Bikini Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here, locking in on what’s happening for your local stretch, Bikini. It’s a beach and point set-up, pretty exposed, and it needs a solid southerly pulse to light up. We’ve got a decent run ahead, but we gotta wade through some messy weather first.

The pattern starts off frustrating. Sunday the 16th looks okay on paper with a 4ft easterly swell, but the wind is light offshore early, so there’s a brief clean window. That said, the combined wave energy is moderate (241), and the swell period is short at 8 seconds, so it won’t have much punch. Still, it’s the first rideable option. By afternoon, the wind swings and things fall apart.

Monday the 17th through Wednesday the 19th is a write-off. The wind is mostly cross-onshore, the rain is heavy, and the swell is small and weak. Energy readings drop into the double digits for a couple of days (50, 40, 23). The best you can say is Wednesday morning is clean with a tiny 3ft southerly, but it’s weak.

We get a brief tease Thursday afternoon (20th August) – a 4ft easterly swell with light offshore wind and clean conditions. Energy is back up to moderate (103), but again, short period. It’s surfable, but not memorable.

Then we hit a big, windy, messy zone. Friday the 21st through Sunday the 23rd sees strong onshore and cross-onshore winds, with solid swell (6ft to 8ft) but terrible conditions. The energy gets strong (700, 937, even up to 1728 on the 23rd), but it’s blown out junk. That’s kite-surfing territory, not paddling.

Here’s the standout. Monday the 24th is just okay (marginal), but Tuesday the 25th is where it’s at. The morning is clean, with a 6ft SSE groundswell. The period jumps to 13 seconds – that’s a proper long-period swell with real push. The combined energy is high (983). The wind is a light offshore (ENE) breeze. For a spot that likes S to SSE swell, this is lining up well. It’s going to be clean, powerful, and with that longer period, the sets will be spaced out, making paddling out easier. This is the best session on offer. The water temp is about 53°F, which is about normal for this time of year, so no major surprises there. Just be aware Bikini is often crowded, so expect company.

Wednesday the 26th and Thursday the 27th are still rideable as the swell drops, with clean conditions and offshore winds, but the energy fades fast (405 down to 138). By the end of the month (the 29th onward) it gets tiny and weak again – ankle-biters with no power. There’s a long gap of small, poor surf from the 29th through to the 31st, so don’t hold your breath for that last week.

In short, don’t waste your energy on the first week’s junk. Point the van at Tuesday the 25th morning on the incoming tide for the best, cleanest, most powerful waves we’ll see in this stretch.

Rusty.

Read more