Bikini Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. The outlook for Bikini is a real mixed bag – a long stretch of tiny, messy waves, then a sudden, powerful pulse of swell in the second week that’s going to be something special for the right crew.

The water’s running a touch warmer than normal for the time of year, which is a nice bonus when you’re paddling out.

We start off with a pretty grim picture. From Friday, 31 July right through the first week of August, it’s all about poor surf. The swell is tiny, mostly under 3ft, and the energy is weak to moderate. The wind is a bit of a mess, often cross-off or cross-on, but the waves are just too small to do anything with. There’s a brief moment on Monday, 3 August, where the swell bumps up to 3ft from the SSE with moderate energy, and the wind is light and clean, but it’s still just surfable at best. The conditions are ordinary, not worth getting excited about.

After that, we get a few more days of waist-high slop, with the wind occasionally swinging offshore or going glassy, like on the 5th and 6th of August. Wednesday afternoon, 5 August, is a standout in this quiet period – the wind goes glassy, and the swell is a clean 2ft from the SSE. It’s tiny, but for a longboard or a foiler, it’d be a fun, uncrowded session. The energy is weak, but the glassy conditions will make it feel better than it is.

We hit a real dead zone from the 9th through the 12th of August. The swell drops to almost nothing, and onshore winds from the south make it choppy and unappealing. There’s no surf worth paddling out for.

Then, hold on to your board. The 13th of August, Thursday morning, the scene flips completely. A solid 8ft groundswell from the SSW arrives, with a short period of 8 seconds. The energy is strong. The wind is light offshore from the NNE, so it’ll be clean. This is big, powerful surf – over 8ft, so it’s for experts only. Bikini is a beach and point setup, so that longer period groundswell from the SSW will wrap nicely into the point, offering some proper, hollow waves. Expect it to be heavy.

The peak of the swell hits on the 14th of August. Friday morning is the standout of the entire forecast. We’re looking at a powerful 12ft swell from the south, with a very long period of 13 seconds. The combined energy is massive. The wind is light and cross-off from the NE, keeping the faces clean. This is a full-on, big-wave day. The swell direction from the south matches the optimum direction for Bikini, so the point will be firing. This is only for seasoned, experienced surfers. The energy is so strong it’s going to be a sight to see.

The swell stays big through the 15th of August, with 10ft waves from the SSE, but the period shortens to 13 seconds and the wind picks up to a fresh breeze. The energy is still very strong, but the conditions will be more challenging. It’s still big, but the wind will make it choppier and less clean than the previous day.

So, to wrap it up: the first week is a write-off, but the 13th and especially the 14th of August are the real deal. Get your big-wave board ready and be prepared for a serious session. The 14th is the one to aim for if you’ve got the skills.

Rusty.

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