La Chocolatera Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s happening with our local surf over the next couple of weeks. It’s not gonna be a classic run, that’s for sure. There’s a long window of pretty ordinary conditions, but a couple of sessions might just be worth a look if you’re patient.

The main event here is a point break called La Chocolatera. It’s an inconsistent spot, so it takes a bit of luck to catch it at its best, and it’s exposed to a SW swell. The water temp is about what you’d expect for this time of year, nothing unusual.

The first few days are a write-off. Wednesday the 22nd and Thursday the 23rd are a total no-go with poor surf conditions and onshore winds. The swell is small and weak, with combined energy reading just 351 (weak) and 280 (weak) on Wednesday. Thursday morning sees a short, weak 4ft SW swell with a period of only 7 seconds (short period), but the wind is still on it, so it’s messy.

We finally get a glimmer on Friday the 24th morning. The swell drops to 3ft from the SW, but the period jumps to 21 seconds (very long period groundswell). The combined energy is 933 (moderate). It’s still only a marginal call, but the wind is a gentle onshore breeze. This long period could make for some nice lines off the point, but it might be a bit too straight for a beach break. The afternoon is similar, but the energy drops to 751 (moderate).

Saturday the 25th morning is the best of the first week. The sky is clear, with a light cross-onshore breeze, and the swell is 3ft from the SW with a 19-second period (very long period). The energy is 754 (moderate). It’s a marginal surf forecast, but that light wind and long period could clean it up nicely for a few waves. The crowd profile says “sometimes,” so you might have a few others out, but it’s not a circus.

The following week gets a bit more interesting in terms of size, but the wind stays a problem. From Sunday the 27th to Tuesday the 29th, the swell builds to 5ft and 5ft from the SW, with periods around 16 seconds. The energy is strong, hitting 1254 (strong) on Monday morning. But the wind is onshore or cross-onshore, making it either choppy or just messy. The water looks less like a surf zone and more like a kiteboarding zone with that strong wind and poor quality.

The last few days of the month and into August are a flat, blown-out mess. From Wednesday the 30th July all the way through to Wednesday the 6th of August, the swell is tiny, the wind is on it, and the energy is weak (between 224 and 581). There’s one morning on Monday the 3rd of August with a 3ft SW swell, a 13-second period, and a light wind from the SW that’s onshore, but it’s only a marginal 1 out of 10. It’s pretty grim.

The standout, if you can call it that, is Saturday the 25th of July morning. The clean conditions from the light wind and the very long period (19 seconds) groundswell from the SW could make for some surprisingly good, lined-up waves off the point, even if the swell is only 3ft. Just be aware that long period swells can be a bit tricky, but for La Chocolatera, it’s the best offer we’ve got.

Overall, it’s a long stretch of ordinary to poor conditions. Don’t hold your breath for a classic. The forecast can always change, but for now, pick your window carefully.

Rusty.

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