La Chocolatera Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s shaping up for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, it’s a grim start. We’ve got a long stretch of nothing good on the cards. From Tuesday 18 August right through to the morning of Friday 28 August, every single session is tagged as poor surf conditions. That’s ten straight days of onshore breezes and messy, weak energy. Don’t even bother paddling out.

The only break on the radar is La Chocolatera, a point break that’s exposed to SW swell. It’s an inconsistent spot, so a run like this isn’t totally out of the ordinary, but it still stings. The water temp is sitting at a very unusual 79°, which is 10° warmer than normal for this time of year – that’s a proper anomaly and will feel like a warm bath.

Now, the first hint of life shows up on the morning of Friday 28 August. The swell picks up to 3ft from the WSW, with a long period of 18 seconds. The energy jumps into the moderate range at 885, and we get a light cross-onshore breeze. It’s still only rated as marginal, with questionable tide conditions, but it’s a step in the right direction.

Saturday 29 August is the one to circle. Morning brings 6ft of SW swell, period at 15 seconds – a solid groundswell. The combined energy hits a strong 1624, and we’ve got light offshore winds from the SSW. The waves will be powerful and clean for the point. This is your best bet of the whole outlook. The size is pushing expert-only territory, so if you’re not comfortable in solid surf, give this one a miss. The long period means the sets will be well-spaced and hold up nicely on the point, though it might close out if you try a beach break.

Sunday 30 August morning still has some decent leftovers at 5ft from the SW, with light offshore breezes again. Energy is still strong at 1062, but it’s a step down from Saturday. Afternoon sees the wind pick up and the quality drop.

The last half of the forecast into early September is a mixed bag. The swell fades back down to 3ft and below, with energy dropping. There are a few more marginal calls, but nothing that screams “go”. There’s a weird spike on Wednesday 2 September afternoon with a 3ft swell but a very long 22-second period, giving a strong energy reading of 1384. That long period will make it incredibly straight at the point, so only worth a look if you know the line-up.

Stay patient. Saturday 29 August is the standout. It’s still over a week away, so keep an eye on the forecasts, but that’s where the potential is.

Rusty.

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