Le Poux Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – if you’re looking to paddle out around here, you’re gonna have to be patient. The forecast is a bit of a dry spell for most of the next two weeks, but there’s a tiny light at the end of the tunnel if you’re keen.

For the first 11 days, from Sunday the 2nd of August right through to Wednesday the 13th, it’s pretty grim. The swell is tiny, mostly under 3 feet, and the wind is almost always onshore or cross-onshore, which just ruins what little bump there is. The combined wave energy is weak, barely cracking 100 (17-35), so you’re looking at blown-out, grovelly conditions. Not worth the wetsuit.

The only real break we have to look at is Le Poux, a beach and reef setup that rarely breaks. It’s exposed to the WNW, but the small swell and gnarly cross-shore winds mean it’s a no-go for a solid week and a half.

Then, on Thursday morning the 13th of August, we get a little glimmer. The wind goes glassy, dead calm, and the swell is a tiny 2 feet from the west with an 8-second period. The combined energy is still low (73), but it’s described as "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions." Honestly, for this spot, that’s the best you’re gonna get. It’s a beginner-friendly wave, but don’t expect much power. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The real standout, if you can call it that, is Sunday morning the 16th of August. The swell picks up to 5 feet from the west, with a 7-second period, and the wind is light offshore from the WSW at 10 km/h. The combined energy jumps to 212 (moderate) and the conditions are flagged as "marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions." The offshore wind will clean it up, making it the best looking window in the whole 16-day run. That 5 feet is getting a bit much for beginners, but it’s still manageable for most. The short period means it’ll be a bit crumbly and fat, not a lot of push.

Then Monday morning the 17th of August, the swell bumps up to 8 feet (WSW) with a 7-second period, and the wind is light cross-onshore. The energy is a strong 577, but that’s a lot of water for this spot. Over 8 feet, it’s expert territory, and with the short, fat period, it’s likely to be a dangerous, washing-machine mess. Not a day for the average surfer.

So, to sum it up: don’t bother until Thursday the 13th for a tiny, glassy session. The best on offer is Sunday morning the 16th with 5 feet and clean offshore wind – that’s your window. Everything else is a write-off.

Rusty.

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