Surf Forecasts:
Lakes Beach surf forecast from 29 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 29 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 10s period, SE swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 29 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 10s period, SSE swell with 314 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 29 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 10s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lakes Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Lakes Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lakes Beach in the next 16 days are 1.3m 10s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 05) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Sat 29th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Sat 29th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Sat 29th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lakes Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s shaping up for our local stretch.
Right off the bat, we’ve got a bit of a mixed bag. The weekend starts with some lumpy, cross-shore wind and a marginal 4ft SSE swell that’s just not worth paddling out for. The water temp is sitting at 64°, which is about normal for this time of year, so nothing unusual there.
The real bright spot in the near term is Sunday morning, 30 August. The wind goes glassy, coming from the north at just 3 mph, and we’ve got a clean 3ft S swell with a period of 9 seconds. The combined energy is moderate (267), and it’s going to be clean as a whistle. This is your best bet for the early part of the week. Monday morning, 31 August is also looking good with another glassy session, 4ft S swell, and a bit more energy (373). The swell is still small and clean, perfect for a longboard or a fun board.
After that, we hit a dry spell. The wind turns onshore and messy from Tuesday through to the following Saturday, with the swell dropping to knee-high and the energy falling off a cliff. The conditions are ordinary, and I wouldn’t bother getting the wax out.
Now, we’ve got a longer-range promise that’s worth keeping an eye on. Sunday morning, 6 September sees a return of surf with a 4ft S swell, 9-second period, and light cross-off wind from the south. The energy is moderate (311) and the forecast says “expect good surf conditions.” It’s a solid, clean option.
Then things get serious. From Monday 7 September through Wednesday 9 September, the swell really kicks up, but it gets too big for a break like this. The wind is strong offshore, but the swell pushes 7ft to 8ft, and the energy ramps up from 478 to a massive 1912. This is expert-only territory, and even then, it’s likely going to be a washing machine. The swell is coming from the S and SW, and with those periods around 8 to 12 seconds, it’s going to be powerful and unruly.
The standout window, though, is Thursday morning, 10 September. We’ve got a 7ft SSE groundswell, a very long 12-second period, and glassy conditions. The combined energy is a big 1140. This is an excellent opportunity for experienced surfers. The swell is just under the 8ft mark, so it’s big but not unmanageable for those who know what they’re doing. The long period means the waves will have plenty of push and shape, but at a beach break, it might be a bit straight. Still, with glassy conditions, it’s the best on offer.
Friday morning, 11 September is another clean one, with a 4ft SSE swell, 12-second period, and zero wind. The energy is still high (705), and it’s forecast as “very good surf conditions.” This would be a great follow-up session for the more experienced crew.
After that, the swell fades out again, and the last few days of the outlook are small and messy, with onshore winds and poor conditions.
So, to sum it up: the best sessions are Sunday morning the 30th of August and Monday morning the 31st of August for smaller, clean waves. Then, for the bigger stuff, mark your calendar for Thursday morning the 10th of September and Friday morning the 11th of September – those are the standouts, but they’re for experienced surfers only. The long-range stuff is promising, but keep an eye on the forecast as we get closer. The lake is a bit fickle at times, but it never stays flat for too long.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun morning, min 12°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Wed afternoon, min 14°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 15 | S 10 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 12 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
312 | 314 | 154 | 125 | 157 | 198 | 180 | 107 | 143 | 224 | 233 | 182 | 96 | 72 | 50 | 48 | 104 | 70 | 68 | 106 | 50 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | off | glassy | cross-on | off | glassy | on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off | cross-on | on | cross |
High Tide | 8:50PM1.54m | 9:24AM1.38m | 9:27PM1.47m | 10:01AM1.42m | 10:07PM1.38m | 10:41AM1.45m | 10:52PM1.27m | 11:26AM1.45m | 11:44PM1.14m | 12:20PM1.44m | 00:50AM1.03m | 1:25PM1.43m | 2:14AM0.96m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:39PM0.26m | 3:14AM0.10m | 3:21PM0.25m | 3:46AM0.12m | 4:05PM0.26m | 4:20AM0.17m | 4:55PM0.29m | 4:57AM0.24m | 5:52PM0.33m | 5:42AM0.32m | 7:00PM0.37m | 6:36AM0.40m | 8:22PM0.37m | ||||||||
6:16 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | |
— | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 24 | 25 | 20 | 26 | 27 | 23 | 26 | 25 | 17 | 20 | 23 | 20 |
Feels °C | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 19 | 19 | 16 | 22 | 23 | 20 | 23 | 23 | 16 | 16 | 20 | 16 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 10 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 12 | S 5 | S 10 | S 9 | NE 5 |
312 | 314 | 154 | 125 | 157 | 198 | 180 | 102 | 143 | 224 | 233 | 182 | 96 | 72 | 50 | 48 | 104 | 24 | 68 | 106 | 18 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 9 | S 8 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | S 18 | S 16 | S 15 | S 15 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | ENE 5 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | S 10 | SSE 5 | SSE 12 | S 10 |
57 | 214 | 103 | 117 | 92 | 150 | 176 | 107 | 74 | 38 | 37 | 18 | 33 | 33 | 32 | 32 | 19 | 70 | 22 | 14 | 50 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | — | ENE 10 | NE 5 | NE 5 | NE 5 | N 4 | NNW 3 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | S 18 | S 7 |
28 | 28 | 27 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 13 | — | 33 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 18 | 24 | 8 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ENE 3 | NE 4 | NE 3 | NE 4 | NW 2 | NW 3 | NNW 3 | NW 3 | WNW 3 | — | — | — | ENE 4 | NW 3 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 8 | 2 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | 18 | 2 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 71 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lakes Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lakes Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lakes Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lakes Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lakes Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lakes Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lakes Beach is 11 km (7 miles) from the city of Catherine Hill Bay. If you plan a holiday in Newcastle, look for hotels and other accommodation in Catherine Hill Bay. Catherine Hill Bay has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











