Manly-North Steyne Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. We’re taking a look at the next couple of weeks for our local stretch, and I gotta be straight with you – it’s a slow start. Real slow. But we’ve got some serious firepower lining up for the second week, so don’t write it off just yet.

The first few days are pretty much a write-off. From Sunday the 12th right through to Thursday the 16th, we’re looking at flat to ankle-snapping dribble. The swell energy is basically non-existent, with readings as low as 0 to 87 (weak energy), and the wind isn’t doing us any favors either – mostly cross-off or side-shore, which would be fine if there was anything to ride. But there isn’t. It’s a solid five-day gap of poor surf conditions.

Now, things start to stir on Friday the 17th. We get a pulse of swell, around 5 to 6 feet coming out of the ESE with a period of 8-9 seconds. The energy jumps up to 375-551 (moderate energy), but the forecast calls it marginal – questionable tide conditions and a cross-off wind from the south at 15 mph. It’s not a total loss for the experienced crew, but it’s not the one to plan your week around.

Saturday the 18th is where it starts getting interesting. The swell holds around 6 feet from the east, the same 9-10 second period, but the energy climbs to 565-646 (moderate energy). Winds are light from the SSW to S at 9 mph, crossing offshore. The break is *Manly-North Steyne*, and we’re looking at “very good surf conditions” here. This is a proper clean, fun-sized day for the advanced crew – consistent enough to keep you busy.

But the real standout – the one you circle on the calendar – is Sunday the 19th. The morning session is looking absolute magic. We’ve got a solid 7 to 8 feet swell from the east, with a long 11-second period, giving it some serious grunt. The combined energy hits 1118 (strong wave energy). The wind? A whisper from the NW at just 3 mph, practically glassy. That’s clean, powerful surf for the experienced surfer. This is about as good as it gets. The afternoon gets a bit choppy as the wind swings onshore, but that morning window is pure gold.

Then, if that wasn’t enough, Tuesday the 21st rolls in. Morning sees a 8 feet swell from the ESE, and now the period stretches out to 12 seconds – that’s proper groundswell territory. Energy is through the roof at 1611 (strong wave energy). The wind is offshore from the west at 15 mph, so you’re getting those clean, groomed faces. Another “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers” call. The afternoon holds up nicely too, with a lighter breeze.

After that, it slowly winds down. Wednesday the 22nd and Thursday the 23rd still have some decent 5 to 6 feet east swells, but the quality drops a little, and by the following weekend we’re back to small, sloppy waves.

So to wrap it up: get through this dry spell, and you’ll be rewarded. Sunday the 19th morning is your absolute best bet – clean, powerful, and glassy. Tuesday the 21st morning is a very close second with more size and offshore winds, but the water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual there. Just remember, this is an advanced break, and over 8 feet, it’s expert territory. Crowds are possible at times, so get in early.

Rusty.

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