Tawharanui Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the menu for the next little while at Tawharanui.

Right off the bat, it's a pretty quiet start. There's some small swell in the water, but honestly, nothing worth paddling out for. The best we see in the early days is a tiny 2ft Easterly swell on the Wednesday morning, the 29th of July, with glassy conditions. That's a nice morning for a paddle if you're just wanting to get wet, but the waves aren't going to offer much. The water temp is sitting at 58°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

We then go through a long stretch of small, weak, and mostly messy conditions. The wind is all over the shop, mostly cross-shore or onshore, and the wave energy is just pitiful. There's a big gap of nothing really worthwhile until we get to Friday the 31st of July. That morning, we see a jump in size with a 6ft northerly swell, but the period is a short 7 seconds, so it's going to be a bit of a lumpy, wind-affected mess. The wind is cross-offshore, which is a plus, but the swell is too short-period to really get excited about. The combined energy hits 342 (moderate), but it's still not a standout.

The real eye-opener, and the one to mark on your calendar, is Monday the 10th of August. We've got a solid 8ft swell from the East, with a 7-second period, pushing in. The energy is strong at 598 (strong wave energy). Now, this is a big one. At 8ft, this is expert territory, and it's pushing right into the beach-and-reef setup. The wind is a gentle cross-onshore, so it's not going to be perfect, but that's a lot of water moving. It's a long way out, so keep an eye on the charts, but this is the most promising pulse in the whole 16-day window. The afternoon holds at 7ft, still plenty of grunt. The direction is from the East, which is not the optimum NE for the spot, but with that much energy, it's still the main event.

For the rest of the second week, it's mostly small, weak, and chopped-out. The 6ft on the 7th of August is a write-off with fresh onshore winds, and the 5ft that morning is the same story. Honestly, that Monday the 10th is the only real shot at something memorable, and even then, it's a wild, expert-only kind of day.

So, to sum it up: a long, flat start, a small window of clean but tiny surf mid-week, a messy pulse at the end of July, and then a big, powerful, but tricky swell on the 10th of August. That's your best bet.

Rusty.

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