Junkyards Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at the Junkyards forecast. Let's be real, this stretch is a bit of a slow burn, but there's a light at the end of the tunnel if you're willing to wait.

The story starts out pretty flat and disappointing. For the first several days, from Monday the 20th right through the end of the following week, we're looking at tiny, weak swell. The wave energy is a joke, sitting in the single or double digits (8 to 80), with swell heights barely reaching 3 ft. The wind is mostly onshore or cross, and the surf is just plain poor. A couple of mornings on Thursday the 23rd and Friday the 24th go glassy or clean offshore, but the swell is a pathetic 0.7 ft. There's nothing to ride. It's a proper flat spell, and it's going to feel like an eternity.

Things start to get interesting on the weekend, but it's still a bit of a mess. Saturday the 25th brings some clean 1 ft to 2 ft swell from the SE, but the energy is still low (25 to 104). By Sunday the 26th, the swell finally ramps up. We see a 6 ft SE swell at 10 seconds in the morning, building to 7 ft in the afternoon. The energy jumps into the three-digit range (720 to 1128), which is a welcome change. However, the trade winds are up, and while it's cross-offshore, it's a risk of thunderstorms and the forecast is marginal. This is a tease of what's to come, but it's not the cleanest.

The real action, and the only standout in this whole 16-day window, is for the beginning of August. The first of the month, Saturday the 1st, is the one to circle on your calendar. After a week and a half of waiting, the wave gods finally deliver. The outlook is for an 8 ft SSW swell hitting the exposed reef beautifully. The wind is swinging offshore from the ENE at 6 mph, promising clean, groomed faces. The energy is strong (1062), and with a 9-second period, you'll get some proper push. The surf is described as "excellent for experienced surfers," and I'm calling it the best bet of the whole period. This is a solid, powerful SW groundswell and the offshore wind is a major positive. Just a heads up, at 8 ft, this is for the crew who knows what they're doing. Sunday the 2nd will still have some decent 6 ft to 5 ft leftover swell, but the wind picks up and the quality drops off.

After that, it's a quick fade back to flatness by Monday the 3rd and Tuesday the 4th, with the swell dropping and the wind staying strong.

So, the takeaway? The next week is a write-off. The only true standout is the first of August (Saturday) at Junkyards, with a solid SSW groundswell and clean offshore wind. The surf is good, but it's big, so it's expert territory. The rest of the forecast is a long wait for that one window.

Rusty out.

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