
Surf Forecasts:
Lakes Beach surf forecast from 8 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 9 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, S swell with 2,521 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 9 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 9s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lakes Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Lakes Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lakes Beach in the next 16 days are 3.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Wed 9th Sep) | 5ft (1.6m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Wed 9th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lakes Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it for Lakes Beach.
Right off the bat, we’ve got a bit of a slow start. Wednesday the 9th of September serves up a little 4ft groundswell from the south, period a short 8 seconds, with a light cross-offshore breeze. The combined energy is weak (224), so it’s not a total write-off, but it’s really just a warm-up. The morning is clean, but the afternoon gets ugly real fast – a 25 mph southerly turns that 8ft swell into a washing machine, so skip that.
Thursday the 10th sees a bigger pulse of 8ft south swell with a bit more period, 9 seconds, and a moderate energy reading (1212). The wind is cross-off and light, but the swell is just too big for this spot – it’s an advanced-only affair. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, so no shock there.
Friday the 11th is honestly the pick of the first week. The swell drops to a more manageable 6ft, still from the south, period 10 seconds, and the energy is solid (703). The wind stays light cross-off, keeping it clean. That morning session is where it’s at. The afternoon holds similar 6ft surf, but it’s a bit smaller. This is your best bet for a good, accessible wave.
The weekend falls apart. Saturday the 12th morning is messy with a cross-onshore wind, and the afternoon is blown out completely. Sunday and Monday are flat and onshore. The whole stretch from Saturday afternoon through to Monday afternoon is a write-off.
Things perk up again on Wednesday the 16th. The morning is glassy with a 3ft south swell, but the period is a very long 14 seconds, and the energy is surprisingly high at 711. That’s a groundswell with real punch. That long period will make it wall up nicely at the sandbar, but the sets will be less frequent. Get out there early for the glass.
The rest of the second week is a bit of a mixed bag. The morning of Thursday the 17th has a clean 4ft swell, but the wind is moderate. Thereafter, it’s mostly onshore, small, or just messy until the morning of Monday the 21st of September. That Monday morning shows a massive 10ft south swell with a combined energy of 2444, but it’s way too big for this break – experts only, and even then, it’s a handful. The afternoon of Tuesday the 22nd has a clean 6ft swell from the east-northeast with a short 6 second period, but it’s a weird, short-period windswell. The very end of the period, the 23rd and 24th, is just poor.
The standout: Without a doubt, Friday the 11th of September morning. Decent 6ft south swell, clean with light cross-offshore winds, and the best balance of size and quality. Get in the water.
The wildcard: Wednesday the 16th of September morning. Glassy conditions and a very long 14 second groundswell, but the size is only 3ft. It’ll be clean and powerful, but inconsistent.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed morning, min 11°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNE on Tue night, strong winds from the S by Wed afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Mon morning, min 13°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SE on Sat morning, fresh winds from the NE by Sun afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 9 | S 8 | S 7 | S 10 | S 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
477 | 165 | 716 | 2521 | 1075 | 1013 | 1076 | 697 | 602 | 432 | 326 | 390 | 194 | 127 | 146 | 206 | 172 | 112 | 75 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | glassy | cross-on | on | off |
High Tide | 6:45AM1.22m | 6:46PM1.66m | 7:28AM1.31m | 7:31PM1.65m | 8:07AM1.40m | 8:14PM1.59m | 8:44AM1.46m | 8:54PM1.50m | 9:21AM1.49m | 9:34PM1.38m | 9:57AM1.49m | 10:13PM1.25m | |||||||
Low Tide | 00:41AM0.08m | 12:24PM0.27m | 1:23AM0.04m | 1:14PM0.21m | 2:00AM0.03m | 2:01PM0.17m | 2:35AM0.06m | 2:47PM0.17m | 3:07AM0.11m | 3:31PM0.19m | 3:39AM0.19m | 4:15PM0.24m | |||||||
— | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 21 | 20 | 19 |
Feels °C | 13 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 16 | 15 | 17 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 9 | S 8 | ESE 13 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | S 22 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | NE 5 | S 12 | S 11 | ENE 6 |
477 | 165 | 17 | 48 | 38 | 247 | 1076 | 697 | 602 | 432 | 326 | 390 | 194 | 127 | 146 | 65 | 172 | 112 | 63 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | SE 7 | E 9 | S 25 | S 23 | ESE 9 | SSE 22 | E 10 | E 14 | S 18 | SSE 19 | S 18 | S 19 | S 16 | ENE 13 | S 13 | NE 5 | ENE 12 | S 10 |
7 | 53 | 7 | 12 | 93 | 17 | 48 | 2 | 14 | 26 | 118 | 160 | 190 | 47 | 17 | 206 | 14 | 15 | 75 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 15 | E 9 | E 17 | NE 16 | E 9 | E 9 | E 10 | E 15 | E 9 | E 13 | ENE 14 | ENE 14 | ENE 13 | ENE 13 | ENE 13 | ENE 13 | ENE 13 | — | E 12 |
4 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 18 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | — | 12 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NW 3 | S 7 | S 10 | S 9 | S 10 | — | — | — | — | — | ENE 2 | NE 4 | NE 4 | ENE 4 | NE 6 | — | ENE 5 | — |
— | 1 | 716 | 2521 | 1075 | 1013 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 16 | 4 | 32 | 88 | — | 56 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 731 | 143 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 38 | 4 | 5 | 234 | 0 | 4 | 112 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lakes Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lakes Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lakes Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lakes Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lakes Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lakes Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lakes Beach is 11 km (7 miles) from the city of Catherine Hill Bay. If you plan a holiday in Newcastle, look for hotels and other accommodation in Catherine Hill Bay. Catherine Hill Bay has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










