Tabinha Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s talk surf. Rusty here, lookin’ at what’s on the table for Tabinha over the next couple of weeks. I gotta be straight with you – the whole damn 16-day window is a bit of a buzzkill. There ain’t a single session that scores higher than a zero in the quality department, so there’s no “best” to pick. We’re lookin’ at a solid two-week stretch of yawnsville, with no real standouts.

Right off the bat, from Wednesday the 2nd of September all the way through to Thursday the 17th, it’s a flat-out struggle. Every morning and afternoon session across every day gets slapped with “poor surf conditions.” The swell is there in size – 3ft to 5ft – but it’s all coming in from either the ENE or the E, with short periods of only 5 to 7 seconds. That’s junky windswell, no groundswell muscle to speak of. The combined energy wobbles between 87 and 311 – moderate at best, but the wave shape is just rubbish.

And the wind? It’s no friend to us. For the whole first week, it’s a cross or cross-on breeze out of the E or ESE, blowing 20 to 25 km/h (12 to 16 mph), sometimes kicking up to 30 km/h (19 mph). That means instant chop and a lumpy face. The water temp on the morning of the 2nd sits at 27° (81°F), with a +1.0° anomaly – a touch warmer than usual for the time of year, but that’s the only interesting thing.

As we push into the second week, the swell size bumps up a little – we see 5ft to 5ft from the same directions – and on the 11th, 12th, and 13th there are some cleaner moments with a cross-off wind in the mornings, but the period is still short (6 to 7 seconds), and those “clean” labels still lead to a score of zero in the guidance. The wave comment never changes: poor surf conditions. That tells ya the quality isn’t there.

Even when the swell gets to 5ft with 311 combined energy on the 12th, it’s 5ft of messy, short-period swell under a breezy cross or cross-off wind. Too weak in shape for any real paddle fun. For any beginner, 5ft plus is getting gnarly here, but with the chop, even intermediates ain’t gonna find joy.

Honestly, the whole setup – persistent cross wind, short-period swell, poor quality – is better suited for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer across this whole window. There’s just nothin’ to get excited about.

Bottom line: leave the board at home for at least two weeks, or hope the models flip. Forecasts can change, but as it stands right now, it’s a solid blank run. For Tabinha, this kinda dead spell ain’t unheard of.

Stay patient,
Rusty.

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