
Surf Forecasts:
Horse Trails surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 22 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 14s period, WSW swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 23 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 14s period, SW swell with 7,500 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 12s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Horse Trails this week:
The surf forecast for Horse Trails over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 12s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Horse Trails in the next 16 days are 4.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 23) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 11AM.
| Wave Type | Time (SAST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 11AM (Thu 23rd Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Horse Trails over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Hey folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. We’ve got a 16-day window for Horse Trails, and it’s a bit of a mixed bag with a solid start, a wild middle, and a quieter finish.
The first real action kicks off Thursday morning, July 16th. The water’s sitting at 56°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year - about 3° cooler, so you’ll want a good wetsuit. Horse Trails is a sandbar setup, fairly consistent, and the optimal swell direction is SW. The early morning on Thursday is the standout for the whole first week. We’ve got an 8ft SW swell, with a 13-second period, and glassy conditions. The combined energy is pumping at 2381, so it’s moderate to strong energy. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers, with clean, powerful lines rolling in. The wind is glass, so it’s going to be as clean as it gets. Crowds are sometimes a thing here, but for a Thursday morning, you might have a shot at a few less people.
Friday morning, July 17th, is also a solid look. The swell drops a touch to 6ft from the SW, still waist-to-shoulder high, with glassy wind again. It’s a bit more user-friendly than Thursday, and the energy is still moderate at 773. Good vibes all around.
The weekend keeps things rolling. Saturday morning, July 18th, has a 5ft SW swell with glassy wind, but the period drops to 10 seconds, so it’s a bit more wind-swell in there. Energy is moderate at 643. Sunday, July 19th, is a better bet with a 5ft SW, 12-second period, and cross-offshore wind in the morning, keeping it clean. The afternoon goes glassy again. That’s a lovely day.
Now, Monday July 20th is a drop-off, with 3ft waves. Not worth the paddle.
Then things get serious. Tuesday July 21st is a write-off for paddle surfing. The wind howls from the N at 22 mph in the morning, and by the afternoon, rain showers and 25 mph WNW wind make a mess of a 13ft swell. The combined energy hits 5222, which is very strong, but it’s pure chaos. This setup is more for kite surfers than anyone else.
Wednesday July 22nd, Thursday July 23rd, and Friday July 24th all see monster swell - between 10ft and 15ft from the SW, sometimes with 14-second periods. The wind is favorable (glass or cross-off), but the guidance says it’s too big for this break. This is expert-only, big-wave territory, and even then, Horse Trails might not handle it well. The energy is extreme, into the 5000-9000 range. Not for the faint of heart.
The rest of the outlook drops off. From Saturday July 25th onwards, the swell stays big (7ft to 13ft) but the wind is often cross or cross-on, and the conditions are described as marginal. The exception is a super promising morning on Wednesday July 29th, with a 6ft WSW swell, 12-second period, and absolute glass – zero wind. Combined energy is moderate at 1192. That’s a proper little gem, clean and rideable, but it’s a one-off in a stretch of otherwise messy, average days.
The final week shows a few 13ft days again on July 31st, but with cross-off or cross-on wind, again too big for the spot.
The bottom line: The best surf on offer is Thursday morning, July 16th and Wednesday morning, July 29th. The 16th is the real standout for power and size for experienced surfers, with glassy conditions. The 29th is a quieter, cleaner gem for anyone who can handle 6ft. The big swell days in between are for experts only, and the rest is marginal. Buckle up.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri afternoon, min 13°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun afternoon, min 11°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon morning, strong winds from the NNW by Tue afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 10 | SW 10 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 10 | SW 11 | SW 10 | SW 12 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
2381 | 1671 | 1169 | 773 | 635 | 377 | 357 | 310 | 473 | 661 | 617 | 582 | 194 | 170 | 281 | 1064 | 5222 | 6992 | 5464 | 3888 | 5508 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | glassy | glassy | on | cross | cross-off | glassy | glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 4:55PM1.63m | 5:12AM1.48m | 5:37PM1.59m | 5:55AM1.39m | 6:19PM1.52m | 6:38AM1.28m | 7:01PM1.42m | 7:23AM1.17m | 7:45PM1.31m | 8:15AM1.07m | 8:37PM1.19m | 9:22AM1.00m | 9:43PM1.11m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:40AM0.01m | 11:11PM0.09m | 11:20AM0.07m | 11:55PM0.15m | 12:00PM0.16m | 00:39AM0.23m | 12:39PM0.27m | 1:24AM0.33m | 1:21PM0.39m | 2:14AM0.43m | 2:09PM0.51m | 3:14AM0.51m | 3:14PM0.60m | 4:34AM0.55m | |||||||
7:48 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | |
— | 5:55 | — | — | 5:55 | — | — | 5:57 | — | — | 5:57 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:59 | — | — | 5:59 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 2 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 |
Feels °C | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 10 | SW 10 | SW 9 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 10 | SW 9 | SW 10 | SW 12 | SW 14 | — | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 13 |
2381 | 1671 | 1169 | 773 | 635 | 377 | 357 | 266 | 473 | 661 | 617 | 582 | 132 | 170 | 281 | 1064 | — | 6992 | 5464 | 3888 | 5508 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | S 13 | SW 14 | SW 13 | W 11 | W 11 | W 10 | W 10 | SW 11 | S 9 | W 9 | WSW 7 | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | 52 | 189 | 310 | 242 | 184 | 127 | 125 | 194 | 76 | 58 | 214 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | SW 16 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | S 10 | S 10 | W 9 | S 8 | WSW 11 | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | 10 | 97 | 110 | 96 | 55 | 32 | 7 | 120 | 85 | 31 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | WSW 13 | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 40 | 5222 | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 233 | 275 | 324 | 324 | 343 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Cape Town | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in South Africa | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Horse Trails Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Horse Trails provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Horse Trails can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Horse Trails surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Horse Trails) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Horse Trails may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Horse Trails is 8 km (5 miles) from the very large city of Robben Island. If you plan a holiday in Cape Town, look for hotels and other accommodation in Robben Island. Robben Island has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as cheap car hire and transport links.










