Tengan Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

Straight up, I’ll be honest with you – this is a rough stretch. From now through the entire 16-day window, we’ve got no real surf on offer here. The data shows a long, dry run of 'poor surf conditions' with scores that just don’t stack up for a proper paddle. We’re looking at a solid blank run, which isn't unheard of for this area when the winds and swell just don’t line up.

We start on Monday the 10th of August with a bit of a messy scene. A risk of thunderstorms, a cross-onshore breeze from the southeast at 16 mph, and a weak 3 ft easterly swell with a 14-second period. The energy is low at 239, and it’s choppy. Not your day. That trend continues through the week with tiny, weak swell, mostly under 2 ft, and cross-onshore winds. There’s a brief moment of clean conditions on Wednesday afternoon the 12th with a light cross-offshore breeze, but the swell is still only 1 ft from the ENE with a period of 11 seconds and energy down at 39. Hardly enough to get out of first gear.

The weekend of the 15th and 16th is more of the same. Small, weak ENE pulses, but on Sunday the 16th we get a glassy afternoon. Still, the swell is just 1 ft with a 10-second period and 33 energy. It’s calm, but there’s nothing to ride.

The second week gets a bit more interesting, but not in a good way for paddle surfing. From the 21st of August, a larger swell arrives – 5 ft from the southeast on Friday morning, with a period of 8 seconds and energy jumping to 267. But the wind is a cross-onshore 12 mph, making it choppy and lumpy. That swell builds, with the biggest pulse hitting on Tuesday the 25th of August: 6 ft from the east, 12-second period, and a strong energy reading of 952. That’s a proper groundswell, but it’s arriving with a fresh onshore wind from the ESE at 22 mph. The conditions are just blown out.

For a break like Tengan, which is a reef setup that does best with a NE swell direction, none of this is working. The swell is coming from the wrong directions, and the wind is constantly onshore or cross-onshore. If you’re into kite surfing, those bigger, windier days from the 21st onward might look a bit more appealing, but for a paddle surfer, there’s nothing to get excited about.

So, keep your gear waxed, don’t bother rushing down here. The forecasts change, and it won’t stay this flat forever, but for now, it’s a solid no-go.

Rusty.

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