La Chocolatera Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it.

You know, sometimes a spot just puts on a tease, and that’s what we’re looking at here. Straight up, the next two weeks aren’t going to hand us any clean, rip-roaring sessions. The pattern is dominated by a consistent SW swell, but the wind is just never quite on our side. The whole outlook is a bit of a grind, with a lot of “poor surf conditions” in the cards. We’re looking at a solid 10-day stretch right from the start where it’s not really worth paddling out. Things get a little more interesting, or at least *marginal*, around the second weekend.

Let’s break it down. The first real shot at anything that isn’t a total write-off comes on Friday, August 7th. La Chocolatera (Ecuador) will see a morning swell of 3 ft from the SW, with a very long period of 16 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell, and it’s bringing some decent energy (639). The wind is light and actually onshore, not cross, but it’s still onshore. The afternoon picks up to 4 ft and the energy jumps to 909, but it’s tangled with a cross-on breeze. It’s a tough call. The long period is great for this point break, but the wind is going to mess with the face. This is the best on offer, but it’s a “low expectations” kind of best.

What’s the standout? Honestly, nothing is a true standout. The quality is just not there. The swell direction is a perfect match for the break, coming from the SW, and the water temp is about average for this time of year, with no major anomaly to report. But the wind is the enemy here. It’s a consistent cross-on or onshore breeze for the entire forecast period, which is going to keep things choppy and sloppy. La Chocolatera is a point break, which is usually your best bet for a long-period SW swell, but even that can’t save it from the breeze.

We’ll see a slight uptick in consistency around Thursday, August 14th and into the weekend, with swell holding around 4 ft to 4 ft, and the period staying in the 15-17 second range. The energy will be strong, hitting 910 on the 14th afternoon. But the wind is still onshore or cross-on. The morning of Friday, August 15th could be a very marginal window, with a light breeze, but it’s still classified as marginal, not good. The second week doesn’t show any real improvement. It’s the same story: some SW swell, a lot of energy, but wind that just won’t play ball. The last few days of the forecast, around the 17th and 18th, the swell stays around 4 ft with decent energy (over 500), but the wind is a constant cross-on. It’s a frustrating pattern.

So, to sum it up: if you’ve got a kite, this might look interesting. For paddling, it’s a long wait for a window that doesn’t really open. The best bet is the morning of Friday, August 7th, but even then, keep your expectations locked in the car park.

Rusty.

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