Lakes Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.25° S 151.56° E

Lakes Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 27 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Lakes Beach sea temperature is
18.2° C
0.1° 

Lakes Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Lakes Beach surf forecast from 27 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 31 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 11s period, S swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 30 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 12s period, S swell with 1,113 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 28 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 8s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lakes Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Lakes Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Lakes Beach in the next 16 days are 2.0m 12s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 30) at 1AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Tue 28th Jul)2.5ft (0.7m) 8s
Best Surf 1AM (Fri 31st Jul)7ft (2.1m) 11s
Most Powerful10PM (Thu 30th Jul)6.5ft (2.0m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lakes Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, let’s break it down for Lakes Beach. This is a sandbar spot, open to the south, so it can fire if the conditions line up. Water temp’s around 65°F, about average for this time of year.

Monday morning the 27th of July is glassy with a clean 4ft south swell, period around 9 seconds, moderate energy at 243. That’s surfable, but the afternoon gets blown out from the onshore breeze, so it’s a short window. Nothing special. Tuesday’s tiny and weak, Wednesday’s basically flat with a long-period groundswell but no size. Then a gap until Thursday the 30th.

Thursday the 30th morning is the first real shout. Clean, light offshore wind from the SW, a solid 6ft south swell at 10 seconds, energy up to 675. That’s a good, moderate push and the water’s clean. This’ll give you some nice lined-up waves for the experienced surfer. Afternoon gets a bit messy with a cross-shore chop, so go early.

Friday the 31st morning looks too big – 7ft south swell at 11 seconds, energy at 1681, that’s strong. But it’s too much for this break, says the file. Expert-only at best, and even then, it’s rough.

Saturday the 1st of August has a clean 5ft SSE swell with a light offshore in the morning, energy around 349. That’s a fun, manageable size, not a monstrous standout but a solid session. Afternoon goes onshore, so morning it is.

Then there’s a long flat spell from Sunday the 2nd through to mid-week. Small swell, weak energy, strong winds ruining the surface. Not worth your time.

Thursday the 6th morning has a 6ft south swell with offshore wind, energy at 464, and the report says very good conditions for the afternoon. That’s a decent pick.

Friday the 7th is too big again, 7ft to 8ft, energy over 1300, too much for Lakes. Same for the 8th with 10ft – that’s kite-surfing territory, not paddling.

The real standout? Thursday morning the 30th of July. Clean 6ft south swell, light offshore, moderate energy – that’s your best bet. Saturday the 1st of August morning is a close second. For the second week, Thursday the 6th afternoon has potential but it’s less certain with that 1.7m swell.

So, gaps are long here. A couple of solid mornings in the first week, then a big swell that’s too much, then one clean afternoon. Don’t plan a trip around the second week.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri night, min 10°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light.

Monday
27
Tuesday
28
Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
!
!
2
3
2
1
2
1
0
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
S
9
1.1
S
9
0.9
S
8
0.6
S
8
0.4
S
9
0.2
S
15
0.2
S
17
0.1
S
16
0.3
NE
6
1.9
S
10
1.7
S
9
2.1
S
11
2.1
S
11
1.9
S
10
1.8
S
10
1.4
SSE
9
1.4
SSE
9
1.3
SSE
10
1.2
SSE
10
1.2
SSE
10
1
SSE
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
235
185
108
41
24
17
23
5
6
668
501
1085
974
696
593
340
300
278
281
277
206
Wind (km/h)
5
S
10
ENE
15
NNW
10
NW
20
NNW
15
NW
20
WNW
20
WSW
20
SW
10
SW
15
SSE
10
WSW
10
SW
15
S
10
SW
10
SW
10
E
10
NW
10
NNW
20
ENE
15
NW
Wind State
glassy
on
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
off
cross
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross
on
cross-off
High Tide
6:54PM1.52m
7:33AM1.02m
7:32PM1.57m
8:10AM1.07m
8:08PM1.60m
8:46AM1.11m
8:43PM1.60m
9:22AM1.16m
9:17PM1.58m
9:58AM1.20m
9:52PM1.53m
10:36AM1.25m
10:28PM1.45m
Low Tide
12:15PM0.43m
1:44AM0.26m
12:57PM0.39m
2:19AM0.21m
1:38PM0.36m
2:52AM0.17m
2:16PM0.34m
3:24AM0.14m
2:56PM0.34m
3:55AM0.13m
3:36PM0.35m
4:26AM0.13m
4:19PM0.37m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:48
6:48
6:48
6:47
6:46
6:45
6:45
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:10
5:12
5:12
5:13
5:14
5:14
5:15
 mm
Temp °C
14
16
16
19
20
15
16
18
11
13
13
13
14
14
15
14
15
15
17
18
17
Feels °C
13
13
13
15
14
10
10
12
5
9
9
10
11
10
13
12
12
12
14
13
13
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Lakes Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Lakes Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lakes Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lakes Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lakes Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lakes Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Lakes Beach is 11 km (7 miles) from the city of Catherine Hill Bay. If you plan a holiday in Newcastle, look for hotels and other accommodation in Catherine Hill Bay. Catherine Hill Bay has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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