Number Fours Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, it’s Rusty here, and I’ve had a good look at what’s coming our way for Number Fours (reef). Let’s be real, the next 16 days are a bit of a mixed bag. We’ve got a lot of swell pulsing through, but the wind is going to be a constant battle. The water is sitting at about 81°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The forecast kicks off on Sunday the 30th of August, but don’t get too excited. We’re looking at a 7ft swell from the ENE with a short, punchy 7-second period, but that 25 mph ENE cross-off wind is making a mess of things. The energy is moderate (646), but the conditions are just plain poor. That’s going to be the story for the first few days. We’ve got a solid run of 5ft to 7ft ENE swell through Sunday and Monday, but the wind stays strong, so the surf is going to be lumpy and hard to enjoy. It’s a tough start.

Then we get a little shift on Wednesday the 2nd of September. Swell drops right back to 3ft, but it’s a long-period groundswell from the S with a 16-second period. The energy is still moderate (888), but the wind is still a fresh 22 mph cross-off, so it’s a marginal call. It’s a glimmer, but not a standout.

The real story – and the only thing that gets my heart pumping – is the second week. From Monday the 7th of September through to Thursday the 10th, Number Fours is going to be absolutely pumping in size. We’re talking a 13ft ENE swell on Monday afternoon with a very long 12-second period. The energy is through the roof (4946). That’s proper, expert-only territory. If you’re a confident surfer on a reef, this is the window. The wind is the main issue – it’s still strong and cross-off – but on Tuesday the 8th of September morning, we get a brief window of offshore wind from the N at 25 mph. The swell is 10ft with a 9-second period, and it’s clean. It’s going to be a paddle, but the reward will be there. After that, the swell slowly drops, and we’re back to smaller, wind-affected waves through the end of the run.

Honestly, the standout is that Monday the 7th to Wednesday the 9th of September window. The energy is massive, the swell is solid, and if you can pick your moment with the wind, you’ll have a session to remember. Just be aware, this spot can get crowded sometimes, so get in early.

Alright, that’s the reality of it. The first week is a write-off, but the second week holds some serious power. Keep an eye on that wind.

Rusty.

Read more