El Suicidio Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for El Suicidio over the next couple of weeks. Gotta be honest, the immediate picture is a bit grim, but there’s a proper light at the end of the tunnel if you’ve got some patience.

The first week and a half is a write-off for any decent waves. From now through most of the second week, we’re looking at a long stretch of poor surf conditions. The swell that does show is short-period, mostly onshore wind slop, or small and weak. The combined wave energy is almost entirely weak, with a low reading around 75 on the 12th for a sloppy 4ft south swell with a short 5-second period, and the onshore wind is just making a mess. This pattern keeps a lid on things right through the 22nd, with most days offering nothing worth paddling out for. On the 14th, there’s a tiny 2ft SSE swell with a period up to 10 seconds, and a light cross-off breeze making things clean, but it’s just too small to get excited about. On the 17th, a morning offshore wind from the north cleans up a 3ft SSE swell, but again, the size is barely a ripple. The surf is just not happening for a solid ten days or so.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. The real standout window opens up Wednesday the 23rd of September. That morning, we finally see the promise of a moderate 5ft SSE swell with a 10-second period and a combined energy of 487, plus a cross-off wind from the WNW that should keep things clean. This is the first sign of life, and it improves through the afternoon as the swell bumps up just a touch and the period extends to 11 seconds, with an even better energy reading of 562. The conditions are looking clean and lined up.

But the absolute top of the shop for this forecast is Thursday the 24th of September. A proper long-period groundswell from the SSE arrives, pushing 5ft with a very long 13-second period and a combined energy of 688, and a clean, moderate offshore wind from the north. That’s the kind of combo that gets the heart rate up. The quality is there, the power is there, and the wind is your best friend. Friday the 25th keeps that flow going with a gentle offshore wind and a solid 5ft SSE swell at 12 seconds.

A heads-up, though: El Suicidio is a point break, and these longer-period swells can get a bit shifty at beach breaks, but here it should be a treat. This is surf for intermediate folks and above, as it’s solid but not out of control.

So to wrap it up, you’re staring at a blank run until the 23rd. Then, for one sweet stretch, it all comes together. Swell direction is right, wind is offshore, and the energy is real. If you can hold out, Wednesday the 23rd through Friday the 25th is where you want to be.

Rusty.

Read more