Morro Negrito Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. We’ve got a solid little run of surf on the cards for Morro Negrito over the next couple of weeks, but don’t expect anything huge. It’s a classic setup for the advanced crew on this exposed reef and point break, and the direction from the southwest is right in the sweet spot for this spot. The water’s sitting at a balmy 86°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – you’ll feel that bit of extra warmth when you’re waiting for sets.

The whole pattern kicks off from the very start. Wednesday morning, September 2, delivers a clean 2ft of swell from the southwest, with a 13-second period and total wave energy reading 174 (moderate energy). The wind is dead calm, glassy as, so conditions are smooth and inviting. That same afternoon, a risk of thunderstorms rolls in but the wind stays glassy with a 2ft swell, though the energy drops slightly to 165. It’s surfable but nothing flash.

Thursday morning, September 3, is one of the standouts. We’ve got 1ft of southwest swell but check out that period – 20 seconds. That’s a proper long-period groundswell with a wave energy of 218 (moderate), and the wind is nil, glassy. It’s going to wrap nicely around the point, but long-period swells like this can break a bit straight on beach breaks – here on the reef and point, it’ll be much better shaped, with long gaps between sets making paddling out easier. This is the best on offer for the first week.

Friday morning, September 4, bumps up a bit to 2ft from the southwest, 18-second period, and a wave energy of 362 (moderate). Glassy winds again. The swell is building, but it’s still clean and fun. Saturday morning, September 5, is another good shout: 3ft southwest swell, 16-second period, and a wave energy of 381 (moderate). Calm conditions, glassy. That’s the peak size for the run, and it’s still manageable for advanced surfers, though beginners would find 3ft more of a challenge if the period stays long and the sets are punchy.

Sunday morning, September 6, drops back to 2ft from the southwest, 15-second period, with a wave energy of 232 (moderate). Glassy again. The afternoons all through this period carry a risk of thunderstorms but often stay glassy or with very light breezes, so you can still get a session in if you time it right. Monday September 7 is a bit more ordinary – 2ft, 14-second period, energy at 180 – but still glassy in the morning.

From Tuesday September 8 through to the end of the first week and into the second, it’s a pattern of smaller, cleaner mornings and sloppier afternoons. Tuesday morning, September 8, has 1ft from the southwest, but the period jumps to 18 seconds, giving a wave energy of 209 (moderate) – that long-period goodness again, but small. Wednesday September 9 and Thursday September 10 both offer 2ft to 2ft, clean mornings, with the energy staying in the 240 to 298 range. Friday September 11 and Saturday September 12 start to fade a bit – 2ft down to 2ft, wave energy dropping to 179 and 121. Still surfable in the glassy mornings.

Sunday September 13 to Tuesday September 15 sees the swell really drop – 1ft on average, periods between 13 and 18 seconds, but wave energy falls below 120, which is weak. The afternoons are mostly poor, so focus on the mornings. Wednesday September 16 and Thursday September 17 stay in that 1ft to 2ft range, with the energy bouncing back a touch to 122 and 160 in the mornings. The standout across the whole period remains Thursday morning, September 3, with that 20-second period groundswell and glassy conditions – that’s the one to work your diary around for the advanced crew at Morro Negrito. Crowds are possible here, so don’t expect it empty.

Rusty.

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