Manly-North Steyne Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here with a look at what’s shaping up for Manly-North Steyne. We’ve got a bit of a mixed bag over the next couple of weeks, but there are a few windows that’ll get the blood pumping. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing wild to report there.

We’ve got a solid run of surf kicking off Thursday morning, July 9th. It’s not perfect, but there’s some serious grunt in the water. Thursday morning brings a 6ft swell from the SE with a 10-second period, and the combined energy is chunky at 826 – that’s moderate-strong, you’ll feel that. The wind is a light cross-off from the SSW, so the surface should be clean. It’s an advanced break, so this is proper, powerful stuff. Thursday arvo the wind swings cross-shore and the energy drops to 641, and the conditions get a bit marginal – not the pick of the week.

Now, Friday July 10th is where it’s at. The morning kicks off with a light offshore from the WSW, and that 6ft SE swell is still pumping, combined energy at 554. This is clean, lined-up surf – very good conditions. Then Friday arvo, the wind goes glassy with a light ESE breeze, swell 6ft and energy 580. That’s as good as it gets: glassy, clean, and the swell has some push. That’s the standout of the whole outlook for me. Crowds are always a possibility here, so get in early.

Saturday morning July 11th sees the swell drop to 3ft from the ESE, but the period stretches to 12 seconds – that’s a nice groundswell, though beach breaks can get a bit straight with that longer period. Wind is cross-off from the NW, so it’s clean, and combined energy sits at 404, which is still moderate. It’s surfable, but nothing to race out for. Saturday arvo gets messy with a cross-on breeze and the energy fades to 303 – not worth it.

Sunday July 12th has a clean, strong offshore from the W at 15 mph, but the swell is tiny – 2ft and energy just 78. It’s surfable for the die-hards, but very ordinary. From Sunday arvo right through the following week, it’s a ghost town. There’s almost no swell energy – readings below 50, and most days are zeros or single digits. The wind is often offshore or cross-off, but with swell this small, it’s just flat. There’s a decent gap of poor-to-no surf from Sunday afternoon until the following Friday, July 17th.

Friday morning July 17th, the swell tries to kick back up to 6ft from the SE at 9 seconds, energy hits 626, but the wind is screaming from the SSE at 28 mph – strong breeze. The data says poor surf conditions, and with that much wind and a beach setup, it’s more of a kite-surfing day than a paddle session. Saturday the 18th and Sunday the 19th are similar – small swell, strong winds. A few small, clean windows pop up on Monday and Tuesday of that second week, but the swell is under 2ft and energy is weak. Not worth getting wet for.

So, to sum it up: Thursday morning is solid, but Friday July 10th is the one to circle. The morning offshore and the afternoon glassy session with that 6-6ft SE swell are the true standouts. After that, it’s a long dry spell until the swell returns with strong, unfriendly winds near the end of the second week. Forecasts can change, but right now, this is the pick of the paddock.

Rusty.

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