La Chocolatera Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it for La Chocolatera. We’ve got a bit of a patchy outlook ahead, so don’t expect a solid run of clean waves.

The overall pattern is looking pretty grim for the first week and a half. The swell is on the small side, mostly around 2ft to 4ft, and the wind is almost constantly blowing onshore or cross-onshore. That means the surf is going to be messy and choppy, and the reports are all showing poor surf conditions. The water is a warm 79°, which is a whopping 9° warmer than usual for this time of year – pretty unusual, you’ll be sweating in a spring suit.

The first real glimmer of hope doesn’t show up until the morning of Sunday, July 26th. We’ve got a 4ft swell from the SW with a period of 17 seconds, and the combined energy is moderate at 802. It’s a light cross-onshore breeze, so it’ll be a bit bumpy, but it’s the best we’ve seen in a while. This spot is a point break, so a longer period groundswell like this should wrap in nicely, but it’s also inconsistent, so don’t expect a set every minute.

The next notable window is Monday, July 27th, through Tuesday, July 28th. The swell really starts to build, with heights hitting 5ft to 5ft from the SW, and a very long period of 16 to 18 seconds. The combined energy is strong, hitting 1231 and 1300. This is solid groundswell. However, the wind is still onshore, which will keep the quality marginal. Still, for wave energy, this is the peak of the forecast. The size is getting up there, so it’s leaning towards a more advanced session, but on a point like this, those long-period lines could be a real treat.

After that, the swell slowly fades through the end of July and into early August. The wind stays stubbornly onshore or cross-onshore, and the reports keep telling us the surf is poor. There’s a tiny uptick on Monday, August 3rd, with a 3ft swell from the SW, a period of 13 seconds, and moderate energy of 500, but the wind is still onshore, so it’s still just a marginal situation.

The best of what’s on offer is the period from Monday, July 27th, to Tuesday, July 28th. That’s your standout: a building SW groundswell with strong energy, even if the wind is a bit of a letdown. For a clean session, the morning of Sunday, July 26th, is your best bet for smaller, less powerful waves with a lighter breeze.

Rusty.

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