Le Poux Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with ya – it’s a tough one. We’re looking at a long, dry spell here. The forecast window kicks off on the 19th of July, but there’s not a single decent wave on the cards for the first week. The swell is tiny, barely a ripple, and while the wind is offshore a lot of the time, there's just nothing to surf. You’ll be staring at a flat, clean ocean. That’s the reality until we get into the last week of July.

The only break on the menu is Le Poux, a beach and reef setup that rarely breaks. When it does, it’s best with a swell from the WNW. The water temperature is sitting at 66°F on the 19th, which is a whopping 5°F warmer than usual – that’s very unusual for this time of year, and it’s a nice little bonus for the days you’re just sitting on the beach.

Now, the first real glimmer of hope appears on the 27th of July. We see a pulse of swell coming in on Monday morning, with a combined wave energy of 52 (moderate energy) and waves around 2ft from the W. The wind is a messy cross-onshore though, so it’s gonna be choppy. This carries through into the 28th of July, where the energy bumps up to 142 (moderate energy) with 3ft waves from the W. Still, the wind is cross-onshore, so the quality is poor. The 2nd of August shows a similar story: a 3ft swell from the W with 155 energy (moderate energy) but strong onshore wind. For a beach and reef spot like Le Poux, the wind just ruins the shape. Honestly, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing on those days.

We do get a brief window on the 31st of July. Friday morning sees a 2ft swell from the WNW with a 5-second period, and the wind is a clean, fresh offshore breeze from the E. That’s the best wind we’ll see for any pulse of swell. The energy is only 38 (weak), but fresh offshore and clean conditions mean it’s the best chance for a few small, clean waves. It’s not a stand-out, but it’s the least bad option.

After that, it’s back to small, onshore slop. The 3rd of August brings a 2ft swell from the W with onshore wind again. The whole long-range picture is pretty grim. The short period swells (mostly under 8 seconds) don't help either, as they lack the punch to organize lines on a beach break.

Bottom line: For the first week, don’t bother. The best of a bad bunch is the morning of the 31st, but it’s tiny. This is a blank run, mate. It’s a bit more normal for this area, so don’t lose hope – forecasts can change, but for now, it’s a flat spell.

Rusty.

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