Lakes Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.25° S 151.56° E

Lakes Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 30 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Lakes Beach sea temperature is
18.0° C
0.4° 

Lakes Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Lakes Beach surf forecast from 30 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 2 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 14s period, SSE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 2 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 14s period, SSE swell with 1,193 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 30 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 11s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lakes Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Lakes Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Lakes Beach in the next 16 days are 1.7m 14s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Monday (Aug 03) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Thu 30th Jul)6ft (1.9m) 11s
Best Surf 4AM (Sun 2nd Aug)5.5ft (1.7m) 14s
Most Powerful 4AM (Sun 2nd Aug)5.5ft (1.7m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lakes Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, this is Rusty. Let's take a look at what we've got cooking for Lakes Beach over the next 16 days.

Right off the bat, the pattern is interesting. We're looking at a big pulse of energy that's a bit of a double-edged sword. The main standout is Thursday, July 30th, early morning. The ocean is going to be absolutely pumping with a solid 8ft southerly swell, and the combined energy is a massive 2146. That’s a lot of water moving. The wind is a clean cross-off, and the tide looks favorable, but honestly, this is an advanced wave. For most folks, especially beginners, 8ft is gonna be way too much, and that high energy makes it a serious endeavor. The water temp is sitting at 65°, which is pretty much dead average for this time of year, so nothing wild there.

From there, the surf backs down a notch but stays rideable. Friday, July 31st, is your next best bet for a more manageable session. The morning offers up a 6ft southerly swell with a clean cross-off breeze. The energy is moderate at 630, and the conditions are looking very good. It's a solid, fun-sized day for anyone comfortable in the 3-6ft range.

Saturday morning, August 1st, brings in a glassy 5ft southerly groundswell with a nice offshore breeze. It’s clean and lined up, perfect for getting some turns in without too much crowd pressure from the early birds.

After that, the swell drops off. Sunday the 2nd and Monday the 3rd have some knee-to-waist high waves, but the energy fades quickly. Then we hit a bit of a flat spell. From Tuesday the 4th through Thursday the 6th, there's really nothing worth paddling out for – we're talking tiny, weak waves with onshore crud.

We see a small pulse come back on Friday morning, August 7th, with a 4ft SSE swell and cross-off winds, but the energy is still low. It’s a marginal call.

The next window that looks worth circling on the calendar is Wednesday afternoon, August 12th. A new S swell shows up at 4ft with a light, clean cross-off breeze. The energy is moderate at 406, and conditions should be good for a solid afternoon session.

Friday, August 14th, morning has another pulse. Swell bumps up to 6ft from the south with a light cross-off. The energy is strong at 675, and the forecast says "very good conditions." This is another big day, similar to the start of the period, so be honest with yourself about your ability. It's a standout for sure, but not for the faint of heart.

Overall, the consistency here is average. There are clear standouts at the beginning (July 30th) and the end of the run (August 14th), but there are also some real flat gaps in the middle that last for days. If you're looking for the cleanest, most user-friendly waves, Friday morning July 31st is your sweet spot.

Stay safe, keep your wax on, and I’ll talk to ya next time.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun morning, min 11°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Mon morning, min 8°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NE on Sun afternoon, calm by Wed morning).

Thu
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
Monday
3
Tuesday
4
Wednesday
5
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
3
2
3
2
1
3
2
0
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
2
2
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2
S
10
2
S
11
2
S
10
1.8
S
10
1.8
S
9
1.6
S
9
1.5
SSE
9
1.6
SSE
14
1.6
SSE
12
1.6
SSE
13
1.4
SSE
12
1.1
SE
11
0.9
SE
11
0.4
SSE
11
0.3
ESE
7
0.6
S
6
1.5
S
10
1.6
S
9
1.6
S
10
1.5
S
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
715
917
771
593
556
431
337
999
710
835
527
288
194
44
10
28
470
398
484
375
Wind (km/h)
20
S
15
WSW
15
SSW
20
S
15
WSW
10
SSW
10
E
10
NNE
10
N
25
NE
10
NNW
15
NNW
10
W
25
W
15
W
5
SE
20
WNW
10
WNW
10
E
15
SW
Wind State
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross
cross
off
off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
off
High Tide
8:43PM1.60m
9:22AM1.16m
9:17PM1.58m
9:58AM1.20m
9:52PM1.53m
10:36AM1.25m
10:28PM1.45m
11:16AM1.29m
11:09PM1.35m
12:01PM1.32m
11:57PM1.24m
12:52PM1.35m
00:55AM1.12m
Low Tide
3:24AM0.14m
2:56PM0.34m
3:55AM0.13m
3:36PM0.35m
4:26AM0.13m
4:19PM0.37m
4:59AM0.15m
5:08PM0.40m
5:35AM0.19m
6:03PM0.43m
6:16AM0.25m
7:10PM0.45m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:46
6:45
6:45
6:43
6:43
6:41
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:13
5:14
5:14
5:15
5:15
5:15
5:16
 mm
Temp °C
14
14
14
15
15
14
15
15
16
17
16
21
18
15
16
17
12
15
16
14
Feels °C
9
11
9
11
12
12
12
11
12
12
12
16
15
11
12
14
6
12
13
10
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Lakes Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Lakes Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lakes Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lakes Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lakes Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lakes Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Lakes Beach is 11 km (7 miles) from the city of Catherine Hill Bay. If you plan a holiday in Newcastle, look for hotels and other accommodation in Catherine Hill Bay. Catherine Hill Bay has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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