Lajinha Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Listen up, crew. I’ve been staring at the charts for Lajinha, and I’m not gonna sugarcoat it—this forecast is a bummer. The whole 16-day stretch is a total washout. Don’t even think about paddlin’ out.

It starts Friday, July 31st, with a weak, short-period swell—3 to 3 feet from the SE, with a period of just 5–6 seconds. That’s windswell, and the wind is a messy cross-off at 12–19 mph, making for poor surf. The combined energy is a paltry 77 (weak). Nothin’ doin’.

Saturday, August 1st, the swell pushes up to 5–6 feet from the ESE, with a period of 7–8 seconds. The energy hits 299 (moderate), but the wind is a fresh cross-shore at 19 mph, kicking up a lumpy cross-chop. Still poor surf. Sunday, August 2nd, is the same deal—5 feet of swell in the morning dropping to 4 feet by afternoon, with cross-shore wind and chop. The energy hits 350 (moderate) Sunday morning, but it’s too messy.

The rest of the first week and all of the second week are a broken record. Swell hangs between 3 and 5 feet, mostly from the E or ESE, with periods of 6–8 seconds. The wind is cross or cross-on, and the surf is “poor surf conditions” every single day. The combined energy bounces between weak and moderate, but the wind and chop ruin it. There’s a risk of thunderstorms scattered in there, too.

From August 8th to the 15th, we’ve got the same story: 3–4 feet of swell, periods of 6–7 seconds, and cross-on winds. The energy stays weak to moderate—between 82 and 155. Every entry says “poor surf conditions.” No standout days, no clean windows.

So, that’s the long and short of it. A dead 16-day run. For a reef like Lajinha, this kind of dry spell is normal when the weather patterns are against us. The water temp is about average for this time of year, but that’s all I’ve got for good news. Don’t rush it. Forecasts can flip, but right now, there’s no reason to get wet. Keep your stick in the rack and wait for better days.

Rusty.

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