Liencres Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's take a hard look at Liencres. I've got the 16-day window in front of me, and I won't sugarcoat it: we're looking at a lean stretch. The overall pattern is all about small, weak swell and persistent onshore or cross-onshore breezes, which means the waves are going to be pretty ordinary for the vast majority of the period. There’s a big gap of surf that’s barely worth mentioning, with only a couple of very brief windows where conditions turn glassy. The best bet is a long way off.

First up, Tuesday 7th July. We’ve got tiny 1ft NW swell, but it’s cross-on from the W at 9 mph, making for choppy, poor conditions. That’s a no-go. The same story essentially holds through the first week. We’re looking at swell heights bouncing between 0.7ft and 2ft, with light cross-on winds all the way through to Saturday 11th. The combined wave energy is weak, staying under 100 for the entire run. The wave comment just reads “poor surf conditions.”

Now, look closer. On Sunday morning 12th July, we finally get a break. The winds go glassy, dead calm from the NE at 3 mph, and the swell is a tiny 2ft from the NW at 10 seconds. This is a moment where the ocean might clean up. The wave comment finally says “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions.” It’s not a standout, but if you’re desperate for a paddle, that glassy morning is the only window in the first week where you might get a few unbroken lines. The water temperature is a notable 21°C (70°F), which is much warmer than normal for this time of year.

After that, it’s back to poor surf with light onshore and cross-on winds. Swell drops to 0.3ft on Tuesday 14th. The next flicker of hope comes on Friday morning 17th July, another brief glassy spell. The breeze is from the NW at 3 mph, and we've got 3ft swell from the WNW at 7 seconds. The wave comment again is “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions.” That’s the biggest swell of the whole window, but it's weak energy only hitting 61 and that short period (7 seconds) means a weak, disorganised wave. It's still a better bet than the rest.

Beyond that, from Saturday 18th July all the way through Wednesday 22nd July, it’s consistently poor conditions with tiny swell under 2ft and light cross-onshore winds. There are some glassy moments on Monday 20th and Tuesday 21st mornings, but with only 0.7ft on offer, that’s basically flat. The combined energy is in the single digits or low teens.

So, what’s the call? The only two real, though thin, standouts are the glassy mornings. Sunday 12th July offers the cleanest conditions in the first week, but the swell is tiny. Friday 17th July gives you the biggest surf of the period, 3ft, but it’s short-period and not powerful. Neither is a classic. For a beginner, anything over 5ft is too big, but we never get there, so these are not threatening. Liencres is consistent, but the quality is just not there in this forecast. It’s a waiting game. Forecasts change, but right now, keep your expectations low.

Rusty.

Read more