Lakes Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.25° S 151.56° E

Lakes Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 29 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Lakes Beach sea temperature is
18.3° C
0.0° 

Lakes Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Lakes Beach surf forecast from 29 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 30 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 10s period, S swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 30 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 10s period, S swell with 1,496 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 30 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 6s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lakes Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Lakes Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 6s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 14s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Lakes Beach in the next 16 days are 2.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Thu 30th Jul)4ft (1.2m) 6s
Best Surf 7AM (Thu 30th Jul)8ft (2.5m) 10s
Most Powerful 7AM (Thu 30th Jul)8ft (2.5m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lakes Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at the next couple of weeks for our local stretch. We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but there’s some serious promise on the horizon if you can be patient.

First up, the water temp is sitting right on the seasonal average at 65°, so nothing unusual there. The coming days start off quiet. Wednesday the 29th is a total write-off with tiny, weak swell and poor conditions – not even worth paddling out for. You're looking at a couple of days of flat, clean nothingness.

Things finally start to show signs of life on Thursday the 30th. Lakes Beach wakes up with a solid 7ft south swell rolling in early morning. The period is a moderate 10 seconds, and with a light offshore breeze from the WSW, it’s going to be squeaky clean. The combined wave energy is up at a solid moderate level (757), and it's looking like very good surf for those who are comfortable in that size. That said, 7ft is approaching the big stuff, so this is for the advanced crew only. The afternoon drops off a bit as the wind swings onshore.

Friday the 31st is where things get big. We’re looking at a 7ft south swell with a clean 10-second period. The wind is a cross-offshore, keeping the face tidy. The energy is pumping at a strong (1767). This is a proper, powerful swell. But here’s the thing – this is too much wave for this break. It’s going to be a washing machine, only suitable for the most experienced and crazy locals. The same goes for the afternoon at 7ft. It’s going to be a raw, powerful day.

Saturday the 1st of August is a better bet for the average surfer. The swell drops back to a much more manageable 5ft from the south-southeast, and the morning has light winds. It’s clean and the energy is solid (596). This is probably your pick of the first week if you want good, clean, powerful waves without getting completely smashed.

After that, the surf goes into a bit of a lull. Sunday the 2nd and Monday the 3rd see the swell dropping, with onshore winds and chop making things messy. Through the middle of the week, from Tuesday the 4th all the way through to Monday the 10th, it’s a long, flat stretch. We’re talking tiny, disorganized waves with hardly any energy. There are a few glassy mornings on the 5th, 6th, 8th, and 9th, but with waves barely knee-high, it’s more of a paddle than a surf.

The drought finally breaks on Thursday the 13th of August. A new 5ft south swell rolls in with a clean offshore breeze from the WSW. The energy is back to solid (571), and the conditions are set to be very good. This is a long-range standout – promising, but less certain this far out. If it holds, the morning session will be the one to target.

To sum it up: the first week has one clear winner: Saturday morning, August 1st at Lakes Beach is your best shot for clean, solid waves. Then we hit a long, quiet spell before a promising new swell arrives on Thursday the 13th.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Wed morning, min 9°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Mon morning, min 10°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Sat night, fresh winds from the NE by Sun afternoon).

Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
Monday
3
Tuesday
4
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
3
0
!
!
!
3
3
2
2
1
0
1
2
1
1
1
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
S
17
0.1
S
16
1.2
SSW
6
2
S
10
1.6
S
9
2.1
S
11
2.2
S
10
2.1
S
10
2
S
10
1.6
S
10
1.6
SSE
10
1.9
SSE
12
1.6
SSE
12
1.4
SE
11
1.3
SSE
11
1.1
SE
10
1
SE
10
0.6
SSE
10
0.4
SSE
11
0.4
SE
11
0.7
S
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
23
5
103
753
416
1030
1009
873
770
509
490
1098
646
476
403
243
212
73
46
29
96
Wind (km/h)
25
WNW
25
WSW
15
WSW
10
WSW
15
SSE
10
WSW
15
SW
20
S
15
WSW
10
SSW
10
ENE
10
N
15
NNE
25
NE
10
N
15
NW
20
W
15
W
15
W
15
SSE
10
WSW
Wind State
cross-off
off
off
off
cross
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross
off
High Tide
8:08PM1.60m
8:46AM1.11m
8:43PM1.60m
9:22AM1.16m
9:17PM1.58m
9:58AM1.20m
9:52PM1.53m
10:36AM1.25m
10:28PM1.45m
11:16AM1.29m
11:09PM1.35m
12:01PM1.32m
11:57PM1.24m
Low Tide
1:38PM0.36m
2:52AM0.17m
2:16PM0.34m
3:24AM0.14m
2:56PM0.34m
3:55AM0.13m
3:36PM0.35m
4:26AM0.13m
4:19PM0.37m
4:59AM0.15m
5:08PM0.40m
5:35AM0.19m
6:03PM0.43m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:48
6:47
6:46
6:45
6:45
6:43
6:43
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:12
5:13
5:14
5:14
5:15
5:15
5:15
 mm
Temp °C
18
17
11
13
13
14
15
15
15
14
16
16
16
17
15
21
19
16
16
16
14
Feels °C
11
10
5
10
8
11
10
11
12
12
13
12
12
11
11
17
14
12
12
11
12
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Lakes Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Lakes Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lakes Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lakes Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lakes Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lakes Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Lakes Beach is 11 km (7 miles) from the city of Catherine Hill Bay. If you plan a holiday in Newcastle, look for hotels and other accommodation in Catherine Hill Bay. Catherine Hill Bay has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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