Morro Negrito Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s happening for us in this corner of the world over the next couple of weeks.

It’s a bit of a flat and tricky period overall. The first week is really not offering much to get excited about. The waves are tiny, mostly around 1ft to 2ft, and the energy is weak to moderate at best, with the combined swell energy wavering between 41 and 123. There’s a lot of onshore wind and rain on the cards, especially in the afternoons, and that’s just going to mess things up. Expect a lot of poor surf conditions and a few windows of ordinary, surfable waves but nothing worth paddling out for. There’s a bit of a gap in any real quality until around the end of the first week.

Now, the one highlight that stands out in this whole 16-day window is the Friday afternoon of the 7th of August through to Saturday morning of the 8th of August. That Friday afternoon, the swell bumps up to a consistent 2ft from the SSW, with a period of 18 seconds – that’s a proper, long-period groundswell. The combined energy jumps to a strong 281, which is the punchiest we’ll see. What makes it special is the glassy conditions with the south-southwest wind turning slight. Then heading into Saturday morning, the 8th, we get a glassy calm, 2ft SSW swell at 16 seconds, with that energy still sitting at a solid 205. That’s the best on offer. Those windows will be clean and have some shape, but remember, with a period over 15 seconds, this groundswell will be breaking a bit straight at most beach breaks. It will perform best at a reef or point setup.

Morro Negrito is the spot, an advanced reef and point break exposed to the SW. The water is running at 87°F, which is 4° warmer than normal, so very much warmer than usual for this time of year – you won’t need a wetsuit. Crowds can be an issue here, so get your skates on for those clean windows. Expect some company.

Beyond that brief window, the surf drops back into the ordinary category. From the 9th onwards, we’re back to tiny 1ft to 2ft waves with onshore afternoon winds kicking up. The second week looks very similar – small, average wave heights, with most afternoons getting ruined by a risk of thunderstorms and onshore breeze. The mornings offer some glassy or slight air, but the swell just isn't there to make it worth your while. The combined energy stays in the weak to moderate range (116 to 186) for the rest of the run.

So, for a proper paddle, circle the 7th and 8th of August. Otherwise, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

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