Tengan Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's get into it.

Well, to be honest, the next 16 days are looking pretty grim for the North Shore. We’ve got a real drought on our hands. The first week is basically a write-off, and the second week doesn’t offer much to get excited about either. The water’s sitting at a warm 86°F, which is a touch warmer than what we’d normally expect for this time of year.

The only break on the menu is Tengan (North Shore). This is a beginner-friendly reef setup that’s pretty inconsistent and rarely breaks, so the fact it’s even showing up is a bit of a red flag. It’s fairly exposed to swell, and it needs the swell to come from the NE to work its magic.

The first few days are a total bust. The swell is tiny, and the wind is a cross-off, but the energy is just not there. On Saturday, August 1st, we’re looking at a 0.7ft wave from the east with a weak energy reading of just 11. It’s clean, but there’s nothing to ride. Sunday, August 2nd, is more of the same, though the afternoon sees a slight bump to 2ft and a moderate energy of 165, but the conditions are still ordinary.

Monday, August 3rd, the swell picks up a bit to 3ft, but the wind swings cross-shore and builds, making it choppy. The energy is moderate at 294. Tuesday, August 4th, we get a bit more size, with the morning seeing 4ft and a strong energy reading of 1093, but the wind is cross-shore and we’ve got a risk of thunderstorms. The best of the weak bunch? That’s a stretch.

The middle of the week gets ugly. Wednesday, August 5th, the swell pushes to 6ft with a strong energy of 2371, but the wind is a fresh cross-shore and the conditions are lumpy. This is more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddle-surfing one. Thursday, August 6th, is when things get dangerous. The swell hits 15ft to 16ft, with a massive energy of 26851, but we’ve got near gale-force cross-shore winds. The forecast says it’s too big for this break, and honestly, for experts only, if they’re crazy. The period is 19 seconds, which is a very long groundswell, but at a beach break like this, it’ll be a close-out.

Then the hurricane-force winds hit Friday, August 7th, through the weekend. Winds are hitting 75 mph, making it impossible. The swell drops off a cliff, and the energy plummets. Saturday, August 8th, sees 0.7ft with a hurricane-force cross-onshore. It’s dangerous and completely blown out.

The second week is a slow, sad fade. Sunday, August 9th, has no swell at all. The following days offer tiny, weak waves. Monday, August 10th, brings 5ft, but it’s short-period at 7 seconds and the wind is a near gale. The energy is moderate at 267. Tuesday through Saturday are all similar: small swell, poor wind, and the energy stays weak. By Sunday, August 16th, we get a little bump to 3ft with a longer period of 14 seconds, but the wind is onshore and the conditions are marginal. The energy is 282, which is moderate but not enough to save the day.

Honestly, there’s nothing here to recommend. The best you could hope for is a session on the afternoon of August 2nd, but even that’s a stretch. Otherwise, it’s a 16-day blank run. For a spot like this, that’s not unusual. Forecasts can change, but right now, I’d say leave the boards at home.

Rusty.

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