Tiki Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, friends, Rusty here. Let's give it to you straight for Tiki. It’s a bit of a tough stretch ahead, so we're gonna have to be patient. The ocean’s got some pulse, but the wind just won’t play nice for a good chunk of the time.

Right off the bat, the forecast is pretty bleak. We’re looking at a few days of poor, choppy conditions starting Friday the 11th. The swell is tiny at 1ft, but the onshore wind is going to chop it all up. Not worth the paddle. The water temp is sitting at 55°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so that’s a small silver lining.

We’ve got a real dry spell on our hands here. The surf stays small and windblown through the weekend and into early next week. There’s a bit of a bump in size on Saturday the 12th, but the wind is just going to ruin it. It’s a classic case of the ocean teasing us.

There's a small window on Monday morning, the 14th. It’s only around 2ft, but the wind is finally light and offshore, coming from the NNE, which will clean things right up. It’s not gonna be epic, but it will be surfable and crisp. The energy is weak though, only (144). You’ll be working for it.

The middle of the week is more of the same—small, crossed-up surf. We’re in a real waiting game.

Now, let's talk about the one time this outlook actually gets interesting. On Wednesday the 16th, a proper push of south swell arrives. We’re looking at 5ft of south swell with a 10-second period. The energy jumps way up to strong (535). This is real swell, but the wind is an issue again, coming onshore from the SSE. It’s going to be raw and bumpy. The saving grace is the period and size, but this might be more of a challenge than a treat.

Things ease off again through the weekend, and we're back to mostly small, messy conditions. There’s another small, clean window on Monday the 21st with light offshore winds and a little 3ft swell, but it's not much to write home about.

The real standout in this whole forecast, and I mean the *only* real standout, is the morning of Thursday the 24th. Looking at that long-range forecast, we see a 2ft SSE swell, but the wind is forecast to be light and directly offshore from the north. That will groom the break into something clean. It’s small, sure, but clean surf is usually better than big and messy. The energy is low at (68), so it’ll be a longboard or a fish kind of day. This is over a week away, so treat it as promising but not guaranteed.

After that, we’re back into a period of cross-shore winds and fading energy. A bigger S swell tries to fill in on the 26th, but the onshore wind will kill it again. For the Tiki area, this is just one of those stretches where you have to pick your moments.

Be smart, pick the clean windows, and don’t force it in the junk.

Rusty.

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