Lajinha Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, this is Rusty, and I gotta be straight with you – the next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim for Lajinha. We’ve got a solid 16-day window to look at, but honestly, there’s not a single session that I’d call a goer. The whole forecast is a long stretch of poor surf, and I’m not just saying that to be dramatic.

The trouble starts right from Tuesday the 1st of September. We’ve got some east swell around, but it’s stiff onshore winds from the ESE and SE, blowing cross-on all day. That means choppy, messy conditions. The wave heights hang around 3 ft to 5 ft, but the period is short, sitting between 7 and 9 seconds, so there’s no real push or power behind it. The combined wave energy is weak to moderate, with values like 287 and 304, but with that wind, it’s all just whitewash.

This pattern just keeps rolling through the first week. Same story Wednesday, Thursday, Friday – cross-on wind, poor surf. The swell drops a little on Saturday the 5th and Sunday the 6th, down to 3 ft, and the period drops to 7 seconds. The energy drops to 135 and 129 on Saturday, and while Sunday morning shows a brief moment of “on” wind from the east, it’s still only 3 ft with an 8-second period, and the surf is described as poor. The wind swings back to cross-on by the afternoon.

The second week doesn’t offer any relief. Into the 8th and 9th, the wind actually picks up, with fresh breezes from the SE at 19 mph, creating a lumpy cross-chop. The swell does bump up a bit, hitting 5 ft on the 10th and 11th, but it’s still cross or cross-on, and the period is a weak 7 seconds. The wave energy climbs to 268 and 293, but it’s all messy.

There is one moment that stands out on the 16th of September, a Wednesday morning. The swell jumps to 5 ft from the SE with an 8-second period, and the combined energy hits 529 – that’s moderate energy, getting into the stronger range. But the wind is still cross-on from the ESE at 13 mph, and the description is “poor surf conditions.” The setup here is a reef break, and with that much cross-on wind, it’s just not going to shape up.

So, to put it bluntly: for the whole outlook, there’s no window where the wind, swell, and conditions line up. The east swell is coming from the wrong direction for the optimum at Lajinha, which likes an east swell, but the wind is just ruining it. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, so no excuses there.

This is a blank run. It happens sometimes. The only positive I can offer is that forecasts can change, and a run this long of poor conditions tends to break eventually. But for now, leave the boards in the car and maybe find something else to do. This is Rusty, signing off.

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