Balian Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey everyone, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what the next couple of weeks look like for Balian. We’ve got a pretty slow start, but patience is going to pay off big time towards the end of the run. Let’s break it down.

The overall pattern is one of those classic building swells. Right now, the surf is small and not really worth paddling out for. We’re looking at a solid gap of about a week with nothing that’s really on, just knee-to-waist high stuff with mostly cross-shore wind. The water temp is sitting right around 81°, which is pretty average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first real glimmer of hope shows up on Saturday, 1st August, but it’s still marginal. Swell bumps to about 4ft from the SSW, but the wind is cross-shore and the energy is building (moderate). It’s not until Sunday, 2nd August that the swell gets a bit more push, hitting 5ft, but the wind turns cross-onshore, making it choppy. Not our day.

Things start to look more interesting by Wednesday, 5th August. The swell drops back to 3ft, but listen to this – the period jumps to 19 seconds from the SSW. That’s a proper long-period groundswell. The combined energy is strong. Wind is still cross-shore at 12 mph, so the surface will have some texture, but that long-period swell should set up some nice lines on the reef. This is the first standout, but with that long period, it might break a bit straight at the beach, so Balian’s reef could be your ticket.

Now, hold onto your board, because Tuesday, 11th August is the real standout. We’ve got a solid 8ft SSW swell with a 20-second period. That’s a massive, very long-period groundswell with energy that’s off the charts. The wind is a light cross-shore at 9 mph, which will keep things reasonably clean. This is big wave territory – over 8ft, so this is strictly for experienced surfers. The crowd can be an issue here sometimes, but on a day like this, the crowd will be thin. This is the one to circle.

And it keeps building. Wednesday, 12th August pushes to 10ft from the SSW, period still strong at 18-19 seconds. The energy is huge. Again, wind stays light cross-shore, keeping it manageable. This is still the same window of big, powerful swell. After that, it drops off a bit to 8ft on Thursday, 13th August, still solid, but the period shortens.

So, the best on offer? No doubt, Tuesday the 11th through Wednesday the 12th of August. Big, long-period SSW groundswell with light winds. If you’re experienced, that’s your window. It’s a long way out so keep an eye on it, but the potential is huge.

Stay safe, and I’ll catch you in the water.

Rusty

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