Number Fours Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at a sixteen-day run for Number Fours. Straight up, I gotta be honest with you—this isn’t going to be a week of classic, easy-going surf. There’s a lot of marginal window here, and some of the better-looking swell gets tangled up with tricky conditions.

The whole picture starts off a bit rough. We’ve got some energy coming through from the east-northeast, and a solid pulse shows on Saturday the 5th with a 7 ft swell from the ENE, period at 13 seconds. But that’s riding in with a fresh 19 mi/h cross-offshore wind. The water’s sitting at 81°F, bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises with the temp.

The combined swell energy is strong at this point, reading 2162, and it stays high through the weekend, peaking at 4705 late Monday the 7th. But here’s the kicker—those days are all carrying a “marginal” tag and conditions are often a bit lumpy or crossed up. Monday afternoon swings the swell direction to the southwest, which doesn't line up with the optimum SSE for Number Fours, making that swell a bit off-angle for the reef.

By Tuesday the 8th, we’ve got onshore southerly winds, and the quality drops. The forecast calls it poor, and I’m not paddling out in that. There’s a real gap here—nothing clean or recommended through the middle of the week.

Now, if you’re patient, there’s a brief window that looks top shelf. The standout is Monday the 14th. Check it out: Saturday the 12th and Sunday the 13th we’ve got small clean waves building, but Monday is the real gem. The morning has a 6 ft ENE swell, period at 8 seconds, and the wind is dead glassy at just 3 mi/h. Glassy! That’s rare, and it’s going to put a mirror on the face of Number Fours. The combined energy sits at 533, nothing crazy, but with those conditions, the reef will be clean and very surfable. This is the best on offer.

After that, the energy drops away fast. The second week sees smaller south-southwest swells rolling in, but they’re inconsistent and the wind picks up again. The 18th and 19th show a bit of life with longer 17-second groundswell from the SSW, around 4 ft, but this long-period stuff can be straight at a beach setup—though Number Fours is a reef, so it might hold better. Still, those days are only marginal.

For the short-term, forget it. The long wait is real, but that Monday the 14th glass-off session is worth circling on the calendar. It’s a solid bet for a clean, uncrowded morning at Number Fours, but keep in mind the reef can get a bit tricky if you’re not sharp.

Stay patient, keep an eye on that day, and I’ll see you out there if it holds.

Rusty.

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