Number Fours Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. We’ve got Number Fours on the radar for the next couple of weeks, and it’s a bit of a mixed bag. The first week is all about size, but the wind is gonna be the main character. The second week looks like a serious drop-off.

Right out of the gate, Tuesday morning the 1st of September, we’ve got a solid 6ft swell from the ENE, with a period of 8 seconds. The wind is a cross-off from the NE at 19 mph, which is a good look for this reef. It’s clean, but it’s a bit marginal. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing wild.

The big story is the swell building through the first week. By Wednesday morning the 2nd, we’re looking at 7ft, and it just keeps punching up. The combined energy is climbing too, hitting 1043 (moderate) on Wednesday and jumping to 1181 (moderate) by Thursday morning the 3rd, with the swell holding at 8ft. That’s a lot of water moving. The wind stays cross-off from the ENE, but it’s a fresh to strong breeze, blowing 25 mph. It’s manageable, but it’s not what you’d call glassy.

The standout moment comes in on Saturday the 5th. The swell drops slightly to 7ft, but the period jumps to 13 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell. The combined energy surges to 1874 (strong) on Saturday morning, and even higher, 2062 (strong), in the afternoon. This is the best of the bunch. The wind backs off to a fresh breeze of 19 mph, still cross-off. The waves will have more energy, better shape, and longer waits between sets. For a reef setup like Number Fours, that long period is a gift. This is the one to circle on the calendar.

Sunday the 6th is still excellent, with the swell around 7ft and a 13-second period. The wind eases further to a moderate breeze of 12 mph, making for the cleanest conditions of the whole run. The combined energy is still strong at 2051. Monday the 7th holds on too, but the wind goes a bit cross, so the surface won’t be as silky.

After that, it starts to fade. The swell size drops through the second week, and the period gets shorter. By Wednesday the 10th, the energy plummets to 526 (weak), and the conditions are poor. There’s a long gap of several days where the surf is minimal or just not worth the paddle. The 11th through the 16th are mostly small, weak, or blown out. There’s a brief pulse of 5ft ENE swell on the 12th, but it’s cross-shore with a chop. Not great.

So, the bottom line: Get it while it’s good. The first weekend, especially Saturday the 5th and Sunday the 6th, is your best bet. Big, long-period groundswell with clean, cross-off wind. It’s going to be a bit of a wait for the sets, but the shape will be worth it. After that, the surf disappears for a while. Forecasts like this can change, but right now, that first week is the only real game in town.

Rusty.

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