Tawharanui Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, I’m looking at the next 16 days for Tawharanui, and I’m not gonna lie, it’s a pretty grim outlook. There’s nothing happening right now, and that flatness stretches out for a long, long time.

We start on Thursday, July 16th, with a tiny 0.3ft swell. The energy is weak (7), and the conditions are just poor. Friday the 17th brings a bit of a pulse up to 1ft from the east, with a 17-second period. The wind goes offshore from the southwest in the afternoon at 15 mph, which is mint, but that long period makes it hard to hold shape at a beach and reef break like Tawharanui. The energy is moderate (92), but it’s still called “very ordinary” conditions. Saturday the 18th is similar, with a 1ft swell that’s already dropping off.

From Sunday the 19th all the way through to the 24th of July, the swell hovers between 0.6ft and a foot, with energy readings in the single digits to low teens. The wind is often offshore or light, so it’s clean, but there’s simply no wave to ride. We get a glassy morning on Wednesday the 22nd, but the swell is only 0.6ft from the north with a short period of 9 seconds. Not worth getting wet for.

Then, from the 25th to the 31st of July, there’s a slight change, but no improvement. The swell sits at 0.6ft to 1ft. On Friday the 31st, the energy climbs to 50 from an easterly swell at 13 seconds, but the wind is cross-onshore from the east at 9 mph, creating chop. It’s still labelled as poor.

Honestly, there are no standouts here. The wave energy is weak to very weak for the whole 16-day run. Water temperature is about average for this time of year. This is just one of those classic flat winter stretches for the area. The wind conditions are often good, so if a real swell ever shows up, it’ll be worth a look. But based on what I’m seeing, save your energy. The board’s staying in the garage.

Rusty.

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