Derecha de los Alemanes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. We’ve got a solid 16-day window ahead for Derecha de los Alemanes, but I’ll be straight with you – it’s a bit of a mixed bag for most of it. The swell’s coming in, but the wind cops it more often than not.

Right from Saturday the 11th, we’re looking at small, weak surf. Swell heights are barely 1 ft out of the WNW and NW, with a short period around 5 to 8 seconds. The combined energy is low – just 30 to 44 – so there’s not much push. And the wind? Cross-on shore, chopping it all up. Not worth the paddle.

We get a bump up Sunday the 12th into Monday the 13th, with swell hitting 3 ft to 4 ft from the NW and NNW. The period stretches to 8 to 9 seconds, so there’s a bit more shape. Combined energy climbs into the 160s to 190s, which is moderate. But again, the wind is cross or cross-on, keeping conditions poor. This stretch gets a total score of 0 out of 10 from me – just messy.

Tuesday the 14th through Wednesday the 15th, the swell holds around 3 ft to 4 ft, but the period drops right off into the 4 to 5 second range on Wednesday morning – that’s just wind slop. Energy is weak, in the 60s to 90s. Fresh cross-onshore winds up to 19 mph make it lumpy. This is kite-surfing territory, not for a paddle.

Thursday the 16th, things start to get a bit more serious. Swell builds to 5 ft from the north, period 6 to 7 seconds, and combined energy jumps to 226 to 275 – moderate, but the wind is still fresh cross-onshore. Still poor surf conditions. This pattern holds through Friday the 17th and into Saturday the 18th, where swell peaks at 6 ft from the north, period 9 seconds, and energy hits 504. That’s moderate to strong energy. But the wind stays fresh cross-onshore at 19 mph – it’s choppy, not clean.

Sunday the 19th keeps similar numbers – 6 ft swell, 9 seconds, energy around 428 to 496 – but still cross-onshore. Disappointing for the size.

Finally, we get a glimmer of hope. On Monday the 20th, the swell is 5 ft from the north, period 9 seconds, energy at 528 (strong energy). And the wind? Moderate cross-shore. It’s still not perfect, but the bump in energy and a less brutal wind make this the best on offer in the whole window. It’s not a standout day for the ages, but the size and energy are there if you’re keen for a challenge. Tuesday the 21st afternoon is also interesting – cross-offshore wind from the east at 12 mph, giving clean conditions, but the swell drops to 4 ft.

After that, the rest of the window into the 26th has swell hovering around 3 ft to 5 ft, mostly north, with periods around 7 to 8 seconds. Wind is generally cross-on or onshore. The water temp anomaly isn’t mentioned, so it’s about average for July. Crowds do show up here sometimes, so expect a few others around if you head out.

Bottom line: everything here is rated “poor surf conditions” with a score of 0 out of 10 until the 20th. If you’re waiting for a magical day, this isn’t it. The 20th is the pick, with the most energy and the least terrible wind, but keep your expectations in check. For an exposed reef like this, we need cleaner conditions to really fire.

Rusty.

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