Tiki Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’ve got the local picture for you. It’s a tough stretch ahead, so let’s get straight into it.

We’re looking at Tiki, a point break that’s fairly consistent and exposed to the south. The water is sitting at 54°, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year. That’s a nice little bonus, but don’t get too comfortable – the surf quality is going to be a real battle.

We kick off on Saturday the 8th of August, but honestly, it’s a write-off. Cross-shore winds at 25 mph and a combined swell energy of 363 (moderate) won’t save it. The 3-foot SSE swell is just getting chopped to pieces. Sunday the 9th offers a bit more size – 4 feet in the morning with cleaner cross-offshore wind, but the period is a short 7 seconds, so it’s weak and crumbly. The afternoon gets messy again.

The first real chance of something surfable doesn’t show up until Tuesday the 11th of August. It’s still marginal. The morning has a 6-foot SSE swell with a 12-second period, and the combined energy is a solid 780 (moderate to strong). The wind is a light cross-onshore, so it’s not perfect, but it’s the best we’ve seen. The long period means it’ll have some push, but this point break needs the right direction, and SSE is a bit off its optimum. It’s a gamble, but it’s the closest thing to a standout in this whole forecast.

After that, it’s a grim run. The wind stays onshore or cross-shore for days, constantly ruining the shape. There’s a brief, clean-looking moment on Sunday the 16th of August in the afternoon – 5 feet from the east, 9-second period, and light cross-offshore wind. The combined energy is 301 (moderate). It’s clean, but the swell is small and inconsistent. It’s the only other window that might be worth a paddle, but you’d be scratching for waves.

The second week is a write-off. Strong winds, messy chop, and onshore conditions dominate. The swell tries to pick up a few times, like a 7-foot SSW pulse on the 18th, but it’s accompanied by choppy, cross-onshore winds. That’s a beach-break setup for the kite surfers, not for us. The final few days are tiny, with combined energy dropping to 18 or 8, so don’t even bother.

The only true standout is the Tuesday morning, the 11th of August. It’s not a classic, but it’s the only session with decent size, a long period, and manageable wind. Every other day is a battle against the breeze. This is a famine, not a feast.

Rusty.

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