La Chocolatera Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey folks, Rusty here. Let’s cut straight to it: we’ve got a 16-day stretch ahead, but honestly, there’s not a single session that gets the blood pumping. The whole run is a write-off for paddle surfing. The first real chance at anything comes on Monday, August 10th, but it’s a dud.

Right out of the gate, we’re looking at La Chocolatera. This is an inconsistent point break, and it’s living up to its name. The water is sitting at a balmy 78°F, which is a staggering 10°F warmer than normal – far warmer than it should be for this time of year. That’s very unusual.

The pattern is grim. From Monday the 10th right through to Sunday the 23rd, the story is the same: poor surf conditions. Swell heights barely tickle 2 ft to 5 ft, and the combined wave energy is all over the place, ranging from weak (295) up to moderate (912) and even a strong pulse (1106) on Friday the 14th afternoon. But it doesn’t matter. The wind is onshore, cross-onshore, or just plain messy. It’s an onshore blow from the SW or WSW almost every day, with moderate breezes and choppy conditions. Even when the swell gets a bit of size, like 6 ft on Monday the 17th afternoon, the cross-onshore wind and a period of 14 seconds make it a choppy, borderline mess. The surf quality is consistently rated as poor, with a couple of days only scraping by as marginal.

The only faint glimmer of “maybe” comes on Friday afternoon, August 14th, when the swell nudges to 5 ft from the SW with a 16-second period. The combined energy hits 1106, which is strong. But the wind is still onshore from the WSW, making it a very “almost” kind of swell. It’s a tease.

For the rest of the run, from August 18th to the 25th, it’s more of the same: small swells, onshore winds, and poor surf. The combined energy dips into weak territory (188 on the 22nd morning) and never climbs back to anything meaningful.

Here’s the reality: this is a classic blank run for the area. For an inconsistent point break like La Chocolatera, it’s more normal than not to have weeks like this. The setup is tough for paddle surfing – the onshore wind and long-period swells (often over 15 seconds) mean the waves are breaking straight and messily, better suited for a point or reef, but the wind just kills it. If you’re a kite surfer, this might look fun, but for a surfer, it’s a hard pass. Forecasts can change, but right now, I’d leave the board at home.

Rusty.

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