Lakes Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here, and I've had a good look at what's coming up for Lakes Beach. It's a bit of a mixed bag, to be honest – a lot of the early part of the run is going to be a write-off, but there are a couple of windows that could be worth looking at if you're an experienced surfer.

Right off the bat, we've got a solid pulse of swell hitting on Wednesday the 15th and Thursday the 16th, but it's a real problem. The swell is coming in at 8ft to 10ft from the South with a short, punchy 8-second period. The combined energy is massive, hitting 1626 on Wednesday afternoon, which is strong to very strong. This is strictly for experts only—anything over 8ft is too much for most. The wind is a cross-offshore, which would normally be a treat, but with this size, it's going to be a battle. The sets are going to be dumping hard and fast, and it's a sandbar setup, so it'll be closing out. It's more of a spectacle than a session.

Then we hit a real dry spell. From Friday the 17th all the way through to the 21st, it's pretty grim. The swell drops right off to 3ft or 4ft, with periods as low as 6 seconds, and the wind is a messy cross or cross-onshore. The energy readings are all under 200, which is weak. The break is exposed, so it's catching everything, but it's all junky, choppy slop. There's a couple of days with light cross-onshore winds on the 20th, but the quality is just marginal. You'd be fighting the tide and the wind for nothing.

The first real glimmer of hope comes on the morning of Monday the 22nd. The swell is still small at 4ft from the ENE, but the period stretches to 10 seconds, giving it a bit more shape. The kicker is a light offshore breeze from the WSW. It's clean, with a combined energy of 327, which is moderate. It's not a standout, but it's the first surfable window in a while. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so nothing weird there.

Now, for the real standout. Look at the morning of Saturday the 25th. The finder is pointing to glassy conditions, and that's a huge deal. We've got a tiny 3ft swell from the ENE, but with a 9-second period, and it's a glass-off. The combined energy is only 238, but when the wind is dead calm like that, the break will be smooth as silk. It's an inconsistent, rare setup for this spot, so to get a glassy morning on a small, clean wave is a real treat. It's a beginner-friendly size, but the quality will be high for anyone who can ride a groveler.

A couple of other things to note: the morning of Thursday the 23rd has a clean cross-offshore breeze with 4ft swell, so it's a good follow-up day. And then we're looking at a longer-range prospect on the morning of Tuesday the 28th. The swell jumps back up to 5ft from the South with a 10-second period, and the wind is a clean cross-offshore. The combined energy is 601, which is moderate to strong. The forecast is promising, but it's far out, so take it with a pinch of salt. It's a good bet for a solid session if you're an advanced surfer, but it's not a certainty.

To wrap it up, the 16-day window has a lot of duds. The first few days are too big, then a week of nothing, but the 25th is a rare, glassy gem. The 28th is the one to watch for a proper swell if you're patient.

Rusty.

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