Derecha de los Alemanes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you. Looking at the whole 16-day window, it's a bit of a grim picture for Derecha de los Alemanes. We've got a solid run of waves on the way, but the wind is just gonna ruin just about every single one of them. It's a classic case of "plenty of ocean, but none of it clean."

The setup is a reef break, and it's a consistent one, which is good. But we're looking at waves coming from the north and northwest, which is the wrong direction for this spot. It's exposed, but the optimum swell direction is from the NNW. We'll see some of that early, but it's a mess.

The first real surf on offer kicks off on Sunday the 2nd. There's a small swell, around 2ft, with a period of 9 seconds from the WNW. The energy is weak, sitting at 147. But it's blown out by a moderate cross-onshore breeze from the north at 12 mph, making it choppy. Sunday afternoon drops to 2ft, and the wind picks up to 16 mph. Not good.

Monday the 3rd through Wednesday the 5th is more of the same. The swell bumps up to 3ft but the period drops to a junky 6 seconds. The wind stays cross-onshore from the NNE at 16 mph. It's all just poor surf conditions. The energy stays weak, mostly in the 90s to 140s. Not worth getting wet for.

We get a slight bump on Thursday the 6th morning. The swell pushes to 4ft from the north with a 6-second period. The energy gets a bit more moderate at 186. But the wind is still a cross-shore mess, so it's still going to be chopped up. Same story Thursday afternoon.

The weekend of the 9th and 10th sees a little more size Sunday afternoon, with the swell hitting 4ft and the period stretching out to 10 seconds. The energy jumps up to a moderate 244. But the wind is still a howling cross-onshore 16 mph. The conditions aren’t there.

The second week is where things get a bit bigger but also messier. From Monday the 10th, we see the swell stay in the 3ft to 4ft range, but the winds stay brutal. By Wednesday the 12th, it's a fresh cross-onshore 19 mph breeze, and the wave energy begins to climb into the 200s. The surf size builds through the week, hitting 5ft by Thursday the 13th afternoon. Friday the 14th and into Saturday the 15th, we're looking at 5ft to 5ft waves, with the energy reaching a strong 310 on Saturday afternoon. The period is still short, around 7-8 seconds.

But here's the thing – with the wind howling cross-onshore at 16-19 mph and the waves getting over 5ft, this place is going to be a complete washing machine. The combination of the onshore wind and the short-period swell will make it lumpy and closed out. For a beginner spot, this is way too much and far too messy. For the experts, it’s just not worth it.

So, the honest truth is that there are no standout days in this entire run. Everything is blown out. If you're desperate, the best of a bad bunch is perhaps the afternoon of the 9th, when the period jumps to 10 seconds and the energy is moderate, but the wind is still just awful. Looking at this, the setup looks far more interesting for the kite surfers than for us paddle surfers. A 16-day blank run like this is a real possibility when the wind gods are this angry. Forecasts can change, but for now, save your energy.

Rusty, signing off.

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