
Surf Forecasts:
Tawharanui surf forecast from 5 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 9 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 10s period, E swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 7 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period, N swell with 890 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 10s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tawharanui this week:
The surf forecast for Tawharanui over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tawharanui in the next 16 days are 2.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.8m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 2ft (0.6m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 2ft (0.6m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Tue 7th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tawharanui over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, let’s look at what’s brewing at Tawharanui (NE coast).
Honestly, the next 16 days are a tough slog for a decent paddle here. There’s a whole lot of nothing, or blown-out junk, for most of the run. No real standouts, just a couple of tiny windows of clean but very small surf.
Sunday the 5th of July is a no-go. A tiny 2ft easterly swell with a 10-second period, but the wind is cross-shore from the NW at 6 mph, making it bumpy and unappealing.
Monday the 6th is nasty. Swell hits 10ft from the NNW in the morning, but with a strong 22 mph cross-shore wind and a choppy, lumpy sea. The afternoon drops to 6ft but stays rough with a fresh cross-onshore wind. Not for paddling.
Tuesday the 7th is more of the same: moderate rain, strong onshore winds up to 28 mph, and a messy 8ft swell. High energy (848 energy units in the morning, 1167 in the afternoon) but it’s a kiter’s game, not a surfer’s.
There’s a tiny glimmer Wednesday morning the 8th. The wind shifts offshore from the SW at 16 mph, and we get a small 3ft easterly swell, period 10 seconds. Energy is moderate (274). It’s clean, but the swell is marginal. By afternoon, the wind picks up and the swell fades.
From Thursday the 9th through to the 15th, the story is flat and clean with almost no wave height. Swell sits between 1ft and 2ft from the east or southeast, periods from 9 to 12 seconds. The wind is light to moderate, often offshore, so the surface is glassy, but there’s nothing to ride. The combined energy drops below 100 for most of this stretch.
Thursday the 16th sees a spike: an 8ft northerly swell with a 9-second period and energy of 2100. But the wind is fresh onshore from the NE at 19 mph, so it’s a choppy, blown-out mess again.
Friday the 17th through to the 19th stays windy and onshore, with waves from 5ft to 8ft, but all with strong, lumpy wind. Not for a clean session.
By Monday the 20th, the swell drops back to 1ft and the wind cleans up, but the waves are gone.
So my best bet? That Wednesday morning (8th) is the only one with a chance for a clean, if tiny, wave. The water temp is around 60°F, which is pretty normal for this time of year.
No big swell days with good wind on the horizon. Hang tight.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 64mm), heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun afternoon, min 12°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Sun afternoon, strong winds from the NE by Tue morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed afternoon, min 10°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Wed afternoon, light winds from the S by Thu morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sun 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | N 6 | NNW 8 | NNW 7 | N 7 | N 8 | NNE 9 | N 9 | E 10 | NNE 8 | E 10 | E 10 | E 9 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | E 10 | E 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
72 | 220 | 857 | 308 | 287 | 819 | 790 | 393 | 130 | 52 | 73 | 70 | 64 | 49 | 51 | 48 | 31 | 31 | 32 | 47 | 46 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:55PM2.46m | 11:14AM2.33m | 11:37PM2.43m | 11:58AM2.32m | 00:22AM2.41m | 12:45PM2.30m | 1:10AM2.38m | 1:38PM2.29m | 2:05AM2.36m | 2:41PM2.31m | 3:08AM2.36m | 3:53PM2.36m | 4:14AM2.39m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:45PM0.70m | 5:23AM0.72m | 5:27PM0.75m | 6:08AM0.72m | 6:16PM0.80m | 6:56AM0.71m | 7:12PM0.84m | 7:48AM0.69m | 8:13PM0.84m | 8:43AM0.65m | 9:15PM0.81m | 9:41AM0.60m | 10:18PM0.75m | 10:41AM0.54m | |||||||
— | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | |
5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | 5:21 | |
mm | — | 15 | — | — | 8 | 19 | 13 | 9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 10 |
Feels °C | 14 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 6 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | N 9 | N 9 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | E 10 | E 10 | E 9 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | E 10 | E 10 |
51 | 49 | 48 | 31 | 31 | 29 | 377 | 393 | 116 | 52 | 73 | 70 | 64 | 49 | 51 | 48 | 31 | 31 | 32 | 47 | 46 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 12 | E 9 | E 7 | NE 8 | NE 7 | NNE 7 | N 14 | N 14 | NE 8 | N 13 | N 12 | N 12 | N 12 | N 11 |
72 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 26 | 28 | 23 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 12 | E 10 | E 10 | — | N 7 | — | — | — | N 13 | — | N 10 | — | N 12 | — |
2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | 130 | 48 | — | 1 | — | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | — | 3 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 6 | N 6 | NNW 8 | NNW 7 | N 7 | N 8 | NNE 9 | ESE 5 | SSE 5 | S 4 | SSW 4 | S 3 | S 3 | S 4 | S 5 | S 5 | SSE 4 | S 4 | SSE 4 | SSE 3 | — |
26 | 220 | 857 | 308 | 287 | 819 | 790 | 125 | 133 | 13 | 31 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 131 | 55 | 24 | 27 | 17 | 1 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 7 | 294 | 65 | 86 | 67 | 68 | 64 | 72 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 22 | 22 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Northland | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tawharanui Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tawharanui provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tawharanui can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tawharanui surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tawharanui) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tawharanui may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Tawharanui is 48 km (30 miles) from the city of Northshore. If you plan a holiday in Northland, look for hotels and other accommodation in Northshore. Northshore has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











