Tiki Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, checkin' in on our local zone. Gotta be honest, it’s gonna be a long, slow drag for anything worth paddling out for. For two weeks, we’re mostly looking at small, messy surf getting hammered by the wind. There’s a couple little glimmers, but you’ll need some patience.

Water temp is sitting around 51°F, which is about normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Only spot on the menu the whole time is Tiki (point). It’s a fairly consistent point break that lights up when the swell comes from the south, and it can get crowded sometimes. Right now, the outlook is pretty bleak until Saturday, July 26th.

We start Wednesday the 15th and Thursday the 16th with tiny, weak easterly windswell, around 2ft to 3ft, with a short period. The wind is cross-offshore, keeping the surface clean, but the wave energy is weak (83 to 92). It’s surfable, but you’ll be fighting for nothing. Friday the 17th is basically a total loss with rain and wind, and Saturday the 18th is onshore junk. Sunday the 19th morning, we get a little tease with glassy conditions and a 2ft easterly swell. The energy picks up a touch (135), but it’s still just ordinary small waves. Not worth the effort unless you’re really jonesing.

From Monday the 20th through to Friday the 24th, it’s a slog. The swell direction shifts to the SSE and SE, but the wind never does you any favors. It’s mostly cross-onshore or onshore, making for choppy, lumpy conditions. The swell stays mostly below 3ft, with energy ranging from weak to moderate. There’s a morning of glass on Thursday the 23rd with 4ft SE swell and a period of 9 seconds, giving us moderate energy (180). That’s a tiny window of clean but small waves. Still nothing to get stoked about.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting for the experienced crew. Saturday the 26th of July into Sunday the 27th, we see a proper pulse of south swell. Saturday afternoon sees 6ft swell from the south at 11 seconds, with very strong energy (907), but the wind is a fresh cross-shore, making it lumpy and tricky. Sunday the 27th morning keeps that 5ft SSE swell, but the period stretches to a long 12 seconds, and the energy is still very strong (610). The wind swings light onshore, so it won’t be perfect, but for a point break like Tiki, that long period south groundswell can wrap in with some real power. This is for experienced surfers only; that size and punch isn’t for beginners. The crowd might be on it, but it’s the best stretch of the whole outlook.

Then it fades quickly into the end of the month. Tuesday the 28th and Wednesday the 29th drop back to small, weak lines. Thursday the 30th morning offers glassy 2ft swell from the south with a very long 13-second period (123 energy), which is clean and pretty but just too small for most.

So, the standout here is the weekend of Saturday 26th and Sunday 27th of July. That south groundswell at Tiki is the only real power we see. It’s not perfect with the wind, but for a point break, it’s your best bet. The rest of the window is a long wait for small, average days.

Rusty.

Read more