Tiki Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. This is Rusty, talking about Tiki. The whole 16-day window is looking pretty average, to be honest. There’s a real run of poor, choppy conditions kicking things off, and it takes a solid week and a half before we see anything worth getting excited about. That said, there is a brief window that stands out, so let’s break it down.

We start off with nothing to recommend. From Tuesday the 18th of August right through to the 23rd, it’s all onshore slop. Winds are hammering in from the south and southwest, creating lumpy, messy conditions. On the 18th, we’ve got 5ft of short-period SSE windswell (combined energy of 169), but it’s blown out by a 19 mph SSE wind. Not a chance. That ugly pattern hangs around, with swell sizes up to 7ft on the 22nd, but the wind just tears it apart. It’s a write-off. Honestly, for that stretch, given the beach setup and the strong wind, this looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Then we finally get a glimmer. Monday the 24th of August is the standout. Early morning, the stars align. We get clean conditions thanks to a light cross-offshore breeze from the ENE at just 3 mph. The swell is a solid 6ft from the SSE, with a long-period of 13 seconds – that’s proper groundswell energy pushing in (combined energy of 1156). This is going to peel nicely at Tiki, which is a point break, so it’ll handle that longer period well. The water temp is about average for the time of year. This is the only real highlight in the entire outlook. Expect excellent, clean waves for experienced surfers. But you better get it early – by the afternoon, the wind swings onshore and the quality drops right off.

After that, it’s messy again. A southerly swell on the 28th and 29th offers a few clean windows early with cross-offshore breezes, but the swell is small and weak (2ft to 4ft), and the energy is low. The 25th and 27th have a little bit of clean 4ft to 3ft swell, but it’s not really enough to get excited over, and the ratings back that up. The whole second week is pretty lackluster. By the 1st of September, we’re looking at strong, messy winds again with gusty onshores, keeping things poor.

Final word: Monday the 24th of August, early morning, is the one and only call. Clean, long-period groundswell with a light offshore breeze at a point break. That’s your session. The rest is a waiting game.

Rusty.

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