Number Fours Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's talk about what Number Fours has in store for us over the next couple of weeks. Straight up, it’s a bit of a grim outlook for the most part. We’re looking at a long stretch of onshore, messy conditions that won’t give you much to work with.

The water temp is sitting at 80°, which is pretty standard for this time of year.

Right from the get-go on Monday the 6th of July, it’s a tough watch. We’ve got a 7ft ENE swell wrapping in, but it's being hammered by a strong 25 mph cross-off breeze. Even though the wave faces might look clean, the wind is just ruining it. This same story plays out day after day right through the first week and into the second. The wind stays locked in from the ENE at 19-25 mph, and the swell hangs around the 6ft to 7ft mark, but it’s all short-period junk at 7 seconds. The wave energy is moderate, hitting around 852 (moderate) on Monday morning, but it’s just not surfable. This is a solid stretch of poor conditions.

We do see a bit of a change around Tuesday the 14th of July. The wind finally drops to a gentle 9 mph cross-off, and for the morning, the swell drops to 2ft from the SW with a long 14-second period. That combo earns a "very good" call, and this is our standout. For a moment, there’s some shape and possibility. But it’s a small window. The afternoon goes back to marginal, and the following days see some mixed-up, weak swell from the SW and SSE with very long periods (14-18 seconds) but small heights between 2ft and 2ft. The wave energy drops right back to weak levels, like 294 (weak) on the 16th. These long-period groundswells are tricky at Number Fours as it’s a reef setup, but when it’s that small, it’s more of a micro-session.

Don't get your hopes up for the final weekend of the forecast either. The 18th through the 20th of July sees the onshore winds and short-period ENE swell come roaring back, with energy picking back up to moderate levels but all locked into ugly conditions.

The Pick:

If you’re desperate for a paddle, keep your eye on Tuesday the 14th of July. That morning, when the wind goes light and the swell turns into a clean, long-period groundswell from the SW, you might find a few fun ones at Number Fours (reef). It’s only 2ft, so it’s a cruisy session, and you won’t be fighting the wind. For the rest of the 16 days? Honestly, it’s mostly a write-off. You're better off waiting for the next system.

Rusty.

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