La Chocolatera Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for La Chocolatera. Frankly, it's a bit of a tough stretch ahead. This exposed point break needs a good SW swell and the wind to cooperate, and that's just not happening much over the next couple of weeks. The water is sitting at a remarkable 79°, which is a whopping 10° warmer than usual for this time of year – that's seriously unusual and will feel like a bath.

The first sniff of anything rideable comes in on Saturday the 29th of August, but it's a marginal call. You've got a 5ft SW groundswell (14 sec period) pumping in, with a solid moderate wave energy (1049). But here's the killer: a 12 mph onshore wind from the SW will be blowing straight into the face. That's going to make it messy and choppy, definitely one for the experienced crew only, and even then, it's not going to be pretty.

Sunday the 30th through to Wednesday the 3rd of September is a write-off. Swell drops to the 3ft to 4ft range, and the wind stays stubbornly onshore from the SW or WSW. The wave energy stays moderate but the conditions are just poor.

Now, there's a glimmer. Thursday the 4th of September looks like the best bet of the whole outlook. The morning sees a 5ft SW groundswell with a very long 16 second period and strong wave energy (1312). The wind is still onshore from the SW at 9 mph, which is light, but it's still onshore. This long-period groundswell is going to have some serious push and shape at a point break like this, but that onshore wind is the fly in the ointment. It's still a marginal call.

From the 5th of September onwards, we're back into a grind. Swells hang around between 4ft and 5ft, but the wind rarely lets up. It's onshore or cross-onshore from the SW or WSW almost constantly. The wave energy fluctuates, but the quality just isn't there. There's a morning on the 7th of September with lighter 6 mph winds, but the swell is only 4ft.

Looking further out, the morning of Friday the 11th of September has light 6 mph onshore winds again, but the swell is a weak 4ft from the SW. The rest of the period is pretty flat and blown out.

Honestly, for the next 16 days, La Chocolatera looks more like a spot for kite-surfing than for a dedicated paddle session. The only time it might be worth a look is very early Thursday the 4th of September, trusting that light onshore wind stays manageable. But don't expect too much.

Rusty.

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