Le Poux Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab a coffee and settle in, because the next 16 days at Le Poux are... well, a bit of a test of patience. I’ve looked at the numbers, and truth be told, the whole outlook is a struggle. It’s a beach and reef setup, and it's a spot that ‘rarely breaks’ as it is. Unfortunately, that’s not going to change during this period. The whole run is a collection of poor surf conditions, so I’m calling it straight. There are no standout days in this forecast. The wind is almost always onshore, cross-onshore, or cross-shore. The only time we get some clean, offshore wind – around the 22nd and 23rd of August – the swell drops to nothing.

Water temp is a talking point though. On the 18th of August, it’s sitting at 69°F with a 5°F anomaly, so that’s much warmer than usual for this time of year.

We start the run on Tuesday, 18th August, with a weak 4ft swell from the west and a short, weak period of 5 seconds. The combined energy is a measly 62, and with a 19 mph onshore wind, it’s blown out. That’s the pattern for the first week. We get a tiny pulse on Thursday the 20th – 5ft from the west, period up to 9 seconds, energy hitting 342 – but the wind is onshore. By Saturday the 22nd and Sunday the 23rd, the wind finally swings offshore and the conditions get glassy, but the swell disappears to barely 1ft. That’s just not rideable.

After that, we enter a long, flat gap. From the 24th of August right through to the morning of the 1st of September, there is simply nothing worth paddling out for. We’re talking nine days of tiny, weak swell with poor winds.

Then, on Tuesday the 1st of September, the energy finally kicks up. We see a 7ft swell from the west with a 10-second period, and the combined energy jumps to 755. This is a moderate to strong push of energy. But – and it’s a big but – the wind is a fresh cross-onshore from the SSW at 19 mph. The surf will be lumpy and choppy. 7ft is also getting into the size that's more for experienced surfers, not beginners. The quality is rated as poor. That theme continues into Wednesday the 2nd with a 5ft swell from the WSW, 10 seconds, 454 energy, but again cross-onshore wind at 22 mph.

So there you have it. A 16-day window with a massive flat spot in the middle and a bit of size at the very end that is ruined by the wind. For a spot that rarely fires, this is just a blank run. If you’re in the area, perhaps look for a lake or reef shelter, or maybe the conditions are better for a kite session than a paddle. The forecasts can change, but right now, it’s looking grim.

Rusty.

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