Middleton Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey everyone, Rusty here. Let’s break down the outlook for Middleton Point for the next couple of weeks. The story is pretty clear: we’ve got some strong south-southwest groundswells rolling in, but the wind and size don’t always play ball. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so no shock there.

We start off slow on Tuesday the 1st with knee-to-waist high swell from the SSW at 1.7m, but the wind is howling at 35 km/h from the northwest, making for a messy cross-offshore chop. Not worth pulling the wetsuit on for.

Wednesday the 2nd sees the swell bump up to 2.1m to 2.4m, still from the SSW, with the energy jumping into the strong range, but the wind swings west at 15-20 km/h, putting a cross-shore bump on the face. It’s still a bit raw.

From Thursday the 3rd through Saturday the 5th, we’re looking at serious size—3.0m to 4.0m. The energy readings are massive, but the comments are clear: this is too big for this break. Unless you’re an expert, stay out. The wind is mostly cross-onshore, so the surface will be lumpy and choppy.

Now, Sunday the 6th is our first real highlight. The swell drops to a still-chunky 2.1m to 2.5m from the SSW, the wind goes light cross-offshore from the north-northeast, and the sets have that 14-second power. This is a solid session for any experienced surfer. The energy is strong (2553), so expect some grunt.

Then we hit a dead spell from Monday the 7th to the 9th. The swell drops to 1.1m-1.3m on Monday with an east-southeast breeze, then from the 8th to the 9th, the wind turns onshore from the south-southwest at 30 km/h, and the swell spikes back up to 3.5m-5.0m with very long periods of 17-18 seconds. The energy is enormous (up to 14729), but it’s completely blown out. Kite surfers might love it, but for paddle surfing, it’s a write-off.

The 10th and 11th settle down a bit to 2.3m-3.0m swells from the SSW, but the wind is light cross-onshore or onshore, so the quality is marginal. Energy is still strong (up to 4112), but the surface isn’t clean.

The one standout window is Saturday the 12th morning and especially Sunday the 13th.

Saturday morning gives us a clean 1.9m SSW swell with a 14-second period and a light 10 km/h northwest cross-offshore breeze. The energy is moderate to strong (1472). It’s a good, clean option for experienced surfers.

But Sunday the 13th is the best on offer. We’ve got a 1.8m SSW swell (1260 energy) with a glassy 5 km/h offshore wind from the north. That’s about as clean as it gets. The direction is perfect for the point, and the waves will have shape. Crowds can sometimes show up here, but on a morning like that, you might have to share a few waves. Still, this is the one to aim for.

The 14th and 15th bring the wind back up to 25-35 km/h, with the swell staying around 1.8m-2.1m, but it’s a lumpy cross-chop. Quality drops off hard.

Finally, Wednesday the 16th offers a small but clean-ish 1.6m to 1.7m SSW swell with light onshore wind from the south. The period is 14-15 seconds, so there’s some shape, but it’s only marginal for a morning session.

Bottom line: Sunday the 13th is your absolute best bet. Clean, offshore, solid groundswell. Saturday the 12th is a good backup. Everything else is either too big, too windy, or too small. Keep your eyes on the horizon for that Sunday.

Rusty.

Read more