El Suicidio Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Looking at the charts for El Suicidio, and I gotta be straight with you—it's a bit of a rough stretch ahead. This is a South-facing point break that’s pretty consistent but it’s going to be a waiting game for anything truly worthwhile.

We kick things off with a long, flat spell. From Thursday the 10th right through to the early part of Sunday the 14th, the swell is tiny and the wind is mostly cross-shore or cross-on, messing up what little there is. You’re looking at swell mostly from the SSE, around 1 to 2 feet, with a combined energy so weak it’s barely registering. Water temp is sitting at a pretty normal 55°F, nothing to write home about. Honestly, it’s a write-off for a surf check.

The first glimmer of something shows up on Monday the 14th morning. There’s a light offshore wind from the NNE blowing, which will clean the surface right up. We’ve got a small 3-foot swell from the SSE with a long 11-second period. The combined energy is still weak, but the energy from that period will put a little shape in the waves. It’s surfable, but ordinary. If you’re desperate for a paddle, that’s your window, but don't expect much.

The week continues flat and messy with a few little bumps, but nothing you’d drive across town for. The wind swings onshore a few times, some fresh breezes killing any chance of a clean wave.

Now, here’s one to flag—but with caution. Wednesday the 16th morning looks interesting. We get a clean offshore wind from the S at just 3 mph, with a 5-foot SSE swell running at a solid 10-second period. The combined energy jumps right up, showing there’s some decent power in the water. That’s the kind of juice that will make this point start working. The caveat is it’s described as "marginal", which could mean tide issues, but the building swell with clean conditions makes it the best morning of this whole stretch. If you’re a confident intermediate surfer, this could be your stand-out.

Thursday the 17th keeps that clean theme going with a moderate NNE breeze holding the surface smooth, and a 4-foot, 12-second period swell. The energy is still solid. The waves will have some push, and with that offshore wind, the point should offer up some lined-up runners. Not a day for beginners—that’s proper groundswell—but it’s where the smart locals will be.

The swell then fades again into the weekend of the 20th & 21st with southerly winds blowing onshore, dropping us back to knee-high slop. One last flicker of hope appears on Tuesday the 22nd morning—glassy conditions with a NNE breeze at just 3 mph, but the swell is a pathetic 2 feet. It's glassy but flat.

There’s a little flare-up right at the end of the outlook on Thursday the 24th afternoon and Friday the 25th. We see a new easterly swell showing up, around 3 to 7 feet. The 7-footer on Friday morning will be too big for beginners and pretty chunky for most. The wind is cross-on from the SE, which will chop the surface up. It’s a building swell, but the quality is dodgy.

So, my final call: if you can get out on Wednesday the 16th morning or Thursday the 17th, that’s your best bet. The rest of the 16 days looks pretty flat and funky for a south swell spot like this one. Stay patient.

Rusty.

Read more