Tiki Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking for the next couple of weeks.

Alright, straight up, this is a pretty grim outlook for Tiki. We’ve got a solid 16-day window here, but it’s a real flat spell with a lot of junk wind. The first few days of the forecast are a write-off, with only tiny, weak swell and nothing worth paddling out for. The first real glimmer of hope doesn't even come until the very end of the first week.

The pattern kicks off on Friday, July 24th, with a weak 2 ft south swell at a sluggish 9 seconds. The combined energy is a measly 83, so there’s just no power. The wind is a light cross-off, which is about the only positive. The water is sitting at 52°F, which is about average for this time of year. Saturday the 25th is more of the same – tiny 2 ft swell, still weak. Sunday is even smaller. It’s just a real struggle.

The first potential break in the clouds comes on Wednesday, July 30th, but it’s a mess. The swell bumps up to 4 ft, but it’s a short-period 5-second wind swell with a direct onshore wind. That’s just a churned-up, choppy mess. The energy is 76, still weak. Not for surfing.

We finally get a small window of something better on Saturday, August 1st. The swell is 5 ft from the east, and the energy finally gets into a moderate range at 284. The problem is the wind is a moderate cross-onshore, making it choppy. It’s not great, but it’s the most interesting thing we’ve seen. You’ll be fighting the chop.

The pick of the entire period, if you can call it that, looks like Monday, August 3rd. The morning brings a 3 ft southeast swell with a 10-second period, giving it a bit more shape. The combined energy is a moderate 217. The real kicker is the light easterly cross-shore wind, which will keep the surface clean. It’s still a very small swell, but it’s the only time the wave quality and conditions line up. It’s a real beggars-can't-be-choosers situation. The break is a point, so it should handle this small swell direction better than a beach.

After that, the swell tries to pulse again on Thursday, August 6th, with a 5 ft south swell, but the wind is onshore, ruining it. The energy is 241, but it’s just not clean.

So, to be honest, there’s no proper standout here. The entire 16 days is a poor run. The only day that might be worth a look is Monday the 3rd, but keep your expectations on the floor. It’s a long wait for some very average waves.

Rusty.

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