Bikini Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on offer at Bikini. To be straight with you, this is a tough run. We are looking at a long, drawn-out stretch of very ordinary conditions before anything worth paddling out for shows up. The forecast is currently loaded with onshore, cross-shore, and cross-offshore winds, mixed with some real short-period, weak energy pulses.

The water temp here is sitting at 52°F, which is pretty much bang on average for the time of year, nothing wild there.

The first glimmer of hope doesn’t arrive until Thursday the 3rd of September. Thursday morning brings a bit of a shift. We get a lovely offshore breeze from the NNE at 9 mph. The swell is a modest 3 ft out of the south with a period of 9 seconds. The combined swell energy is sitting at 191 (moderate). It’s not epic, and the score is honestly just "surfable", but with that clean offshore wind, it’s the best we’ve seen in days. Thursday afternoon stays clean with offshore NE wind, but the swell drops to 3 ft and energy fades to 125.

Friday the 4th of September morning is tricky. There is a long-period groundswell (15 seconds) from the SSE, but it’s only 2 ft. At a spot like Bikini, which is a beach and point setup, that very long period could just slide past the beach breaks and only line up on the point. The energy is moderate (189), but the actual wave height is tiny. The wind is light cross-off from the NNW, so it would be clean, but you’d need a log.

The real standout in this whole 16-day window is Wednesday the 10th of September afternoon. That’s the one to circle on the calendar if you can wait. We get a 3 ft southerly swell with a solid 11-second period, delivering a combined energy of 273 (moderate). The wind is light cross-off from the east at 12 mph, keeping things reasonably clean. It’s still not firing, but compared to the rest of this run, that afternoon is the best opportunity for a proper wave. Expect the swell to hold some shape on the point.

Everything after that falls away again. Friday the 11th of September morning has a little bump of 2 ft south swell with light offshore NNE wind at 6 mph, and that’s about it before the window closes.

For the most part, the consistency is there, but the quality is not. The swell direction is from the south and southeast, and this break wants it from the south, so the exposure is right, but the wind just ruins the party for day after day. If you're a kite surfer, those days with strong cross-off winds and a bit of chop might look way more appealing than they do for a paddle surfer. The first week is basically a right-off. Thursday the 3rd is the first real chance to get wet, but Wednesday the 10th afternoon is your best bet if you're holding out for a decent session.

Rusty.

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