Le Poux Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. I’ve looked over the next 16 days for Le Poux, and I gotta be straight with you—it’s a tough stretch. This spot is a beach and reef setup that rarely breaks, and the weather gods are just not playing ball. We’ve got a long, dry run of nothing worth paddling out for, with only a tiny glimmer way down the line. Let’s get into it.

We start off on Monday, September 7th, with some clouds and a moderate breeze. The swell is tiny at 2ft from the west, with a long 15-second period, but the wind is onshore and messy. Combined energy is weak (245). The water is 67°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, but that’s about the only positive. The whole first week is a write-off. Tuesday through the following Monday are all marked by poor surf conditions—cross-onshore winds, choppy waves, and combined energy that never gets strong. The swell heights bobble around 1ft to 5ft, but the wind and quality just aren’t there.

The only real glimmer comes on Tuesday, September 15th, in the morning. We get a brief moment of glassy conditions with some clouds. The swell is 3ft from the WNW, with a period of 8 seconds, and combined energy is moderate (139). The wind is glassy, which is a major positive, but the surf report still says “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions.” It’s not a standout by any stretch, but it’s the only time the wind lines up. The afternoon sees a longer-period 12-second swell from the same direction, but the wind turns cross-onshore, so that window slams shut.

After that, the second week is a mess. Wednesday, September 16th, brings strong cross-onshore winds and a tiny 2ft swell. Thursday, September 17th, sees a huge spike in combined energy—1849 on the morning—with an 12ft swell from the west, but the wind is screaming onshore at 35 km/h. That’s expert-only territory in terrible conditions, and the setup looks more like a kite-surfing zone than a paddle session. The weekend of September 19th to 20th has some size, with 7ft to 7ft swells, but the wind is still onshore or cross-onshore, and the period is short (6-8 seconds), making for lumpy, messy waves. The combined energy is strong (901 on the Saturday afternoon), but the quality is poor.

Finally, on Monday, September 21st, we get a shift. A north-northeast wind gives us clean, cross-offshore conditions in the morning and afternoon. The swell is 3ft from the WNW, with a period of 8-10 seconds, and combined energy is moderate (173-203). The report says “clean” conditions, which is a big deal here. But the surf is still rated as “poor surf conditions” or “marginal.” It’s the best of a bad lot, but it’s not a day to get excited about. The same pattern holds on Tuesday, September 22nd, with clean cross-offshore winds and a 4ft west swell, but the short 6-second period means the waves will be weak and disorganized.

The honest truth? There are no standouts in this 16-day window. The only half-decent window is around September 21st and 22nd, when the wind finally cleans up, but the swell is small and periods are short. For a spot that rarely breaks, this is a normal blank run. Forecasts can change, but right now, I’d say leave the board at home and keep an eye on the sky.

Rusty

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