Lajinha Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’m gonna be straight with you – the outlook for Lajinha over the next 16 days is a tough one. We’ve got a real lack of quality on offer. The wind is nearly always cross or cross-onshore, the swell is short-period and messy, and the combined energy never really gets into a sweet spot. There’s a whole lot of nothing happening, so let’s break it down.

Starting off from Thursday the 30th of July, we’ve got small, weak swell running around 3 ft from the ESE with a period of just 6 seconds – that’s windswell, not groundswell. The wind is a cross-shore SSE breeze at 12 to 16 mph, kicking up a cross-chop. The combined energy is only 85 (weak), and it’s just poor surf conditions. That limp pattern carries right through Friday the 31st, with the same junky 3 ft to 4 ft swell and a score of zero. Not worth paddling out.

Saturday the 1st of August sees the swell bump up to 6 ft from the ESE, period stretching to 8 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to 337 (moderate). But don’t get excited – the wind is a fresh 19 to 22 mph cross-shore, making it lumpy and ugly. Still poor surf. Sunday the 2nd drops back to 5 ft, and the wind stays cross.

Monday the 3rd through to Wednesday the 5th of August keep the swell in the 4 ft to 6 ft range, period still a short 8 seconds, and the wind swings cross-onshore from the SE and ESE. The combined energy peaks at 805 (strong) on Wednesday morning, but the wind is onshore and choppy. It’s all poor surf, no score. Honestly, with that strong onshore wind and chopped-up sea, it’s looking more like a kite-surfing setup than a paddle session.

The rest of the first week and into the second week stays on a downward trend. Thursday the 6th to Sunday the 9th of August has swell dropping from 4 ft down to 3 ft, still short-period, and the wind remains cross or cross-onshore. Combined energy is moderate at best, but the quality is missing. Monday the 10th through to Friday the 14th of August is the real doldrums – swell barely 3 ft to 4 ft, period 6 to 7 seconds, and wind still cross-onshore from the ESE. The combined energy dips into the weak 60s and 70s (67 to 159). We’re talking tiny, choppy leftovers.

There is no standout session here. Not a single day with a score. The wind is never good, the swell is always short-period and messy, and the break is a reef that would love a clean easterly groundswell, but it’s not getting it. The water temperature is about average for the time of year, so no anomaly there. If you’re desperate, maybe Wednesday the 5th has the most energy in the water, but with cross-onshore wind and chop, it’s a pass. This is one of those stretches where the forecasts can change, so keep an eye out, but as it stands, you’re better off doing something else.

Rusty.

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