La Chocolatera Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s run through what the next couple weeks look like at La Chocolatera. To be straight with you, it’s mostly flat with just one morning that might get you out of bed early. Not a classic stretch, but there’s a glimmer.

The water is running about 78°F – that’s *much* warmer than normal for this time of year, so you won’t need much rubber.

The only real opportunity is Sunday morning, July 5th. Swell is a small 2ft from the southwest, but the period is a very long 21 seconds – real groundswell. Combined energy is moderate at 720. Wind is light onshore from the SSW at 6 mph, so it’ll be clean enough for a longboard or a fish. That said, this spot is inconsistent and rarely breaks, so don’t expect a marathon session. Crowds are possible. The swell direction matches the optimum southwest, so the point should line up.

From Sunday afternoon through the rest of the 16-day run, it’s poor to marginal. Monday July 6th has a little more size – 4ft in the morning, 5ft in the afternoon – but wind goes cross-onshore and conditions get choppy. Tuesday the 7th holds swell around 5ft with onshore wind and strong energy (1148), but still flagged marginal. Then it fades: swell drops to 3ft to 4ft, periods fall to 12–16 seconds, and energy dips into the weak-to-moderate zone. From July 12th onward, it’s consistently poor – tiny 2ft to 4ft swell, periods around 12–14 seconds, combined energy under 500. Wind is onshore or cross-onshore pretty much every day. There’s a small blip on Saturday July 18th morning with 2ft swell and 16-second period, but it’s still flagged poor.

So the call: Sunday morning, July 5th, at La Chocolatera is your only real standout. Small but long-period swell, light wind, and a point break that’ll hold those lines. If you’re patient and don’t mind the inconsistency, that’s your window. The rest is a long gap of poor conditions, which is pretty normal for this spot. Keep an eye on the wind and tides, but don’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

Read more