Liencres Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Gotta be straight with you – this upcoming stretch for Liencres is a real test of patience. We’re looking at a long, dry spell before anything even remotely rideable shows up.

Right now, the water is sitting at a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, about 71°.

We start off with a big fat nothing. The first few days are a write-off. Friday the 17th through Sunday the 19th of July offer nothing but tiny, weak dribble with poor surf conditions. The 1ft to 2ft slop has no energy (combined energy of all swells directed here around 7-39) and the period is short. Not worth paddling out for.

Monday the 20th sees a pulse of swell arrive, but it’s a messy one. The morning shows 5ft from the N with a combined energy of all swells directed here of 215, but it’s onshore wind and the report calls it marginal. The afternoon gets bigger at 5ft (281 energy) but the NE wind is a strong 12 mph cross-shore, making it choppy and poor. Tuesday the 21st is a bit cleaner in the morning with cross-offshore winds and 5ft swell (187 energy), but it’s still just ordinary, surfable waves. The afternoon gets blown out by a strong 16 mph breeze.

From Wednesday the 22nd all the way through to Sunday the 27th, it’s back to tiny, weak, and mostly onshore junk. We’re talking 1ft to 4ft of mushy, low-energy swell with cross-on winds. There’s a brief moment of glass on Thursday the 23rd morning, but the swell is only 3ft and 44 energy – not enough to get excited about.

After a week of this, Monday the 28th of July morning finally shows a flicker of hope. The wind goes glassy, with a 3ft NW swell and a combined energy of all swells directed here of 194. It’s still just ordinary, but it’s the cleanest window we’ve seen. The afternoon, however, gets a surge of proper energy – 5ft NW swell with a 13-second period and a massive 711 energy reading. The problem? Onshore wind and questionable tide conditions. It’s tempting, but it’s a gamble.

Now, the real story is what happens at the end of the month. The standouts are the 30th of July and the 31st of July. This is where the big NW groundswell hits. We’re looking at 8ft to 10ft of NW swell with a 12-second period, and combined energy of all swells directed here readings of 1425 to 2310. That is serious, powerful ocean energy. The wind is light and cross-on, which is okay, but the report is clear: this swell is predicted to be too big for this break. This is expert-only territory, and even then, it’s going to be a washing machine. The long period, over 11 seconds, means the sets will be powerful and fat, better suited for a point or reef than this exposed beach setup. If you’re a beginner, stay well clear. For the experienced crew, it’s a big, raw, and potentially dangerous challenge.

The first few days of August then drop back down to a smaller, less impressive 5ft with onshore winds again.

So, the best of the whole 16-day window? If you’re looking for size and power, the 30th and 31st of July are it, but only if you’re an expert and know what you’re doing in heavy, oversized surf. For cleaner, more manageable waves, the 28th of July morning is your best bet, but it’s small. Honestly, there’s no truly perfect day here. The long gap of poor surf from the start is a bummer, but that’s the coast for you. Forecasts change, so keep an eye on it.

Rusty.

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