Number Fours Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks. Rusty here, breakin’ down Number Fours for the next couple of weeks. Gotta level with ya—it’s a tough stretch, and you’ll be huntin’ for a good one.

Overall Picture:
We got some long-period groundswell tryin’ to sneak in from the southwest, but the wind’s stuck out of the east-northeast, blowin’ cross-off. The swell heights are small, and the wave quality keeps gettin’ called “marginal.” We hit a flat spell from the 20th through the 22nd—three days of poor conditions, not worth your time. The combined energy moves from moderate to strong at times, but the short-period windswell just ain’t shapin’ up.

The Play-by-Play:
Tuesday 15th & Wednesday 16th:
Small start. Tuesday morning has a 2.3 ft swell from the SW with a very long 20-second period. Water’s 81°F, right on average for this time of year. Wind is a moderate 12 mph cross-off. The combined energy reads 490 (moderate). It’s a reef break, fairly consistent, exposed to the swell, and it loves it from the SSE—so that SW direction is off. You’ll be scratchin’. Wednesday has 3 ft, period drops to 18 seconds, energy jumps to 807, but wind cranks to 19 mph. Marginal.

Thursday 17th:
First real size: 6.9 ft from the ENE, but the period is a weak 10 seconds. Energy hits 1207 (very strong). This one’s for experts only, but the short period and 22 mph cross-off wind make it a chunky, bumpy mess. Skip it.

Friday 18th – Monday 21st:
Friday drops to 3.3 ft, but energy stays strong at 1101 from a 17-second SSW groundswell. Wind is howlin’ at 25 mph by afternoon. Saturday holds similar size and period, energy a bit lower at 852. Then the doldrums hit: Sunday the 20th through Monday the 22nd sees 6.6 ft of short-period ENE slop with 25 mph winds. Combined energy in the 700s, but it’s “poor surf conditions.” Don’t bother.

Tuesday 22nd:
Wind drops slightly to 25 mph, swell angles more east, period hits 9 seconds, energy 1046. Still “marginal.” Not a standout.

Wednesday 23rd:
One to note. Wind eases to 16 mph from the east, swell holds at 6.9 ft from the east with a 10-second period. Energy is a meaty 1182. Downside? The wind shifts to a true cross-shore, bringin’ a cross-chop. That’ll mess up the face. It’s a B- option.

Thursday 24th & Friday 25th:
Thursday has 5.9 ft at 9 seconds, energy 841, with a fresher wind—still marginal. Friday 25th afternoon is our best window. The swell drops to 2.6 ft, but it’s a long-period 15-second SSW groundswell. Wind drops to a gentle 9 mph cross-off breeze. Combined energy is 556 (moderate). The wave comment says “very good surf conditions.” That’s your session. The swell direction ain’t ideal, but clean conditions and proper groundswell make it the best on offer.

Saturday 26th – Sunday 27th:
Saturday morning gets a light 6 mph cross-on breeze with 3 ft SSW swell at 15 seconds, energy 780. Decent but onshore. Sunday drops to 3 ft, 9 mph cross-off, energy 486. Fine, but nothin’ special.

Monday 28th – Tuesday 29th:
Monday is tiny (2-2.3 ft) and messy. Tuesday 29th afternoon is another little gem: 2.6 ft, 16-second SSW groundswell, light 6 mph cross-off breeze, energy 354, and “good surf conditions.” Small, but clean as a whistle. Worth a quick paddle.

Wednesday 30th:
Winding down. 2.3 ft, 15-second period, but wind picks up to 19 mph cross-off, energy drops to 252. Poor conditions.

The Pick of the Litter:
Circle Friday 25th September afternoon. That 2.6 ft, 15-second groundswell with light wind is gonna give you clean, glassy reef waves. It’s tiny but fun. Tuesday 29th September afternoon is a solid backup—same vibe, small and clean. Nothin’ else in the window is worth

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