La Chocolatera Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s comin’ our way.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – the next few days are looking pretty grim. The swell is small and the wind is mostly onshore, keepin’ things messy. We’re looking at a stretch of poor surf conditions right through the first week of the forecast. The water temperature is a whopping 79°, which is a massive 9° warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s very unusual, like bathwater. But don’t get too excited, because the waves just aren’t cooperating.

The first real glimmer of hope shows up on Friday, July 24th, with a morning session at La Chocolatera. The swell is a modest 3 ft from the SW, but the period is a long 21 seconds – that’s proper groundswell energy. The combined energy is a solid 900 (moderate), and with a light breeze from the SW, it could clean up. The problem is, the forecast is still only calling it marginal, so don’t expect perfection. This spot is a point break, so it should handle that long-period swell better than a beach break, but it’s also inconsistent, so you might be waiting between sets. Crowds are possible here.

The real standout, the one that’s got my heart racin’, is the morning of Tuesday, July 28th. The swell bumps up to 5 ft from the SW, with a period of 16 seconds. The wind is light from the WSW, which is offshore here – that’s a major positive for clean, glassy faces. The combined energy is a strong 1293 (strong). This is the best wave energy on offer, and with that offshore wind, La Chocolatera should be firing. It’s an intermediate-level wave, so it’s good for most of us, but at 5 ft, beginners might find it a bit of a handful. The morning of Wednesday, July 29th, looks similar with 5 ft and light offshore winds, so that’s another solid backup.

After that, things start to fade. The swell drops back down, and the onshore wind returns. By the time we get into the first week of August, we’re back to small, weak waves and poor conditions.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a right-off. The second week offers a couple of promising windows, with the absolute best bet being the morning of Tuesday, July 28th – that’s the one to circle on the calendar. It’s a ways out, so keep an eye on it, but it’s got the makings of a proper session.

Rusty.

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