Tawharanui Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s look at what’s brewing at Tawharanui (NE coast).

Honestly, the next 16 days are a tough slog for a decent paddle here. There’s a whole lot of nothing, or blown-out junk, for most of the run. No real standouts, just a couple of tiny windows of clean but very small surf.

Sunday the 5th of July is a no-go. A tiny 2ft easterly swell with a 10-second period, but the wind is cross-shore from the NW at 6 mph, making it bumpy and unappealing.

Monday the 6th is nasty. Swell hits 10ft from the NNW in the morning, but with a strong 22 mph cross-shore wind and a choppy, lumpy sea. The afternoon drops to 6ft but stays rough with a fresh cross-onshore wind. Not for paddling.

Tuesday the 7th is more of the same: moderate rain, strong onshore winds up to 28 mph, and a messy 8ft swell. High energy (848 energy units in the morning, 1167 in the afternoon) but it’s a kiter’s game, not a surfer’s.

There’s a tiny glimmer Wednesday morning the 8th. The wind shifts offshore from the SW at 16 mph, and we get a small 3ft easterly swell, period 10 seconds. Energy is moderate (274). It’s clean, but the swell is marginal. By afternoon, the wind picks up and the swell fades.

From Thursday the 9th through to the 15th, the story is flat and clean with almost no wave height. Swell sits between 1ft and 2ft from the east or southeast, periods from 9 to 12 seconds. The wind is light to moderate, often offshore, so the surface is glassy, but there’s nothing to ride. The combined energy drops below 100 for most of this stretch.

Thursday the 16th sees a spike: an 8ft northerly swell with a 9-second period and energy of 2100. But the wind is fresh onshore from the NE at 19 mph, so it’s a choppy, blown-out mess again.

Friday the 17th through to the 19th stays windy and onshore, with waves from 5ft to 8ft, but all with strong, lumpy wind. Not for a clean session.

By Monday the 20th, the swell drops back to 1ft and the wind cleans up, but the waves are gone.

So my best bet? That Wednesday morning (8th) is the only one with a chance for a clean, if tiny, wave. The water temp is around 60°F, which is pretty normal for this time of year.

No big swell days with good wind on the horizon. Hang tight.

Rusty.

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