Irmas/Leftpoint Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, and I’ve got to be straight with you—this outlook for Irmas/Leftpoint is a tough one to write. We’ve got a full 16-day window stretching from now, but honestly, it’s a long, dry spell before anything worth paddling out for shows up.

Look, Irmas/Leftpoint is a reef setup that usually wants an ESE swell to get going. The problem is, for the first two weeks, the wind is a constant enemy. From July 12th right through to July 25th, it’s almost wall-to-wall cross-shore and cross-onshore wind, blowing fresh to strong at 15 to 25 mph. The swell direction is all wrong too—mostly ENE or NE, which is way off that sweet spot, and the period is short, hanging around just 7 to 8 seconds. That’s just windswell, not groundswell, so the waves are weak, choppy, and horribly lumpy. It’s a messy, bumpy mess out there. The combined energy is moderate, in the 247 to 824 range, but feels like a lot of effort for nothing. If you’re a kitesurfer, you might be laughing, but for a paddle surfer? No dice.

Now, there is a glimmer right at the very end. On July 27th, Monday morning and afternoon, things change. The swell starts coming from the east (4ft, 15-second period), which is much closer to that optimum ESE direction. That long period, over 15 seconds, means real groundswell energy, which at a reef point like this should wrap in beautifully. The combined energy jumps to 1316 and 1421—strong to very strong. The wind drops to a moderate cross-shore breeze at 15 mph, which is still not ideal but a huge step up from everything else. It’s only a “marginal” call, but after two weeks of nothing, this is the one interesting window. Because it’s that far out (the 27th of July, two weeks from now), take it with a grain of salt, but it’s the only thing worth checking. The break is “fairly consistent” and can get crowded “sometimes,” so if this holds, expect a few locals to be as hungry as you.

Water temp at the start is 79°F, no anomaly—so it’s just normal warm tropical water for this time of year.

So to wrap it up: for the whole forecast period, you’re looking at a whole lot of nothing until the very last day. July 27th is your shot, but it’s a promising long-range call. Keep an eye on it.

Rusty.

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