Terra Mar Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, it’s a pretty grim start for Terra Mar. The first week and a half is mostly small, weak, and choppy. We’re lookin’ at a long stretch of poor surf conditions from the 14th right through until the 23rd. The swell is tiny and the wind is mostly cross-on or onshore, so it’s gonna be a frustrating wait for any decent waves. The water temp is a wild 72° – that’s 5° warmer than usual, so it’s much warmer than normal for this time of year.

The first real glimmer of hope shows up around the 24th, when the swell finally starts to push up a bit. By Friday the 24th, we’re seein’ a 5ft S swell with a period of 13 seconds, and the energy is gettin’ some legs at 1007 (moderate). The wind goes cross-shore from the WNW, which is a big improvement. It’s still only marginal, but it’s the best we’ve seen. This could be the pick of the bunch, though it’s not a total standout. The afternoon on the 24th sees the energy climb to 1158, still with gentle cross-shore wind. The swell direction is S, which is off the optimum WSW for this spot, so it’s not gonna be perfect, but it’ll be the most surfable we’ve had.

The 25th keeps the same 5ft S swell in the morning, but the wind swings back to cross-on, so it’s a little less clean. The 26th brings a weird mix: a 3ft SSW swell with a very long period of 19 seconds, which is a proper groundswell. That energy hits 1346 (strong), but at a point break, these long-period swells can offer some nice lines. The wind is light cross-on, so it might be a bit lumpy, but it’s worth a look. The water is still warm, so you won’t need a thick suit.

After that, it tails off again. The 27th and 28th see the swell drop back to 3-3ft, with cross-on winds and poor conditions. The 29th is more of the same.

So, the standout is really the 24th and 25th. If you’re paddlin’ out, aim for Friday the 24th morning for the best chance of a clean-ish wave. The break is a beginner-friendly point, so it’s fine for everyone, but the 5ft might be a bit much for total beginners. The crowd situation is “sometimes” here, so you might have to share it, but it’s not a zoo.

There’s a long gap of poor surf before that – from the 14th to the 23rd – so don’t get your hopes up early. The forecasts can change, so keep an eye on it, but for now, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

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