Number Fours Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks. Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming our way. The next 16 days aren’t exactly a goldmine for Number Fours, but we’ve got a couple of windows that might get the heart rate up.

The truth is, the first week is pretty flat and frustrating. For the first few days, from the 16th right through the 19th, the swell is just too small or too weak to bother with, and the wind is mostly a cross-off from the ENE. There’s a bit of energy in the water, but the combined energy is nothing to write home about, and it’s all coming in with that poor surf condition tag. You’ll be waiting for a set that never really comes.

We start to see a glimmer of hope on the 20th (Monday) and into the 21st. The swell picks up just a touch, but the scores are still marginal. It’s not until the 23rd (Thursday) that things get a little more interesting. The swell bumps up to around 4ft to 5ft, coming from the ENE, and the combined energy is climbing into moderate territory. The wind is still cross-off from the ENE, so it’s clean, but that’s a bit of a side-shore situation. It’s a definite step up for the intermediate crew.

Now, the standout window. The last few days of the month, from the 26th (Sunday) through the 28th (Tuesday), look like the best we’ll see. The swell holds steady at 4ft to 5ft, with a solid ENE direction that matches the optimum swell direction for this spot. The wind is a bit lighter, and the combined energy is strong, peaking on the 26th afternoon. This is a long-period groundswell, well over 15 seconds, which means it’ll have plenty of power and shape, but it might be a bit too straight for a beach break, so look for the point or reef sections. The water temperature is about average for the time of year.

Just keep in mind that Number Fours is a reef break that’s fairly consistent, and it’s an intermediate level spot. Crowds are sometimes a thing here, so you might have some company. The wind is mostly cross-off, so it’s clean, but not that perfect glassy offshore we all dream of.

After that, the 29th and 30th drop off pretty quickly. The swell gets small again, and the energy fades to nothing. It’s a short-lived run of good surf.

So, if you’re picking a day, the 26th through the 28th are your best bet. It’s not a world-class swell, but it’s the best on offer. The 23rd is a solid second option for a bit of a paddle.

Rusty.

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