La Chocolatera Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s be straight with you. The next couple of weeks are going to be a real test of patience. It’s a stretch of onshore winds and not a lot of clean, rideable surf. We’ve got a few moments where things might line up, but for the most part, you’ll be fighting the chop.

The main break we’re looking at is La Chocolatera, a point break that can be a bit fickle anyway, and it’s going to be having a tough time. It’s inconsistent, and that’s going to be the theme for this period. Water temp is about normal for the season, so a full suit is the go-to.

We start this Wednesday, September 9th, and it’s rough. We’ve got some swell, about 3ft with a 14-second period, so there is some juice, but the wind is honking onshore at 20 km/h. The combined swell energy is moderate at 925, but it’s a blown-out mess. Not worth the effort. Thursday looks similar, with the swell nudging up to 4ft and a longer 16-second period, but the onshore wind keeps things ugly. Energy is still moderate at 815.

Friday the 11th is where we get our first real glimpse of hope. The wind drops to a light breeze, and the morning looks glassy with clear skies. There’s 3ft of SW swell at 14 seconds, and the energy has dropped to 492. It’s a marginal forecast, but it’s the cleanest we’ve seen. It’s still not going to be amazing, but you could get a few. The afternoon is similar with 4ft and a light breeze, but it’s still a low-score day.

Then the wheels fall off. Saturday and Sunday are back to poor surf, with smaller swell and onshore winds. Swell energy drops into the 300s, which is weak. Wave heights fall under 3ft, and it’s just not worth looking at.

The next chance comes Tuesday, September 15th. The morning looks promising with light onshore wind and 3ft of SW swell at 16 seconds. The energy is back up to a moderate 622. It’s a marginal call, but the conditions are closer to clean than anything else we’ve seen. The afternoon looks a touch better, with 4ft on the same swell and energy at 664. This is probably your best bet for the first half of the month.

After that, it’s back to the grind. Wednesday through the following week is a long stretch of small, weak, and onshore slop. Wave heights hover around 2ft to 3ft, with periods in the 13-14 second range. The energy is consistently weak, mostly in the 200s and 300s. There’s a spike in period to 20 seconds on the 19th, but with only 2ft of swell, it’s not going to do much at a point break like this. It’s a long, drawn-out lull with a lot of blown-out days.

Looking into the second week, the 20th and 21st offer tiny, weak swell around 2ft with light winds at times, but it's a marginal, last-resort kind of surf. The final days of the forecast window, the 23rd and 24th, show no real improvement.

So the standouts, if you can call them that, are the Friday the 11th morning session and perhaps the Tuesday the 15th. These are the only times when the wind really eases off and the swell has a bit of size and period. Even then, it’s not going to be a classic. For a spot like La Chocolatera, which needs a good SW groundswell to really work, this forecast is a letdown. With this much onshore wind and weak energy, the setup might actually be more interesting for kitesurfing than paddling. Keep your expectations low, but keep your board ready. Forecasts can change.

Rusty

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