Tawharanui Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’m gonna level with you. The next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim for a paddle. We’ve got a long stretch of tiny, weak surf, and it’s going to test your patience.

The only real pulse of energy arrives Tuesday morning, September 8th. We’re looking at a clean 2ft wave at Tawharanui, pushing in from the north. The wind is a moderate offshore from the southwest, which will keep the faces tidy. Water temp is sitting at 58°, which is right on average for this time of year. The combined energy is only 61, so while it’s surfable, it’s not going to blow your mind. That’s your one and only shot in the near term.

From Tuesday afternoon and through the rest of the week, it just fades away. We’re talking knee-high slop at best, with swells dropping to 0.3ft for days on end. The swell direction is all over the place, but the size just isn't there. There’s a strong offshore breeze on Friday, September 11th, but with 0.7ft on offer, it’s a skunk fest. You’d be fighting a 25 mph wind for nothing.

This flat spell really digs in. We’re looking at a solid ten days or more with nothing worth paddling out for. The energy readings are pathetic, single digits and low teens. It’s the kind of stretch where the only thing breaking is your heart.

There is a faint glimmer on the horizon for Wednesday morning, September 23rd. The models are showing a 2ft swell with a short 6-second period, and a gentle offshore breeze. It’s still small, but it’s the most promising thing on the charts. Mark it in the calendar, but don’t hold your breath. It’s a long way out, so treat that one as a hopeful “maybe” rather than a plan.

Honestly, with the swell this small and winds this strong for most of the run, the setup here might look more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer. The ocean is giving us nothing. That’s the way it goes sometimes. Forecasts can change, so keep an eye out, but right now, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

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