Troia Surf Break

Troia Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Lat Long: 38.45° N 8.86° W

Issued: 6 am 05 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Troia sea temperature is
24.3° C

4.7°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Troia surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Troia surf forecast from 5 Jul 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 11 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 5s period, NW swell with 110 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Troia this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Troia in the next 16 days are 1.4m 5s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 8s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (WEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 7PM (Sat 11th Jul)4.5ft (1.4m) 5s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Troia over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, it’s looking pretty bleak. We’ve got a long stretch of nothing coming up. For the entire 16-day window, there’s no proper surf to speak of. The first recommendation doesn’t roll in until Sunday, July 5th, and even then, it’s barely a ripple. We’re looking at a gap of nearly two weeks until we see any real energy, and even then, the quality doesn’t improve.

The water is sitting at 75.7°, which is a massive 8.5° warmer than usual for this time of year – incredibly unusual.

Sunday July 5th – Troia: The morning starts glassy with some clouds but there’s absolutely no swell. The combined energy is 0. By the afternoon, a tiny 0.3ft swell from the south with a 12-second period shows up, but it’s crossed up by a 15 km/h WSW wind. The wave comment says it all: poor surf conditions.

Monday July 6th to Saturday July 11th: It’s a sad run. We get a constant stream of tiny 0.3ft to 1.3ft swells with periods all over the place – some as short as 3 seconds, others up to 17 seconds. Combined energy stays in the low single digits most of the time, only hitting a weak 51 by the afternoon of Friday the 10th. The wind is mostly cross or cross-on, so even the small bumps are choppy. Not worth paddling for.

Sunday July 12th to Saturday July 18th: A slight bump in period – we see some 18 and 19-second groundswell pulses, but the height remains stuck at 0.3ft. The combined energy climbs to a moderate 26 by Tuesday afternoon the 14th, but with a howling 20 km/h onshore wind, it’s just messy. For a moment on Wednesday morning the 15th, a 3.3ft swell from the NW shows up with a 6-second period and a combined energy of 75, but it’s blown out by onshore winds. That’s the biggest height we see, and it’s a windswell mess. For the rest of the week, we’re back to 0.3ft. Some mornings are clean, like the 13th and 18th, but there’s simply nothing to ride.

Sunday July 19th – Troia: The morning has a clean offshore wind from the NNE and a 0.3ft, 17-second period swell. Combined energy is 11 – weak. It’s as close to “best” as we get, which is saying something. The break is inconsistent and exposed to the SW, so it’s not reliable.

Overall, if you’re looking to paddle, put the board away. This stretch is a total blank. There are absolutely no good surf options in the 16-day window. Given the break is inconsistent, this kind of flat run isn’t unusual for the area.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 35°C on Sun afternoon, min 20°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 35°C on Wed afternoon, min 17°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
WNW
10
0.1
S
12
0.4
NW
4
0.3
WNW
9
0.4
WNW
3
0.8
NW
5
0.2
WNW
8
0.1
S
12
0.6
NW
4
0.1
W
8
0.6
WNW
3
0.1
W
7
0.1
S
17
0.1
S
16
0.7
NW
4
0.5
NW
5
1.1
NW
4
0.8
NW
5
0.7
NW
6
0.1
S
15
0.1
SW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
0
3
5
0
3
0
0
3
13
1
6
1
6
5
21
11
46
28
37
5
8
Wind (km/h)
5
S
15
WSW
5
WSW
10
SW
15
WSW
10
N
5
WNW
15
WNW
15
N
10
N
20
WSW
10
N
5
WSW
20
WSW
10
NW
15
NW
25
NW
15
NNW
15
NW
25
WNW
10
NW
Wind State
glassy
cross-on
glassy
on
cross-on
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
High Tide
6:49PM2.52m
7:17AM2.26m
7:33PM2.44m
8:07AM2.22m
8:25PM2.36m
9:06AM2.20m
9:29PM2.30m
10:13AM2.23m
10:42PM2.29m
11:24AM2.32m
11:56PM2.36m
12:31PM2.48m
1:04AM2.48m
Low Tide
12:29PM0.57m
1:06AM0.52m
1:13PM0.65m
1:52AM0.57m
2:05PM0.72m
2:46AM0.62m
3:08PM0.76m
3:50AM0.65m
4:22PM0.75m
5:00AM0.64m
5:38PM0.65m
6:10AM0.56m
6:48PM0.48m
part cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:16
6:16
6:18
6:18
6:18
6:18
6:20
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:01
9:01
9:01
9:01
9:00
9:00
9:00
 mm
Temp °C
32
35
30
31
34
27
32
35
27
33
35
28
27
31
25
27
28
20
28
29
20
Feels °C
31
32
29
28
30
24
29
30
23
30
29
24
24
26
22
24
23
17
25
24
17
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
WNW
10
0.4
WNW
9
0.3
WNW
9
0.3
WNW
9
0.3
WNW
10
0.5
NW
4
0.2
WNW
4
0.1
S
12
0.2
W
8
0.4
NW
5
0.4
NW
10
0.6
NW
5
0.4
WNW
10
0.1
S
16
0.4
WNW
9
0.4
WNW
9
0.1
S
16
0.4
WNW
9
0.4
NW
8
0.1
NW
11
0.3
NW
10
Energy kJ
18
32
16
17
18
10
2
3
5
5
25
18
37
5
32
32
5
31
18
5
16
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
WNW
4
0.1
NW
11
0.2
NNW
10
0.3
NW
4
0.1
NW
9
0.3
WNW
9
0.2
WNW
8
0.1
NW
11
0.2
WNW
10
0.4
NW
10
0.3
NW
5
0.1
S
16
0.1
S
16
0.1
S
16
0.1
S
16
0.1
S
16
0.1
S
15
0.1
SW
15
Energy kJ
1
5
10
2
3
16
7
5
10
23
4
5
5
5
5
5
5
8
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
NW
11
0.1
S
12
0.1
S
13
0.1
NW
9
0.1
S
11
0.1
NW
8
0.1
NW
8
0.1
S
12
0.1
N
8
0.1
W
8
0.1
W
7
0.1
S
17
Energy kJ
5
3
3
3
2
3
3
3
1
1
1
6
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
NW
4
0.4
WNW
3
0.8
NW
5
0.6
WNW
8
0.6
NW
4
0.6
WNW
3
0.9
NW
5
0.8
WNW
9
0.7
NW
4
0.5
NW
5
1.1
NW
4
0.8
NW
5
0.7
NW
6
1.2
WNW
9
1.2
WNW
8
Energy kJ
5
3
25
45
13
6
42
110
21
11
46
28
37
216
179
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Distance (km)
28
73
48
67
617
18
778
1113
104
360
986
10
48
1103
106
360
983
281
341
686
162
Best forecast wave conditions in Portugal - Alentejo
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
1
1
Best forecast wave conditions in Portugal
Rating
(10 max)
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
9
7
5
6
8
7
5
5
9
8
9
9
5
6
6
5
8
7
4
9
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Troia Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Troia provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Troia can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Troia surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Troia) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Troia may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Troia is 9 km (6 miles) from Setubal. If you plan a holiday in Portugal - Alentejo, look for hotels and other accommodation in Setubal. Setubal has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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