Le Poux Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty, and I’ve had a proper look at what’s on offer around Le Poux over the next couple of weeks. And straight up, I’ve gotta be honest with ya – it’s pretty bleak. The swell is tiny, the winds are messy for most of it, and there’s barely a window worth paddling out for. Let’s break it down.

The first sniff of surfable waves shows up on the morning of Friday the 3rd of July at Le Poux, a beach and reef setup that’s exposed to the WNW. We’re looking at a weak 3ft swell from the west with a 10-second period, so it’s a short-period wind swell, not a groundswell. The combined energy is low at 130 (moderate wave energy), but the water temp is 65°, which is 5° warmer than usual – that’s much warmer than normal for the time of year, so you can leave the thick rubber at home. The morning has light cross-offshore winds from the NNE at 6 mph, keeping things clean. That morning session is actually the best on offer in the whole 16-day window, but it’s still just ordinary surf – nothing to write home about, just a fun little wave for beginners. Crowds at Le Poux are rare, so you’ll have the place mostly to yourself.

From Friday afternoon onward, things fall apart. The wind swings cross-shore and cross-onshore, bumping up the chop, and the swell drops through the weekend into the next week. By Sunday morning the 5th of July, the swell is down to 2ft from the west, period 10 seconds, and energy is weak at 55. The rest of the first week is a write-off – tiny 1.0ft to 2ft waves, mostly onshore or cross-onshore breezes, and consistently poor surf conditions. There’s a gap of several days with no real recommendations, just flat or churned-up dribble.

Moving into the second week, from around the 9th of July through to the 13th, the swell bottoms out completely at 0.7ft to 1ft, even with clean offshore winds from the east-northeast at 12 to 19 mph. The waves are just too small to ride properly. The energy drops to single digits and low double digits – weak all round. That offshore wind would be perfect if there was any swell, but there isn’t.

Then on the morning of Tuesday the 14th of July, we get a slight pulse – a 1ft swell from the WNW, period jumping to 11 seconds (longer period, groundswell flavour), and combined energy of 46. Winds are fresh offshore from the ENE at 22 mph, so it’ll be clean but blown flat by the wind. Not worth getting excited about.

The last chance comes on the morning of Saturday the 18th of July – a 3ft swell from the WSW, period 8 seconds, and energy climbing to 116 (moderate). But the wind is cross-onshore from the NW at 12 mph, bringing chop. It’s still surfable, but poor conditions overall. The setup at Le Poux, being exposed to the west, could be more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing on that day given the onshore wind and moderate energy.

So the standout – and I mean the only real standout – is Friday morning, the 3rd of July, early at Le Poux. Clean, small, and warm water. After that, you’re looking at a long gap of flat to poor surf right through to mid-July. The break is inconsistent and rarely breaks, so this kind of blank run isn’t unusual for the area. Forecasts can change though, so keep an eye on it.

Stay salty,
Rusty

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