
Surf Forecasts:
Lakes Beach surf forecast from 5 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 6 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 11s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 7 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, S swell with 1,671 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 6 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 10s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lakes Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Lakes Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lakes Beach in the next 16 days are 3.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 07) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 6s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 06) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Sun 6th Sep) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Sun 6th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Mon 7th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lakes Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. We’ve got a mixed bag coming up for Lakes Beach over the next couple of weeks; a lot of size, but not always with the right conditions to make it easy.
The first real chance to get wet looks like Monday morning, September 7th. The swell is a clean 5ft from the south with a period of 8 seconds (moderate wave energy of 357). The wind is glassy and offshore from the WSW, so it’ll be clean. This is about as good as it gets for the early part of the week. The water temperature is running at 66°F, which is about average for this time of year. Nothing to complain about there.
Then it gets interesting. Tuesday morning, September 8th, the swell jumps to 8ft from the SSE with energy reading 807. The wind is cross-off, keeping it clean, but honestly, 8ft at a sandbar is getting into the big, powerful range. This is more for the experienced crew; beginners should sit this one out. The tide and wind are favorable, but the sheer size makes it a handful. The energy is moderate-strong.
The pattern continues through Thursday, September 10th, with a 8ft S swell and energy hitting 1092. The wind is cross-off in the morning, so it’s clean, but again, it’s a big, powerful wave. By the afternoon, the swell is 8ft with energy at 1697 - that’s strong to very strong energy - but the wind goes cross-shore, chopping it up a bit.
Friday morning, September 11th, is a standout. We have a 7ft south swell, period stretching to 11 seconds (longer period groundswell), energy at 1106, and perfect glassy conditions with zero wind. This is a proper session for the experienced surfer. That long period means it’ll be a bit more lined up and powerful, but at a beach break it might be a bit too straight-running. Still, with glass and that size, it’s the pick of the window.
After that, the swell drops off through the weekend and into the next week. Mornings will be the best bet with lighter winds, but the size gets smaller and the onshore winds pick up in the afternoons. Tuesday morning, September 15th, brings a 7ft swell, but it’s coupled with strong 25 mph winds from the SSW. That’s a messy, blown-out mess, and honestly, the setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
The tail end of the forecast, Thursday morning, September 17th, shows some promise again. A 5ft south swell with a period of 11 seconds and energy of 650, with light S winds and clean conditions. The guidance says expect very good surf conditions. It’s a solid option for a more relaxed session, especially if you’ve been sitting out the big days.
For the majority of the second week, the surf is either too small, too windy, or the swell is too big for the break. It’s a patchy run. The two real standouts are Monday 7th morning’s glassy 5ft and Friday 11th morning’s glassy 7ft. Friday is the one for the big wave hunters.
Stay safe out there, and don’t be a hero in the big stuff if you’re not ready.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Warm (max 30°C on Sat afternoon, min 15°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue afternoon, min 12°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Wed afternoon, calm by Fri morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Sat 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 10 | S 9 | SSW 8 | S 10 | S 8 | S 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | S 7 | S 9 | S 9 | S 10 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
58 | 45 | 28 | 196 | 1671 | 347 | 228 | 422 | 791 | 483 | 540 | 283 | 467 | 1251 | 971 | 1360 | 1166 | 1068 | 819 | 646 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | off | off | cross | cross-off | off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off | glassy | on | cross-off |
High Tide | 3:44AM0.96m | 3:54PM1.49m | 4:59AM1.02m | 5:00PM1.56m | 5:57AM1.12m | 5:57PM1.63m | 6:45AM1.22m | 6:46PM1.66m | 7:28AM1.31m | 7:31PM1.65m | 8:07AM1.40m | 8:14PM1.59m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:46PM0.33m | 9:08AM0.47m | 10:58PM0.24m | 10:24AM0.43m | 11:54PM0.15m | 11:29AM0.35m | 00:41AM0.08m | 12:24PM0.27m | 1:23AM0.04m | 1:14PM0.21m | 2:00AM0.03m | 2:01PM0.17m | 2:35AM0.06m | |||||||
— | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | |
5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | |
mm | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 30 | 24 | 19 | 18 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 16 |
Feels °C | 25 | 21 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 16 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | NE 6 | NE 6 | S 8 | S 10 | S 8 | S 8 | SSE 11 | E 10 | SSE 8 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | ENE 9 | S 18 | S 18 | S 10 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 |
58 | 16 | 11 | 135 | 1408 | 347 | 228 | 12 | 7 | 483 | 540 | 283 | 8 | 25 | 57 | 1360 | 1166 | 1068 | 819 | 646 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 4 | S 10 | S 9 | NE 6 | E 10 | E 10 | S 10 | E 10 | ENE 10 | SE 9 | E 10 | ENE 9 | S 17 | ENE 9 | ESE 10 | S 22 | S 15 | S 22 | E 14 | ENE 13 |
4 | 45 | 28 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 65 | 9 | 9 | 41 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 242 | 531 | 36 | 14 | 18 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | E 11 | E 11 | E 10 | NE 8 | NE 8 | E 10 | NE 7 | — | E 10 | NE 9 | E 16 | E 17 | S 16 | S 24 | S 17 | ESE 9 | SE 8 | E 9 | — |
17 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 2 | — | 8 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 44 | 95 | 7 | 2 | 2 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 3 | W 3 | SW 6 | SSW 8 | S 10 | — | — | SSE 8 | SSE 9 | — | — | NNW 2 | S 7 | S 9 | S 9 | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | 2 | 46 | 196 | 1671 | — | — | 422 | 791 | — | — | 1 | 467 | 1251 | 971 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 179 | 128 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 216 | 54 | 1 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 38 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the Lakes Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lakes Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lakes Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lakes Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lakes Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lakes Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lakes Beach is 11 km (7 miles) from the city of Catherine Hill Bay. If you plan a holiday in Newcastle, look for hotels and other accommodation in Catherine Hill Bay. Catherine Hill Bay has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










