Terra Mar Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down the next 16 days at Terra Mar. It’s a pretty quiet start, so don’t rush to wax up just yet.

The first few days are a write-off. Wednesday the 2nd through Friday the 4th are all poor surf conditions with tiny swell and onshore or cross-onshore wind. The energy is weak (271 to 992), and the water is a wild 77°F – that’s 9°F warmer than it should be for this time of year, which is very unusual. You’ll be sweating in your wetsuit, but there’s nothing to ride anyway.

We start to see a pulse of energy building over the weekend. Saturday the 5th is still marginal with cross-onshore wind and a lumpy 4ft to 4ft, mainly from the S. The energy is starting to show (around 1100), but it’s not clean.

Now, the one standout in the whole window – Sunday the 6th. This is your best bet. The morning brings a clean 6ft of SSW swell with a 14-second period and a light cross-offshore wind from the N. The energy is strong (1506), and the guidance says it’s excellent for experienced surfers. That’s over 5ft, so it’s a bit much for beginners, but the clean conditions will make it a fun session for everyone else. It’s a point break, so that longer-period groundswell will wrap in nicely. The afternoon is still decent at 7ft, but the wind swings cross-shore. Crowds are possible here, so get in early.

After that, the quality drops off fast. Monday the 7th through Tuesday the 8th sees the swell fading and the wind turning cross-onshore and choppy. Energy drops from 1141 down to 802. Not worth it.

The rest of the second week is a long, disappointing run. From Wednesday the 9th all the way to Wednesday the 16th, it’s a mix of tiny 1ft to 4ft swell (mostly under 600 energy) and persistent cross-onshore wind. Conditions are poor or marginal at best. There’s a little spike on Thursday the 17th afternoon with a 3ft SW swell and a very long 21-second period, but it’s still cross-onshore and only rated marginal. A long-period swell like that (over 15 seconds) can be fickle at a point break, but it’s still a long shot.

Honestly, the only real day to pencil in is Sunday the 6th. Everything else is a gamble or a straight-up miss. Keep an eye on the forecasts, because a blank run like this doesn’t last forever around here.

Rusty.

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