Le Poux Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you: the next couple of weeks are going to test your patience if you’re hanging out for waves at Le Poux. The swell shows up, but it’s mostly small, short-period, and the wind’s all over the shop for most of the run. There’s a heap of days where you’ll be staring at dribble and cross-shore chop. But keep the faith—there’s a couple of windows right at the end that actually look worth paddling out for.

We’re looking at a pretty flat start. Sunday the 2nd has a touch of west swell at about 1ft with an 8 second period, but the energy is weak (15) and the water’s a warm 68°, which is about 5° above normal—pretty unusual for this time of year. You’d be floating more than surfing. Monday and Tuesday are just as small, maybe up to 2ft, but the winds are messy and the energy stays low. Not worth getting wet.

Things try to pick up slightly mid-week. Wednesday the 5th sees a bump to around 5ft but the period’s short at 7 seconds and the wind’s onshore and fresh, making it lumpy and poor. Energy climbs a bit (192), but it’s not doing you any favours. Thursday and Friday fade back down to under 3ft with poor form and choppy conditions. It’s a real grind.

The weekend of the 8th and 9th has a bit more pulse—Saturday afternoon gets to about 4ft but it’s cross-shore and messy, and Sunday morning has around 3ft with onshore wind. Still not surfable in any decent sense. The energy is moderate at best (109) but the quality just isn’t there.

Then we hit a proper lull. From Monday the 10th through to Wednesday the 12th, the swell drops right off—down to 0.3ft to 1ft, with almost no energy (values as low as 1). It’s dead flat for a few days. You could skip the lot.

The first real glimmer shows up on Thursday the 13th—a tiny cross-off swell at 0.6ft in the morning, then 3ft with a 4 second period in the afternoon. It’s clean but weak, and the period is so short it’s barely breaking. Not enough to get excited about.

Now, here’s the standout. Friday the 14th is where you want to be. The morning sees about 4ft of west swell with a 7 second period and light ESE cross-off breeze—clean conditions, and the energy is building (168). By the afternoon it jumps to 5ft with an 8 second period, light NNE cross-off wind, and the energy really kicks in (258). That’s the best surf of the entire window. The wave comment says “expect good surf conditions” and it’s the only day that rates close to anything decent. Le Poux is a beach and reef setup, rarely breaks, but when it does, this is the day. The period’s a touch short for real power, but clean and punchy enough for a fun session. Crowds are rare here, so you might have it to yourself.

Saturday the 15th has some potential in the morning—4ft, light cross breeze, energy at 230—but the guidance flags it as marginal, so don’t bank on it. By the afternoon it’s already dropping off with more cross-shore wind.

Then the window closes. Sunday the 16th brings 4–5ft but with fresh onshore wind and chop—poor. Monday the 17th sees the biggest swell of the run, up to 5ft and energy hitting 313 in the morning and 507 in the afternoon, but the wind is onshore and strong, making it lumpy and messy. That’s not for paddle surfing; that’s more like kite territory.

So honestly, the only real standout is Friday afternoon the 14th. The rest is either too small, too chopped, or just plain flat. It’s a lean couple of weeks for Le Poux. I’d pencil in that Friday session and otherwise keep the board in the car, just in case.

Rusty.

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