Lakes Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right off the bat, things are looking pretty bleak around here. We’ve got a stretch of nothing but mush and onshore slop to kick things off. Tuesday the 15th is a write-off, with tiny 0.7m NE windswell and a cross-shore breeze messing up the surface. Combined energy is a weak 70, and it’s just not doing anything for us. The next couple of days, the 16th and 17th, see a big pulse of south swell roll in, with size pushing 3.5m and the period stretching out to 10 seconds. That’s serious power, with combined energy jumping to 2045 and then 3193, but here’s the catch – it’s way too big for this spot and the wind, while offshore, is blowing a solid 35 km/h. It’s all power and no finesse, so for anyone but the most experienced chargers, it’s a pass. The break is just too exposed to handle that kind of size.

Thursday afternoon sees it back off a touch to 2.2m, but it’s still too much and the wind goes cross. Friday the 18th drops right back down to 1.5m, but the onshore wind kills it.

Now, Saturday the 19th is where things get interesting. We’ve got a clean 0.9m of south swell, with a 10-second period, and the morning is absolutely glassy with a light west wind. The combined energy is a modest 262, but when it’s that clean, you don’t need much. It’s not big, but it will be fun and workable. That’s a nice little window. Sunday the 20th flattens out again, back to 0.6m, and the onshore wind is back.

We go through a bit of a lull until Monday the 21st, where there’s a blip of cross-off wind but the swell is only 1.0m with a short 5-second period, so it’s not doing much. Monday afternoon, a new S swell fills in fast, jumping to 2.2m with a 10-second period and energy of 1070. It’s bigger, but the wind goes fresh cross-shore, making it lumpy. Not ideal. Tuesday the 22nd has some 2.0m SSE swell with an 11-second period, but the NE wind is on it, so the surface is poor.

From the 23rd through the 26th, it’s a mess. We’ve got onshore winds, mostly from the NE and ENE, blowing anywhere from 15 to 40 km/h, and the swell is either short-period, weak, or just messy. The 24th has some size at 1.7m but it’s a short 6-second ENE windswell and totally junk. The 27th sees a bit more size, 2.1m from the SE, but the wind is onshore and strong, and the wave comment says it all – poor surf conditions. The combined energy is 510, but it’s all blown out.

Finally, Tuesday the 29th brings a glimmer of hope. The morning has a clean 0.9m from the ENE with a true offshore wind, SW at 15 km/h. It’s not big, but it’s clean. The afternoon is a bit more size at 1.2m but the wind goes cross-off, and it’s a bit rain-soaked. Wednesday the 30th is a step back, with a cross-off but only 1.0m and a short 8-second period.

So, looking at the whole picture, we’ve got a long, flat, and messy stretch ahead. The only real standout is Saturday morning the 19th, where the glassy conditions will make that small 0.9m south swell feel way better than it looks. And maybe Tuesday the 29th morning for a clean but tiny wave. Everything else is either too big, too small, or just plain blown out. If you’re a kite surfer, there’s plenty of wind and chop to play with, but for paddling, you’re going to have to be picky and patient.

Rusty

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