Irmas/Leftpoint Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – I’ve looked over the next 16 days for the break we’ve got data on, and I gotta tell you, it’s a tough stretch. There just isn’t a single good surf option on offer in this whole window. Nothing worth paddling out for, every single session is flagged as poor conditions. It’s a full-blown blank run from now through to the end of the forecast.

We’re talking about Irmas/Leftpoint, a reef break that’s fairly consistent. But for this whole period, the wind is relentless. From Friday the 10th of July right through to the 25th, it’s a constant cross-shore or cross-onshore breeze, mostly from the ENE or NE, blowing at 18 to 25 mph. That’s going to leave the surface ragged and lumpy with a messy cross-chop. You won’t find a single moment of clean, glassy, or offshore conditions. For a reef break, you need that wind to cooperate, and it just doesn’t.

Swell does come through. Early on, from the 10th to the 13th, we see some 6 ft to 8 ft waves from the ENE. But with a short period of only 7 seconds, that’s weak, wind-driven stuff, and the combined energy is moderate (506 to 796). It’s not the sort of energy that builds proper lines on a reef. Later, from the 15th onward, the swell switches to a long-period SSW groundswell (period hitting 16 to 19 seconds), but the height drops to just 2 ft to 3 ft. That long period (over 15 seconds) means it could shape up nicely on a reef, but without any size to push it, it’s not breaking with any power. The water temp anomaly isn’t provided, so I can’t tell you if it’s warmer or colder than average.

So what’s the call? This is a spot that can pump, but not in these conditions. A blank run like this is fairly normal for the area when the trade winds lock in. Keep an eye on the forecasts – they can change, and it tends not to stay this poor forever. But for now, I’d save the wax and wait for a better window.

Later, Rusty.

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