Number Fours Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s cooking at Number Fours.

We’ve got a bit of a slow start, honestly. The first few days are looking marginal – the swell is there, but it’s just not coming together for a proper session. We’re talking small, clean waves but nothing that’s gonna get the heart pumping. The water’s sitting at 81°, about average for this time of year, so no complaints there.

Tuesday the 11th sees a tiny 3ft SSW swell with a 14-second period, but the cross-off wind from the ENE at 35 km/h is keeping it tidy. The combined energy is moderate (524). It’s surfable, but you’d be scratching for a decent ride.

Wednesday the 12th and Thursday the 13th are more of the same: 3ft to 4ft, S to SSW swell, with periods dropping from 18 seconds down to 15. That’s long-period groundswell, so the sets will have some push, but the consistency is lacking. The wind stays cross-off, keeping things clean. Combined energy is still moderate, in the 800s.

Friday the 14th is a bit of a write-off. The afternoon session gets a 0 for poor conditions, so don’t bother.

Now, hold onto your board. Saturday the 15th is where things get serious. The morning brings an 8ft ENE swell with an 11-second period and a strong breeze at 45 km/h. The combined energy jumps to 1637 – that’s strong. This is expert territory. The afternoon pushes to 10ft, but with a risk of thunderstorms and the same strong wind, it’s a beast. Only for the brave.

Sunday the 16th is lumpy. We’ve got 10ft E swell, but the wind is cross-on, making it choppy and messy. Not your friend.

The standout of the forecast is Monday the 17th.

Monday morning is the real deal. The swell drops to a more manageable 7ft from the ENE, with a period around 9 seconds. The wind swings to a gentle breeze from the east, giving us a clean, cross-off wind. The combined energy is still strong at 1102. The forecast calls it “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers.” This is your window. The swell direction (ENE) is a great match for what Number Fours likes. Get out there early.

After Monday, the week settles back into smaller, cleaner but ultimately unremarkable surf. The swell drops to 5ft and then 4ft, with short periods around 7 seconds. The wind is a steady cross-off from the ENE, but the energy is weak. It’s not going to be a total washout, but it’s not worth getting excited about.

Looking into the second week, things get interesting again around the 22nd of August. We see a return of some long-period SSW and S swells, with periods up to 19 seconds. The combined energy is moderate (around 600-650). The wind is still a moderate cross-off from the ENE. But the swell height is small, 2ft to 3ft. It’s a surf, but it’s a long way out and the confidence is lower. It’s a promise, not a guarantee.

So, bottom line: the best session is hands down Monday morning, August 17th. That’s the one to circle on the calendar. It’s a clean, powerful, groundswell that’s got the right direction and the right wind. Everything else is either too small, too windy, or too messy.

Keep it salty.

Rusty

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