Surf Forecasts:
Lakes Beach surf forecast from 4 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 5 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 11s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 5 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 13s period, S swell with 3,405 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 4 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 9s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lakes Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Lakes Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 04) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lakes Beach in the next 16 days are 3.5m 13s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Friday (Jul 10) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7PM (Sat 4th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Sun 5th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Sun 5th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lakes Beach over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, let’s get into it for Lakes Beach. It’s a bit of a strange run, to be honest. The water temp is reading about 67°, which is pretty much what you’d expect this time of year.
First real action hits this Saturday morning (July 4th). You’ve got a clean 5ft S swell rolling in, period a solid 11 seconds, with a light offshore breeze grooming it up. The combined swell energy is a healthy moderate at 529. It’s not a beast, but it’s clean and very surfable. That’s your one for the weekend if you want a fun paddle without getting hammered.
Then we get into the heavy stuff. Sunday morning (July 5th) through to about Thursday (July 9th), the swell jumps right up to 10ft from the S, still with that 11-second period, and the combined energy goes ballistic at 2334. It’s clean with a cross-off wind, but at this size, it’s just for the hardcore experts. It stays in the 7ft to 10ft range all week, a real mackerel factory.
We get a bit of a drop on Saturday (July 11th) with a clean 5ft SE swell and light offshore winds, combined energy at 476. It’s a good, solid size and way more manageable than the week before.
After that, the tank runs dry. From Sunday (July 12th) right through to Friday (July 17th), it’s tiny. We’re looking at waves mostly under 2ft with very low energy, so you’re looking at a solid stretch of flat, boring conditions. A few days are barely worth a paddle.
But then, save the best (or biggest) for last. The end of the forecast window is absolutely nuts. Saturday July 18th afternoon jumps to 10ft S swell, and Sunday July 19th is the monster: a 16ft S swell with an 11-second period. The combined swell energy is a mind-blowing 5928. That is a massive, heavy groundswell. The wind will be light and clean, but at that size, it’s a serious safety hazard for anyone without top-level experience. This beach is going to be a washing machine. For the average surfer, this setup looks way more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
So, for the true standout where you can actually surf without risking your neck, go for this Saturday morning (July 4th) or next Saturday (July 11th). The huge swell at the end of the window is something to dream about, but it’s a long way off and can change.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Sat night. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon morning, min 12°C on Sat morning). Winds increasing (calm on Sat afternoon, fresh winds from the SSE by Sun afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Tue night. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue morning, min 12°C on Tue night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | S 11 | S 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SE 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 501 | 220 | 152 | 2319 | 1917 | 2119 | 1422 | 1263 | 1325 | 1569 | 2102 | 1978 | 1843 | 1532 | 1450 | 1067 | 924 | 886 | 1144 | 980 | 650 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | on | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:11AM1.10m | 10:54PM1.46m | 11:55AM1.14m | 11:35PM1.39m | 12:42PM1.19m | 00:21AM1.30m | 1:34PM1.25m | 1:18AM1.20m | 2:29PM1.33m | 2:25AM1.12m | 3:27PM1.43m | 3:41AM1.07m | 4:26PM1.53m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:36PM0.46m | 5:41AM0.19m | 5:25PM0.50m | 6:18AM0.20m | 6:22PM0.52m | 6:59AM0.22m | 7:29PM0.53m | 7:46AM0.24m | 8:44PM0.49m | 8:39AM0.27m | 10:00PM0.41m | 9:38AM0.29m | 11:12PM0.30m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | | | | | | |  | |  | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — |
 | — | 4:58 | — | — | 4:58 | — | — | 4:59 | — | — | 4:59 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — |
mm | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 14 |
Feels °C | 13 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | E 8 | S 16 | E 13 | E 14 | E 13 | E 13 | — | S 17 | SE 11 | ESE 15 | ESE 13 | ESE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SE 10 |
| kJ | 501 | 220 | 152 | 11 | 503 | 13 | 16 | 14 | 14 | — | 5 | 1978 | 86 | 225 | 109 | 1067 | 924 | 886 | 1144 | 980 | 650 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 7 | S 12 | S 12 | ENE 7 | E 8 | — | E 14 | E 13 | — | — | — | S 16 | ESE 15 | S 16 | S 20 | S 23 | ESE 10 | SE 15 | — | S 20 | S 21 |
| kJ | 14 | 74 | 132 | 4 | 11 | — | 15 | 14 | — | — | — | 20 | 121 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 58 | 171 | — | 7 | 9 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 13 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | — | NE 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 18 | S 17 | S 21 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 14 | 10 | 18 | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 6 | 8 | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | S 11 | S 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | — | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 2319 | 1917 | 2119 | 1422 | 1263 | 1325 | 1569 | 2102 | — | 1843 | 1532 | 1450 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 1 | 0 | 137 | 283 | 283 | 241 | 179 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 47 | 43 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Lakes Beach surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Lakes Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lakes Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lakes Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lakes Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lakes Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lakes Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lakes Beach is 11 km (7 miles) from the city of Catherine Hill Bay. If you plan a holiday in Newcastle, look for hotels and other accommodation in Catherine Hill Bay. Catherine Hill Bay has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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