
Surf Forecasts:
Lakes Beach surf forecast from 29 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 30 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 10s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 30 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 10s period, S swell with 1,496 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 30 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 6s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lakes Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Lakes Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 6s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 14s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lakes Beach in the next 16 days are 2.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lakes Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at the next couple of weeks for our local stretch. We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but there’s some serious promise on the horizon if you can be patient.
First up, the water temp is sitting right on the seasonal average at 65°, so nothing unusual there. The coming days start off quiet. Wednesday the 29th is a total write-off with tiny, weak swell and poor conditions – not even worth paddling out for. You're looking at a couple of days of flat, clean nothingness.
Things finally start to show signs of life on Thursday the 30th. Lakes Beach wakes up with a solid 7ft south swell rolling in early morning. The period is a moderate 10 seconds, and with a light offshore breeze from the WSW, it’s going to be squeaky clean. The combined wave energy is up at a solid moderate level (757), and it's looking like very good surf for those who are comfortable in that size. That said, 7ft is approaching the big stuff, so this is for the advanced crew only. The afternoon drops off a bit as the wind swings onshore.
Friday the 31st is where things get big. We’re looking at a 7ft south swell with a clean 10-second period. The wind is a cross-offshore, keeping the face tidy. The energy is pumping at a strong (1767). This is a proper, powerful swell. But here’s the thing – this is too much wave for this break. It’s going to be a washing machine, only suitable for the most experienced and crazy locals. The same goes for the afternoon at 7ft. It’s going to be a raw, powerful day.
Saturday the 1st of August is a better bet for the average surfer. The swell drops back to a much more manageable 5ft from the south-southeast, and the morning has light winds. It’s clean and the energy is solid (596). This is probably your pick of the first week if you want good, clean, powerful waves without getting completely smashed.
After that, the surf goes into a bit of a lull. Sunday the 2nd and Monday the 3rd see the swell dropping, with onshore winds and chop making things messy. Through the middle of the week, from Tuesday the 4th all the way through to Monday the 10th, it’s a long, flat stretch. We’re talking tiny, disorganized waves with hardly any energy. There are a few glassy mornings on the 5th, 6th, 8th, and 9th, but with waves barely knee-high, it’s more of a paddle than a surf.
The drought finally breaks on Thursday the 13th of August. A new 5ft south swell rolls in with a clean offshore breeze from the WSW. The energy is back to solid (571), and the conditions are set to be very good. This is a long-range standout – promising, but less certain this far out. If it holds, the morning session will be the one to target.
To sum it up: the first week has one clear winner: Saturday morning, August 1st at Lakes Beach is your best shot for clean, solid waves. Then we hit a long, quiet spell before a promising new swell arrives on Thursday the 13th.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Wed morning, min 9°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Mon morning, min 10°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Sat night, fresh winds from the NE by Sun afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 17 | S 16 | SSW 6 | S 10 | S 9 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SE 11 | SSE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SE 11 | S 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
23 | 5 | 103 | 753 | 416 | 1030 | 1009 | 873 | 770 | 509 | 490 | 1098 | 646 | 476 | 403 | 243 | 212 | 73 | 46 | 29 | 96 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | off | off | cross | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross | off |
High Tide | 8:08PM1.60m | 8:46AM1.11m | 8:43PM1.60m | 9:22AM1.16m | 9:17PM1.58m | 9:58AM1.20m | 9:52PM1.53m | 10:36AM1.25m | 10:28PM1.45m | 11:16AM1.29m | 11:09PM1.35m | 12:01PM1.32m | 11:57PM1.24m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:38PM0.36m | 2:52AM0.17m | 2:16PM0.34m | 3:24AM0.14m | 2:56PM0.34m | 3:55AM0.13m | 3:36PM0.35m | 4:26AM0.13m | 4:19PM0.37m | 4:59AM0.15m | 5:08PM0.40m | 5:35AM0.19m | 6:03PM0.43m | ||||||||
6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | |
— | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 18 | 17 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 21 | 19 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 14 |
Feels °C | 11 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 17 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 16 | ENE 6 | S 10 | S 9 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SE 11 | SSE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | ESE 9 | S 10 |
5 | 5 | 4 | 753 | 416 | 1030 | 751 | 873 | 770 | 509 | 490 | 1098 | 646 | 476 | 403 | 243 | 212 | 73 | 46 | 28 | 96 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 17 | S 7 | S 14 | NE 6 | NE 6 | — | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | SSE 14 | SSE 14 | E 18 | SE 14 | SSE 13 | S 21 | NE 4 | NE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 7 | SE 11 | SE 10 |
23 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | — | 4 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 264 | 6 | 197 | 222 | 36 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 10 | 29 | 28 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 6 | — | E 13 | E 13 | E 12 | — | E 13 | E 13 | E 13 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | — | E 17 | S 22 | NE 8 | S 21 | E 15 | NE 4 | ESE 10 | NE 9 | ESE 8 |
2 | — | 3 | 3 | 3 | — | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 | — | 6 | 37 | 2 | 34 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 13 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 4 | WSW 4 | SSW 6 | — | — | — | S 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 3 | NE 4 | NNE 4 | NE 3 | — | SW 3 | S 4 | — |
10 | 8 | 103 | — | — | — | 1009 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 22 | 7 | 4 | — | 3 | 16 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 523 | 216 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 138 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lakes Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lakes Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lakes Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lakes Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lakes Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lakes Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lakes Beach is 11 km (7 miles) from the city of Catherine Hill Bay. If you plan a holiday in Newcastle, look for hotels and other accommodation in Catherine Hill Bay. Catherine Hill Bay has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










