Tabinha Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

Well folks, I’ll be straight with you – this 16-day stretch is a real flat spell for our neck of the woods. We’re looking at a long, long dry run. There isn’t a single moment in this outlook where I could honestly tell you to grab your board and go. The first decent bump that even looks like it could be surfable just doesn’t show up, so we’re staring down a gap that lasts the entire forecast period. It’s a tough one.

The only break we’ve got to talk about is Tabinha, and it’s a consistent intermediate spot that normally handles a bit of energy. But the problem is, all that east-northeast wind is blowing cross-shore or cross-onshore, and it’s hanging around between 16 mph and 19 mph for the whole run. That’s a fresh to moderate breeze that’s just ruining any chance of clean waves. The swell is there, but it’s a weak, short-period windswell – mostly around 3 ft to 5 ft, with periods between 6 and 7 seconds, and the combined wave energy is really low. September 10th morning shows around 5 ft from the east-southeast with a period of 7 seconds and a combined energy of 253 (moderate), but the wind is cross and lumpy, so it’s a write-off. The water temp is 82°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, but that’s about the only highlight.

Every single day, the forecast calls it “poor surf conditions.” We see a bit of a cleaner window on the morning of September 15th with a cross-offshore wind, but the swell is only 4 ft at 7 seconds, and the energy is weak (164). Even then, it’s just not enough to get excited about. The swell direction is mostly east or east-northeast, which isn’t the optimum northeast direction this break needs to really fire. It’s just messy and weak.

Given that the break is a consistent setup and the waves are so small and junky with onshore wind, it’s more of a kiteboarding breeze than a paddling session. I’d say leave the boards in the shed and keep an eye on the charts – a blank run like this happens here sometimes, and it won’t stay this way forever.

Rusty.

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