Number Fours Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Number Fours has in store for us over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – the next few days are a tough watch. The wind is blowing strong from the ENE, mostly around 19 to 22 mph, and it’s blowin’ cross-off. That’s not the worst direction, but the swell is just not cooperating. Sunday the 19th and Monday the 20th are showing poor surf conditions with weak, short-period ENE windswell. The combined energy is only in the 400s to low 600s, which is weak. The water is sitting at 80° – pretty normal for this time of year, so that’s not the issue.

We’ve got a bit of a blank run here, with no real good surf until around Wednesday the 22nd afternoon. That’s when the energy finally jumps up to around 1144 (moderate to strong), and we see a 5ft swell from the ENE, but it’s a short 7-second period. The wind is still a fresh cross-off at 22 mph, so it’s going to be lumpy and hard to love. It’s a marginal call at best.

The real standout, and the one you want to circle on your calendar, is the morning of Sunday the 26th of July. We’ve got a 4ft swell rolling in from the east with a solid 16-second period – that’s proper groundswell, meaning long, powerful lines. The wind eases to a moderate 16 mph from the ENE, still cross-off, which should keep the surface reasonably clean. The combined energy is a strong 1169. This is the best looking window in the whole forecast. The only caveat is that long period E swell can be a bit straight at a beach break, but Number Fours is a reef, so it should handle that energy beautifully. The consistency is fair, and crowds are only sometimes an issue, so you might get a few waves to yourself.

A couple of other days are worth a mention, but they’re less certain. The morning of Tuesday the 28th of July shows a 7ft ENE swell with a 13-second period and strong energy of 1523. That’s a big, powerful swell, but with that size and a fresh cross-off wind, it’s going to be a handful. That’s expert territory. The morning of Sunday the 2nd of August also looks promising in the long-range – a 4ft SSW swell with a 16-second period and huge energy of 1464, with a lighter 9 mph cross-shore wind. But that’s over a week and a half away, so keep an eye on it, but don’t book the day off work just yet.

For the rest of the second week, it’s a mixed bag of marginal conditions and poor surf. The energy drops right off at the end of July and into early August, with lots of readings in the 200s and 400s, which is weak. The wind stays on the fresh side, so it’s gonna be a grind.

Rusty, signing off.

Read more