Tengan Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Rusty

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's be real, looking at the next 16 days for Tengan, it's a tough watch. The forecast is a long, drawn-out run of mostly poor conditions with only a few brief windows that might be worth a look. We're starting with a gap of nothing but flat, weak surf from Saturday the 1st all the way through to late Sunday the 2nd. The first chance to get wet comes Sunday afternoon, but it's a real struggle.

Sunday the 2nd finally sees a little bit of life. The afternoon session brings a tiny 2 ft swell from the east with a period of 17 seconds. That's a long-period groundswell, which for a reef break like Tengan is a good sign for shape, but the size is barely there. The wind is a light cross-offshore breeze, which will keep the surface clean. It's surfable, but you'll be fighting for tiny, gutless waves. The combined energy is a paltry 165 (weak), so don't expect much push.

Monday the 3rd sees a slight bump in size, up to 3 ft – 3 ft from the east-southeast, with a period of 15-16 seconds. The combined energy moves into the moderate range at 294-422, but the wind turns cross-shore, putting a little chop on the face. It's still marginal, and the tide will be a factor. It's a speck of hope, but nothing to get excited about.

Tuesday the 4th is about the best we get. The morning session has a clean 4 ft east swell, an 18-second period, and combined energy of 903 (moderate). The wind is a light cross-shore, and the water is a touch warmer than normal at 86°F, which is a nice bonus. The afternoon picks up to 4 ft, but the wind swings cross-onshore with a risk of thunderstorms, so grab the morning window. Even then, the overall quality is still rated as marginal.

From Wednesday the 5th onwards, things get ugly. The swell pumps up, reaching 7 ft on Wednesday and 13 ft by Thursday, but the wind does the same, turning into a howling, choppy mess. By Friday the 7th, we're looking at a massive 33 ft swell from the north-northeast, but with a storm-force 95 km/h cross-shore wind. The combined energy at that point is a staggering 50,680 (very strong). That's not surfable, it's a survival situation. For an inconsistent reef break like Tengan, that's a hard pass for anyone with a paddleboard.

After that, the swell drops off a cliff, and we're back to tiny, messy windswell and brutal hurricane-force winds for the rest of the second week. There's honestly nothing worth chasing in that period.

The Bottom Line: The best chance is a short window on Tuesday morning, the 4th of August. It's not a classic, but it's the only window where the swell, wind, and energy line up enough to make it a real option. The rest of the 16 days is a right-off for anything decent.

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