Morro Negrito Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's get into it.

Alright, looks like we've got a bit of a mixed bag on the cards for the next couple of weeks. The swell energy is generally on the weaker side, but there are a few windows where it all comes together. The main focus is on Morro Negrito, a reef and point setup that really needs that SW to SW groundswell to work its magic. The water is sitting at a very warm 87°, which is a good 4° warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s notable, feels like bath water.

Thursday 13th kicks things off, but it's a bit of a write-off. You've got a tiny 1.3ft swell from the SSW, and while the wind is glassy, there's a risk of thunderstorms. The combined energy is only 131, so really weak. Not one to get excited about.

Friday 14th is where we see our first real standout. The morning session is looking prime. A clean 2ft swell from the SSW with a solid 19-second period (that’s proper long-period groundswell) and absolutely no wind – glassy perfection. Combined energy bumps up to 243. For a point break like Morro Negrito, that long period will be a dream, turning those small waves into clean, workable lines. This is your best bet for the near term. The afternoon goes a bit average with onshore breezes.

Saturday 15th morning is another good call. Similar story: a 2.3ft SW swell, 16-second period, glassy conditions. Energy is up to 299, the highest we'll see for a while. The afternoon gets messy with moderate rain and onshore wind.

Sunday 16th through to Sunday 23rd is a real flat spell. The swell drops back to 1ft to 2ft, and while mornings are often glassy, the wave energy is consistently low (mostly between 83 and 153). It’s surfable, but very ordinary. You’ll be scratching around for anything rideable.

Monday 24th and Tuesday 25th continue the trend of small, weak swells. Not much to report.

Now, looking further out, there’s a flicker of hope. Thursday 27th morning shows a 1.3ft swell from the SW with a 19-second period and glassy wind. Energy is back up to 156, so still moderate, but the quality could be there if the swell fills in.

The real standout for the back half of the forecast is Friday 28th. This is the one to circle on the calendar. The morning session is looking excellent: a 2ft SSW swell with a solid 17-second period and glassy conditions. The combined energy hits 236. This is the second-best window of the entire outlook. It’s still two weeks away, so treat it as promising but not locked in, but if it holds, Morro Negrito will be the place to be.

To sum it up, you’ve got two clear standouts: Friday 14th morning for the immediate future, and Friday 28th morning for the long-range punt. Everything else in between is small and average. This is one of those periods where you pick your window and go hard.

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