Bikini Surf Break

Lat Long: 34.88° S 54.77° W

Bikini Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 2 pm 17 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Bikini sea temperature is
10.9° C
0.1° 

Bikini surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Bikini surf forecast from 17 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 19 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 7s period, S swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period, S swell with 871 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 18 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 10s period with E swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bikini this week:

The surf forecast for Bikini over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Bikini in the next 16 days are 2.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 10s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 18) at 12AM.

Wave TypeTime (-03) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 3AM (Sat 18th Jul)2.5ft (0.7m) 10s
Best Surf 3PM (Sun 19th Jul)7ft (2.2m) 7s
Most Powerful 6PM (Sun 19th Jul)8ft (2.5m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bikini over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G'day, this is Rusty.

Look, I'll be straight with you—this isn't a classic stretch. The next few weeks at Bikini are a real mixed bag. For the first week and a bit, it's pretty grim. We're looking at a long dry spell from Friday the 17th right through to the end of the following week, with nothing really worth suiting up for. The water's sitting at 52°F, which is pretty much bang on for this time of year, so no excuses there.

Things are dead quiet initially. Friday the 17th is a no-go: tiny 0.6ft of east swell with a short period, and onshore winds. Saturday the 18th is a write-off. Sunday the 19th offers a brief pulse of 2ft from the SSW, but the period is a pathetic 5 seconds, so it's just crumbly, weak junk. The whole first week, from the 17th right through the 24th, is a solid block of poor to marginal conditions. There's a bit of knee-high swell around, but the winds are a disaster—cross-onshore slop, onshore junk, or just messy. It's a barren run.

Then we hit Saturday the 25th of July, and that's one to circle. The morning shapes up nicely. A solid south swell rolls in at 4ft, and the period is a juicy 12 seconds—real groundswell, with proper energy. The combined energy reading is a meaty 532 (moderate to strong), so there's genuine push behind it. The wind is a clean cross-off from the ENE, which is a major positive. This is the standout of the whole outlook. The wave comment says "expect very good surf conditions," and with that size and clean wind, it's the best on offer. The afternoon stays rideable, but the wind picks up, so the morning is the pick.

Sunday the 26th is a bit of a letdown. The swell holds around 4ft to 5ft with long period, but the wind swings onshore, and it gets messy. The energy is still strong (609 and 619), but the conditions turn poor.

The following week, from the 27th of July through to the 1st of August, is a slow fade. The swell drops, the winds are mostly onshore or cross, and the scores are consistently low. The last day, Saturday the 1st of August, is a final whisper of surf with a tiny 1ft south-southeast swell and glassy conditions in the morning. It's knee-high at best, but if you're desperate for a clean, small wave, it's there.

The one true highlight on the table is the morning of Saturday the 25th of July. The 4ft south swell, 12-second period, and clean offshore wind make it the only session worth chasing. The rest of the window is a waiting game.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 32mm), heaviest during Sun afternoon. Warm (max 26°C on Fri afternoon, min 10°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Sat afternoon, strong winds from the S by Sun night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu morning, min 11°C on Mon afternoon). Wind will be generally light.

Fri
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
ESE
10
0.2
S
8
0.8
E
10
0.1
S
13
0.6
E
10
0.6
E
10
2.2
S
7
2
S
8
1.8
SSE
8
1.7
SSE
7
1.5
SSE
7
1.3
SE
7
1.1
SE
7
1.1
SE
7
0.9
ESE
6
0.9
ESE
6
0.7
E
6
0.7
S
9
0.5
S
8
0.4
S
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
20
5
127
3
75
77
487
562
403
286
205
164
114
103
62
56
39
78
35
20
Wind (km/h)
30
NNW
5
WNW
5
SE
5
WSW
15
ESE
5
NNE
5
NW
30
S
25
SSE
25
SSE
25
SSE
15
SSE
20
SE
25
SE
15
SE
20
SE
15
E
10
NE
15
ENE
10
NE
Wind State
cross-off
cross
glassy
glassy
cross
glassy
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
High Tide
10:15PM0.32m
10:31AM0.29m
11:10PM0.28m
3:17AM0.21m
00:07AM0.24m
4:17AM0.21m
12:16PM0.30m
1:08AM0.22m
5:09AM0.20m
1:11PM0.30m
2:19AM0.20m
5:55AM0.20m
2:08PM0.30m
3:42AM0.19m
3:06PM0.30m
Low Tide
5:49PM0.06m
6:28AM0.08m
6:48PM0.04m
7:15AM0.10m
7:44PM0.04m
3:01AM0.20m
8:39PM0.04m
3:34AM0.20m
9:33PM0.04m
4:14AM0.19m
10:26PM0.05m
5:16AM0.19m
11:20PM0.06m
thunderstorm
mod rain
light rain
part cloud
mod rain
light rain
mod rain
rain showers
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:43
7:41
7:41
7:41
7:39
7:39
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:46
5:46
5:47
5:49
5:49
5:50
5:51
 mm
1
6
2
8
2
8
5
Temp °C
26
21
19
19
17
17
16
11
11
11
12
12
12
11
11
11
11
13
14
13
Feels °C
23
21
18
20
18
19
17
3
6
6
8
7
8
7
7
7
7
10
10
10
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Bikini Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Bikini provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bikini can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bikini surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bikini) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bikini may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Bikini is 17 km (11 miles) from the city of San Carlos. If you plan a holiday in Uruguay - South, look for hotels and other accommodation in San Carlos. San Carlos has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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