Lajinha Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s happening in your neck of the woods.

To be straight with you, the next 16 days are looking pretty flat and frustrating. We’ve got a long stretch of poor surf conditions lined up, and honestly, it’s going to be a waiting game. The only real glimmer of hope comes mid-period, but even that comes with strings attached.

Let’s start at Lajinha. This is a reef break, exposed to an easterly swell, and it’s consistent when there’s swell around, but it’s a spot for experienced surfers only. The water temperature is sitting about average for this time of year.

This first week is a write-off. From Sunday the 2nd right through the rest of the week, we are looking at mostly small, weak swell with periods around 7–8 seconds. The wind is a constant problem, too – mostly cross or cross-onshore from the SSE or SE. Wave energy is mostly weak, with values between 88 and 652 (moderate wave energy). The best you’ll see is on Tuesday the 4th morning with a 6ft swell from the ESE, but with a cross wind and a marginal rating, it’s not something you’d paddle out for. The whole week is rated as poor or marginal.

We then hit another quiet spell from the 6th to the 11th. Swell drops right off, with heights between 3ft and 4ft, and the wind stays messy. Lots of cross-onshore chop and very little energy. You’d be wasting your time.

Things get slightly more interesting around the 13th and 14th. The swell picks up a bit – 4ft to 5ft from the ESE and SE – but the wind is still on it, and the conditions are described as moderate cross-onshore and choppy. The wave energy numbers climb a bit, hitting 354 on the 14th morning, but it’s still not clean.

Now, here’s the one standout. Saturday the 15th. It’s not going to blow your mind, but it’s the best we’ve got. We see a 2ft swell from the ESE, but the period jumps to 13 seconds – that’s a long-period groundswell. The energy is still moderate at 225, but the key thing is the wind turns cross-shore on the afternoon, which will clean the surface up a bit. That longer period means better shaped, more powerful waves, but at a beach or reef break, it can make the waves a bit too straight. For a reef like Lajinha, it could offer some fun, lined-up waves, but it’s still small. The crowd profile says this spot gets busy sometimes, so you might have company.

After the 15th, it fades again. Sunday the 16th has a small 2ft cross-shore swell, and Monday the 17th is blown out by a fresh breeze at 19 mph from the SE.

Overall, if you’re desperate for a paddle, the 15th is your day, but keep expectations low. Otherwise, it’s a blank run – and for this area, that’s not unusual. Forecasts can change, so don’t put the board away just yet.

Rusty.

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