Tengan Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ve scanned the charts for Tengan and honestly, it’s a pretty grim run ahead. This reef setup is inconsistent at the best of times, and the next 16 days just don’t deliver any proper surf. There are no standout sessions to get excited about. The water’s sitting at 84°F right now, which is a touch above normal for this time of year, but that’s about the only highlight.

The first week is particularly dead. From Monday the 14th right through to Friday the 18th, we’ve got tiny dribbles of swell – mostly around 1ft to 2ft from the east with short periods around 7 to 10 seconds. The combined wave energy is weak (94 to 63 on that scale), and the wind is cross-onshore or onshore nearly the whole time, leaving the surface bumpy and messy. Poor surf conditions across the board. You’d be better off doing something else.

Saturday the 19th sees a jump in size, with a 4ft east swell on the afternoon, period stretching to 15 seconds, and energy climbing to 680 – that’s moderate energy now. But the wind is a moderate breeze from the north-northeast, cross-onshore and choppy. Still poor. By Sunday the 20th, we’re looking at a 7ft east swell from the same long-period groundswell (16 seconds), energy surging to 2297 – that’s strong. But the wind is a fresh 19 mph northerly, lumpy and cross-shore. It’s only rated marginal, not worth paddling out for. That swell’s size is pushing expert-only territory in these conditions.

Monday the 22nd offers a glimmer: a 6ft east swell, period 14 seconds, with a cross-offshore wind (NNW at 22 mph in the morning, backing off to NW 19 mph in the afternoon). The energy is still strong at 1730, and the conditions are described as clean. This is the best you’ll see – but even then, it’s only a marginal call due to tide or other factors. For a reef that’s inconsistent and rarely breaks, it’s one to watch. That said, with that much north in the wind, it’s not perfectly aligned for Tengan’s optimum NE direction.

After that, the second week is a write-off. Tuesday the 23rd through to the end of the month is a mix of rising and dropping swell, but the wind stays cross-on or cross, mostly fresh and choppy. By the 27th and 28th, we get 10ft swells from the east with short 8-second periods – huge, but sloppy and blown out. That’s kite-surfing territory, not paddle. Combined energy hits over 1100 (strong), but with a fresh 19 mph northerly cross-shore, it’s just nasty.

Bottom line: if you’re desperate, try Monday the 22nd for a clean-ish window, but don’t expect much. Otherwise, this stretch is a blank run, which is pretty normal for this spot when the consistency is low. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a hard pass.

Rusty.

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