El Suicidio Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this 16-day window for El Suicidio is a tough one. We’re looking at a long stretch of small, messy, or just plain poor conditions. The first real chance of anything worth paddling out for doesn’t show up until Thursday the 24th of July, and even then, it’s marginal. There’s a big gap of nothing special before that.

Monday the 20th and Tuesday the 21st are a write-off. We’ve got a 5ft to 7ft swell from the SSE and SE, but it’s being ripped apart by a strong cross-onshore wind. The combined energy is moderate (768 on Tuesday morning), but the short period of 7-8 seconds means it’s just lumpy, wind-affected slop. Not for the faint-hearted, and definitely too big for beginners. For experts, it’s still not worth it.

Wednesday the 22nd and Thursday the 23rd calm down a bit, but the swell drops to 3ft-4ft. The wind swings around, but the conditions are still rated as poor. The wave energy is weak (109-164). Not much to get excited about.

Finally, on Friday the 24th and Saturday the 25th of July, there’s a flicker. We get a 3ft to 3ft swell from the E/ESE. The wind turns cross-offshore, cleaning it up nicely. The energy is still on the low side (136-203), but it’s the cleanest we’ll see. The Friday morning session is the closest to a highlight here, but it’s still only marginal. The Saturday afternoon has a very long period swell (13 seconds) from the SSE, but it’s only 2ft-2ft, so it’s a long wait for a small set.

Sunday the 26th and Monday the 27th of July offer a bit more hope. Swell stays around 3ft from the E, with a period of 9-10 seconds. The wind is offshore or cross-offshore, and the conditions are called “surfable but very ordinary.” The combined energy is low (158-185). On Monday morning, we get a gentle offshore wind which is a plus. It’s rideable, but don’t expect barrels.

The rest of the period into August is a steady decline. Swell drops to 0.7ft-3ft, and the wind either goes onshore or cross-onshore. The energy is weak (23-224). The best of the rest is Wednesday the 29th of July morning, where we get 2ft from the E with glassy conditions. It’s tiny, but it’s the only glassy window we’ve got. The water temp is about 53°F, which is exactly normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The standout, if you can call it that, is Friday the 24th of July morning. The swell is only 3ft from the ESE, but with a cross-offshore ENE wind, it’s the cleanest the forecast gets. The energy is low (136), but it’s the best of a bad bunch. For a point break like El Suicidio, that offshore wind is a major positive. Be aware, crowds are possible here. If you’re desperate, that’s your window.

Otherwise, the outlook is grim. The best advice is to wait for a better forecast. This is a blank run.

Rusty

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