Lajinha Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you: the next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim for Lajinha. There’s no way to sugarcoat it. The forecast is just a long run of poor surf conditions, and we're not going to see that green flag flying anytime soon. We’ve got a solid 16-day window here, but it’s a big old blank.

The water temp is sitting at 81°, which is about average for this time of year, so at least the water will feel nice while you’re getting skunked.

The first real hope doesn't even show up until August 2nd, Sunday afternoon, and even then it's barely a pulse. We’re looking at a weak 4ft swell from the ESE with a short 7-second period, and the energy is weak, coming in at 126. The wind is a cross-shore from the SE at 16 mph, putting a chop on things. It's just messy.

The next week is more of the same. The swell bumps up a bit on the 4th and 5th with 6ft and 5ft respectively, but the period is still short and the winds are all cross or cross-on, making it choppy and pretty much un-surfable. The energy does pick up to a moderate 592 during that Tuesday morning swell, but it’s all wasted with the poor conditions. We see a little more size on the 8th, but that’s still just a short-period, onshore mess.

Through the second week, we keep seeing that same pattern: small, short-period swell and less-than-favorable winds. A couple of spots show a little more energy, like a 235 reading on the morning of the 13th, but it’s still a 4ft wave with a short period and onshore wind. The wind does look like it might ease slightly at times, but the swell just isn't there to make anything of it.

The only real size we see is at the very end of the run, around August 17th, with 5ft to 5ft of swell. But again, it's with a short period and a fresh cross-shore breeze, so it’ll be lumpy and poor. With that kind of size and wind, the setup at a reef like this might honestly be more interesting for the kite crew than for paddle surfers.

Honestly, none of these are worth paddling out for. The conditions are just not there. It’s the kind of run that makes you want to check your gear, maybe wax a different board, and wait for the next front to swing through. The forecasts can change, so keep an eye on it. But for now, I’d find a good book.

This is Rusty, signing off.

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