Bikini Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab your board and listen up, this is Rusty.

Alright folks, let's be straight about it. Bikini is our only break in the window, and honestly, it’s a bit of a mixed bag. The next couple of weeks are going to be a real test of patience. We've got a lot of messy, windy days to wade through before we see any real magic, and even that magic comes with a catch.

The first few days are pretty cooked. Thursday morning, August 13th, is blown out with a strong cross-shore and the water temp is sitting at 53°F, which is about average for this time of year. The swell is a weak 3ft from the south, but it’s got poor surf conditions, so not much to get excited about. The afternoon cleans up a bit with a 5ft SSE swell and some shoulder-high waves, and the combined energy jumps to a moderate 513. It’s looking rideable, but nothing that’ll blow your mind.

Friday and Saturday are a write-off. Strong winds from the east-northeast are making a mess of things. The swell drops right off, hitting a low of 2ft on Saturday morning with only 92 in combined energy. Saturday afternoon actually pushes 5ft, but it’s a short-period, sloppy windswell from the east with a period of just 6 seconds. That’s more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddling one if you ask me.

We get a little reprieve on Sunday morning, August 16th. The wind goes glassy from the NNE, and there’s a clean 4ft swell from the east. The combined energy is 190, so it’s weak, but those clean conditions are a rare treat. It’s the kind of session where you just enjoy being in the water, even if the waves are ordinary. After that, we hit another flat, windy stretch that lasts all the way through the end of the week. Tuesday morning, August 18th, offers a 5ft SSE swell, but southerly cross-onshore winds are just chopping it up, so it’s a no-go.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Mark your calendars for Monday, August 25th. It’s still a week and a half out, so take the long-range call with a grain of salt, but the charts are showing a proper groundswell from the SSE with a solid period of 11 seconds. The waves are hitting 6ft and the combined energy is a strong 858. The wind is off from the east, light, and clean. That is going to be a proper session for the experienced crew. This is the one to wait for.

Then, the real standout of the whole run hits on Wednesday, August 26th. We’re looking at a 16-second period groundswell from the southeast. That’s a very long period, which means it’s packing a punch and will run hard. The swell is 4ft in the morning, but the combined energy is a massive 1167. The wind is light and offshore from the east-northeast. The conditions are clean. This is the one. For experienced surfers, this is as good as it gets. Just keep in mind, with a period that long, it’s going to want to break a little straight on the beach, so the point break sections at Bikini are where you’ll want to be. It’s an advanced break that’s very consistent, and crowds are often present, so expect company.

Thursday morning, August 27th, still has some leftover energy with a 4ft SE swell and clean offshore wind. It’s a good option to keep the stoke going. After that, the forecast falls apart again as we head into the weekend.

In short: suffer through the slop this week, then get ready for some serious waves around the 25th and 26th of August. The potential is huge.

- Rusty

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