Surf Forecasts:
Lakes Beach surf forecast from 3 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 8 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 8s period, SSE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 10s period, S swell with 1,334 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 3 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 10s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lakes Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Lakes Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lakes Beach in the next 16 days are 2.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.9m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Tue 8th Sep) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Thu 10th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lakes Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s talk surf, metric-style.
First off, there’s a bit of a wait for anything decent. The first few days at Lakes Beach are pretty ordinary, with small surf and not much to get excited about. But hang tight, because Friday morning, September 4th, is where it all comes together. We’ve got a clean 1.4m south swell rolling in with a period of 11 seconds, and it’s glassy – absolutely zero wind. That’s the kind of morning you set an alarm for. The water temp is sitting at 19°, which is about normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.
The rest of the first week is a mixed bag. Saturday and Sunday are blown out with onshore winds or choppy conditions, so don’t bother. Monday morning (September 7th) has a bit of size at 1.3m, but the wind is cross-on, so it’s not clean. Then Tuesday, September 8th, things get interesting – but only for the experienced crew. The swell jumps to 2.2m from the SSE with a short 8-second period, and the combined energy is a solid 608. That’s a lot of power, but it’s too big for most, and the wind is cross-shore and choppy. This is more of a kite-surfing day than a paddle session.
The standout of the whole forecast? That’s got to be the morning of Thursday, September 10th. We’ve got a 2.2m south swell, but the wind is clean and cross-off, and the combined energy is a massive 1649. That’s serious power. However, the wave comment says it’s too big for this break, so this is strictly for experts. If you’re not comfortable in overhead-plus, heavy surf, sit this one out. The period is 9 seconds, so it’s a bit lumpy, but the clean wind will make it rideable for the brave.
The second week fades out. Friday, September 11th, still has a big 2.1m swell with a 12-second period and light wind, but again, it’s expert territory. After that, the swell drops off and the wind turns onshore or cross-shore, making conditions poor. The last few days, from September 15th onward, are small and messy, with swells under 1m and choppy winds. Nothing worth paddling for.
So, bottom line: Friday morning, September 4th, is your best bet for clean, fun waves. If you’re an expert, Thursday morning, September 10th, is the big one. Otherwise, the rest of the 16 days is a write-off.
Stay stoked.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Sat afternoon, min 14°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Mon night. Very mild (max 18°C on Mon morning, min 12°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SSW on Sun night, fresh winds from the S by Wed morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | ENE 9 | S 11 | S 9 | S 12 | S 10 | S 9 | S 10 | S 7 | S 9 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | E 11 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SE 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 52 | 54 | 493 | 194 | 65 | 94 | 60 | 47 | 77 | 157 | 601 | 247 | 169 | 9 | 599 | 448 | 73 | 102 | 329 | 675 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | glassy | on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | off | cross-on | on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 00:50AM1.03m | 1:25PM1.43m | 2:14AM0.96m | 2:40PM1.44m | 3:44AM0.96m | 3:54PM1.49m | 4:59AM1.02m | 5:00PM1.56m | 5:57AM1.12m | 5:57PM1.63m | 6:45AM1.22m | 6:46PM1.66m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:00PM0.37m | 6:36AM0.40m | 8:22PM0.37m | 7:47AM0.46m | 9:46PM0.33m | 9:08AM0.47m | 10:58PM0.24m | 10:24AM0.43m | 11:54PM0.15m | 11:29AM0.35m | 00:41AM0.08m | 12:24PM0.27m | 1:23AM0.04m | |||||||
 |  | | | | | | | | | | | |  |  | | | |  |  | |
 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — |
 | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:39 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 26 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 28 | 30 | 26 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 |
Feels °C | 22 | 12 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 22 | 25 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | ENE 9 | S 11 | S 9 | S 8 | S 10 | ENE 5 | NE 7 | S 7 | S 9 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | ENE 4 | E 10 | SSE 8 | S 7 | S 8 | ENE 9 | S 15 |
| kJ | 52 | 54 | 493 | 194 | 54 | 94 | 21 | 47 | 77 | 157 | 601 | 247 | 169 | 2 | 7 | 448 | 68 | 102 | 8 | 19 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 6 | SSE 10 | NE 8 | ENE 10 | NE 4 | ENE 9 | S 9 | S 10 | NE 7 | NE 6 | E 10 | ENE 10 | E 10 | E 11 | NE 8 | E 10 | SE 8 | SE 8 | E 17 | ENE 9 |
| kJ | 10 | 33 | 9 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 60 | 44 | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 73 | 66 | 6 | 8 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | SSE 13 | ENE 10 | NE 7 | S 12 | SSW 15 | E 9 | N 3 | E 11 | E 10 | NE 6 | E 10 | E 8 | NE 8 | N 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | S 17 | E 16 |
| kJ | 19 | 17 | 19 | 9 | 65 | 46 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 5 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 3 | SSW 5 | — | — | WNW 3 | NNE 3 | NW 3 | W 3 | W 3 | SSE 3 | — | — | ENE 4 | S 6 | SSE 8 | — | — | — | S 8 | S 8 |
| kJ | 1 | 37 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | — | — | 14 | 258 | 599 | — | — | — | 329 | 675 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 94 | 0 | 40 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 170 | 0 | 4 | 458 | 168 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 354 | 250 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lakes Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lakes Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lakes Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lakes Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lakes Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lakes Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lakes Beach is 11 km (7 miles) from the city of Catherine Hill Bay. If you plan a holiday in Newcastle, look for hotels and other accommodation in Catherine Hill Bay. Catherine Hill Bay has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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