Padma Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the menu for the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a solid run of swell coming into Padma starting this Friday, the 7th of August. It’s a consistent, long-period groundswell from the SSW, and it’s packing some serious energy. The water temp is sitting right where it should be for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Friday morning sees a 8ft SSW swell with a 17-second period. The combined energy is a hefty 3333, which is decent. The wind is a cross-offshore from the SE at 12 mph, which will keep the faces clean. It’s a bit of a beast, though – at 8ft, it’s pushing into the “experts only” zone. The set-up is a point break, which is exactly what you want for these long-period groundswells; they’ll line up beautifully here rather than just closing out. Expect crowds to be possible.

The real standout window is Monday the 10th through Tuesday the 11th. Monday afternoon the swell jumps to 10ft from the SSW with a 17-second period, and the combined energy goes ballistic at 5622. The wind is a gentle cross-shore from the SSE at 9 mph, keeping that slight cross-chop but still very rideable. This is big, powerful, and for experienced surfers only. Tuesday morning is similar, with a 10ft, 17-second SSW swell and 5008 energy. The wind stays light from the SSE. By Tuesday afternoon, the swell drops to 8ft, and the wind swings back to cross-off, making it cleaner. This is the best quality window of the whole forecast.

After that, the swell hangs around in the 7ft to 8ft range through the rest of the week and into the next, but the wind stays a steady cross-off from the SE or ESE, mostly a moderate breeze. The energy stays in the 2000 to 4000 range, so it’s still got plenty of grunt. The quality is rated as marginal, but with consistent swell and clean wind, there will be waves to be had.

There’s another big pulse on Thursday the 13th, with a 10ft, 17-second SSW swell, but again, that’s too big for your average punter. The 20th of August also sees a similar pulse, but that’s a long way out and less certain. For now, the best bet is to lock in Monday the 10th and Tuesday the 11th for the best combination of size, power, and clean conditions.

The last week of the forecast sees the swell backing off a little, with the 22nd of August only offering a 6ft SW groundswell and lower energy. It’s still surfable, but the magic is in that first week.

Rusty out.

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