Silva Island-P Land Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about Silva Island. This one’s a reef break that takes a solid SW swell to get going. We’ve got a long outlook ahead, but I gotta be straight with you: it’s a pretty drawn-out run of small, ordinary waves with only a couple of moments that really stand out. Water temp is sitting at 86°F, which is over 4°F warmer than usual for this time of year, so it’s notable – think bathwater warm.

The first real chance to get wet kicks off Saturday, September 12th, but honestly, it's nothing to get excited about. The afternoon has a tiny 2ft SW swell, period around 14 seconds, and combined energy is weak (150). Wind is a cross-off from the SSW at 6 mph, so it's clean, but the size is tiny. It's surfable but very ordinary.

Sunday the 13th is similar. Morning glass-off with an even smaller 1ft SW swell (13 sec period, 81 energy) and 3 mph SSE wind – that's glassy conditions, which is beautiful, but the swell just isn't there. Afternoon brings more of the same, 1ft, glassy, but it’s a risk t-storm day.

Monday the 14th: morning is glassy again with 0.7ft SSW swell at a long 19 seconds, but that’s barely a ripple. Afternoon gets a little bump but turns to cross-shore chop and poor surf.

Tuesday the 15th is where we start to see a flicker. Morning stays glassy with 1ft SW swell (18 sec, 112 energy). It’s still tiny, but clean. The real highlight of this whole run hits Tuesday afternoon. Swell lifts to 2ft SSW, period 18 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to 233 (moderate). Wind goes glassy – 3 mph from the SW. That’s the best combination we see: clean, glassy conditions, with the longest-period groundswell of the whole run pushing in. That long period (18 sec) will produce some nice shape, especially on a reef like this, though it might be a bit straight at times. Sets will be well-spaced, making it easier to pick them off. Crowds can pop up here sometimes, but with these conditions, it’s worth it.

Wednesday the 16th morning stays glassy with 2ft SSW (16 sec, 194 energy), but the afternoon gets messy with a cross-on wind.

From Thursday the 17th all the way through to the end of the period, it’s a rinse-and-repeat pattern. Most mornings offer glassy or clean conditions with tiny swell (1ft to 2ft) from the SW or SSW, and energy staying mostly weak (mostly under 200). Afternoons frequently degrade into cross-shore chop or cross-on wind. There’s a bump on Sunday the 20th morning (1ft SSW, 19 sec, 196 energy) and another on Monday the 21st morning (2ft SW, 18 sec, 195 energy) but neither really breaks the mould. The last standout is Sunday the 27th afternoon: 2ft WSW, 12 sec, 219 energy with clean cross-off winds – another solid, clean window to finish the run.

Overall, the only real standout is Tuesday, September 15th afternoon at Silva Island-P Land – that glassy 2ft SSW groundswell with 18 seconds of period is the cleanest, most energetic session we’ve got. If you’re chasing a wave, that’s your moment.

There’s a gap from the start – nothing worth paddling for until Tuesday afternoon. Then it’s a lot of small, clean mornings but nothing that fires properly. The forecast changes, but for now, it’s a waiting game.

Stay patient, keep your eyes on the swell charts.
– Rusty

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