Surf Forecasts:
Lakes Beach surf forecast from 12 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 16 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 9s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 16 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 10s period, S swell with 4,050 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 15 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 6s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lakes Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Lakes Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lakes Beach in the next 16 days are 4.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Tue 15th Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Wed 16th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Wed 16th Sep) | 15ft (4.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lakes Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Looks like we’re in for a proper blank run at Lakes Beach for the first few days. Nothing doing Sunday the 13th through till Monday the 14th – just onshore junk and tiny, messy waves. It’s not worth paddling out.
The week kicks off with a tease Tuesday the 15th morning. A tiny 2ft NE swell crosses through with clean conditions and light offshore vibes, but the combined energy is weak (78). It’s surfable but pretty ordinary. That’s about it for the day.
Now, Wednesday the 16th morning through Thursday the 17th afternoon brings a massive pulse of Southerly swell, jumping to 10ft to 13ft, with moderate energy readings (1703 to 3232). The wind stays clean and cross-off, which sounds ideal, but it’s simply too big for this break. This is expert-only territory – if you’re not a seasoned charger, sit this one out.
Friday the 18th settles down to 5ft to 5ft from the SE with an 11-second period, but the wind is onshore or cross-onshore, making for marginal, iffy conditions.
Here’s your standout window: Saturday the 19th morning. The swell drops to a clean 4ft out of the SE, period at 11 seconds, with glassy conditions and combined energy reading a solid 698. It’s not huge, but it’s the cleanest wave of the whole outlook. A rare little gem.
After that, Sunday the 20th onward fades fast – tiny swells, onshore wind, and mostly poor surf. There’s a small window Monday the 28th morning and afternoon where a 5ft S swell shows up with clean cross-off wind, but the energy is moderate (405 to 366) and the period is short (8 seconds). It’s better than nothing, but not a standout.
Overall, the only real highlight is Saturday the 19th morning. Mark it in your calendar.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Warm (max 23°C on Mon morning, min 11°C on Tue night). Mainly strong winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri morning, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SSW on Wed morning, light winds from the N by Fri morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 11 | NE 6 | S 12 | S 11 | NE 6 | NE 6 | ENE 7 | S 7 | S 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 9 | SE 11 | SE 11 | ESE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | S 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 164 | 184 | 170 | 129 | 82 | 136 | 42 | 29 | 567 | 1663 | 3232 | 3700 | 2194 | 1919 | 847 | 458 | 582 | 475 | 268 | 134 | 111 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-on | on | cross-off | glassy | on | off |
High Tide | 9:34PM1.38m | 9:57AM1.49m | 10:13PM1.25m | 10:34AM1.46m | 10:54PM1.12m | 11:13AM1.40m | 11:39PM1.01m | 11:59AM1.34m | 00:34AM0.92m | 12:54PM1.27m | 1:48AM0.86m | 2:04PM1.24m | 3:16AM0.87m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 3:31PM0.19m | 3:39AM0.19m | 4:15PM0.24m | 4:10AM0.28m | 5:01PM0.31m | 4:42AM0.37m | 5:51PM0.39m | 5:18AM0.46m | 6:50PM0.46m | 6:02AM0.53m | 8:02PM0.50m | 7:03AM0.59m | 9:21PM0.50m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | | | |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:56 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — |
 | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 18 | 17 | 23 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 17 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 22 | 22 | 20 |
Feels °C | 14 | 12 | 13 | 19 | 18 | 19 | 21 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 17 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 11 | NE 6 | S 12 | S 11 | NE 6 | NE 6 | ENE 7 | NE 7 | ENE 14 | — | — | E 13 | S 19 | SSE 9 | SE 11 | SE 11 | ESE 11 | SE 11 | S 9 | S 9 |
| kJ | 164 | 184 | 109 | 129 | 82 | 88 | 42 | 29 | 11 | 20 | — | — | 3 | 7 | 847 | 458 | 582 | 475 | 268 | 130 | 111 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 5 | S 15 | S 10 | NE 6 | ENE 12 | S 10 | S 10 | S 4 | E 14 | ENE 14 | — | — | NE 13 | E 13 | ESE 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | SE 10 | NE 5 |
| kJ | 15 | 41 | 136 | 33 | 15 | 50 | 30 | 7 | 15 | 20 | — | — | 7 | 3 | 235 | 257 | 214 | 340 | 168 | 134 | 18 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 17 | ENE 13 | ENE 13 | ENE 13 | — | E 12 | NE 13 | S 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 13 | S 18 | S 18 | S 17 | S 16 | S 15 | SE 9 |
| kJ | 53 | 17 | 17 | 17 | — | 12 | 6 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 6 | 24 | 86 | 262 | 106 | 37 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 5 | ENE 5 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 5 | NE 6 | — | — | S 7 | S 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | — | — | — | — | — | ENE 3 | — |
| kJ | 22 | 80 | 170 | 66 | 80 | 136 | — | — | 567 | 1663 | 3232 | 3700 | 2194 | 1919 | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 5 | 244 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 4 | 0 | 179 | 137 | 779 | 789 | 250 | 217 | 168 | 1 | 4 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lakes Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lakes Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lakes Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lakes Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lakes Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lakes Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lakes Beach is 11 km (7 miles) from the city of Catherine Hill Bay. If you plan a holiday in Newcastle, look for hotels and other accommodation in Catherine Hill Bay. Catherine Hill Bay has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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