Tokatu Peninsula surfForecast / Northland / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 12 pm Friday 16 Jan 2026 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Tokatu Peninsula surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Tokatu Peninsula sea temperature is
21.8° C
(Which is 1.8°C warmer than normal for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tokatu Peninsula this week:

The surf forecast for Tokatu Peninsula over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jan 16) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Tokatu Peninsula in the next 12 days are 4.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jan 21) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 5s period and expected on Thursday (Jan 22) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Fri 16th Jan)2ft (0.6m) 8s
Best Surf10PM (Fri 16th Jan)2ft (0.6m) 8s
Most Powerful 7PM (Wed 21st Jan)13ft (4.0m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tokatu Peninsula over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 24°C on Fri afternoon, min 18°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SSE on Sat morning, strong winds from the E by Sun night).

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Some drizzle, heaviest during Wed night. Warm (max 20°C on Wed afternoon, min 18°C on Tue night). Mainly strong winds.

Friday
16
Saturday
17
Sunday
18
Monday
19
Tuesday
20
Wednesday
21
Thursday
22
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.8
NNE
0.6
NNE
0.8
NE
0.8
NE
1
NE
1.8
ENE
2
E
1.8
E
2
E
2
E
3
E
3.5
E
3
E
3.5
E
3.5
E
3.5
E
3.5
E
4
ESE
2.1
N
1.6
N
1.3
E
Period(s) (?)6810997899999101010101010141311
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)373711097173290542506613621116917751672203924482214248128241671835408
Wind
(km/h)
15
W
20
WSW
15
WSW
10
SSE
20
ENE
40
E
35
E
35
E
40
E
45
ESE
50
E
45
E
45
E
45
E
40
E
40
ENE
40
ENE
45
ENE
55
ENE
65
ENE
65
NE
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
crosscross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
crosscrosscross-
off
crosscrosscross-
off
crosscrosscrosscrosscrosscrosscrosscrosscross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
High Tide
/ height (m)
6:19PM
2.15
7:02AM
2.27
7:08PM
2.20
7:45AM
2.34
7:53PM
2.26
8:26AM
2.42
8:37PM
2.33
9:06AM
2.48
9:20PM
2.38
9:46AM
2.53
10:03PM
2.42
10:28AM
2.56
10:47PM
2.45
Low Tide
/ height (m)
12:22PM
0.98
12:35AM
0.91
1:13PM
0.94
1:28AM
0.84
2:01PM
0.88
2:16AM
0.76
2:46PM
0.82
3:00AM
0.68
3:29PM
0.75
3:41AM
0.62
4:11PM
0.69
4:21AM
0.59
4:53PM
0.65
Friday
16
Saturday
17
Sunday
18
Monday
19
Tuesday
20
Wednesday
21
Thursday
22
Sunrise6:18--6:20--6:20--6:22--6:22--6:24--6:24--
Sunset-8:39--8:39--8:38--8:38--8:37--8:37--8:37-
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
light rain
mod rain
heavy rain
rain showers
Rain (mm)
-----2-----------1101110
Temp. °C232419202119191919191919191919192020202022
Feels °C (?)21221819191413131311101110111212131312916
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder

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Information about the Tokatu Peninsula Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Tokatu Peninsula provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Tokatu Peninsula can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tokatu Peninsula surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tokatu Peninsula) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tokatu Peninsula may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Tokatu Peninsula is 49 km (30 miles) from the city of Northshore. If you plan a holiday in Northland, look for hotels and other accommodation in Northshore. Northshore has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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