
Surf Forecasts:
Lakes Beach surf forecast from 6 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 7 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 10s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, S swell with 2,402 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 7 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 10s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lakes Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Lakes Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 07) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.3m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lakes Beach in the next 16 days are 3.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Mon 7th Sep) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Mon 7th Sep) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lakes Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s coming up at Lakes Beach. It’s a sandbar setup, exposed to the swell, and it’s an advanced wave. The water temp is sitting at 65.7°F, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, no big anomaly to worry about.
Alright, the first bit of surf worth paddling out for is on Monday, September 7th, in the morning. We’ve got a 4.6ft swell from the south, period of 8 seconds, and the wind is dead calm – glassy conditions. The combined energy is 298 (moderate), and it’s looking clean. This is a solid window for a session, just you and the ocean.
Now, Tuesday morning, September 8th, the swell jumps up to 8.2ft from the south, period of 9 seconds, and the wind is cross-off from the south at 12 mph, keeping things clean. The energy is pumping at 981 (moderate-to-strong). But honestly, 8.2ft is pushing it for this spot – that’s expert territory. If you’ve got the skill and the nerve, it could be a ripper, but most folks will want to sit this one out. The wind and tide are favorable, but the size is the issue.
Then Wednesday morning, September 9th, we drop back to 3.6ft south swell, 8-second period, with a clean cross-off breeze from the south at 9 mph. Energy is 230 (weak-to-moderate). It’s a fun, manageable wave but nothing to write home about.
Skip ahead to Saturday, September 12th, morning session. We’ve got a 5.9ft south swell, period of 11 seconds – that’s groundswell territory, so longer gaps between sets and better shape. Wind is light cross-off from the SSW at 6 mph, clean conditions. Energy is 828 (moderate-to-strong). This is the standout of the whole outlook. The longer period means the waves will have more punch and hold up better, especially on a sandbar. Crowds are possible here, but with that kind of quality, it’ll be worth sharing the water.
Tuesday, September 15th afternoon sees a 6.9ft south swell, period of 10 seconds, but the wind is cross-on from the ESE at 9 mph, making it choppy. Energy is 898 (moderate-to-strong). Too big and too messy for most.
Wednesday, September 16th morning: 4.9ft south swell, 11-second period, glassy with light easterly wind. Energy is 673 (moderate). Clean, good shape – a nice session if you can get it.
Thursday, September 17th morning: 3.9ft south swell, 10-second period, glassy with a light SE breeze. Energy is 626 (moderate). Again, clean and surfable.
Friday, September 18th afternoon has a 3.3ft south swell with a massive 19-second period – that’s very long-period groundswell. Wind is cross-off from the WNW at 12 mph, clean. Energy is 1342 (strong). But that long period on a sandbar can make things a bit straight and fast, so it might not be as user-friendly as it sounds. Worth a look if you’re experienced.
After that, from Saturday, September 19th through to Monday, September 21st, it’s all marginal or poor – small waves, onshore winds, or too much size with bad wind. There’s a gap of a few days with no real recommendations.
Overall, the best bet is Saturday morning, September 12th – that 5.9ft south groundswell with light offshore wind and clean conditions. That’s your pick.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Mon night. Very mild (max 17°C on Sun afternoon, min 12°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon morning, strong winds from the S by Wed morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri morning, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the S on Wed afternoon, light winds from the SW by Fri morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Sun 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 10 | S 8 | S 9 | S 7 | S 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 9 | S 8 | S 7 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 11 | SSE 10 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
198 | 1017 | 251 | 355 | 480 | 973 | 521 | 422 | 173 | 585 | 2402 | 1586 | 1591 | 2214 | 1406 | 830 | 818 | 807 | 584 | 322 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 4:59AM1.02m | 5:00PM1.56m | 5:57AM1.12m | 5:57PM1.63m | 6:45AM1.22m | 6:46PM1.66m | 7:28AM1.31m | 7:31PM1.65m | 8:07AM1.40m | 8:14PM1.59m | 8:44AM1.46m | 8:54PM1.50m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:58PM0.24m | 10:24AM0.43m | 11:54PM0.15m | 11:29AM0.35m | 00:41AM0.08m | 12:24PM0.27m | 1:23AM0.04m | 1:14PM0.21m | 2:00AM0.03m | 2:01PM0.17m | 2:35AM0.06m | 2:47PM0.17m | 3:07AM0.11m | |||||||
— | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | |
5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:42 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
Feels °C | 12 | 13 | 17 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 6 | S 10 | S 8 | S 9 | E 11 | E 10 | SSE 8 | SSE 9 | S 8 | ESE 13 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | SE 10 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 11 | SSE 10 |
6 | 1017 | 251 | 355 | 9 | 8 | 521 | 422 | 173 | 17 | 70 | 39 | 23 | 1676 | 1066 | 830 | 818 | 807 | 584 | 322 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | NE 8 | SSE 11 | E 10 | E 8 | — | E 10 | E 10 | SE 7 | ENE 9 | E 16 | S 23 | SSE 22 | SSE 21 | E 15 | E 14 | E 13 | ENE 14 | S 18 | S 17 |
8 | 2 | 39 | 8 | 1 | — | 8 | 7 | 50 | 8 | 5 | 40 | 157 | 150 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 19 | 56 | 50 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 15 | E 10 | E 10 | N 8 | E 8 | — | N 9 | E 15 | E 9 | E 17 | S 26 | S 17 | E 15 | ESE 9 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | ENE 14 | ENE 13 |
4 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 17 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | — | — | E 3 | S 7 | S 9 | — | — | NW 3 | S 7 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | — | — | — | — | — |
198 | — | — | 5 | 480 | 973 | — | — | 2 | 585 | 2402 | 1586 | 1591 | 2214 | 1406 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 307 | 168 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 336 | 137 | 23 | 1 | 13 | 1 | 250 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lakes Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lakes Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lakes Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lakes Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lakes Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lakes Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lakes Beach is 11 km (7 miles) from the city of Catherine Hill Bay. If you plan a holiday in Newcastle, look for hotels and other accommodation in Catherine Hill Bay. Catherine Hill Bay has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










