Derecha de los Alemanes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks. Rusty here. Gotta be straight with you—this 16-day outlook for our little corner of the coast is a tough one to write. We’re looking at a long, drawn-out stretch of messy conditions with no real standouts, so don't get your hopes up too high.

We’ve got one spot on the radar, Derecha de los Alemanes, a reef break that’s usually consistent. The water temp is sitting at 73°, which is about normal for this time of year, nothing to write home about. That’s where the good news ends, though.

The whole run starts with a whimper. From Saturday the 8th right through to Saturday the 22nd, it’s almost a complete write-off. The wind is hammering in from the north and north-northeast, mostly cross-onshore, with speeds hanging around 15 to 19 mph. That’s kicking up a choppy, lumpy mess. The swell is small, between 3 ft and 5 ft, with a short, weak period of 6 to 8 seconds. The combined wave energy is weak to moderate at best, sitting in the low to mid hundreds (like 114 to 255 range), and often the surf comment is just "poor surf conditions." There’s a tiny flicker on Monday morning the 17th where the wind drops to a gentle cross-shore breeze at 9 mph and the comment says "marginal," but it’s only a 4 ft swell with an 8-second period—hardly worth paddling out for.

The only real change comes on Saturday the 22nd. The swell bumps up a bit to 5 ft, and the period stretches out to a more promising 9 seconds. The wave energy jumps significantly to 445 (moderate to strong), which shows there’s some real push behind it. It’s still got that northerly wind though, cross-onshore at 15-19 mph, so it’ll be choppy. The following Sunday the 23rd gets even messier with a strong cross-shore wind near 25 mph, making it a real battle. For a reef break like this, that onshore wind and chop is a killer. The wind direction is from the north, which is not the optimum NNW direction for this wave, so it’s not set up to be its best.

With the constant onshore wind and small, short-period swell, this setup honestly looks more interesting for a kite session than a surf. The consistent cross-onshore wind is perfect for that, but for a paddle surfer, it’s a long wait for clean waves that just aren’t coming. There’s a good 14-day gap here with no real recommendation, and that’s a tough pill to swallow. Keep an eye on the forecast, it can change, but right now, this is a blank run for the area.

Rusty.

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