Lajinha Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’m gonna be straight with you: this 16-day stretch for Lajinha is a tough one. We’ve got a solid run of poor surf conditions lined up, and the forecast isn’t giving us much to get excited about. There are no good surf options on the table for the entire window, so if you were hoping for a classic, you’ll be waiting a while. It’s a blank run, plain and simple. That said, the break itself is a consistent reef setup, so when the planets do align, it tends not to stay flat for long. Forecasts can change.

Let’s walk through it day by day. Starting now, Friday the 21st, we’ve got clean skies but a moderate cross-shore breeze from the southeast at 12 mph. The swell is a weak 3 ft from the east with a short 7-second period, and the combined energy is poor at (238). It’s just messy and cross-chop, no power behind it. Water temp is a warm 81°, which is about normal for this time of year, so you won’t need a spring suit, just patience.

Saturday the 22nd isn’t any better. The wind swings a bit more cross-onshore, still from the southeast, and the swell drops slightly to 3 ft in the afternoon. Energy is weak (92). Choppy and uninspiring.

Sunday the 23rd sees the swell push back up to 4 ft, but the onshore wind is still there, 12-15 mph, keeping things lumpy. The energy nudges into the moderate range at (116) but it’s still poor quality. We’re not getting any clean faces.

Monday the 24th, the swell builds a touch to 5 ft with the period still short at 7 seconds. The wind is cross-shore, but with a fresh breeze in the afternoon at 18 mph. Energy is moderate (224), but the chop is getting worse, making it a struggle.

Tuesday the 25th, similar story: 5-5 ft east-southeast swell, short period, and a fresh cross-shore wind in the afternoon. Energy moderate (236). It’s all just messy.

Wednesday the 26th through Friday the 28th, we’re stuck in the same pattern. Swell around 3-4 ft, periods of 7-8 seconds, and a moderate cross-onshore breeze from the southeast. Energy fluctuates between 216 and 250, but the quality never improves. It’s just constant chop.

The weekend of the 29th and 30th, the swell bumps up a little to 4-5 ft, but we’ve got rain showers on Sunday the 30th, adding to the gloom. The onshore wind is relentless. Energy stays in the moderate range (238), but it’s all slop.

Monday the 31st, the swell reaches 5 ft, and the energy climbs to 281. Still, the cross-onshore wind ruins any chance of a clean wave. Then on Tuesday the 1st of September, we see a spike in energy, hitting a strong 549 with a 5 ft swell. That’s the most powerful swell of the period, but it’s still paired with that same onshore breeze. It’s a lot of water moving, but it’s not going to be any good for surfing.

The rest of the first week of September rolls on the same way. Swell holding 4-6 ft, periods at 7-8 seconds, and energy fluctuating between 230 and 347. The strongest day looks like Friday the 4th, with a 6 ft swell and energy at 347, but again, the wind is against us. Everything stays choppy and cross-onshore.

So, what are we left with? Nothing that’s rideable. The waves are mostly in the 3-6 ft range, which for the most part isn’t too big for a competent surfer, but the wind and chop make it a mess. On the bigger days, like the 1st and the 4th of September, the swell is pushing 5-6 ft, which is getting toward that size where it’s less user-friendly, but we’re not even close to getting a clean wave out of it. Given the persistent onshore conditions and the beach-and-reef setup, honestly, this looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. There’s energy out there, but it’s not meant for us.

The long-range outlook for that second week is a bit more promising in terms of size, but the wind is still going to be the killer. Don’t book your trip around it. For now, I’d say give it a miss, wait for a proper groundswell with some offshore wind to clean it up. It’ll come around eventually. This is Rusty, signing off.

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