
Surf Forecasts:
Lakes Beach surf forecast from 30 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 2 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 14s period, SSE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 2 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 14s period, SSE swell with 1,193 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 30 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 11s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lakes Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Lakes Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lakes Beach in the next 16 days are 1.7m 14s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Monday (Aug 03) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Thu 30th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lakes Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty. Let's take a look at what we've got cooking for Lakes Beach over the next 16 days.
Right off the bat, the pattern is interesting. We're looking at a big pulse of energy that's a bit of a double-edged sword. The main standout is Thursday, July 30th, early morning. The ocean is going to be absolutely pumping with a solid 8ft southerly swell, and the combined energy is a massive 2146. That’s a lot of water moving. The wind is a clean cross-off, and the tide looks favorable, but honestly, this is an advanced wave. For most folks, especially beginners, 8ft is gonna be way too much, and that high energy makes it a serious endeavor. The water temp is sitting at 65°, which is pretty much dead average for this time of year, so nothing wild there.
From there, the surf backs down a notch but stays rideable. Friday, July 31st, is your next best bet for a more manageable session. The morning offers up a 6ft southerly swell with a clean cross-off breeze. The energy is moderate at 630, and the conditions are looking very good. It's a solid, fun-sized day for anyone comfortable in the 3-6ft range.
Saturday morning, August 1st, brings in a glassy 5ft southerly groundswell with a nice offshore breeze. It’s clean and lined up, perfect for getting some turns in without too much crowd pressure from the early birds.
After that, the swell drops off. Sunday the 2nd and Monday the 3rd have some knee-to-waist high waves, but the energy fades quickly. Then we hit a bit of a flat spell. From Tuesday the 4th through Thursday the 6th, there's really nothing worth paddling out for – we're talking tiny, weak waves with onshore crud.
We see a small pulse come back on Friday morning, August 7th, with a 4ft SSE swell and cross-off winds, but the energy is still low. It’s a marginal call.
The next window that looks worth circling on the calendar is Wednesday afternoon, August 12th. A new S swell shows up at 4ft with a light, clean cross-off breeze. The energy is moderate at 406, and conditions should be good for a solid afternoon session.
Friday, August 14th, morning has another pulse. Swell bumps up to 6ft from the south with a light cross-off. The energy is strong at 675, and the forecast says "very good conditions." This is another big day, similar to the start of the period, so be honest with yourself about your ability. It's a standout for sure, but not for the faint of heart.
Overall, the consistency here is average. There are clear standouts at the beginning (July 30th) and the end of the run (August 14th), but there are also some real flat gaps in the middle that last for days. If you're looking for the cleanest, most user-friendly waves, Friday morning July 31st is your sweet spot.
Stay safe, keep your wax on, and I’ll talk to ya next time.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun morning, min 11°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Mon morning, min 8°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NE on Sun afternoon, calm by Wed morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 14 | SSE 12 | SSE 13 | SSE 12 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SSE 11 | ESE 7 | S 6 | S 10 | S 9 | S 10 | S 9 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
715 | 917 | 771 | 593 | 556 | 431 | 337 | 999 | 710 | 835 | 527 | 288 | 194 | 44 | 10 | 28 | 470 | 398 | 484 | 375 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross | cross | off | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | off |
High Tide | 8:43PM1.60m | 9:22AM1.16m | 9:17PM1.58m | 9:58AM1.20m | 9:52PM1.53m | 10:36AM1.25m | 10:28PM1.45m | 11:16AM1.29m | 11:09PM1.35m | 12:01PM1.32m | 11:57PM1.24m | 12:52PM1.35m | 00:55AM1.12m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:24AM0.14m | 2:56PM0.34m | 3:55AM0.13m | 3:36PM0.35m | 4:26AM0.13m | 4:19PM0.37m | 4:59AM0.15m | 5:08PM0.40m | 5:35AM0.19m | 6:03PM0.43m | 6:16AM0.25m | 7:10PM0.45m | ||||||||
— | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | |
5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 21 | 18 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 14 |
Feels °C | 9 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 14 | SSE 12 | SSE 13 | SSE 12 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SSE 11 | SSW 6 | S 6 | S 10 | S 9 | S 10 | S 9 |
490 | 917 | 623 | 593 | 556 | 431 | 337 | 999 | 710 | 835 | 527 | 288 | 194 | 44 | 6 | 28 | 470 | 398 | 484 | 375 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 6 | — | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | SE 14 | E 12 | SSE 14 | S 21 | NE 4 | ENE 5 | NE 5 | ESE 8 | SSE 10 | ESE 7 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 12 | ENE 9 |
1 | — | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 46 | 3 | 268 | 35 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 5 | 30 | 16 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 12 | — | E 13 | E 13 | E 13 | E 12 | NE 7 | E 18 | NE 9 | E 17 | S 21 | E 16 | NE 7 | ENE 5 | ESE 7 | SSE 10 | E 13 | E 13 | E 18 | E 12 |
3 | — | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 36 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 6 | 3 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | — | S 10 | — | — | — | — | NE 6 | — | ENE 3 | NNE 4 | NNW 2 | WNW 3 | WNW 3 | W 3 | — | — | — | — | — |
715 | — | 771 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | 5 | 32 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 4 | 4 | 94 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 125 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lakes Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lakes Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lakes Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lakes Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lakes Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lakes Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lakes Beach is 11 km (7 miles) from the city of Catherine Hill Bay. If you plan a holiday in Newcastle, look for hotels and other accommodation in Catherine Hill Bay. Catherine Hill Bay has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











