La Chocolatera Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, and I’ve been staring at the charts for this stretch. Honestly, it’s a tough one. The next two weeks are looking pretty bleak for any decent waves. We’re looking at a solid run of “poor surf conditions” for the first week, with nothing really breaking through until around the 14th of August, and even then it’s only a marginal call.

Let’s start with the one spot we’ve got to work with: La Chocolatera. This is a point break that’s exposed to the SW, which is the direction the swell’s coming from, but it’s inconsistent. The problem is that for the entire first week, from the 8th right through to the 13th, we’ve got onshore winds blowing straight into the bay. The swell is small, only 2 ft to 4 ft, and while it’s got a decent period (over 12 seconds), the wind is just ruining it. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no drama there, but you’d be fighting a 12 to 15 mph breeze for a tiny, poor-quality wave.

The first real sign of life shows up on the morning of Friday, 14th August. The wind finally drops to a light breeze, and the swell builds to 4 ft from the SW with a 17-second period. The combined energy jumps to 895 (moderate), but it’s still only a “marginal” call. It’s not clean, but it’s the first chance you’ve got. The afternoon sees the swell push to 5 ft and the energy goes strong with a reading of 1089, but the wind picks back up to a 12 mph breeze onshore, making it messy again.

The next morning, Saturday, 15th August, is your best window. The swell is 5 ft from the SW, period 15 seconds, with a gentle breeze. The combined energy is 927 (moderate). It’s still onshore, but it’s light enough that the point might offer a few workable runners. For the intermediate crew, this is the standout. After that, it’s back to the same story: onshore winds and poor surf right through to the 23rd of August.

For a point break, that long-period swell (over 15 seconds) can be a blessing, but with the constant onshore flow, it’s mostly just a lumpy mess. There’s nothing here for beginners – the swell never gets over 5 ft, but the conditions are never clean enough. And for experts? The 5 ft swell is too small to get excited about, and the wind is never truly offshore. This is a stretch where you’d be better off waiting for a change in the forecast. Given the inconsistency of the spot, a blank run like this is pretty normal for the area.

Keep your chin up, the forecasts can change.
Rusty

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