Tabinha Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer.

Honestly, mate, it’s a quiet stretch ahead. The whole 16-day window looks like a bit of a write-off for quality surf. There are no proper standouts, not a single morning where the stars really align. The first noticeable bump in energy hits around Saturday the 18th, but even then the conditions are marginal. From there, we’ve got a long gap of nothing much until late in the second week, with a few pulses of energy that never quite get the right wind.

Tabinha is the only break in the picture, and it’s a consistent spot, but that doesn’t help much when the wind and swell aren’t playing ball. The water temperature is sitting at 82°F – that’s about normal for the time of year, no surprises there.

Monday 13th July: A risk of thunderstorms and a cross-shore wind from the ESE at 12 mph. The swell is 4 ft from the ENE with a short, weak period of 6 seconds, and the combined energy is a paltry 123 – weak. It’s poor out there. The afternoon doesn’t get any better.

Tuesday 14th: Slightly smaller, 3 ft, still a short period and the wind swings cross-on. Energy drops to 69. Still poor.

Wednesday 15th: The morning goes clean with a cross-offshore wind from the SE at 12 mph, but the swell is only 3 ft and 5 seconds, with 63 energy. It’s clean but tiny and weak. Afternoon gets choppy again.

Thursday 16th: The swell picks up to 5 ft from the E, period stretches to 7 seconds, and the energy jumps to 194 (moderate). The morning is clean with cross-offshore wind. This is the best of a bad bunch, but the waves are still underwhelming given the short period and the fact it’s a beach break. At 5 ft, it’s fine for intermediates, but don’t expect much shape.

Friday 17th to Sunday 19th: The swell hangs around 4 ft to 5 ft, with some clean mornings, but the period is short, the energy is moderate at best, and the afternoons are choppy. Nothing special.

Saturday 18th morning: The morning shows 5 ft and 316 energy (moderate), with clean conditions. Possibly the most interesting moment, but it’s still a marginal call. The period is 7 seconds – short, so the waves will be fat and crumbly.

Monday 20th to Thursday 23rd: The week drags on with similar small, short-period swell and persistent cross-shore winds. The mornings are clean, but the swell is just too weak to care about.

Friday 24th morning: The biggest spike of the whole forecast – 5 ft with 404 energy (strong). The period is still only 7 seconds, and the wind is cross-off from the SE. This is the only time the energy gets into the strong range, but the short period will keep the waves dumpy and close out fast on the beach. For experts only, if you’re desperate. Crowds are sometimes an issue here, so expect a few others with the same idea.

Saturday 25th to Tuesday 28th: The energy drops back to moderate, and the swell sits around 4 ft to 4 ft. The wind stays cross or cross-shore, and the afternoons get lumpy. By Tuesday the 28th, the wind picks up to 19 mph – a fresh breeze – and the surf is just messy.

To be honest, if you’re a kite surfer, the consistent cross-shore winds and moderate swell might look interesting. But for paddle surfing, it’s a lean stretch. The best chance for a half-decent wave is the morning of Friday the 24th, but don’t get your hopes up – it’s still a short-period, beach-break closeout situation.

Rusty.

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