Le Poux Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. The outlook for the next stretch is a tough one for Le Poux. This spot rarely breaks, and this forecast is a long run of poor conditions. For the first several days, the wind is mostly cross-on or onshore, and the wave quality just isn’t there. There’s a real gap here with nothing worth paddling out for until the very end.

The water temperature is sitting at 67°F, which is a good 4°F warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s a notable anomaly, feels more like a late summer holdover than early autumn.

The first few days, from Saturday 5th through to Wednesday 9th, we see a mix of small swell and messy wind. Saturday morning has a 3ft swell from the WNW with a very ordinary 9-second period, but the cross-on breeze kills it. The combined energy is weak to moderate at best (225 and 136). Sunday the 6th is clean but tiny at 2ft, and by Monday the 7th, a 14-second period groundswell pushes in, hitting 3ft, with the combined energy climbing to 245 and 361. That’s a moderate energy pulse, but it’s blown out by strong onshore and cross-on winds at 15 mph. The waves are there, but the surface is choppy and ugly. That groundswell at 14 seconds would be better suited to a point or reef, but here at a beach and reef setup, it’s just not coming together.

The middle of the week, from the 10th to the 12th, only gets worse. Strong onshore winds up to 22 mph on Thursday, and the swell jumps around 3ft to 5ft but with very short periods (4 to 6 seconds) – weak, wind-affected, and lumpy. The combined energy hits 356 on the 11th, but it’s all raw power with no shape. This is more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddle session.

Then from Thursday the 12th onwards, the swell drops fast. We’re looking at 1.0ft to 0.7ft waves for days on end. The period improves a little toward the 18th, with a 13-second pulse on Friday the 18th, but the swell height is just a tiny 0.7ft. The combined energy at that point is only 33. The wind does finally turn favourable – clean, cross-off breezes from the NNE from the 17th onward. The water will be glassy, but there’s simply no wave to ride.

The best you can hope for in this whole 16-day window is the clean but tiny conditions around the 17th and 18th – if you’re desperate for a lukewarm paddle in good wind, you might get a knee-high roller. But honestly, there’s no standout session here. The spot is inconsistent, and this forecast confirms it. It’s one of those runs where you just have to wait for the next system.

Rusty.

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