Silva Island-P Land Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, grab a seat. Rusty here, and I’ve been glued to the charts for our local stretch. It’s not exactly firing, but there are a few windows where the stars line up. Let’s break it down.

Looking at the whole sixteen-day picture, the biggest issue is the swell size. We’re talking tiny waves, mostly below 3 ft, for the vast majority of the run. It’s a low-energy block, but there are a few crowded windows that could still offer a fun slide if you’re patient and picky.

The first hint of motion is this Friday, the 11th. Silva Island-P Land (reef) will have some tiny 2 ft SSW groundswell pushing in, with a period of 15 seconds. The wind is a bit annoying – cross-off from the SSW – so it will be clean, but the overall energy is weak at 170. It’s surfable, but honestly, it’s nothing to get excited about.

Saturday the 12th morning is where it gets interesting. The wind goes completely glassy, dead calm, with a 1.6 ft SW swell (14 secs). That’s a textbook clean morning. The water temp is sitting at 30.2°, which is a massive 2.1° warmer than normal for this time of year – feels like a tropical bath out there. That’s a big deal; you won’t need a wetsuit. This is probably the pick of the first week, with that glassy morning offering the cleanest surf, even if it’s small.

Sunday the 13th follows a similar pattern. Morning glass again, with 1.3 ft SW swell (13 secs). It’s small, but clean. The afternoons from Saturday right through to the following Thursday are all contaminated by either a cross-shore wind or risk of thunderstorms, so stick to the AM sessions.

The real standout, the one that actually earns a shout, is Sunday the 20th. That morning we get a very long period SSW swell arriving at 1.3 ft, but with a period of 19 seconds and a combined energy of 204 – that’s a decent bump in energy for this area, and the wind is glassy. That long period wave will wrap beautifully around the reef at Silva Island, offering some clean lines. It’s the best on offer in the whole run. After that, Monday the 21st gets blown out by strong cross-onshore winds (35 km/h in the afternoon), making the surf messy.

The final week gets messy again. Tuesday the 22nd sees a pulse of short-period windswell at 4.3 ft (only 6 secs) but it’s coming with strong onshore winds, making it completely unrideable for a log, but interesting for kite gear. Then from the 23rd onwards, we’re back to tiny, clean-ish waves but with zero energy.

In short: if you’re keen, get up early. The glassy mornings of September 14th, 15th, and 16th offer tiny clean waves, but the absolute highlight is the 20th. After that, the second week is a write-off until maybe the final Saturday the 26th morning, which has a small clean 1.3 ft SW swell (19 secs, 161 energy) – another early alarm call.

Stay patient, stay glassy.

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