Surf Forecasts:
Lakes Beach surf forecast from 4 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 6 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 11s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 7 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period, S swell with 2,160 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 4 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 8s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lakes Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Lakes Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 4s. Another secondary swell of 0.8m and 4s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lakes Beach in the next 16 days are 3.0m 11s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 07) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 06) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Fri 4th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Sun 6th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Mon 7th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lakes Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s talk about what’s happening around here for the next couple weeks. It’s a slow start and honestly, the first few mornings are not worth dragging your board out for. But hang in there, because things get interesting in the second week.
The only break I’m talking about this whole period is Lakes Beach, a sandbar that needs the right swell and favorable wind. Early on, Friday the 4th and Saturday the 5th are total duds – onshore and cross-onshore winds, tiny weak waves, with combined energy readings as low as 86. Sunday the 6th morning is surfable but nothing to write home about – 0.8m S swell, offshore wind but short 7-second period, only 97 energy. Just a so-so session.
Monday the 7th morning starts to perk things up: 1.7m S swell at 9 seconds, light offshore WSW wind at 5 km/h, clean conditions, energy at 431 (moderate). That’s a nice little window.
Then from Tuesday the 8th through Thursday the 10th, the swell gets big. Tuesday morning’s 2.5m SSE swell at 9 seconds packs 1027 energy, but it’s too big for this break – experts only. The wind is cross-offshore so it’s clean, but the size is intimidating. Wednesday the 9th backs off a bit to 1.6m, but then Thursday the 10th we’re back up at 2.5m S swell with monster energy of 1468. These days are for the big-wave crew only. Friday the 11th stays in the 2.0m to 2.2m range with periods up to 12 seconds – long-period groundswell that will have good shape but again, heavy energy (1371).
The real standout is Saturday the 12th morning. We get a 1.4m S swell, a very long 12-second period, light S wind at 10 km/h that’s cross-offshore, and clean conditions. The energy is moderate at 546. This is the Goldilocks session – not too big, great shape from the long period, and clean. Crowds are sometimes so you might have company, but it’s your best bet by far. That long period works nicely for the sandbar here.
After that, it’s downhill. Sunday the 13th turns onshore and weak, and by the following week the surf is marginal or flat, with energy readings dropping to 48 and 118 by Friday the 18th. The 16-day window ends with a tiny 0.5m S swell and an onshore NE breeze on Saturday the 19th. A long quiet spell after the 13th.
Water temp is about 66°F, pretty average for the time of year, so no surprises in the water temp.
Best call: Saturday the 12th morning at Lakes Beach – 1.4m S swell, 12-second period, light offshore wind, clean. That’s the day.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Sat afternoon, min 14°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Sat night, light winds from the WSW by Mon morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Wed night. Warm (max 20°C on Wed morning, min 12°C on Tue night). Mainly strong winds. | |||||||||||||||||||
Fri 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 12 | S 10 | S 9 | S 10 | SSW 7 | S 8 | S 11 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 9 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | S 9 | S 10 | S 9 | S 10 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 198 | 68 | 121 | 58 | 45 | 65 | 111 | 2160 | 421 | 348 | 867 | 1019 | 1479 | 754 | 461 | 385 | 2114 | 1374 | 992 | 1160 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-off | cross-on | cross | off | off | cross | cross-off | off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross |
High Tide | 2:14AM0.96m | 2:40PM1.44m | 3:44AM0.96m | 3:54PM1.49m | 4:59AM1.02m | 5:00PM1.56m | 5:57AM1.12m | 5:57PM1.63m | 6:45AM1.22m | 6:46PM1.66m | 7:28AM1.31m | 7:31PM1.65m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:22PM0.37m | 7:47AM0.46m | 9:46PM0.33m | 9:08AM0.47m | 10:58PM0.24m | 10:24AM0.43m | 11:54PM0.15m | 11:29AM0.35m | 00:41AM0.08m | 12:24PM0.27m | 1:23AM0.04m | 1:14PM0.21m | 2:00AM0.03m | |||||||
 |  | |  | | | |  | | |  | | | | |  |  | | |  | |
 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — |
 | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Temp °C | 17 | 17 | 27 | 29 | 26 | 20 | 18 | 16 | 18 | 17 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 20 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
Feels °C | 13 | 15 | 21 | 23 | 22 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 8 | S 10 | S 9 | NE 6 | SSW 7 | NE 6 | S 11 | S 9 | S 9 | E 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | ENE 9 | E 16 | S 22 | S 17 | S 10 |
| kJ | 198 | 57 | 121 | 58 | 39 | 65 | 6 | 1729 | 421 | 348 | 9 | 1019 | 1479 | 754 | 461 | 8 | 5 | 89 | 91 | 1160 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | S 12 | ENE 9 | ENE 4 | S 10 | NE 7 | E 10 | ENE 10 | E 10 | ENE 10 | NE 8 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | — | S 17 | E 16 | E 16 | SSE 23 | SSE 23 |
| kJ | 18 | 68 | 17 | 13 | 45 | 23 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 2 | — | 5 | 5 | 5 | 176 | 175 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 18 | NE 4 | — | E 9 | N 4 | E 11 | S 15 | E 10 | NE 8 | NE 8 | — | — | — | — | — | E 17 | — | — | E 9 | E 10 |
| kJ | 6 | 6 | — | 15 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | — | — | 2 | 2 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 7 | — | N 3 | NNW 3 | WSW 3 | W 3 | S 8 | S 11 | — | — | SSE 8 | — | — | NNE 3 | NNW 3 | SSE 9 | S 9 | S 10 | S 9 | — |
| kJ | 14 | — | 5 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 111 | 2160 | — | — | 867 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 385 | 2114 | 1374 | 992 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 165 | 0 | 38 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 594 | 1 | 0 | 38 | 217 | 1 | 34 | 4 | 4 | 116 | 250 | 217 | 447 | 148 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lakes Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lakes Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lakes Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lakes Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lakes Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lakes Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lakes Beach is 11 km (7 miles) from the city of Catherine Hill Bay. If you plan a holiday in Newcastle, look for hotels and other accommodation in Catherine Hill Bay. Catherine Hill Bay has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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