Lajinha Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get real about Lajinha.

Look, I’m not gonna sugarcoat it. The next couple of weeks are looking pretty flat and average for this spot. We’ve got a consistent east-southeast wind blowing, and it’s mostly cross-shore or cross-onshore, which is just going to leave the surface choppy and messy. The swell is hanging around the 3ft to 4ft mark, but it’s short-period windswell coming in at 6 to 7 seconds, and it’s just not organising into anything decent. The combined energy reading is generally weak to moderate (between 88 and 201), which backs up the fact it’s all pretty underwhelming.

The water temp is sitting at 81° with a tiny anomaly of 0.4°, so it’s bang on average for the time of year. No complaints there, but you’ll be baking in the sun anyway.

The wind is a constant pain. It’s mostly from the SE at 12 to 16 mph, which is a moderate breeze, and it’s keeping the surface lumpy with a cross-chop. Sunday through Tuesday next week, we’ve got risk of thunderstorms and rain showers mixed in, but the wind doesn’t let up, so it’s just more of the same messy conditions.

The first real glimmer of hope doesn’t show up until Friday, July 24th. That morning, the wind swings to a light S at 12 mph, giving us a cross-offshore flow. The swell holds around 5ft from the east, period stretching to 8 seconds, and the combined energy climbs to 279 – that’s moderate but on the stronger side. The wave comment finally says “marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions,” which is the best we’ve seen. The wind is light enough to keep it clean. That morning session is the standout in the whole 16-day window. It’s nothing epic, but it’s the only time the stars sort of align. The afternoon of the 24th though, the wind swings back to cross-shore and it’s back to poor conditions.

After that, the last few days of the month see the swell dropping back to 4ft, with the wind staying SE at 12-16 mph and cross-shore, and the energy reading dropping back to around 209-221. It’s just not worth the paddle.

So, to be blunt: through most of July, you’re better off finding something else to do. The only real chance to get a clean-ish wave is Friday morning, July 24th. If you’re a beginner, the swell is small enough, but the cross-offshore wind will make it a bit tricky. If you’re an expert, you might get a couple of half-decent runners on the reef. But overall, it’s a pretty grim outlook for Lajinha.

Rusty.

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