Coffee Bay Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, crew, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s happening at Coffee Bay Point for the next couple of weeks. The first few days are a total bummer, but there’s some good stuff coming if you’re patient.

The week starts off rough. Wednesday the 12th and Thursday the 13th are a complete washout, with strong onshore winds making the ocean look like a washing machine. The swell is there, but it’s ugly, and the combined wave energy is weak to moderate (977, 743, 543). It’s a battle just to paddle out. We’ve got a few days of this, so don’t even think about it until the weekend.

Friday the 14th is even worse, with a fresh breeze and a 7ft east-northeast swell that’s just a short-period wind bump. It’s a total disaster. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Saturday the 15th shows a tiny glimmer of hope in the morning. We’ve got a 5ft east swell at 10 seconds, but the wind is still cross-onshore, keeping it choppy and marginal. The combined energy is moderate (868), but it’s not worth rushing out for. Sunday the 16th is a bit of a tease, with a 7ft east-northeast groundswell (12 seconds) and a decent energy reading of 2071 in the morning, but the cross-onshore wind ruins it, making it a messy, lumpy affair. That’s too big for beginners anyway.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Monday the 17th is our first real standout. The morning session looks clean, with a light south-west cross-offshore wind and a solid 5ft easterly swell at 11 seconds. The combined energy is moderate (587), and the “clean” wave state is exactly what we want to hear. This is a good window for intermediate surfers. The wind is light, so the face will be smooth.

We hit a dry patch again through Tuesday the 18th and Wednesday the 19th, with onshore winds and poor conditions. But hold on to your boards for Friday the 21st. The afternoon session is absolute magic. The wind goes glassy, swinging to the west-northwest at just 3 mph. We’ve got a 4ft south-southwest swell with a very long 14-second period, pushing a combined energy of 561. This is a proper point break wave, and with that long period, it’s going to draw in clean lines. The crowds are likely here, but for this kind of day, it’s worth it.

Saturday the 22nd is a bit of a letdown, with moderate cross-shore winds and a bumpy surface. The swell is still there, but the quality drops.

Looking further ahead into the second week, the forecast gets less certain, but there’s a potential standout on Monday the 24th. The afternoon has a strong 5ft south swell at 14 seconds, with a clean cross-offshore wind from the south-south-west. The combined energy is strong (1503), and the conditions are clean. This is one for the experts as the swell size could be punchy.

Tuesday the 25th also looks promising in the morning. We’ve got a 6ft south swell at 14 seconds, with a light cross-on breeze from the southeast. The energy is very strong (2023), but the crowd factor is likely to be high. This is a solid, powerful groundswell, so the point will be working.

The rest of the week fades out with more onshore breezes and choppy conditions, so don’t get your hopes up too far out.

For the best of the bunch, lock in Monday the 17th morning for that clean, well-shaped swell, and keep a close eye on Friday the 21st afternoon for the glassy, long-period magic. Those are the two to chase.

Rusty.

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