Bikini Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Bikini.

Honestly, mate, if you’re looking to get excited, you’re going to have to be patient. The next week and a half is mostly a write-off – small, weak, and messy. The first real glimmer of hope doesn't show up until late in the run, and even then, it’s not a classic. The water temp is sitting at 51°F, which is about what you’d expect for the time of year, so nothing wild there.

The first recommendation kicks off on Tuesday 14 July. Bikini is a beach and point setup, advanced level, and it's very consistent, but what’s on offer is just ordinary. Tuesday afternoon sees a weak 3ft swell from the ESE with a period of 9 seconds – that’s a short period windswell, not much push. The energy is low (144). The north wind is offshore though, keeping things clean, so it’s surfable, but it’s not going to get your heart racing.

Wednesday 15 July is even smaller – 2ft in the morning, dropping to 2ft in the afternoon. Wind is gentle and offshore from the NNE. It’s clean, but tiny. Energy is weak (83 and 69). Not worth paddling out for unless you’re desperate.

Thursday 16 July is a bit of a mixed bag. The morning is small (2ft) from the east with a cross-offshore wind – clean, but nothing special. The afternoon gets a bit more interesting with the swell period jumping to 11 seconds and the energy climbing to 118. That’s a longer period groundswell, which at a point break like Bikini can start to wrap in and shape up a bit better. But at 2ft, it’s still small. The wind is offshore from the NNE, so it’s clean. Still, it’s just ordinary.

Friday 17 July is a write-off – poor conditions, with a risk of thunderstorms and onshore winds by the afternoon. Saturday 18 July starts clean in the morning (3ft, 10 seconds, 127 energy) but the wind swings cross-on in the afternoon and it gets choppy. Sunday 19 July is a mess, with onshore winds and a short, lumpy 3ft swell from the south. Monday 20 July is clean with cross-offshore winds, but the swell is short period (5-6 seconds) and the energy is moderate (103-127) – it’s just not forming proper waves.

Tuesday 21 July sees a jump in size to 6ft from the SSE, but the period is short (8 seconds) and the wind is howling. The energy is strong (372), but it’s going to be a lumpy, wind-affected mess. That’s more of a kite-surfing day than a paddle-surfing one. Wednesday 22 July improves a bit – 4ft from the SE with a 9-second period, and the afternoon has clean cross-offshore winds. The energy is solid (270), but the face is likely to be a bit jumbled. It’s marginal.

The next few days (23rd to 25th) are all small and ordinary or poor. Nothing to get out of bed for.

Now, here’s the standout. Monday 27 July – the morning session looks like the pick of the whole forecast. The swell is 4ft from the SSE with a 10-second period, and the energy is strong (327). The wind is a slight cross-offshore from the NE – just about glassy. That’s clean, decent-sized, and has some proper groundswell energy. Bikini’s point should handle that SSE direction well. It’s the best on offer.

Tuesday 28 July is also a ripper. The morning is glassy – flat calm with a 3ft, 12-second period SSE swell. That’s a very long period groundswell, and the energy is pumping (311). For a point break, that’s perfect. The afternoon is clean too, with even more energy (439). Crowds are likely at Bikini, so get in early.

After that, it falls apart again. Wednesday 29 July is a poor onshore mess.

So, to sum it up: the first week is mostly small and ordinary. The real action is on Monday 27 July morning and Tuesday 28 July – that’s your window for clean, solid, long-period groundswell at Bikini. It’s a long way off, so keep an eye on the forecasts, but it’s looking promising.

Rusty.

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