Tabinha Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks. I’ll be straight with you—this is a tough one.

First up, the pattern. We’ve got a long, dry spell of nothing special. The swell is small and weak, and the wind is mostly a problem. There’s a bit of a wait before we see anything that’s worth paddling out for, so patience is the name of the game.

Looking at the start of the period, from Saturday the 8th all the way through to late August, it’s a grim run. The swell is tiny, around 4 ft to 5 ft, and it’s coming from the ENE or E, which is not the optimum direction for the break. On top of that, the wind is mostly cross or cross-onshore, with speeds around 12 to 19 mph, chopping things up. The combined wave energy is weak to moderate, hitting a best of 215 on the 18th, but it’s still messy. The period is short—only 6 to 7 seconds—so these are just wind slop, not real groundswell. There’s a couple of clean morning windows on the 11th, 12th, 13th, and 14th with a cross-offshore breeze, but the swell is still poor and weak. The forecast score is a zero across the board, so honestly, don’t waste your time.

The first real flicker of hope comes on Thursday the 20th in the morning. You get a clean morning with a cross-offshore wind from the SE at 16 mph, and the swell is 4 ft from the east, with a period of 7 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 203, which is a moderate energy reading. The forecast bumps up to a 1 out of 10, which is still "marginal" but it’s the best we’ve seen. This is the standout, but it’s a weak one. It’s not a classic, but if you’re desperate, that Thursday morning at Tabinha is your best bet. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so nothing wild there.

The rest of the 16-day window is just a write-off. We’ve got a gap of about 12 days with no real recommendations before that Thursday morning. After that, it’s back to poor conditions right through to the end. Crowds are "sometimes" a problem here, but honestly, with surf this poor, you’ll likely have the place to yourself.

So, to sum it up: The only real option is the morning of Thursday the 20th. It’s clean, but the swell is small and short-period. Don’t expect much. If you’re a beginner, the size is okay, but the quality is poor. For everyone else, maybe bring a kiteboard—the cross-shore wind on the 18th and 19th looks more interesting for that than paddle surfing.

Rusty.

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