
Surf Forecasts:
Tawharanui surf forecast from 7 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 11 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 10s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 8s period, NNE swell with 429 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 8 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 11s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tawharanui this week:
The surf forecast for Tawharanui over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 12PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.6m and 6s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tawharanui in the next 16 days are 2.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 09) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12PM (Wed 8th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Sat 11th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Wed 15th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tawharanui over the next 16 days.
Right folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what we’ve got coming down the line at Tawharanui (New Zealand).
Alright, straight up – it’s a grim start. We are looking at a solid week of nothing worth paddling out for. From now until the 14th of July, the surf is poor and the conditions are ordinary. There’s a bit of weak energy around, but it’s mostly cross-off or cross-shore winds and the swell is tiny. You’d be better off having a sleep-in.
Now, the first real glimmer of hope arrives on Tuesday the 14th. This is where things get interesting. The swell jumps to a clean 6ft from the north, with a short 7-second period. The energy ramps right up to moderate levels. More importantly, we have a nice cross-off wind from the WSW. Tawharanui is exposed to the NE, so that westerly component will be putting a clean face on it. This is the standout of the entire outlook – solid, clean, and surfable. The morning and afternoon both look good.
Wednesday the 15th keeps it going, but it’s a step down. The swell drops to 4ft from the NNE with clean offshore winds in the morning. The afternoon goes glassy but the waves back off a bit. Still a fun session if you’re keen.
After that, we go back into a rough patch. From Thursday the 16th onward, it’s a write-off. Onshore gales and stormy conditions take over. The swell gets messy, the wind is brutal, and by the 23rd of July we see a massive 10ft swell from the NNE, but it’s blown out by strong cross-onshore winds. The energy hits a very strong level. If you’re into kiting, maybe give it a look, but for a paddle surfer, it’s a hard pass.
Water temp is sitting at 60°, which is normal for the time of year.
So to bottom line it: the only real window is Tuesday the 14th and Wednesday the 15th. Tuesday is your best bet – solid north swell, clean conditions. Don’t miss it, because the rest of the run is bleak.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed afternoon, min 10°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the S on Thu afternoon, light winds from the S by Fri night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 8 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 9 | E 10 | E 9 | N 5 | N 6 | N 6 | N 7 | NNE 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
77 | 100 | 69 | 71 | 48 | 41 | 61 | 59 | 74 | 68 | 73 | 51 | 29 | 28 | 16 | 16 | 52 | 200 | 297 | 351 | 429 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross | cross | glassy | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 12:45PM2.30m | 1:10AM2.38m | 1:38PM2.29m | 2:05AM2.36m | 2:41PM2.31m | 3:08AM2.36m | 3:53PM2.36m | 4:14AM2.39m | 5:01PM2.47m | 5:20AM2.46m | 6:01PM2.59m | 6:21AM2.53m | 6:55PM2.70m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:12PM0.84m | 7:48AM0.69m | 8:13PM0.84m | 8:43AM0.65m | 9:15PM0.81m | 9:41AM0.60m | 10:18PM0.75m | 10:41AM0.54m | 11:22PM0.67m | 11:44AM0.46m | 00:24AM0.58m | 12:46PM0.38m | 1:22AM0.49m | ||||||||
7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | |
— | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 4 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 14 |
Feels °C | 9 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 8 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 9 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 10 | E 13 |
77 | 100 | 69 | 71 | 48 | 41 | 61 | 59 | 74 | 68 | 73 | 51 | 29 | 28 | 16 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 4 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 6 | N 8 | NNE 8 | NE 8 | NNE 8 | N 14 | N 14 | E 10 | N 13 | N 12 | N 12 | N 12 | N 11 | E 13 | N 11 | E 12 | NE 12 | — | — | — | — |
30 | 29 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 33 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | — | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | NNW 8 | N 7 | N 7 | — | — | — | N 13 | — | — | N 12 | — | — | N 11 | — | N 11 | NE 12 | — | — | — | — |
14 | 20 | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 5 | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 5 | S 4 | SSW 4 | SSE 4 | S 5 | SSE 6 | S 5 | S 4 | SSW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 2 | N 5 | N 6 | N 6 | N 7 | NNE 8 |
42 | 12 | 15 | 22 | 119 | 181 | 73 | 18 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 52 | 200 | 297 | 351 | 429 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 303 | 44 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 64 | 38 | 61 | 64 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Northland | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the Tawharanui Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tawharanui provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tawharanui can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tawharanui surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tawharanui) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tawharanui may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Tawharanui is 48 km (30 miles) from the city of Northshore. If you plan a holiday in Northland, look for hotels and other accommodation in Northshore. Northshore has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










