Tengan Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s take a look at what we’ve got for Tengan over the next couple of weeks.

Honestly mate, it’s a tough stretch. The first week is pretty much a write-off. We’ve got solid swell pulsing in from Wednesday the 9th onwards, with waves pushing well over 8 feet and into the 16-20 foot range by the 10th, but the wind is absolutely murdering it – strong onshore and near gale-force. That’s not surfable, that’s survival. The combined energy readings are massive – but with those winds, forget it. This setup at a reef break with that much power and wind? Probably more of a kite-surfing scene than a paddle session.

Then from the 11th to about the 15th, it goes flat or tiny. We’re looking at waves that barely push 1 foot to 4 feet, with short, weak periods and still messy winds. The energy drops right off. There’s nothing worth paddling out for there.

There’s a tiny glimmer of hope around Thursday the 16th morning – a little pulse of about 4 feet from the ESE, period around 10 seconds, light breeze. It’s marginal at best, but it’s the cleanest window in a bad run. The wind is light cross-onshore, so it might be okay if the tide lines up, but don’t expect much.

The second week is a slow burn. By Tuesday the 21st, we start seeing a better pulse – 5 to 6 feet from the ENE, with a long 16-17 second period. That’s proper groundswell energy. The wind is onshore but light to moderate, so it’s not blown out. A reef break like Tengan can handle that long-period energy well, but it might make it a bit straight. Still, that’s the best looking window in the whole 16 days – I’d be watching Tuesday the 21st afternoon closely.

By the 22nd and 23rd, the swell gets bigger again – up to 11-12 feet – but the winds turn fresh and cross-onshore, and with the direction swinging more NW, it’s likely lumpy and ugly.

Water temp at Tengan is currently 83°, which is about average for this time of year – nothing unusual there.

So overall, the standout is Tuesday the 21st into maybe Wednesday morning, with chest-to-head high swell and long-period energy. If the wind holds light, that’s your best bet. The rest of the window is either too big and windy, or too small and weak. Hang in there.

- Rusty

Read more