Tengan Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s cooking for Tengan over the next couple of weeks.

To be straight with you, it’s a slow start. We’re staring at a long stretch of nothing. From right now through the end of July and into the first few days of August, the ocean is basically asleep. Tiny scraps of swell with no energy to speak of (combined energy values as low as 5 to 62). The water is a warm 85°, about average for the season, so it’s good for a swim, but don’t bother with the wax.

That’s a gap of nearly a week with no real surf to speak of. The first sign of life creeps in around Monday, August 3rd. A small pulse from the east bumps up to about 2ft with a long 15-second period, and the energy hits 241 units. It’s clean under a cross-offshore wind, but it’s still small and a little raw. The afternoon gets a bit more size at 3ft, but the wind swings cross-shore and churns it up.

The best window in this whole forecast is looking like Tuesday, August 4th. The swell fills in solid from the east at 4ft to 5ft, with a very long period of 18 seconds. That’s proper groundswell, and the energy readings are over 1100. The catch is that Tengan is a reef break, and while that long period will give it some real punch, the wind is a persistent cross-shore from the north-northeast. It’s going to be lumpy. This is the most interesting swell of the run, but it’s not perfect. It’s a size most folks can handle, but the crowd factor is listed as “sometimes,” so you might have some company.

By Wednesday the 5th, the swell peaks at 6ft from the east with that same long 18-second period, and the energy is up around 1884. That’s getting into the upper end for intermediates, and the onshore wind will make it a battle. For the experienced crew, there’s potential, but it’s messy.

After that, things go sideways. Thursday the 6th sees the swell drop and a fresh 19 mph cross-shore wind kills the quality. Then a strong northwest wind event rips through from Friday the 7th through the weekend, with gusts hitting near gale force. The swell direction swings to the north, but the period drops to a weak 6-9 seconds, and the energy tanks. It’s clean in the wind shadow, but the swell is weak and blown out. It’s looking more like a kite session than a paddle session.

The second week offers a tiny glimmer on Monday, August 10th. A small 2ft easterly swell shows up with a 14-second period and glassy conditions in the afternoon. The energy is a modest 137 units. It’s surfable, but very ordinary. Then the following Tuesday the 11th sees a pulse of 8ft from the east-northeast, but it’s ruined by a strong cross-onshore wind. That’s expert-only and rough.

So, if you’re looking for the best, aim for Tuesday, August 4th. It’s the biggest, most powerful swell of the run. It’s not clean, but it’s the only real standout. For the rest, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

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