Derecha de los Alemanes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab a coffee and listen up. It’s Rusty here, and I’ve got the full 16-day picture for your local stretch.

To be straight with you, it’s a grim run ahead. There’s surf on the charts, sure, but the wind is the villain in this story, and it doesn’t let up. For the entire 16-day window, from Wednesday the 5th of August all the way through to Thursday the 20th of August, the conditions at Derecha de los Alemanes are locked into a constant cross-onshore breeze. That means choppy, lumpy, and just plain messy waves every single session. There is no standout, no hidden gem day, and nothing worth paddling out for unless you’re desperate for a saltwater rinse.

Let’s break it down. The water is sitting at a warm 73°, which is about 2° warmer than usual for this time of year. That’s a nice touch, but it’s wasted on the slop we’re looking at.

The first bit of the run, from Wednesday the 5th through the weekend, sees a small pulse of swell with heights around 2 ft to 5 ft, mostly from the north. The combined swell energy builds from a meager 150 (weak) up to a moderate 345 by Saturday morning, but with that fresh NNE wind at 15 to 18 mph, it’s just a blown-out mess. The period is short, between 6 and 8 seconds, so you’re getting weak, crumbly peaks with no power.

Into the second week, it gets even more depressing. From Monday the 10th through to the following Sunday the 16th, the swell drops back to 4 ft to 5 ft, but the wind stays relentless out of the north and NNE, 12 to 18 mph. The energy falls back into the weak to moderate range, but the conditions remain poor: fresh cross-onshore wind and lumpy surf. The period never really gets above 8 seconds, so it’s all wind-slop.

The tail end, from Monday the 17th to Thursday the 20th, shows no improvement. Small swell, 3 ft to 4 ft, and still that stubborn cross-onshore wind. The energy dips as low as 90 on the 19th (Wednesday afternoon), which is barely a ripple. A few clouds roll in, but it doesn’t change the wind.

Look, sometimes you just have to call it like it is. This is one of those blank runs where the forecast is consistent – consistently bad. For a reef break that needs an offshore wind to shape up, this northerly airflow is a killer. The only upside? There’s no crowd to fight, because nobody’s out there.

Don’t hold your breath. Wait for the next system, and hope the wind swings around.

Rusty.

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