Morro Negrito Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking over the next couple of weeks at Morro Negrito.

We’ve got a nice little run of surf kicking off this Saturday morning, the 25th of July. It’s not big, but it’s clean and the conditions are looking sweet. The standout is Morro Negrito itself, a reef and point setup that loves a solid SW groundswell, and the forecast is delivering just that. The combined swell energy is solid at 409, with a very long 21-second period swell coming out of the SSW. That’s proper groundswell, and with glassy conditions and barely a whisper of wind from the ESE at 3 mph, it’s going to be super clean. The wave height is sitting around 2 ft, so it’s small but with that kind of period, the shape should be excellent. Just a heads up, this is an advanced break and it’s known to be consistent, and the crowds are *sometimes* an issue, so get in early.

Moving into Sunday morning the 26th, the swell drops a fraction but stays around 2 ft and clean with WSW winds dead calm at 0 mph, glassy as. The energy is 270 – still moderate. By Monday morning the 27th, we’re back up to about 2 ft, same long-period SSW groundswell, and again glassy with calm winds. The energy spikes to 419, and conditions are looking good, but the afternoons keep getting hit with risk of thunderstorms and onshore wind, so make the most of the mornings.

Tuesday the 28th morning looks like the best of the early week. The swell pushes to 3 ft, combined energy hits 557, and with ESE 3 mph cross-offshore wind, it’s clean and glassy. This is a real highlight – the point will be working well with that SW swell direction matching the optimum.

Wednesday the 29th and Thursday the 30th mornings stay in the 2 ft to 3 ft range, glassy, but the swell period starts to drop (down to 14 seconds by Thursday). The energy eases from 372 to 215, so still surfable, but losing some of that punch. By Friday the 31st and into the first weekend of August, the swell drops to 2 ft or less, and the energy falls below 130. The period shortens to 13 seconds. It’s still glassy on a few mornings, but very ordinary – not worth racing for.

There’s a stretch of a few days (through the 2nd to 4th of August) where the swell is tiny, 0.7 ft to 2 ft, and the energy is below 100. That’s pretty weak. It stays flat-ish until Thursday the 6th afternoon when we see a little pulse of life with 1 ft, 19-second period, glassy conditions, and the energy jumps back to 221. Then Friday morning the 7th of August looks promising again with about 2 ft, 18-second SSW groundswell, combined energy 302, and glassy calm winds at 0 mph. That’s a nice little rebuild for the second week, but it’s far out so don’t lock it in just yet.

After that, it trails off again into the second weekend with small, weak swell and mostly poor afternoon conditions.

The water temp? We don’t have the exact number in front of us from the data, but it’s described as about average for the time of year, so likely nothing wild.

Overall, the real standout is Saturday morning the 25th through to Tuesday morning the 28th of July – that’s the window. Small but clean, long-period groundswell, and the point at Morro Negrito will be offering up some lovely lines. After that, it’s a case of pick your mornings and don’t expect too much.

Signing off, Rusty.

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