Tabinha Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ve gotta be straight with you – this 16-day window for Tabinha is a tough one. There’s surf on the charts, but it’s all pretty average, and the forecast is calling it poor conditions pretty much every day. The swell is hanging around 3 to 4 feet from the east, with a short, weak period (6 to 7 seconds), so it’s not gonna have much push or shape. The combined energy (moderate wave energy, generally between 100 and 200) is there, but it’s not translating into quality. The water temp is 82°F, which is about average for this time of year, so no worries there.

The first bit of surf worth even a second look kicks off on Thursday, 16 July. That afternoon, you’ve got 5 feet from the east, but the wind is a cross-shore from the east at 15 mph, and it’s bringing a cross-chop. It’s messy. Friday morning, 17 July, is a little cleaner with a cross-offshore wind from the SE, same 5 feet from the ESE, but it’s still got that short period and the energy is moderate (188). It’s surfable, but nothing to write home about.

The pattern keeps repeating: small, weak, short-period east swell, with winds mostly cross or cross-off from the SE or E. There’s a bit of a pulse on Tuesday, 21 July, morning, with 5 feet from the ENE and a combined energy of 279 (moderate), but it’s a risk of thunderstorms and the period is only 6 seconds. The wind is cross-off, so it’s clean, but it’s a marginal call at best.

Honestly, there’s no standout day here. If I had to pick the best of a bad bunch, I’d say Friday, 24 July, afternoon. You’ve got 5 feet from the ENE, a 6-second period, and the wind is cross-shore from the east at 12 mph. The energy is moderate (157). The wind is not ideal, and the swell direction (ENE) is a long way off the optimum northeast direction for Tabinha. It’s a beach break, so that short-period swell won’t offer much shape. It’s consistent, but crowds are possible here sometimes.

The rest of the run into the end of July and the start of August is more of the same: small, weak, short-period east swell, with cross or cross-on winds. The morning sessions on the 28th, 29th, and 30th are clean with cross-off winds, but the swell is only 4 to 4 feet at 6 to 7 seconds, and the energy is low (100 to 147). It’s a long stretch of nothing special.

The blank run is real here. There’s no big swell, no good direction, and the wind is rarely offshore. It’s a normal run for this area when the trade winds are in. Don’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

Read more