La Chocolatera Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s coming up for La Chocolatera.

To be straight with you, the next 16 days are a tough watch. Only one break is on the cards, and it’s a spot that doesn’t fire often, so a long run of quiet days is pretty normal for this area. The first real chance of a wave doesn’t appear until Friday morning, August 7th, and even then it’s a marginal call.

Let’s start with the morning of August 7th. La Chocolatera is a point break that needs a solid SW groundswell to work, and it’s inconsistent. We’ve got a long-period swell rolling in from the SW at 3 ft with a 16-second period. That’s proper groundswell energy, and the combined energy is moderate at 659. The water temperature is a toasty 78°, which is a whopping 10° warmer than normal for this time of year – that’s freakishly warm, so don’t expect a thick wetsuit. The wind is onshore from the SSW at 9 mph, which is a bit of a letdown for a spot that needs it clean. This is the only session that even gets a score, but it’s just a marginal surf forecast with questionable tide conditions. It’s a faint hope, not a standout.

After that, it’s a grim stretch. From Friday afternoon, August 7th, all the way through to the end of the forecast on Saturday, August 22nd, every single session is rated as poor surf conditions. The wind stays onshore or cross-onshore, usually from the SW or WSW, with speeds ranging from 6 to 16 mph. The swell height bounces between 2 ft and 4 ft, with periods mostly between 12 and 19 seconds, but the energy never really gets cooking. The combined energy values are moderate, peaking at 913 on Friday afternoon, August 14th, but the wind is too strong and onshore to make it worth paddling out.

There are a few mornings – like August 12th, 14th, 15th, 17th, 18th, and 20th – that are tagged as “marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions,” but that’s the best you’re getting. Even then, the wind is either onshore or light cross-onshore, and the waves are small and messy. For a point break that needs a clean SW swell, the constant onshore flow just kills it.

Honestly, the only thing that might save a session is if the wind drops to glassy. There’s a morning on August 12th with a WSW wind at 6 mph, but it’s cross-onshore, and the swell is only 2 ft. Not happening.

If you’re desperate, the morning of August 14th has a 4 ft SW swell at 17 seconds with light onshore wind, but the combined energy is 904 – moderate to strong. Still, the wind is on, and the forecast says “marginal.” It’s a long shot.

With the swell never going over 5 ft, it’s not too big for beginners, but the quality is just not there. The long-period swells (over 15 seconds) are prone to breaking straight at beach breaks, but La Chocolatera is a point, so that’s actually a good thing. But without clean wind, it doesn’t matter.

This is a blank run, folks. The water is warm, but the waves are not. Forecasts can change, but right now, you’re better off doing something else.

Rusty.

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