Canggu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here.

Alright, the outlook for Canggu over the next couple of weeks is a bit of a mixed bag, and I gotta be straight with you. The forecast is calling for a run of surf that’s pretty much all tagged as marginal, so there’s no point pretending it’s pumping. We’ve got solid swell energy in the water at times, but the wind just won’t play nice for that clean, groomed face we all want.

Let’s start with the coming days. Friday the 4th sees the first waves of the period with a 5ft swell out of the SW at 14 seconds. The combined energy is moderate at 777, but that cross-shore wind from the SE at 12 mph is going to put a nasty cross-chop on the surface. It’s not great. The water temp is a warm 80°, which is about average for this time of year.

Moving into Saturday the 5th, the swell jumps up. We’re looking at a 7ft SSW groundswell with a 16-second period – that’s proper long-period energy. The combined energy is strong at 2031, which tells you there’s a lot of power running through. But again, the wind is a cross-shore, so it’ll be a bit bumpy. This size is starting to get up there for beginners. The swell stays around 7ft to 7ft right through Sunday the 6th and into Monday the 7th, always with that cross-shore or cross-onshore wind messing things up. The period stays long, between 14 and 17 seconds, so the waves have a lot of push, but that energy won’t be your friend if it’s choppy. At over 8ft on Wednesday the 9th morning, it’s only for experts, but with cross-onshore winds, even they’ll struggle to find a rhythm. Honestly, the setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing during these days with the strong onshore component.

The real standout, if you can call it that, arrives later. Look at Tuesday the 8th afternoon – the combined energy hits a very strong 3342, with a 6ft SSW swell at 18 seconds. That’s serious, long-period groundswell. The wind is still cross-shore, but it’s a gentle breeze, so the cross-chop won’t be as bad. It’s the best score of the whole window, but it’s still a “marginal surf forecast” call. If you’re a confident surfer who can handle a bit of texture, Tuesday afternoon is your window.

After that, the pattern continues. The wind stays cross or cross-onshore for most days. We get a glimmer of hope on Monday the 14th and Tuesday the 15th mornings, where the wind turns cross-offshore from the ESE at 12 mph, cleaning the surf up nicely. On the 14th, it’s a 6ft SW swell, and on the 15th, a 7ft SW swell. Those are the cleanest conditions you’ll see, with the “clean” wind state, so mark them in your diary. The combined energy is moderate to strong, around 1719 and 2126.

Wednesday the 16th morning also has that clean cross-offshore wind, with a 7ft SSW swell. Later in the period, Thursday the 19th has some 7ft SSW swell with gentle cross-shore breezes, but it’s the same story – okay, but nothing to write home about.

So, here’s the deal: There are no perfect days. The standout best chance for a quality surf is Tuesday the 8th afternoon for the sheer power of the swell, and Monday the 14th and Tuesday the 15th mornings for the cleanest, most surfable conditions, even if the swell is a touch smaller. Canggu is a reef break that’s exposed to the SW, and with the consistent cross-shore wind pattern we’ve got, you’re just going to have to pick your moments. Keep your expectations realistic, and you might still score some fun ones.

Rusty.

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