Le Poux Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, and I’ve gotta be straight with you – the next 16 days at Le Poux are a bit of a tough stretch. The forecast is a long, dry run of mostly poor surf conditions, so don’t expect any magic. There’s literally nothing to recommend as a standout, and I mean nothing.

Let’s start with the first chance for a wave, Wednesday afternoon, August 5th. We’ve got a 4ft swell from the west, but it’s only got a 7-second period, so it’s weak and messy. The wind is cross-on from the west at 16 mph, making it choppy. Combined wave energy is only 142 (moderate), but it’s just not clean. Water temperature is 68°F, which is 5°F warmer than normal – that’s very unusual for this time of year, so the water’s a lot warmer than you’d expect, but it won’t help the surf.

From Thursday, August 6th, through to the end of the second week, the story is more of the same: tiny waves, poor wind, and no quality. The best you’ll see is a little 3ft swell on Thursday afternoon, August 13th, from the west with a 9-second period and combined energy of 120 (moderate), but it’s cross-on at 12 mph. The swell direction is from the west, which matches the optimum for Le Poux (WNW), but the wind ruins it. Friday, August 14th, has a similar 3ft swell with energy up to 127, but again, cross-on wind at 16 mph. It’s just not worth paddling out.

There’s a gap of several days with no real surf from August 6th until the 13th, where the swell tries to build a little, but it’s still poor. By August 16th, Sunday, we see a 6ft to 6ft swell from the west, with a short 6-7 second period, and fresh cross-on winds at 22 mph. Combined energy jumps to 232 and 312 (strong to very strong), but the wind is howling and it’s all cross-on, making it lumpy and messy – that’s more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddle session. The swell is over 5ft, so it’s too big for beginners, and with that wind, even experts won’t get a clean wave.

The break itself is a beach and reef setup, but it rarely breaks, and the forecast confirms it. The only time we see some cleaner conditions is on Saturday, August 8th, with a light offshore breeze from the east at 6 mph, but the swell is just 0.3ft – tiny, flat, and not worth it. The same goes for Sunday, August 9th, with clean conditions but no wave energy.

In short, this is a 16-day blank run. Le Poux is a spot that’s inconsistent at the best of times, and this forecast is a perfect example of why. The water’s unusually warm, but that’s the only notable thing. There’s no standout, no day to circle on the calendar. Forecasts can change, but for now, give it a miss.

Rusty.

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