La Chocolatera Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you. The next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim for any proper surf. We’ve got a real flat spell on our hands, and it’s going to test your patience. The swell energy is weak, and the wind is going to be your biggest enemy, mostly blowing straight onshore. It’s one of those stretches where you might be better off waxing your boards and daydreaming.

The trouble starts right away. For the first few days, we're looking at pretty much nothing. Swell heights are barely scraping past 2ft, and that's with a long 16-second period, but the energy is just not there (246 to 306 in the combined energy). It’s small and messy, with onshore winds. Not worth getting wet for.

We’ll see a slight bump in size on Friday the 28th and Saturday the 29th, with waves around 4ft to 5ft. But don't get excited. The period drops, and the wind remains onshore, making it lumpy and poor. The guidance calls it marginal, and even that feels generous. The energy picks up a little (887 to 1155), but it’s still not going to have any shape to it. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

From Sunday the 30th through to the middle of the next week, it’s a proper dry spell. We’re talking days of 3ft slop with weak, wobbly periods and constant onshore wind. The energy is weak, dipping into the 300s and 400s. This is a few days where the forecast looks blank for any kind of quality.

Now, there’s a small glimmer of hope around Wednesday the 9th of September. We see a pulse of swell, with heights around 5ft and the energy climbing to a moderate 1444. The morning looks like it has the best chance, with a light breeze and a longer 16-second period. It’s still a far cry from good, but it’s the most interesting thing on the board.

The only spot that’s even on the radar is La Chocolatera. It’s a point break that’s known to be inconsistent, so this run of poor conditions isn't a huge surprise. The swell direction is from the SW, which is what it wants, but the wind is just killing it. Even when we get a bit of size on the 9th, the open exposure of this point means the onshore wind will make it a messy, bumpy mess. With waves around 5ft and that onshore wind, it’ll be tough going for anyone. It’s not going to be a classic.

Honestly, this looks better for the kitesurfers than for us paddle surfers. If you're desperate, keep an eye on that morning of September 9th, but don't hold your breath. The long-range stuff is promising but less certain, so we’ll have to see if anything better shows up. For now, this is a two-week blank run for the most part. Forecasts can change, but right now, I'd find another hobby for the weekends.

Rusty.

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