Surf Forecasts:
Tokatu Peninsula surf forecast from 15 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Monday 17 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 7s period, E swell with 215 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tokatu Peninsula this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Tokatu Peninsula in the next 16 days are 1.4m 7s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 17) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.9m 6s period and expected on Monday (Aug 17) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Mon 17th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tokatu Peninsula over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, let’s have a look at this 16-day stretch for Tokatu Peninsula.
To be straight with you, it’s a quiet run on the whole. We’re looking at a gap of close to two weeks where there’s nothing really worth paddling out for. From Saturday the 15th right through to the middle of the following week, the swell is tiny and the conditions are poor. The energy is weak, barely scraping double digits (99 or less), and the waves just aren’t there. You could leave the board in the car.
The best of the whole outlook stacks up towards the very end. We’re talking about Friday the 28th of August through to the 29th. That’s when we finally see a proper pulse of swell push in. On Friday morning, we get a 7ft north swell with a moderate offshore breeze from the south – that’s clean conditions and the energy jumps right up (718). That’s the standout, no question. The wave size is getting up there, over 5ft, so it’s not ideal for beginners, but for anyone with a bit of experience, it’s a solid session. Saturday keeps that energy going (496–448) with 7ft to 6ft north swell and light offshore or cross-off winds, staying clean.
Earlier on the Thursday afternoon (27th), there’s a hint of life with a 6ft north-easterly swell (217 energy) and clean cross-off wind. It’s surfable, but the quality is ordinary – just a warm-up compared to what follows. And that’s about it for the whole window. The weekend of the 30th sees the swell drop back down again, losing its punch.
So, if you’re keen, pencil in Friday the 28th and Saturday the 29th of August. That’s the only time it’s worth the drive, and the conditions are set to be really good. For the rest, it’s a whole lot of waiting.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 20mm), heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 16°C on Sat afternoon, min 7°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Tue afternoon, calm by Thu afternoon). | |||||||||||||||||||
Sat 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 9 | ESE 8 | E 9 | E 8 | E 9 | E 9 | E 8 | E 10 | E 10 | E 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 69 | 96 | 50 | 32 | 8 | 104 | 96 | 51 | 37 | 23 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | glassy | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:04PM2.80m | 9:32AM2.69m | 9:50PM2.75m | 10:19AM2.64m | 10:35PM2.67m | 11:04AM2.57m | 11:18PM2.56m | 11:48AM2.47m | 00:02AM2.44m | 12:32PM2.36m | 00:47AM2.32m | 1:20PM2.25m | 1:35AM2.21m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:01PM0.33m | 3:32AM0.40m | 3:45PM0.39m | 4:15AM0.43m | 4:28PM0.49m | 4:58AM0.50m | 5:14PM0.61m | 5:42AM0.59m | 6:02PM0.73m | 6:26AM0.70m | 6:53PM0.84m | 7:13AM0.81m | 7:47PM0.93m | |||||||
 |  | |  |  | | |  | |  | | | | | | |  |  | | | |
 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — |
 | 5:46 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:51 | — |
mm | — | — | — | 1 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 12 |
Feels °C | 12 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 9 | ESE 8 | E 9 | E 8 | E 9 | E 9 | E 8 | E 10 | E 10 | E 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | E 8 | E 8 | E 6 | E 8 |
| kJ | 69 | 96 | 50 | 32 | 8 | 104 | 96 | 51 | 37 | 23 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 7 | — | — | SSW 4 | E 9 | — | — | N 11 | N 11 | N 11 | N 10 | — | E 7 | — | SSW 3 | — | — | — | E 8 | — |
| kJ | 30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | NE 9 | N 12 | — | — | N 11 | — | — | N 10 | N 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 3 | 3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 3 | SW 4 | SW 4 | W 4 | SE 4 | SSE 5 | S 4 | SSW 4 | S 4 | S 4 | SSW 4 | S 5 | S 4 | S 4 | S 3 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 3 | 22 | 21 | 9 | 59 | 78 | 33 | 29 | 15 | 21 | 46 | 71 | 28 | 10 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 163 | 307 | 13 | 13 | 22 | 48 | 22 | 22 | 157 | 59 | 67 | 58 | 58 | 107 | 203 | 203 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Northland | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)- Wind Speed (km/h)
FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website
The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Tokatu Peninsula surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Tokatu Peninsula Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tokatu Peninsula provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tokatu Peninsula can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tokatu Peninsula surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tokatu Peninsula) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tokatu Peninsula may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Tokatu Peninsula is 49 km (30 miles) from the city of Northshore. If you plan a holiday in Northland, look for hotels and other accommodation in Northshore. Northshore has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
Nearest