Number Fours Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, surfers, Rusty here, and I've got a look at what's cookin' at Number Fours. It's a bit of a mixed bag, so let's get into it.

Right off the bat, the water's sitting at a balmy 80°, which is pretty much average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

We're looking at a rocky start. The first week is a real grind. From Friday, July 3rd, right through to the end of the week, the conditions are just off. We've got a persistent cross-off wind from the ENE blowing at 18 to 25 mph that's really messing with the quality. The swell is there, but it's short-period windswell – around 7 or 8 seconds – and it's just not shaping up. The combined energy is moderate, but the raw numbers don't tell the story of the chop. It’s going to be a battle out there, and the surf just isn't worth paddling out for. Honestly, a lot of this period looks more suited for kitesurfing than traditional paddle surfing, especially when you see the swell pushing up to 8 ft on the 7th with that messy energy.

There's a glimmer of hope, but it's a long wait. The one standout, the session you've been waiting for, is Tuesday, July 14th. The afternoon looks like a proper window. The wind drops right back to a light 6 mph breeze, turning it cross-off and glassy. The swell is a small 2 ft from the SW with a 14-second period. That's that long-period groundswell energy, and while the size is tiny, the quality will be there. It's a reef break, and that long period will wrap in nicely. Expect clean lines and smooth walls. The combo of that glassy wind and the clean shape is a major positive. The crowds might be around sometimes, but on a Tuesday afternoon with small waves, it shouldn't be too hectic.

After that little teaser, we're back into the mire. The rest of the second week is dominated by that same fresh cross-off wind and inconsistent, short-period swell. Nothing really stands out as worth the effort. It's a dry spell that runs for days on end.

So, to wrap it up: if you're after a surf, hold your horses. The best bet by a long shot is to pencil in the afternoon of Tuesday, July 14th. It's a promise, not a guarantee this far out, but it's the only real chance for a clean, fun session on the reef.

Rusty.

Read more