Tabinha Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a good hard look at what’s on offer for Tabinha over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – this isn’t a pretty picture. The whole 16-day window is a tough stretch. The forecast is showing a long, grim run of poor surf conditions with hardly any let-up. There’s a real gap here with no worthwhile waves to chase, so don’t be holding your breath for a quick fix.

We start off on Friday the 31st of July. Tabinha is seeing some small 4 ft swell from the east, but that 25 km/h cross-on wind from the east is making a mess of it. The energy is weak, sitting at just 118, and the water’s a touch warmer than usual at 82°. It’s choppy and pretty much a write-off.

Moving into Saturday the 1st of August, the morning cleans up a little with a cross-off wind, but the swell is still a weak 4 ft from the east with a short 7-second period. The energy picks up a bit to 141, but it’s still not enough to get excited about. The afternoon goes downhill again with a cross-shore chop.

Sunday the 2nd of August shows a slight bump in the morning – 5 ft from the east, period at 8 seconds, and energy climbing to 217. The wind is cross-off, so it’s clean, but the forecast still calls it marginal. The afternoon gets blown out again with a fresh 30 km/h breeze. This is the biggest swell of the run, but the quality is just not there for a good paddle.

From Monday the 3rd of August right through to Saturday the 15th of August, it’s a real grind. The swell hangs around 3 ft to 5 ft from the east or east-northeast, with periods mostly between 5 and 7 seconds. The energy bounces around from a low 78 to a moderate 172, but the wind is almost always a cross or cross-on, keeping the surf lumpy and choppy. There are a few clean mornings with cross-off breezes, like on the 5th, 10th, 14th, and 15th, but the swell is just too weak and short-period to make anything of it. The forecast scores are all zeroes across the board – it’s just poor surf conditions day after day.

The best of a bad bunch is probably the morning of Sunday the 2nd of August, with that 5 ft east swell and clean cross-off wind. But even then, it’s only a marginal call, and the wind is going to junk it up by the afternoon. For a spot that’s consistent and exposed to the east, this is a quiet, disappointing stretch. Even the consistent breaks need a bit of love from the weather gods, and they’re just not getting it here.

Honestly, the setup with the constant cross-shore wind and short-period chop looks more like a kite surfer’s session than a paddle surfer’s dream. I’d say hang the board up for a bit and wait for a better forecast. This run is a real blank one for the area, and it’s not unusual to see these flat, windy spells.

Rusty.

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