La Chocolatera Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with ya – the outlook for La Chocolatera over the next 16 days is a tough one. We’ve got a decent-sized, consistent SW groundswell rolling in, with moderate to strong combined wave energy (813 down to 152), but the wind is almost constantly onshore or cross-onshore out of the SW or WSW. That’s ruining what could be perfectly good waves. The water is a staggering 6° warmer than usual for this time of year, sitting at 79°, which is very unusual for mid-August. But with the wind, it’s chop city.

We kick off Saturday, August 15th, with a 4ft swell at 14 seconds from the WSW, but that 16 mph onshore wind is just tearing it up. The energy is moderate at 813, but it’s not doing us any favours.

Sunday, August 16th, drops to 4ft, still a solid 14-second period, but the SW wind is 12 mph in the morning and 9 mph in the afternoon. Still onshore. The wave energy dips to 526-629, and it’s still poor.

Monday, August 17th, the morning has a light 6 mph onshore wind with 4ft of SW swell. It’s a marginal call, but that’s the best we’ll see for a while. The afternoon gets messy again.

Tuesday, August 18th, through Thursday, August 21st, is more of the same. Swell stays between 3ft and 4ft, periods from 10 to 15 seconds, but the wind is stubbornly onshore or cross-onshore, 9 to 12 mph. The combined energy is all over the shop (362 to 653), but it’s all wind-slop.

Friday, August 22nd, the swell plummets to 2ft-2ft through to Monday, August 25th, with wave energy dropping to a weak 152-277. The wind is still on you.

From Tuesday, August 26th, through to Thursday, August 28th, we get a bit of a pulse back. The 27th has a 2ft to 2ft swell at 19 seconds – that’s a very long period groundswell – and wave energy jumps to 393-468. But again, the wind is either on or cross-on. For a point break, that long period stuff should be a dream, but with the wind, it’s unsurfable.

Friday, August 29th, the morning has a 3ft swell at 15 seconds and a light 6 mph cross-onshore. It’s marginal at best. The afternoon picks up to 4ft at 15 seconds, but the wind is 9 mph onshore.

It’s not until Saturday, August 30th, that we get a sniff of something. The morning is clear, light 6 mph onshore wind, a 4ft SW swell at 14 seconds. That’s the closest we get to a clean window, but it’s still a marginal call. The wave energy is moderate at 502.

Honestly, there’s no standout session here. The whole 16 days is plagued by the wrong wind. For a 4ft, 14-second WSW swell with moderate energy on day one to be completely written off because of wind – that’s a heartbreaker. La Chocolatera is an inconsistent point, and this run is a real test of your patience. With the consistent onshore wind and small to moderate swell, this setup actually looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing for most of the forecast.

Rusty.

Read more