Lakes Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, it’s a real slow start. We’ve got nothing worth paddling out for right through the first few days. The first sign of life won't show up until the middle of next week, so you can leave the boards in the shed for a bit. Once things get going, it’s all about Lakes Beach, and it’s a bit of a tricky one. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing wild.

The real action kicks off on Wednesday the 15th of July, but it’s a beast of a swell. We’re looking at 8.2ft to 9.8ft of short-period S swell (8 seconds), with a ton of energy behind it (combined energy of 948 to 1560). The wind is cross-off, which is good for shape, but this is strictly for the experienced crew only – if you’re a beginner, stay on the sand. This size is just too much for a fun session. Thursday the 16th stays chunky with 7.5ft to 6.2ft SSE swell (7 seconds), but the afternoon cleans up nicely with light cross-off wind, giving a brief window of "expect good surf conditions" – that’s a solid chance for a late session.

Friday the 17th and Saturday the 18th keep the size up, 6.9ft to 7.5ft ESE swell (9-10 seconds), with enough energy (705 to 963) to get the heart pumping, but it’s still big. Again, advanced surfers only for these days. The crowds are “sometimes” an issue, so you might have some company if it’s looking good.

The standout window, and I mean the real gem here, is Thursday the 23rd of July. The morning is magic. We’ve got a clean 6.2ft SE swell (10 seconds) with glassy conditions and a light WSW wind. The energy is strong (1175), and the forecast says “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers”. This is the one to circle on the calendar. The shape should be epic, and with that offshore wind, it’ll be lined up.

Before that, there’s a little tease on Monday the 20th afternoon with 5.9ft ESE swell (10 seconds) and light offshore wind – that’s a solid "expect very good surf conditions" call. Tuesday the 21st is another heavy hitter at 7.9ft to 7.2ft ESE swell with a longer 12-second period, but again, it’s just too big for most.

After the 23rd, it drops off fast. The last few days of the month look poor and small, with junk wind, so don’t expect anything. The 23rd is your best bet by a long shot.

Stay safe out there.

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