Bikini Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break it down.

We’re looking at a pretty bleak run for the next couple of weeks. There’s a gap of nearly a week with no real surf to speak of. The first decent chance doesn’t pop up until the morning of Wednesday, August 7th, but even then it’s just ordinary. The first real standout is a long way off.

Bikini (beach and point) is the only break on the cards, and it’s a tricky one. For a place that’s exposed to the south, the swell direction is often off. The water temp is sitting around 53°F, which is about normal for this time of year.

The whole first week is a write-off. From Wednesday, July 29th through to Tuesday, August 5th, it’s all poor surf conditions. Tiny swell, usually under 2 ft, and the wind is never quite right. You get some clean conditions on the Thursday morning (July 30th) with a clean cross-offshore breeze, but the swell is a pathetic 1 ft with a long 13-second period. That’s a groundswell, but there’s no energy to push it – combined energy is only 87. Not worth paddling for.

On Friday, August 1st, the wind goes offshore, but it’s strong at 22 mph, and the swell is just 1 ft. It’s too much wind for such a tiny wave. Saturday, August 2nd, sees a bump in swell to 3 ft, but it’s cross-shore and messy.

The first hint of something better is on the afternoon of Tuesday, August 5th. The wave comment calls it “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions” – that’s generous. It’s a 3 ft SSE swell with a clean cross-offshore breeze, but it’s only scoring a 1 out of 10. Not a standout.

The real action, if you can call it that, is way out on the horizon. The period from Monday, August 11th, to Wednesday, August 13th, sees a decent pulse of swell. The Monday morning (August 11th) brings a 3 ft SSE swell with a 13-second period, combined energy of 372, and a light cross-offshore breeze. That’s the best-looking window. The afternoon of that same day is even better on paper: 4 ft swell, 12-second period, glassy conditions, and a combined energy of 400. That’s the standout of the whole outlook. The wind is glassy, which is a massive positive. The swell direction (SSE) is a bit off for Bikini’s optimum (S), but with that energy and clean conditions, it’s worth a look.

However, Bikini is inconsistent, and this spot is a beach and point. With a long-period swell like that (12-13 seconds), the point might offer better shape than the beach. Also, the crowds are “often” here, so expect company if you go for that Monday.

After that, the Thursday (August 13th) morning looks okay with a 3 ft SSE swell and clean cross-offshore wind, but it’s a step down.

The big news is the only real standout is that Monday, August 11th, afternoon. It’s a long way off, so don’t set your watch by it, but it’s the best bet in a very quiet 16 days.

Rusty.

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