Derecha de los Alemanes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get down to it. The next couple weeks are a rough one, mates. There’s swell on the charts, but the wind is going to be blowing all over it and turning it into a textured mess. It’s one of those times where you might want to find a different hobby for a bit.

We’re looking at Derecha de los Alemanes (Los-Alemanes) for the whole run. It’s a reef that’s normally consistent, but we’re not going to see it at its best. The water is 74°F, which is about 2°F warmer than normal. That’s nice, but the surface conditions are going to be the story.

The first week is a total right-off. Starting Friday the 14th, there’s a moderate northeast breeze at 16 mph creating a cross-chop on a small 4ft swell. Not worth getting wet for. This holds through the weekend and into next week. The swell is all from the north, which isn’t what this break wants – it’s after a NNW pulse. The energy is weak to moderate, stuck in the low hundreds – like 196 on Friday – and it’s just not doing anything for us. The period is short, between 6 and 7 seconds, so it’s just slop. It’s going to be a messy, bumpy and frustrating paddle.

We’ll see a slight change around the 17th and 18th when the period stretches to 8 or 9 seconds, but the wind stays cross-onshore, keeping the surface lumpy. There is a hint of a more promising groundswell building for the 21st with the energy jumping to 302, but the wind is still blowing 16 mph from the NNE. It’ll be a bit bigger, around 5ft, but it will be too messy to be any good.

The second week starts with a similar story, but there’s a flicker of hope. On the 25th, the swell direction finally shifts to the NNW for one morning, and the period bumps up to 9 seconds. The energy is climbing into a strong range at 229. It’s not perfect, but it’s a hint.

That hint is just a tease though. The 26th sees the energy jump way up – we’re talking 357 – but the wind decides to blow harder, hitting 19 mph from the NNE, making it lumpy and horrible. This is big, messy, and blown out. Not for the faint of heart.

The real interesting one is way out there, on Saturday the 29th. That morning, the energy reading is massive – up at 542 – with 5ft of north swell. It’s still cross-onshore, but it’s a sign that there’s some serious juice in the water. It’s over two weeks away, so you can’t trust it, but it's something to watch. If the wind ever decides to back off, that could be a proper day. But as it stands, with the northerly winds blowing the whole time, this reef is just going to be a washing machine.

Honestly, for the next two weeks, the setup looks far more interesting for the kite surfers than for us paddle surfers. There are just no clean windows. The swell is there, but the wind is killing it. I’d say keep the board in the van and wait for that final pulse on the 29th to see what it turns into.

Rusty.

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