Number Fours Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s talk about Number Fours. This is a reef break, so it’s got that nice, defined shape when it’s working. It’s fairly consistent, which is a good sign, and it loves swell from the SSE. The water’s sittin’ at about 80°, pretty much what you’d expect for this time of year, no drama there.

The next few days are gonna be a bit of a frustrating mix. We get a taste of something good right off the bat on Wednesday afternoon, the 29th of July. We’ve got a 5ft swell from the ENE, period around 9 seconds, and the wind is glassy from the East at just 3 mph. That’s the kind of clean, smooth surface we all dream about. The energy’s sitting at a moderate 645 – it’s not a monster, but it’s got some push. This is the standout window of the first week.

Don’t get too excited about Thursday the 30th. The morning’s gonna be a mess with a cross-shore wind and questionable conditions. By the afternoon the wind jumps up to 22 mph, which cleans it up but absolutely kills the size, dropping it to 2ft. It does swing around to a long-period 18 seconds from the SSW, but there’s just not enough height to make it work. Friday the 31st and the entire first weekend into Monday the 3rd of August are a write-off for good surfing. We’re looking at strong breezes up to 28 mph, pushing surf over 8ft, which is strictly for the experts, if anyone’s dumb enough to try. The energy hits a strong 1379 on Saturday morning but the wind is relentless, making it a choppy, blown-out mess. Honestly, with those winds and that size on a reef setup, this looks more like a kite surfer’s playground than a paddle surfer’s dream.

Things start to settle down from Monday the 4th of August. Tuesday the 4th is our next real bright spot. Tuesday afternoon, we’ve got a 5ft swell from the ENE, a nice 11-second period, and only a gentle 9 mph cross-off breeze. The energy’s moderate at 554, and the conditions are described as clean. It’s not the biggest, but it’ll be fun and shapely. Then, we hit a dry spell until Monday the 10th of August.

Monday the 10th of August morning is the standout of the entire second week. The swell drops to a very manageable 3ft, but it’s pure groundswell from the SSW with a very long 16-second period. The wind is a gentle 9 mph cross-off. This is where the reef really shines – that long period will wrap in with power and precision. The combined energy is moderate at 580, and it’s expecting very good surf conditions. This is a promising call, but being a week and a half out, keep your fingers crossed. Tuesday the 11th of August will have similar size but a little more cross-shore wind, and the following days fade away into smaller, wind-affected waves.

So, to boil it down: for the first week, Wednesday afternoon the 29th is your best bet for the cleanest, most fun waves. For the second week, circle Monday morning the 10th of August – that long period SSW groundswell could be an absolute gem if the forecast holds.

Rusty.

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