Surf Forecasts:
Tokatu Peninsula surf forecast from 5 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 7 Sep, 6PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 7s period, N swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 7 Sep, 9AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 7s period, NNW swell with 594 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 7 Sep, 6PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 7s period with N swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tokatu Peninsula this week:
The surf forecast for Tokatu Peninsula over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 07) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tokatu Peninsula in the next 16 days are 2.4m 7s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 07) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 13) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Mon 7th Sep) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Mon 7th Sep) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Mon 7th Sep) | 8ft (2.4m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tokatu Peninsula over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s look at what’s cookin’ for Tokatu Peninsula over the next couple of weeks.
Well, I’ll be honest, it’s a pretty grim picture. There’s a long stretch with no real waves to speak of, and the few moments that might be rideable are barely worth the wax.
The first chance you’ll get is Tuesday morning, the 8th of September. We’re talkin’ a tiny 3-foot swell from the north with a short 8-second period, and the combined energy is weak (99). The wind is calm, so it’s glassy, and the water temp is about what you’d expect for the time of year. It’s surfable, but just barely. You’ll be paddling hard for little reward. Tuesday afternoon is a repeat, with 3-foot waves from the north, glassy, and very low energy (83). It’s the only window with a pulse.
The rest of the first week and into the second is a total loss. There’s a stormy pulse on Monday the 7th, with 8-foot swell from the NNW, a short 7-second period, and a strong cross-onshore wind. That’s 967 energy – a lot of power, but it’s all messy, choppy, and poor for a paddle. If you’ve got a kite, it might be fun, but for a surfboard, forget it.
From Wednesday, the 9th of September, through to the end of the forecast, it’s mostly tiny, ankle-high slop. A few days have a long-period swell, like Thursday the 10th with a 14-second period from the NNE, but it’s only 0.6-foot and the wind is strong offshore. That’s a tease, not a wave. The energy is very low, around 30-50. The 16th of September shows a small 3-foot from the WNW with a poor 4-second period, and it’s blown out. The 17th of September has a 5-foot wave from the west with a 5-second period and 137 energy, but it’s a strong offshore wind and a short-period wind swell, not a clean groundswell.
There’s no standout session. The best you’ll get is a couple of glassy mornings with small, weak waves that are fine for a beginner to splash around on, but nothing for a proper surfer. The consistent theme is small, weak, or blown out. It’s a dry spell, and for this spot, that’s pretty normal. Forecasts can change, but right now, I’d leave the boards in the truck.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Mon morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun afternoon, min 12°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNW on Sun night, calm by Tue morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Thu night. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed afternoon, min 10°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Tue night, strong winds from the WSW by Thu night). | ||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | NW 3 | N 4 | N 6 | NNW 7 | N 7 | N 7 | N 8 | N 8 | N 7 | NE 7 | N 6 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 14 | NE 14 | NNE 14 | NNE 14 | NNE 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 10 | 4 | 8 | 149 | 594 | 150 | 88 | 92 | 71 | 24 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 31 | 31 | 20 | 18 | 17 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | glassy | glassy | cross | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross |
High Tide | 1:32AM2.37m | 2:09PM2.39m | 2:37AM2.34m | 3:21PM2.41m | 3:47AM2.37m | 4:28PM2.49m | 4:54AM2.43m | 5:26PM2.59m | 5:53AM2.53m | 6:18PM2.68m | 6:46AM2.61m | 7:06PM2.74m | |||||||
Low Tide | 8:01AM0.66m | 8:45PM0.81m | 9:06AM0.68m | 9:51PM0.78m | 10:15AM0.65m | 10:56PM0.71m | 11:19AM0.59m | 11:55PM0.62m | 12:17PM0.51m | 00:47AM0.53m | 1:07PM0.44m | 1:35AM0.47m | |||||||
 |  |  |  |  | | | |  | | | | | |  |  | | | | |
 | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — |
 | — | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:06 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 6 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 13 |
Feels °C | 9 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | NE 10 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NNW 7 | N 7 | N 7 | N 8 | N 8 | N 7 | N 6 | N 6 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 7 | N 5 | ENE 10 | NNE 14 | NNE 13 |
| kJ | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 371 | 150 | 88 | 92 | 71 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 18 | 17 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 5 | N 9 | N 9 | — | E 9 | NE 9 | E 9 | E 10 | NE 16 | E 5 | NE 7 | NNE 6 | E 5 | E 6 | NE 14 | NE 8 | NNE 14 | ENE 10 | NE 12 |
| kJ | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 17 | 20 | 9 | 6 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 16 | E 10 | NE 17 | NE 15 | NE 8 | NE 14 | NNE 14 | E 5 | NE 14 | NE 13 | NE 13 | ENE 9 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 2 | 31 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 3 | NW 3 | N 4 | N 6 | NNW 7 | — | — | — | — | SW 2 | — | — | SW 3 | W 3 | WNW 3 | WSW 4 | SW 4 | SW 4 | WSW 4 |
| kJ | 1 | 2 | 8 | 149 | 594 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 46 | 52 | 30 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 370 | 370 | 370 | 377 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 58 | 65 | 86 | 58 | 22 | 22 | 104 | 22 | 22 | 358 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Northland | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tokatu Peninsula Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tokatu Peninsula provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tokatu Peninsula can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tokatu Peninsula surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tokatu Peninsula) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tokatu Peninsula may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Tokatu Peninsula is 49 km (30 miles) from the city of Northshore. If you plan a holiday in Northland, look for hotels and other accommodation in Northshore. Northshore has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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