Silva Island-P Land Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at the 16-day picture for Silva Island-P Land.

Right off the bat, Tuesday morning is the standout. We’ve got a solid 3ft swell rolling in from the SSW, with a very long period of 18 seconds. That’s proper groundswell, and with the ESE glass at just 3 mph, it’s going to be clean. The combined wave energy is strong (556), so there’s plenty of push. The water is sitting at 86°, which is more than 2° warmer than usual for this time of year, so you’ll be in for a warm one. This is a reef break, so that long period energy will really wrap in nicely. Just keep in mind that crowds are possible here.

Tuesday afternoon the wind swings SW and goes cross-shore, and the vibe drops off. The swell stays the same size, but the conditions turn marginal. The morning sessions are the key.

Wednesday morning is another good call with the same 3ft swell from the SW, period dropping to 16 seconds, but still long period. The SE glass at 3 mph keeps it glassy. It’s a near-repeat of Tuesday morning, just a touch less energy (372). Wednesday afternoon brings risk of thunderstorms and cross-shore wind, so forget it.

Thursday morning sees the swell drop to 2ft from the SW, period still long at 14 seconds. Glassy conditions with a light SSW breeze. The energy is dropping to 215, but it’s still clean and surfable. Thursday afternoon is a write-off.

From Friday, the swell drops to 2ft and then 2ft, and the period shortens. The energy drops into the 100s. The mornings are glassy but the surf is very ordinary. This flat spell drags on through the weekend and into the start of the following week.

There’s a big gap of poor to no surf from the 31st of July through to the 6th of August, with only tiny, weak waves and poor conditions. The energy bottoms out around 26. It’s a real dry spell.

Things start to whisper again on the 7th of August. The swell is small at 1ft, but the period jumps back to 18 seconds, and the energy picks up to 142. The morning has a clean cross-off breeze. It’s not a day for a paddle, but it’s a sign of life.

The 8th and 9th of August see a little more size, up to 2ft, with glassy mornings and long period swell. The energy sits in the high 100s to low 100s. It’s very ordinary, but glassy conditions make it worth a look if you’re desperate.

Further out, the 10th to the 12th of August stay small, with 1ft to 1ft swell, but the period gets very long again, hitting 20 to 21 seconds. The energy is in the low 100s. The mornings are glassy or calm. This is long-range stuff, so treat it as promising but uncertain. That kind of long period on a reef like this could produce some surprisingly clean little waves if the tide plays ball.

The best bet is Tuesday the 28th of July, morning session. After that, keep your eyes on the 7th of August and beyond for a slow return of energy.

Rusty.

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