La Chocolatera Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what the next couple of weeks are shaping up like for this spot.

Overall, it's a bit of a mixed bag. We've got a solid run of swell on the way, but the wind is going to be the main character for most of it, and not always in a good way. We’re looking at a lot of onshore wind making things messy, but there are a couple of windows where it all comes together.

First up, we’re kicking off Thursday the 2nd with some pulse. La Chocolatera has a 4 ft SW groundswell with a very long 16-second period and moderate wave energy (847), but with a 9 mph onshore wind, the surf is poor. It stays like that through Friday and Saturday with onshore wind and similar size swells, just a bit smaller.

The first real standout is Sunday morning, July 5th. That’s the one to circle on the calendar. The wind goes glassy – dead calm – and we get a beautiful 2 ft SW groundswell with an incredibly long 21-second period. The combined energy jumps to (912). For a point break like La Chocolatera, that long period is going to produce some beautifully shaped, lined-up waves. Expect clean conditions and very good surf. Just a heads up, being a point break with that long period, it might be a bit walled-up. And the crowds can be around sometimes, so get there early.

Sunday afternoon goes downhill quick as a 12 mph cross-onshore wind messes things up.

Moving into the first full week, Monday July 6th through Tuesday July 7th sees a bigger push of swell from the SW, running 4 ft to 5 ft with periods between 16 and 19 seconds. The energy is strong (between 1100 and 1254). But again, the wind is the problem. It’s either onshore or a gentle cross-onshore making it choppy. It’s a bit of a tease—plenty of power but the surface is going to be bumpy. Surf quality is only marginal at best.

After that, from Wednesday July 8th all the way through to Thursday July 16th, it’s a pretty grim run. We get a persistent onshore or cross-onshore breeze, with swell sizes dropping between 2 ft to 4 ft and short to average periods. The energy drops back into the weak to moderate range. Most days are flagged as poor surf conditions. There’s a long, frustrating gap of over a week with no clean waves.

The only other flicker of hope comes right at the end of the window, on Friday July 17th. We see a bit of a swell bump back up to 4 ft from the SW, with a 15-second period and moderate energy (765). But the wind is still onshore, so it’s likely messy again. It’s too far out to get excited about.

So, for the best bet in this outlook, it’s a no-brainer: Sunday morning, July 5th, at La Chocolatera. Get on it for that glassy dawn patrol. The rest of the period is mostly about waiting for the next clean window.

Stay salty.
Rusty.

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