Lakes Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.25° S 151.56° E

Lakes Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 22 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Lakes Beach sea temperature is
18.7° C
0.4° 

Lakes Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Lakes Beach surf forecast from 22 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 25 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 13s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 13s period, S swell with 1,553 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 22 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 10s period with ENE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lakes Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Lakes Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Lakes Beach in the next 16 days are 2.1m 13s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 23) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1PM (Wed 22nd Jul)3.5ft (1.1m) 10s
Best Surf 1AM (Sat 25th Jul)7ft (2.1m) 13s
Most Powerful 1AM (Sat 25th Jul)7ft (2.1m) 13s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lakes Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the menu for the next couple of weeks.

We’re looking at a bit of a slow start, but plenty of action building through the back half of the period. The first few days are a bit of a mixed bag, but once we get into the weekend of the 24th and beyond, the ocean starts to wake up. The water temp is sitting at 66°F right now, which is about normal for this time of year.

Wednesday, July 22nd – Friday, July 24th
We kick things off on Wednesday morning with a small, clean offering at Lakes Beach. A 4ft ENE swell with a 10-second period, and the wind is light and cross-offshore. The energy is modest (277). It’s not going to blow your socks off, but it’s clean and surfable. That afternoon, forget it – the wind swings onshore and the quality drops right out.

Thursday morning sees a bit of a drop in size, with 3ft ENE swell, but the wind goes offshore. It’s clean but small, with low energy (127). You’ll be hunting for the little peaks. Thursday afternoon is a write-off with onshore wind.

Friday morning is where things start to get interesting. The swell jumps to 6ft from the south with a 10-second period, and energy is up to 618. The wind is cross-offshore, so it’s clean. This is a proper step up. Friday afternoon gets a bit messy with a cross-shore wind, but the swell is still there at 6ft.

Saturday, July 25th – Monday, July 27th
Now we’re talking. Saturday morning, July 25th, is the first real standout. A 6ft south swell, 11-second period, and light cross-offshore wind. The energy is 753, and it’s clean. This is a solid, fun wave for an advanced surfer. The sandbar might be a bit tricky, but the conditions are there. Sunday morning is almost identical – 6ft south swell, light wind, clean. Another beauty.

Monday morning, July 27th, is a glassy gem. The wind is dead calm, glassy, and the swell is 4ft from the south. It’s small but absolutely clean. A perfect morning for a longboard or a fun shortboard.

Tuesday, July 29th – End of the 16 Days
There’s a bit of a lull on Tuesday morning, July 28th, with only 2ft of swell. By Wednesday, July 29th, the swell is tiny. But then… watch out. Wednesday afternoon, the swell jumps to 8ft from the south, but the wind is cross-shore. The energy is strong (853). This is big and messy, and honestly, a beach setup like this is looking more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Thursday, July 30th, is all for the experts. We’re looking at an 12ft SSE swell on Thursday morning, with energy at 1960. The wind is light cross-offshore, so it’s going to be a raw, powerful ocean. This is not for the faint of heart. If you’re not a solid, experienced surfer, stay on the sand.

The following week has a couple of promising windows. Saturday, August 1st, starts with a glassy morning and 4ft SSE swell. It’s clean and fun. Sunday, August 2nd, is similar. But then the swell fades again.

Then, far out, on Wednesday, August 6th, there’s a monster swell. A 16ft south swell with a 12-second period, and it’s clean with offshore wind. The energy is off the charts (12919). This is a serious, big-wave event. Only for the most experienced, and only if the tide and sandbar line up. It’s a long way off, but it’s on the radar.

The Verdict: The best on offer is Saturday morning, July 25th, and Sunday morning, July 26th. Solid south swell, clean conditions, and plenty of energy. For a glassy, smaller session, Monday morning, July 27th, is a gem. The big stuff on August 6th is a promise for the brave, but it’s a long way off.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Wed morning, min 8°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Wed morning, fresh winds from the SW by Thu night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat afternoon, min 11°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light.

Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
Friday
24
Saturday
25
Sunday
26
Monday
27
Tuesday
28
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
0
0
1
0
2
4
2
!
3
1
2
3
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
ENE
10
1.1
ENE
10
0.9
ENE
9
0.9
ENE
9
0.8
ENE
9
1.6
SSW
6
1.9
S
10
1.8
S
9
2.1
S
13
1.7
S
11
1.4
S
10
1.2
S
11
1.8
S
11
1.4
S
10
1.3
S
9
1.1
S
9
0.9
S
9
0.8
S
8
0.6
S
8
0.5
S
9
0.2
S
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
210
205
153
116
92
201
683
561
1553
701
416
350
755
369
282
185
119
90
49
39
17
Wind (km/h)
10
NW
15
ESE
20
W
15
W
10
ESE
25
WSW
15
SW
10
ESE
15
WNW
10
WNW
10
NE
15
WSW
10
SW
5
SSE
5
W
5
SSW
5
ESE
10
NNE
5
N
20
ENE
10
WNW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
off
cross-on
off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
on
off
off
cross
glassy
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-off
High Tide
2:45PM1.31m
2:53AM0.93m
3:42PM1.32m
4:06AM0.89m
4:36PM1.36m
5:13AM0.89m
5:27PM1.40m
6:08AM0.93m
6:12PM1.46m
6:53AM0.97m
6:54PM1.52m
7:33AM1.02m
7:32PM1.57m
Low Tide
9:26PM0.53m
8:42AM0.45m
10:38PM0.50m
9:37AM0.49m
11:38PM0.44m
10:34AM0.49m
00:26AM0.38m
11:27AM0.47m
1:07AM0.32m
12:15PM0.43m
1:44AM0.26m
12:57PM0.39m
2:19AM0.21m
part cloud
cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:52
6:50
6:50
6:50
6:50
6:48
6:48
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:07
5:07
5:08
5:09
5:09
5:10
5:12
 mm
3
Temp °C
20
18
17
18
18
12
13
13
11
17
18
14
13
15
15
14
16
16
15
17
16
Feels °C
18
14
13
16
15
5
10
10
7
15
15
9
10
13
14
13
14
14
13
14
14
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Lakes Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Lakes Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lakes Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lakes Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lakes Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lakes Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Lakes Beach is 11 km (7 miles) from the city of Catherine Hill Bay. If you plan a holiday in Newcastle, look for hotels and other accommodation in Catherine Hill Bay. Catherine Hill Bay has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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