Middleton Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, grab a coffee and listen up. This is Rusty, and I’m looking at the next 16 days for Middleton Point.

First up, the water is sitting at 58°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year. Not a wetsuit-melting session, but not freezing your toes off either.

Now, let’s be straight with you. The first few days are a bit of a write-off for the casual surfer, but for the experienced crew, there’s some serious grunt on the way. This spot is a point break, so it’s built to handle the south swell, and it’s consistent, which is a huge plus.

The real talk starts this Friday the 24th. We’ve got a solid 10ft SW groundswell (4918 combined energy) rolling in, with a long 16 second period. That’s a proper groundswell. But the wind is cross-shore at 9 mph, which will put a bit of a bump on it. The main issue is that 10ft is just too much muscle for this break. It’ll be a washing machine for the punters, so I’d say this is a day for the experts to watch, not paddle.

Saturday the 25th drops a little, 8ft to 8ft, but the wind is still cross and the period is dropping. The tide conditions are questionable, so it’s a pass.

Sunday the 26th is where it gets interesting. The swell has dropped to 7ft, and the wind swings to a light WNW cross-off. That’s the good stuff. Clean, 11 second period, moderate energy (1030). This is a solid session for the experienced surfer, and the morning looks best.

Monday the 27th is another good morning. The swell is 6ft, but the wind is a clean offshore from the NNW at 9 mph. That’s the dream. Clean, lined-up waves. The afternoon gets a bit more wind, but it’s still cross-off, so it’s surfable.

Tuesday the 28th is a split day. The morning has a 4ft SSW swell, but the rip is running with a 15 second period. The wind is cross-off, so it’s clean. But the afternoon is a disaster. The wind swings onshore, the swell jumps to 10ft, and the energy is massive (6361). That’s a blown-out, messy mess. Avoid.

Wednesday the 29th is another one for the brave. The swell is 12ft, which is huge, and the wind is light and cross-on. It’s too big for this break, but the energy is off the charts. Not for the faint-hearted.

The standout session, the one you’ve been waiting for, is Saturday the 1st of August. The morning is calling. We’ve got a 8ft SSW swell, clean as a whistle with a light NW cross-off, and the energy is solid (3128). The afternoon, however, is a monster. The swell jumps to 12ft, and the period is a staggering 21 seconds. That’s a very long period groundswell. The energy is 16430, which is immense. It’s too big for the average bloke, but for the expert, it’s a once-in-a-blue-moon chance. The wind is a light cross-off, so it’s clean. The only caveat is that with a 21-second period, it’s going to be very big and straight at a beach break, but this is a point break, so it’ll hold up. This is the best on offer, but you need to be a solid surfer.

Sunday the 2nd is still huge, 10ft, but the wind is a bit suspect. The 17th of August is a similar story, big and clean.

The second week sees the swell start to drop off. From the 4th of August, we’re looking at 5ft to 2ft, clean cross-off wind, but the energy is weak. The 5th of August is a 3ft day, good for a longboard or a beginner if the tide is right. The 7th of August has a nice 7ft SSW swell with a clean offshore wind, which is a solid finish to the run.

Overall, the standout is the 1st of August. The morning is a solid, clean session, and the afternoon is a monster. If you’re an expert, you’ll be on it. The 26th of July is a great, clean, manageable session. The rest of the window is either too big or too small.

Keep an eye on the forecast, because this is a powerful run of swell, but it’s not for the faint-hearted.

Rusty.

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