Tengan Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a proper look at what’s on offer for Tengan over the next couple of weeks. I gotta be straight with you – it’s a tough stretch for this spot. We’ve got a lot of poor surf conditions and not much to get excited about for the vast majority of the forecast.

We’re looking at a long, long gap with no decent surf options. The first 13 days are essentially a write-off for Tengan. For the first week, from Friday the 11th all the way through to the middle of the following week, we’re stuck with minimal swell. Swell heights are mostly between 1 ft and 3 ft, with short periods under 10 seconds, and the wind is a constant cross-onshore or onshore breeze. It’s choppy, weak, and just not worth paddling out. The combined wave energy is weak, hovering between 72 and 134 for that whole first week – just no power behind it.

Even when we start to see some bigger swell numbers around the 19th and 20th of September, it comes with a catch. By Saturday the 19th, the swell kicks up to 4 ft to 6 ft from the ESE with a very long 16-second period, and the energy jumps up to strong levels (924 to 1703). But that NNE wind is howling at 15 mph, cross-onshore, making it messy. By Sunday the 20th, it’s even bigger – 10 ft from the ESE – but that wind will be even stronger at 22 to 25 mph, turning the place into a lumpy, messy mess. This isn't surfable for a paddle, it’s more of a kite-surfing setup.

Then on Monday the 21st, it gets out of hand. The swell is predicted to be 20 ft from the ESE, with gale-force onshore winds at 43 mph. The energy reading is a massive 22970, so there’s plenty of ocean moving, but the wind and tide are only favorable if you’re talking about surviving a hold-down. It’s strictly for experts if anyone’s crazy enough. Tuesday the 22nd gets even more extreme offshore, with a 26 ft SE swell and storm-force offshore wind at 56 mph. The energy is a staggering 26146, but that offshore wind will be so strong you won't be able to paddle into it. It’s impossible.

After that storm passes, we finally get a clean-up. Wednesday the 23rd is still small with clean, strong offshore wind but hardly any swell. But then, Thursday the 24th of September is the standout. It’s your best shot by far. The morning brings a clean 7 ft swell from the NNW with a nice 12-second period, and light cross-offshore wind at 9 mph. The energy is strong at 2125. This is excellent for experienced surfers. The water temp is around 83° so it’s tropical, and that’s about average for this time of year. The afternoon gets even bigger, with a 16 ft NW swell, but that might be a bit much unless you’re really on it. Focus on that Thursday morning session. After that, the wind turns a bit messy again for the weekend, but the swell sticks around, just with a cross-shore wind.

So, the bottom line: it’s a long, quiet blank run until the 24th. That Thursday morning is the one to circle. The rest is either flat or blown out or too big. Forecasts can change, but right now, patience is the game for Tengan.

Stay safe out there.
Rusty.

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