Coffee Bay Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what Coffee Bay Point has in store for us.

Alright, the outlook for Coffee Bay Point over the next 16 days is a bit of a mixed bag, and to be honest, it's a frustrating one. For the first week and a half, the wind is going to be the main villain, ruining what could have been some decent swell. The water is properly chilly, much colder than normal for this time of year, which is a bit of a shock to the system.

We kick off from Saturday the 12th, but it’s not worth paddling out. We’ve got a small 3 ft SSE swell but it’s blown out by strong onshore winds. Sunday the 13th turns ugly with a stormy 4 ft SSW groundswell, but the wind is howling onshore, creating dangerous conditions with a massive combined swell energy of 1166, so that’s a firm no-go. Monday the 14th sees the swell jump to 10 ft from the east, but it’s a messy, lumpy mess thanks to a strong cross-onshore wind. This is expert-only territory if you’re even thinking about it, and with the wind howling at 25 mph, this looks more like a kite-surfing session than a paddle-surfing one. The combined energy is a massive 3522.

Through the middle of next week, the wind does ease off, but the swell stays a bit unruly. Tuesday the 15th is marginal, with a 7 ft easterly swell and light onshore wind – just not clean enough. From Wednesday the 16th, the wind finally swings offshore (SSW), cleaning things up. By Wednesday afternoon we have a clean 5 ft ENE swell, but the energy is only moderate at 572. Thursday the 17th brings a bigger 10 ft S swell, but it’s still not quite on the money, with cross-offshore winds and a short, unappealing period for the point.

The real drama starts to build from the following Friday, the 25th. The ocean is going to fire up. An enormous 10 ft S groundswell with a very long period of 18 seconds arrives in the afternoon, but the onshore wind will make it a washout. The combined energy reading is a monstrous 6297, showing a huge amount of power in the water, but the wind keeps the quality poor.

Now, if you want the standout, you have to look all the way to the very end. Sunday the 27th is the session to circle. The forecast shows a solid 8 ft ENE swell – a good size for intermediate surfers, though a touch big for beginners – with a light offshore wind (SSW) hitting the point perfectly. The wind is light, just a gentle breeze, which will groom the waves into clean, lined-up sets. The combined energy sits at 1156, a solid, powerful push. This is the one window where everything looks like it could click. I’d be checking that one for sure.

The rest of the final days are mostly marginal or blown out. The best of the rest might be Tuesday the 22nd afternoon, with a clean 6 ft E swell and light cross-offshore wind, but it’s not in the same league as that Sunday.

So, there you go. A lot of wind to suffer through before a potential beauty of a day on the 27th. Keep your eye on that forecast.

Rusty.

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