Tokatu Peninsula Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, I'm Rusty. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for the Tokatu Peninsula over the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, it's a grim stretch ahead. Right from this Monday, August 31st, we've got tiny, weak swell with poor conditions. The water temperature is sitting about average for this time of year, so no surprises there. The energy is bottomed out, with combined energy values around 39 and 37 (weak), and the wind is a fresh cross-off, which is the only saving grace making the surface clean. But the swell is just too small, around 2 ft from the NE with a short period of 9 seconds, to get excited about.

This pattern of tiny, poor surf continues day after day through Tuesday, Wednesday, and into Thursday, September 3rd. The swell remains minuscule, barely 0.7 ft to 1 ft, with the combined energy in the teens and twenties (weak). The wind flips around from cross-off to cross and even cross-on, making it choppy at times. It's a real flat spell.

Friday, September 4th, sees a slight bump in swell height to around 3 ft, but it's from the NNW with a terrible 5-second period, which is just wind chop. The combined energy climbs to 57 (weak) and then 95 (weak) in the afternoon, but the wind is a moderate cross-off or cross-shore, and the wave comment is still "poor surf conditions." Not worth paddling out for.

Saturday, September 5th, is back to tiny, clean, but flat. The energy is a meagre 25 and 14 (weak) with a gentle breeze.

Then we hit Sunday, September 6th. The swell picks up to 6 ft from the N, with a period of 6 seconds – still short period wind swell. The combined energy jumps to 212 (moderate), and this is the biggest swell of the whole outlook. But the wind is onshore, coming from the NNW at 19-22 mph, making it a fresh, lumpy mess. The wave comment is still "poor surf conditions," and at 6 ft, it's getting too big for beginners, but the wind is so bad it's only going to be a blown-out, choppy mess. For the more experienced, this might look more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

After that, from Monday, September 7th, right through to Tuesday, September 15th, it's back to the same story: tiny swell, 0.7 ft to 3 ft, with weak combined energy (mostly in the teens, twenties, and thirties). The wind is mostly cross-off or clean, but the surf is just too small. There's a glassy morning on September 15th with a 0.7 ft, 11-second swell from the east, but it's still only 20 energy (weak) and barely a ripple.

There are no standout sessions here. The best option, if you're desperate, is the Sunday, September 6th, with the biggest swell, but that onshore wind will ruin it. The rest of the 16 days are a flat, blank run. For an area with fairly consistent surf, it's a tough run, but it won't stay this way forever.

Rusty.

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