Northcott Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, listen up. Let’s not mess around – this 16-day look at Northcott is a total dry spell. Almost every single day is a write-off with onshore wind, lumpy water, and nothing to get excited about. The scores are flat zero for the first two weeks. For a spot that’s fairly consistent, this is a real dud.

The water temperature on Thursday the 3rd is 65°F, which is about 4°F warmer than usual for this time of year. That’s a notable difference.

The only flicker of light comes on the morning of Tuesday the 15th. The swell is a tiny 4ft from the west, with a 9-second period, so it’s weak and short-period. The energy is 185 (weak). But the wind is glassy, dead calm (ESE, 0 mph). That’ll give you clean, smooth conditions. It’s judged as surfable but very ordinary. At 4ft, it’s not pushing anyone. Crowds are *sometimes* possible, so you might see a few others.

Then again on Wednesday the 16th morning, another glassy moment (E, 0 mph) with a tiny 3ft swell from the west, 10-second period, and energy of 131 (weak). Again, surfable but very ordinary. This is strictly for the longboard or foil crowd.

For the rest of the time, the wind is straight onshore or cross-onshore, often fresh to moderate, and the swell is either too small, too short-period, or just messy. There’s a big pulse of energy on the 7th (1430, strong) with a 7ft west swell, but the wind is a messy cross-on from the NW at 16 mph, ruining it. That’s a kite surfer’s session, not a paddle surfer’s. On the morning of the 4th, the wind is straight onshore with a 7ft swell and the period is only 8 seconds – won’t be any shape.

So, the honest truth? There’s no standout, no proper session. The best of a bad bunch is the glassy morning of the 15th, and maybe the 16th. If you’re not on a longboard, you’re better off waiting. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a long wait.

Rusty.

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