El Suicidio Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s talk about what’s cooking at El Suicidio.

Right off the bat, you’ll see there’s a little bit of swell on the table, but we’re looking at a long stretch of fairly ordinary conditions. The first few days shape up with small, east-swell bumping in, but it’s not going to get the heart racing. The water is running about 52°, which is just about average for the time of year here, so no surprises from the ocean temp.

Wednesday the 15th kicks things off with a little 2ft to 3ft easterly swell, and the wind is running offshore from the north. That’s the key – it’s clean. The wave energy is pretty low (107) so it’s just a gentle, small wave session. It’s surfable, but nothing to write home about.

Thursday the 16th sees a touch more size, still around 2ft to 3ft, still out of the east. The wind is a bit stronger, but it stays offshore, so the surface stays clean. The period bumps up to 11 seconds Thursday afternoon, which gives a little more push (energy climbing to 149), but it’s still small.

Friday the 17th is a bit of a letdown. Swell drops off hard, with 1.0ft to 2ft, and the energy is weak (54). The wind is offshore, but the wave size is just too small to get excited about.

Saturday the 18th is a write-off. The morning shows a tiny 0.3ft with a long period, but the energy is almost nothing (8). The afternoon turns onshore, just messy. Skip it.

But here’s the standout moment – Sunday the 19th morning. The swell is only 2ft, but the wind turns glassy, zero wind. That’s the kind of clean that turns a so-so wave into something worth paddling out for. The energy is moderate (115) and it’s out of the east. It’s small, but it’s going to be silky smooth. This is the best on offer in the early part of the forecast.

After that, we slide into a rough patch. From Monday the 20th through Wednesday the 23rd, the wind shifts onshore or cross-onshore, and the swell is chopped up. There’s a spike in swell on Tuesday the 21st with 6ft from the SSE, but the wind is cross-onshore and choppy, the energy is decent (380-395), but the quality is poor. This is more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddle-surfing one.

Wednesday the 23rd morning sees a brief return to offshore winds, with 4ft from the SE and clean conditions, but it’s short-lived.

Then there’s a dry spell. Thursday the 24th through Tuesday the 28th is mostly onshore, cross-onshore, or messy wind with small to moderate swell. The only real spike is Sunday the 26th, with 7ft to 6ft from the south, period at 11 seconds, energy up near 989, but the wind is a fresh cross-onshore, making it lumpy and rough. That’s expert-only territory, and even then, the wind is nasty.

The late run, around Monday the 29th and Tuesday the 30th, shows a drop in size back to 2ft to 2ft, with periods stretching out to 17 seconds on the 29th afternoon. That’s a very long-period groundswell, which will break straight and be hard to ride at a point break like El Suicidio, but the energy is there (309). The wind is light, so it’ll be clean, but the wave shape will be tricky.

Overall, the standout is Sunday the 19th morning for the glassy, clean conditions. Beyond that, it’s a tough run with a lot of poor-quality surf. The forecast is more reliable in the near term, and the long-range stuff is promising but uncertain. Hang in there.

Rusty.

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