Tabinha Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, and I’ve gotta be straight with you—this stretch of coastline is lookin’ flat and grim for the next couple of weeks. The only break that’s got any kind of pulse is Tabinha, a consistent intermediate spot, but the ocean just ain’t cooperating for paddle surfing. The water’s sitting at a warm 82°, which is pretty much normal for the time of year, so at least you won’t need a thick suit.

From Wednesday July 8th right through to Sunday July 19th, it’s a long, bleak run of poor surf conditions. The swell hangs around a weak 3 to 5 ft, coming from the east with a short-period 6-7 seconds, and combined wave energy is mostly in the low triple digits (between 80 and 192). That’s light, wind-affected chop, not proper groundswell. The wind is cross or cross-off at 12-16 mph, keeping things messy—no clean, glassy windows. Every single session is rated poor. Not one standout, not one morning worth paddling out.

There’s a tiny flicker of something different on Monday July 20th morning. The swell bumps up to 5 ft from the east, period still only 7 seconds, but the energy jumps to 354—moderate power. Wind is cross-off at 16 mph, so the surface should be clean. That’s a marginal call, not a good one. At 5 ft, it’s doable for confident intermediates, but the east swell direction isn’t ideal for Tabinha’s optimum northeast direction, and with that short period the waves will be soft and lumpy. Still, if you’re desperate, it’s the only morning worth a look in the whole outlook. No crowds mentioned, so you’ll likely have it quiet.

After that, it’s back to poor surf right through to Thursday July 23rd, with chop and onshores. Honestly, with the swell so weak, period so short, and constant cross-breeze, the setup here looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing for nearly the whole 16-day window. Nothing to get excited about. Keep the board waxed and wait for a better run.

Rusty.

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