Lajinha Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Gutted, folks. I’ve stared at the charts for Lajinha for the next 16 days, and honestly, it’s a dry spell. There’s not a single day in this window that I’d give the green light for a proper paddle. The waves are there, but the wind has got everything chopped up and messy. It’s one of those stretches where the ocean looks inviting but fights you the whole way.

The water’s sitting at a warm 81° which is pretty standard for this time of year, about 1° above the norm. But that’s where the good news ends. The swell is coming from the east, which is okay for Lajinha, but the periods are short and weak, mostly under 8 seconds, and the energy is all over the place. We see some moderate energy in the 100-300 range, but it’s all that short-period wind swell, not the clean groundswell we need. The wind is a constant cross or cross-on from the southeast or east at 12-18 mph, which is just enough to put a nasty chop on everything.

From Monday the 3rd through Sunday the 9th, it’s a total write-off. We’ve got rain showers and even a risk of thunderstorms early on, with swell around 3ft to 5ft. The energy is weak to moderate, peaking at 306 on Tuesday afternoon, but it’s all ruined by that cross-onshore wind. The wave comment says it all: poor surf conditions.

The following week, from Monday the 10th to Monday the 17th, is more of the same. The swell stays small, mostly around 3ft to 4ft, with the same short periods. There’s a tiny uptick on Friday the 14th where the swell bumps to 6ft and the energy jumps to a strong 504, but the wind is still a fresh cross-shore at 18 mph, so it’s going to be lumpy and hard to ride. That’s the only day that might catch your eye for size, but the quality just isn’t there.

So, for the next two weeks, you’re looking at a lot of frustrated mornings staring at a bumpy, wind-blown ocean. This is a spot that needs a clean easterly or some serious groundswell to work, and we’re getting neither. I’d say keep the board in the car for a quick check, but don’t plan a session around it. If you’re a kitesurfer, this look is actually more interesting, with the cross-shore winds and some lumpy swell, but for us paddle surfers, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty

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