Takapuna-North Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you. Looking at the next 16 days, it’s a pretty quiet stretch for our shores. The swell window is mostly shut, and we're looking at a whole lot of small, weak surf. We’re going to have to be patient and pick our moments, because the good stuff is few and far between.

The first week is going to be a real test of patience. From Sunday the 2nd right through to Friday the 7th, we are looking at tiny, 0.3ft dribbles. The energy is super weak (16 at best), and the period is all over the shop. It’s not going to be worth paddling out for anything more than a splash about. On Friday morning it goes glassy, but with nothing to push, it’s just a flat, shiny ocean.

We get a bit of a pulse on Sunday the 9th, but it’s a messy 2ft with a terrible 4-second period, so it’s not going to have any push. The wind is also a problem, so it’s going to look pretty average out there. Monday the 10th is interesting though. The swell stays small, but we see a period of glassy conditions in the afternoon. The swell jumps slightly to 3ft and the energy climbs to (53). It's still not big, but it's about the best we'll see for a while.

From the 11th through the 13th, it's a write-off. The wind turns onshore and it’s going to be bumpy, with the swell staying small and weak. The energy is below (53) most of the time, and it's just not clean.

Now, for the standout. Friday the 14th is our day. We finally see a proper bump of energy, with the combined energy hitting (290) in the morning. The swell comes up to 4ft with a 10-second period from the north. It’s still not giant, but the power is there. The catch is the wind: it’s cross-onshore from the northeast, which is going to make it a bit lumpy. However, this is the most rideable surf of the whole window. It will be too much for the beginners, but for the rest of us, it’s the one to circle on the calendar.

After that, the energy fades back down. The rest of the second week is a mix of small, weak swell and onshore winds. We see some glassy conditions on Sunday the 16th, but again, there’s just no power behind it. It’s not looking like a classic fortnight for the reef, but if you can make it out on the 14th, you might just get a few.

Remember, the water temp is sitting at 57° which is about average for this time of year. And since we're primarily a sheltered reef here, we can be a bit vulnerable to the northerly winds. If the wind is howling, there are other options, but for a proper surf, this is the spot.

Alright, that’s the look. Keep your head up, the ocean is always changing, and this flat spell won't last forever. I'll be watching the charts.

Rusty.

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