Bikini Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

The next couple of weeks are a real mixed bag for us. The first week is a bit of a write-off, with messy winds and lumpy conditions spoiling the fun. Things start to look up towards the end of the period, but it’s a long wait. There’s no surf worth paddling out for until Tuesday, August 11th, so a few days of flat or junk to sit through.

Let’s start with Bikini. It’s an exposed beach and point break, and it takes a south swell. The water is sitting at a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, around 54°.

The first real chance to get wet comes Tuesday, August 11th. Early morning we’ve got a 6 ft SSE swell with a 12-second period. The combined swell energy is moderate at 767, and the wind is a light cross-onshore. It’s still pretty average, scoring marginal at best. The afternoon cleans up a bit though – the wind shifts to a gentle cross-shore and the swell bumps up a fraction to 5 ft SSE, with a longer 12-second period. The energy climbs to 1150, which is solid. The cross-shore wind is slight, so you’ll have some chop but it’s the best of a bad bunch for the day. It’s still only a marginal call, but you could get some.

Wednesday morning, August 12th, looks like the true standout of this first week. The wind goes cross-offshore and light, making for clean waves. The swell is a 5 ft SSE at 11 seconds, with moderate energy (479). It’s not big, but the conditions will be good for a surf. The break is advanced level and can be crowded, so expect some company.

After that, we slide back into poor form. From Thursday through to Saturday, August 15th, it’s mostly cross-shore or onshore winds with small, weak swell. The energy drops into the low 100s and even down to 17 on August 20th. The wind picks up strongly again from the south-southwest on the 21st, and the swell is tiny and short-period – just 1 ft to 3 ft with 4 to 5-second periods. That’s barely a ripple.

There’s a long gap of nothing really recommended from Thursday, August 13th, right through to Saturday, August 22nd. The surf is just too poor to bother with.

The real promise comes in the second week. On Sunday, August 23rd, we start to see some life again. The morning brings a 6 ft S swell with a 12-second period and a light cross-shore wind. The energy is 809. It’s still a marginal call, but it’s better. Then Monday, August 24th, the swell builds to 6 ft SSE with a 13-second period, and the energy jumps to 1162. The wind goes cross-offshore, so the surf should be clean.

The best of the whole forecast looks to be Monday afternoon, August 24th. A 7 ft SSE swell with a very long 16-second period is forecast, with a massive combined energy of 2509. That’s a lot of juice. The wind is cross-offshore from the east-northeast, keeping things clean. At 7 ft, this is for advanced surfers only – it will be too big for beginners. The long period means it’s going to be powerful and hold up well at the point. It’s a stand-out, but it’s over a week away, so keep an eye on it.

Stay safe and pick your moments.

Rusty.

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