
Surf Forecasts:
Lakes Beach surf forecast from 5 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 5 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 12s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 5 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 12s period, S swell with 3,254 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 5 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 12s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lakes Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Lakes Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lakes Beach in the next 16 days are 3.5m 12s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Friday (Jul 10) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Sun 5th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Sun 5th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Sun 5th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lakes Beach over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the pipe for Lakes Beach. I gotta be straight with you – this stretch is a bit of a mixed bag, and it’s going to take some patience.
Right off the bat, we’re in a tricky spot. For the first few days, the swell is just too powerful for this sandbar setup. We’re looking at waves around 10 ft and bigger, with a very high combined swell energy reading (3116). That’s a lot of water moving around, and for Lakes Beach, that’s not friendly – it’s big and unruly, really only for experts, and even then, it’s going to be a handful. The water temp is sitting at 67°F which is about normal for this time of year, nothing wild.
The saving grace on Thursday morning, July 9th is some proper glassy conditions with a light offshore wind from the SW at 9 mph. The swell drops a bit to 7 ft from the SE, but the energy is still solid at (873). It’s still big, but cleaner. That morning window is your best bet in this early period if you’re skilled and hungry.
The real standout for the everyday surfer finally shows up Friday morning, July 10th. The swell settles to a more manageable 6 ft from the SSE, and we get that beautiful offshore flow from the SW at 9 mph. The combined energy drops to a more friendly (671), and the whole vibe is set for clean, lined-up waves. This is the one to circle on the calendar – it’s not epic, but it’s good, clean, and rideable without getting smashed.
Saturday morning, July 11th is also worth a mention for the lighter crowd. Swell drops further to 4 ft from the SE, wind is light from the NW at 6 mph, and it’s clean. It’s smaller but fun for a longer board.
After that, things go quiet. From Saturday afternoon on July 11th through to Wednesday, July 15th, we get a run of poor surf conditions – small, weak, and choppy. There’s a solid gap there where you’re better off doing something else.
Then the energy ramps back up hard. Thursday, July 16th sees a massive 10 ft swell from the S with offshore wind, but again, it’s just too much for this spot. That big pulse continues all the way through Monday, July 20th, with waves over 8 ft and energy readings in the thousands. It’s a powerful, intimidating period. The long-period groundswell coming in on Friday afternoon, July 17th (up to 16 seconds and energy at 5218) will have that heavy, straight-breaking energy that makes a beach break like this a real challenge. For that entire second week, unless you are a very experienced charger, you’re going to be on the beach watching.
So, to wrap it up: Friday the 10th is your golden window for a proper, clean session. Thursday the 9th morning is for the brave. The rest of the time, it’s either too small and messy or way too big. Stay patient.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 21mm), heaviest during Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun afternoon, min 13°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Wed night. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat morning, min 12°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sun 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SSE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1862 | 2496 | 1844 | 1658 | 1816 | 2119 | 2904 | 2211 | 1467 | 1493 | 1039 | 828 | 750 | 599 | 511 | 794 | 507 | 287 | 215 | 167 | 170 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross |
High Tide | 11:35PM1.39m | 12:42PM1.19m | 00:21AM1.30m | 1:34PM1.25m | 1:18AM1.20m | 2:29PM1.33m | 2:25AM1.12m | 3:27PM1.43m | 3:41AM1.07m | 4:26PM1.53m | 4:57AM1.05m | 5:24PM1.64m | 6:06AM1.07m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:25PM0.50m | 6:18AM0.20m | 6:22PM0.52m | 6:59AM0.22m | 7:29PM0.53m | 7:46AM0.24m | 8:44PM0.49m | 8:39AM0.27m | 10:00PM0.41m | 9:38AM0.29m | 11:12PM0.30m | 10:39AM0.30m | 00:15AM0.17m | 11:38AM0.28m | |||||||
— | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | |
4:58 | — | — | 4:59 | — | — | 4:59 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | 5:01 | |
mm | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 19 |
Feels °C | 9 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 14 | E 13 | E 14 | E 14 | — | SE 14 | — | S 15 | SE 11 | ESE 13 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 8 | ESE 11 |
1243 | 14 | 16 | 15 | — | 416 | — | 18 | 1467 | 257 | 1039 | 828 | 750 | 599 | 511 | 794 | 507 | 287 | 215 | 132 | 170 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | — | E 14 | E 14 | — | — | — | — | ESE 14 | S 16 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | S 20 | SE 12 | S 19 | S 21 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | SSE 9 |
11 | — | 16 | 15 | — | — | — | — | 352 | 5 | 69 | 39 | 33 | 8 | 153 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 57 | 167 | 50 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 18 | S 17 | S 20 | S 19 | — | — | S 16 | ESE 15 | — | S 15 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 6 | 8 | 7 | — | — | 5 | 42 | — | 4 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SE 11 | — | SSE 11 | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 3 | W 3 | — | — | NNW 3 | NNW 3 |
1862 | 2496 | 1844 | 1658 | 1816 | 2119 | 2904 | 2211 | — | 1493 | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 1 | — | — | 4 | 1 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 283 | 283 | 305 | 179 | 1 | 1 | 54 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lakes Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lakes Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lakes Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lakes Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lakes Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lakes Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lakes Beach is 11 km (7 miles) from the city of Catherine Hill Bay. If you plan a holiday in Newcastle, look for hotels and other accommodation in Catherine Hill Bay. Catherine Hill Bay has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











