Surf Forecasts:
Lakes Beach surf forecast from 10 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 11 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 10s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 16 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 9s period, S swell with 1,121 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 11 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 10s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lakes Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Lakes Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 11) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.2m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 22s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lakes Beach in the next 16 days are 2.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Fri 11th Sep) | 7ft (2.2m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Fri 11th Sep) | 7ft (2.2m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Wed 16th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lakes Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright mate, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s coming for Lakes Beach over the next 16 days.
Right, so the outlook is a real rollercoaster. We’ve got one cracking clean morning early on, but then a big, messy pulse that’s too much for this break, followed by a long, flat stretch. The third week shows some clean but small surf showing up. Here’s the run-down.
Friday the 11th starts with a bumpy 6ft swell out of the south, with a 10-second period. Wind is cross-off from the SW, keeping it clean, and combined energy is solid at (707). It’s surfable for the advanced crew, but not a classic.
Saturday the 12th morning is the gold star. Swell drops to 4ft from the south, but the period stretches to 12 seconds—that’s proper groundswell. The wind is glassy out of the SSE, just a light air. Combined energy is a strong (685). This is the pick of the first week: clean, long-period lines on the sandbar. Get in before the afternoon onshore chop hits.
From Sunday the 13th through Tuesday the 15th, it goes flat. Swell under 1ft, combined energy as low as (60). Wind is onshore or cross-shore. Not worth a look.
Wednesday the 16th sees a big jump to 8ft from the south, but it’s short-period at 9 seconds. The combined energy spikes to (1157). Wind is a fresh cross-shore from the SSE, making it lumpy. This is too big for Lakes Beach—this is kite surfing territory, not paddle surfing. Avoid it.
From Thursday the 17th to Monday the 21st, it’s flat again. Heights drop to 1ft to 2ft. There’s a clean, cross-off day on Sunday the 20th, but the swell is only 3ft to 5ft, with energy around (333 to 526). Surfable and clean, but very ordinary—a log day, not a standout.
On Monday the 22nd and Tuesday the 23rd, the swell shifts to the NE with a very short 6-second period (energy 114 and 127). Weak and choppy.
Wednesday the 23rd morning offers a small window: offshore wind from the west, clean, with 3ft of ENE swell (period 7s, energy 127). It’s “surfable but ordinary.” Something to do, but not a highlight.
Thursday the 24th through Saturday the 26th fade into small, choppy, rainy conditions. No recommendations there.
So, the takeaway: the standout is Saturday the 12th morning at Lakes Beach, with 4ft of clean, glassy groundswell. The big pulse on the 16th is too messy and too big. The rest is a long stretch of small, quiet spells.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Sun afternoon, min 13°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri night, fresh winds from the NE by Sun afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Warm (max 25°C on Mon afternoon, min 14°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Mon morning, fresh winds from the SSE by Tue night). | ||||||||||||||||||
Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 6 | S 9 | S 9 | S 12 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 947 | 701 | 499 | 377 | 480 | 364 | 198 | 154 | 188 | 138 | 132 | 114 | 48 | 29 | 25 | 367 | 1121 | 792 | 212 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross | off | glassy | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross | cross-on | on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | glassy |
High Tide | 8:07AM1.40m | 8:14PM1.59m | 8:44AM1.46m | 8:54PM1.50m | 9:21AM1.49m | 9:34PM1.38m | 9:57AM1.49m | 10:13PM1.25m | 10:34AM1.46m | 10:54PM1.12m | 11:13AM1.40m | 11:39PM1.01m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:00AM0.03m | 2:01PM0.17m | 2:35AM0.06m | 2:47PM0.17m | 3:07AM0.11m | 3:31PM0.19m | 3:39AM0.19m | 4:15PM0.24m | 4:10AM0.28m | 5:01PM0.31m | 4:42AM0.37m | 5:51PM0.39m | |||||||
 |  |  | | | |  | | | | | | | | |  | | | | |
 | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
Feels °C | 12 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 20 | 19 | 21 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | NE 6 | S 12 | S 11 | ENE 6 | NE 6 | S 9 | E 14 | E 14 | E 12 | S 8 |
| kJ | 947 | 701 | 499 | 377 | 480 | 364 | 198 | 154 | 188 | 69 | 132 | 114 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 15 | 16 | 12 | 212 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 22 | E 10 | E 14 | S 19 | S 19 | S 18 | S 20 | ENE 4 | S 15 | S 10 | ENE 6 | ENE 12 | S 10 | S 10 | NE 5 | S 17 | ENE 14 | ENE 13 | S 12 |
| kJ | 46 | 2 | 14 | 28 | 186 | 158 | 198 | 6 | 41 | 138 | 20 | 15 | 48 | 29 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 210 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | E 15 | E 10 | E 13 | ENE 14 | ENE 14 | ENE 13 | S 17 | ENE 13 | ENE 13 | ENE 13 | — | E 12 | ENE 13 | E 13 | S 16 | — | — | E 13 |
| kJ | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 18 | 16 | 53 | 17 | 17 | 17 | — | 12 | 16 | 14 | 21 | — | — | 13 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | ENE 4 | NE 4 | ENE 4 | NNE 6 | — | NE 4 | — | — | SSE 4 | S 6 | S 9 | S 9 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | 7 | 45 | 105 | — | 18 | — | — | 12 | 367 | 1121 | 792 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 4 | 4 | 550 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 0 | 27 | 216 | 217 | 217 | 168 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lakes Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lakes Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lakes Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lakes Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lakes Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lakes Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lakes Beach is 11 km (7 miles) from the city of Catherine Hill Bay. If you plan a holiday in Newcastle, look for hotels and other accommodation in Catherine Hill Bay. Catherine Hill Bay has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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