Morro Negrito Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let’s break this down for the imperial crew.

It’s gonna be a quiet run for a while. The swell is tiny for the first week or so, and the afternoons keep getting wrecked by thunderstorms and onshore wind. Water temp is sitting at 86°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year—feels like a warm bath, so you won’t need more than boardshorts.

The first real chance to get wet without feeling like you’re wasting a session is Sunday morning the 13th. Morro Negrito is the only spot on the map, a reef and point that wants a solid SW swell. That morning it’s glassy, clean, with a tiny 1ft SW swell rolling in at 13 seconds. The combined wave energy is weak at 81, so it’s small and gentle. The wind is glass—dead still—which is a huge plus. Crowds can show up sometimes here, but on a day this small, you’ll probably have the place to yourself. It’s not a standout by any means, but if you’re jonesing, that’s the best early on.

From Sunday afternoon right through most of the week, conditions get messy. Afternoon storms, cross-on winds, and that tiny swell keep things poor. Tuesday afternoon the 15th shows a flicker of hope: 2ft from the SSW, period 18 seconds, and glassy wind with moderate energy (231). That’s a long-period groundswell, which means better shaped waves at this reef and point, but the size is still tiny. It’s surfable, but don’t expect much.

Then we hit a real dry spell from Wednesday the 16th through to Saturday the 19th. Most mornings are okay, but afternoons are garbage. The swell stays small, and the wind goes onshore or cross-on nearly every afternoon. Not worth paddling out unless you’re just trying to wet the board.

Sunday morning the 20th? Still poor. Onshore wind, small junky swell. No good.

Monday morning the 21st is another glassy window, with 2ft SW swell at 18 seconds, energy at 194—moderate. That’s clean, but again, small. The wind is glassy, so it’ll look pretty, but you’ll be scratching for waves.

The best of the whole outlook might actually be Saturday morning the 26th. It’s still small, 3ft SW swell, but the period drops to 7 seconds—short-period windswell—and the wind is glassy. The combined energy is weak at 137. That’s not going to blow your mind, but it’s the most size you’ll see all forecast and it’s clean. If you’re a beginner, 3ft is fine, not too big. For experts, it’s a knee-burner. Still, it’s the best on offer.

Then Sunday morning the 27th has a little bump in energy (186) with 2ft SW swell at 13 seconds, glassy again. That’s okay, but the afternoon blows out again.

Bottom line: there’s no real standout session here. It’s a long, flat, mostly junky stretch. If you’re keen, hit the glassy mornings on the 13th, 21st, or the 26th for the most size. But don’t expect much. This is a reef and point that needs a proper SW groundswell to really fire, and that’s just not happening in this window.

Rusty.

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