Tiki Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s have a look at this. The 16-day window for Tiki is a real mixed bag, and honestly, there’s a lot of flat or poor stuff to wade through before you get to anything worthwhile. For the first several days, it’s a write-off. We’ve got clean-looking wind but hardly any swell, or messy cross-shore wind with small, weak waves. Monday the 6th and Tuesday the 7th have some size but with strong, cross winds and short-period junk, so it’s not worth the paddle out. From Wednesday the 8th through to about Friday the 10th, the swell drops right away – we’re talking tiny 1ft to 3ft waves with weak combined energy (as low as 48), so it’s basically flat with a bit of chop. Not surfable.

Then things start to look up a little on Saturday the 11th, but it’s only the morning that shows promise. We’ve got a small 2ft swell from the ESE with a very long 14-second period and near glassy, clean conditions. The combined energy is moderate at 347, so there’s some push, but it’s tiny – probably only rideable on a longboard or a big SUP. That morning is the first real highlight, but it’s fleeting. The afternoon gets wrecked by messy cross-shore wind.

The real standout – and the best on offer in this whole window – hits on Monday the 13th. Both the morning and afternoon see clean, near-offshore wind, with the swell picking up to 4ft to 4ft from the SE, period around 11 to 12 seconds, and combined energy solidly in the moderate range (362 to 437). This is proper surfable, lined-up groundswell. The south direction works well for Tiki, which is exposed to the south, and that offshore wind will keep it smooth. The water temp is around 51°F at the start, which is about average for this time of year, not too cold, not warm. This Monday is the session to aim for.

After that, from Tuesday the 14th onwards, it drops off again. The swell gets smaller (2ft to 2ft) and the energy drops way back. The wind is often clean or offshore, but there’s just not enough wave. The very long period (14 seconds) on Wednesday the 15th might give a few long lines, but at 2ft, it’s marginal for even a log. The rest of the second week, from the 17th, gets blown out by strong onshore wind and messy conditions, with some short-period stuff popping up, but nothing you’d call good. There’s a long gap of minimal surf from around the 15th right through to the 21st.

So, for the best bets: forget the first week. Monday the 13th is your window – clean, waist-to-shoulder high waves with proper energy. The Saturday morning of the 11th is a close second for the longboard crew, but it’s small. Otherwise, this is a lean stretch.

Rusty.

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