Morro Negrito Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on the cards for Morro Negrito over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, it’s not going to be a barnstormer. We’re looking at a long stretch of small, very ordinary surf. The first real pulse of something worthwhile doesn’t arrive until the final day of the month, so you’ll be waiting a while. For the most part, we’ve got weak wave energy levels (mostly between 73 and 206) and heights hanging around a depressing 1ft to 2ft. It’s not flat, but it’s not exciting either. Water temp is sitting at a very warm 87°F, which is a solid 4°F above normal for this time of year – that’s seriously muggy, tropical water.

Sunday morning (16 August) is actually the best of a very average bunch right now. The swell is a tiny 2ft from the SW, but the period is a beautiful 15 seconds, giving it some long-period groundswell push. The combined energy is a moderate 204 and conditions are glassy – absolutely dead calm with zero wind. For a reef and point setup like Morro Negrito, that long-period energy will wrap in nicely. It’s small, so it won’t be powerful, but it’ll be clean and rideable. This is the only morning that earns a proper shout-out; everything else is just mediocre.

After that, it’s a slog through the rest of August. The mornings often tease you with glassy or clean wind, but the swell stays parked at 1ft to 2ft with very ordinary conditions. The afternoons are a write-off – light cross-onshore or onshore winds and risk of thunderstorms spoiling the surface. Not worth paddling out for.

We then hit a long, boring stretch from the 17th right through to the 29th. The swell just sits there, the energy stays weak and the afternoons are consistently messy. There’s nothing to recommend – just a bunch of “surfable but ordinary” mornings that won’t get your heart pumping.

Now, Monday 31 August morning is the one to circle on the calendar. The swell bumps up noticeably to 5ft from the SW. Now, the period is a short 7 seconds, which is a windswell – it’ll be a bit lumpy and not as clean as the groundswell earlier. The combined energy jumps to 289 (still moderate but the highest we’ve seen for a while). It’s glassy calm in the morning though, so it’ll be surfable. But at 5ft with that short period, it’s not going to be the best shape. It’s likely to be a bit crumbly and closing out on the inside at the point. Still, it’s the only day in the entire run that has some actual size behind it. If you’re desperate, it’s your window.

Honestly, for the next two weeks, you’re mostly looking at a long, drawn-out period of nothing special. The one standout is the morning of Sunday 16 August for cleanliness, and the morning of Monday 31 August for size, even if the quality is questionable. Everything else? Grab a book or check the wind forecasts for kiting – with that short-period windswell and afternoon onshores, it’s going to be messy.

Stay patient, the bigger one at the end is a long way off.

Rusty.

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