Bikini Surf Break

Lat Long: 34.88° S 54.77° W

Bikini Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 2 pm 28 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Bikini sea temperature is
12.2° C
1.5° 

Bikini surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Bikini surf forecast from 28 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 3 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 10s period, SSE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 3 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 11s period, SSE swell with 259 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 29 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 8s period with SSE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bikini this week:

The surf forecast for Bikini over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 5s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 4s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Bikini in the next 16 days are 1.0m 11s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 8s period and expected on Friday (Jul 31) at 6PM.

Wave TypeTime (-03) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9PM (Wed 29th Jul)1.5ft (0.4m) 8s
Best Surf 9PM (Mon 3rd Aug)3ft (0.9m) 10s
Most Powerful 6AM (Mon 3rd Aug)3.5ft (1.0m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bikini over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it for this patch of ocean around Bikini. The long and short of it is, we’re staring down a pretty grim 16-day window. There’s basically no good surf to get excited about. The first 14 days are all marked as poor surf conditions, with scores that don’t inspire any hope. We’ve got a blank run from the start all the way through to the morning of Tuesday, 11th August, so that’s a solid two-week gap where you’re better off doing something else. The only flicker of something surfable shows up on the 11th, but even then, it’s marginal and questionable.

For the first break, and the only one worth a real mention, is Bikini (beach and point). Water temp is sitting at 54°F with an anomaly of 3°F warmer than normal, so it’s a touch warmer than usual for this time of year. Comfortable enough, but that’s where the good news ends.

The only time the wave energy really gets pumping is around Friday, 7th August, but it’s a mess. That afternoon we’re looking at a 8ft swell from the WSW with a period of 7 seconds, and combined energy of all swells hitting 593 (strong energy). But the wind is a strong cross-shore at 25 mph, creating lumpy cross-chop. That’s big, ugly, and blown out. For a beach and point setup, that’s more of a kite-surfing situation than anything you’d want to paddle into. Over 8ft? Almost there, so that’s expert-only territory, and with that wind, even they’d be struggling.

The only slight glimmer is on Tuesday, 11th August, in the morning. We’ve got a 4ft swell from the south, with a long 11-second period, and combined energy of 393 (moderate). Wind is from the NNW at 9 mph, giving us a clean cross-off breeze. That’s the one window where the surf might be rideable, but even then, the forecast is only marginal. The long period on a south swell at a point break could give some nice lines, but the consistency is likely to be patchy, and it’s not a standout.

Honestly, this whole stretch is a dud. The conditions are consistently poor, and the wind is all over the shop. The only bright spot is that clean window on the 11th, but don’t hold your breath. It’s a quiet spell, and sometimes that’s just how it goes around here. Forecasts can change, but for now, I’d leave the board in the car.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri morning, min 9°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SE on Tue night, fresh winds from the NE by Thu night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 41mm), heaviest during Fri night. Warm (max 20°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Sun morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Sat morning, light winds from the S by Sat night).

Tue
28
Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
Monday
3
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
E
8
0.5
E
8
0.4
E
8
0.7
SSE
5
0.3
SSE
14
0.4
SSE
13
0.7
S
12
0.6
S
11
0.3
S
10
0.3
S
9
1.1
E
8
0.2
S
8
0.8
E
10
0.6
E
10
0.8
S
6
0.6
E
9
0.8
SSE
12
1
SSE
11
0.9
SSE
11
0.9
SSE
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
30
28
21
23
36
55
137
85
17
15
173
6
133
70
42
55
186
254
198
140
Wind (km/h)
15
SE
15
SSE
15
SE
15
SE
10
E
15
ENE
30
ENE
30
NE
30
NE
20
NNE
20
N
15
NNW
35
SW
20
SSW
10
SE
15
E
20
ENE
30
ENE
20
ENE
20
W
Wind State
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
off
cross-off
on
on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
High Tide
7:04PM0.31m
7:56AM0.20m
1:24PM0.17m
7:45PM0.30m
8:26AM0.21m
1:39PM0.17m
8:27PM0.29m
8:56AM0.22m
2:03PM0.17m
9:08PM0.28m
9:28AM0.24m
2:32PM0.16m
9:51PM0.27m
10:03AM0.25m
3:00PM0.15m
10:36PM0.26m
3:42AM0.20m
11:23PM0.24m
Low Tide
3:28AM0.07m
3:03PM0.17m
4:10AM0.08m
4:00PM0.15m
4:50AM0.09m
12:24PM0.16m
5:31AM0.10m
1:09PM0.16m
1:37AM0.19m
6:11AM0.12m
2:01PM0.15m
6:25PM0.09m
6:51AM0.14m
7:12PM0.07m
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
light rain
heavy rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:35
7:35
7:33
7:33
7:31
7:31
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:53
5:54
5:55
5:55
5:57
5:58
5:58
 mm
5
27
5
4
2
13
Temp °C
12
10
11
11
10
12
13
13
17
20
20
16
12
10
9
10
11
13
16
17
Feels °C
9
8
7
7
8
7
7
8
14
18
19
15
6
6
6
6
6
9
15
17
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Bikini Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Bikini provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bikini can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bikini surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bikini) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bikini may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Bikini is 17 km (11 miles) from the city of San Carlos. If you plan a holiday in Uruguay - South, look for hotels and other accommodation in San Carlos. San Carlos has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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