25m | 12:48PM0.43m | 1:26AM0.44m | 1:36PM0.61m | 2:12AM0.64m | 2:30PM0.79m | 3:05AM0.82m | 3:35PM0.92m | ||||||||
— | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | |
8:58 | — | — | 8:58 | — | — | 8:57 | — | — | 8:55 | — | — | 8:55 | — | — | 8:54 | — | — | 8:53 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 26 | 21 | 25 | 27 | 20 | 25 | 28 | 20 | 26 | 28 | 20 | 25 | 28 | 20 | 26 | 29 | 20 | 23 | 25 | 20 |
Feels °C | 24 | 21 | 24 | 25 | 17 | 23 | 24 | 19 | 24 | 24 | 19 | 24 | 26 | 18 | 25 | 27 | 19 | 21 | 22 | 20 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | W 6 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | SW 19 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | SW 18 | WNW 8 | WNW 5 | NW 12 | W 8 | WNW 11 | SW 14 | WNW 10 | WNW 6 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 |
26 | 25 | 13 | 1 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 8 | 33 | 12 | 32 | 16 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 14 | WNW 5 | S 12 | SW 5 | W 5 | — | W 11 | W 10 | — | NW 8 | W 8 | SW 16 | WNW 11 | W 7 | N 10 | N 10 | WNW 10 | SW 13 | S 13 |
2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 8 | — | 2 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 7 | 3 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 13 | S 11 | S 12 | — | S 14 | S 13 | — | — | S 18 | SW 18 | N 9 | NW 7 | SW 16 | NNW 7 | NW 7 | N 10 | SW 14 | S 14 | S 13 | — |
3 | 2 | 3 | — | 4 | 3 | — | — | 6 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 3 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 2 | WNW 4 | — | WNW 4 | NW 4 | NW 4 | WNW 4 | NW 5 | WNW 5 | WNW 4 | NW 5 | — | WNW 4 | NW 5 | WNW 5 | WNW 4 | NW 5 | — | WNW 4 | WNW 4 |
1 | 5 | — | 28 | 20 | 7 | 38 | 23 | 16 | 38 | 22 | — | 25 | 23 | 15 | 35 | 22 | — | 10 | 15 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 291 | 483 | 513 | 312 | 851 | 419 | 312 | 323 | 223 | 312 | 60 | 223 | 463 | 172 | 106 | 527 | 52 | 186 | 601 | 48 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Portugal - Alentejo | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Portugal | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Troia Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Troia provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Troia can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Troia surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Troia) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Troia may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Troia is 9 km (6 miles) from Setubal. If you plan a holiday in Portugal - Alentejo, look for hotels and other accommodation in Setubal. Setubal has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










