La Chocolatera Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s not sugarcoat it – the next few weeks are looking flat and messy. There’s barely anything on offer, and the first decent chance of a wave doesn’t show up until Monday the 7th, and even then it’s barely worth getting wet for.

That Monday morning at La Chocolatera, we’ve got about 3ft of southwest swell with a 13-second period. Water’s sitting at 80°F, which is a huge 11°F warmer than normal for this time of year – that’s not just a little warm, that’s very unusual. Wind is light from the southwest but cross-onshore, so it’ll be a touch lumpy. It’s marginal, to say the least. The afternoon drops to 2ft and the wind picks up, so that’s not your window either.

Tuesday the 8th through Sunday the 13th – just ignore it. Swell hangs around 3ft, but the periods are short, the wind is choppy, and the energy numbers are weak to moderate. The wave comments keep saying “poor surf conditions,” and the scores are all zeros. Not worth the paddle.

Monday the 14th and Tuesday the 15th bring a slight bump – 2ft to 3ft, periods around 16 seconds, and the energy climbs a bit. Tuesday morning has a light offshore touch, which is promising, but the swell is still small and the break is inconsistent. Tuesday afternoon gets cross-onshore again, so you’d need to be out early.

Wednesday the 16th stays poor – 3ft, but short period and choppy. Nothing changes through the rest of that week. From Thursday the 17th through Tuesday the 22nd, we’re stuck with tiny surf – mostly 1ft to 3ft – and periods that never really deliver. The energy drops into the low 200s and 300s, which is weak. A few glimmers, like Saturday the 19th with a long 21-second period, but the swell is only 1ft – that’s just a ripple. Nothing surfable.

If I’m picking one standout, it’s Tuesday the 15th morning – light offshore wind, 3ft of southwest swell at 16 seconds, and energy around 550. That’s the closest we get to anything clean, but it’s still small and the break is inconsistent, so you’ll be scratching for waves. Beyond that, it’s a dry spell.

La Chocolatera is the only spot we’ve got, and it’s not firing. It’s an inconsistent point break, and when it’s this small and the wind’s messy, you’re better off doing something else. With the water this warm and the surf this poor, I wouldn’t be surprised to see kites out there instead of surfboards – the wind’s got more use for that.

We’re looking at a solid two-week stretch with nothing worth getting excited about. The swell tries to pulse mid-month, but it never gets big or clean enough. Keep your board ready, but don’t hold your breath. Forecasts can change, and it won’t stay flat forever, but right now, I’d call this one a wash.

Rusty out.

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