Bikini Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The outlook for Bikini (Bikini) is a bit of a slow burn over the next two weeks. The first week is mostly a write-off for any decent surf, but there’s a light at the end of the tunnel with a couple of promising sessions in the second week.

Right now, the water temp is sitting at 51°F, which is about average for the time of year, so nothing crazy there.

For the first few days, from Wednesday the 15th through to the weekend, we’re looking at small, weak swell. Heights are hanging around 2ft to 3ft from the east, with a short, weak period. The combined energy is low, ranging from 73 to 120, so it’s pretty limp. The wind is blowing offshore from the NNE, which is clean, but the swell just isn’t there to get excited about. It’s surfable, but very ordinary. Thursday afternoon sees a slight bump in period to 11 seconds, but the swell height is still tiny, and the energy only hits 116. Not a standout.

Friday the 17th gets worse with a risk of thunderstorms and cross-off winds, making the conditions poor. The weekend continues in the same vein, with onshore winds and messy, weak waves. By Monday the 20th, the swell height picks up to 5ft from the SE, but the period is a poor 5 seconds, and the wind is a fresh cross-shore, creating lumpy, choppy conditions. Not worth paddling out for.

Tuesday the 21st sees the biggest swell of the period so far, 6ft from the SSE, but it’s a messy, wind-affected mess with a fresh cross-onshore breeze. The combined energy jumps to 568, but the quality is poor. That’s a big, ugly wave for experts only, and honestly, with that wind, it might be more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. The real standout comes on Sunday the 26th of July. The morning session at Bikini is looking clean with a gentle offshore breeze from the NE. Swell is 4ft from the south with a very long period of 12 seconds, giving it real groundswell power. The combined energy is a solid 473. This is the best on offer – clean, powerful, and well-shaped. Keep in mind that long period south swell like this can be a bit straight at the beach, but Bikini’s point setup should handle it nicely. Crowds are often here, so expect company.

Then Monday the 27th is another gem. The morning is light offshore from the NNE with 3ft south swell, and the afternoon goes glassy with a 4ft SSE swell and a very long period of 13 seconds. The combined energy hits 418, and glassy conditions are a major positive. That afternoon session is the absolute pick of the whole forecast.

After that, the swell drops off again through the end of the month, with smaller, less consistent waves and onshore winds returning by Wednesday the 29th.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a total blank. The second week delivers a couple of really good days. The standout is Sunday the 26th and Monday the 27th, with Monday afternoon being the real winner – clean, glassy, and powerful. Just be ready for a crowd.

Rusty.

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