Bikini Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what Bikini has in store for us over the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, so let’s get into it.

We’ve got some solid energy rolling in, but the timing with the wind is going to be everything. Most of the first week is a write-off thanks to strong, onshore wind tearing up the otherwise decent swell. You’ll want to be patient and pick your sessions carefully.

The standout window is shaping up to be Monday the 14th and into Tuesday the 15th. Monday morning the 14th, we’ve got a clean 4ft swell from the east with a nice long 11-second period, and a light cross-offshore breeze. It’s not huge, but the quality will be there. The real magic, though, looks to be Monday afternoon the 14th. We get a glassy 4ft easterly swell, and when Bikini goes glassy, it's a rare treat. That’s your best shot at some proper fun waves with nobody else on them.

Before that, there’s a glimmer of hope on Monday the 7th. The morning shows a clean 4ft southerly swell with a light cross-offshore wind. It’s not a massive standout, but it’s the first decent chance after a rough start.

After the 14th, things go quiet again. We get a couple of small, clean windows on the 18th and 19th with some glassy conditions, but the swell drops right off, so it’s small-wave gear only.

Imperial Units

The water is sitting at 56°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year at Bikini. That’s a nice little bonus.

Overall, the best call is Monday the 14th. Aim for the afternoon glass-off. It won’t be big, but the conditions will be as good as it gets. The forecast confidence for that call is decent as it’s within the first week.

The early part of the run is frustrating. Strong southwesterly winds on the 5th and 6th make the 6ft to 8ft southerly swell (combined energy hitting up to 879) totally messy and onshore. Not worth it. The swell direction from the south is right for the break, but with 18 to 25 mph winds, it’s a battle.

We then see a gap of poor, small swell until the Monday the 7th. The 11th and 12th see another round of strong cross-onshore winds with a short period swell that’s blown out.

After the 15th, it’s mostly small, weak easterly swells. The 18th and 19th offer small glassy windows but with combined energy as low as 53, it’s very weak. The wind on the 20th is offshore but the swell is tiny. For the second week, expect small, inconsistent surf. You might get a knee-high wave on a glassy morning, but don’t get your hopes up.

So, in a nutshell: wait for that Monday the 14th and make the most of it.

Rusty.

Read more