Number Fours Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at the next 16 days for Number Fours. Let’s be honest, it’s a bit of a tough stretch, but we’ve got a little flicker of light right at the very end.

Right now, the surf is a bit of a mess. We’ve got a solid 6 ft of swell showing up on Sunday morning, July 12th, but it’s coming from the ENE with a short, weak 8-second period. The wind is a strong 25 mph from the ENE, so it’s cross-off. It’s clean, but the energy is weak for the size, and the overall quality is poor. The water temp is a pretty standard 79°, so nothing unusual there for this time of year.

The whole first week is a bit of a grind. Monday, July 13th, is still bumpy with 6 ft swell and strong winds, and the energy drops. Tuesday sees a huge drop in size to 2 ft, and while the period jumps to 14 seconds, the wind is still a cross-off moderate breeze. The energy is way down. Wednesday through Saturday are all small, with the swell hovering around 2 ft to 3 ft, and the wind is a constant cross-off from the ENE. The combined energy never really gets going. Honestly, it’s not looking like a good time to paddle out.

There’s a small spike on Sunday, July 19th, with 4 ft of short-period E swell, but the wind is still blowing 19 mph, and the wave quality is poor. The energy is back up a bit, but it’s not enough to get excited about.

The second week is a bit of a mixed bag. The swell keeps jumping around, but Monday, July 20th, has a weird 2 ft swell with a 17-second period. That’s a very long period for such a tiny wave, so it’s a real tease. The energy is moderate. The wind is still cross-off, so it’s clean, but the size is just too small. The rest of the week into the 25th is all in the 5 ft to 6 ft range with short, 6-7 second periods and constant ENE wind. That’s not great for a reef break, and the energy is moderate. It’s a bit of a boring, onshore-feeling grind.

But here’s the one true standout. Finally, on Monday, July 27th, we see a change. The swell is only 3 ft, but it’s from the E with a nice 15-second period, and the wind drops to a gentle 9 mph from the ENE. That’s a gentle breeze, cross-off, which is clean. The combined energy is up, which is moderate, and the forecast is for “very good surf conditions” in the afternoon. It’s not huge, but with that long period and light wind, it’s going to be clean and have some shape. This is the best on offer in the whole 16 days, though it’s a long way off, so keep an eye on it.

The crowd at Number Fours can be a factor sometimes, so keep that in mind.

Rusty.

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