Morro Negrito Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let's talk about the stretch ahead. It’s gonna be a waiting game for most of it, but there are a couple of windows that’ll get the stoke up.

Right off the bat, the opening days are pretty grim. We're looking at a lot of small, weak surf with some messy winds on Saturday afternoon, and while Sunday morning cleans up to glassy, it’s still tiny. The real issue is the swell. For the first week and a bit, we're looking at waves mostly around 1ft to 2ft with periods that are all over the shop. The energy is weak to moderate, with values in the low hundreds, like (266) on Saturday afternoon dropping down to marginal stuff. The water temp is a notable 87°F with an anomaly of 4°F, so it's running much warmer than usual for this time of year, which is a nice little bonus when the surf is flat.

The standout of this whole forecast, and the only one I'd really call a true highlight, is Monday morning, the 17th. It’s not big, but the combination is there. We've got a 4ft swell from the WSW with a short period of 7 seconds. The energy jumps up to a moderate (300). The wind is light from the NE, leaving it glassy. It’s a bit dumpy with that short period, but for a wave that size, it’ll be fun and clean. This is your best bet for the first week. The morning of the 29th is also worth a look; it's a bit further out, but the forecast is showing a clean, glassy Saturday morning with a 2ft SSW swell and a period of 16 seconds. It’s promising, but less certain this far out.

After Monday, the week just fades into a whole lot of very ordinary, surfable but unremarkable conditions. Nothing over 2ft, and a lot of it is in the 1ft to 2ft range. The energy drops off, and we’ll be surfing dribble unless you’re really desperate. There are a few afternoon bumps in the wind, but nothing that saves it. This flat spell stretches out for days on end.

Now, for Morro Negrito itself, it's a reef and point setup that loves a good SW groundswell. That longer period stuff that shows up around the 23rd and 24th (18-19 seconds) is going to wrap in nicely here, but the size is just too small to make it worth your while. It’s a spot that's exposed to the SW, and the optimum is SW, so the direction is right, but the size is the problem. Also, keep in mind that with those long periods, the sets can be few and far between, so the paddle out is easy, but you might be waiting a while between waves. It could be worth it for the novelty, but don't expect much.

The gap in the middle of the forecast is a real bummer. From the 18th through to the 27th, there's just nothing to get excited about. Day after day of small, weak surf. If you’re not a beginner, you might be better off finding something else to do. It just doesn't tend to stay this poor for long, and forecasts can change, but as it stands, we're in for a drought. There is a pulse of energy on the 28th, with the combined swell energy jumping to (212) in the morning, but the wind blows onshore for the afternoon, and the wave height is still marginal. The morning of the 29th looks like the cleanest of that little pulse, but it’s still small.

So, to sum it up, your one true standout is Monday morning, the 17th. It's clean, it's got a bit of push, and it's got the best combo of conditions. The second week looks lackluster with a possible glassy morning on the 29th that's worth a paddle if you're keen, but it's a long shot.

Alright, that’s the picture from where I’m sitting. Keep an eye on the sky and the cam.

Rusty, out.

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