Lakes Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.25° S 151.56° E

Issued: 3 pm 05 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Lakes Beach sea temperature is
19.2° C

Slightly warmer than usual

Lakes Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Lakes Beach surf forecast from 5 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 5 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 12s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 5 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 12s period, S swell with 3,254 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 5 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 12s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lakes Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Lakes Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Lakes Beach in the next 16 days are 3.5m 12s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Friday (Jul 10) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Sun 5th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 12s
Best Surf10PM (Sun 5th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 12s
Most Powerful10PM (Sun 5th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lakes Beach over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the pipe for Lakes Beach. I gotta be straight with you – this stretch is a bit of a mixed bag, and it’s going to take some patience.

Right off the bat, we’re in a tricky spot. For the first few days, the swell is just too powerful for this sandbar setup. We’re looking at waves around 10 ft and bigger, with a very high combined swell energy reading (3116). That’s a lot of water moving around, and for Lakes Beach, that’s not friendly – it’s big and unruly, really only for experts, and even then, it’s going to be a handful. The water temp is sitting at 67°F which is about normal for this time of year, nothing wild.

The saving grace on Thursday morning, July 9th is some proper glassy conditions with a light offshore wind from the SW at 9 mph. The swell drops a bit to 7 ft from the SE, but the energy is still solid at (873). It’s still big, but cleaner. That morning window is your best bet in this early period if you’re skilled and hungry.

The real standout for the everyday surfer finally shows up Friday morning, July 10th. The swell settles to a more manageable 6 ft from the SSE, and we get that beautiful offshore flow from the SW at 9 mph. The combined energy drops to a more friendly (671), and the whole vibe is set for clean, lined-up waves. This is the one to circle on the calendar – it’s not epic, but it’s good, clean, and rideable without getting smashed.

Saturday morning, July 11th is also worth a mention for the lighter crowd. Swell drops further to 4 ft from the SE, wind is light from the NW at 6 mph, and it’s clean. It’s smaller but fun for a longer board.

After that, things go quiet. From Saturday afternoon on July 11th through to Wednesday, July 15th, we get a run of poor surf conditions – small, weak, and choppy. There’s a solid gap there where you’re better off doing something else.

Then the energy ramps back up hard. Thursday, July 16th sees a massive 10 ft swell from the S with offshore wind, but again, it’s just too much for this spot. That big pulse continues all the way through Monday, July 20th, with waves over 8 ft and energy readings in the thousands. It’s a powerful, intimidating period. The long-period groundswell coming in on Friday afternoon, July 17th (up to 16 seconds and energy at 5218) will have that heavy, straight-breaking energy that makes a beach break like this a real challenge. For that entire second week, unless you are a very experienced charger, you’re going to be on the beach watching.

So, to wrap it up: Friday the 10th is your golden window for a proper, clean session. Thursday the 9th morning is for the brave. The rest of the time, it’s either too small and messy or way too big. Stay patient.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 21mm), heaviest during Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun afternoon, min 13°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Wed night. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat morning, min 12°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Sun
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
3
3
3
3
2
0
2
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3
S
11
3
S
11
3
SSE
10
3
SSE
10
3
SSE
10
3
SSE
10
3.5
SSE
11
3
SE
11
2.5
SE
11
2.5
SSE
11
2.3
SE
10
2.1
SE
10
2.1
SE
9
1.9
SE
9
1.7
SSE
10
2
SSE
10
1.6
SE
10
1.3
SE
9
1.2
SE
9
0.8
ESE
12
0.9
ESE
11
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1862
2496
1844
1658
1816
2119
2904
2211
1467
1493
1039
828
750
599
511
794
507
287
215
167
170
Wind (km/h)
35
S
35
SSE
30
SSE
25
SSE
25
SSW
25
SSW
30
S
20
S
20
SSW
25
SSW
15
SW
15
WSW
10
S
10
SW
15
SW
15
SSW
10
W
10
NW
10
NNE
15
NW
20
NNW
Wind State
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross
High Tide
11:35PM1.39m
12:42PM1.19m
00:21AM1.30m
1:34PM1.25m
1:18AM1.20m
2:29PM1.33m
2:25AM1.12m
3:27PM1.43m
3:41AM1.07m
4:26PM1.53m
4:57AM1.05m
5:24PM1.64m
6:06AM1.07m
Low Tide
5:25PM0.50m
6:18AM0.20m
6:22PM0.52m
6:59AM0.22m
7:29PM0.53m
7:46AM0.24m
8:44PM0.49m
8:39AM0.27m
10:00PM0.41m
9:38AM0.29m
11:12PM0.30m
10:39AM0.30m
00:15AM0.17m
11:38AM0.28m
light rain
light rain
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
rain showers
light rain
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:56
6:56
6:56
6:56
6:56
6:56
6:56
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
4:58
4:59
4:59
5:00
5:00
5:00
5:00
5:01
 mm
2
4
2
2
4
1
2
2
2
1
4
1
1
2
3
Temp °C
16
15
15
16
16
15
16
16
15
15
15
13
16
15
14
15
14
17
18
15
19
Feels °C
9
8
9
10
11
9
10
11
10
10
11
10
13
12
11
12
12
15
15
12
13
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.8
S
14
0.2
E
13
0.2
E
14
0.2
E
14
1.1
SE
14
0.2
S
15
2.5
SE
11
0.9
ESE
13
2.3
SE
10
2.1
SE
10
2.1
SE
9
1.9
SE
9
1.7
SSE
10
2
SSE
10
1.6
SE
10
1.3
SE
9
1.2
SE
9
1
SE
8
0.9
ESE
11
Energy kJ
1243
14
16
15
416
18
1467
257
1039
828
750
599
511
794
507
287
215
132
170
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
E
8
0.2
E
14
0.2
E
14
1
ESE
14
0.1
S
16
0.5
ESE
11
0.4
ESE
10
0.4
ESE
10
0.1
S
20
0.7
SE
12
0.1
S
19
0.1
S
21
0.3
ESE
13
0.4
ESE
12
0.8
ESE
12
0.6
SSE
9
Energy kJ
11
16
15
352
5
69
39
33
8
153
7
9
34
57
167
50
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
S
18
0.1
S
17
0.1
S
20
0.1
S
19
0.1
S
16
0.3
ESE
15
0.1
S
15
Energy kJ
6
6
8
7
5
42
4
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3
S
11
3
S
11
3
SSE
10
3
SSE
10
3
SSE
10
3
SSE
10
3.5
SSE
11
3
SE
11
2.5
SSE
11
0.5
WSW
3
0.3
W
3
0.4
NNW
3
0.3
NNW
3
Energy kJ
1862
2496
1844
1658
1816
2119
2904
2211
1493
7
1
4
1
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
4
5
3
3
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
Distance (km)
283
283
305
179
1
1
54
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
0
4
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
9
7
4
4
8
7
4
5
7
5
5
4
4
5
4
4
4
3
2
9
7
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
9
7
5
6
8
7
5
5
9
8
9
9
5
6
6
5
8
7
4
9
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
How to use the Wavefinder 
submit an eyeball surf report

Quick surf report for Lakes Beach:

join our community of surf reporters

FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website

The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Lakes Beach surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.


Information about the Lakes Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Lakes Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lakes Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lakes Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lakes Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lakes Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Lakes Beach is 11 km (7 miles) from the city of Catherine Hill Bay. If you plan a holiday in Newcastle, look for hotels and other accommodation in Catherine Hill Bay. Catherine Hill Bay has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

Nearest locationNearest