Manly-North Steyne Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, let’s have a squiz at what’s comin’ up for Manly-North Steyne. Grab a coffee, this is a long read.

To be straight with you, the first few days are pretty ordinary. Don’t bother paddlin’ out Friday the 3rd or Saturday the 4th – we’re lookin’ at tiny dribble with combined energies of just 45 and 27, and it’s mostly a cross-off breeze messin’ things up. The swell is barely a ripple, real weak stuff. Sunday the 5th is even worse, with the energy droppin’ to a pathetic 17 and then 3. Monday the 6th is still flat with a cross-chop. It’s a flat spell, no two ways about it.

Now, things start to wake up properly on Tuesday the 7th. Tuesday morning we see a jump in energy (249) with a clean 3ft SE swell, and a nice cross-off breeze. That’s a glimmer. But the real standout for the whole outlook is Tuesday afternoon. The water temp is sittin’ around 66°, which is about normal for this time of year. We get a solid 8ft SE swell pushin’ in with the combined energy hittin’ 1243 – that’s gettin’ proper strong. The period is 10 seconds, so it’s got a bit of shape. But listen, 8ft at a fairly exposed beach break like this? That’s advanced territory, not for the learner crew. With a gentle offshore breeze from the S, it’s gonna be big and punchy. The crowds are *sometimes* an issue, and on a pulse like this, expect a few chargin'.

Wednesday the 8th morning cleans up nicely with a 7ft SE swell, energy at 931, and a glassy offshore W wind at just 6 mph. That’s a real clean session, still for experienced surfers given the size. The morning is the go. The afternoon turns a bit crumbly with a cross-shore.

Thursday the 9th still has decent energy (509) in the morning with 5ft SE swell and light WSW offshore winds. Good clean lines, but the swell is droppin’ off.

Friday the 10th and Saturday the 11th have some small, rideable leftovers with the swell energy droppin’ back under 200 and then 100. The glassy period on the Saturday arvo with 2ft and zero wind is a quiet, peaceful session for the log, but nothin’ to write home about.

Then we hit another big, dry patch. From Sunday the 12th onward, the energy just noses up to single digits or flatlines. Sunday afternoon, Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday – mostly zeros. There’s a tiny blip on Wednesday the 15th afternoon with 2ft from the SE, but with a 28 mph wind? Forget it. That’s a wash-out. The rest of the second week is just flat and blown out, right through to the 18th.

Bottom line: The only true standout is Tuesday the 7th afternoon for the big-wave crew, and Wednesday the 8th morning for clean 7ft bombs. Everything else is a skunk or a small, workable wave for the keen. The first 4 days are a write-off, and the second week goes dead.

Rusty

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