Irmas/Leftpoint Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s break this down for the next couple of weeks. I’m looking at Irmas/Leftpoint, and I’ll be honest, it’s a rough patch. The forecast is all about ENE wind, mostly cross or cross-onshore, and that’s gonna chop up the surface real bad. The water temp is about 79°, which is normal for this time of year.

From Saturday the 11th through Tuesday the 15th, it’s a total write-off. The swell is there, but it’s short-period, messy, and the wind is howling at 18–25 mph from the ENE. That’s creating a nasty cross-chop. The combined swell energy is moderate (764) on the morning of the 11th, but with the wind, the waves are just too lumpy. No good for paddling out.

The middle of the week, from the 16th to the 19th, ain’t much better. The swell drops, and we get a mix of weak, short-period ENE swell and some long-period SSW groundswell on the 16th (16–17 seconds, 314–418 energy). That’s a tease, because the wind is still cross and fresh, so the surface will be a mess. It’s a beach-and-reef setup, so that long-period stuff might be too straight for the beach break anyway. Honestly, this is looking more like a kite session than a surf session.

Now, there’s a glimmer of hope right at the end. On the 20th and 21st, we see a long-period E swell coming in (19 seconds on the 20th, 16 seconds on the 21st), with combined energy climbing into the 800–900 range. If the wind ever eases off, that could be a serious groundswell. But the wind is still ENE at 18–22 mph, crossing it up, so it’s a bit of a promise without the delivery. The 23rd and 24th throw in some more SSW groundswell with periods up to 20 seconds, but again, the wind is doing its usual cross nonsense.

The last few days, from the 25th to the 26th, show a bit more ENE swell (6ft–6ft), but it’s short-period (6–7 seconds) and the wind is still cross. It’s not going to be clean.

The standout for the whole period? It’s a tough call because nothing is really shining. If I had to pick one moment, it’s the morning of the 23rd—that long-period SSW groundswell at 20 seconds and 707 energy, with the swell height only 2ft. That’s a very clean, straight line swell, but it’s tiny. For the experts, that could be a fun, glassy-ish session if the wind holds lighter. But don’t get your hopes up too high.

Overall, it’s a long, frustrating 16 days here. The wind just won’t give us a break. We’ve got a 10-day gap where I wouldn’t recommend paddling out.

- Rusty

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