
Surf Forecasts:
Lakes Beach surf forecast from 28 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 30 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 11s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 30 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 11s period, S swell with 1,365 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 30 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 13s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lakes Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Lakes Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lakes Beach in the next 16 days are 2.3m 11s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 30) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lakes Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Looks like we’ve got a bit of a slow start, but things are building toward a couple of solid sessions later in the period. The first real surf worth paddling out for isn’t until Thursday the 30th of July, so there’s a quiet couple of days to start.
On Tuesday the 28th of July, it’s small and ordinary. Lakes Beach is pushing a tiny 2ft south swell at 8 seconds, with a light northwesterly making it cross-off. The water’s sitting at 65°, pretty much bang on average for this time of year. Not much to get excited about.
Wednesday the 29th is even smaller – 0.7ft south swell with a super long period of 17 seconds, but it’s just too gutless to do anything with. Offshore wind in the afternoon cleans it up, but there’s barely a ripple.
Alright, Thursday the 30th of July – now we’re talking. The morning brings a solid 6ft south swell, 10 seconds, with a light offshore from the WSW. That’s clean, pushy, and the wave energy is moderate. This is a standout session for the week. It’s a sandbar setup, exposed to the swell, and the optimum direction is SE, so the south swell is a little off-angle but still working. It’s advanced-only at this size though – over 5ft, so beginners should sit this one out. Crowds can roll through sometimes, so keep an eye out.
Friday the 31st of July morning is another cracker: 6ft south swell, 11 seconds, light offshore again from the SW. Clean, consistent, and the best of the bunch. This is the one to circle.
Saturday the 1st of August morning drops a touch to 5ft south swell, 9 seconds, still offshore from the WSW. Clean but a bit smaller. The afternoon gets messy with a cross-onshore.
Sunday the 2nd of August morning has a 5ft SSE swell at 12 seconds, but it’s cross-shore with a light northerly, and the wind ripples take the shine off. Still surfable, but not the pick.
From Monday the 3rd of August onwards, the swell fades quickly. Monday morning has 3ft SSE swell, clean with a cross-off, but energy is low. After that, it’s mostly small and messy through to the 5th of August, with onshore winds and dropping size.
Then, on Thursday the 6th of August, we get a big pulse: 8ft south swell, 10 seconds, but well over 8ft for the morning – expert-only territory. The cross-onshore wind and the size make it more of a spectacle than a paddle session. Too big for this break, really.
The real standout for the second week is Saturday the 8th of August morning. Glassy conditions, light westerly, and a 5ft ESE swell at 9 seconds. The direction is a bit east of the optimum SE, but with glassy conditions and that size, it’ll be clean and fun. A solid morning for the advanced crew.
After that, the swell backs off again through to the 12th of August, with small, wind-affected waves and not much to recommend.
So, the best on offer is Thursday the 30th of July morning and Friday the 31st of July morning at Lakes Beach. The Saturday the 8th of August morning is promising but further out, so keep an eye on the forecasts.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Tue morning, min 8°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Wed morning, light winds from the SSW by Thu night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Fri night. Very mild (max 19°C on Sun morning, min 11°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 9 | S 15 | S 17 | S 16 | S 15 | S 10 | S 9 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
41 | 24 | 17 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 668 | 390 | 826 | 795 | 710 | 541 | 341 | 378 | 318 | 636 | 458 | 234 | 227 | 198 | 89 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-on | cross | cross | on | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 7:32PM1.57m | 8:10AM1.07m | 8:08PM1.60m | 8:46AM1.11m | 8:43PM1.60m | 9:22AM1.16m | 9:17PM1.58m | 9:58AM1.20m | 9:52PM1.53m | 10:36AM1.25m | 10:28PM1.45m | 11:16AM1.29m | 11:09PM1.35m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 12:57PM0.39m | 2:19AM0.21m | 1:38PM0.36m | 2:52AM0.17m | 2:16PM0.34m | 3:24AM0.14m | 2:56PM0.34m | 3:55AM0.13m | 3:36PM0.35m | 4:26AM0.13m | 4:19PM0.37m | 4:59AM0.15m | 5:08PM0.40m | ||||||||
6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | |
— | 5:12 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 |
Temp °C | 20 | 20 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 15 |
Feels °C | 16 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 16 | ENE 6 | S 10 | S 9 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 |
41 | 24 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 668 | 390 | 826 | 795 | 710 | 541 | 341 | 378 | 318 | 636 | 458 | 234 | 227 | 198 | 89 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 7 | SE 7 | SE 7 | S 17 | S 7 | S 15 | ENE 6 | NE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | SSE 13 | SSE 15 | SSE 14 | NE 9 | SE 14 | SSE 13 | NE 4 | ENE 7 | ENE 5 |
19 | 12 | 7 | 23 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 90 | 121 | 170 | 3 | 102 | 114 | 7 | 5 | 9 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 14 | SE 15 | S 15 | SE 6 | — | S 11 | E 13 | E 12 | — | E 13 | E 13 | E 13 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 12 | E 17 | ENE 8 | NE 4 | ENE 8 | E 15 | ENE 9 |
8 | 8 | 17 | 2 | — | 3 | 3 | 3 | — | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 8 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 2 | NNW 3 | WNW 3 | WNW 3 | WSW 4 | SSW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ENE 4 | NNE 4 | NE 4 | NE 4 | — | NE 2 | WSW 3 |
1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | 16 | 9 | 18 | — | 1 | 3 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 7 | 83 | 524 | 283 | 125 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lakes Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lakes Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lakes Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lakes Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lakes Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lakes Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lakes Beach is 11 km (7 miles) from the city of Catherine Hill Bay. If you plan a holiday in Newcastle, look for hotels and other accommodation in Catherine Hill Bay. Catherine Hill Bay has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










