
Surf Forecasts:
Lakes Beach surf forecast from 9 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 10 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, S swell with 1,524 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 10 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lakes Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Lakes Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 23s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lakes Beach in the next 16 days are 3.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lakes Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G'day, I'm Rusty. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for Lakes Beach.
The whole 16-day window is a bit of a mixed bag. We've got a few moments that could be really good, but this spot is for advanced surfers only. It's exposed to the swell, and when it gets big, it gets real big. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so nothing to write home about there.
The first real chance to get wet comes in on Thursday the 10th of September. There's a solid 8ft S swell running, with a combined energy of 1110, that's a lot of power. The wind is cross-off, so the faces will be clean. But, mate, at 8ft, this is only for the experts. It's a big, powerful wave. The period is 9 seconds, so it's a bit of a windswell, not a classic groundswell, but it's got the size. The afternoon holds the same size and energy (1370), with a longer period of 10 seconds and a cross-off wind. Still, it's too big for anyone but the experienced crew. Crowds are sometimes a problem here, so be prepared to share the peak if you're out.
Friday the 11th looks better. The swell drops to 6ft from the S, with energy at 693. The wind is a lighter cross-off, which is perfect for clean waves. The morning is the pick. The afternoon sees it drop to 6ft, but the wind turns cross-shore, so it gets a bit of chop.
Now, Saturday the 12th is the standout. The morning is glassy. The wind is a light SSE at 5 km/h, and the swell is a clean 4ft from the S, with a glorious 12-second period. That's a proper groundswell. The energy is 611, so it's got some push. Combined with the glassy conditions, this is the best session on offer. It's a manageable size, good shape, and clean. Get out there early. The afternoon degrades as the wind turns onshore.
Sunday the 13th and Monday the 14th are write-offs. The swell drops away and the wind is nasty onshore. We've got a few days of nothing.
Wednesday the 16th sees a bit of a pulse. A 5ft S swell comes in with a short 8-second period, and energy of 668. The wind is cross-shore, so it's a bit lumpy. It's surfable, but not great.
After that, it goes quiet again until a wildcard pops up. On Saturday the 19th of September, a huge 12ft S swell arrives, with a massive energy of 2309. The wind is onshore, though, so it's going to be a messy, dangerous beast. Only for the absolute best, and even then, it's a kite-surfing day if you ask me. The afternoon is even worse with a 35 km/h onshore wind.
The rest of the window is a mix of marginal slop and onshore junk. There's a small window on Sunday the 20th with a 5ft S swell and energy of 600, but the wind is messy. The 25th of September, Friday morning, has a clean 4ft S swell with a cross-off wind and energy of 470. It's a small, clean wave for the experts.
So, the call is clear: Saturday the 12th morning is the absolute best. Glassy, clean groundswell. Thursday the 10th is for the hardcore crew only. Everything else is a gamble.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat afternoon, min 13°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Tue afternoon. Warm (max 26°C on Mon morning, min 15°C on Tue afternoon). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | S 12 | SSE 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | NE 6 | S 10 | E 13 | S 9 | S 9 | S 10 | S 11 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
992 | 1070 | 1034 | 701 | 539 | 378 | 480 | 370 | 196 | 158 | 184 | 180 | 125 | 81 | 92 | 30 | 14 | 675 | 483 | 530 | 451 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off | glassy | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross | cross | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 7:31PM1.65m | 8:07AM1.40m | 8:14PM1.59m | 8:44AM1.46m | 8:54PM1.50m | 9:21AM1.49m | 9:34PM1.38m | 9:57AM1.49m | 10:13PM1.25m | 10:34AM1.46m | 10:54PM1.12m | 11:13AM1.40m | 11:39PM1.01m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:14PM0.21m | 2:00AM0.03m | 2:01PM0.17m | 2:35AM0.06m | 2:47PM0.17m | 3:07AM0.11m | 3:31PM0.19m | 3:39AM0.19m | 4:15PM0.24m | 4:10AM0.28m | 5:01PM0.31m | 4:42AM0.37m | 5:51PM0.39m | ||||||||
6:01 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | |
— | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 26 | 24 | 23 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 |
Feels °C | 9 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 22 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | S 12 | SSE 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | NE 6 | S 11 | S 11 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 6 | E 14 | S 9 | S 10 | S 11 |
992 | 249 | 1034 | 701 | 539 | 378 | 480 | 370 | 194 | 158 | 184 | 69 | 125 | 81 | 58 | 18 | 5 | 15 | 483 | 530 | 451 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | SE 9 | SSE 22 | E 10 | E 14 | S 18 | SSE 19 | S 17 | S 20 | ENE 4 | ENE 13 | S 12 | NE 6 | ENE 12 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 17 | S 15 | E 12 | E 13 |
25 | 23 | 48 | 2 | 14 | 27 | 122 | 151 | 196 | 5 | 17 | 180 | 24 | 15 | 48 | 30 | 7 | 6 | 116 | 12 | 13 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 23 | E 9 | E 10 | E 15 | E 9 | E 13 | ENE 14 | ENE 14 | ENE 13 | S 17 | ENE 13 | ENE 13 | ENE 13 | — | E 12 | E 13 | E 13 | ENE 13 | E 14 | NE 5 | ENE 13 |
93 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 18 | 16 | 52 | 17 | 17 | 17 | — | 12 | 13 | 14 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 17 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 10 | — | — | — | — | — | ENE 3 | ENE 4 | NE 4 | ENE 4 | NE 6 | NNW 3 | NE 5 | NE 6 | S 4 | SSE 6 | S 9 | — | — | — |
— | 1070 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 11 | 5 | 37 | 114 | 4 | 77 | 92 | 13 | 151 | 675 | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 432 | 4 | 5 | 459 | 4 | 4 | 114 | 0 | 133 | 217 | 250 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lakes Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lakes Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lakes Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lakes Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lakes Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lakes Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lakes Beach is 11 km (7 miles) from the city of Catherine Hill Bay. If you plan a holiday in Newcastle, look for hotels and other accommodation in Catherine Hill Bay. Catherine Hill Bay has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










