Tengan Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, mates, let's get into it. Rusty here, and I've got the full 16-day picture for you. The short of it is, we're looking at a pretty grim stretch for a while. The first bit, into the middle of the month, is a write-off. Then, we get a sniff of something in the distance, but it's a long way off and not a sure thing.

The first real recommendation doesn't show up until Thursday, August 6th, but it's a total pass. Tengan's got a 10ft swell coming from the East, with a very long period of 16 seconds. That's a lot of water moving, but it's being hammered by a 25 mph north wind, making it a cross-shore mess. The water is a touch warmer than normal at 86°F.

That big swell is followed by a serious storm on Friday the 7th, with a 20ft swell from the North and 47 mph winds. It's just not safe. The whole weekend into the next week is a washout; we're talking days of gale-force winds, heavy rain, and tiny, chopped-out surf. From the 8th of August until the 19th, the swell is mostly under 3ft, and the wind is howling. It's a proper blank run for any kind of decent wave.

Now, we start to see some life on the 20th of August, Thursday. The swell picks up to 3ft from the East with a period of 9 seconds, and the combined energy is a moderate 136. The wind is light onshore, so it's not clean, but it's a start. The 21st of August, Friday, is very similar, with 3ft from the east-northeast and a 130 energy reading. The wind is still onshore, so you're dealing with chop.

The best of the whole 16-day window is a tough call, but I'd have to point to the 20th and 21st of August. The swell is small, but it's the most consistent energy we've seen all period. The combined energy of 136 and 130 is the highest we've had since the storm. The wind is light, which is about the best we can hope for. The break is Tengan, a reef. It's a beginner spot, and it's inconsistent, so it's not for everyone, but it's the only game in town. The swell direction is east, which is a solid match for the break's optimum.

For the rest of the period, from the 22nd onward, the data goes quiet, but the pattern suggests we're still waiting for a proper swell. The near-term is a total loss, and the long-range looks promising, but it's a long way out, so keep your fingers crossed.

Rusty.

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