Le Poux Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim for any real surf around here. The swell is just tiny for days, and the wind is mostly messing things up anyway. We’ve got a long stretch of nothing before things might finally wake up.

The first real chance of anything decent is on Wednesday the 12th. We’re still looking at a small push, only around 1.6ft, but the wind will be offshore and the wave energy is starting to build a little, hitting 48. It’s not going to be epic, but it’s the first time it looks like you might actually get a wave. The water temperature is 67.5°F, which is 4.1°F warmer than usual for this time of year, so that’s a notable jump. It’s warm, but it doesn’t fix the lack of swell.

After that little blip, we slide back into the doldrums. The swell stays tiny and the wind keeps shifting around, cross-shore and cross-on, making a mess of things. There are a few clean moments here and there, but the size is just not there. The energy levels are weak, mostly two-digit numbers, barely registering. It’s a proper flat spell.

Then, around the 19th and 20th, the swell finally shows up. We’re talking about a real increase in size, with 5.6ft to 6.2ft on offer by the afternoon of the 19th. The energy jumps up to 312, which is moderate. But here’s the rub: the wind is gonna be blowing onshore and cross-onshore, and it’s coming in strong. It’s going to be a messy, choppy mix. The period is short, around 6 seconds, so it’s not going to have any punch. This is a case where the size is there, but the quality is going to be poor. For a beach and reef set-up like Le Poux, this is looking more like a kite-surfing day than a paddle-surfing day. This is too big and messy for beginners, and even for the more experienced, it’s going to be a battle.

The standout, if you can call it that, is the morning of Thursday the 20th. The swell is still 5.6ft and the energy is the highest we see, hitting 422. But the wind is howling onshore at 18.6 mph. It’s going to be big, powerful and rough. Only for the experts, and even then, it’s going to be a handful.

After that, the swell backs right down again. The 21st shows a bit of promise with a 2.6ft, 10-second groundswell from the west and light offshore winds in the morning. That’s a cleaner option, but the energy is moderate at 125. Then it just fades away again into the end of the window.

So, honestly, there’s no classic day in this forecast. The 12th is the only clean, small-wave option. The 19th and 20th have size but are blown out. Keep your expectations low, check the cam, and maybe wait for the next forecast.

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