Tengan Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – we’re looking at a tough 16-day stretch ahead.

First up, we get a little tease of swell on Monday the 24th, but it’s junk. The only break on the cards is Tengan, a reef setup, and the conditions are a write-off with onshore wind and a risk of thunderstorms. The water’s at 84°, pretty average for this time of year. That 3 ft swell (601 combined energy) from the ESE won’t be worth paddling out for.

Then we hit a real rough patch. From Tuesday the 25th through Monday the 31st, it’s basically all no-go. There’s some serious size showing up – Tuesday morning has 10 ft (5483 energy) and Tuesday afternoon has 12 ft (6237 energy) – but it’s all cross-shore or howling onshore wind. A couple of days even see gale-force offshore winds, but that 40 mph blast will make it nearly impossible to even get out. The swell periods are short and messy, too. It’s a full week of nothing but frustration.

September 1st and 2nd offer a bit of a tease. Swell bumps up to 5 ft on Wednesday morning (884 energy) and 6 ft on Wednesday afternoon (1218 energy), coming from the ESE with a 10-second period. The wind is a moderate, steady cross-onshore though, so it’s going to be choppy. Better than the junk we’ve been looking at, but still far from clean.

Now, here’s the only window that might get your heart beating a little. September 3rd and 4th show some potential. Thursday the 3rd has 8 ft ESE swell with a long 12-second period (2161 energy). The catch is a fresh cross-shore breeze, so it’ll be lumpy and a bit of a battle. This size is for experienced surfers only. But then we get Friday the 4th: the northwest wind switches to a light cross-offshore, 9-15 mph, and we’ve got a solid 8 ft swell from the north with a 9 to 10-second period (around 1400 energy). The wind will keep it clean. This is your best bet of the entire forecast, but it’s still only a *marginal* tick. It’s a promising but less certain long-range call. For a reef break like Tengan, that north swell direction isn’t perfect, but it’s the only real chance you’ll get.

The weekend of the 5th and 6th drops off again. That north swell fades, the wind turns onshore, and we’re back to chop. After that, from the 7th of September onward, it’s more onshore slop and thunderstorms with weak, short-period swell.

It’s a grim run, lads. The bottom line: if you’re keen, aim for Friday the 4th of September at Tengan. It’s not a classic, but it’s the only time the stars even partially align. For now, I’d be checking the forecast again in a few days.

Rusty.

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