Number Fours Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this outlook for Number Fours is a tough one. We’ve got a 16-day window, but the first real chance of anything surfable doesn’t show up until Sunday, July 12th. Before that, it’s pretty much a write-off for paddle surfing.

From Sunday morning, July 5th right through to Saturday, July 11th, the wind is hammering from the ENE at 25 to 25 mph, which is a constant cross-off breeze. Day after day, the swell is coming from ENE too, mostly around 6ft to 8ft, but the period is short – 6 to 8 seconds. That’s bumpy, weak, onshore rubbish. The wave energy is moderate, hitting values between 443 and 1007, but it’s just not translating into quality waves. A few afternoons get a “marginal” call, but honestly, with that wind, it’s not worth paddling out. This setup actually looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Finally, on Sunday, July 12th, we see a flicker. The swell swings around to the SSW at 3ft, and the period jumps to 16 seconds. That’s a proper long-period groundswell. The wind is still ENE at 19 mph, so it’s cross-off, but the energy is still moderate at 689 and 674. This is the standout of the entire window. For a reef break that likes SSE swell, this SSW direction is off its optimum, but that long period will wrap in and create some clean lines. It’s an intermediate spot that’s fairly consistent, but be warned – crowds are possible here, especially on a Sunday. The water temp anomaly isn’t given, so we’ll call it about average for early July.

Monday, July 13th keeps that same 3ft SSW swell with a 15-second period, but the wind picks up a bit and we get some clouds. The energy drops to around 495 and 641, so still marginal but surfable if you pick your tide.

From Tuesday, July 14th right through to Monday, July 20th, it’s back to the same old story. The swell goes back to short-period ENE windswell, 5ft to 6ft, and the wind stays ENE at 15-19 mph. A couple of mornings get a “marginal” tag, but the period is mostly 6-7 seconds, and the energy is weak to moderate, ranging from 268 to 662. Honestly, for this part of the forecast, just keep the board in the car and wait for a change. The 2ft to 2ft SSW swell on Thursday, July 16th with a 16-second period is a tease, but the energy is too low to get excited about.

So, if you’re keen, your one shot is Sunday, July 12th and maybe Monday, July 13th for that long-period SSW groundswell. Everything else is a battle with the wind. Rusty out.

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