Tengan Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, crew, Rusty here. Let’s cut to it: the next fortnight at Tengan is mostly a grind, with a long flat spell up top and one serious, late pulse of swell that will sort the men from the boys.

Right now, Thursday the 10th is the only early action, with 4 to 5 feet of NE swell. It’s cross and a bit weak in energy (323 and 417), so while it’s the biggest thing around for a while, it’s still marginal. Don’t go in expecting miracles. Then the lights go out. From Friday the 11th through the 19th, it’s a proper flat spell. We’re looking at dribbly 2 to 3 feet at best, mostly onshore or cross-onshore winds, and energy readings that are mostly weak. There’s a lot of sitting on the sand and watching the horizon during this stretch.

The game changes Sunday the 20th. A big ESE groundswell pushes in, going from 6 feet in the morning to 8 feet in the afternoon. The period stretches out to 16 and 17 seconds – that’s deep ocean energy. Energy readings are strong (1826, then 3137). But the wind is up and it’s cross-onshore, so the surface is going to be lumpy and hard to ride. Monday the 21st is all-time in size, with 10 to 12 feet of swell and 18-second periods, and energy readings of 6621 and 8222. But a near gale is blowing at 50-55 km/h, and it’s totally blown out. That’s more of a kite day, frankly. Anything over 8 feet is expert-only, and with that wind, it’s a washing machine.

Tuesday the 22nd is the one to circle. The wind goes cross-offshore and the swell drops from 8 feet to just under 7 feet through the day. The period is still a robust 16 seconds and the energy readings are very strong at 4017 and 3180. The morning session is for experts, but it’s the cleanest big surf we’ll see. Wednesday the 23rd is a solid backup: 7 feet of swell with an 11-second period, cross-offshore wind, and energy readings of 1307. The morning looks cleanest. The swell direction is a bit more N, but the reef will handle it. After that, it fades fast into the 24th and 25th with poor conditions again.

So, mark your calendar for Tuesday the 22nd. It’s going to be big, powerful, and with the cross-off wind, it’s your best shot at a proper wave in this whole outlook. Wednesday morning is the runner-up. The rest is a waiting game.

Rusty out.

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