Lajinha Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this stretch for Lajinha is pretty grim. The finder didn’t give us a single recommendation across the whole 16-day window, so I’m just going to tell you what the numbers are saying. Basically, we’ve got a solid two-week-plus blank run ahead, and for a spot that’s usually consistent, that’s a real downer.

The whole period is dominated by a persistent cross-shore or cross-onshore breeze, mostly from the SSE round to SE, blowing at 12 to 18 mph. That’s our main problem. The swell is small and weak – generally hovering around 3 ft to 4 ft from the ESE, with a short, gutless period of just 6 seconds. The combined energy is weak, often under 100 (95 to 123), so there’s just no power in the water. It’s all poor surf conditions, with a moderate cross-chop making things messy.

We get a slight bump in swell height around the 1st of August, with the swell hitting 5 ft from the ESE, period still short at 7 seconds. The energy jumps to moderate (292), but the wind is a fresh 18 mph cross-shore, lumping it all up. It’s a no-go.

From the 3rd of August onwards, the swell direction shifts a touch more easterly, and the period stretches to 8 seconds. The heights sit between 4 ft and 5 ft, with energy mostly in the 150-300 range. On the 6th of August, Thursday morning, we see a spike to 6 ft from the ESE with 8 seconds and a solid energy reading of 572 – that’s the biggest pulse of the forecast. But again, the wind is a cross-onshore 15 mph, leaving it chopped and uninviting. Every single session is written off as poor.

The pattern holds through the second week. The wind refuses to shift offshore, the swell direction stays locked in the east, and the period never gets above 8 seconds. There’s a brief moment on the 12th of August afternoon where the wind turns cross-shore instead of cross-onshore, but with a 4 ft, 8-second easterly and a cross-chop, it’s still not worth a paddle.

Honestly, for a consistent reef break like Lajinha, this is a rare run of bad luck. The optimum swell direction is from the east, and we do get some easterly swell, but the wind just ruins it every time. For a place that’s usually reliable, I’d say don’t fight it. The forecasts can change, but right now, this is a solid two weeks of leave the boards in the shed.

Rusty.

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