Derecha de los Alemanes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty. Look, I’ve gotta be straight with you – this 16-day window for Derecha de los Alemanes is a write-off for anything worth paddling out for. The wind is hammering from the north-northeast and north almost every session, and it’s cross-on or cross-shore all the way, with a fresh breeze most days, sometimes a strong breeze. That’s gonna leave the surface lumpy, choppy, and messy. The swell is there, but it’s short-period windswell – mostly 6 to 8 seconds, so it’s weak and disorganised, and the moderate wave energy (102 to 122) early on just doesn’t stack up. The water temp is sitting at 73°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you won’t need a thick suit, but that’s the only bright spot.

The first few days – Friday 17 July through to Sunday 20 July – are a total no-go. Clean surf? Forget it. The wind is 19 mph from the NNE, cross-on, and the swell is 3ft to 5ft but with that short period, it’s just bumpy slop. The combined energy stays under 260. You’d be fighting a losing battle.

Monday 21 July to Wednesday 23 July sees the swell bump up to 5ft–5ft, and the energy gets into the 200s and 300s, but the wind stays strong and cross-on. Still poor surf conditions. No change.

Thursday 24 July to Sunday 27 July – the swell holds around 5ft–6ft, and by Sunday 27 July the period stretches to 8–9 seconds, but the wind is still 19 mph cross-on, so it’s lumpy. The energy climbs to 452 (moderate) by Sunday afternoon, but it’s still not surfable.

Monday 28 July through Wednesday 30 July – the swell builds to 7ft–7ft, and the period finally hits 9 seconds, with energy jumping to 940 (moderate) and even 1229 (strong) on Wednesday afternoon. But the wind is still cross-on, 19 mph, and the comments say “poor surf conditions.” Thursday 30 July morning is the only session that gets a “marginal” label – 7ft, NNE, 9 seconds, cross-shore wind, but still lumpy. That’s the closest you’ll get to maybe a few moments, but I wouldn’t get excited.

Friday 31 July to Saturday 1 August – the swell peaks at 8ft–8ft, with period up to 10 seconds, and the energy is 1408 to 1503 (strong). But the wind is cross-on at 19 mph, and the notes say “poor surf conditions” and “messy.” For a reef break like this, that size with cross-on wind is a washing machine, and honestly, it looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

There’s no standout break here – it’s the only one in the region, and it’s a no-go for the full 16 days. The whole run is a blank. Derecha de los Alemanes is consistent, so it tends not to stay poor for long, but this time it’s a long stretch of ugly. Keep an eye on the forecasts, because things can change, but for now, I’d leave the boards at home.

Rusty

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