Tabinha Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, mates, Rusty here. Let’s call it like it is – the outlook for Tabinha over the next 16 days is a long, flat, frustrating run. There are no good surf options on the table in this whole window. The files show a solid block of poor surf conditions from start to finish. We’re looking at a gap that stretches from the beginning of the period all the way through to the end with no real recommendations. Every single session is rated as poor surf conditions, so don’t expect to get wet unless you’re desperate for a paddle.

The first few days, from Thursday 9th July, are a write-off. Swell sits around 4ft from the ENE with a short, weak period of just 6 seconds. The combined energy is weak, around 144 (moderate energy), but the wind is a cross-shore breeze at 12 to 16 mph, chopping everything up. It’s just messy. By Friday morning 10th July, it’s the same story – 4ft, 6-second period, cross-shore wind, and the energy drops to 126 (weak). The wave comment says it all: poor surf conditions.

As we move into the weekend of Saturday 11th and Sunday 12th July, the swell stays stubbornly around 4ft, still ENE, period nudging up to 7 seconds on Sunday afternoon. The wind lightens up to a cross-offshore on the mornings, and the water gets clean, but the swell is too weak and short-period to form anything decent. The energy is still moderate (155 to 170). For a spot that’s exposed to the swell and rated as consistent, this is a real letdown.

The second week doesn’t offer any hope. From Monday 13th July through to Friday 17th July, the swell drops to 3ft to 4ft, with periods falling to 5 or 6 seconds. The combined energy dips into the weak range (75 to 109). The wind stays cross-shore or cross-offshore, but the wave energy just isn’t there. The morning of Friday 17th July is clean with a cross-offshore breeze, but the swell is only 3ft and 5 seconds. Not worth suiting up for.

There’s a slight lift in the third week. From Saturday 18th July, the swell builds slowly. By Monday 20th July, it hits 5ft from the ENE with a 7-second period, and the combined energy climbs to 190 (moderate). The morning of Tuesday 21st July is a bit of a dud with only 3ft, but by Wednesday 22nd and Thursday 23rd July, we’re seeing 5ft to 5ft swell, ENE and E, with periods of 7 seconds, and energy hitting 197 to 239 (moderate). The winds are cross-offshore in the mornings, leaving clean conditions. Still, the swell is short-period and the wave comment remains poor surf conditions. The period is too short to generate any real shape or power. This setup is a beach break, and with a short period, it’ll just be crumbly, weak lines.

The final day on Friday 24th July shows the best energy of the whole run at 239 (moderate), with 5ft from the E, 7-second period, and a clean cross-offshore morning breeze. But again, the period is short, and the forecast still says poor surf conditions. The swell is too small and weak to overcome the wind and the beach break setting. For a beach break, short-period swell like this means it’s going to be a complete close-out or tiny, gutless waves. Honestly, this whole stretch looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer – the wind is consistent and the swell is too small and weak for proper surfing.

The water temperature is about average for the time of year, so no major surprises there. The break is rated as consistent, but the swell just isn’t delivering. It’s a tough run. Sometimes you get a blank spell like this in an area, and this is one of them. Forecasts can change, but right now, there’s nothing to recommend.

Rusty.

Read more