Number Fours Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey everyone, Rusty here, checking in on Number Fours for the next couple of weeks.

Alright, let's be straight – the next while is a tough one. We've got a real long stretch of surf that just can't get its act together. The wind is mostly cross-off, which keeps it clean, but the wave quality just isn't there to make a session worthwhile.

We kick off on Monday the 14th with tiny, weak 1ft swell from the SW. The energy is pretty weak, and with a period over 20 seconds, it's a long-period groundswell, but there’s just no power behind it. Tuesday and Wednesday are more of the same, with swell getting up to about 3ft, but the scores are still pointing to marginal surf. It’s clean, but it’s not doing anything for anyone.

Then Thursday the 17th gets interesting, but not in a good way. The swell jumps to over 7ft, but it's a short-period 8-second windswell from the ENE. The energy gets up there, but that short period means it’s going to be a bouncy, unpredictable mess at this reef. An experienced surfer might find a wave, but the quality is gone.

Friday the 18th has a clean 3ft SSW groundswell with a long 17-second period and strong energy, but the wind goes cross-shore and puts a nasty chop on the surface. The next few days are all that same story: 6-7ft of short-period windswell with a fresh breeze. It's just not happening.

The one real highlight, and the only time I'd bother to paddle out, is Thursday the 17th afternoon. It’s a short-period swell, sure, but at over 6ft, coming from the ENE and with strong energy, it’s got some real grunt. The cross-off wind keeps the surface clean. It’s the best score in the whole run, and for a short window, Number Fours will have some serious, clean power. Don't miss that afternoon.

After that, it’s a long, frustrating stretch right through to the end of the period. Swell stays in the 5-7ft range, but it's almost all that short-period windswell. The wind is relentless, blowing 20-25 mph, keeping everything messy. By the last few days of September, the energy drops right off, and it’s back to a non-event.

Honestly, this is a rough outlook. A long run of ‘almost but not quite’. That Thursday 17th afternoon is your only real shot. If you can’t make it, you’re better off waiting. Forecasts can turn, but this one's a grind.

Rusty.

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