Tiki Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a proper look at what’s coming our way at Tiki over the next couple of weeks.

First up, the water temp is about average for this time of year, so nothing weird there.

Honestly, the outlook is a bit of a slow burner. There’s a gap right now with no real surf to get excited about. We’ve got a few days of pretty ordinary conditions kicking off Wednesday the 2nd. Wednesday morning has some tiny 2ft swell from the east with a cross-off wind, so it’s clean but weak (76 combined energy). Not worth paddling out for. Wednesday afternoon is even smaller at 2ft, though the wind goes offshore. Still, the energy is dropping to 58 – just not enough to bother.

Thursday the 3rd sees a bit more push with a 3ft east swell and a longer 11-second period, giving us moderate energy (148), but the wind swings cross-off and then cross-shore, and the forecast calls it poor. Friday the 4th is messy with onshore and cross-shore winds, and Saturday the 5th gets a bit ugly – afternoon sees 5ft from the SSW but a fresh 19 mph cross-on wind making it lumpy (155 energy). Sunday the 6th is similar, with 5-6ft south swell but those fresh cross-onshore winds again, and energy jumps to 327-398. Not one for a smooth ride.

Monday the 7th brings the biggest swell of the period so far – 6ft from the SSE with a 10-second period, and energy hits 756. But it’s straight onshore wind, so it’s going to be a messy, blown-out mess. Only for the keen and kitted.

Tuesday the 8th offers a slight window. Morning has 4ft from the SE with a light cross breeze and moderate energy (232). It’s still only marginal, but it’s the best we’ve seen. If you’re desperate, it’s a paddle. Wednesday the 9th is a write-off with fresh cross-off winds and tiny surf.

Now, here’s where things get interesting. Thursday the 10th morning is the standout of the whole run. It’s glassy – flat calm wind, light rain, and 3ft of east swell with 7-second period. The combined energy is only 90, so it’s not powerful, but that glassy surface will make it look like a mirror. For a point break like Tiki, that’s about as clean as it gets. If you can get out, this is the session to chase.

After that, it’s back to the grind. Friday the 11th has onshore wind, Saturday the 12th has a bit more size (3ft, 13-second period, 476 energy) but it’s cross-on. Sunday the 13th and Monday the 14th are all cross or cross-off winds with mediocre energy. The second week looks patchy – a few clean moments on the 15th morning with a 2ft east swell and light offshore, but it’s tiny. The 16th and 17th get blown out by strong winds.

So, the clear winner here is Thursday morning, September 10th. That glassy, clean 3ft east swell at Tiki is the only time you’ll get real quality. Crowds are possible here sometimes, so get there early. For the rest, it’s mostly a waiting game.

Rusty.

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