Surf Forecasts:
Tokatu Peninsula surf forecast from 24 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 29 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 7s period, NNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 29 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 7s period, NNE swell with 166 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 29 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 6s period with N swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tokatu Peninsula this week:
The surf forecast for Tokatu Peninsula over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 14s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tokatu Peninsula in the next 16 days are 1.3m 7s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 4s period and expected on Monday (Aug 31) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9AM (Sat 29th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 12PM (Sat 29th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 3PM (Sat 29th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tokatu Peninsula over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G'day, I'm Rusty. Let's see what's cooking for Tokatu Peninsula over the next couple of weeks.
Honestly mate, it's a quiet picture for the bulk of the 16 days. There's a long dry stretch from now right through to Saturday the 29th of August. Day after day of tiny swell and poor conditions, not a thing worth wetting a board. That's the first big gap. The only real flicker of life shows on that Saturday afternoon and again the following Tuesday morning, but even then, it's nothing to get excited about.
The pick of a sorry bunch is Saturday the 29th of August. We've got a northerly swell coming in at 4ft with a period of 6 to 7 seconds. That's short-period wind swell, so it'll be lumpy and lack any real push. The cross-off wind from the southwest is light, around 6 mph, so the surface should be clean and glassy. The combined swell energy on the Saturday afternoon is moderate at 254 (moderate wave energy). It's surfable, but ordinary. This spot is fairly exposed to east-northeast swells, and this northerly swell is a mismatch, so it's not gonna line up well.
There's another slight chance on Tuesday the 1st of September in the morning. The swell drops to a tiny 2ft from the northeast, with a 10-second period, and a light 6 mph cross-off breeze from the southwest. Combined energy is weak at 88 (weak). Again, clean surface but waves are small and weak.
After that, it's back to nothing. A bigger pulse hits on Friday the 4th of September with 6ft from the north, but the period is still short at 6 seconds, and the wind's onshore or cross-onshore, making it a mess. Not worth it. The water temp at Tokatu Peninsula is sitting at 57°, about average for this time of year.
For a beginner-friendly spot like Tokatu Peninsula, this is a rough run. The consistency isn't there for proper waves. Honestly, looks more like a kiteboarding setup than a paddle session, especially when that northerly wind swell kicks in with a messy wind. There's no standout day here. Saturday the 29th of August is your best chance if you're keen for a splash, but keep the hopes low.
Stay patient, Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed afternoon, min 11°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Fri night. Very mild (max 16°C on Sat afternoon, min 11°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WSW on Sat morning, fresh winds from the WSW by Sun morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 12 | N 12 | E 13 | E 13 | E 12 | N 13 | E 12 | N 12 | E 12 | NE 9 | N 4 | N 4 | N 5 | N 5 | N 6 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NE 10 | NE 9 | NE 9 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 43 | 71 | 124 | 166 | 61 | 45 | 77 | 62 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-on | on | on | on | on | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 4:24PM2.16m | 4:29AM2.11m | 5:16PM2.23m | 5:24AM2.16m | 6:01PM2.33m | 6:12AM2.25m | 6:41PM2.42m | 6:57AM2.34m | 7:21PM2.50m | 7:39AM2.43m | 8:01PM2.56m | 8:21AM2.50m | 8:42PM2.60m | |||||||
Low Tide | 10:35PM1.03m | 10:52AM0.96m | 11:29PM0.99m | 11:47AM0.89m | 00:18AM0.92m | 12:35PM0.80m | 1:01AM0.82m | 1:18PM0.71m | 1:43AM0.73m | 1:59PM0.63m | 2:24AM0.64m | 2:38PM0.58m | ||||||||
 |  | | |  | | | | | | |  |  |  |  | |  | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — |
 | 5:53 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:55 | — | — | 5:57 | — | — | 5:57 | — | — | 5:58 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | 1 | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 13 |
Feels °C | 10 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 5 | — | NE 10 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 10 | NE 10 | N 3 | N 3 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NNE 9 | NE 9 | NNE 9 | NE 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NE 9 | NE 9 |
| kJ | 2 | — | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 166 | 61 | 36 | 77 | 62 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 11 | NE 10 | — | E 13 | E 12 | — | E 12 | NE 10 | NE 10 | — | NE 7 | N 11 | N 11 | E 12 | E 14 | NNW 7 | N 7 | NE 10 | NW 6 | — |
| kJ | 5 | 4 | — | 3 | 3 | — | 3 | 4 | 4 | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 85 | 24 | 45 | 1 | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 12 | N 12 | E 13 | — | — | N 13 | N 10 | N 12 | E 12 | — | — | E 9 | — | — | — | E 13 | NE 11 | N 6 | E 12 | — |
| kJ | 3 | 3 | 3 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | 3 | 18 | 3 | 3 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 3 | SSW 3 | WSW 2 | SW 3 | WSW 3 | WSW 2 | — | W 2 | — | — | N 4 | N 4 | N 5 | N 5 | N 6 | — | SSW 4 | SSW 4 | SSW 4 | SW 4 |
| kJ | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | 14 | 21 | 43 | 71 | 124 | — | 13 | 14 | 11 | 21 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 203 | 203 | 203 | 203 | 203 | 203 | 280 | 257 | 103 | 65 | 65 | 103 | 68 | 358 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 112 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Northland | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tokatu Peninsula Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tokatu Peninsula provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tokatu Peninsula can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tokatu Peninsula surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tokatu Peninsula) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tokatu Peninsula may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Tokatu Peninsula is 49 km (30 miles) from the city of Northshore. If you plan a holiday in Northland, look for hotels and other accommodation in Northshore. Northshore has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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