
Surf Forecasts:
Lakes Beach surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 16 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 8s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 11s period, E swell with 991 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 8s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lakes Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Lakes Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.3m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 18s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 18s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lakes Beach in the next 16 days are 2.1m 11s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 6s period and expected on Friday (Jul 17) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Thu 16th Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Thu 16th Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lakes Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s coming down the pipe for Lakes Beach.
Overall, the next 16 days are a real mixed bag. We’ve got some solid size coming through, but a lot of it is too big for the beach break setup, and the wind doesn’t always play ball. The first proper action isn’t until Thursday the 16th, and it’s a big one. The water temp is sitting right on average for the time of year at 65°, nothing unusual there.
The standout window is this Thursday, the 16th of July. We’re looking at a solid 8ft swell from the S, with a short period of 8 seconds. The combined energy is strong, hitting 601, and it’s clean with a cross-off SSW wind at 19 mph in the morning. The word is that the swell is too big for this break, so this is advanced stuff only. The afternoon cleans up too, with a 7ft S swell and 9 mph SSE wind, but it’s cross-shore so not as clean.
After that, Friday the 17th drops right off. A tiny 3ft S swell with a 7-second period and 190 energy is surfable but very ordinary. The wind is light, but the quality just isn’t there. We then hit a real dry spell from Saturday the 18th all the way through to the end of the week. The waves are either too small, too messy, or the wind is onshore. It’s a bit of a dead zone.
Now, there’s a glimmer of hope on Monday the 20th of July. The morning session is glassy with a 5ft E swell and a 10-second period, giving us 660 energy. That’s a decent wave, and the glassy conditions make it a real chance for a good session. The crowd factor is ‘sometimes’ here, so you might have some company, but it’s a fair bet.
We get another clean morning on Wednesday the 22nd, with a 4ft E swell, glassy conditions, and 257 energy, but it’s pretty small. Then the real hero of the forecast comes in late. Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th of July. Saturday morning sees a tiny 2ft S swell, but it’s a long-period groundswell at 19 seconds, with 368 energy and clean offshore winds. That’s a proper sneaky set. Sunday the 26th morning is even better: a 3ft S swell with a 15-second period, 482 energy, and clean conditions. That’s the pick of the longer-range forecast. It’s a point-break style wave on a beach break, so the long period might make it a bit straight, but the quality is there.
Then we get a massive spike on the 29th of July. A 10ft S swell with 3015 energy, but it’s way too big for this spot. Only for the most experienced out there. The 30th and 31st remain big and clean, but again, expert territory.
So, to wrap it up: the best bet is Monday the 20th of July for the glassy morning session. For the long-range gamble with real quality, keep an eye on Sunday the 26th of July. It’s a promising one, but a week out, so stay flexible.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 21mm), heaviest during Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat morning, min 14°C on Thu morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Thu morning, calm by Fri morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue afternoon, min 12°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ESE 7 | E 8 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
588 | 569 | 187 | 74 | 131 | 127 | 225 | 287 | 908 | 755 | 653 | 666 | 509 | 450 | 407 | 348 | 282 | 307 | 223 | 169 | 132 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross | cross | on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:42PM1.79m | 10:32AM1.23m | 10:29PM1.67m | 11:20AM1.25m | 11:15PM1.51m | 12:09PM1.27m | 00:01AM1.34m | 12:59PM1.28m | 00:51AM1.17m | 1:51PM1.29m | 1:47AM1.03m | 2:45PM1.31m | 2:53AM0.93m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 3:15PM0.24m | 4:28AM-0.02m | 4:07PM0.28m | 5:10AM0.04m | 5:01PM0.35m | 5:51AM0.13m | 5:58PM0.42m | 6:30AM0.22m | 7:01PM0.48m | 7:10AM0.31m | 8:11PM0.53m | 7:53AM0.39m | 9:26PM0.53m | ||||||||
6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | |
— | 5:04 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | |
mm | 4 | 8 | 5 | 2 | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 15 |
Feels °C | 11 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 18 | S 8 | S 8 | S 7 | S 6 | E 7 | S 10 | E 8 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 |
6 | 569 | 187 | 74 | 39 | 127 | 50 | 287 | 908 | 755 | 653 | 666 | 509 | 450 | 407 | 348 | 282 | 307 | 223 | 169 | 132 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 18 | S 18 | E 8 | E 8 | S 9 | S 11 | S 21 | S 10 | S 9 | S 17 | S 16 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 |
7 | 25 | 12 | 31 | 23 | 55 | 34 | 46 | 24 | 94 | 124 | 160 | 141 | 136 | 85 | 56 | 49 | 31 | 30 | 30 | 26 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 13 | S 18 | S 16 | S 11 | S 21 | S 19 | S 20 | S 18 | S 8 | S 8 | SE 16 | SE 16 | SE 15 | SE 14 | SE 14 | S 14 | S 14 | S 14 | S 14 | S 12 |
— | 4 | 25 | 21 | 21 | 9 | 7 | 30 | 60 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | E 7 | S 6 | ESE 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 4 | — | — | WSW 2 | — | — |
588 | 37 | 50 | 64 | 131 | 21 | 225 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 168 | 34 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 43 | 47 | 170 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lakes Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lakes Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lakes Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lakes Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lakes Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lakes Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lakes Beach is 11 km (7 miles) from the city of Catherine Hill Bay. If you plan a holiday in Newcastle, look for hotels and other accommodation in Catherine Hill Bay. Catherine Hill Bay has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










