Bikini Surf Break

Lat Long: 34.88° S 54.77° W

Bikini Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 2 pm 10 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Bikini sea temperature is
10.8° C
0.3° 

Bikini surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Bikini surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 11 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 11s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 11 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 11s period, ESE swell with 400 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 11 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 11s period with ESE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bikini this week:

The surf forecast for Bikini over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Bikini in the next 16 days are 1.3m 11s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 16) at 3PM.

Wave TypeTime (-03) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)12AM (Sat 11th Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 11s
Best Surf12AM (Sat 11th Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 11s
Most Powerful12AM (Sat 11th Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bikini over the next 16 days.


Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s up for Bikini.

Water temp is around 51°F, which is dead average for this time of year – nothing unusual.

First part of the outlook is pretty slow. From the start there’s a long stretch of small, unremarkable surf right through until Tuesday, July 15th. You’ll see waves mostly from 2ft to 3ft, with weak energy readings (between 93 and 413), and conditions are just so-so. Nothing’s really worth paddling out for until we get a bit more juice.

The one true standout, and the only day I’m really excited about, is Tuesday, July 22nd. Bikini gets a nice push of swell – about 5ft from the SSE, with a 10-second period. That’s a proper groundswell, and the energy reading is a solid 373. Wind’s light from the ENE, so expect clean, cross-off conditions. This spot is for advanced riders and it’s very consistent, so you’ll score. Just know it gets crowded often, so get there early. That’s your best bet, no contest.

Later on, around Thursday, July 24th into Saturday, July 26th, the swell gets bigger – up to 7ft and even 8ft from the east and southwest. But the wind turns messy, cross-shore and strong, so it’ll be lumpy and choppy. Not the kind of conditions you want unless you’re on a kite. It’s big enough for experts only, but the quality isn’t there.

Bottom line: If you can surf Tuesday, July 22nd, that’s the session. The rest is either flat or too sloppy to bother.

This is Rusty, signing off.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Mon morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Sat night, calm by Mon morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Wed night. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed afternoon, min 9°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Fri
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
1
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
SE
11
1.3
ESE
11
0.9
ESE
11
0.9
ESE
14
0.9
ESE
13
0.8
ESE
13
0.7
ESE
13
0.7
ESE
12
0.6
ESE
12
0.6
SE
11
1.1
ESE
11
0.9
ESE
10
0.9
ESE
10
0.9
ESE
8
0.7
E
8
0.7
E
8
0.7
E
12
0.7
E
11
0.5
E
11
0.5
E
11
0.8
E
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
328
400
191
277
249
192
147
125
93
97
256
184
169
120
61
68
139
123
64
68
72
Wind (km/h)
25
E
15
ENE
10
NNW
15
W
30
W
30
SW
25
SW
10
S
5
WSW
10
ENE
15
NNE
15
NNE
15
N
10
NNW
5
N
10
ENE
15
NE
20
NNE
15
NNE
20
N
10
NNE
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
on
cross-on
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
off
off
High Tide
3:24PM0.36m
4:47AM0.19m
4:28PM0.39m
5:41AM0.19m
5:31PM0.41m
6:30AM0.19m
6:31PM0.42m
7:17AM0.21m
1:28PM0.14m
7:29PM0.42m
8:05AM0.23m
1:40PM0.13m
8:25PM0.39m
8:53AM0.25m
1:58PM0.13m
9:20PM0.36m
9:41AM0.27m
Low Tide
11:58PM0.00m
7:36AM0.15m
1:01AM-0.01m
8:45AM0.14m
2:03AM-0.01m
9:47AM0.12m
3:03AM0.00m
2:17PM0.14m
3:58AM0.02m
3:40PM0.11m
4:50AM0.04m
12:42PM0.12m
5:40AM0.06m
cloud
light rain
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
mod rain
mod rain
light rain
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:45
7:45
7:45
7:43
7:43
7:43
7:43
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:42
5:43
5:44
5:44
5:45
5:45
5:45
5:46
 mm
1
1
6
8
6
5
Temp °C
12
11
11
13
10
11
10
11
11
14
13
12
15
13
14
16
14
15
15
16
20
Feels °C
7
7
9
10
6
7
5
8
10
12
10
7
11
10
11
13
11
12
13
14
20
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Bikini Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Bikini provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bikini can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bikini surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bikini) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bikini may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Bikini is 17 km (11 miles) from the city of San Carlos. If you plan a holiday in Uruguay - South, look for hotels and other accommodation in San Carlos. San Carlos has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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