Lajinha Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let's be real about what we're looking at for Lajinha.

First off, the water temperature is about average for this time of year, so you won't need the thickest suit or be sweating in a springy – it's pretty standard.

Looking at the whole 16-day window, I gotta be honest with you, it's a tough stretch. The pattern is pretty much the same: we've got a consistent easterly swell direction, but it's coming in with a short period, mainly 7-8 seconds. That's windswell, not the good stuff. The energy is low, mostly in the double digits to low triple digits, and the wind is a constant problem. The best we can say is a "gentle cross-shore" on a few mornings, but it's never truly clean. The wave state comments are constantly "poor surf conditions" and the wave energy is weak (between 93 and 687). The best looking day for size is Thursday afternoon, the 23rd of July, with 6 ft, but the energy is moderate (798) and the wind is a moderate cross-onshore making it choppy.

For a reef break like Lajinha, which is exposed to the swell, we need that wind to be light or offshore. The optimum swell direction is from the east, which we are getting, but the period is just too short. With a period under 8 seconds, the waves lack the power and shape you'd want on a reef. It's a consistent break, but it's not going to be breaking well at all.

The closest thing to a window might be a couple of mornings with a gentle cross-shore breeze, like the morning of Friday the 24th of July, or the morning of Tuesday the 4th of August. But even then, you're looking at small waves, around 4 ft to 4 ft, with short periods and that's about it. It's not a standout, it's just the least bad option.

We also get a look at a long-period swell on the morning of the 6th of August, with a 14-second period. That's a proper groundswell. But the height is tiny at 2 ft, and the wind is a moderate cross-shore creating a lumpy cross-chop. So while the period is promising, the size and conditions will kill it. It's a "what could have been" moment.

Honestly, there's no day in this 16-day window I'd recommend paddling out for. The setup of consistent cross-shore winds and short-period, low-energy swell is more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer. We're in a real dry spell here. The forecast can change, but right now, it's a blank run.

Rusty.

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