La Chocolatera Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Howdy, Rusty here. Let’s break down what La Chocolatera has cookin’ for the next couple weeks, and I’ll tell ya, it ain’t pretty for most of it. This is a point break that needs a solid SW swell with the right wind, and we’re just not gettin’ the stars to align. The water’s a balmy 80°, which is far warmer than normal for this time of year, so you won’t be needin’ a wetsuit.

We start off Monday, September 14th, with a tiny 2ft SW swell and an 18-second period. That’s a long-period groundswell, so there’s some shape in theory, but the wind is blowin’ straight onshore from the SW at 6 mph. The combined swell energy is a weak 307 – barely any push. It’s a poor surf day, plain and simple.

Tuesday the 15th picks up a little to 3ft from the SW, with a 16-second period, and the energy jumps to a moderate 559. That’s got some life, but the wind is cross-onshore in the mornin’ from the SSW at 6 mph, and then onshore from the WSW in the afternoon at 9 mph. The mornin’ session gets a marginal nod – probably a weird tide – but the afternoon is poor. If you’re desperate, Tuesday mornin’ is the least bad option.

From Wednesday the 16th all the way through Saturday the 27th, it’s a whole lotta nothin’. Swell hangs between 2ft and 4ft, and the wind is almost always onshore or cross-onshore. Energy sits mostly in the 300–500 range – moderate, but all wrong. There are a few marginal mornin’s on the 21st, 22nd, and 23rd, but nothin’ worth a drive. That’s over a week of mediocrity.

But here’s the one bright spot. Sunday, September 27th, in the mornin’, the wind goes glassy – dead calm, 3 mph from the S – and the swell is 3ft from the WSW with a 12-second period. The combined energy is 340, still moderate, but that glassy surface is gonna be clean. The forecast says “expect good surf conditions.” That’s your standout. It’s the only one in the whole outlook. The waves ain’t big, but on a point break, clean 3ft surf is way more fun than any bigger, blown-out mess. The direction is WSW, close enough to the optimum SW for the point to wrap in nicely. The break is inconsistent, and crowds can show up sometimes, but on a Sunday mornin’ you might have it pretty quiet.

After that, Monday the 28th and Tuesday the 29th go back to onshore chop, so don’t expect much. That Sunday the 27th is your target – mark it on the calendar.

Rusty.

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