Manly-North Steyne Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s have a look at what's coming up for Manly-North Steyne.

Alright mate, the next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim for this stretch. We’ve got a long, flat run of poor conditions before a few windows finally appear in the second week. The water temp is sitting at about 63°F, which is pretty much average for this time of year, so nothing unusual there.

Starting from now, Tuesday the 1st of September, there’s barely anything to get excited about. The morning has a tiny 1ft swell from the ENE with a period of 11 seconds, but it’s mostly cross-shore and the wave energy is weak (32). It’s poor. The afternoon cleans up a little with a cross-offshore breeze, but the swell is still only 1ft – surfable but very ordinary. Wednesday and Thursday stay small with 1ft to 1ft, and while the winds are cross-off to offshore, the swell is just too weak. Friday through to the following Monday all show poor surf, with heights mostly under 3ft and often onshore or messy winds. The combined energy stays low, mostly under 100, until the 8th of September.

On Tuesday the 8th, we see the swell bump up to 5ft from the NE, with moderate wave energy (262), but it’s let down by onshore winds and the comment says poor surf conditions. Wednesday the 9th has strong S and SSW winds cleaning things up, but the swell drops right back to 1ft to 2ft. Not worth the drive.

Then from Thursday the 10th through Saturday the 12th, we hit a proper flat spell – zero swell, no wave energy. A few days with absolutely nothing on offer. That’s a stretch of three days with no surf.

Now, finally, we get a little hope. On Sunday the 13th, things start to turn. The morning brings a 4ft swell from the SE with a period of 10 seconds, and the wind is a light cross-offshore. The combined energy jumps to 489 – that’s strong. It’s the first real standout in the whole outlook. The break’s optimum direction is from the NE, so this SE swell isn’t a perfect match, but the energy is there and the conditions are clean. It’s for advanced surfers at 4ft–5ft, so not for beginners. The afternoon has a similar 5ft swell but with a moderate breeze, so it’s a bit more marginal.

Monday the 14th is the other standout. Morning conditions are glassy – that’s a major positive – with a 4ft swell from the SE and strong energy (275). Clean, lined-up surf for the experienced crew. The afternoon turns onshore, so get on it early.

After that, Tuesday the 15th drops to 3ft, surfable but ordinary, and Wednesday the 16th sees a 4ft NE windswell with a short period of 6 seconds – punchy but messy with cross-shore wind. Keep your expectations low.

So, overall, the first week and a half is a write-off for Manly-North Steyne. The best bets are Sunday the 13th morning and Monday the 14th morning – both offer clean, moderate-sized groundswell with light winds. Get in the water early, and you’ll find some fun ones.

Rusty.

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