Manly-North Steyne Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty here, and I’ve gotta be straight with you: the next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim for a proper surf at Manly-North Steyne. We’ve got a long stretch of small, weak, and mostly messy waves ahead, so if you’re chasing something decent, you’re gonna need some patience. The good news is, there’s a little pulse of energy mid-window, but it’s not exactly going to have you calling in sick.

The water temp is sitting at 63°, which is about normal for this time of year, so a good hood or a thick suit is still the go.

Right now, we’re looking at a solid run of nothing. Wednesday through Saturday are all just tiny, weak swells, mostly around 1ft to 2ft, with poor conditions. There’s some clean, offshore wind in the mornings – WSW or W – which is nice, but there’s just no power behind the waves. The energy is only around 15 to 53 (weak), so it’s basically flat and gutless. It’s a real write-off for surfing, and honestly, you’re better off doing something else.

Sunday the 9th sees a slight bump in size to 3ft, but the wind switches to a northerly, making it cross-shore and choppy. The energy picks up a bit to 167 (moderate), but it’s still pretty ordinary and not worth getting excited about.

Now, here’s the standout window – Monday the 10th. The swell jumps up to 6ft in the morning and 5ft in the afternoon. The energy cranks to 545 (strong), which is a real pulse. The wind is WNW at 22 mph, which is cross-offshore, and the wave comment calls it clean. This is the best I can see in the whole two weeks. That said, the direction is ENE, which isn't the spot's ideal, and with a period of 9 seconds, it’s going to be a bit raw. But it’s the only real surfable swell we’ve got. It’s an advanced wave, and at 6ft, it’s getting up there, so it’s not for the faint-hearted.

After that, it’s back to the doldrums. Tuesday the 11th drops right back down to 2ft and then it’s just a long, drawn-out stretch of small, weak surf. There’s a brief moment on the 14th where it’s 2ft and has a better period of 10 seconds, but it’s still just ordinary. The energy stays weak to moderate, and the wind, while often offshore and clean, isn’t enough to make these tiny waves fun.

The last week of the forecast, from the 15th to the 20th, is more of the same – small, weak, and mostly poor. You’ll see the odd 2ft and 1ft waves, and even a couple of surfable moments, but this is a stretch where the swell is just not happening. We’re looking at weak energy values (33 to 47) and a whole lot of nothing. The 20th has a tiny SE breeze but it’s cross-shore, and the swell is still small. It’s a long, flat run, and this is one of those times where you just have to wait for the charts to change.

In short, if you’re looking for waves, Monday the 10th is your only real shot, and even then, it’s a short-lived pulse. The rest is a waiting game.

Rusty

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