El Suicidio Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at the upcoming waves.

The 16-day window starts with a whole lot of nothing. We're looking at a gap of several days with no real surf recommendations. The first bit of hope comes late Monday afternoon, but it's not much to write home about. We'll wade through the flat spells and see if there's any gold at the end of this forecast.

Alright, so the first real whisper of a wave is on Monday afternoon, August 3rd, at El Suicidio. It's a point break. The swell is small at 3ft, coming from the SSE with a period of 11 seconds. That's a nice, long groundswell period, which is good for a point break like this. The wind is light cross-off from the ENE, and with a combined energy of 241 (moderate), the conditions are starting to look okay. But honestly, that score is low, so it's more of a "could be fun on a longboard" kind of call if you're desperate.

Tuesday, August 4th, is a write-off. The wind swings onshore and the conditions turn poor. The rest of that first week is pretty grim. We get a few small clean mornings with tiny swell, but nothing is worth the paddle.

Then we hit Saturday, August 8th. The swell starts to pulse with a 6ft SSW swell, but the wind is howling from the west at 25 mph, creating a messy cross-chop. The combined energy is 353 for Saturday morning, jumping to 431 in the afternoon. That is a lot of messy energy. This setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. It's too blown out.

Sunday, August 9th, is more of the same. An 8ft SSW swell in the afternoon with strong cross-onshore wind. Combined energy hits 809. Un-rideable for a paddle board.

Now, the real standout shows up. On Monday, August 10th, the morning session at El Suicidio is the surf to target. The swell is a solid 7ft from the S, with a period of 12 seconds. That's a long-period groundswell. The wind is cross-off from the WNW at 12 mph, so it will be holding the waves open. The combined energy is massive at 1438 - that's strong to very strong energy. This is big, clean, and powerful. For a point break, this is excellent. The water temperature is about average for the time of year. This is the one. It's a bit big for beginners, over 5ft, but for intermediate and expert surfers, this is the call. There is a chance of crowds at this spot, as it's a well-known point.

Let's be real, there's a lot of junk to get through before that Monday, but the 10th of August is your day.

The following days calm down quickly. Tuesday, August 11th, has a nice, clean 4ft S swell with an offshore wind, offering a much mellower but still fun option.

After that, the forecast gets messy again with a lot of onshore wind and tiny waves until we hit the second week.

A decent pulse shows up on Saturday, August 15th. The morning has a clean 6ft E swell, with light offshore NNE winds at 9 mph. The combined energy is a healthy 441. It's still a long way out, so less certain, but it has potential. The swell direction of E isn't the optimal S direction the spot likes, but with offshore wind and that size, it could still offer some beautiful, clean lines.

Then on Monday, August 17th, another call. A 5ft S swell with gentle offshore winds in the morning. Combined energy is 330. It's another clean option to look forward to in the long range.

So to sum it up: there's a lot of flat and windy days to ignore. The one true standout is Monday, August 10th, at El Suicidio. Big, clean, and powerful. If you can only pick one day, that's it.

Rusty.

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