Surf Forecasts:
Tokatu Peninsula surf forecast from 6 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 7 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 8s period, NNE swell with 534 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tokatu Peninsula this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Tokatu Peninsula in the next 16 days are 2.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Tue 7th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tokatu Peninsula over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, let’s talk Tokatu Peninsula.
The next two weeks are mostly a bust, mate. We’ve got a long stretch of nothing until the end of the period. The first real pulse doesn’t hit until Tuesday the 22nd of July, so we’re talking about a 2-week gap of small, weak surf. Most days the swell is 0.3 to 0.6 ft with low energy – combined energy mostly under 100. Winds are often offshore or clean, but the waves are tiny. For a beginner spot, those little ankle-biters might be okay for a longboard, but for any decent ride, you’re out of luck.
The only standout is on Tuesday the 22nd of July afternoon when a 10 ft NNE swell with a 7-second period arrives, and then Wednesday morning the 22nd we see a 12 ft N swell at 11 seconds. That’s huge energy – combined energy hits 2473. But the wind is cross-onshore at 19 mph and the conditions are lumpy. That’s a beast of a swell but messy. The direction (N) isn’t the ideal ENE for this break, so expect closeouts and chop. Only for experienced surfers who don’t mind a beating.
Before that, Wednesday 15th July afternoon offers a 3 ft NNW swell at 6 seconds with clean cross-offshore wind – combined energy 120 – but it’s small and inconsistent. Not a highlight.
So bottom line: mostly flat, then one big but messy swell at the very end. Beginners might enjoy the tiny clean days early on, but for the rest, the 22nd of July is the only real shot, and it’s not pretty.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 29mm), heaviest during Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed afternoon, min 12°C on Tue night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Fri morning, calm by Sat night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Mon 13 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 7 | N 8 | N 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | ESE 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | ESE 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 205 | 337 | 428 | 455 | 104 | 58 | 73 | 49 | 48 | 50 | 71 | 48 | 30 | 51 | 51 | 52 | 29 | 28 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross | cross | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | glassy | off | glassy | cross-off | glassy | on |
High Tide | 11:37PM2.43m | 11:58AM2.32m | 00:22AM2.41m | 12:45PM2.30m | 1:10AM2.38m | 1:38PM2.29m | 2:05AM2.36m | 2:41PM2.31m | 3:08AM2.36m | 3:53PM2.36m | 4:14AM2.39m | 5:01PM2.47m | 5:20AM2.46m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:08AM0.72m | 6:16PM0.80m | 6:56AM0.71m | 7:12PM0.84m | 7:48AM0.69m | 8:13PM0.84m | 8:43AM0.65m | 9:15PM0.81m | 9:41AM0.60m | 10:18PM0.75m | 10:41AM0.54m | 11:22PM0.67m | 11:44AM0.46m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | | | | | | | |  | | | | | | |
 | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:30 | — |
 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 |
mm | 6 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
Feels °C | 8 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | N 8 | E 10 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | E 7 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | ESE 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | ESE 9 |
| kJ | 31 | 337 | 30 | 455 | 104 | 48 | 73 | 49 | 48 | 50 | 71 | 48 | 30 | 51 | 51 | 52 | 29 | 28 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | E 10 | — | E 10 | E 6 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 9 | NE 8 | NE 8 | N 14 | N 13 | N 13 | N 12 | S 3 | N 12 | N 11 | N 11 | NE 4 | NE 4 | NE 4 |
| kJ | — | 30 | — | 30 | 24 | 44 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | N 12 | E 11 | NNE 8 | — | — | N 7 | — | — | — | — | — | N 12 | — | — | — | N 11 | N 12 | NE 12 |
| kJ | — | — | — | 11 | 37 | 58 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 7 | NNE 8 | N 8 | E 10 | S 5 | SSW 4 | SSW 4 | SSW 4 | SSE 2 | S 4 | S 5 | S 5 | S 4 | SSE 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 205 | 319 | 428 | 70 | 44 | 28 | 35 | 9 | 1 | 30 | 83 | 41 | 16 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 68 | 66 | 73 | 73 | 13 | 1 | 13 | 1 | 73 | 1 | 13 | 44 | 22 | 1 | 22 | 1 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 58 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Northland | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Tokatu Peninsula surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Tokatu Peninsula Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tokatu Peninsula provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tokatu Peninsula can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tokatu Peninsula surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tokatu Peninsula) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tokatu Peninsula may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Tokatu Peninsula is 49 km (30 miles) from the city of Northshore. If you plan a holiday in Northland, look for hotels and other accommodation in Northshore. Northshore has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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