La Chocolatera Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get this straight. The next week and a half is looking pretty grim. We’ve got a stretch of small, weak, and often choppy surf. It’s not going to be easy. The long-range stuff is where the real potential sits, but we gotta pay our dues first.

The first hint of anything rideable is on the morning of Saturday the 15th. It’s still pretty ordinary. We’re looking at 5ft of SW swell, but the energy is only moderate at 1018. A 15-second period is nice to see, but it’s marked as marginal, so you won’t be missing much if you sleep in. Winds are onshore, which is never a good look.

After that, it really flat-lines. From Sunday the 16th through to the 28th, the surf is just a tale of small, weak waves and onshore breezes. The swell drops below 3ft for most of that run, and the energy numbers are weak, dipping into the low hundreds. We’re stuck with 2ft to 4ft waves, mostly around 13-15 seconds, but just lacking any push. The wind is mostly SW or WSW, blowing onshore, and it’s going to mess up the surface. Some afternoons get a bit cross-onshore and choppy.

There’s a small blip on the morning of the 21st, with a 2ft SW swell at 16 seconds, but it’s still marginal, and the energy is weak at 229. Not worth the paddle.

Now, let’s talk about the standout. Saturday the 29th is the one to circle. The swell builds to 6ft, out of the SW, with a solid 15-second period. The energy jumps to a strong 1387. This has some real power to it. The wind is light offshore in the morning, which is exactly what we want to see for clean conditions. It’s still got a “marginal” tag on it, so let’s say it’s promising, but not a guarantee. This is big enough that it might be a bit much for the beginners, but for the rest of us, it’s the best shot we’ve got in this whole window.

Saturday afternoon the 29th eases off slightly to 6ft but the winds pick up onshore, and the energy dips a bit to 1335. The morning is the window. It’ll be bigger and cleaner.

The run ends on Sunday the 30th with 5ft SW swell at 13 seconds, and energy at 934, with light winds. Still not as good as that Saturday morning, but worth a look if you missed it.

So, plan your time around that Saturday the 29th morning. The rest is a waiting game. It’s a long, flat spell, but that pulse looks like it could be worth the wait.

Rusty

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