Morro Negrito Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it.

Right now, things are pretty flat and uninspiring out at Morro Negrito (Bocas del Toro). The surf is there, but it’s small and the conditions are messy for the most part. We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but there’s some life in the forecast if you’re willing to be patient.

The first couple of days are a real struggle. Tuesday the 4th and Wednesday the 5th are looking poor – tiny waves, and rain and cross-shore junk in the water. Not worth getting wet for, honestly. Thursday the 6th is a bit better in the morning with a clean, glassy surface, but the swell is tiny at 1ft and the energy is weak (126). It’s surfable, but you’ll be fighting for every little crumble.

Then, things start to turn. Friday the 7th morning is where it begins to feel worthwhile. We’ve got a 2ft SSW groundswell with a period bumping up to 13 seconds. The energy is moderate (213) and it’s glassy out there. This is a good sign for a reef and point setup like Morro Negrito. Saturday the 8th morning is even better – clean, glassy conditions with a 2ft SSW swell and a 16-second period, energy up to 238. This is looking like one of the highlights of the week. The longer period means more push and better shape. Just be mindful that a long-period SSW groundswell, while good for a point and reef, can sometimes straighten out on the more open sections. Still, this is your best bet for a proper session.

Sunday the 9th and Monday the 10th are back to being average – still clean in the mornings, but the swell drops off and the energy fades. We’re looking at 1-2ft and less power. It’s not bad, but it’s not special. The afternoons are mostly a write-off with the chance of storms and onshore breezes.

The middle of the week, the 11th through the 13th, is much the same – small, clean mornings, but nothing to get excited about. The swell stays in that 1-1ft range and the energy is mostly low. It’s a bit of a lull.

Then, a real standout appears on the horizon. Friday the 14th morning is looking proper. We’ve got a 2ft SW groundswell with a very long 19-second period. The energy is moderate (205) and it’s absolutely glassy. This is one for the early crew. The longer period suggests real groundswell, and for a point and reef set-up, that’s where the magic happens. It’s promising, but it’s a week out so treat it with a bit of caution.

Saturday the 15th is another strong one. The morning is glassy again with a 2ft SW swell and a 16-second period, energy up to 262. The afternoon even has a light offshore wind, keeping things clean. This is shaping up as the best combination of size, period, and wind for a while. Both Friday and Saturday mornings are the ones to circle.

After that, we settle back into the same pattern for the 16th, 17th, and 18th – small, clean mornings and generally average surf. The energy dips back down and the swell subsides to 1-2ft. It’s still surfable, but you’ll need to pick your moments.

Finally, on Wednesday the 19th, there’s another uptick in the morning. The swell is back to 1ft but with a solid 18-second period from the SSW, and the energy is up to 256. It’s glassy, so the quality should be there. Another long-period swell, so again, the point and reef sections will handle it best.

Water temps are running about average for this time of year, nothing wild there.

So, overall: It’s a slow start, but the windows on Friday the 7th and Saturday the 8th mornings are your first real chances. Then, the long-range calls for Friday the 14th and Saturday the 15th mornings are looking the best of the whole outlook. The swell is still small, so don’t expect bombs, but the quality and cleanliness will be there. For a more consistent option, you’d be looking at the mornings all around, but those two weekends are your standouts. Be patient, check the buoys, and get on it early.

Rusty.

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