Tabinha Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be honest, looking at this forecast for Tabinha is a bit of a tough one. We’ve got a sixteen-day window but the pattern is pretty set from the start: a whole lot of nothing special. The surf never really gets its act together, so we’re looking at a long stretch of poor conditions. There’s a gap before any real surf pops up, but to be fair, it never truly arrives.

The whole period is dominated by a persistent cross-shore wind, mostly from the East and ESE, blowing at 16 mph, sometimes kicking up to 19 mph. That’s your main problem right there. The swell is small, coming from the East and ENE, with a short period of only 6 to 7 seconds. That’s windswell, not groundswell, so the waves are just weak and crumbly. The combined energy of all swells stayed mostly in the moderate range, between 100 and 218 (moderate wave energy), but it doesn’t matter because the quality is just not there. The water temperature is 81°, which is average for this time of year.

The first real chance for anything comes on the morning of Friday, 29th August. The wind shifts to a cross-offshore direction, which cleans things up. The swell is only 4 ft at 6 seconds, but it’s clean. The morning of Saturday, 30th August, the swell bumps up to 5 ft at 7 seconds. Still clean with that cross-offshore. The energy is a bit higher at 218 (moderate wave energy). But it’s still a short, weak swell.

The absolute standout, if you can call it that, is the Saturday morning, 30th August. The wind is cross-offshore, which is a major positive for clean conditions. The swell is 5 ft from the East, with a period of 7 seconds. It’s the best on offer, but the bar is low. The crowds are listed as “sometimes,” so you might get a bit of company. For a beginner, the swell is under 5 ft, so it’s manageable, but the short period will make it a bit bumpy. The thing is, the overall forecast quality is poor, so this is more of a “maybe get a couple of grovelly ones” than a proper session.

The rest of the outlook is just more of the same: cross-shore wind, weak swell, poor conditions. The last few days of the first week and into the second week, from 4th September onwards, the swell drops to 3 ft and even 3 ft, with periods of 5 seconds. The energy drops right down to 57 (weak wave energy) on the 6th. It’s honestly a bit of a write-off. If you’re a kite surfer, the cross-shore wind and small, choppy waves might be interesting, but for paddle surfing, it’s a hard pass. Don’t hold your breath, but forecasts can change.

Rusty.

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