La Chocolatera Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it for this corner of the coast. It’s been a bit of a mixed bag, and honestly, for the next 16 days, we’re not looking at any kind of classic run. The forecast is pretty thin on the ground for proper clean surf, so we’re going to have to pick our moments carefully.

The main story is a slow taper. We start with a solid pulse of swell from the southwest, but it’s fighting a losing battle against the wind. Early on, that swell is carrying some decent energy – we’re talking moderate to strong wave energy (1284) – but the conditions are just not playing ball. The wind is blasting straight onshore or cross-onshore for most of the first week, tearing up what could have been a decent wave.

The only real standout, and I mean the only one that gets the blood pumping a little, is La Chocolatera. This is a proper point break, so it can handle a bit more direction than your average beach. The optimum swell comes from the southwest, and we’re getting exactly that. For the morning of Friday the 4th, we’ve got a 5 ft swell from the SW with a 16-second period – that’s a long period groundswell, full of energy. The issue is the wind. It’s blowing 9 mph from the SW, straight onshore, and the forecast calls it marginal. It’s a shame because the building blocks are there. The combined energy is strong (1284), but the wind is just ruining the party. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing too unusual.

If you’re desperate for a paddle, Saturday the 5th morning might be your best bet. The wind drops to a light breeze from the SW, still onshore, but much lighter, and the swell is still a solid 5 ft with a 15-second period from the SW. The energy is still moderate (1029). It’s not going to be glassy, but it’ll be the least messy all week. The crowds are listed as “sometimes,” so you might have a few others with the same idea. Generally, this spot is inconsistent, so when it does show a pulse, you’ve got to take a look.

After that, it’s a long, slow fade. From Sunday the 6th onward, the swell drops under 4 ft, the period shortens, and the wind stays onshore or cross-onshore. The combined energy drops into the weak to moderate range (639 down to 260). The forecast is full of “poor surf conditions” and “marginal” calls. There’s a gap of about 10 days from the 7th through the 16th where there’s basically nothing worth planning a session around.

For the second week, from the 10th of September onwards, the swell is tiny, mostly under 3 ft, and the period is all over the place. The wave energy is weak (between 260 and 446). There’s a morning on the 19th of September with a light breeze and a 2 ft swell, but it’s too small and weak to get excited about. It’s a long-range call, and it’s not promising.

Honestly, the only window that’s even worth a look is that Saturday morning, the 5th of September. It’s not a classic, but it’s the best on offer. The rest of the 16 days is a write-off for quality surf. The setup is mostly a beach-and-reef situation, and with the onshore winds and weaker swell, it’s looking more like a kite day than a paddle day for most of it.

Keep your eyes on the sky, but don’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

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