Tawharanui Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, let’s have a look at what Tawharanui’s got cookin’ for us over the next couple of weeks.

First up, we’ve got a bit of a slow start. The real action doesn’t kick off until Monday morning, August 10th. Before that, it’s flat and quiet, so don’t bother paddling out.

Monday morning’s looking like the clear standout of the whole run. We’ve got a clean 5ft swell coming from the north, with a light offshore breeze from the southwest. That’s proper glassy conditions, and the water temp is sitting at 58°F, which is pretty much spot-on for this time of year – no surprises there. The combined energy is a moderate 269, so there’s enough push to get into some fun ones. This is about as good as it gets in this window. Monday afternoon, the swell drops to 4ft, but the wind swings to a light offshore from the west-southwest, so it’ll still be clean, just a bit smaller.

Tuesday morning stays clean with a 4ft north swell and a cross-offshore breeze from the southeast. It’s not a standout, but it’s surfable. The energy drops to 159, so it’ll be weaker. By Tuesday afternoon, the wind turns cross-onshore, and the quality goes downhill fast.

From Wednesday through to the end of the first week, we’re looking at onshore winds, messy conditions, and poor surf quality. Wednesday morning has a lumpy 5ft northeast swell but with a strong onshore breeze – that’s gonna be a choppy, blown-out mess. The combined energy is 333, which is moderate, but the wind kills it. This stretch is a write-off for a paddle surfer; if you’ve got a kite, it might be interesting.

The weekend of August 15th and 16th sees the swell drop right off. Saturday morning has a tiny 3ft northeast swell with a cross-offshore breeze, but it’s just too small to get excited about. Sunday has even less – 2ft to 2ft – with a strong offshore wind that’ll keep it clean, but you’d be scratching for a ride.

The second week is mostly bleak. Swell heights hover around 1.0ft to 2ft, with persistent onshore winds and very weak energy readings (most under 100). The best you could hope for is a tiny clean session on Tuesday August 18th afternoon, with a 2ft east swell and a moderate offshore breeze. But it’s a long shot.

One thing to note: throughout this whole period, Tawharanui is an exposed beach and reef setup, best on a northeast swell. Monday morning’s north swell combined with that perfect offshore wind is the only real highlight. Crowds are often there, so if you do go out Monday morning, expect some company.

So, to sum it up: Monday August 10th morning is your one true standout. Get out there early. The rest of the 16 days is mostly small, weak, and blown out. It’s a lean stretch, but that’s how it goes sometimes. The forecasts can change, so keep an eye on it.

Rusty.

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