Tengan Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a real look at what’s coming up for Tengan over the next couple of weeks. I gotta tell you, straight up, it’s a tough watch for a while. We’re looking at a long, dry spell before anything worth paddling out for shows up.

For the first twelve days, from Sunday the 30th of August right through to Thursday the 10th of September, it’s pretty much a write-off. We’ve got persistent onshore and cross-onshore winds—mostly from the east and southeast—blowing 15 to 18 mph, sometimes stronger. The swell is small and weak, with combined wave energy struggling to hit triple digits early on (68). Even when the swell bumps up a bit around the 1st and 2nd of September, the chop and lump from the wind just ruin any chance of a clean wave. Conditions like that, with a stiff cross-breeze and messy water, you're better off staying home or going for a run. The water temp anomaly is about average for this time of year, so nothing wild there, but you'll still want a decent suit for the sessions that matter.

Now, there is a *glimmer* of hope. The real potential kicks off on Friday the 11th of September. That morning we get a bit of a clean-up with ESE winds going light at just 3 mph and an onshore direction, but the real moment is Friday afternoon. The wind swings to a light WNW breeze at 6 mph, going cross-offshore, and the water goes clean. Swell is a modest 4 ft from the SE, but the period jumps to 13 seconds—a proper groundswell. The combined energy hits 824, which is solid, moderate power. This is a genuine window for some clean, lined-up waves at Tengan. Keep in mind it’s a reef break, so that longer period will wrap in nicely, but it can also wall up a bit on the takeoff. It’s an inconsistent spot, so patience is key, but the quality should be there.

Then Saturday the 12th of September is the standout, but with a massive caveat. We’ve got a monster swell arriving. Saturday morning you’re looking at a 13 ft SE groundswell with a 16-second period. The combined energy is screaming at 10253—that’s strong to very strong energy. The wind is a clean, cross-offshore NNW breeze at 12 mph. The break will be absolutely pumping with long, powerful lines. However, Saturday afternoon the swell jumps to a massive 20 ft from the ESE with the same long 16-second period, and the energy hits 32383. That is *way* too big for this break. Unless you are a world-class big-wave charger, it's a no-go. Even the morning at 13 ft will be a serious, expert-only affair. The crowds are listed as sometimes here, but trust me, if that forecast holds, the local chargers will be out, so expect company.

After that, Sunday the 13th and Monday the 14th see the swell shift direction to the NW, but the cross-shore winds pick back up, making it lumpy and less appealing.

So, the bottom line: if you can wait, Friday the 11th of September afternoon is the pick of the entire window. Clean conditions, proper groundswell, and a manageable size for most intermediate and above surfers. Saturday the 12th of September morning is the other option for experts only, with huge, powerful surf.

Stay patient, and I’ll see you out there when it cleans up.
- Rusty

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