Derecha de los Alemanes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s cooking for the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – this is a tough stretch. We’re looking at Derecha de los Alemanes, a reef break that’s consistent and works best with a NNW swell, but we just aren’t getting that love from the ocean. There’s a block of surf right through from Friday the 24th of July all the way into the second week of August, but the conditions just aren’t playing ball.

We kick off Friday afternoon with a solid 6ft of swell, but it’s coming from the north with a short 7-second period, and a stiff 22 mph cross-onshore wind from the NNE is making a mess of it. That poor surf quality tag is well earned – lumpy and blown out. That pattern holds through the weekend and into the start of next week. The swell stays in the 5ft to 6ft range with 8-second periods through Sunday (July 25-26), but that wind doesn’t let up. The water temp is sitting at 72°, which is about average for the time of year here with a 0.7° anomaly, so no drama there.

From Monday the 27th through to the end of July, the swell drops below 5ft and the wind, while backing off a touch to a moderate breeze, stays onshore. The combined energy of that swell is moderate, hitting around 266 on Monday morning and sliding down to 127 by Thursday afternoon (July 30). The wave period is short (6-8 seconds), so we’re dealing with weak, wind-affected waves. Honestly, this is looking more like a kiteboarding setup than a clean paddle session.

We hit a real lull at the end of July into the first of August. On Friday the 31st, the swell is down to 3ft with only 6-second periods, and the combined energy is in the weak zone (73-89). Sloppy, tiny, and not worth a second look.

Then things get a little interesting, but it’s a tease. On the morning of Saturday, August 1st, we get a direction shift to the WNW, with a 9-second period and a gentler 9 mph wind. Swell is still just 3ft, and it’s cross-onshore, so it’s still messy. The combined energy bumps up slightly to 174 (moderate) on the Saturday. But here’s the standout to keep an eye on: Monday morning, August 3rd. We see the swell period jump to 10 seconds from the NNW, the wind is a gentle 9 mph, and the combined energy hits 281 – that’s a moderate, punchier feel for the swell. The catch? It's still coming in cross-onshore, so expect some chop, but this is the best window for shape and energy in the whole outlook. It’s not perfect, but it’s the closest we get.

After that, the pattern falls apart again into the second week. From Tuesday August 4th onwards, the wind picks back up into the fresh range (16-19 mph) from the NNE, and we’re back to lumpy, onshore slop. The swell sticks around 4ft to 5ft, but with that wind, you’re fighting a losing battle. The combined energy stays moderate (230-345), but the quality is consistently poor right through to Saturday August 8th.

So to put it simply: there are no real standout, clean days here. The best bet is Monday morning, August 3rd, at Derecha de los Alemanes, where you’ll get the cleanest swell lines and the lightest wind of the entire period, but even then, the wind is not offshore. It’s a “make the best of it” kind of session. Everything else is blown out or too small. This is an area where a long blank run like this isn't super common, so keep your hopes up – forecasts change.

Rusty.

Read more