Lajinha Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's in store for us.

To be straight with you, this forecast is a tough one. For the entire 16-day window starting from July 21st, there isn't a single session that gets the nod for a solid surf. Every entry for Lajinha (a reef break) is flagged as poor surf conditions, with scores of zero or one. You’ve got a consistent SE wind, mostly cross or cross-onshore, which is just chopping everything up. Swell direction is locked in from the E to ESE, but the quality just isn’t there with short periods between 6 and 9 seconds. The combined wave energy fluctuates from a weak 74 to a moderate 714 (on July 22 morning), but the wind and tide conditions ruin it every time.

July 21 (Tuesday) to July 25 (Saturday):
It kicks off on the 21st with rain showers and a fresh 19 mph SE cross-wind. Swell is 5 ft from the ESE at a short 8-second period. The energy is moderate at 395, but with that wind, it'll be lumpy cross-chop. Not worth paddling out for. The water temp is 81°, which is about average for this time of year with a near-zero anomaly.

Wednesday the 22nd has a slightly bigger pulse, 6 ft from the SE at 9 seconds in the morning, giving us a moderate energy of 714, but the wind is a moderate cross-onshore, making it choppy. Afternoon drops to 4 ft.

Thursday the 23rd morning is the closest we get to "marginal" with 6 ft from the ESE at 8 seconds (energy 667) and a gentle cross-shore wind, offering slight cross-chop. It's the only session to score a 1 out of 10, but that’s still a miss.

From the 24th through the 25th, the swell drops below 4 ft with energy under 240, and winds remain unhelpful.

July 26 (Saturday) to August 1 (Saturday):
This whole stretch is a write-off. Swell sits between 3 ft and 5 ft, periods stay short (6 to 7 seconds), and the wind is always cross or cross-onshore, between 9 and 19 mph. The energy on the 31st and August 1st picks up a bit (up to 219 on August 1 afternoon), but the 5 ft ESE swell with a fresh 19 mph cross-wind will just be messy and lumpy.

August 2 (Sunday) to August 5 (Wednesday):
The final few days don't offer any hope. Consistently short-period 3 ft to 5 ft ESE swell with cross and cross-onshore winds. Even the 302 energy on August 5 morning can't save it—that 5 ft at 7 seconds with a 12 mph cross-wind is nothing but chop.

The Bottom Line:
There are zero standout sessions here, folks. The wind hates us, the swell is short-period and poorly directed, and it just doesn't come together. For a reef break like Lajinha, which is exposed to the east, we need cleaner conditions. This looks more like a stretch for kite surfers than paddle surfers, given the persistent cross-shore winds and lumpy conditions. It's a straight 16-day blank run. Sometimes it be like that—forecasts can change, but right now, save your wax.

Rusty.

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