Le Poux Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let me break this down for you.

First up, the honest truth: this 16-day window for Le Poux is a tough one. It’s a beach and reef setup that’s very exposed to the west-northwest, but the wind just doesn't want to play ball for most of the run. We’ve got a long stretch of poor surf conditions here.

Starting from the 26th of August, it’s a real struggle. The swell is tiny, only around 1ft from the WNW, period of 9 seconds, and combined wave energy is way down at (19). The water temperature is a notable 68°, which is 5° warmer than normal for this time of year – that’s much warmer than average. But the wind on Wednesday morning is a cross-shore from the south at 12 mph, making things messy. While the afternoon cleans up a bit with a light cross-offshore breeze, the swell is just too small to get excited about.

This pattern of poor conditions just drags on. Thursday and Friday the wind stays onshore or cross-onshore, and the swell remains under 3ft. The energy readings are below (100), just weak stuff.

Then we hit the 29th of August. We see a bump in size, Saturday morning gets to 5ft from the SW, but the period is a short, weak 6 seconds. The wind is a fresh 22 mph cross-onshore, making it lumpy and poor. That afternoon the swell pushes to 6ft from the WSW with a combined energy of (330), but it’s still onshore wind. Sunday the 30th has a better period of 10 seconds on a 5ft W swell, energy up to (511), but again, the wind is cross-onshore. This isn’t surfable for a paddle.

The start of September looks no better. Monday the 31st of August sees 7ft swell from the west with strong energy (539), but fresh cross-onshore winds ruin it. The first week of September is a write-off, a solid 7 to 8 days of no decent surf.

Finally, there’s a small glimmer on Friday the 4th of September. The conditions finally line up. We get a light offshore wind from the ENE at 6 mph, making for clean conditions. The swell is only 2ft from the west, but with a long period of 11 seconds – that’s a proper groundswell. Combined energy is a modest (97). It’s surfable, but very ordinary. This small, clean window lasts into the 6th of September with light offshore breezes, but we're looking at waist-high waves at best.

The real kicker comes on the 7th of September. Monday morning sees a big pulse of 6ft from the west, with a very high combined energy of (724). But the wind is a cross-onshore from the SSW at 12 mph, making it choppy. That afternoon the swell peaks at 7ft with energy at (953), and the wind dies to a light 6 mph onshore. It’s marginal. For a beach and reef break, that size and onshore wind will be a washing machine – likely more interesting for a kite surfer than a regular surfer.

After that, the run fades again into small, poor conditions.

So, to be blunt, there isn't a true standout in this whole 16-day window. If I had to pick the absolute best small window, it’s Friday the 4th of September through to Sunday the 6th of September. The winds will be offshore or cross-offshore, giving clean faces on a very small, long-period groundswell. It won’t be pumping, but it will be the only time you won’t be fighting the wind. For a spot that *rarely breaks* and is *inconsistent*, this is a pretty typical blank run.

Rusty.

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