Le Poux Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get real about the next couple of weeks. I’ve been staring at the charts for Le Poux, and I’ve got to be straight with you—it’s looking pretty bleak for a proper surf. We’ve got a long stretch of nothing on the cards, and you’re gonna have to be patient if you’re hanging for a wave.

The first week is a total write-off. We’re talking tiny, weak swell with a lot of cross-onshore wind messing things up. The water’s sitting at 68°F, which is much warmer than usual for this time of year, but that’s about the only positive thing I can dig up. The energy in the water is weak, with combined swell energy values stuck in the low hundreds or even single digits. You’d be lucky to find anything over 2ft, and the period is short and crumbly. It’s just not worth paddling out for the slop we’re seeing. Even the glassy morning on the 8th, with the swell barely a ripple, is a no-go. There’s nothing to ride.

We’ve got a solid gap of about a week with zero hope. The swell stays tiny through to the 13th, with the energy levels still in the weak zone. The odd day might look clean on paper with a light offshore, but the swell just isn’t there. It’s a classic dead spell, and it’s not unusual for this area to go quiet like this.

Now, looking into the second week, things start to wake up a little, but it’s a far cry from perfect. The 14th sees the swell bump up to 3ft from the west, and the energy finally climbs into the moderate range (132 on the combined scale). But the wind is still cross-shore, so it’s going to be a bit chopped up. The 16th and the 18th have the biggest swell of the period, with the 18th seeing waves pushing 7ft with a strong west swell. The energy gets serious, jumping to 489, which is a strong signal. But the wind is onshore and cross-onshore, making for messy, blown-out conditions. This isn’t a clean, grinding point break—it’s a beach and reef setup, and with that wind, it’s going to be a battle. At 7ft with that short period, it’s also pushing past the beginner zone, and it’s going to be a challenge for everyone. Honestly, with that size and the onshore wind, I’d be looking at kites and foils rather than a surfboard.

The only real standout, if you can call it that, is the morning of the 14th. It’s got 3ft of west swell and the energy is moderate. The wind is a light cross-shore, so it might clean up a bit. But it’s a long-range call, so I wouldn't book my week around it. It’s a “maybe” at best.

So, the bottom line: the next 16 days are a test of patience. The first week is a total blank, and the second week offers a glimmer of size but with poor conditions. If you’re desperate, keep an eye on the 14th and the 18th, but temper your expectations. This one’s for the die-hards, not the casual surfer.

Rusty.

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