
Surf Forecasts:
Lakes Beach surf forecast from 9 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 15 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 7s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 17 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 12s period, SSE swell with 10,775 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 10 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 9s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lakes Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Lakes Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lakes Beach in the next 16 days are 6.0m 12s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Fri 10th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Wed 15th Jul) | 8ft (2.4m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 20ft (6.0m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lakes Beach over the next 16 days.
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about Lakes Beach.
We’ve got a solid run of surf kicking off Friday July 10 with a clean, punchy SE groundswell. Friday morning sees 6 ft of SE swell rolling in with a 10‑second period, light offshore wind from the WSW, and the water’s glassy clean. The combined energy is moderate (634) – plenty of grunt for an advanced sandbar. By afternoon it drops a touch to 6 ft but goes glassy with a light SSE breeze. That Friday is the standout of the whole outlook – consistent, powerful, and clean. Crowds are possible, so get in early.
Saturday July 11 still has some fun waves: morning offers 4 ft SE swell, period 9 seconds, cross‑off wind from the NW, clean but a step down in size. Afternoon gets a bit weaker and the wind picks up to 12 mph from the NNW, marginal. Sunday and Monday drop right off – tiny, poor conditions, barely worth a paddle.
Then things go mental. From Tuesday July 15 through Sunday July 20, the swell builds dramatically – 8 ft on Wednesday morning, then 12 ft, 13 ft, 15 ft, and eventually a massive 18 ft on Friday and Saturday. The energy readings are through the roof (594 up to 9198), and the wind is often offshore or cross‑off, but the wave comment says it’s too big for this break – even for advanced surfers. This is more of a show than a go. If you’re an expert and have a death wish, maybe, but honestly it’s a kite‑surfing setup. The period hits 12‑13 seconds on the biggest days, so it’s a long‑period groundswell – at a sandbar it’ll close out and be nasty. Skip that week unless you’re in a boat.
After the blowout, Monday July 20 afternoon brings things back. 5 ft of SE swell, period 10 seconds, clean with a gentle cross‑off from the NW. The combined energy is moderate (508) and conditions are good. This is your second‑week standout – promising, but long‑range so a bit less certain. Tuesday July 21 morning has a smaller 4 ft SE swell, offshore wind from the W, clean but weak. Then it fades again until Thursday July 23 morning: a glassy 4 ft S swell with period 8 seconds – short period but clean. Not huge but fun for the advanced crew. Afternoon gets onshore and messy.
Saturday July 25 morning sees another big pulse – 12 ft S swell, 13‑second period, offshore wind – but again too big for this break. So overall, the best bet is this Friday July 10 morning and afternoon. Second pick is Monday July 20 afternoon. Keep an eye on the long‑range – it’s promising but not locked in.
– Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat afternoon, min 12°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Very mild (max 18°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Mon morning, strong winds from the SSW by Wed afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thu 16 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | SE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SSW 7 | S 7 | SSW 11 | SSW 8 | S 7 | S 9 | SSW 11 | SSW 7 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
502 | 627 | 592 | 408 | 220 | 234 | 225 | 109 | 51 | 45 | 35 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 574 | 2174 | 1631 | 2366 | 4097 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 3:41AM1.07m | 4:26PM1.53m | 4:57AM1.05m | 5:24PM1.64m | 6:06AM1.07m | 6:19PM1.74m | 7:08AM1.11m | 7:13PM1.82m | 8:03AM1.14m | 8:04PM1.86m | 8:55AM1.18m | 8:54PM1.85m | 9:44AM1.21m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:38AM0.29m | 11:12PM0.30m | 10:39AM0.30m | 00:15AM0.17m | 11:38AM0.28m | 1:13AM0.06m | 12:36PM0.26m | 2:06AM-0.02m | 1:30PM0.24m | 2:56AM-0.06m | 2:23PM0.23m | 3:43AM-0.06m | 3:15PM0.24m | ||||||||
— | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | |
— | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:04 | |
mm | 5 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 14 | 17 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 15 |
Feels °C | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 8 | SE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SSW 7 | S 7 | S 6 | SSW 8 | S 7 | S 7 | SSW 11 | S 16 | S 17 | S 16 | — | — |
502 | 627 | 592 | 408 | 220 | 132 | 225 | 109 | 51 | 45 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 23 | 20 | 5 | 20 | — | — | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 14 | S 19 | S 21 | ESE 15 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | S 15 | SE 8 | SSE 8 | ESE 9 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | E 10 | — | — | — | — | — |
114 | 7 | 8 | 42 | 210 | 234 | 4 | 17 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | — | S 15 | S 17 | S 15 | S 16 | S 15 | NNW 4 | S 12 | SE 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | SE 8 | S 16 | — | S 18 | — | — | — | — | — |
5 | — | 4 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 5 | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | N 2 | NNW 3 | WSW 4 | SW 6 | W 4 | WNW 3 | NW 3 | W 3 | WNW 3 | — | SW 5 | SSW 7 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 |
— | — | — | — | — | 1 | 4 | 23 | 47 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | — | 33 | 574 | 2174 | 1631 | 2366 | 4097 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 82 | 221 | 168 | 54 | 168 | 217 | 54 | 1 | 1 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lakes Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lakes Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lakes Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lakes Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lakes Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lakes Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lakes Beach is 11 km (7 miles) from the city of Catherine Hill Bay. If you plan a holiday in Newcastle, look for hotels and other accommodation in Catherine Hill Bay. Catherine Hill Bay has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











