Bikini Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Well, I gotta be straight with you—this stretch of 16 days at Bikini is a real mixed bag, and honestly, mostly a bit of a struggle. We’re looking at a long, quiet start with only tiny, weak swell and cross or onshore winds, so if you’re hoping for a decent wave, you’ll be waiting a while. The water temperature sits at 53°, which is about normal for this time of year—nothing special there.

The first real pulse of energy doesn’t show up until the weekend of the 22nd of August. On Saturday morning, we’ve got a 5ft swell from the south with a period of 11 seconds, pushing a moderate 608 units of combined energy. The wind is cross-onshore from the WSW at 12 mph, so it’s gonna be choppy—not ideal. That swell builds through Sunday, with the morning bringing 7ft from the south (11 seconds, 1146 energy) and onshore winds from the SSW at 16 mph, making for lumpy, poor conditions. By Sunday afternoon, the swell hits 8ft from the south (13 seconds, 1892 energy), but it’s still cross-onshore and choppy. That’s big, powerful, long-period groundswell, but the wind is just ruining it. This is expert-only territory, and even then, it’s messy.

Monday the 24th of August offers a slight improvement. The swell drops to 5ft from the SSE (12 seconds, 720 energy) in the morning with light cross-shore wind from the ESE at 6 mph, and the afternoon cleans up with a 5ft SSE swell (11 seconds, 505 energy) and a cross-offshore breeze from the east at 12 mph. Conditions are marginal, but the afternoon session is the best window in the whole forecast—cleaner lines, but still not a standout. The swell direction is from the SSE, which is close to the optimum south for Bikini’s exposed setup, but it’s a bit off.

After that, it’s back to small, weak surf for the rest of the week and into September. Tuesday the 25th of August has a 3ft SSE swell with offshore winds from the NE at 16 mph, but it’s tiny and ordinary. The following days drop to 1ft or less, and the winds switch around—some clean, some choppy. The combined energy values are in the double digits, telling you there’s just no power. There’s a gap of several days with no real recommendations, and the final few days of the forecast show a little more swell around the 1st of September, but the wind is onshore and the conditions are poor again. Bikini is a beach and point setup that’s very consistent, but with this run of bad wind and small waves, it’s not offering much. If you’re a kite surfer, the strong southerly winds on the 21st and 31st of August might be more interesting than paddle surfing.

Nothing here is a true standout. The best bet is the Monday afternoon on the 24th of August, but even that’s just marginal. Keep an eye on the forecast—it tends not to stay this poor for long.

Rusty.

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