Surf Forecasts:
El Morro de la Virgen surf forecast from 8 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 9 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 11s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 11 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 14s period, ESE swell with 281 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 11s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Morro de la Virgen this week:
The surf forecast for El Morro de la Virgen over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Morro de la Virgen in the next 16 days are 0.9m 14s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Friday (Jul 10) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Thu 9th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Thu 9th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Sat 11th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Morro de la Virgen over the next 16 days.
Right, listen up. Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you—the next couple of weeks for El Morro de la Virgen are a tough watch. The swell’s just not cooperating with the wind, so we’ve got a long, quiet spell before anything remotely interesting shows up.
The core issue is that the wave energy sits in the moderate range (combined energy of 130 to 390) from July 9th to the 11th, but the wind is all over the place—cross, cross-on, or onshore—ruining any chance of decent shape. On the 12th, we finally see a couple of “surfable” moments with a light cross-off breeze, but the waves are only around 2ft to 3ft from the ESE with a period of 13 seconds. That’s a slow, drawn-out groundswell, which at a sheltered spot like this can be a bit soft and gutless. Still, if you’re desperate, Sunday morning, the 12th, is your best early window. The water’s sitting at a chilly 52° and about average for the time of year, maybe a tad cooler.
We then hit a real dry patch. From the 13th through the 18th of July, it's a wasteland—poor surf, messy winds, and energy dropping back to weak levels. The only flicker is on the morning of the 15th, with a clean, offshore wind from the WNW and 2ft of SE swell at 12 seconds, but the energy is weak (127). It’s a paddle, not a session.
The real standout is a long way off. Around the 22nd and 23rd of July, the swell finally pumps up. On Thursday the 23rd, we’re looking at a solid 8ft to 10ft of SE/SSE swell, with the combined energy hitting a massive 1151 to 1508—that’s strong to very strong. The swell period sits around 9-10 seconds, so it’s a bit wind-affected, and the wind is onshore from the ESE. At that size (over 8ft), only experts should even think about it, and with that onshore wind, the break is going to be a bumpy, blown-out mess. Honestly, with that size, poor quality, and strong wind, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
So, the bottom line: there’s a tiny chance for a messy, small wave on Sunday the 12th, but the real power arrives late on the 22nd and 23rd, and it’s only for experts looking for a battle with the wind.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed afternoon, min 9°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat afternoon, min 7°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | ESE 9 | E 10 | E 10 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | SSE 8 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | ESE 10 | SE 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 29 | 29 | 50 | 78 | 130 | 110 | 121 | 150 | 171 | 158 | 261 | 246 | 189 | 147 | 125 | 164 | 119 | 73 | 53 | 72 | 54 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:06PM0.36m | 7:15PM0.16m | 8:22AM0.20m | 1:58PM0.40m | 7:51PM0.13m | 2:55PM0.45m | 3:43AM0.28m | 3:54PM0.49m | 4:44AM0.27m | 4:54PM0.52m | 5:42AM0.26m | 12:45PM0.22m | 6:37AM0.27m | 1:11PM0.21m | 6:52PM0.55m | ||||||
Low Tide | 9:15AM0.17m | 5:13PM0.13m | 9:46PM0.11m | 5:21AM0.13m | 6:39PM0.12m | 6:17AM0.12m | 11:39PM0.04m | 7:13AM0.11m | 00:42AM0.02m | 8:08AM0.10m | 1:45AM-0.01m | 9:02AM0.09m | 1:16PM0.22m | 2:46AM-0.02m | 9:55AM0.08m | 2:32PM0.19m | |||||
 |  |  |  | | | | | | | |  |  | | | | |  | | | | |
 | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — |
 | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 16 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 12 |
Feels °C | 9 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | ESE 9 | E 10 | E 10 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 11 | SSE 7 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SE 8 | SE 9 | SE 8 | SSE 8 | SE 12 | SE 11 | S 6 | SE 10 | ESE 10 | SE 10 |
| kJ | 29 | 29 | 50 | 78 | 130 | 110 | 121 | 120 | 171 | 136 | 112 | 129 | 110 | 98 | 71 | 164 | 119 | 26 | 53 | 72 | 54 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 9 | SW 6 | SSW 6 | S 7 | — | — | S 10 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | S 11 | S 11 | SE 11 | SSW 5 | SSW 5 | ESE 6 |
| kJ | 28 | 8 | 8 | 4 | — | — | 2 | 150 | 121 | 158 | 261 | 246 | 189 | 147 | 125 | 10 | 9 | 73 | 9 | 2 | 8 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 15 | S 7 | S 7 | SW 6 | — | — | S 18 | — | ESE 15 | E 10 | SE 10 | SSE 19 | SE 15 | S 14 | SSE 13 | NE 5 | NE 6 | E 6 | E 6 | S 9 | S 8 |
| kJ | 4 | 16 | 8 | 1 | — | — | 6 | — | 92 | 78 | 17 | 35 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 6 | — | — | — | SW 6 | S 3 | S 6 | — | — | — | — | NNE 2 | — | — | SW 4 | SW 4 | SSW 5 | — | — | — | NNE 3 |
| kJ | 24 | — | — | — | 5 | 6 | 66 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 6 | 12 | 27 | — | — | — | 1 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 334 | 91 | 42 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Uruguay - North | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Uruguay | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Morro de la Virgen Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Morro de la Virgen provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Morro de la Virgen can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Morro de la Virgen surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Morro de la Virgen) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Morro de la Virgen may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
El Morro de la Virgen is 4 km (2 miles) from La Paloma. If you plan a holiday in Uruguay - North, look for hotels and other accommodation in La Paloma. La Paloma has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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