Bikini Surf Break

Lat Long: 34.88° S 54.77° W

Bikini Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 2 am 21 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Bikini sea temperature is
11.5° C
0.8° 

Bikini surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Bikini surf forecast from 21 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 24 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 12s period, S swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 14s period, SSE swell with 213 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 23 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 7s period with ESE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bikini this week:

The surf forecast for Bikini over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 23) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Bikini in the next 16 days are 0.7m 14s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 6s period and expected on Friday (Jul 24) at 3PM.

Wave TypeTime (-03) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6AM (Thu 23rd Jul)2.5ft (0.8m) 7s
Best Surf 9PM (Fri 24th Jul)2ft (0.6m) 12s
Most Powerful12AM (Sat 25th Jul)2.5ft (0.7m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bikini over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the menu for Bikini over the next couple of weeks.

Straight up, I’m not gonna sugarcoat it – the forecast is a tough one. We’ve got a big gap of near-zero surf to start. For the first week, there’s nothing really worth paddling out for. The pattern is dominated by weak, short-period windswell and messy cross-onshore winds. It’s going to be a quiet, frustrating few days on the beach.

The first possible glimmer comes on Thursday 23rd July. The morning brings a tiny 3ft swell from the ESE with a light breeze, and the conditions are clean. But at 7 seconds period, it’s weak and the combined swell energy is only 119 – that’s barely a ripple. It’s surfable for a longboard if you’re desperate, but it’s far from good.

The pattern stays flat and weak right through until the end of July. You’ll see a few pulses of energy, like on Friday 25th July with a combined energy of 242 from a 12-second S swell, but the wind is cross-on and the height is only 2ft. Not enough to get excited about. Saturday 26th and Sunday 27th offer clean, offshore winds in the mornings, but again, the swell is tiny – 2ft to 3ft – and the energy is low.

The real standout, and the only one worth marking on your calendar, is Tuesday 4th August. Now, this is a long way out, so treat it as promising but not locked in. The morning of the 4th shows a 4ft swell from the S, but with a very long period of 15 seconds. That’s groundswell, and it’s packing a combined energy of 914 – that’s serious juice. The wind is cross-off and clean. The catch? This is a beach and point set-up, and a 15-second period groundswell can break a bit too straight on a beach. It’s more of a point or reef wave, but Bikini has a point, so it could line up nicely for the advanced crew. The afternoon picks up to 6ft from the ESE with a shorter 8-second period, but a still strong 602 energy reading. The wind stays clean. This is the only day that looks genuinely good.

Bottom line: The first week and a half is a write-off. You’re looking at mostly flat, weak, or wind-affected conditions. The one true highlight is the 4th of August. The water temperature is sitting at 53°F, which is about 1°F warmer than normal for this time of year – nothing unusual, just a touch on the mild side for Bikini.

Rusty out.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu morning, min 11°C on Tue morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
Friday
24
Saturday
25
Sunday
26
Monday
27
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
2
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
SSE
7
1.6
SE
6
1.4
SE
6
1.4
SSE
6
1.4
SSE
6
0.9
ESE
7
0.8
ESE
7
1.1
ESE
7
1
E
7
0.6
ESE
8
0.6
S
13
0.7
SSE
14
0.7
S
12
0.9
E
8
1
E
8
0.9
E
9
0.8
E
9
0.7
E
9
0.7
E
9
0.7
E
9
0.7
E
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
116
201
153
137
150
84
71
107
100
45
123
213
153
98
142
126
102
78
80
78
80
Wind (km/h)
20
SSE
20
SSE
20
SE
20
SSE
25
SSE
10
SE
10
E
20
ENE
15
NE
20
ENE
20
ENE
5
NE
10
S
10
SSW
10
NNE
10
NW
5
WNW
10
N
15
NNE
15
N
10
NW
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
on
off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
High Tide
1:11PM0.30m
2:19AM0.20m
5:55AM0.20m
2:08PM0.30m
3:42AM0.19m
3:06PM0.30m
4:51AM0.19m
4:00PM0.30m
5:37AM0.19m
4:50PM0.30m
6:16AM0.19m
5:37PM0.31m
6:52AM0.19m
6:21PM0.31m
Low Tide
9:33PM0.04m
4:14AM0.19m
10:26PM0.05m
5:16AM0.19m
11:20PM0.06m
10:43AM0.17m
00:15AM0.06m
8:41AM0.18m
1:09AM0.06m
9:11AM0.17m
1:59AM0.06m
9:46AM0.17m
2:45AM0.07m
light rain
light rain
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
cloud
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:41
7:39
7:39
7:39
7:39
7:37
7:37
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:49
5:50
5:51
5:51
5:52
5:52
5:52
 mm
1
1
1
3
Temp °C
12
12
12
12
12
12
13
13
12
14
14
12
12
12
11
14
16
14
17
19
16
Feels °C
8
8
9
7
7
10
9
8
8
9
10
11
10
10
10
12
15
13
15
17
15
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Bikini Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Bikini provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bikini can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bikini surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bikini) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bikini may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Bikini is 17 km (11 miles) from the city of San Carlos. If you plan a holiday in Uruguay - South, look for hotels and other accommodation in San Carlos. San Carlos has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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