Surf Forecasts:
Lakes Beach surf forecast from 7 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 8 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 10s period, S swell with 2,906 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 8 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lakes Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Lakes Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lakes Beach in the next 16 days are 4.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Tue 8th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Tue 8th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 13ft (4.0m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lakes Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright mate, let’s talk Lakes Beach in feet and miles per hour. It’s a sandbar spot for the advanced surfer only, wide open to the swell.
The next week or so is all over the shop, but there’s one proper window to lock in. Most days are blown out by massive lump, way beyond what a paddle surfer should be dealing with. The energy numbers are through the roof—like 1120 on Tuesday morning, and a whopping 2594 by Thursday afternoon—that’s some serious ocean power. The swell’s pushin’ 8 to 10ft, which is expert territory only. Wind is often cross-off, which would be dreamy, but the size makes it a closed-out, dangerous mess for anyone not a pro. Water’s about normal for the time of year.
The standout is Saturday the 12th in the morning. Glassy flat calm, no wind. You’ve got a 5ft SSE groundswell with a 10-second period, energy at 572. It’s not huge, but it’s clean, lined up, and perfect for a solid session. The afternoon stuffs it with onshore wind, so dawn patrol is the go.
Before that, Monday the 7th is a skip—small and choppy. Tuesday to Friday is all too big, over 8ft, with energy readings like 1120, 1273, and 2594. Clean wind but the ocean’s just too angry. Wednesday morning the 9th drops to 4ft but the quality isn’t there.
After the Saturday window, it goes tiny. Sunday the 13th onwards has waves from 2ft down to 1ft, with onshore or side-shore breezes killing any chance of a wave. Wednesday the 16th morning shows a 5ft pulse with light air, but the wind is onshore and it’s only marginal. Then Thursday the 17th afternoon roars back with a 15ft monster, energy of 5080—again, just too big. Friday through Saturday the 18th–19th are similar, heavy and dangerous, then it fades into small, messy junk from the 20th to the 22nd.
Bottom line: Saturday morning the 12th is your one shot—glassy 5ft SSE with no wind. Everything else is either a beast or a dud. For a beach break like this, you grab that clean window and go.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 17°C on Mon afternoon, min 11°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNE on Tue night, strong winds from the S by Wed afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 19°C on Sun morning, min 12°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Thu afternoon, calm by Sat morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 9 | S 8 | S 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | S 10 | SSE 9 | S 10 | S 10 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 396 | 1029 | 1112 | 588 | 477 | 165 | 1037 | 2906 | 1633 | 2319 | 1869 | 1260 | 845 | 567 | 492 | 485 | 231 | 193 | 130 | 94 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | on | cross | cross-on | on | cross-off |
High Tide | 5:00PM1.56m | 5:57AM1.12m | 5:57PM1.63m | 6:45AM1.22m | 6:46PM1.66m | 7:28AM1.31m | 7:31PM1.65m | 8:07AM1.40m | 8:14PM1.59m | 8:44AM1.46m | 8:54PM1.50m | 9:21AM1.49m | 9:34PM1.38m | |||||||
Low Tide | 11:54PM0.15m | 11:29AM0.35m | 00:41AM0.08m | 12:24PM0.27m | 1:23AM0.04m | 1:14PM0.21m | 2:00AM0.03m | 2:01PM0.17m | 2:35AM0.06m | 2:47PM0.17m | 3:07AM0.11m | 3:31PM0.19m | 3:39AM0.19m | |||||||
 |  |  | |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | |  | |
 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — |
 | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — |
mm | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 19 | 18 | 17 |
Feels °C | 13 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 9 | E 11 | E 10 | SSE 8 | SSE 9 | S 8 | ESE 13 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | S 22 | SSE 22 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | S 10 | SSE 9 | S 10 | NE 5 |
| kJ | 396 | 9 | 8 | 588 | 477 | 165 | 17 | 47 | 38 | 249 | 48 | 1260 | 845 | 567 | 492 | 485 | 231 | 193 | 130 | 57 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | — | — | E 10 | E 10 | SE 7 | E 18 | S 26 | S 23 | SE 9 | E 15 | E 15 | E 14 | E 13 | S 19 | S 18 | S 20 | S 18 | S 17 | S 10 |
| kJ | 8 | — | — | 8 | 7 | 51 | 6 | 13 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 61 | 97 | 74 | 58 | 50 | 94 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 8 | — | — | NE 9 | E 15 | E 9 | E 17 | NE 16 | E 16 | E 15 | E 18 | S 21 | ENE 14 | E 8 | ENE 14 | ENE 14 | ENE 13 | ENE 13 | ENE 13 | E 13 |
| kJ | 2 | — | — | 3 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 1 | 19 | 18 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 13 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | S 8 | S 9 | — | — | NW 3 | S 8 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | — | — | — | — | NE 2 | NE 4 | NNE 4 | ENE 4 | NE 5 |
| kJ | 9 | 1029 | 1112 | — | — | 1 | 1037 | 2906 | 1633 | 2319 | 1869 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 18 | 7 | 34 | 85 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 38 | 170 | 170 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 731 | 143 | 54 | 168 | 1 | 1 | 179 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 4 | 4 | 182 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lakes Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lakes Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lakes Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lakes Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lakes Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lakes Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lakes Beach is 11 km (7 miles) from the city of Catherine Hill Bay. If you plan a holiday in Newcastle, look for hotels and other accommodation in Catherine Hill Bay. Catherine Hill Bay has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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