Number Fours Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what Number Fours has in store for us.

Alright, the outlook for Number Fours is a bit of a mixed bag over the next two and a half weeks. We start off with some size, but the winds and conditions are a real letdown for the first week. The real standout window is going to be later on.

The water temperature at Number Fours is 81°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year.

Our first bit of hope comes around Sunday the 6th of September. We’ve got a solid 7ft swell from the ENE with a period of 12 seconds, so there’s a decent amount of energy in the water. But, a fresh cross-offshore wind at 19 mph is going to keep things a little bumpy. It’s clean enough, but the report flags it as marginal. Monday the 7th sees the swell bump up to 8ft from the ENE with a period of 12 seconds and moderate cross-shore winds, creating a cross-chop. That’s getting a bit full-on, and the conditions are just messy. By Tuesday the 8th, it’s onshore and lumpy. This stretch from Sunday through to Tuesday is honestly more of a kite-surfing setup than a clean paddle session.

Things start to drop off dramatically after that. From Wednesday the 9th through to Thursday the 17th, the swell is mostly tiny, often below 3ft, with very long-period groundswell in the 14 to 22 second range. While that long period means good shape and easy paddling out, the size is just too small for a proper session at a reef. We’ve got a lot of clear skies and cross-offshore winds, but the energy is weak. There’s a real dry spell there for over a week.

Now, here’s the one to keep an eye on. Thursday the 17th of September morning, we finally get a pulse back. Swell jumps to 8ft from the east with a period of 8 seconds. That’s a short-period wind swell, but it’s got some punch. It’s a solid size for intermediates, and the wind is a moderate cross-offshore from the ENE at 16 mph, keeping things clean. Friday the 18th is similar, with 7ft from the east and clean cross-off winds. This is the best window in the whole forecast. It’s not perfect, but it’s the biggest, cleanest swell we get. For the intermediate crew, this is your time. The reef at Number Fours should be handling that east swell nicely.

Crowds are possible here, so get in early if you can.

Overall, a quiet start and a long middle, but that Thursday and Friday around the 17th and 18th of September is the one to circle on the calendar. It’s a long way out, so keep an eye on it, but it’s our best bet by far.

Rusty.

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