Middleton Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for Middleton Point.

The first half of the forecast is a write-off. We've got a massive, powerful swell pushing through right from the start on Sunday July 12th, with combined energy readings up around 3598 and 8055. That's strong to very strong wave energy, and the swell is over 12ft to 13ft. This is expert-level stuff, and the wind is howling out of the west at 16 mph, making it cross and messy. It's too big and too wild for a good paddle session. You'd want a tow-in for this, or just watch from the cliffs.

The same story continues through Monday and Tuesday. The swell stays huge, over 12ft, and while the wind backs off a little, the waves are still too big for comfortable surfing. The energy numbers are still in the thousands.

Things finally start to get interesting on Wednesday July 15th. The swell drops back to a more manageable 8ft, and the real magic is the wind. Wednesday morning is glassy with a light NNW breeze at 3 mph. The combined energy is still a solid 2325, and the swell is a long-period 14 seconds from the SSW. This is a proper groundswell. For a point break like Middleton Point, that long-period, south-west groundswell is just what the doctor ordered. The water temp is 58°, which is about 2° cooler than average for this time of year, so nothing unusual there.

Thursday July 16th is a true standout. The swell drops to 7ft in the morning with a clean offshore breeze from the NNE at 6 mph. The combined energy is 1809. That afternoon, it gets even better: glassy, with a 6ft swell and energy at 2489. This is your best bet for the whole run. The waves will be clean, lined up, and perfect for a confident surfer.

Friday July 17th keeps the good times rolling. Another morning with a clean offshore breeze (NNE, 6 mph) and a 7ft swell. The afternoon is dead calm with a glassy 6ft swell. The quality is there for the taking.

The weekend of July 18th and 19th sees the swell drop off. Saturday brings cleaner 3ft to 4ft waves with offshore winds, but the energy is low (368-472). Sunday July 19th has a very long-period 20-second swell at 3ft, and moderate offshore winds. It'll be clean but small.

The second week is a mixed bag, with a lot of marginal conditions. Monday July 20th has a clean 6ft swell in the morning, but the afternoon brings rain showers and a choppy cross-onshore wind. Tuesday July 21st is a bright spot: glassy conditions in the morning with a 7ft SSW swell. The energy is 1289. That's a good call for a mid-week paddle. The rest of the week is mostly a write-off with strong onshores, cross-shore winds, and choppy conditions.

The best on offer: No question, it's Thursday July 16th and Friday July 17th. The combination of a solid 6ft to 7ft SSW groundswell, glassy offshore mornings, and a clean point break setup is as good as it gets. Middleton Point (Middleton-Point) is a consistent spot, and sometimes you'll have company, but with waves this good, you'll be sharing the peak with a few others. Get out there.

Rusty.

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