La Chocolatera Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for us at La Chocolatera. It’s a point break that’s exposed to the SW, and it’s inconsistent, so we’re not going to see a constant supply of surf. The water is sitting at 79°F right now, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year.

First up, the pattern is a bit of a bummer. We’re starting off with a pretty lean stretch. From Monday the 20th of July right through Thursday the 23rd, it’s all poor surf conditions. The swell is tiny, only 2ft to 3ft, and the wind is onshore or cross-onshore, making it choppy and messy. The combined energy is moderate, between 259 and 495, but it’s not doing us any favours.

We start to see a glimmer of hope on Friday the 24th of July. The swell bumps up to 3ft from the SW with a very long period of 21 seconds. That’s proper groundswell. The energy jumps to 903, which is strong. The wind is light onshore, pushing it to “marginal” but it’s a step in the right direction. The very long period is a big positive for a point break like this – it’ll bring more shape and energy, but it also means longer waits between sets.

Saturday the 25th of July keeps that trend going with 3ft SW swell, still a long period of 19 seconds, and light winds. The energy is still strong at 736. It’s still a marginal call, but it’s the best we’ve seen so far.

The standout window looks like it’s going to be from Sunday the 26th of July through to Wednesday the 29th of July. Sunday morning looks clean with clear skies, a light breeze, and 3ft of SW swell with a 17-second period. The energy is a solid 614. Monday the 27th of July morning brings a bigger 5ft SW swell with an 18-second period, and the energy is very strong at 1424. That’s the biggest push of the whole forecast. The wind is onshore, but it’s a gentle breeze, so it’s not going to ruin it completely. Tuesday the 28th of July is similar, with 5ft SW swell and a 16-second period, energy still very strong around 1305. The wind is onshore but manageable.

The absolute best on offer is likely the Monday morning, the 27th of July. You’ve got a solid 5ft of SW groundswell with a very long period, and the energy is pumping at 1424. It’s big enough to be a handful for beginners, but for an intermediate, that’s a proper session. The wind is a gentle breeze from the SW, which is onshore, but it’s light enough that the point should handle it well. The inconsistency of this spot means you’ll be waiting for the sets, but when they come, they’ll be worth it.

After that, the swell drops back down through the end of July and into the start of August. The wind stays onshore or cross-onshore, and the conditions slip back into poor or marginal surf. There’s a small bump on Monday the 3rd of August with 5ft SW swell, but the energy is moderate and the wind is onshore, so it’s not a standout.

Overall, if you’re looking for a window, the best bet is the 27th and 28th of July. It’s not perfect, but it’s the most surfable stretch we’ve got. Get out there and make the most of it.

Rusty.

Read more