Surf Forecasts:
Tawharanui surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 10 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 10s period, E swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 11 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 10s period, ESE swell with 96 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 10 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 10s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tawharanui this week:
The surf forecast for Tawharanui over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tawharanui in the next 16 days are 0.7m 10s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Friday (Jul 10) at 3PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Fri 10th Jul) | 2ft (0.6m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Fri 10th Jul) | 2ft (0.6m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Sat 11th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tawharanui over the next 16 days.
Alright, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's on offer at Tawharanui for the next couple of weeks.
Straight up, it's a grim run. For the next week and a half, the surf conditions are consistently marked as poor. We're looking at a long, frustrating gap with nothing worth paddling out for. The water is sitting at 60°F with an anomaly of 0.5°F, so it's about average for this time of year.
The first real glimmer of hope arrives on Friday, July 17th. We see a pulse of energy from the east, with a long-period groundswell of 17 seconds (104 combined energy). The wind is light and cross-off from the south, keeping things clean. The swell is only 1.0 ft, so it's tiny, but at least it's surfable and clean.
A second pulse follows on Saturday, July 18th, with the swell bumping up to 4 ft from the NE, but the wind is howling onshore from the east at 25 mph, making for a messy, choppy mess. Not worth it.
After that, the onshore winds get even stronger. The period starting Sunday, July 19th and running through to Wednesday, July 23rd sees big, raw energy (combined energy values in the 900 to 4743 range) but with strong cross-onshore winds. The swell height climbs from 8 ft to a solid 12 ft, all from the NE/E. The wave comment is consistently "poor surf conditions." With that much wind and size, this setup is far more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. The beach breaks will be closing out fast and messy. Only experts might find something at the reef, but the wind is making it ugly.
The only standout in this entire 16-day window is Friday, July 17th. It’s not going to be a world-beater, but with the wind behaving and a clean, glassy morning on the 15th and 16th, the surf on Friday morning should be the cleanest you'll find. The swell is a small 1.0 ft from the east, but the light cross-off breeze from the south will keep the reef section tidy. The crowds at Tawharanui can be often, but with such small conditions, you'll have plenty of room.
The rest of the second week is a write-off. Strong, lumpy onshores and messy cross-chop continue through the 24th and 25th. The near gale on the afternoon of the 24th will shut everything down completely.
Bottom line: don't hold your breath. It's a lean 16 days. The best you can hope for is a tiny, clean wave on Friday, July 17th.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Sun night, min 10°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Fri morning, calm by Sun night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 12°C on Tue morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNW on Mon night, calm by Wed morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | ENE 5 | NNE 4 | N 5 | N 5 | N 5 | N 5 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | NNE 5 | E 12 | E 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 61 | 67 | 67 | 96 | 71 | 47 | 44 | 27 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 87 | 66 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 14 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | on | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | glassy | glassy |
High Tide | 2:41PM2.31m | 3:08AM2.36m | 3:53PM2.36m | 4:14AM2.39m | 5:01PM2.47m | 5:20AM2.46m | 6:01PM2.59m | 6:21AM2.53m | 6:55PM2.70m | 7:18AM2.60m | 7:48PM2.77m | 8:12AM2.65m | 8:39PM2.81m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:15PM0.81m | 9:41AM0.60m | 10:18PM0.75m | 10:41AM0.54m | 11:22PM0.67m | 11:44AM0.46m | 00:24AM0.58m | 12:46PM0.38m | 1:22AM0.49m | 1:43PM0.31m | 2:17AM0.42m | 2:36PM0.26m | |||||||||
 |  |  | | |  | | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — |
 | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 |
Feels °C | 4 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 5 | E 9 | N 5 | N 5 | N 5 | NE 5 | NNE 5 | NNE 5 | NNE 5 | NNE 5 | NNE 5 |
| kJ | 61 | 67 | 67 | 96 | 71 | 47 | 44 | 27 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 45 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 14 | N 13 | N 13 | N 12 | N 12 | N 12 | N 11 | N 11 | N 11 | N 10 | E 10 | NE 11 | E 10 | E 5 | NE 5 | N 5 | E 10 | E 10 | NE 10 | E 12 | E 11 |
| kJ | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 9 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | N 12 | — | — | — | — | N 11 | NE 12 | N 9 | NE 11 | E 9 | E 10 | E 10 | — | NE 10 | E 10 | NE 10 | E 14 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 8 | — | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 5 | S 4 | SSE 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ENE 5 | NNE 4 | N 5 | N 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ENE 2 |
| kJ | 100 | 33 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | 10 | 87 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 64 | 22 | 38 | 64 | 369 | 22 | 60 | 103 | 67 | 168 | 67 | 64 | 60 | 22 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Northland | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tawharanui Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tawharanui provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tawharanui can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tawharanui surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tawharanui) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tawharanui may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Tawharanui is 48 km (30 miles) from the city of Northshore. If you plan a holiday in Northland, look for hotels and other accommodation in Northshore. Northshore has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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