Coffee Bay Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on the cards for Coffee Bay Point. It’s been a bit of a flat and frustrating start for the next week or so, but there is a real standout window coming up that has me stoked. The water’s sitting at about 67°F right now, which is a bit colder than usual for this time of year – you’ll feel that chill if you’re out the back without a decent steamer.

The first few days are pretty ordinary. Thursday morning (10th September) has a weak 5ft swell from the ENE with a 9-second period and light cross-onshore wind, making for only marginal, choppy conditions. The afternoon turns clean with a cross-offshore wind, but the wave energy is only moderate (417). Friday is cleaner with a light SSW breeze, but the swell drops to just 3ft on the morning and 3ft in the afternoon – weak, average surf that’s not worth getting excited about. Saturday through Monday get ugly. Saturday (12th) is poor with onshore wind up to 19 mph and short-period junk from the E. Sunday has a massive spike in combined swell energy (1102 on the morning, then 1249 on the afternoon) from the SSW with a very long 16-second period, but the wind is howling cross-onshore at 16-19 mph, making it a total mess. That long-period groundswell would normally be beautiful at this point break, but the wind just ruins it.

Monday (14th September) is the same story – a big, powerful 12ft swell (energy 2190) but with nasty NE winds at 22 mph. That’s expert-only size and completely blown out. Tuesday (15th) looks a little more promising with clean cross-off winds and a 7ft swell from the E (866 energy), but it’s still just marginal. Honestly, the first week is mostly a write-off.

Now, here’s the standout. Thursday morning, 17th September. The winds go super light from the SSW – almost glassy – and the swell pumps in at 8ft from the S, with a solid 10-second period and very strong combined energy of 2180. This is the first real quality window: clean, powerful, and well-shaped for the point. The direction is a good match for the optimum SSE swell direction, and the offshore wind will hold it together beautifully. This is the one to circle on your calendar. It’s for experienced surfers at that size, but for the crew who know what they’re doing, it’ll be firing.

After that, it goes back into a messy pattern from Thursday afternoon through the rest of the period. Onshore winds, lumpy conditions, and most days rated as poor. The swell stays solid to big (7ft to 12ft) but the wind just won’t cooperate. By the 20th and 21st, the swell drops off and the wind is still cross-onshore or cross-shore, so it’s back to ordinary surf. The last few days of the forecast into the 25th are small and battered by strong onshore winds – really not worth the paddle.

So, in short: sit tight through the first week, and make the most of that Thursday morning on the 17th. That’s your session.

Rusty.

Read more