Number Fours Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The next couple of weeks are a bit of a mixed bag, to be honest. We’ve got some punchy swell on the horizon, but the wind is going to be a constant cross-off from the east-northeast, which will keep things a little lumpy. The water temp is sitting at 80.6°, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first few days are pretty underwhelming. Tuesday and Wednesday at Number Fours (Lagos) are small, with waves around 3.6ft to 4.9ft, but the period is short and there’s just not enough push. The energy is moderate, around 555-561, but it’s not going to get your heart racing. Thursday and Friday are even worse, with some tiny 1.3ft leftovers and energy dropping to 151-213. It’s a classic flat spell, and you’d be better off doing something else.

The weekend picks up a little, with Saturday and Sunday seeing 5.2ft to 5.9ft, but the period is still short at 7-8 seconds. The energy is picking up to 514-623, but that short period swell is just not going to give you any real power. It’s all a bit mushy and sections are going to be hard to connect. The wind is fresh, 30 km/h, so it’s going to be a bit of a battle.

The start of the following week, Monday the 11th, is more of the same, with 5.2ft-5.6ft and a short period. The energy is there, but it’s not clean. Then we get a bit of a lull again mid-week, with some bigger period south swell sneaking in, but the heights are only around 3.3ft on the 12th and 13th. The energy is actually getting strong, up to 970-1018, but the wave quality is poor. You’ll see some lines but they aren't breaking well.

The real standout is the following weekend. We’ve got a solid ENE groundswell building through the 15th, but it’s the 16th and 17th that look best. On Sunday the 16th, we’re looking at 9.8ft with an 8-second period, and the energy is strong, hitting 1541-1754. The wind is still cross-off, but the size is there. Monday the 17th is the pick of the bunch, with 11.5ft on the morning and energy at a very strong 2756. The period is still on the short side at 9 seconds, but the power is undeniable. This is for experienced surfers only. At this size, at a reef, you need to know what you’re doing. It’s a serious, heavy wave. The wind will be a factor, but there will be some serious waves to be had.

After that, it starts to back off on the 18th, with 8.2ft, and then drops right away again on the 19th. So, if you want the biggest, most powerful surf, keep your eyes on the 17th. It’s promising, but long-range calls like that are always a bit less certain.

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