Lakes Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day surfers, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s shaping up for our corner of the coast, specifically Lakes Beach. The next 16 days are a real mixed bag—plenty of waiting, a few wild windows, and one absolute cracker morning that’s worth circling on the calendar.

We’re looking at a solid run of clean glassy conditions come Monday the 20th of July, but before that, the weekend is a write-off. The water temp is sitting at 65°F, which is pretty much average for this time of year—no surprises there.

The big story starts early next week. Swell energy is moderate at 228 (weak) on Saturday, but things ramp up in a big way. Sunday the 19th sees a pulse of 7ft easterly swell at 11 seconds, packing some serious energy (1214), but it’s going to be too big for Lakes Beach. That same pattern continues into Monday morning: 6ft east-northeasterly swell with a period of 11 seconds (energy 863) and, get this, glassy conditions with a light WSW breeze of 5 km/h (3 mph). That’s your standout moment right there—clean, shaped-up waves, not too big, just proper surf. The wind is off the land, so expect those walls to hold their line. Just be aware: crowds are possible here at Lakes Beach, so get in early.

The rest of the week gets messy. Tuesday and Wednesday drop back to smaller, onshore slop. By Thursday the 23rd, a new southerly groundswell arrives late—10ft at 8 seconds (energy 1359) with a strong cross-off shore wind—but that’s getting into expert-only territory, and the short period will make it lumpy. Friday the 24th holds 8ft southerly at 10 seconds (energy 2333), clean offshore wind, but again, this is big and only suited to experienced surfers. The water’s still average temp-wise.

Then there’s a quiet spell from the 26th through the 30th—small, onshore, rain showers, nothing worth paddling out for. A bit of a dry run. But hold tight: August starts with another spike. Saturday the 1st of August shows a 10ft east-northeasterly swell at 8 seconds (energy 1152) and light winds—again, big and expert-level. Then Sunday the 2nd brings the real gem: 6ft east-northeasterly at 10 seconds (energy 699), with a light westerly offshore breeze. That morning promises very good conditions, clean and glassy again. That’s a long-range call though—promising but not locked in yet.

So, if you’re after the best of the lot: Monday morning the 20th of July and Sunday morning the 2nd of August are your standout sessions. Clean, shoulder-high lines, light winds, and the lake’s sandbanks should be working. Don’t sleep on them—the forecast confidence is good on the first one, and the second is worth watching.

Stay stoked,
Rusty

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