Medewi Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, get this. The forecast for Medewi is a bit of a mixed bag over the next couple of weeks. We’ve got a run of small, wind-affected surf opening things up, but there’s some serious promise on the horizon if you’re willing to wait it out. The water’s sitting at 81°, which is about average for this time of year, so no worries there.

Right now, and for the next several days, it’s looking pretty marginal. We’ve got clean-ish conditions early on Wednesday the 9th with some clouds and a gentle cross-onshore breeze, but the swell is only around 6ft from the SSW with a 16-second period. There’s plenty of energy in the water (1826), but it’s just not translating into quality waves. The wind is the main issue, keeping things a bit choppy and messing with the form. This pattern holds through the weekend – the swell drops off a bit and the wind stays up, so pick your moments if you’re desperate for a paddle.

There is a real lull from around Friday the 11th through to Monday the 14th. This is the worst stretch. Swell drops to around 3-4ft, the period gets shorter, and the cross-onshore wind is just making a mess of everything. Honestly, it looks more like a kite-surfing week than a surfing one unless you’re happy to hunt for a clean little crumble on a longboard.

We start to see a little more life in the swell from about the 15th, but it’s still on the small side, around 4-5ft, and the wind remains a factor. The longer period at times (up to 21 seconds on the 22nd) is a sign of better quality energy, but the size just isn't there to make it a standout. The light winds on the 18th and 22nd will offer some cleaner windows, but the swell is still underwhelming.

Now, for the good stuff. Looking way out ahead, towards the end of the period, we’ve got a promising pulse of groundswell. Around Wednesday the 23rd, the swell is forecast to build to 6ft from the SSW, and the energy really starts to ramp up (2701). The wind is still cross-onshore, but it’s gentle.

The real standout, though, is Thursday the 24th. This is the one to circle on the calendar. The swell is expected to push up to a solid 8ft from the SSW, and even though the period drops a bit to 17 seconds, the energy is the strongest we’ve seen all forecast (3497). The wind looks like it’ll ease off to a light cross-onshore, which could make for some seriously clean conditions at Medewi. This is a proper swell, a touch big for beginners – you’ll want your wits about you – but for anyone with a bit of experience, the Medewi (Bali) point could be firing that day. It’s a long way out, so don’t book the flight yet, but this is the one with the most potential.

You just need to be patient. There’s not a lot of joy in the near term, but that final pulse looks worth the wait. This is Rusty, signing off.

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