Bikini Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, grab a coffee and settle in. This is Rusty, comin' at ya from the beach. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for the Bikini (United States) stretch over the next couple of weeks.

First up, the water temp is sittin' at about 53°, which is pretty much what you'd expect for this time of year. No crazy anomalies here.

Now, don't get too excited for the first week. We've got a bit of a flat spell to get through. The surf is small and messy, with a lot of that cross-onshore junk. The combined energy is weak, mostly under 250 (244 on Tuesday arvo). You'll see a few days of clean, surfable waves but they're tiny and ordinary. Thursday the 23rd has a clean 3ft from the SSE, but it's a real knee-slapper. Friday the 24th looks a bit better with a clean 3ft from the ESE, and the energy is moderate (239). It's still pretty small, but it's about the best of a bad lot in the early days. Keep in mind, this spot is exposed to the south and the swell is short period (6-8 seconds), so it's not going to have much punch.

We're looking at a real gap from the 25th through to the 30th of July. The swell direction swings around, but the energy drops right off and the wind chops it up. Not worth paddling out for.

There's a bit of a flicker on the 30th of July. You get a 4ft S swell, but the wind is a gentle cross-onshore, creating a bit of chop. The energy jumps up to 434 (moderate), but the conditions are still poor. The 31st of July has a 5ft SSE swell with a cross-onshore wind, still marginal.

Now, for the true standout. You gotta circle Saturday, August 1st. The afternoon is the pick of the whole forecast. We're looking at a 6ft E swell, with clean conditions thanks to a gentle cross-offshore breeze. The combined energy is strong (627). This is the one. The swell direction is a bit east of the optimum south, but it's still a solid, clean pulse. The period is 9 seconds, so it's a nice, workable wave. The swell isn't massive (6ft), so it's well within the advanced zone, but it'll be a fun size. The wind is clean, so the setup will be good. Keep in mind, Bikini is a beach and point setup, so a longer period swell (like the 12-second stuff we saw earlier) can be a bit tricky, but this 9-second period is just right.

The next day, Sunday the 2nd of August, has a bigger swell (6ft SE) but the wind turns onshore and choppy, blowing it out. The 3rd of August has some marginal options with a 5ft ESE swell, but the wind is still not ideal. After that, the wind gets nasty and the quality drops off a cliff.

So, short story: the first week is a write-off for anything decent. The real window is Saturday the 1st of August. Get on it then. The rest of the period is a mixed bag of marginal conditions and onshore slop. This is Rusty, signing off.

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