Pohoiki Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ve gotta be straight with ya – it’s a bit of a bleak run ahead for Pohoiki. We’re talkin’ a long stretch of poor conditions without a decent wave in sight. The first solid recommendation doesn’t pop up until the morning of Monday, July 13th, and even then it’s a marginal call. That’s a gap of nearly ten days from the start of the forecast period, with nothing but onshore slop and cross-chop.

Alright, let’s wind through it. Friday July 3rd kicks off with rain showers and a 12 mph cross-on NE breeze. Swell’s a weak 4 ft from the NE, period a short 8 seconds – combined energy only 282 (weak). It’s messy, choppy, and frankly a waste of time. That same grim tune plays all through the first week: NE winds, 4 ft to 5 ft, periods never get past 8 seconds, and the wave comment is always “poor surf conditions.” The water’s sitting at 79°F with a 1°F anomaly – pretty average for the time of year, so no excuses there.

Come Monday July 13th morning, we finally get something that’s not a total write-off – but just barely. Swell bumps to 5 ft from the ESE, period still short at 8 seconds, and energy’s 351 (moderate). Wind’s a lighter 6 mph from the ENE, but it’s still cross-on. The comment calls it “marginal.” Not the kind of morning you set an alarm for.

Beyond that, it stays grotty right through to Saturday July 18th. That last Saturday afternoon shows a weird shift – a long-period 16-second south swell sneaks in, with 3 ft but energy ramps up to 624 (moderate-to-strong). It’s a groundswell, long period, but it’s comin’ from the wrong direction for Pohoiki – it hits the reef on an E optimum, not south. Plus the wind’s still cross-on from the ENE. The surf report still says “poor surf conditions.” Might look more interesting if you’ve got a kite, to be honest.

Bottom line: this is a rare blank run for the area. Pohoiki’s fairly consistent normally, but not this fortnight. Don’t hold your breath – forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a long stretch of flat, choppy nonsense.

Rusty.

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