La Chocolatera Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Gonna level with you straight up about this stretch of coast. It’s a tough outlook, so don't expect much.

We’ve got La Chocolatera as the only break on the cards, and honestly, it’s looking like a frustrating 16 days. Right now, there’s nothing worth paddling out for. The first real window we have to talk about doesn't even start until Friday the 14th of August, and even then, conditions are compromised.

The water is running a staggering 6° warmer than usual for this time of year, which is incredibly unusual and something you'll definitely feel.

Wednesday 12th & Thursday 13th August – Forget it. The onshore winds are ruining any chance of clean waves. We’re looking at tiny, weak swell with cross-onshore chop. Not worth the wetsuit.

Friday 14th August – Things start to look a little more interesting, but not great. We’ve got SW swell building to about 4ft in the morning and 5ft by the afternoon. The period is a solid 17 seconds dropping to 16 seconds – that’s proper groundswell energy. Combined swell energy climbs to a moderate 933 in the morning and a strong 1095 by the afternoon. The problem is the wind. It’s blowing onshore from the SW and WSW at 12 mph. This point break can handle some swell, but with the wind on it, it’ll be a messy, bumpy surface. Not the standout we’re after.

Saturday 15th & Sunday 16th August – The swell sticks around at 4ft to 5ft, but it’s short period stuff now (13-15 seconds) with moderate wind energy. The combined energy is still decent (over 500), but the onshore wind keeps the quality poor. It’s frustrating because there’s power there, just no shape.

Monday 17th August to Tuesday 26th August – This is a long, disappointing stretch. The swell drops and stays inconsistent, hovering around 2ft to 3ft. The combined energy is weak to moderate (150 to 633). Most of this period has onshore or cross-onshore wind. You’ll see days with light winds but almost no swell, or a bit of swell ruined by the breeze. This break is already inconsistent, so a blank run like this is more normal for the area.

Thursday 27th August – Now, here’s the one glimmer of hope, and it’s a long way off. We’ve got a SW groundswell building to 4ft to 4ft with a period of 16 seconds. The combined swell energy is a solid 748 in the morning and 913 in the afternoon, which is strong. The wind forecast shows a gentle onshore breeze at 9 mph, but it’s blowing from the SW which is technically onshore. The guidance tells me the optimum direction for this point is from the SW, so the swell direction is dead on. It’s a promising call for a better, more lined-up wave, but it’s two weeks away and anything can change.

The Bottom Line: The only date that catches my eye as a possible standout is Thursday 27th August. The swell direction is perfect, and the period is long. If the wind backs off or goes more offshore than forecast, it could be very good at La Chocolatera. For now, it’s just a “keep an eye on it” situation. Everything else is either too small, too windy, or both.

Stay patient. Rusty.

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