El Suicidio Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for our little corner of the coast.

Honestly, the next week and a half is a bit of a grind. We’ve got a long stretch of small, wind-affected surf that’s just not going to get the heart pumping. The first real chance to get a decent wave comes right at the end of the month, on July 31st, but even then it’s only a morning window. Let’s walk through it.

The first proper surf recommendation doesn’t pop up until Friday morning, July 24th, at El Suicidio. It’s a point break that’s fairly consistent. The water temp is sitting at 53°F, which is pretty much normal for this time of year. That morning you’ll find surfable waves but nothing to write home about – a weak 2ft swell from the E with a short period of 7 seconds, making for very ordinary conditions. The combined energy is a paltry 82 (weak). It’s more of a longboard or a finless session. The wind is light from the NE, cross-offshore, so it’ll be clean at least.

The next day, Saturday July 25th, is a bit of a tease. The morning brings a 2ft swell from the SSE with a longer 12-second period, which bumps the energy up to 275 (moderate). But the wind is onshore from the S, making it a messy, marginal call. The afternoon sees a weak 3ft from the E with a short 8-second period, but the wind goes cross-shore, so it’s still not great.

Sunday July 26th is the first real glimmer of hope. The morning session has a 3ft E swell with an 8-second period, and the wind is a light offshore from the NNW at 3 mph. That’s clean, and the energy is a modest 137 (moderate). It’s surfable, but still very ordinary. The afternoon turns cross-shore again, so you’ll want to be out early.

The next few days, Monday July 27th through Wednesday July 30th, are a write-off. Small swell, onshore winds, and poor conditions. It’s a tough stretch.

Now, the standout. Friday, July 31st morning. This is the one to circle on the calendar. El Suicidio wakes up with a clean 4ft swell from the E, with a 7-second period. The combined energy jumps to 232 (moderate), and the wind is a glassy offshore from the NNE at just 3 mph. The conditions are described as “good” – and that’s the best we’ve seen in a long time. The swell direction (E) is not the spot’s optimum (S), but the size is there and the wind is perfect. This is your window. Get on it early, because the afternoon turns to onshore garbage.

After that, things get weird. Saturday August 1st is all onshore wind and poor surf. Sunday August 2nd morning goes glassy again with a tiny 2ft E swell, but it’s not really worth suiting up for. Then Monday August 3rd morning brings a bigger 4ft swell from the SSE with a long 12-second period, and the energy is a whopping 477 (strong to very strong). That’s a lot of power. But the wind is a stiff cross-offshore from the NE at 16 mph, and the conditions are still “poor”. A 4ft groundswell with that much punch is going to be a beast, but the wind is going to chop it up real bad. It’s a kite-surfing setup, not a paddler’s paradise.

The forecast for the second week is a mixed bag. Tuesday August 4th morning is clean with a 3ft SSE swell, but the wind is light. The rest of the week is small and messy again. Keep an eye on the glassy morning of August 6th – a 2ft E swell with no wind at all, but it’s still just a small, ordinary wave.

Bottom line: the only real standout is the morning of July 31st. It’s not a classic, but it’s the best we’ve got. Everything else is small, wind-affected, or just plain poor. It’s a lean run, but a forecast can change.

Rusty.

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