Middleton Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here, and I’ve been staring at the charts for our little corner of the world. We’ve got a classic story unfolding over the next couple of weeks – a real slow burn with some serious firepower lurking in the deep end. Let’s paddle out and see what’s on the table.

Right now, the overall picture is a bit of a waiting game. The first few days tick over with modest, clean conditions, but the real standout is a window of excellent, clean surf that arrives after the first week. The water is sitting at 60°, which is about normal for this time of year, so no need to dig out the thickest rubber just yet.

We’re kicking things off at Middleton Point, a consistent point break that’s exposed to the south. The first call is Thursday, July 9th. Morning sees a 5 ft SSW groundswell rolling in with a long 15-second period, paired with a light NNE breeze. The energy is solid at 1073, and it’s clean. This is prime for experienced surfers on a point break – that long period will wrap in nicely and offer up some proper lines. The afternoon session stays clean with a 5 ft swell, dropping to a glassy 5 km/h breeze. Crowds are sometimes a factor here, but on a Thursday, you might get a bit of space.

Friday, July 10th, is also a solid shout. The morning is clean with a 5 ft SSW swell and light offshore N wind at 10 km/h. It’s a fraction smaller, but the energy is still pumping (881). Good for a cruise before the weekend.

Now, hold onto your boards. Saturday, July 11th, is where things get messy. The morning is a write-off with 40 km/h winds. The afternoon, however, sees a massive 12 ft SW swell hit, but with a short 10-second period and a fresh cross-shore wind. The energy is huge (2498), but the cross-chop will be ugly. This is a kite-surfing zone, not a paddle-surfing one. Sunday, July 12th, through Tuesday, July 14th, is the same story – monstrous 12 ft to 13 ft SSW swells, but the 25 km/h cross-shore winds and the sheer size (over 8 ft) make it an expert-only zone, and honestly, the conditions are rough. The energy readings are off the charts (6038, 5893, 8269), but it’s just too big and lumpy for a decent paddle.

The next real standout arrives on Wednesday, July 15th. The swell has dropped to a much more manageable 8 ft from the SSW, still with a solid 15-second period, and the wind has swung to a light offshore NE breeze at 10 km/h. The energy is still strong (3134), but the winds are clean. This is the best the first week has to offer for the average experienced surfer.

Thursday, July 16th, and Friday, July 17th, keep the good vibes going. Thursday morning is 6 ft and clean. Friday, July 17th, is a real gem. The morning is 6 ft SSW groundswell, 16-second period, with a light cross-offshore NNE breeze. Then, the afternoon goes glassy – 5 km/h SE wind, 6 ft swell, and the ocean is like a mirror. Energy is solid (1260). That afternoon session is the pick of the second week for a clean, fun wave.

Saturday, July 18th, continues the fun with 6 ft and 6 ft across the day, staying clean. Sunday, July 19th, the morning is a treat with a light offshore N wind at 15 km/h and a 4 ft SSW swell. The afternoon picks up a 6 ft SW swell with a very long, 20-second period, but the moderate breeze adds a little texture.

Then, from Monday, July 20th, into the final week, the giant swells come back. Monday and Tuesday see 10 ft to 12 ft monsters, and while the winds are light, it’s just too big for most. Wednesday, July 22nd, the morning is 10 ft, but the afternoon looks great – 8 ft SSW swell, light offshore WNW wind, and clean. That’s a late call for the hardy.

The final days, July 23rd and 24th, drop back down to 4 ft to 5 ft, and then on Friday, July 24th, we get another massive 16 ft SW swell with a cross-onshore wind. That’s a kite day again, or a solid "no thanks" from me.

To wrap it up, the standout windows are the afternoon of Friday, July 17th, for its glassy, clean conditions, and the morning of Wednesday, July 15th, for the first real drop in size after the big blow. Keep your eyes on the charts, because the quality is there, it’s just buried under a few days of heavy water.

Rusty, out.

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