Silva Island-P Land Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Well, it’s a pretty quiet spell ahead for Silva Island-P Land, a reef setup that’s very consistent and exposed to the SW. The ocean’s been holding onto some extra warmth, with the water sitting at 87°F and a temperature anomaly of 2°F – that’s much warmer than normal for this time of year, a real tropical feel.

The first decent chance rolls in on Sunday, July 12th. The morning’s the pick with a clean 2ft SSW swell, a period of 14 seconds, and glassy conditions. The combined swell energy is moderate at 203, and with the wind dead calm, it’ll be silky smooth out there. Expect good surf conditions, but the size is small, so it’s a board-short and log kind of day. The afternoon gets a bit messy with some rain, and the swell drops to 2ft.

Monday, July 13th through to Saturday, July 18th sees the swell hover around 2ft, mostly from the SSW with a period of 13 to 14 seconds. The mornings are generally glassy or clean, offering surfable waves but very ordinary conditions. The afternoons are plagued by a risk of thunderstorms and cross-shore winds, killing the quality. Nothing to get excited about here.

Sunday, July 19th to Tuesday, July 21st is more of the same – small 1ft to 2ft SSW swell. The mornings are glassy and calm, but the afternoons turn to poor surf conditions with cross-onshore winds. The combined energy dips into the triple digits but stays low.

Wednesday, July 22nd to Friday, July 24th the swell drops further to 1.0ft to 1ft, and the energy weakens, with the combined energy falling to 50-60. Mornings offer clean, glassy conditions, but it’s really marginal. Not worth paddling out for the size.

Saturday, July 25th is the smallest day, with a 0.7ft swell, but the period jumps to 16 seconds in the morning and then a bizarre 21 seconds in the afternoon. That very long period groundswell is prone to breaking straight on a reef, and with only 0.7ft of push, it’s basically flat. The combined energy is only 71-84, so save your energy.

Now, a glimmer of hope on Sunday, July 26th: the morning brings a 1ft SW swell with a 19-second period, glassy calm, and combined energy of 122. Still small, but the long period means if you find a corner, it’ll have some shape.

The standout of the entire outlook is Monday, July 27th. The morning session delivers a 2ft SW swell with a long 18-second period, and combined energy jumps to 226 – the strongest we’ve seen. The wind is clean and offshore with a slight air, meaning the faces will be smooth. The swell direction (SW) matches the optimum. It’s not big, but for a reef break, that long-period groundswell will wrap in nicely with some proper lines. Crowds are sometimes an issue here, so being a Monday morning should help. This is the one to circle.

The afternoons through the whole period remain poor, with cross-off or cross-onshore winds and storms. Overall, it’s a run of tiny, average surf with one stand-out morning on the 27th. Don’t expect much until then.

Rusty.

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