El Suicidio Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty.

Honestly, the next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim for El Suicidio. The swell and wind just aren’t lining up for much of anything rideable for a solid stretch. We’ve got a run of days where it’s onshore, choppy, and weak, then a big blowy period that churns things up. If you’re a beginner, save yourself the paddle – there’s nothing for you out there for a while, and even the more experienced crew are going to be sitting on the beach more often than not.

Let’s walk through it. The first real chance of anything half-decent doesn’t show up until Sunday the 16th. The morning has a clean 4ft easterly swell (energy at 279), with a light cross-offshore breeze. It’s not big, but it’s clean. The afternoon goes glassy with a 4ft swell (256), which is your best bet in this opening stretch. But it’s still pretty modest – a fun little longboard wave, maybe.

After that, the wind goes onshore and it’s messy through the 17th. Then the 18th and 19th see the swell bump up a bit – 5ft to 8ft – but the period is short (6-9 seconds), and it’s coming from the east, which isn't ideal for this point. The 19th afternoon has 8ft of short-period windswell, but it’s not going to be clean.

The 20th and 21st are a write-off with strong cross-onshore winds and lumpy conditions. It’s not surfable, frankly – looks more like a kiteboarding day if anything.

Now, here’s the standout. It’s a long way off, so treat this with some caution – a week and a half out the models can change – but Sunday the 23rd of August looks like the day. The morning is glassy with a solid 8ft southerly groundswell at an 11-second period, and the energy jumps right up to 2104 – that’s strong power. This is for experienced surfers only – that size is pushing it for most. The direction is right for the point, and with no wind, it’s going to be clean. This is your window. Don’t miss it if you can handle it.

After that, the 24th has some size (6ft) but it’s crossed up and a bit messy. The 26th morning looks clean and small (4ft, glassy), a decent option for a quieter session, but nothing like the 23rd.

Water temp is sitting at 53°, which is about average for this time of year – not a surprise, just cold, so suit up.

So, bottom line: tie a knot in your leash for the next week. The weekend of the 16th has a tiny clean one, but the real one to circle is Sunday the 23rd. It’s far out, so stay flexible, but that’s the one with the power and the clean face.

Rusty.

Read more