Lajinha Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here.

Honestly, mate, this is a tough one to call. Looking at the whole 16-day window for Lajinha, we’ve got a blank run stretching from now, September 13th, all the way through to the end of the period on September 28th. That’s a solid two weeks with nothing worth paddling out for. Every single forecast point comes back as “poor surf conditions,” and the scores reflect that. So let’s just walk through what’s actually happening.

From Sunday the 13th, we’re looking at a moderate cross-shore breeze out of the southeast at 16 mph, with a weak little 4 ft swell rolling in from the ESE at a short period of just 8 seconds. The combined swell energy is weak (198). The water’s warm, sitting at 81°, which is about 2° warmer than average for this time of year – a little notable but nothing too wild. It’s choppy, messy, and just not surfable.

That pattern just drags on. Monday the 14th and Tuesday the 15th are the same story: cross and cross-on winds, small windswell, short periods. Nothing cleans up.

We get into the second week, and there’s a slight bump in swell energy around Friday the 18th and Saturday the 19th, with the combined energy climbing into the moderate range (193 to 205). But the swell’s still small, around 4 ft to 5 ft, from the east, with short periods. The wind stays cross-onshore out of the southeast at 16 to 19 mph, so it’s lumpy and choppy.

Late in the period, around Wednesday the 23rd and Thursday the 24th, we finally see the period stretch out to 10 seconds, which is a bit more groundswell-like, and the combined energy spikes to 395 on Wednesday afternoon. But it’s still cross-onshore, the swell drops to 2 ft by Thursday, and the wave comment remains “poor surf conditions.” Too small, too messy.

For a reef break that’s consistent and exposed, this is a real bummer. Usually, you’d think the waves would show up, but this stretch looks like a complete write-off. If you’re desperate, you might look at it for a kite session, because the wind is consistent, but for a paddle surf, there’s nothing.

Rusty.

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