Irmas/Leftpoint Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break it down.

We’ve got a window that starts with a real beauty on Wednesday morning, July 29th, but then it’s a long, frustrating stretch of messy conditions. The rest of the 16-day run is mostly a write-off.

The Good Bit – Wednesday July 29th (Morning)

The standout is hands down the early session on Wednesday morning at Irmas/Leftpoint. This is a reef break, fairly consistent, and it’s exposed to the swell. We’re looking at a clean 7 ft of ENE swell, with a period of 10 seconds. That’s a solid groundswell with proper energy in the water (939). The wind is a light 9 mph from the north, coming cross-offshore, which is going to keep the surface glassy. Water temp is sitting at 80°, pretty much bang on average for this time of year. It’s a proper intermediate-level wave at that size, so it’s got some push but isn’t out of control. The vibe is “very good surf conditions,” and honestly, with that offshore wind, this is the session to chase. Crowds are a possibility here sometimes, so get in early.

The Rest of the Run

After that Wednesday morning magic, the quality drops like a stone. Wednesday afternoon (July 29th) stays rideable at 6 ft, but the wind swings to a cross-shore, and the forecast flags marginal tide issues. By Thursday July 30th, the wind gets cross-on, and things go downhill fast. From Thursday afternoon all the way through to the end of the forecast period on August 13th, the models are showing nearly continuous poor surf conditions. The wind stays up from the ENE, mostly fresh to strong breezes (19-28 mph), creating a lumpy, cross-choppy mess. The swell heights bounce around between 4 ft and 10 ft, but with short periods (mostly 7-8 seconds) and bad wind, it’s just not worth paddling out. The 10 ft days on Saturday August 1st have massive energy (1586), but with 28 mph cross-shore wind, that’s a kite surfer's dream, not a paddle surfer's. There’s a taste of cleaner conditions on August 4th with a longer period of 11 seconds, but the wind is still cross-on, and the quality is marginal at best. Honestly, from July 30th onward, it’s a long dry spell of onshore slop. The very end of the window (August 9th - 13th) switches to a tiny SSW swell, but the wind is still ruining it.

Bottom line: Your only real shot at a good wave in the next 16 days is first light on Wednesday, July 29th at Irmas/Leftpoint. After that, it’s a long wait for the wind to sort itself out.

Stay salty,
Rusty

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