Bikini Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks. Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what the next couple of weeks are serving up for Bikini.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you: this is a pretty grim stretch for the most part. We’re looking at a long, dry spell with almost nothing worth paddling out for. The first real glimmer of hope doesn’t show up until the 11th of August, which is a solid two weeks away. There’s a lot of small, weak, or messy days to get through before that.

Let’s break it down. Starting on the 27th of July, Monday morning, we’ve got a tiny 2ft easterly windswell with a weak energy (38), and the wind is offshore from the NNE, so the surface is clean. But the waves are just too small and poor. The afternoon picks up a 1.0ft, 13-second south swell, but it’s still a very ordinary session. The water temp is sitting at 53°, which is about normal for this time of year, so nothing weird there.

Tuesday the 28th and Wednesday the 29th are more of the same: small, short-period slop with cross or cross-onshore winds. Not a single one of these days is worth your time. Thursday the 30th has a cleaner look with a 1ft SSE swell and a long 12-second period, pushing the energy up to 98, but it’s still tiny. The afternoon gets a bit of a bump with a 2ft south swell and 11-second period, with energy hitting 103 (moderate), but the wind is a stiff 16 mph cross-offshore. It’s clean, but the size is not there.

Friday the 31st is a complete write-off – fresh offshore winds but the swell is all over the place. The first week of August is just a blur of poor conditions, onshore winds, and small, weak waves. The energy picks up a bit on the 4th of August, with 4ft SSE swell hitting 274 (moderate to strong), but the wind is cross-offshore and the comment says it’s marginal. It’s a tease.

Now, the 5th of August, Wednesday morning, we get a bit of a reprieve. Light offshore winds from the NNE and a 4ft SSE swell with a 9-second period. The energy is at 182 (moderate). It’s surfable, but the comment says "very ordinary conditions." The afternoon holds up with a similar 4ft SE swell, but again, just ordinary.

The 6th of August is a mess – strong cross-onshore winds, lumpy, forget it. The 7th of August, Friday morning, is another clean offshore day with a 3ft south swell, but the period is a short, weak 5 seconds, and the energy is only 103. It’s a knee-high ripple at best.

The 8th and 9th are a washout, with onshore winds and poor surf. The 10th of August, Monday, is the same story – fresh cross-onshore winds and lumpy.

Then, finally, we get to the standout. Tuesday, the 11th of August. This is the one. The morning is glassy, with a 3ft south swell rolling in with a deep, long 13-second period. The combined energy is a solid 403 (strong). The afternoon is just as good, with a 4ft south swell, a 12-second period, and energy at 384 (strong). The wind is glassy in the morning and just a light air in the afternoon. This is a proper groundswell. For a beach-and-point break like Bikini, a long period south swell like this will line up nicely on the point. The water is still cold, but the conditions will be clean and the waves will have some punch. That’s your window. It’s an advanced wave, so it’s not for the faint of heart, and the crowds can be an issue, but for a crew that knows what they’re doing, this is the best the forecast has to offer.

After that, the outlook fades out again. It’s a long wait for a short burst of good stuff, but that 11th of August is worth marking on the calendar.

Rusty.

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