Morro Negrito Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty here. We’ve got a classic small-swell run shaping up at Morro Negrito. The water’s sitting at 87°, a solid 4° warmer than normal for this time of year – that’s much warmer than usual, so you might want a thinner suit.

The forecast opens on Wednesday 12th August with tiny 1ft SSW groundswell and a very long 16-second period. The combined energy is weak at 170. Wednesday morning is glassy – dead calm – and the waves are surfable but nothing special. Wednesday afternoon turns on a light onshore wind and some moderate rain, making it marginal.

Thursday 13th stays small. Morning glass with 1ft SW swell at 15 seconds (energy 79). It’s clean but weak. Afternoon brings a risk of thunderstorms and a light onshore, so poor conditions.

Friday 14th sees a slight bump – 2ft SSW swell with a long 19-second period, combined energy 243. Friday morning is glassy with clear skies, and the forecast says “expect good surf conditions.” That’s the pick of the early run. Still small, but clean and with some decent pulse.

Saturday 15th holds similar: 2ft SW swell at 16 seconds, energy 303. Another glassy morning – promising, with good conditions expected. The afternoons are messy with moderate rain or thunderstorms and onshore wind.

From Sunday 16th onward, things drop back. The swell sits around 1ft to 2ft, mostly SW, with periods between 14 and 19 seconds. Mornings are often glassy or calm, giving you clean little waves, but the combined energy stays low (mostly 55 to 176). The highlight is Friday 21st and Saturday 22nd mornings when it’s glassy again, with tiny 1ft SSW swell and energy in the 50s–60s – barely enough for a longboard.

There’s a run of mornings from Monday 17th through Thursday 27th that offer “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions.” None of it is strong or consistent. The best bet across the whole 16 days is the Friday 14th and Saturday 15th mornings – glassy, clean, and the biggest energy we see, though still only around 2ft to 2ft. For advanced surfers on a reef-and-point setup like Morro Negrito, that’s the window to paddle out.

Crowds can be a thing here sometimes, so on those better mornings you might have a few others about. The swell direction (SW) lines up with what the spot likes, and the long periods (15–19 seconds) will give proper groundswell shape, though with this size it’s not a worry.

There are no real standout days beyond that – just small, clean windows for a log or a fish. It’s not a blank run, but you’ll have to be patient and pick your mornings.

Rusty.

Read more