Tengan Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Tengan.

Honestly, we’re staring down the barrel of a pretty bleak stretch. For the first week, there’s just nothing happening. We’re talking flat, or close to it, with tiny dribbles of 0.7ft to 2ft swell from the east. The wind is light and sometimes glassy, but with that little energy, it’s just a lake. The combined energy is barely a whisper, sitting at just 9 (weak energy) for the first few days. Don’t bother waxing up.

We do finally see a pulse of energy arriving on Monday, August 3rd, with a 3ft easterly swell rolling in. The period is a long 16 seconds, which is proper groundswell, but the wind is cross and the energy is still moderate at 535. It’s just a tease. The swell builds through Tuesday, August 4th, hitting 5ft in the morning and 5ft by the afternoon. The combined energy jumps up to 1232 and 1555 (moderate) but those winds are cross and cross-onshore, so it’s going to be lumpy.

Then it gets ugly. The swell keeps pumping, but so does the wind. By Wednesday, August 5th, we’re looking at 7ft to 8ft from the east, but with a strong 25-30 km/h cross-onshore wind, it’s going to be a choppy mess. The energy is strong (2946 to 3762), but it’s not for paddling. Honestly, this looks more like a kite session than a surf session.

Thursday, August 6th, is a total write-off. The swell jumps to 13ft, but the wind is screaming at 50-60 km/h. The energy is a massive 10456 to 12680 (very strong), but you’d be a madman to go out in that.

Now, here’s a wild one. Friday, August 7th, the forecast shows a 23ft swell from the north. The wind is a violent 105 km/h, but it’s cross-offshore, so it reads as clean. That’s a hurricane-forced blow. The energy is off the charts at 24661. The guidance says it’s too big for this break, and that’s a serious red flag. This is expert-only, life-threatening stuff, and honestly, it’s not worth the risk. The swell then crashes down to 1.0ft on Saturday, August 8th, leaving us with nothing but stormy leftover slop and near-gale winds.

We settle into a long, boring pattern from Sunday, August 9th, through to the end of the forecast on Thursday, August 14th. The swell is a pathetic 2ft to 3ft from the east or southeast, with periods all over the place and the wind is onshore or cross-onshore. The combined energy is weak, usually around 200-400. It’s a total blank.

The best of a bad bunch – and I’m scraping the barrel here – is the Tuesday morning, August 4th swell. A 5ft easterly groundswell (18 seconds) with a gentle cross-shore wind. It’s *marginal*, but it’s the only period where the window is even slightly open. The water is a warm 86°F, which is about a degree warmer than usual, so that’s nice. But for Tengan, a reef break that’s inconsistent and exposed to the northeast, this easterly swell isn’t hitting its optimum. The crowds are only sometimes there, so you might have it to yourself. But don’t expect much.

Rusty.

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