Middleton Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. We’ve got a solid 16-day stretch ahead at Middleton Point, but patience is the name of the game. This isn’t a gentle intro; it’s a heavy-hitter straight out of the gate. We’re looking at a big, long-period SSW groundswell with a period of 16 seconds, pushing 12 ft of swell on Friday 4th September morning. The combined wave energy is massive at a reading of 5368. North winds are blowing light offshore at 6 mph, which is perfect for a point break. The water temp is sitting at 58°, which feels about average for this time of year. However, at 12 ft, this is not a beginner wave. This is serious, powerful water, and given the size and the long period, it’s going to be a challenging, expert-only affair even with clean conditions.

Friday afternoon holds similar energy with the swell dropping slightly to 10 ft, still with that long 16-second period and light offshore winds. The energy is still high at 4414. It remains a big, clean setup, but the size keeps it out of reach for most.

Saturday the 5th takes a sharp turn south. The wind swings hard to the west, ramping up to 22 mph and going cross-shore. The swell sticks around 10 ft, but the quality is gone. It’s going to be a lumpy, choppy mess. Not worth suiting up for a paddle; this is more of a kiter’s session at the beach if you’re into that sort of thing. Sunday doesn’t offer much either—light cross-onshore winds and dropping swell to 8 ft make for marginal conditions. The energy is moderate at 2334, but the wind direction ruins it.

The first real standout arrives on Tuesday 8th September. The morning delivers 7 ft of SSW swell with a very long 17-second period, and light cross-offshore winds from the ENE. The energy is strong at 3758, and the wind is keeping the surface clean. This is the moment for experienced surfers to get out there. The period is long, which gives the point break a nice, drawn-out line, but expect a bit of a wait between sets. Crowds are possible, but with the quality this high, you won’t mind.

Wednesday 9th September gets ugly again. The swell ramps up to 12 ft in the morning and hits 15 ft in the afternoon, with onshore southerly winds at 19 mph. The energy readings are massive (11705 and 13276), but it’s just a wall of whitewater. Skip it.

Thursday 10th September has the same problem—huge, but messy. 13 ft swell with cross-shore winds keeps it too big and uncomfortable.

Friday 11th September through to Sunday 13th September is the next window. Friday morning brings 8 ft swell with clean light cross-off winds and strong energy at 2372. Saturday the 12th is a gem for the later part of the week: 6 ft at morning with light NE winds, and then Saturday afternoon goes glassy, with 0 mph wind and 6 ft swell. The wave energy is moderate at 1272, but the glassy surface makes it perfect for anyone with some experience. Sunday morning drops to 3 ft, still clean with offshore wind and a very long period of 17 seconds, making it a fun, small-wave option, though the energy is low at 921.

After that, the run flattens out. Monday 14th and Tuesday 15th see the swell dropping below 5 ft, with energy readings under 500, and the winds turning unfavourable. It’s a lull.

Then, just when you think it’s done, Wednesday 16th September brings another pulse. 13 ft swell hits the morning with clean cross-offshore winds. The energy is extremely high at 7151. Once again, this is big and powerful, with a period of 15 seconds optimised for the point. It’s a big-wave day, not for the faint of heart. The trend continues through to Thursday and Friday with more solid 10 ft to 13 ft swell, but the winds get messy again by Thursday afternoon and through Friday, with strong onshore and cross-shore flows.

The final note on Saturday 19th September: the morning looks clean with 6 ft of swell and cross-offshore wind, but the energy is moderate at 1750. The afternoon pumps back up to 12 ft, but the period drops to 11 seconds and the wind picks up. It’s powerful but a bit ragged.

Bottom line: If you’re an experienced surfer after a big, clean groundswell, book Tuesday 8th September morning or Saturday 12th September for the glassy session. The rest of the time, watch for the windows and don’t get caught in the heavy stuff if you’re not ready.

Rusty.

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