La Chocolatera Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – the next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim for a proper surf. We’ve got a long, dry spell ahead. The only spot on the radar is La Chocolatera, and even then it’s a tough sell. The whole 16-day window is basically a write-off for good waves, so don’t hold your breath.

The water is running way warmer than normal for this time of year, sitting at 80°, which is a solid 11° above what we’d expect. That’s a strange one, for sure.

For the first week, from Thursday the 30th of July right through to the 6th of August, every single session is rated as poor. The swell is tiny, mostly hovering from 2 ft to 4 ft from the SW, and the wind is almost always onshore or cross-onshore. It’s a mess. The energy is low to moderate, with readings like 463 (moderate) on Thursday morning, but it doesn’t matter because the conditions are just junk. Even the 13-second period on the 30th and 31st, which usually gives a bit of shape, is being trashed by the wind. This is a classic case of “don’t bother.”

Then we hit the 7th of August. Friday morning sees a pulse of swell – 3 ft from the SW with a very long 16-second period. The combined energy jumps to 704 (strong), and the wind is light from the SSW (offshore). This is the closest thing we get to a standout. The water will be glassy and clean. But the score is marginal, and this break is already inconsistent, so you’re gambling on it even firing. The afternoon of the 7th gets blown out by a 12 mph onshore wind, so that window is tight.

After that, from the 8th through the 14th of August, it’s back to the same old story. Poor surf, small swell, and onshore winds. The 12th of August morning has a 2 ft swell with an 18-second period and a combined energy of 505 (strong), but it’s still rated marginal. The light offshore wind from the SW might make it clean, but the swell is tiny. Don’t expect much.

So, the only real highlight is Friday morning, the 7th of August. If you’re an intermediate surfer who knows this inconsistent point break (La Chocolatera) and you’re patient, there’s a shot at a clean, long-period groundswell. The swell direction is right on the money from the SW. Just know that with that 18-second period, it might be a bit too straight for the beach breaks, but on a point, it could be proper. Crowds are possible, so be ready for company.

The rest of the 16 days? It’s a ghost town. A blank run like this isn’t unusual for the area, but it still stings. Forecasts can change, but right now, keep your board in the car and your expectations low.

Rusty.

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