Rivermouth Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right then, let’s talk about Rivermouth. This is a beginner-friendly spot, super consistent, and it’s exposed to swell from the south. The water’s running at 61°, which is a massive 7° colder than normal for this time of year – that’s properly unusual, so you’ll want a thick steamer.

The next week and a half is a bit of a write-off, to be honest. We’ve got a long stretch of poor surf conditions from Wednesday the 9th through to Sunday the 13th. The swell is tiny, with a weak combined energy reading (47), and the wind is mostly cross or cross-onshore, making it choppy and messy. Not worth paddling out for.

Things start to get interesting on Monday the 14th. We see a big jump in swell size, hitting 10ft from the east, with a period of 9 seconds. The combined energy is strong, reading 1567. The wind on Monday morning is a gentle cross-shore, but the problem is the swell is simply too big for this break. It’s an expert-only kind of day, and even then, it’s pushing the limits. The afternoon cleans up with a light cross-offshore breeze, but again, that 10ft swell is heaving – it’s going to be a wash-through for most.

Tuesday the 15th drops back to a more manageable 6ft in the morning, but the wind is a light cross-onshore, and the conditions are only marginal. The afternoon sees 5ft from the east with a 10-second period (a moderate 506 combined energy) and a gentle cross-shore breeze. It’s not a standout, but it’s the most rideable we’ve seen all week.

The standout window, if you can call it that, is looking like a bit of a gamble. After a few more days of poor surf, we get a pulse on Monday the 21st. The morning offers 5ft from the south with a short, choppy 7-second period, and a light cross-onshore breeze. The real promise is on Monday afternoon: a 4ft south swell with a very long period of 16 seconds (combined energy of 953). That’s proper groundswell energy. The wind, however, is a moderate cross-shore, so it’ll be a bit lumpy. This long-period south swell should wrap in nicely and hold up well at a point or river mouth, but it might break a bit straight if you’re on a beach. For a beginner spot like Rivermouth, it’s a solid option if you can handle the occasional bigger set.

Tuesday the 22nd has similar marginal conditions, with 4ft and long periods, but the wind stays messy. After that, it’s back to poor surf through to the end of the 16-day window.

Best bet: Saturday the 14th is too big for most, but for the experienced crew, the afternoon glass-off is a true test. For the average surfer, Monday the 21st afternoon is the best on offer, but it’s not perfect. Keep an eye on the forecast, as things can change.

Rusty

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