Lajinha Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Rusty here. Let me tell you straight up, the next 16 days at Lajinha are a write-off. I’m looking at the whole forecast window and there’s just nothing to get excited about. We’ve got a run of poor surf conditions from now, Sunday the 19th of July, all the way through to Monday the 3rd of August. That’s a solid two-week gap with no recommendations.

The water temp is sitting at 81° and that’s about normal for the time of year, so at least a dip won’t be a shock.

The problem is the wind. For the first few days, from Sunday the 19th right through the week, we’ve got fresh to moderate cross-shore and cross-onshore winds from the SSE and SE, blowing at 18 to 19 mph. That’s pumping a lumpy cross-chop into the lineup. The swell is coming from the ESE, mostly around 4 ft to 6 ft, with a short period of just 7 to 8 seconds. That’s weak, wind-affected slop, not surf. The combined swell energy is moderate on the 20th and 21st (366 and 364), but it’s all junk energy—no shape, no power.

The second half of the first week and into the second week, the swell drops right off. From the 23rd of July onward, we’re looking at 3 ft to 4 ft ESE windswell with periods of 6 to 8 seconds. The combined energy dips into the double digits (96, 87, 69), and the wind stays cross or cross-onshore. Even the 26th of July sees a brief moment of clean conditions with a cross-offshore breeze, but the swell is only 3 ft with a 7-second period and energy of just 96. It’s tiny and weak.

Things try to pick up a little around the 2nd and 3rd of August, with swell back up to 5 ft and 5 ft, period creeping to 8 seconds, and energy around 283 and 244. But the wind is cross-onshore again, moderating the chop. It’s still poor surf.

Honestly, Lajinha is a reef break that needs a clean swell and some offshore wind, but we’ve got neither. The optimum swell direction is E, and we’re getting ESE, which is close, but the wind is ruining it. For beginners, the swell stays below 5 ft for most of the run, so it’s not too big, but the conditions are so messy it’s not worth paddling out. For experts, there’s nothing here that’s going to light a fire.

If you’re desperate, the 26th of July Sunday morning might be the cleanest window with that cross-off breeze, but you’ll be scratching for 3 ft waves. Otherwise, this is a blank run. It’s a bummer, but it happens here. Forecasts can change, but right now, leave the boards at home.

Rusty.

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