Bikini Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s break down what Bikini’s got cookin’ over the next couple weeks. It’s a slow burn early on, with a lot of windblown junk, but we do get a couple sweet windows to make it worth your while.

We start off on Friday the 4th of September and honestly, it’s a total mess. Strong cross-onshore winds are tearing up the surface, and the swell’s just moderate in energy (168). The water’s sitting about 56°, which is a touch warmer than usual for the season, but you won’t be enjoying it with that chop. Saturday and Sunday are more of the same—lumpy, cross-onshore, and not worth paddling out. The swell hits 8ft on Sunday morning, but with onshore wind, it’s just a blown-out wall (combined energy 705). This looks more like a kite surfing session than a paddle one right now.

Now, Monday the 7th is where we get our first real chance. The wind swings offshore from the NNE at only 3 mph early, and that southerly swell is clean with a solid 4ft and a decent 9-second period (combined energy 228). The water temp is still that touch warmer than normal. This is the standout of the first week—clean, lined-up waves at Bikini, an exposed beach and point break that loves the S swell. Just keep in mind, the crowd factor is “often,” so you might have some company, but for conditions this clean, it’s worth the fight.

Tuesday the 8th morning is okay too—smaller at 3ft but still clean with light offshore winds. After that, we hit a real flat spot. From Wednesday the 9th right through the weekend of the 12th and 13th, it’s tiny, weak, and ugly. Combined energy drops to pathetic levels like 28 and 37. There’s no swell to work with, and the wind’s all over the place. That’s a frustrating 4-5 day gap with nothing on offer.

Then, on Monday the 14th of September, things start to look promising again. We get a 4ft easterly swell rolling in with an 11-second period, and light offshore flow (combined energy 457). The conditions are clean, and this is a solid groundswell for a point break setup like Bikini. Tuesday the 15th morning is also a beauty—offshore wind at 12 mph, 3ft of clean, lined-up easterly swell. The energy is still moderate (210), but the quality will be there. This is your second standout window. The long period is best for the point break at Bikini rather than the beach, but it’ll still give you some nice runners.

Wednesday the 16th has a glassy morning, but the swell is fading. After that, we’re back into a mixed bag with increasing south swells and onshore winds through the 17th and 18th. The good news? Saturday the 19th morning finishes the outlook on a high—moderate offshore wind from the NE, 4ft S swell, and clean conditions with moderate energy (257). A nice way to wrap it up, though we’re getting into that long-range territory where things can change.

Overall, the first week is a struggle, but lock in Monday 7th morning, then the Monday 14th morning through Tuesday 15th morning for your best chances at clean, fun waves at Bikini.

Rusty.

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