Mutriku Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's talk about the next couple of weeks in the water.

First up, this is a tough one to call. The forecast for Mutriku is a real mixed bag, and honestly, for most of the next 16 days, the conditions are just not playing ball. The water temperature is sitting at a very unusual 77°, which is a lot warmer than normal for this time of year, which is a bit of a head-scratcher.

We start with a glimmer on Saturday, but it's a no-go. Saturday morning sees a tiny 0.3ft swell from the north with a 12-second period, but the wind is a cross-offshore and there's a risk of thunderstorms. The combined wave energy is a weak 3, so there's just nothing to work with. Saturday afternoon picks up to 6ft from the northwest, but the period is a short and choppy 6 seconds, and the wind is a messy cross-shore. The energy ramps up to 293, but it's just a crumbly, wind-blown mess.

Sunday morning, 26 July, offers a bit of hope. We have 5ft from the northwest, with a 7-second period, and a cross-offshore wind. The energy is a moderate 221. It's surfable, but it's ordinary. The best chance you'll get in this whole period is actually Monday, 27 July. The morning sees a 5ft northwest swell with a long 11-second period and a light cross-onshore breeze. The combined energy is a solid 453. That's a decent amount of juice in the water. The afternoon is even better on paper, with 5ft, a 10-second period, and clean offshore wind from the northeast, with an energy reading of 480. For a brief window, it could be the standout of the whole outlook, but it's still a marginal call.

After that, it's a long, dry spell. From Tuesday, 28 July, all the way through to the 9th of August, every single session is rated as "poor surf conditions." The swell drops off to under 3ft, the wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, and the energy readings are consistently weak, often under 100. There are a few glassy moments, like on the 29th of July and the 3rd of August, but with only 2ft to 3ft of swell, it's barely a ripple. For a spot that's a sheltered reef, the wind is just never in the right place to make the most of the small waves.

So, looking at the whole 16-day window, the only real standout is the Monday, 27th of July. Even then, it's not a classic. The rest of the period is a write-off for anything worth paddling out for. It's one of those stretches where the forecasts will need to change dramatically to get anything going. You might be better off doing something else until the next system rolls through.

Rusty.

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