Le Poux Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you: this 16-day window is a tough one for Le Poux. There’s a real long stretch of quiet, messy conditions at the start that’s hard to get excited about. The first real glimmer of anything halfway decent doesn’t pop up until Tuesday morning, July 28th, and even then it’s a small affair.

The overall pattern is dominated by persistent cross-onshore winds and weak, short-period windswell. For the first several days, it’s basically all poor surf conditions with choppy, lumpy water. The combined energy is tiny, mostly in the single digits or low tens (10 to 123), which is barely enough to move a sea lion.

Tuesday, July 28th is the first time things clean up. The morning sees a light SE cross-offshore breeze, and the wave comment is “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions.” The swell is a tiny 2 ft from the WNW with a period of 9 seconds, energy at just 42. It’s clean, but it’s small. The afternoon is even smaller with 1 ft and clean conditions. This is the only real window in the first week that’s not a total write-off, but it’s not a standout – it’s just the best of a bad lot.

After that, it’s back to small, weak, and cross-onshore until Friday, July 31st. That morning sees a light NE offshore wind with 1.0 ft from the WNW, period of 7 seconds, and clean conditions. The energy is only 27. It’s clean, but knee-high at best.

Then we hit a real gap. From Saturday, August 1st, through to the end of the forecast, conditions are consistently poor. Winds are cross-onshore, and the swell is either tiny or, when it does pop, it’s blown out. There’s one notable pulse on Wednesday, August 5th: the swell jumps to 5 ft from the west with a period of 9 seconds, and the combined energy is strong (416 and 408). That’s a solid amount of water moving around. But the wind is a moderate cross-onshore, and the wave comment is “poor surf conditions.” For a beach-and-reef setup like Le Poux, with that much wind on it, this looks more like a kite-surfing day than a paddle-surfing one. It’s a lot of energy, but it’s messy and lumpy. Only for the most determined crew.

The standout, if you can call it that, is really Tuesday, July 28th morning. It’s the only time the stars align for clean conditions with any kind of rideable wave. The swell is small (2 ft, WNW), but the light offshore wind and clean conditions make it the most user-friendly option. The water temperature is a notable 67°F, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year – a solid 5° warmer than average. So you’ll be comfortable in a shorty or even boardies if you’re tough.

Beyond that, the second week is a wash. The 5 ft pulse on August 5th is the only real energy, but it’s wasted with the wind. The long-range stuff from August 7th onward is all tiny, weak, and cross-onshore again. A real bummer of a run.

Rusty.

Read more