Le Poux Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ve gotta be straight with you – this 16-day window for Le Poux is a bit of a heartbreaker. We’re staring down a long, dry spell with no real surf to get excited about. The first recommendation doesn’t even pop up until Wednesday the 16th, and even then, it’s marginal at best. Before that, we’ve got a solid nine days of pretty much nothing worth paddling for.

The whole outlook is dominated by very weak wave energy. The combined swell energy barely cracks triple digits on a few days, and most of the time it’s hanging in the low double or even single digits, which is basically flat. The water temp is a standout, though – it’s a whopping 67°F with a massive 5°F anomaly, meaning it’s much warmer than normal for this time of year. That’s one good thing, but it won’t save the surf.

From September 7th right through to the 15th, every session is a dud. The swell is tiny, mostly 1 ft to 4 ft, and the wind is a mess. We’ve got heavy rain, strong cross-offshores, and cross-onshore winds up to 25 mph making it choppy and unsurfable. The period is all over the place, but mostly short, under 8 seconds, which means weak, wind-affected waves. Even when the wind is offshore, like on the 10th, the swell is too small to do anything with. It’s a total write-off.

Then on Wednesday the 16th, we finally see a glimmer. The morning shows a clean, cross-offshore breeze from the NNE at 6 mph, with a 2 ft swell from the W and a period of 11 seconds. The combined energy is 114 – still weak, but it’s the first surfable moment. The wave comment says “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions,” so don’t expect any barrels. The afternoon gets a bit windier, but still clean. It’s not a standout, just the best of a bad lot.

Thursday the 17th keeps it clean with strong offshore winds from the E at 19 mph, but the swell drops to 2 ft or less. The energy is down to 48 and 27 – flat again. Friday the 18th has a bit more punch in the morning, with a 3 ft swell from the WNW and a period of 9 seconds, but the offshore wind is fresh at 19 mph, making it clean but small. The afternoon has a 3 ft swell with a longer 11-second period and energy of 218, which is moderate, but the wave comment says “marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions.” It’s not worth a special trip.

After that, it fizzles out again. Saturday the 19th and Sunday the 20th are clean but tiny, with swells under 3 ft. The only real highlight is Sunday afternoon: a 3 ft swell from the WNW with a 12-second period and energy of 233, paired with a light offshore wind from the NE at 6 mph. The wave comment says “expect good surf conditions,” but with that size, it’s really only for logs or a longboard. The last few days, the 21st and 22nd, are back to small, windy, and flat.

Honestly, the best option in this whole window is Sunday the 20th afternoon. Even then, it’s a long wait for a knee-high wave. For a spot that “rarely breaks,” this is about as quiet as it gets. The setup here is a beach and reef, but with the constant poor quality and strong wind days, it honestly looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing on several days, especially when the cross-offshore winds are howling and the swell is tiny.

So, hang tight and keep an eye on the charts. It tends not to stay poor for long, and forecasts can change. But for now, leave the boards at home.

Rusty.

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