Medewi Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's cooking over the next couple of weeks for our little corner of the world.

The Big Picture

We've got a persistent supply of SSW groundswell lined up, but it's coming with a constant side-off or cross-onshore wind from the southeast. This combo is going to keep the surface messy for a good long while. The conditions are going to be marginal at best for most of the period, so we need to pick our moments carefully. The real challenge is finding a window where the wind lays down enough to give us a clean face.

The water temp is sitting around 81° at the start, which is about 1° warmer than normal for this time of year – nothing crazy, just a touch of tropical warmth.

Right off the bat, we're looking at a rough start. The first few days are a write-off. From Wednesday afternoon right through to Tuesday morning, the 28th of July, it’s all cross-onshore and choppy with poor surf conditions. That's a solid week of frustrating, bumpy lines. I wouldn't even bother paddling out until we get to the weekend.

The Surf Windows

Things start to look a little more interesting on Saturday morning, the 25th of July. The swell bumps up a touch to 3ft, and the wind swings to a pure cross-shore. The energy is picking up too, hitting a moderate 638 in the water, so there's some push. It’s still not clean, but for the first time in a while, it's not completely onshore slop. Medewi is our only real option here, and it’s a fairly consistent spot, so it’ll be breaking. The crowd factor is listed as *sometimes*, so you might have company. This is the first sign of life.

The next real standout is Sunday morning, the 26th. The swell jumps up to 8ft from the SE, but the period drops right off to 9 seconds. The energy is strong (1390), but that short-period wind swell is going to be lumpy and sectiony. It's not going to be a pretty picture, and with the wind remaining cross-shore and a score that’s just marginal, it’s a risky call.

For the best quality of the whole run, we have to look further ahead. Saturday the 2nd of August is where the stars almost align. We’ve got a solid 6ft to 6ft SSW groundswell with a period of 16 seconds, pumping out strong energy (1718 to 1750). The wind on the morning is a light breeze from the SE, making it only a light cross-onshore with small ripples. That's the cleanest wind window we get. This is a long period groundswell, which is going to hold up well at a point break like Medewi (Bali), giving it shape and power. The only downside is that strong, long-period swell will make it a proper session for experienced surfers only – it’ll be too big for beginners. The dip is poor, but Saturday the 2nd of August is the one to circle on the calendar.

The Long-Range Outlook

Into the second week, from the 3rd of August onwards, the swell stays in the 4ft to 5ft range with a solid 14-15 second period. The wind remains a problem though, mostly cross-onshore or cross-shore. The energy stays moderate to strong (672 to 1177). You’ll get waves, but they’ll be chopped up. The Wednesday morning of the 5th of August is another potential window with a gentle cross-shore breeze, giving you the best chance of a semi-clean 5ft wave. It's not a standout, but it's something.

So, to sum it up: don't waste your time this week. The standout is unquestionably Saturday the 2nd of August at Medewi, with that long-period 6ft groundswell and the lightest wind. It’s the one session in the whole 16 days that might actually be worth the wait. After that, keep an eye on Wednesday the 5th for a potential messy fun session.

Stay patient, and keep your wax warm.

Rusty.

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